athens international airport an attractive investment in...
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Athens International Airport
An attractive investment in challenging times
Yi i P hiYiannis Paraschis Capital Link Forum 2010
AIA is a pioneer PPP greenfield project
Hochtief Airport 26.67% Hochtief Airport Capital 13 33%
Greek State 55.00%Mi i t f E & Fi Hochtief Airport Capital 13.33%
• Hastings Fund Mngt (Australia)• Caisse de dépôt & placement du
Québec (Canada)• KfW-IPEX Bank (Germany)
C l F il 4 99%
• Ministry of Economy & Finance
• Ministry of Infrastructure, Transportation & Networks
1996-2026 “usufruct” BOT contract
Copelouzos Family 4.99%
1996-2026 usufruct BOT contract
A 2.2 billion Euro Project
60% f nded b commercial debt 60% funded by commercial debt
21 million pax capacity, expandable up to 50 million
f Airport Community: 2.14% of Greek GDP; 300 companies;
15,000 employees
…with concession period slated for extension
Greek State willing to extend concession period (revenues already in 2011 State Budget)…
…and explore options to capitalize on its shareholdings
Privatization of other Greek airports within state priorities
Widely accepted that new privatized airports will be based on AIA model
What makes AIA attractive?
A novel private sector governance
A new airport company created from “zero base”
A “commercial, profit-oriented company of the private sector”
b B d f Di t (4) P i t Sh h ld (4)run by a Board of Directors: (4) Private Shareholders, (4) Greek State , (1) Independent,
and CEO proposed by the private shareholders,and CEO proposed by the private shareholders,
with a very wide corporate scope of commercial rights and y p p gservices,
with a right to set Airport charges “under the Dual Till” p incipleprinciple,
with an option to be listed in the stock exchange
Demonstrating strong traffic performance until 2008
1,4001,3521 314
1,423 1,43517
18
1 400
1,600European airports 2001-7
15.516.2
16.5
15.1
16.5995 990 1,056
1,1491,232
1,314
15
16
17
1,000
1,200
1,400
ΑΙΑ
, mill
ion Europ
Pax, mill
CAGR 6.1%
12 2
13.714.3
12
13
14
600
800Pax,
AIA 2002-7 CAGR 6.9% AIA
-0.4% AIA
-4.6%AIA
-1.5%
2008:Recession
starts/High fuel prices
2009:Europe in
deep recession
pelion2010:Europe exits
recession/Greek financial crisis
10.2 11.8 12.2
9
10
11
0
200
400Europe +0.7%
Europe +3.6%Aug YTD
Europe -5.5%
9Apr-Dec
20012002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010e
0
AIA Traffic Europe Traffic
From 2008 onwards, the recession -with different timing , g
vs. Europe- affects AIA traffic
With continuous revenue and profit growth and healthy cash position
420.5
356 5399.3
243.9
400
450
220240260
PBTR 403.2
227.4271.5
290.8329.8 331.7 356.5
156.5149.6176.8
99.3145.8124.9
163.7
250
300
350
100120140160180200220 PBT
Mn €Revenues& Closing CashMn €
28.914.3 29.0
47.157.7
96.3124.8
105.8 104.0
50
100
150
200
020406080100
-9.614.3
0
50
Apr-Dec2001
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009-40-200
PAX PBT Closing cash
2002-9 shareholder dividends €493 million
2001 10 month2001-2004 PBT is based on GAAP2005-2007 PBT is according to IFRS2009 PBT excluding once-off provisions impact of €108.0 m
Restructured EIB loan & early loan repayments to lower debt costs
Total Repaid by 2005
1200
1400Shareholder LoanCommercial Loan
€328
Total€1,370 m
€45 m
Repaid by 2005
€328 m
€, m
800
1000EIB€328 m
€244 m Restructured with EIB in 2009
Repaid by 2008
€
400
600
800
€997 m €754 m
200
400
0Initial Repaid 2001-10 November 2010
At the top of European airports benchmark
At top 3 of European
Total Revenue / Passenger
24.0
30.0
At top-3 of European
airports in revenue
generation0.0
6.0
12.0
18.0
w s s o s h p m a h n t n p i A i A
SDR
/ p
ax
generation
Lond
onH
eath
row
Aer
opor
tsde
Par
is
Ath
ens
Osl
o
Bru
ssel
s
Zuri
ch
BA
A G
roup
Am
ster
dam
Gro
up
Vie
nna
Mun
ich
Cop
enha
gen
Frap
ort
Ber
linG
roup
Aer
opor
ti d
iM
ilano A
NA
Aer
opor
ti d
iR
oma
AEN
A
Total revenue / pax Average
NoteMonetary units in SDR (Special Drawing Right)Figures as per 2008 financial year Source: Jacobs Consultancy Airport Performance
Indicators 2010
Non-Aeronautical Revenue / Passenger
12.0
In addition to high
ae o e en es
0.0
6.0
Osl
o
don
hro
w
hen
s
port
sar
is
port
ssel
s
rou
p
rou
p
nic
h
rich
dam
p agen
rti d
in
o
enn
a
rti d
ia A
NA
ENA
SD
R /
pax aero revenues…
…AIA also excels in
commercial activitiesO
Lon
dH
eath Ath
Aer
opde
Pa
Fra
Bru
s
BA
A G
r
Ber
lin G
r
Mu
n
Zu
Am
ster
dG
rou
Cop
enh
a
Aer
opor
Mila
n
Vie
Aer
opor
Rom
a A A
Non aero revenue / pax Average
NoteMonetary units in SDR (Special Drawing Right)Figures as per 2008 financial year
Source: Jacobs Consultancy Airport Performance Indicators 2010
commercial activities
…with first position in profitability
AIA offers value for
Operating costs / Passenger
12 0
16.0
AIA offers value-for-
money services…
maintaining cost0.0
4.0
8.0
12.0
on row
nich
orts
aris
dam
p erlin ou
p
oup
rich
Osl
o
port
sels
enna
hens
ti d
io ge
n
AN
A
ti d
ia EN
A
SD
R /
pax
…maintaining cost
competitiveness
Lond
Hea
thr
Mun
Aer
opo
de
Pa
Am
ster
dG
roup Be
Gro
BA
A G
ro
Zu
O
Frap
Bru
ss
Vie
Ath
Aer
opo
rtM
ilano
Cop
enh
a A
Aer
opo
rtR
oma
AE
Operating Cost per pax Average
NoteMonetary units in SDR (Special Drawing Right)Figures as per 2008 financial year
Source: Jacobs Consultancy Airport Performance Indicators 2010
High performance in
all al e d i e s
EBIT / Passenger
11.2
14.0
x all value drivers…
…leads to No 1
position in profitability0.0
2.8
5.6
8.4
hens
Osl
o
ssel
s
agen
port
sar
is
enna
uric
h
rou
p
port
dam
up don
hrow AN
A
rti d
ia er
linro
up
rti d
ino ni
ch
ENA
SD
R /
pax
position in profitabilityAth O
Bru
s
Cop
enh
a
Aer
opde
Pa
Vie Zu
BA
A G
r
Frap
Am
ster
dG
rou
Lond
Hea
th
A
Aer
opor
Rom
a
Be
Gr
Aer
opor
Mil
an Mun A
E
EBIT per pax AverageNoteMonetary units in SDR (Special Drawing Right)Figures as per 2008 financial year
Source: Jacobs Consultancy Airport Performance Indicators 2010
2010 poses challenges for AIA…
Greek economy crisis Impact on Greek travellers’ traffic demand & business travel EU/ECB/IMF pressure on production costs & prices Athens retail & property market
y
Athens city destination profile Corporate taxation (from 24% to 40%+)
Privatised Olympic and Aegean announce merge
Developments in Athens aviation market Privatised Olympic and Aegean announce merge…
…under EU’s Competition Committee scrutiny
Consolidation of network already evident with impact on traffic
P d f d d t k d btf l t i bilit f Pros and cons of merge: reduced network vs. doubtful sustainability of two carriers
How can airport management respond?
Macroeconomic Environment
II. Reduce operating costs
III. Optimise I. Defend
Athens
pinvestmentsRevenues
AthensAviationMarket
IV. Maintain service level
In a low-growth environment, costs become a major value driver
I. Defending revenues
Aero revenues: defending volumes, protecting margins
Commercial revenues: retain high share (41% of revenues – 65%
of profits)
II. Reducing operating expenses
Outsourcing strategy 3rd party costs reduction exercise in 2008/9 with 10% opex
savings Staff reduced since 2008 through attrition and non-replacement
Adapting to changes: flexibility in investment planning necessary
III. Optimizing investments
“Sweating the assets”
Investing in value-adding activities: 8MW Photovoltaic park
p g
Investing in value adding activities: 8MW Photovoltaic park,
Car Parking, External business activities
IV. Maintaining service level
Value-for-money services a key strategy
AIA unique model for service level monitoring AIA unique model for service level monitoring
Already achieved significant cost reductions
Total operating costs
139 0135.0
125.8129.2
126.8
139.0 Base costs: 2008 actual, inflated onwards
117.3123.4 122.0 119.5114.5€,
m
Actual costs & projections
90.0
102.3
2008 2009 2010 20112008 2009 2010 2011Note: Base costs adjusteda) For 2008, security costs incorporate FY effect of critical partsb) For 2008 and 2009, maintenance costs exlude the impact of major once off items
In 2011 opex reduction will reach 13%
Projecting healthy profitability of >35% PBT despite market downturn…
16 5 16 216.5
15.114.3
13.7
16.5 16.215.5
31% 36%37%
35-37%15
17
35.0%
45.0%
illio
n PBT
12.211.8
10.219%
27%
31% 35 37%
11
13
15.0%
25.0%
Pax,
mT, %
-4%
5%10%
14%
9 5.0%
4%7Apr-Dec
20012002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010e
-5.0%
Traffic Profit Margin
Source: AIA Management Information System
2001 10 month2001-2004 PBT is based on GAAP2005-2007 PBT is according to IFRS2009 PBT excluding once-off provisions impact
…AIA remains an attractive investment opportunity
Despite areas of investors’ concern…
Concession period
Macro environment Corporate Tax
…AIA demonstrates strong points and constitutes an
attractive investment opportunity
Traffic & aero activities
Commercial activities Regulation Infrastructure Financial
Performance
Concession
To be further enriched…
Concession Extension