attrition measurement update year end 2011 developing meaningful trends prepared by: trg associates,...
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Attrition MeasurementUpdate Year End 2011Developing MeaningfulTrends
Prepared By: TRG Associates, Inc.860-395-0548www.trgassociates.com
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Defining AttritionGross Attrition
• The loss of existing customers and their associated recurring monthly revenue (RMR) for contracted services during a particular customer / calendar cycle
Net Attrition• Gross Attrition plus the add back of “like
customer” gains thru resigns of the existing locations – - The Home/Business location is your ultimate
customer- Price increases for inflation- Price increases for additional services or
technology
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Defining Attrition
The Short Version• The measurement of customer
dissatisfaction with or need for the system
Why Measure?• Attrition measures customer
dissatisfaction which, for the most part, is company caused.
• The Attrition Tracking Process should be managed to identify, focus on, and rectify those causes within each organization.
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Attrition MeasurementMethodology
Weighted Ending RMR Attrition Method
Step 1: Cancelled RMR for the Reporting Period = Monthly Attrition
Sum of Ending RMR for Each Month
Step 2: Monthly Attrition (from Step 1)* 12 = Annualized Attrition
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Benefits of Weighted Ending RMR Method
• Accounts for and weights RMR acquisitions• Accounts for timing of acquired RMR• Accounts for rapid internal growth and the timing
thereof• Similar to many lending/equity institution’s
preferred calculation.
The Geography of Attrition
• NE/Mid Atlantic• Southeast• Midwest• Southwest• West• International w
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Annual TrendDollars of RMR*
Region 2009 2010 2011
Northeast $ 29,312,561 $ 34,255,218 $ 38,123,162
Southeast $ 30,717,788 $ 34,551,487 $ 42,678,957
Midwest $ 22,194,576 $ 25,343,869 $ 32,755,145
Southwest $ 11,666,058 $ 14,451,746 $ 20,315,471
West $ 33,418,789 $ 33,359,003 $ 39,705,534
International$
12,601,570 $ 14,982,984 $ 5,035,296
$139,911,34
2 $ 156,944,307
$ 178,613,564
*Recurring Monthly Revenue
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Annual TrendDollars of RMR
Size 2009 2010 2011*
3-50 $ 248,301 $ 237,446 $ 291,596
51-100 $ 684,232 $ 728,794 $ 659,794
101-200 $ 3,187,759 $ 2,637,789 $ 2,578,119
201-500 $14,846,63
1 $ 16,257,476 $ 17,103,573
501+$
120,944,419 $ 137,082,80
2 $ 157,980,482
Total$
139,911,342 $ 156,944,30
7 $ 178,613,564
*Includes branches of companies reflected by RMR size/Attrition if provided
Annual TrendDollars of RMR
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Customer Source 2009 2010 2011
Dealer $ 37,684,131
$49,061,372
$49,127,653
Traditional $ 79,688,494
$80,388,844
$85,279,682
Mass Market $ 22,538,71
7
$27,494,091
$44,206,230
Total $ 139,911,942
$156,944,307
$178,613,564
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Annual TrendDollars of RMR
Customer Type 2009 2010 2011
Residential $ 69,568,717 $ 74,839,754 $ 101,339,459
Commercial $
70,342,625 $ 82,104,553 $ 77,274,105
Total$
139,911,342 $ 156,944,30
7 $ 178,613,564
Attrition Updatethrough Year End 2011
2009 2010 2011
Region Gross Net Gross Net Gross Net
Northeast10.06
% 7.96%10.02
% 7.66% 10.34% 7.94%
Southeast11.92
% 9.81%11.46
% 9.15% 11.63% 9.47%
Midwest11.29
% 8.18%10.92
% 7.89% 10.92% 9.23%
Southwest13.70
%11.12
%12.35
% 9.75% 11.98% 10.06%
West12.34
% 9.26%11.58
% 8.73% 11.43% 9.16%
International
11.64% 9.00%
11.74% 8.83% 10.76% 9.42%
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Attrition Updatethrough Year End 2011
2009 2010 2011
Co. Size Gross Net Gross Net Gross Net
3-50 9.69% 7.58% 7.57% 5.04% 7.26% 4.80%
51-10010.13
% 8.73% 9.26% 6.55% 9.69% 6.68%
101-20010.89
% 8.73% 8.67% 6.00% 9.30% 7.10%
201-50011.22
% 9.03% 9.92% 8.02% 9.46% 7.83%
501+11.74
% 9.09%11.41
% 8.68%11.43
% 9.02%
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Attrition Updatethrough Year End 2011
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2009 2010 2011
Source Gross Net Gross Net Gross Net
Dealer13.19
%11.07
%12.55
%10.10
% 12.36% 9.91%
Traditional11.16
% 8.31%10.66
% 7.85% 10.70% 8.60%
Mass Market
10.85% 8.40%
10.33% 7.87% 10.84% 9.14%
Attrition Updatethrough Year End 2011
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2009 2010 2011
Customer Type Gross Net Gross Net Gross Net
Residential12.04
% 9.72%11.37
% 8.92% 11.26% 9.17%
Commercial11.27
% 8.43%11.03
% 8.23% 11.10% 9.00%
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Impact on Attrition Measurement with Publicly Held Company Results
Excluding PHC Including PHC
2010 2011 2010 2011
501+ RMR Companies $137.5M $158.0M $427.8M $448.7M
Net Attrition
Company Size 8.68% 9.02% 11.42% 11.73%
Residential 8.92% 9.17% 11.06% 11.44%
Commercial 8.23% 9.00% 11.41% 11.83%
Sources: SDM May 2012 – SDM 100 SEC Filings 10K Public Quarterly Company Reviews
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Top Reasons for Attrition
Collecti
on/Non Paym
ent
Move
d
Poor Servi
ce
Lost
to Competition
No Longer U
sing Sy
stem
Sold/O
ut of B
usiness
Financia
l Diffi
culties
RMR Reducti
on
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
20.00%
25.00%
30.00%
35.00%
20102011
Reason Code Analysis
Cancellation Reason 2008 2009 2010 2011
Collection/Non Payment 14.7% 20.9% 21.6% 19.1%
Moved 29.9% 38.4% 31.3% 33.9%
Poor Service 2.6% 1.9% 7.7% 2.0%
Lost to Competition 16.6% 9.1% 7.9% 13.5%
No Longer Using System 11.1% 14.1% 9.4% 7.6%
Sold/Out of Business 12.8% 7.3% 6.3% 6.8%
Financial Difficulties 4.9% 5.8% 9.3% 6.2%
Property Abandoned/Vacant 0.3% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3%
End of Contract Term 2.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.8%
Deceased/Rest home 1.3% 0.4% 1.2% 0.7%
PI Rescinded/RMR Reduction 3.4% 0.6% 4.7% 9.1%
Natural Disaster/Military 0.2% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
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TRG Maintains Full Confidentiality of Participant’s Figures
• Summary results as presented will be available on CSAA Web-Site (www.csaaintl.org)TRG Web-Site (www.trgassociates.com)
• Next update for 2012 – May 2013Posted in June 2013