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Client & Marketing ResearchUNDERSTAND I ANTICIPATE I ENABLE I ACCELERATE
ATB Investor ServicesAlberta Investor BeatWave 4 – April 2016
To inform business strategy and showcase ATBIS’ deep understanding of Albertans.
1
2
Understand Albertans’ mindset around saving and investing including their intent to save and/or invest based on their confidence in various social, economic and political factors.
Purpose
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Methodology
3
Field DatesWave 4: April 11 – 18, 2016
Wave 3: January 4 – 13, 2016 Wave 2: October 2 - 19, 2015
Wave 1: June 29 – July 13, 2015
In this report “Albertans” = General Population
Online Albertans Aged 18+
Online (Ipsos Panel)1,007 completes in Wave 4
Qualifying ParticipantsAges 18+
Sample collected and weighted to be representative of Albertans by
age, gender and region
Note - Changes in W4:• A new survey software program was used which may impact wave over wave tracking results.
• Footnotes on slide will indicate where changes to tracking questions were made, if any.
Detailed Findings: Investor Beat Tracking, Financial Goals Progress and Saving/Investment Product Portfolio
• Attitudes towards saving/investing stayed the same as the previous wave, with most Albertans feeling neutral (53%). Among those who think it is a bad time, significantly more mentioned having no extra money to invest (26% in W4 vs. 16% in W3).
• The declining perceptions on economic factors over the past 3 waves have turned positive this wave. Significantly lower proportions of Albertans in Wave 4 are viewing issues such the economy, Canadian dollar, oil prices, gas prices, and the stock market to be much worse than 6 months ago.
• Similar to the past three waves, eight-in-ten Albertans anticipate that the climate to save/invest will remain the same 3-6 months from now. Of note, there is a lift in those who believe it is going to get much better in the short term (15% in W4 vs. 11% in W3).
Saving/InvestmentIntentions of Albertans
Albertans Progress for Personal Financial Goals
Saving/Investment Portfolio Mix
• Saving for retirement remains the top financial goal for Albertans and has jumped up significantly versus the previous wave (51% in W4 vs. 46% in W3). In addition, significantly fewer Albertans feel behind on this goal this wave.
• The rest of the top 10 financial goals have remained stable wave over wave and include: paying down debt, managing day-to-day finances, short-term savings (e.g. children’s education, vacation) and reduced spending round out the top 10 financial goals, and has remained stable throughout the 4 waves.
• There is a significant drop in the number of Albertans who indicate having mutual funds/stocks/bonds this wave. However, the diversity of the savings/investment portfolio remained stable, with cash and mutual funds/stocks/bonds making up the bulk of a financial portfolio.
• NEW Q: Among those who evaluated the new financial product list with this bundle broken out, balanced mutual funds and stocks are invested in more than bonds.
• While significantly less Albertans indicated they had decrease in their savings/investments return this wave, a larger number of Albertans are indicating “don’t know” on the performance of their savings/investments.
4
Detailed Findings:Impact of Oil Price Drops, Financial Planning Sources and Attitudes Towards Financial Planning
• Asking friends/family members or financial advisors are the main sources Albertans have used for financial advice, followed by the Internet.
• At least four-in-ten Albertans are relying on these sources for financial advice more in the P12M versus the previous years.
• Three-in-ten Albertans currently use the services of a financial advisor and started working with one due to having a more complex financial situation or having one recommended to them by the bank or family and friends. Among those that don’t work with one, this is primarily due to not having enough financial assets.
• Close to half of Albertans claim to have a financial plan in place, with retirement and investment details as key areas included in this plan.
Financial Advice Sources & Financial Plans
Attitudes on Financial Planning and Receiving Financial Advice Impact of Drop in Oil Prices
• One-quarter of Albertans agree with the sentiment that they worry on getting through the difficult economic time, yet only one-in-five agree that they have a plan in place to help with this.
• One-quarter of Albertans express disagreement on being happy with their current financial situation, which likely can be associated with a large chunk (39%) not feeling like they have saved enough for retirement.
• Only two-in-ten Albertans agree that they currently need financial advice. While Albertans are not quite interested in receiving advice, it is not because of perceiving financial advice to be expensive nor not feeling comfortable about sharing their financial situation, as there is low agreement for these two statements.
• The number of Albertans personally impacted by the drop in oil prices is continues to increase incrementally for the third straight wave (down 7 ppts since W1), with just under half of Albertans feeling the effects of this decline.
• Cost of living increases and slow down in business continue to be the central factors which Albertans feel they have been impacted by these price drops. However, job loss has increased significantly this wave (W4 30% vs. W3 24%).
• Reduced spending is the main change Albertans have made to their lifestyle, although those impact by the price drop are doing it much more so than those who indicate they were not affected by the drop in oil prices (68% vs. 27%).
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Client & Marketing ResearchUNDERSTAND I ANTICIPATE I ENABLE I ACCELERATE
Investor Beat Intent to save/invest in relation to social, economic and political factors
Investor Beat
7
Albertans are holding steady in Wave 4, with the majority feeling positive or neutral towards saving and/or investing. Among Albertans who think it is a good time, significantly less mentioned the poor/unstable economy as reasons behind
saving/investing. For those that feel it is a bad time, significantly more mentioned the barriers of not having additional funds for investing and seeing that it is poor time as roadblocks to saving/investing.
Base: All respondentsQ1. Taking everything into consideration, is now a good time or bad time to save and/or invest your money?Base: Rated [good time/bad time]Q1b. Why do you think now is a good time to save and/or invest?Q1c. Why do you think now is a bad time to save and/or invest?
Significantly higher than previous wave
Significantly lower than previous wave
34%
53%
13%
32%
54%
14%
31%
60%
10%
31%
59%
10%
Good time (rated 8, 9, 10)
Neutral (rated 3, 4, 5, 6, 7)
Bad time (rated 0, 1, 2)
Wave 4 (n=1,007)Wave 3 (n=1,004)Wave 2 (n=1,024)Wave 1 (n=994)
Good time
Bad time
Only showing mentions 13% or higher in either wave.
Only showing mentions 9% or higher in either wave.
Calgary residents, men and those with more than $25K in investible assets are more
likely to feel positive towards saving/investing than their counterparts.
W3 (n=322) W4 (n=342)Investment Products (Net) 34% 36%
Good time to invest 23% 21%Low stock market 16% 17%
Savings (Net) 30% 28%Good time to save 30% 27%
Economy (Net) 31% 26%Poor/unstable economy 26% 18%
Miscellaneous (Net) 24% 25%For present/future needs 13% 13%
W3 (n=139) W4 (n=128)Economy (Net) 47% 44%Poor economy 34% 31%
Unemployment 15% 13%No money (Net) 24% 37%
No extra money to invest 16% 26%No income 11% 5%
Miscellaneous (Net) 27% 19%High cost of living 9% 12%Investment (Net) 19% 14%
Low interest rates 14% 6%Poor time to invest 3% 9%
Investor Beat
8
Similar to the previous three waves, eight-in-ten Albertans continue to perceive that saving and/or investment opportunities will remain the same in the next 3 to 6 months.
There has been a significant lift in the number of Albertans who see it as much better versus last wave, which may signal a positive change in perception towards the economy.
Base: All respondentsQ2. In the next 3-6 months, do you expect it to be a much better or much worse time to save and/or invest your money?
Significantly higher than previous wave
Significantly lower than previous wave
15%
78%
6%
11%
81%
8%
11%
84%
4%
12%
82%
6%
Much better (rated 8, 9, 10)
Same as now (rated 3, 4, 5, 6, 7)
Much worse (rated 0, 1, 2)
Wave 4 (n=1,007)Wave 3 (n=1,004)Wave 2 (n=1,024)Wave 1 (n=994)
Investor Beat – Economy
9
There are significant decreases among those who view the global economy, Canadian economy and the Canadian dollar as much worse compared to 6 months ago. These declines in negative perceptions will be monitored next wave, as it may represent a change to a more positive outlook among Albertans.
Significantly higher than previous wave
Significantly lower than previous wave
5%
7%
5%
6%
70%
64%
47%
62%
19%
26%
44%
29%
6%
3%
4%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
68%
62%
47%
39%
24%
33%
47%
57%
6%
3%
4%
2%
2%
3%
2%
2%
74%
72%
59%
52%
16%
21%
35%
42%
8%
4%
4%
4%
1%
2%
2%
2%
74%
77%
70%
65%
16%
15%
23%
28%
9%
6%
5%
5%
Global economy
Canadian economy
-14%-22%-14%-15%
-19%-31%-18%-13%
-38%-45%-33%-21%
-23%-55%-40%-26%
NET score betweenMuch Better and
Much Worse
Alberta economy
Canadian dollar
Much better(rated 8, 9, 10)
Same as 6 months ago(rated 3, 4, 5, 6, 7)
Much worse(rated 0, 1, 2)
Wave 3 (n=1,004) Don’t knowWave 2 (n=1,024)
Wave 1 (n=994)
Wave 4 (n=1,007)
NOTE: W4 question was reprogrammed and split into two questions and the format the scale was shown was modifiedBase: All respondentsQ3. Compared to 6 months ago, do you think the following factors are much better or much worse?
Investor Beat – Economy (cont.)
10
The majority of Albertans continue to say that cost of living, taxes and employment opportunities have remained the same versus 6 months ago.
Significantly higher than previous wave
Significantly lower than previous wave
6%
5%
6%
64%
69%
52%
27%
20%
40%
3%
6%
3%
4%
3%
2%
62%
70%
51%
32%
22%
44%
2%
5%
3%
4%
2%
3%
72%
78%
61%
21%
14%
32%
3%
6%
4%
3%
2%
2%
73%
76%
71%
20%
16%
21%
4%
6%
6%
Taxes
Cost of living
Employment/job opportunities
Much better(rated 8, 9, 10)
Same as 6 months ago(rated 3, 4, 5, 6, 7)
Much worse(rated 0, 1, 2)
Wave 3 (n=1,004) Don’t knowWave 2 (n=1,024)
Wave 1 (n=994)
Wave 4 (n=1,007)
-21%
-28%
-17%
-17%
-15%
-19%
-12%
-14%
-34%
-42%
-29%
-19%
NET score betweenMuch Better and
Much Worse
NOTE: W4 question was reprogrammed and split into two questions and the format the scale was shown was modifiedBase: All respondentsQ3. Compared to 6 months ago, do you think the following factors are much better or much worse?
Investor Beat – Saving and Investment Opportunities
11
Significantly more Albertans are mentioning that oil market prices and the stock market are same or better versus 6 months ago. All other saving/investment options measured have seen a significant decrease in the number of Albertans having negative perceptions about them.
Significantly higher than previous wave
Significantly lower than previous wave
8%
7%
6%
6%
5%
72%
70%
56%
64%
67%
10%
16%
34%
20%
14%
10%
7%
4%
10%
15%
5%
4%
3%
4%
2%
74%
70%
39%
61%
58%
13%
20%
54%
26%
26%
8%
6%
3%
9%
13%
5%
4%
3%
3%
2%
78%
76%
51%
69%
62%
9%
13%
41%
18%
21%
8%
7%
5%
10%
15%
4%
4%
2%
3%
2%
77%
76%
62%
71%
69%
7%
10%
30%
14%
11%
12%
10%
6%
12%
18%
Interest rates
Oil market prices
Natural gas market/prices
Stock market
-2%-8%-4%-3%
-9%-16%-9%-6%
-28%-51%-38%-28%
-14%-22%-15%-11%
-9%-24%-19%-9%
NET score betweenMuch Better and
Much Worse
Real estate market/prices
Much better(rated 8, 9, 10)
Same as 6 months ago(rated 3, 4, 5, 6, 7)
Much worse(rated 0, 1, 2)
Wave 3 (n=1,004) Don’t knowWave 2 (n=1,024)
Wave 1 (n=994)
Wave 4 (n=1,007)
NOTE: W4 question was reprogrammed and split into two questions for a shorter list of factors for respondents to go through in each questionBase: All respondentsQ3. Compared to 6 months ago, do you think the following factors are much better or much worse?
Client & Marketing ResearchUNDERSTAND I ANTICIPATE I ENABLE I ACCELERATE
Understanding Albertans DeeperSaving/investing and financial goals
Understanding Albertans Deeper – Savings/Investments Portfolio
13
Base: Wave 4 – Total answering; Wave 1-3 – All respondentsNOTE: Respondents were split in W4 where _half answered the Q8 tracking question in W4, and the other half answered the new Q8 options. Interpret with caution due to this change.Q8_original. What percentage of your savings and investments are in the following types of products?
Significantly higher than previous wave
Significantly lower than previous wave
There has been a significant drop in the number of Albertans with long term mutual funds/stocks/bonds this wave. However, the diversity of the savings/investment portfolio remained stable.
Albertans with investible assets under $100K, Millennials (18-34) and women continue to be significantly more likely to save/invest in cash products. Similar to last wave, long term mutual funds/stocks/bonds are more likely to be used by Albertans 35 or older and those with asset values of $100K.
Have ANY savings or investments
% of Albertans with this product
% of Albertan total savings/investments by
productDon’t have any savings or
investments
Wave 1(n=994)
Wave 2(n=1,024)
Wave 3(n=1,004)
Wave 4(n=495)
Wave 1(n=994)
Wave 2(n=1,024)
Wave 3(n=1,004)
Wave 4(n=495)
Wave 1(n=994)
Wave 2(n=1,024)
Wave 3(n=1,004)
Wave 4(n=495)
Wave 1(n=994)
Wave 2(n=1,024)
Wave 3(n=1,004)
Wave 4(n=495)
Cash
84% 83% 82% 80%
79% 78% 76% 76% 44% 45% 44% 48%
16% 17% 18% 20%
Long-term mutual funds/stocks/bonds 61% 61% 61% 53% 39% 34% 35% 31%
Real estate (excl. primary residence) 21% 26% 24% 25% 9% 11% 11% 11%
Alternatives 18% 21% 21% 23% 3% 4% 4% 5%
Other 17% 20% 20% 17% 6% 6% 7% 6%
Among Albertans who have savings and/or investments, the majority intend to maintain the same amount in the following products: cash, long term mutual funds/stocks/bonds and real estate. However, there is a higher number who are looking to decrease their “other” investment options this wave - those 55+ are more likely to be doing this versus the other age cohorts.
Same as the last wave, Millennials intend to increase their savings/investments in all of the investment products measured compared to the middle and older age sets.
Understanding Albertans Deeper
14
NOTE: Respondents were split in W4 where _half answered the Q9_original tracking question in W4, and the other half answered the new Q9 options. Interpret with caution due to this change.Base: Have any savings or investmentsQ9. In the next 3-6 months do you intend to increase, decrease or keep the same amount of savings and/or investments in each of the following products?
Significantly higher than previous wave
Significantly lower than previous wave
16%
9%
5%
6%
4%
78%
81%
81%
81%
81%
5%
9%
13%
12%
14%
17%
10%
5%
5%
4%
77%
84%
85%
86%
86%
6%
6%
9%
9%
10%
12%
7%
4%
3%
3%
83%
86%
86%
86%
87%
5%
7%
10%
11%
10%
15%
7%
3%
2%
3%
81%
87%
89%
89%
89%
4%
6%
8%
9%
8%
Cash
Long-term mutual funds/ stocks/bonds
Real estate (excl. your primary residence)
Alternatives
Other
Wave 3 (n=925)Wave 2 (n=851)Wave 1 (n=832)
Wave 4 (n=394)Intent to increase savings/investments (rated 8, 9, 10)
Keep the same amount of savings/investments (rated 3, 4, 5, 6, 7)
Intent to decrease savings/investments (rated 0, 1, 2)
Understanding Albertans Deeper
15
Base: Have any savings or investmentsQ13a. In the past 6 months, did the return from your savings and/or investments increase or decrease?
While significantly less Albertans are indicating a decrease in their savings/investments this wave, there appears to be someuncertainty on how the financial market performs, as a larger number of Albertans are indicating “don’t know” on the performance of their savings/investments.
Significantly more middle-aged (35-54 years) and older Albertans (55+) continue to indicate their returns have decreased (36% and 40%) versus the younger age group of 18-34 year olds (27%).
Significantly higher than previous wave
Significantly lower than previous wave
42%
34%
24%
38%
44%
19%
37%
43%
20%
49%
29%
22%
Increase
Decrease
Don't know
Wave 4 (n=773)Wave 3 (n=825)Wave 2 (n=851)Wave 1 (n=832)
Mean (incl. 0) Don’t know
Wave 4 (n=325) 11.2 26%
Wave 3 (n=310) 10.7 28%
Wave 2 (n=308) 10.5 30%
Wave 1 (n=406) 8.2 31%
Mean (incl. 0) Don’t know
Wave 4 (n=265) 13.2 26%
Wave 3 (n=361) 14.5 30%
Wave 2 (n=365) 13.3 26%
Wave 1 (n=241) 14.1 28%
Base: Savings and/or investments increased in the past 6 monthsQ13b. By approximately what percentage did the return from your savings and/or investments increase?Base: Savings and/or investments decreased in the past 6 monthsQ13c. By approximately what percentage did the return from your savings and/or investments decrease?
Albertans with $100K or more in
investible assets are more likely to
indicate gains in W4 versus those with less than $100K.
Albertans with less than $25K in
investible assets are more likely to state not knowing how
their savings/investments
performed in the P6M (41%).
Understanding Albertans Deeper
16
5%
33%
43%
19%
5%
32%
42%
21%
6%
28%
41%
24%
6%
31%
41%
22%
Base: Have any savings or investmentsQ10. Which of the following best describes your investment knowledge?Q11. How would you describe your risk tolerance when it comes to savings and investments?Q12. What is more important to you?
Self-reported investment knowledge has stayed the same for four waves, with the bulk of Albertans stating having good or fair knowledge in this area. Risk tolerance has also remained stable wave over wave.
Albertans are shifting their opinions slightly this wave to putting more emphasis on growing their money versus not losing their money. Males and those less than 55 years old are more likely to say growing their money is more important, whereas females and those 55+ years old are more likely to prioritize not losing their money.
Significantly higher than previous wave
Significantly lower than previous wave
Risk Tolerance Most ImportantInvestment Knowledge
Excellent
Good
Fair
Inexperienced
5%
21%
36%
21%
17%
5%
21%
37%
24%
14%
6%
19%
32%
24%
18%
6%
21%
33%
24%
16%
High
Medium-High
Medium
Medium-Low
Low
55%
45%
51%
49%
51%
49%
53%
47%
Growing your money
Not losing your money
Wave 3 (n=825)Wave 2 (n=851)Wave 1 (n=832)
Wave 4 (n=773)
For Albertans currently without savings or investments, there is a directional increase for those who state they will likely start to save or invest in the next 12 months. Over one-third would like to start within the year.
Understanding Albertans Deeper – No Savings or Investments
17
35%
65%
27%
73%
31%
69%
25%
75%
Top 5 Box Low 6 Box
Wave 4 (n=234) Wave 3 (n=179) Wave 2 (n=173) Wave 1 (n=162)
Base: Don’t have any savings or investmentsQ5. How likely are you to start saving and/or investing in the next 12 months? (0-10 pt scale)
Significantly higher than previous wave
Significantly lower than previous wave
Not having the extra funds (65%) for saving or investing and paying off debt (36%) continue to be the top reasons why Albertans without savings or investments will not likely start.
Reasons for Being Unlikely to Save/Invest
18
65%
36%
23%
14%
14%
12%
11%
68%
43%
25%
14%
16%
15%
12%
65%
33%
19%
10%
16%
11%
11%
62%
33%
17%
12%
11%
12%
18%
Don't have extra money to save/invest
Focus on paying off debt
Priorities are elsewhere right now and you'll think about it
later
Don't know what to save or invest in
Don't know where to start
Worried your money would be at risk
Returns are low
Base: Not likely to start saving and/or investing in the next 12 months Q6. Why are you not likely to start saving and/or investing in the next 12 months?
Significantly higher than previous wave
Significantly lower than previous wave
8%
8%
7%
3%
3%
0%
4%
10%
10%
9%
6%
2%
0%
8%
13%
11%
10%
5%
7%
3%
8%
7%
12%
8%
7%
2%
2%
7%
Don't have time
Fees are too high
Relying on the Canadian pension plan
Relying on a company pension plan
Have other types of investments (i.e. real estate,
property, etc.)
Retirement plan includes an expected inheritance
Other
Wave 4 (n=154)Wave 3 (n=130)Wave 2 (n=121)Wave 1 (n=121)
Understanding Albertans Deeper – Top 10 Personal Financial Goals
19
51%
44%
42%
40%
37%
46%
45%
44%
39%
39%
51%
38%
41%
36%
35%
49%
42%
40%
36%
38%
Saving for retirement
Paying down debt
Managing day-to-day finances
Building up an emergency fund
Saving for a vacation
Base: All respondentsQ14. Which of the following are financial goals for you personally?
Significantly higher than previous wave
Significantly lower than previous wave
Saving for retirement (51%) continues to be the top financial goal for Albertans, and also increased significantly this wave. This upswing is driven by Gen-Xers (62%) and Albertans with investible assets greater than $25K.
The remaining financial goals in the top 10 have stayed in the same rank order wave over wave.
35%
23%
22%
19%
19%
38%
25%
20%
21%
18%
32%
22%
19%
21%
18%
30%
22%
18%
20%
16%
Wave 4 (n=1,007)Wave 3 (n=1,004)Wave 2 (n=1,024)Wave 1 (n=994)
Reducing your spending
Saving money in case of an illness/death in your family
Saving for a house
Reducing the amount of tax you pay
Saving for your children's/ grandchildren's education
Understanding Albertans Deeper – Other Personal Financial Goals
20
19%
13%
14%
11%
9%
18%
15%
15%
9%
10%
17%
16%
12%
7%
9%
18%
14%
12%
8%
10%
Saving for a major purchase (e.g. car, TV,
boat, RV, etc.)
Making charitable donations
Saving for a house renovation
Saving for your education
Accumulating an estate
Base: All respondentsQ14. Which of the following are financial goals for you personally?
Significantly higher than previous wave
Significantly lower than previous wave
Additional financial goals outside the top 10 are unchanged wave over wave.
9%
8%
7%
6%
8%
10%
9%
8%
8%
9%
6%
7%
7%
6%
9%
7%
6%
6%
6%
11%
Wave 4 (n=1,007)Wave 3 (n=1,004)Wave 2 (n=1,024)Wave 1 (n=994)
Saving for a wedding/ honeymoon/baby
Starting or owning a business
Buying proper life insurance coverage
Saving for a second property
Nothing specific, justwant to grow my money
5%
10%
8%
7%
5%
48%
43%
42%
41%
34%
9%
7%
6%
6%
6%
47%
39%
47%
35%
35%
8%
4%
7%
9%
6%
50%
34%
45%
37%
28%
10%
11%
7%
11%
2%
50%
31%
45%
42%
35%
Understanding Albertans Deeper
21
Base: Financial goals selectedQ15. How do you feel about your progress in achieving your financial goals?
Albertans are prioritizing their retirement savings, as there is a reduction in the number who feel they are behind in this savings goals compared to last wave, All other savings relating financial goals have no major changes wave over wave.
Albertans with investible assets of over $100K feel better prepared with their retirement savings versus those who have under $100K in investible assets. In fact, six-in-ten Albertans with investible assets <$25K feel far behind on this goal.
Significantly higher than previous wave
Significantly lower than previous wave
Children’s/grandchildren’s education
Your education
Vacation
Retirement
Major purchase (e.g. car, TV)
Progress of Achieving Financial Goals – Savings Related
Savings for …35%
35%
39%
44%
39%
34%
43%
36%
52%
46%
34%
47%
37%
48%
50%
32%
38%
35%
40%
43%
Wave 4 (n=varies)Wave 3 (n=varies) Ahead (Net) On TrackBehind (Net)Wave 2 (n=varies)Wave 1 (n=varies)
5%
6%
7%
8%
5%
33%
35%
30%
37%
25%
6%
6%
5%
5%
5%
32%
30%
29%
22%
21%
5%
2%
7%
5%
4%
34%
34%
21%
19%
25%
1%
6%
8%
8%
7%
36%
34%
21%
18%
26%
Understanding Albertans Deeper
22
Base: Financial goals selected *indicates small sample size (<100)Q15. How do you feel about your progress in achieving your financial goals?
Consistent wave over wave, around half of Albertans continue to feel that they are behind on their financial goals relating to the home (house in general, renovations) and emergency money in case of illness/death in the family.
For the small group that own a second property, significantly less feel behind in achieving this financial goal.
Significantly higher than previous wave
Significantly lower than previous wave
Money in case of an illness/death in your family
House renovation
*Wedding/honeymoon/baby
*Second property
House
Progress of Achieving Financial Goals – Savings Related
Savings for …
Wave 4 (n=varies)Wave 3 (n=varies) Ahead (Net) On TrackBehind (Net)Wave 2 (n=varies)Wave 1 (n=varies)
46%
50%
39%
30%
48%
50%
48%
37%
48%
54%
53%
55%
46%
61%
48%
50%
47%
53%
51%
42%
13%
12%
13%
15%
11%
56%
35%
59%
48%
41%
12%
11%
10%
7%
6%
52%
23%
60%
38%
50%
10%
3%
9%
11%
8%
53%
25%
64%
46%
46%
8%
11%
10%
10%
5%
56%
23%
64%
45%
49%
Understanding Albertans Deeper
23
Base: Financial goals selected *indicates small sample size (<100)Q15. How do you feel about your progress in achieving your financial goals?
Similar to the last three waves, Albertans are the most comfortable with the progress (either ahead or on track) on managing their day-to-day finances.
There is also a significant decline in the proportion of Albertans who indicate that they are feeling behind in achieving their goal of purchasing life insurance coverage.
Significantly higher than previous wave
Significantly lower than previous wave
Making charitable donations
Buying proper life insurance coverage
Managing day-to-day finances
*Accumulating an estate
Reducing your spending
Progress of Achieving Financial Goals
26%
29%
26%
28%
45%
28%
47%
29%
47%
42%
31%
56%
26%
36%
42%
34%
43%
24%
34%
44%
Wave 4 (n=varies)Wave 3 (n=varies) Ahead (Net) On TrackBehind (Net)Wave 2 (n=varies)Wave 1 (n=varies)
8%
11%
13%
9%
48%
40%
29%
31%
6%
6%
6%
5%
49%
41%
25%
34%
7%
6%
6%
6%
51%
45%
29%
33%
7%
9%
14%
5%
44%
43%
28%
32%
Understanding Albertans Deeper (cont.)
24
Base: Financial goals selected *indicates small sample size (<100)Q15. How do you feel about your progress in achieving your financial goals?
Albertans appear to feel better about paying off their debts, as there are significant gains (albeit still a small proportion) in the number of Albertans who feel ahead on this. In addition, there is also a jump in those who feel ahead in their emergency fund development.
Significantly higher than previous wave
Significantly lower than previous wave
Reducing the amount of tax you pay
Paying down debt
*Starting or owning a business
Building up an emergency fund
Progress of Achieving Financial Goals (cont.)
37%
46%
37%
50%
39%
51%
48%
52%
39%
47%
38%
53%
41%
45%
42%
54%
Wave 4 (n=varies)Wave 3 (n=varies) Ahead (Net) On TrackBehind (Net)Wave 2 (n=varies)Wave 1 (n=varies)
Understanding Albertans Deeper
25
52%
41%
32%
28%
26%
15%
54%
42%
31%
28%
31%
13%
58%
43%
24%
27%
n/a
16%
56%
44%
22%
30%
n/a
17%
Cost of living
Unexpected expenses
Job loss/reduction
Low wages
Too much spending
Taking time to make it a priority
Base: Behind in achieving financial goalsQ16. You mentioned you are behind in at least one of your financial goals. What is preventing you from being on track?
Significantly higher than previous wave
Significantly lower than previous wave
Cost of living followed by unexpected expenses and job losses continue to be the main reasons Albertans indicated as being barriers in meeting their financial goals.
Spending is being curbed, as significantly less Albertans indicate this as a reason that prevents them from meeting financialgoals.
Reasons Falling Behind in Financial Goals
11%
6%
4%
6%
2%
18%
7%
7%
7%
1%
17%
8%
5%
10%
1%
16%
7%
7%
7%
3%
Wave 4 (n=639)Wave 3 (n=653)Wave 2 (n=627)Wave 1 (n=593)
Low returns
Need financial advice/expertise
Wrong savings/investment
product
Other
Don't know
Impact from Drop in Oil Prices
Impact of Drop in Oil Prices
27
Base: All respondentsQ21. Have you personally been impacted by the recent drop in oil prices?Base: Impacted by the recent drop in oil pricesQ22. In what ways have you personally been impacted by the recent drop in oil prices?
Significantly higher than previous wave
Significantly lower than previous wave
Almost half of Albertans (49%) say they have been personally impacted by the drop in oil prices. While not a significant jump in Wave 4, this represents the third wave of incremental gains, and up 7 points since the inception of this study.
Among those impacted by the oil price drops, job loss has increased significantly this wave (30% vs. 24%), while cost of living increases and slow down in business remain the top 2 factors. Gen-Xers and Millennials are more likely to be impacted by job loss than Boomers, while Boomers are seeing their investments and real estate decline in value more so than their counterparts.
49%
51%
48%
52%
45%
55%
42%
58%
Yes
No
Wave 4 (n=1,007)Wave 3 (n=1,004)Wave 2 (n=1,024)Wave 1 (n=994)
Personally Impacted Ways Impacted
Increased cost of living
Slow down in business
Job loss
Change in gas price at gas station
Decline in investment value
Can't find employment
Residents of Calgary (55%) and Edmonton (53%) claim to be significantly more impacted than other parts of
Alberta.35-54 year olds continue to feel the effects of the drop
in oil prices more so than those 55+.
41%
35%
30%
30%
26%
22%
45%
37%
24%
32%
28%
19%
43%
39%
19%
39%
27%
14%
n/a
42%
21%
n/a
n/a
n/a
Salary freeze
Salary reduction
Decline in real estate value
Reducing business expenses
Other
21%
20%
16%
9%
4%
20%
17%
21%
8%
5%
22%
19%
17%
12%
4%
20%
13%
n/a
11%
25%Wave 4 (n=487)Wave 3 (n=485)Wave 2 (n=467)Wave 1 (n=413)
Similar to the previous wave, reduced spending remains the main adjustment Albertans have made to their lifestyle due to the decrease in oil prices for those who have been impacted by the price drop. There has also been a significant lift in those who have changed their investments to a lower risk option in wave 4.
Ad Hoc Section – Impact of Drop in Oil Prices
28
68%
30%
27%
27%
20%
18%
14%
69%
27%
23%
31%
17%
18%
12%
61%
29%
23%
29%
18%
14%
13%
56%
26%
18%
27%
16%
17%
10%
Reduced your spending
Changed a vacation plan
Stopped some of your regular savings/investment contributions
Put off making a big purchase (i.e., a car, TV, boat, RV, etc.)
Put off a planned home renovation
Withdrew some of your long term savings/investments
Put off buying a new house
Base: Impacted by the recent drop in oil pricesQ23. As a result of the recent drop in oil prices, which of the following changes have you made?
Significantly higher than previous wave
Significantly lower than previous wave
Changes Made
13%
10%
9%
8%
4%
2%
10%
9%
8%
9%
8%
4%
4%
10%
10%
6%
8%
5%
1%
2%
17%
7%
5%
5%
3%
2%
4%
20%
Wave 4 (n=487)
Wave 3 (n=485)
Wave 2 (n=467)
Wave 1 (n=413)
Shifted your savings/investments to a more conservative/lower risk
selection
Planning to leave the province due to instability in the oil sector
Took out a new loan/started to use an existing line of credit
Downsized your home to reduce expenses
Remortgaged your home to reduce expenses
Other
None
Millennials are delaying a purchase of a new home or downsizing to cope with the oil price drop significantly more than the
other two age cohorts. In addition, a higher proportion indicate that they may leave Alberta due to the instability in the
oil industry (12%).
For Albertans not impacted by the oil price drop, six-in-ten have not done anything differently to their lifestyle. The biggest change made is reducing their spending for one-quarter of this group. In comparison, over two-thirds of those feeling the effects of the reduction in oil prices have done the same.
Ad Hoc Section – Impact of Drop in Oil Prices
29
68%
30%
27%
27%
20%
18%
14%
13%
10%
9%
8%
4%
2%
10%
Base: All Respondents Note: New in W4, question asked also among Albertans not impacted by drop in oil pricesQ23. As a result of the recent drop in oil prices, which of the following changes have you made?
Changes MadeImpacted by Drop in Oil Prices (n=487) Not Impacted by Drop in Oil Prices(n=520)
27%
9%
4%
7%
5%
3%
3%
4%
1%
2%
1%
1%
0%
60%
Reduced your spending
Changed a vacation plan
Stopped some of your regular savings/investment contributions
Put off making a big purchase (i.e., a car, TV, boat, RV, etc.)
Put off a planned home renovation
Withdrew some of your long term savings/investments
Put off buying a new house
Shifted your savings/investments to a more conservative/lower risk selection
Planning to leave the province due to instability in the oil sector
Took out a new loan/started to use an existing line of credit
Downsized your home to reduce expenses
Remortgaged your home to reduce expenses
Other
None
Ad-hoc SectionWho Are Albertans Using for Financial Help?
Ad Hoc Section: Past 12 Month Financial Advice Sources
31
Over three-in-ten Albertans have sought financial advice from a friend/family member or a financial advisor in the past year. The internet is also a key source for financial advice.
Millennials are using friends/family members as well as a personal financial management tool more so than the other two age cohorts.
Declining38%
33%
31%
23%
17%
15%
10%
9%
4%
4%
1%
30%
Friend/family member
Financial advisor/financial planner
Internet/websites
Banker
Personal financial management tool
Accountant
Books/magazines
Realtor
Lawyer
Other
None
Base: All respondents (n=1,007)AH1. Which of the following sources have you used in the past 12 months for financial advice?
Albertans with investible assets greater than $100K have used the services of a financial advisor in the
P12M significantly more than those with assets under this threshold.
Personal financial management tools are also used more often by Albertans in the highest investible
asset bracket of $500K+.Individuals with assets <$25K are more likely to ask for financial advice from friends or family members
versus those above $100K in assets.
25%
23%
14%
15%
14%
8%
8%
12%
8%
61%
51%
47%
43%
41%
39%
39%
37%
37%
Ad-Hoc Section: Relying on Financial Advice Sources More or Less
32
Base: Sources used for financial advice in P12M (n=varies) *indicates very small sample size (<50) – interpret with cautionAH2. In the past 12 months have you relied on the following sources for financial advice much more, somewhat more, about the same, somewhat less or much less than previous years?
At least four-in-ten Albertans are relying on their sources more for financial advice in the past year compared to the past.
*Lawyer
*Realtor
Internet/websites
Personal financial management tool
Books/magazines
Accountant
Banker
Friend/family member
Financial advisor/financial planner
Much more Somewhat more
3%
1%
3%
1%
1%
1%
3%
1%
3%
13%
6%
7%
6%
2%
6%
4%
3%
Much lessSomewhat less
Relied on Less in P12M Relied on More in P12M
Ad Hoc Section: Areas Desired for Further Financial Advice
33
Retirement planning and financial goal planning are the main subjects where Albertans would like to be more educated in. Managing day-to-day finances and how to save for short-term goals are also of interest.
18-34 year olds are generally interested in obtaining advice across most of the areas listed compared to their age counterparts.Of most interest are short-term saving strategies (36%) and how to manage day-to-day finances (29%). 35-54 year olds would like to gain advice on retirement planning more so than 18-34 year olds and those 55+.
Declining38%
Base: All respondents (n=1,007)AH4. In what areas would you like to get further financial advice? Please select all that apply.
30%
25%
19%
18%
16%
13%
12%
9%
6%
2%
34%
Planning for your retirement
Overall financial goal planning
Day-to-day managing finances
Short-term savings strategies (i.e., for a house, vacation, wedding, etc.)
Information on the tax implications of different saving/investment products
Setting up a debt management/ repayment plan
Education saving/payment strategies
Information on real estate investing
Information on different insurance products
Other
Don’t know
Albertans with investible assets less than $25K are most interested in advice on short-term saving strategies, day-to-day managing of finances and
setting up debt payment plans than their counterparts.
On the other hand those with $100K+ in investible assets are interested in learning more about tax
implications of different financial products.
31%
11%
58%
Yes currently
Yes in the past
No
Ad Hoc Section: Use of Financial Advisors
34
Among those who use financial advisor services, having a complicated financial situation and recommendations from the bank or friend/family member are the main reasons that they starting to use one.
For the majority who do not have a financial advisor, not having enough financial assets and the ability to do it themselves arewhat deters these Albertans from using one.
Base: All respondents (n=1,007)AH6. Do you have a dedicated financial advisor (i.e. Financial Advisor, Financial Planner, Investment Counsellor, Broker, etc.) who you use for your savings and/or investments?AH7. Why did you start working with a dedicated financial advisor?AH8. Why don’t you have a dedicated financial advisor?
Dedicated Financial Advisor? Reasons Started Working with Financial Advisor (n=308)
31%
30%
28%
16%
12%
My financial situation got more complicated
My bank suggested it
Friend/family member suggested it
Life event (i.e., married, child, divorce, etc.)
Other
Reasons for Not Having Dedicated Financial Advisor (n=699)
39%
28%
22%
16%
17%
16%
4%
8%
Don’t have enough financial assets
I can do it myself
Advisors charge too much
Don’t like to share my financial info
Don’t have time
Don’t trust advisors
Can’t find one
Other
Ad Hoc Section: Do Albertans Have Financial Plans?
35
For those who claim to have a financial plan, information on their retirement and investments are the main items in their plan.
AH9. Do you have a financial plan?Base: Have a financial plan (n=464)AH10. Is your financial plan in a written document that you can reference?AH11. Which of the following aspects of financial planning are part of your financial plan?AH12. Have you made changes to any of your financial plans in the past 12 months given the changes in the economy?
46%currently have a
financial plan
11% don’t knowBase: All wave 4 respondents (n=1,007)
Among those with a financial
plan,
47%have a written
document
Items in Financial Plan
52%
42%
24%
23%
19%
18%
16%
15%
4%
3%
Retirement Plan
Investment Plan
Debt Management Plan
Insurance Plan
Tax Plan
Education Savings Plan
Comprehensive Financial Plan (includes all or most of the
plans shown)
Estate Plan
None
Don’t know
43%have made
changes to their financial plans in
the past 12 months due to changes in the
economy
Four-in-ten Albertans agree that they are tracking their spending and saving. Boomers are most likely doing this, with 49% agreeing with this sentiment.
There is concern among one-quarter of Albertans on how to get through the difficult economic time, yet only one-in-five agree that they have a plan in place to help with this.
One-quarter of Albertans express disagreement on being happy with their current financial situation, which goes in hand with a large chunk (39%) not feeling like they have saved enough for retirement.
Ad Hoc Section: Agreement with Attitudinal Statements
36
Base: All respondents (n=1,007)AH5. How strongly do you agree or disagree with the following statements?
40%
26%
22%
17%
17%
45%
49%
55%
54%
41%
11%
20%
17%
25%
39%
3%
4%
5%
3%
5%
Agree (rated 8, 9, 10) Neutral (rated 3, 4, 5, 6, 7) Disagree (rated 0, 1, 2) Don't know
I track all my spending and saving
I worry about getting through this economic
time
I have a plan on how to get through this economic
time
I am happy with my current financial situation
I am saving/have saved enough for my retirement
Close to six-in-ten Albertans are neutral in agreement on whether then need financial advice at this moment. Although Albertans are not quite that interested in receiving advice, it is not because of perceiving financial advice to be
expensive nor not feeling comfortable about sharing their financial situation.
Ad Hoc Section: Agreement with Attitudinal Statements
37
Base: All respondents (n=1,007)AH5. How strongly do you agree or disagree with the following statements?
18%
16%
15%
57%
43%
43%
20%
32%
35%
5%
10%
6%
Agree (rated 8, 9, 10) Neutral (rated 3, 4, 5, 6, 7) Disagree (rated 0, 1, 2) Don't know
I could use some advice on my financial situation
I should get financial advice but it is too
expensive
I should get financial advice but I’m not
comfortable sharing my financial situation
Demographics
Demographics
39
Significantly higher than previous wave
Significantly lower than previous wave
Base: All respondentsD1. Please indicate your gender.D2. Which age range do you belong to?D3. In which area of Alberta do you live? D7. Which of the following best describes your total household income?
50% 50%
50% 50%
18 to 3432%33%33%33%
35 to 5438%38%38%38%
55+29%29%29%29%
Edmonton33%33%34%34%
Calgary36%36%36%36%
Other Alberta31%30%30%30%
Household Income
$30K or less 11% 10% 12% 14%
$30K to $50K 13% 15% 15% 12%
$50K to $80K 20% 20% 21% 18%
$80K to $100K 13% 14% 14% 12%
$100K to $150K 17% 16% 16% 17%
$150K to $250K 6% 9% 7% 6%
$250K or more 2% 2% 1% 3%
Prefer not to say 14% 11% 11% 15%
Don’t know 2% 2% 2% 2%50% 50%
Wave 2 (n=1,024)Wave 1 (n=994)
Wave 3 (n=1,004)Wave 4 (n=1,007)
50% 50%