austin residential sales report february 2011

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  • 8/7/2019 Austin Residential Sales Report February 2011

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    Residential Sales ReportA RESEARCH TOOL PROVIDED BY THE AUSTIN BOARD OF REALTORS

    February 2011 Quick Facts

    Market Overview 2

    New Listings 3

    Pending Sales 4

    Closed Sales 5

    Days On Market Until Sale 6

    Median Sales Price 7Average Sales Price 8

    9

    Housing Affordability Index 10

    Inventory of Homes for Sale 11

    Months Supply of Inventory 12

    All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | 1

    + 3.5%

    Change in

    Median Sales Price

    Click on desired metric to jump to that page.

    Market activity may appear to be low in year-over-year comparisons due to the

    2010 tax credit. We knew this was coming. Several other themes warrant

    attention before we dig into the numbers. First, we've had several months in a

    row of private job growth. Second, interest rates, in concert with food and

    energy costs, are rising. Third, the anticipation of rising rates often motivates

    buyers. A recovery looms. Now, let's take a look at those numbers.

    New Listings in the Austin region decreased 24.2 percent from last February to

    2,647 new homes. Meanwhile, Pending Sales decreased 0.5 percent to arrive at

    1,786 contracts written. This meant inventory levels decreased 6.2 percent from

    last year to reach 9,874 active listings.

    Prices climbed upward the February Median Sales Price of $187,000

    increased 3.5 percent. Negotiations moved toward buyers as Percent of

    Original List Price Received at Sale decreased 1.3 percent to 92.3 percent. Theabsorption rate decreased 2.1 percent as Months Supply of Inventory checked

    in at 5.9 months.

    The national average interest rate was 5.23 percent on a 30-year fixed. The U.S.

    government would like to play second fiddle to the private sector in the

    mortgage market. Shifting the risk burden makes fiscal sense but could threaten

    an already fragile recovery. The Center for Responsible Lending states that it

    would take 14 years for the typical American family to save enough money for a

    20 percent downpayment, based on national average home prices.

    - 6.2%

    Change in

    Inventory

    - 15.9%

    Change in

    Closed Sales

    Percent of List Price Received

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    Market OverviewKey market metrics for the current month and year-to-date.

    Key Metrics Historical Sparklines 2-2010 2-2011 + / YTD 2010 YTD 2011 + /

    2,106 - 6.7%

    157

    10,532

    72 92

    167 + 4.0%

    --

    $233,081 $242,647 + 4.1%

    $180,745 $187,000

    $242,821 + 4.2%

    93.5% 92.3%

    Housing Affordability Index

    Days on Market Until Sale

    Median Sales Price

    Average Sales Price

    Percent of Original

    List Price Received

    $233,103

    1,264 1,063 - 15.9% 2,257

    New Listings

    Pending Sales

    Closed Sales

    - 20.3%

    1,795 1,786 - 0.5% 3,275 3,301 + 0.8%

    5,4293,493 2,647 - 24.2% 6,811

    + 3.5% $177,000 $186,000

    - 1.5%

    + 27.5% 75 90 + 19.6%

    + 5.1%

    - 1.3% 93.4% 91.9%

    All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 2

    6.0

    166 + 5.4%

    - 6.2%

    - 2.1%

    9,874

    5.9

    160

    --

    -- --

    --

    --Months Supply

    of Homes for Sale

    Inventory of Homes for Sale

    2-2008 2-2009 2-2010 2-2011

    2-2008 2-2009 2-2010 2-2011

    2-2008 2-2009 2-2010 2-2011

    2-2008 2-2009 2-2010 2-2011

    2-2008 2-2009 2-2010 2-2011

    2-2008 2-2009 2-2010 2-2011

    2-2008 2-2009 2-2010 2-2011

    2-2008 2-2009 2-2010 2-2011

    2-2008 2-2009 2-2010 2-2011

    2-2008 2-2009 2-2010 2-2011

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    New ListingsA count of the properties that have been newly listed on the market in a given month.

    Month

    Prior

    Year

    Current

    Year+ /

    March 3,664 4,679 +27.7%

    April 3,627 4,960 +36.8%

    May 3,472 3,464 -0.2%

    June 3,646 3,797 +4.1%

    July 3,689 3,675 -0.4%

    August 3,279 2,978 -9.2%

    September 3,015 2,683 -11.0%

    October 3,015 2,542 -15.7%

    November 2,483 2,082 -16.1%

    December 1,969 1,794 -8.9%January 3,318 2,782 -16.2%

    February 3,493 2,647 -24.2%

    12-Month Avg 3,223 3,174 -1.5%

    All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 3

    3,067

    3,493

    2,647

    2009 2010 2011

    February

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    3,000

    3,500

    4,000

    4,500

    5,000

    5,500

    1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011

    Historical New Listing Activity

    6,2076,811

    5,429

    2009 2010 2011

    Year To Date

    -20.3%+13.9% -24.2% +9.7%

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    Pending SalesA count of the properties that have offers accepted on them in a given month.

    Month

    Prior

    Year

    Current

    Year+ /

    March 1,856 2,428 +30.8%

    April 1,951 2,874 +47.3%

    May 2,184 1,447 -33.7%

    June 2,150 1,662 -22.7%

    July 2,088 1,645 -21.2%

    August 2,045 1,532 -25.1%

    September 1,922 1,401 -27.1%

    October 1,839 1,429 -22.3%

    November 1,250 1,299 +3.9%

    December 1,108 1,182 +6.7%January 1,480 1,515 +2.4%

    February 1,795 1,786 -0.5%

    12-Month Avg 1,806 1,683 -6.8%

    All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 4

    1,398

    1,795 1,786

    2009 2010 2011

    February

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    3,000

    3,500

    1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011

    Historical Pending Sales Activity

    2,737

    3,275 3,301

    2009 2010 2011

    Year To Date

    +0.8%+28.4% -0.5% +19.7%

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    Closed SalesA count of the properties that have closed in a given month.

    Month

    Prior

    Year

    Current

    Year+ /

    March 1,501 2,010 +33.9%

    April 1,708 2,252 +31.9%

    May 1,868 2,307 +23.5%

    June 2,272 2,211 -2.7%

    July 2,285 1,654 -27.6%

    August 1,975 1,686 -14.6%

    September 1,959 1,425 -27.3%

    October 1,969 1,345 -31.7%

    November 1,744 1,338 -23.3%

    December 1,519 1,555 +2.4%January 993 1,043 +5.0%

    February 1,264 1,063 -15.9%

    12-Month Avg 1,755 1,657 -3.9%

    All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 5

    1,1961,264

    1,063

    2009 2010 2011

    February

    500

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    3,000

    3,500

    1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011

    Historical Closed Sales Activity

    2,1102,257

    2,106

    2009 2010 2011

    Year To Date

    -6.7%+5.7% -15.9% +7.0%

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    Median Sales PriceThe median sales price for all closed sales in a given month. Sold properties only. Does not account for seller concessions.

    Month

    Prior

    Year

    Current

    Year+ /

    March $179,000 $178,000 -0.6%

    April $185,000 $185,000 0.0%

    May $190,000 $186,000 -2.1%

    June $195,000 $198,000 +1.5%

    July $186,500 $211,555 +13.4%

    August $185,000 $194,000 +4.9%

    September $183,000 $188,731 +3.1%

    October $179,000 $190,000 +6.1%

    November $173,750 $179,500 +3.3%

    December $186,000 $188,991 +1.6%January $175,000 $185,000 +5.7%

    February $180,745 $187,000 +3.5%

    12-Month Avg $184,910 $189,000 +2.2%

    All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 7

    $187,900$180,745

    $187,000

    2009 2010 2011

    February

    $140,000

    $150,000

    $160,000

    $170,000

    $180,000

    $190,000

    $200,000

    $210,000

    $220,000

    1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011

    Historical Median Sales Price

    $182,000 $177,000$186,000

    2009 2010 2011

    Year To Date

    +5.1%-3.8% +3.5% -2.7%

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    Average Sales PriceThe average sales price for all closed sales in a given month. Sold properties only. Does not account for seller concessions.

    Month

    Prior

    Year

    Current

    Year+ /

    March $227,559 $230,630 +1.3%

    April $227,607 $228,668 +0.5%

    May $246,641 $236,487 -4.1%

    June $244,680 $265,235 +8.4%

    July $238,247 $275,446 +15.6%

    August $235,796 $257,323 +9.1%

    September $234,565 $241,609 +3.0%

    October $232,209 $254,476 +9.6%

    November $231,122 $243,632 +5.4%

    December $248,772 $245,554 -1.3%January $233,052 $242,468 +4.0%

    February $233,103 $242,821 +4.2%

    12-Month Avg $236,540 $246,639 +4.3%

    All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 8

    $236,506 $233,103$242,821

    2009 2010 2011

    February

    $180,000

    $190,000

    $200,000

    $210,000

    $220,000

    $230,000

    $240,000

    $250,000

    $260,000

    $270,000

    $280,000

    1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011

    Historical Average Sales Price

    $231,457 $233,081$242,647

    2009 2010 2011

    Year To Date

    + 4.1%- 1.4% + 4.2% + 0.7%

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    Percent of Original List Price Received

    Month

    Prior

    Year

    Current

    Year+ /

    March 92.3% 94.4% +2.3%

    April 92.9% 94.8% +2.0%

    May 93.4% 94.8% +1.5%

    June 93.7% 94.1% +0.4%

    July 93.9% 93.1% -0.9%

    August 94.1% 92.4% -1.8%

    September 94.0% 91.9% -2.2%

    October 93.8% 91.3% -2.7%

    November 93.9% 91.3% -2.8%

    December 93.1% 91.5% -1.8%January 93.1% 91.6% -1.7%

    February 93.5% 92.3% -1.3%

    12-Month Avg 93.5% 93.1% -0.5%

    All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 9

    The average percentage found when dividing a property's sales price by the original list price. Sold properties only. Does not account for

    list prices from any previous listing contracts or any seller concessions.

    91.7% 93.5% 92.3%

    2009 2010 2011

    February

    91.0%

    92.0%

    93.0%

    94.0%

    95.0%

    96.0%

    97.0%

    98.0%

    99.0%

    1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011

    Historical Percent of Original List Price Received

    91.5% 93.4% 91.9%

    2009 2010 2011

    Year To Date

    -1.5%+2.0% -1.3% +2.0%

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    Housing Affordability Index

    Month

    Prior

    Year

    Current

    Year + /

    March 157 160 +1.4%

    April 154 154 +0.0%

    May 146 154 +5.5%

    June 143 149 +4.7%

    July 149 144 -3.4%

    August 153 157 +2.5%

    September 156 161 +3.2%

    October 159 161 +1.3%

    November 166 170 +2.6%December 151 160 +6.2%

    January 162 168 +3.9%

    February 157 166 +5.4%

    12-Month Avg 154 159 +2.8%

    The Housing Affordability Index measures housing affordability for the region. An HAI of 120 would mean the median household income

    was 120% of what's necessary to qualify for the median priced home under prevailing interest rates. The higher the number, the more affordable housing is.

    All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 10

    147157

    166

    2009 2010 2011

    February

    120

    130

    140

    150

    160

    170

    180

    1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011

    Historical Housing Affordability Index

    151160

    167

    2009 2010 2011

    Year To Date

    +4.0%+7.0% +5.4% +6.0%

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    Inventory of Homes for SaleThe number of properties available for sale in active status at the end of the month.

    Month

    Prior

    Year

    Current

    Year+ /

    March 11,373 11,241 -1.2%

    April 11,938 12,354 +3.5%

    May 12,375 13,084 +5.7%

    June 12,381 13,765 +11.2%

    July 12,522 14,400 +15.0%

    August 12,476 14,594 +17.0%

    September 12,008 13,922 +15.9%

    October 11,549 13,207 +14.4%

    November 11,164 12,343 +10.6%

    December 10,869 11,199 +3.0%January 9,907 9,889 -0.2%

    February 10,532 9,874 -6.2%

    12-Month Avg 11,591 12,489 +7.4%

    All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 11

    10,94710,532

    9,874

    2009 2010 2011

    February

    8,000

    9,000

    10,000

    11,000

    12,000

    13,000

    14,000

    15,000

    1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011

    Historical Inventory of Homes for Sale

    -6.2%-3.8%

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    Months Supply of InventoryCompares the number of active listings available to the average monthly pending sales for the last twelve months.

    Month

    Prior

    Year

    Current

    Year+ /

    March 6.4 6.4 +0.5%

    April 6.9 6.9 +0.1%

    May 7.3 7.1 -2.5%

    June 7.5 7.3 -1.9%

    July 7.6 7.7 +1.0%

    August 7.6 8.0 +5.7%

    September 7.4 7.7 +4.8%

    October 7.1 7.5 +6.7%

    November 6.6 7.3 +9.2%

    December 6.3 6.7 +7.2%January 5.7 5.9 +4.2%

    February 6.0 5.9 -2.1%

    12-Month Avg 6.9 7.0 +2.7%

    All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 12

    6.0 6.0 5.9

    2009 2010 2011

    February

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011

    Historical Months Supply of Inventory

    -2.1%+0.5%