assistant to the organizer sharon brewer werner...

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Conference Organizer Organisateur du congr` es .............................. Jean-Marie Dufour Assistant to the Organizer Assistante ` a l’organisation .................................... Sharon Brewer Information Technology Responsable de la technologie informatique .......... Werner Antweiler Local Arrangements Organisation locale ............. Ken McKenzie & Jean-Franc ¸ois Wen The organizer would like to thank the Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en ´ economie quantitative (CIREQ) for its out- standing technical and secretarial assistance in setting up the program of this conference. The organizer also thanks participants who contributed in the organizing of sessions, namely, Byron Lew (Department of Economics, Trent University), who has organized 3 ses- sions on Economic History; Tom Ross and Peter Townley (SFU-UBC Centre for the Study of Government and Business), who have organized 3 sessions on industrial organization and competition policy; and Lawrence Schembri (Bank of Canada, In- ternational Department), who has organ- nized 1 session. Finally, the organizer expresses his grati- tude to the colleagues who helped him to arrange the program: L’organisateur d´ esire remercier le Centre in- teruniversitaire de recherche en ´ economie quantitative (CIREQ) pour son aide tech- nique et s´ ecr´ etariale exceptionnelle dans la pr´ eparation de ce programme. L’organisateur remercie aussi les partici- pants qui ont contribu´ e` a l’organisation des eances, notamment: Byron Lew (Department of Economics, Trent University) qui a organis´ e 3 s´ eances sur l’histoire ´ economique; Tom Ross et Peter Townley (SFU-UBC Centre for the Study of Government and Business) qui ont organis´ e 3 s´ eances sur l’organisation industrielle et la comp´ etition; et Lawrence Schembri (Banque du Canada, Service international) qui a organis´ e une eance sur la macro´ economie. Enfin, l’organisateur d´ esire exprimer aussi sa gratitude aux coll` egues qui l’ont aid´ e` a composer le programme: Walter Bossert, Rui Castro, Denis Pelletier, Lars Ehlers, G´ erard Gaudet, Jennifer Hunt, William McAusland, Nour Meddahi, Benoˆ ıt Perron, Yves Sprumont, Pascale Val´ ery, Sharon Brewer & Francine Martel. CEA Conference 2002 / Congr` es de l’ACE 2002 1

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Conference OrganizerOrganisateur du congres . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Jean-Marie DufourAssistant to the OrganizerAssistante a l’organisation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Sharon BrewerInformation TechnologyResponsable de la technologie informatique . . . . . . . . . . Werner AntweilerLocal ArrangementsOrganisation locale . . . . . . . . . . . . . Ken McKenzie & Jean-Francois Wen

The organizer would like to thank theCentre interuniversitaire de recherche eneconomie quantitative (CIREQ) for its out-standing technical and secretarial assistancein setting up the program of this conference.

The organizer also thanks participants whocontributed in the organizing of sessions,namely,• Byron Lew (Department of Economics,Trent University), who has organized 3 ses-sions on Economic History;• Tom Ross and Peter Townley (SFU-UBCCentre for the Study of Government andBusiness), who have organized 3 sessionson industrial organization and competitionpolicy; and• Lawrence Schembri (Bank of Canada, In-ternational Department), who has organ-nized 1 session.

Finally, the organizer expresses his grati-tude to the colleagues who helped him toarrange the program:

L’organisateur desire remercier le Centre in-teruniversitaire de recherche en economiequantitative (CIREQ) pour son aide tech-nique et secretariale exceptionnelle dans lapreparation de ce programme.

L’organisateur remercie aussi les partici-pants qui ont contribue a l’organisation desseances, notamment:• Byron Lew (Department of Economics,Trent University) qui a organise 3 seancessur l’histoire economique;• Tom Ross et Peter Townley (SFU-UBCCentre for the Study of Government andBusiness) qui ont organise 3 seances surl’organisation industrielle et la competition;et• Lawrence Schembri (Banque du Canada,Service international) qui a organise uneseance sur la macroeconomie.

Enfin, l’organisateur desire exprimer aussisa gratitude aux collegues qui l’ont aide acomposer le programme:

Walter Bossert, Rui Castro, Denis Pelletier, Lars Ehlers, Gerard Gaudet, Jennifer Hunt,William McAusland, Nour Meddahi, Benoıt Perron, Yves Sprumont, Pascale Valery, SharonBrewer & Francine Martel.

CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002 1

ACRONYMS USED / ACRONYMES UTILISES:

CAES Canadian Agricultural Economics Society /Societe canadienne d’agroeconomie

CABE Canadian Association for Business Economics /Association canadienne des economistes de l’enterprise

CERF Canadian Employment Research Forum /Forum canadien de recherche sur la situation de l’emploi

CPEG Canadian Public Economic Study Group /Atelier canadien d’economie publique

CWEN Canadian Women Economists Network /Reseau des femmes economistes

CSLS Centre for the Study of Living Standards /Centre d’etudes sur les niveaux de vie

CEANA Chinese Economic Association in North America /Association economique chinoise d’Amerique du Nord

HRDC Human Resources Development Canada/Developpement des ressources humaines Canada

IRPP Institute for Research on Public Policy/Institut de recherche en politiques publiques

PEF Progressive Economics Forum /Forum d’economie progressiste

SRDC Social Research and Demonstration Corporation /Societe de recherche sociale appliquee

LOCATION ABBREVIATIONS / ABREVIATIONS DE LIEUX:

BR Blue Room, Dining Centre

FP Fairmont Palliser

MFH Murray Fraser Hall

SH Oak Room, Scurfield Hall

ST Science Theatres

SS Social Sciences

UC University Club

2 CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002

General DirectionsInstructions generales

CEA On-Site Registration / Inscriptions• Thursday / jeudi 07:30–12:00 MFH 164• Thursday / jeudi 15:00–18:00 BR• Friday / vendredi 07:30–15:30 ST• Saturday / samedi 08:00–15:30 ST

Book Displays / Expositions de livre• Friday / vendredi 09:00–17:00 ST• Satuday / samedi 09:00–17:00 ST• Sunday / dimanche 09:00–12:00 ST

Coffee Services / Service de cafe• Thu-Sat / jeudi-samedi 10:00–10:30, 15:00–15:30 ST• Sunday / dimanche 10:00–10:30 ST

Beverages/Patio/LunchBoissons/Patio/Dejeuner

The Den (MacEwan Hall Student Centre) has a capacity of300 and is open throughout the conference. Conference

delegates receive a 15% discount on food purchases.Le Den (MacEwan Hall Student Centre) peut recevoir 300personnes et restera ouvert pendant tout le congres. Les

participants beneficient d’un escompte de 15% sur la nourriture.

Food Court (MacEwan Hall Student Centre)

Numerous fast food outlets.Plusieurs comptoirs de restauration rapide.

Campus Security / Securite de campus

Phone / Telephone 220-5335

CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002 3

Special Events

Event Day & Time Location

CAES Executive Meeting Thu 08:30-10:00 SS 105

CEA Executive Council Meeting (I) Thu 15:00-18:00 SS 423

CERF Executive Meeting Thu 17:00-20:00 SH

Past Presidents’ Dinner Thu 18:30-22:00 FP Penthouse

CWEN Luncheon Fri 12:00-13:30 BR

Industry Canada Reception to Launch the ResearchVolume Productivity Issues in Canada (all conferenceparticipants invited)

Fri 12:00-13:30 BR

CAES Lunch: Department Chairs with Agricultureand Agrifood Canada

Fri 12:00-13:30 UC

PEF Annual General Meeting Fri 15:30-18:30 SH

Innis Lecture: Thomas Lemieux Fri 17:45-19:00 ST 140

Innis (Welcome) Reception Fri 19:00-22:00 BR

CAES Banquet & Awards Ceremony Fri 19:45-22:00 UC

CAES New Executive Meeting Sat 07:00-08:30 SS 105

CEA Nominating Committee Meeting Sat 09:00-10:30 SS 403

Purvis Luncheon: Guy Laroque Sat 12:00-13:30 BR

CEA Presidential Address: James MacKinnon Sat 17:45-19:00 ST 140

Presidential Reception Sat 19:00-22:00 BR

Canadian Public Policy Editorial Board Lunch Sun 12:00-13:30 SS 549

Canadian Journal of Economics Editorial Board Lunch Sun 12:00-13:30 SS 423

CEA Annual General Meeting Sun 13:30-14:30 SS 423

CEA Executive Council Meeting (II) Sun 14:30-15:30 SS 423

4 CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002

Evenements speciaux

Evenement Jour et heure Salle

Assemblee executive de la CAES Jeu 08:30-10:00 SS 105

Conseil executif de l’ACE (I) Jeu 15:00-18:00 SS 423

Assemblee executive du CERF Jeu 17:00-20:00 SH

Dıner des anciens presidents de l’ACE Jeu 18:30-22:00 FP Penthouse

Dıner-causerie du CWEN Ven 12:00-13:30 BR

Reception d’Industrie Canada pour le lancement del’ouvrage Les enjeux de la productivite au Canada (in-vitation a tous)

Ven 12:00-13:30 BR

Lunch de la CAES: directeurs de departements avecAgriculture et Agroalimentaire Canada

Ven 12:00-13:30 UC

Assemblee generale annuelle du PEF Ven 15:30-18:30 SH

Conference Innis: Thomas Lemieux Ven 17:45-19:00 ST 140

Reception (Bienvenue) Innis Ven 19:00-22:00 BR

Banquet et ceremonie de remise des prix de la CAES Ven 19:45-22:00 UC

Assemblee des nouveaux dirigeants de la CAES Sam 07:00-08:30 SS 105

Comite de nomination de l’ACE Sam 09:00-10:30 SS 403

Dıner-conference Purvis: Guy Laroque Sam 12:00-13:30 BR

Discours du president de l’ACE: James MacKinnon Sam 17:45-19:00 ST 140

Reception du president Sam 19:00-22:00 BR

Lunch du comite de redaction de la revue Analyse dePolitiques

Dim 12:00-13:30 SS 549

Lunch du comite de redaction de la Revue canadienned’economique

Dim 12:00-13:30 SS 423

Assemblee generale annuelle de l’ACE Dim 13:30-14:30 SS 423

Conseil executif de l’ACE (II) Dim 14:30-15:30 SS 423

CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002 5

Program OverviewVue d’ensemble du programme

Thursday/jeudi — 08:30-10:00

MFH 164 CERF - Session I / CERF - Seance I

Thursday/jeudi — 10:30-12:00

MFH 164 CERF - Session II / CERF - Seance II

Thursday/jeudi — 13:30-15:00

MFH 164 CERF - Session III / CERF - Seance III

ST 140 CAES Presidential Address / Allocution du president de la CAES

Thursday/jeudi — 15:30-17:00

MFH 164 CERF - Session IV / CERF - Seance IV

ST 129 CAES Session - The Impact of Exchange Rate on Canadian Agricultural Trade/ Seance de la CAES - L’impact du taux de change sur le commerce agricolecanadien

ST 130 CAES Session (P1) - New Directions for Canadian Agricultural Policy / Seancede la CAES (P1) - Nouvelles directions pour la politique agricole canadienne

ST 131 CAES Session - The Impact of Environmental Regulations on Farming and Fish-ing / Seance de la CAES - L’impact des reglementations environnementales surl’agriculture et la peche

6 CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002

Friday/vendredi — 08:30-10:00

MFH 164 CERF - Session V / CERF - Seance V

SS 10 Natural Resource Management I / Gestion des ressources naturelles I

SS 113 Licensing / Licences

SS 117 History of Economic Thought and Teaching of Economics / Histoire de lapensee economique et enseignement des sciences economiques

ST 61 Topics in Theoretical Macroeconomics / Sujets de macroeconomie theorique

ST 125 Progressive Economics Forum I - The Future of Industrial Policy / Forumd’economie progressiste I - Le futur de la politique industrielle

ST 127 CAES Session (P2) - Economics of Farm Support and Canada’s Safety Net Pro-grams / Seance de la CAES (P2) - Economie de l’aide a l’agriculture et pro-grammes de filet de securite au Canada

ST 128 CAES Session - Modeling Agricultural Trade / Seance de la CAES - Modeliserle commerce agricole

ST 129 CAES Session - Food Demand Analysis / Seance de la CAES - Analyse de lademande de nourriture

ST 131 Labor Market Issues in Macroeconomics / Problemes de marche du travail enmacroeconomie

ST 133 Quality of Schooling and Training / Qualite de l’education et de la formation

ST 141 Trade Policies / Politiques de commerce exterieur

ST 145 Poverty and Determinants of Migration / Pauvrete et determinants del’emigration

ST 147 Econometric Theory I / Theorie econometrique I

CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002 7

Friday/vendredi — 10:30-12:00

MFH 164 CERF - Session VI / CERF - Seance VI

SS 10 Financial Markets and Crises / Marches financiers et crises

SS 12 SRDC Session I - New Evidence on Work and EI Use Patterns / Seance I de laSRSA - Nouvelles perspectives concernant la participation au marche du travailet le recours a l’assurance-emploi

ST 125 Progressive Economics Forum II - The Political Economy of Effective Demandand Trade / Forum d’economie progressiste II - L’economie politique de la de-mande effective et du commerce

ST 127 CAES Session (P3) - Evolution of Cooperatives / Seance de la CAES (P3) -L’evolution des cooperatives

ST 128 CAES Session - Assessing Efficiency in Primary Agricultural Production /Seance de la CAES - Evaluation de l’efficacite de la production agricole primaire

ST 129 CAES Session - Valuing Agricultural and Forest Product Attributes / Seance dela CAES - Valoriser les caracteristiques des produits agricoles et forestiers

ST 130 Openness and Growth / Ouverture et croissance

ST 131 Economic History I / Histoire economique I

ST 133 Trade and Financial Liberalization / Liberalisation commerciale et financiere

ST 140 State of the Art Lecture I / Etat des connaissances I: Arthur Robson

ST 141 Economic Integration / Integration economique

ST 145 Trade and Fiscal Policy / Politique commerciale et fiscale

ST 147 Panel Data and Microeconometrics / Donnees de panel et microeconometrie

8 CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002

Friday/vendredi — 13:30-15:00

MFH 164 Open Economy Macroeconomics / Macroeconomie internationale

SS 10 Exchange Rates I / Taux de change I

SS 109 Industrial Organization I / Organisation industrielle I

SS 113 Innovation and Technology / Innovation et technologie

ST 61 Saving and Credit / Epargne et credit

ST 125 Progressive Economis Forum IV - Economic Democracy and Popular Participa-tion / Forum d’economie progressiste IV - Economie de la democratie et de laparticipation populaire

ST 127 CAES Session (P4) - Challenges Facing the Functional Foods and NutraceuticalsIndustry / Seance de la CAES (P4) - Defis de l’industrie des aliments fonction-nels et des nutraceutiques

ST 128 CAES Session - Emerging Issues in Canadian Agri-food Markets / Seance de laCAES - Problemes nouveaux sur les marches agroalimentaires canadiens

ST 129 CAES Session - Agricultural Trade Issues: Inter-regional Trade, Predatory Pric-ing, and Competitiveness / Seance de la CAES - Problemes de commerce agri-cole: commerce interregional, fixation de prix abusifs et competitivite

ST 130 Transition Economics / Economie des transitions

ST 131 SRDC Session II - The Self-Sufficiency Project: Final Results for Welfare Recip-ients / Seance II de la SRSA - Le projet d’autosuffisance: resultats finaux pourles beneficiaires de l’aide sociale

ST 133 Job Satisfaction and Innovation / Satisfaction professionnelle et innovation

ST 135 Corporate Finance / Financement des entreprises

ST 141 Tests of Asset Pricing Models / Tests des modeles d’evaluation d’actifs fi-nanciers

ST 145 Human Behavior Economics / Economie du comportement humain

ST 147 Econometric Theory II / Theorie econometrique II

CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002 9

Friday/vendredi — 15:30-17:00

SH PEF Annual Business Meeting and Steering Committee Elections, Wine andCheese Social, Everyone Welcome! / Assemblee annuelle du PEF et electionsdes membres du comite directeur, vin et fromage, invitation a tous!

SS 10 Exchange Rates II / Taux de change II

SS 12 Public Goods / Biens publics

SS 105 Productivity I / Productivite I

SS 109 Industrial Organization II / Organisation industrielle II

SS 113 Selection / Selection

ST 61 Growth and Monetary Policy / Croissance et politique monetaire

ST 125 Health Economics I / Economie de la sante I

ST 129 Contemporary Trade Issues / Problemes de commerce contemporains

ST 130 CSLS Session I - Evaluating the National Child Benefits Program / Seance I duCSLS - Evaluer le programme Prestation nationale pour enfants

ST 133 Determinants of Workers’ Productivity in the Firm / Determinants de la pro-ductivite des travailleurs dans une firme

ST 135 Macroeconomic Dynamics / Dynamique macroeconomique

ST 140 Business Cycle Empirics / Analyse empirique du cycle economique

ST 145 Value of Human Capital / Valeur du capital humain

ST 147 Econometric Theory III / Theorie econometrique III

10 CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002

Saturday/samedi — 08:30-10:00

MFH 160 CPEG - Session I / CPEG - Seance I

SS 10 Environmental Economics I / Economie de l’environnement I

SS 12 Canadian Exchange Rate Policy / Politique canadienne du taux de change

SS 105 Measurement of Well-Being / Mesure du bien-etre

SS 113 Health Economics II / Economie de la sante II

ST 63 CAES Session - Risk and Risk Management in Agriculture / Seance de la CAES- Risque et gestion du risque dans l’agriculture

ST 125 CAES Session - Policy Issues in Agriculture / Seance de la CAES - Problemes depolitique en agriculture

ST 127 C.D. Howe Institute Session I - Taxes, Transfers and Saving over the Life Cyclein Canada / Seance I de l’Institut C.D. Howe - Taxes, transferts et epargne aucours du cycle de vie au Canada

ST 128 CAES Session - Genetically Modified Foods: Consumer Responses and RelatedIssues / Seance de la CAES - Aliments genetiquement modifies: reponses desconsommateurs et sujets relies

ST 129 CAES Session - Rural Development Issues in Mozambique, China, and Canada/ Seance de la CAES - Problemes de developpement rural au Mozambique, enChine et au Canada

ST 130 Economic History II - Economic Growth: Approaches and Reinterpretations /Histoire economique II - Croissance economique: approches et reinterpretations

ST 131 SFU-UBC Centre for the Study of Government and Business I

ST 133 Immigrant Assimilation in Canada / Assimilation des immigrants au Canada

ST 135 Open Economy Models and Monetary Policy / Modeles d’economie interna-tionale et politique monetaire

CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002 11

Saturday/samedi — 10:30-12:00

MFH 160 CPEG - Session II / CPEG - Seance II

SS 10 Chinese Economic Association in North America (CEANA) Session / Seance del’Association economique chinoise d’Amerique du Nord (CEANA)

SS 12 SRDC Session III - New Evidence on Work and EI Use Patterns / Seance III de laSRSA - Nouvelles perspectives concernant la participation au marche du travailet le recours a l’assurance-emploi

SS 105 Technology Adoption / Adoption de la technologie

SS 109 Urban and Regional Economics / Economie urbaine et regionale

ST 61 Monetary Policy I / Politique monetaire I

ST 63 CAES Session - Production Economics: Adoption of Technology, Energy UseEfficiency, and Riparian Grazing Management / Seance de la CAES - Economiede la production: adoption de technologie, efficacite energetique et gestion depaturage riverain

ST 125 CAES Session - Sustainability, Social Discount Rate, Food Stamp Program, andEfficiency of Non-Market Institution / Seance de la CAES - Viabilite, tauxd’escompte sociale, programme de timbres alimentaires et efficience

ST 127 C.D. Howe Institute Session II - Taxes, Transfers and Saving over the Life Cyclein Canada / Seance II de l’Institut C.D. Howe: Taxes, transferts et epargne aucours du cycle de vie au Canada

ST 128 CAES Session - Policy and Management Issues on Water and Forestry / Seancede la CAES - Politique et gestion de l’eau et de la foret

ST 129 CAES Session - Organization and Strategic Issues in Agricultural Markets /Seance de la CAES - Problemes d’organisation et de strategie sur les marchesagricoles

ST 130 Economic History III - The Fundamental Role of Economic Institutions / His-toire economique III - Le role fondamental des institutions economiques

ST 131 SFU-UBC Centre for the Study of Government and Business II

ST 133 Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables / Prevision de variables macroeconomiques

ST 135 State of the Art Lecture II / Etat des connaissances II: Rene Garcia

ST 141 Developing Economies / Economie en developpement

ST 145 Evolution of Employment in Canada and the United States / Evolution del’emploi au Canada et aux Etats-Unis

12 CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002

Saturday/samedi — 13:30-15:00

MFH 160 CPEG - Session III / CPEG Seance III

SS 10 Economics of the Financial Sector / Economie du secteur financier

SS 12 Tax Competition and Regions / Concurrence fiscale et regions

SS 109 Transportation Economics / Economie des transports

SS 113 Game Theory / Theorie des jeux

SS 117 Energy and Agriculture / Energie et agriculture

ST 63 Health Economics III / Economie de la sante III

ST 125 Progressive Economics Forum III - Panel Discussion: Should Canada and ItsNAFTA Partners Engage in Greater Monetary Integration? / Forum d’economieprogressiste III - Table ronde: Est-ce que le Canada et ses partenaires dansl’ALENA devraient s’engager dans une plus grande integration monetaire

ST 128 Human Capital and Growth / Capital humain et croissance

ST 130 Economic History IV - Canada, the U.S., Open Borders: Impact on Some In-vestment Choices / Histoire economique IV - Canada, Etats-Unis, frontieres ou-vertes: impact sur certains choix d’investissement

ST 131 SFU-UBC Centre for the Study of Government and Business III - A Panel Sessionon Efficiencies in Mergers Under the Competition Act / Table ronde sur leseconomies dans les fusions en vertu de la loi sur la concurrence

ST 133 Violent Crimes / Crimes violents

ST 135 State of the Art Lecture III / Etat des connaissances III: Martin Eichenbaum

ST 141 Labor Markets and International Trade / Marche du travail et commerce inter-national

CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002 13

Saturday/samedi — 15:30-17:00

MFH 160 CPEG - Session IV / CPEG - Seance IV

SS 10 Environmental Economics II / Economie de l’environnement II

SS 12 Public Choice and Policy / Choix public et regle

SS 105 Microeconomic Theory / Theorie microeconomique

SS 109 Market Microstructure / Microstructure de marche

SS 113 Productivity III / Productivite III

ST 61 Monetary Policy II / Politique monetaire II

ST 63 Health Economics IV / Economie de la sante IV

ST 125 Progressive Economics Forum V - The “Alberta Advantage”: Digging Deeper /Forum d’economie progressiste V - “L’avantage de l’Alberta”: en profondeur

ST 127 Economic Growth / Croissance economique

ST 129 Fiscal Policy I / Politique fiscale I

ST 130 CSLS Session II - Trends in Economic Well-being / Seance II du CSLS - Ten-dances du bien-etre economique

ST 131 Phillips Curves and Monetary Policy / Courbes de Phillips et politiquemonetaire

ST 133 Choice of Education Level / Choix du niveau d’education

ST 140 NAFTA / ALENA

ST 141 Investment and Finance / Investissement et finance

ST 145 Wage Inequality in the United States / Inegalites salariales aux Etats-Unis

ST 147 Microeconometrics / Microeconometrie

14 CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002

Sunday/dimanche — 08:30-10:00

MFH 160 CPEG - Session V / CPEG - Seance V

SS 10 Natural Resource Management II / Gestion des ressources naturelles II

SS 12 Cost-Benefit Analysis in Health Economics / Analyse cout-benefice eneconomie de la sante

SS 105 Families and Poverty / Familles et pauvrete

SS 109 Productivity and Multi-Market Contact / Productivite et contact multi-marche

ST 61 International Perspectives on Empirical Macro Issues / Perspectives interna-tionales sur des problemes de macroeconomie empirique

ST 127 Openness and Efficiency / Degre d’ouverture et efficacite

ST 128 Financial Markets and Growth / Marches financiers et croissance

ST 129 Topics in Empirical and Applied Macroeconomics / Sujets en macroeconomieempirique et appliquee

ST 130 CSLS-IRPP Session III - Linkages Between Productivity and Social Progress /Seance III du CSLS-IRPP - Liens entre productivite et progres social

ST 133 Unemployment and Job Stability / Chomage et stabilite de l’emploi

ST 141 Empirical Models of Exchange Rates / Modeles empiriques des taux de change

ST 145 Human Capital and Earnings / Capital humain et salaires

ST 147 International Trade and Investment / Commerce international et investissement

CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002 15

Sunday/dimanche — 10:30-12:00

MFH 160 CPEG - Session VI / CPEG - Seance VI

SS 12 Public Economics / Economie publique

SS 105 Income Distribution / Distribution des revenus

SS 113 Industrial Organization III / Organisation industrielle III

ST 127 Productivity and R&D in Canada / Productivite et R&D au Canada

ST 129 Fiscal Policy II / Politique fiscale II

ST 131 Aging / Vieillissement

ST 133 Matching Markets and Job Flows / Appariement des marches et flux d’emplois

ST 145 Technical Change at the Workplace / Changement technique sur les lieux detravail

ST 147 Investments, Foreign Direct Investment in Open Economics / Investissements,investissements etrangers directs en economie ouverte

Sunday/dimanche — 13:30-15:00

MFH 160 CPEG - Session VII / CPEG - Seance VII

Sunday/dimanche — 15:30-17:00

MFH 160 CPEG - Session VIII / CPEG - Seance VIII

16 CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002

THURSDAY/JEUDI

Thursday/jeudi

08:30-10:00 MFH 164CERF - Session I / CERF - Seance I

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Garnett Picot (StatisticsCanada)

The Effects of Business Cycles on the LaborMarket Assimilation of Immigrants

Abdurrahman Aydemir (StatisticsCanada)

The Earnings Assimiliation of Immigrants andthe Native-born in Canada: An Investigation ofthe Importance of Labour Market Entry Cohortand Labour Market Conditions

David Green (University of BritishColumbia); Christopher Worswick(Carleton University)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: CharlesBeach (Queen’s University); DeborahA. Cobb-Clark (Australian NationalUniversity)

08:30-12:00 SS 105CAES Executive Meeting / Assembleeexecutive de la CAES

10:30-12:00 MFH 164CERF - Session II / CERF - Seance II

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Christopher Worswick(Carleton University)

Are Immigrants’ Human Capital Skills Dis-counted in Canada?

Ross Finnie (Queen’s University);Ronald Meng (University of Windsor)

Training Activity by Adult Immigrants inCanada

Wayne Simpson (University of Mani-toba)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: DavidGreen (University of BritishColumbia); Rene Morissette (StatisticsCanada)

13:15-13:30 ST 140CAES Welcome Address / Adresse debienvenue: Jean-Marie Dufour, PresidentCEA & Murray Fulton, President CAES

13:30-15:00 MFH 164CERF - Session III / CERF - Seance III

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: David Green (Universityof British Columbia)

Longitudinal Analysis of Immigrant Occupa-tional Mobility

Barry R. Chiswick (University ofIllinois at Chicago); Yew Liang Lee(University of Western Australia);Paul W. Miller (University of WesternAustralia)

The Incidence and Success of Self-EmployedImmigrants in Canada

CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002 17

THURSDAY/JEUDI

Marc Frenette (Statistics Canada)DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Ana Ferrer

(University of British Columbia);Christopher Worswick (CarletonUniversity)

13:30-14:15 ST 140CAES Presidential Address / Allocutiondu president de la CAES

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Murray Fulton (Univer-sity of Saskatchewan)

Adoption and Diffusion of New Technology inAgriculture - Genetically Modified Corn andSoybeans

Mike Trant (Statistics Canada)

14:15-15:00 ST 140CAES Fellow’s Address / Allocution duFellow de la CAES

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Murray Fulton (Univer-sity of Saskatchewan)

Report Card on Prairie AgricultureGeorge Brinkman (University ofGuelph)

15:00-16:00 SS 423CEA Executive Council Meeting I / Conseilexecutif de l’ACE I

15:30-17:00 MFH 164CERF - Session IV / CERF - Seance IV

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Louis Grignon (HumanResources Development Canada)

Immigration, Assimilation and Inequality ofIncome Distribution in Canada

David Gray (University of Ottawa);Jeffrey Mills (University of Cincinnati);Sourushe Zandvakili (University ofCincinnati)

Immigrant Women and the Canadian LabourMarket

Jean Kunz (HRDC); Eden Thompson(HRDC)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Abdurrah-man Aydemir (Statistics Canada);Mary Grant (Citizenship and Immi-gration Canada)

15:30-17:00 ST 129CAES Session - The Impact of ExchangeRate on Canadian Agricultural Trade /Seance de la CAES - L’impact du taux dechange sur le commerce agricole canadien

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Frederic Lessard (Fish-eries and Oceans Canada)

The Impact of Exchange Rate Uncertainty onCanadian Agricultural Exports

M. Mbaga (Universite laval)Does Exchange Rate Matter to Bilateral Tradeof Agricultural Goods Between the U.S. andCanada?

M. Kim (North Dakota State Uni-versity); G. Cho (North Dakota StateUniversity); W. Koo (North DakotaState University)

Short-run Shocks of Prices and Exchange Rateon Live Cattle Trade Flows Between US-Canada

18 CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002

THURSDAY/JEUDI

M. Mahbobi (University ofSaskatchewan)

Estimated Effects of Anti-Dumping Duties onCanadian Live Cattle Exports to the US

M. Mahbobi (University ofSaskatchewan); J. Rude (Univer-sity of Saskatchewan); Hartley Furtan(University of Saskatchewan)

15:30-17:00 ST 130CAES Session (P1) - New Directions forCanadian Agricultural Policy / Seance dela CAES (P1) - Nouvelles directions pourla politique agricole canadienne

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Cam Short (Agricul-ture and Agri-Food Canada (PolicyBranch))

The Federal-Provincial-Territorial WhitehorseAgreement and the Agricultural Policy Frame-work

Brian Paddock (Agriculture andAgri-food Canada)

Implications of the DOHA Declaration forCanadian Agricultural Policy

Karl Meilke (University of Guelph);James Rude (University of Manitoba)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: W. Kerr(University of Saskatchewan); GeorgeMcCaw (Ontario Ministry of Agricul-ture)

15:30-17:00 ST 131CAES Session - The Impact of Envi-ronmental Regulations on Farming andFishing / Seance de la CAES - L’impact desreglementations environnementales surl’agriculture et la peche

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: T. Veeman (University ofAlberta)

Environmental Policy Effects on Swine FarmsA. Weersink (University of Guelph);G. deVos (University of Guelph); P.Stonehouse (University of Guelph)

The Impact of Environmental Regulation onFarm Structure: The Case of the Taiwanese HogIndustry

F. Haggui (University ofSaskatchewan); R. Gray (University ofSaskatchewan)

Managing Domestic Emission Permit Trading:Lessons from Canada’s Supply ManagementQuota System

Rick Barichello (University of BritishColumbia)

Regulating Recreational Fishing in North-ern Alberta: Effects on Anglers and WalleyePopulations

J. Jabs (University of Alberta); V.Adamowicz (University of Alberta)

17:00-20:00 SHCERF Executive Meeting and Reception /Assemblee executive et reception du CERF

18:30-21:30 FP PenthouseCEA Past Presidents’ Dinner / Dıner desanciens presidents de l’ACE

CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002 19

FRIDAY/VENDREDI

Friday/vendredi

08:30-10:00 MFH 164CERF - Session V / CERF - Seance V

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Christopher Worswick(Carleton University)

Immigration and Low-income Trends in Canada,1980 to 1995

Feng Hou (Statistics Canada); GarnettPicot (Statistics Canada); John Myles(University of Toronto)

The Earnings Performance of Immigrants inSelected Canadian Cities: Circa 1991-1996

Samuel Laryea (HRDC)DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Craig

Dougherty (CIC); David Green (Uni-versity of British Columbia)

08:30-10:00 SS 10Natural Resource Management I / Gestiondes ressources naturelles I

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Joseph Doucet (Univer-sity of Alberta)

Preservation des especes et valeur de la biodiver-site : une approche d’options reelles

Ilhem Kassar (Universite du Quebec aMontreal); Pierre Lasserre (Universitedu Quebec a Montreal)

Risk Analysis and Management for ClimateChange

Philippe Crabbe (University of Ot-tawa)

Human Activities and Global Warming: ACointegration Analysis

Hui Liu (University of Ottawa);Gabriel Rodriguez (University ofOttawa)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: DenisPelletier (Universite de Montreal);Jean-Daniel Saphores (University ofCalifornia Irvine); Stephane Vigeant(University of Alberta)

08:30-10:00 SS 113Licensing / Licences

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Bernard Sinclair-Desgagne (Ecole des Hautes EtudesCommerciales)

Technology Licensing to a Rival: Not Such aCrazy Idea

Caroline Boivin (Universite de Sher-brooke); Corinne Langinier (IowaState University)

Licensing a New Product with Non-linearContracts

Can Erutku (Competition Bureau);Yves Richelle (Cirano)

General Licensing Schemes for a Cost-reducingInnovation

Debapriya Sen (State University ofNew York at Stony Brook); Yair Tau-man (State University of New York atStony)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: CarolineBoivin (Universite de Sherbrooke);Can Erutku (Competition Bureau);Debapriya Sen (State University ofNew York at Stony Brook)

20 CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002

FRIDAY/VENDREDI

08:30-10:00 SS 117History of Economic Thought and Teach-ing of Economics / Histoire de la penseeeconomique et enseignement des scienceseconomiques

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Jean-Guy Loranger(Universite de Montreal)

A Modest Proposal for Institutional EconomicsKenneth Avio (University of Victoria)

Prices, Property and Past LabourPeter Dooley (University ofSaskatchewan)

Production Theory and the Theory of the Firm,without Humbug

Larry Levine (University of NewBrunswick)

What Does Business Want from EconomicsMichael Burns (University of SouthAustralia)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: KennethAvio (University of Victoria); MichaelBurns (University of South Aus-tralia); Peter Dooley (University ofSaskatchewan); Larry Levine (Univer-sity of New Brunswick)

08:30-10:00 ST 61Topics in Theoretical Macroeconomics /Sujets de macroeconomie theorique

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Martin Berka (Universityof British Columbia)

Technology Diffusion and Business CycleAsymmetry

Toshiya Ishikawa (Kyushu KyoritsuUniversity)

On the Irrelevance of Money in the UtilityFunction

Eric Kam (Ryerson University); PaulMissios (Ryerson University)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: ToshiyaIshikawa (Kyushu Kyoritsu Univer-sity); Eric Kam (Ryerson University)

08:30-10:00 ST 63Innovation: Quality, Stock Prices, andPatent Infringement / Innovation: qualite,prix des actions et non-respect des brevets

ORGANIZER/ORGANISATEUR: MohammedRafiquzzaman (Industry Canada)

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Someshwar Rao (Indus-try Canada)

Preliminary Injunction in Patent InfrigementCases

Aidan Hollis (University of Calgary);John R. Boyce (University of Calgary)

Contribution of Innovation to Stock Prices ofTechnology Firms

Bohumir Pazderka (Queen’s Uni-versity); Lewis D. Johnson (Queen’sUniversity)

Is Canada STILL Missing the Technology Boat?Evidence Based on the Quality and Quantity ofInnovations

Mohammed Rafiquzzaman (IndustryCanada); Arif Mahmud (IndustryCanada)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Ajay K.Agrawal (Queen’s University); GamalAtallah (University of Ottawa); ZhiqiChen (Carleton University)

CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002 21

FRIDAY/VENDREDI

08:30-10:00 ST 125Progressive Economics Forum I - TheFuture of Industrial Policy / Forumd’economie progressiste I - Le futur de lapolitique industrielle

ORGANIZER/ORGANISATEUR: Marc Lee(Canadian Centre for Policy Alterna-tives - BC)

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Fletcher Baragar (Uni-versity of Manitoba)

Industrial Policy vs. Corporate Welfare:Canadian Lessons

Marc Lee (Canadian Centre for PolicyAlternatives - BC)

Industrial Policy and Free Trade Commitments:How Much Can We Do?

Jim Stanford (Canadian Auto Work-ers)

The Implications of Endogenous TechnicalChange for Canada’s Technology Policies

Richard Lipsey (Simon Fraser Univer-sity)

DISCUSSANT/COMMENTATEUR: BrianMacLean (Laurentian University)

08:30-10:00 ST 127CAES Session (P2) - Economics of FarmSupport and Canada’s Safety Net Pro-grams / Seance de la CAES (P2) - Economiede l’aide a l’agriculture et programmes defilet de securite au Canada

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Larry Martin (GeorgeMorris Centre)

Performance of Current Canadian Safety NetsPrograms

Greg Strain (Agriculture and Agri-food Canada); Gordon Andrusiak(Agriculture and Agri-food Canada)

Alternative Policy Instruments for AgricultureSuport: Consequences for Farm Incomes, Tradeand Other Policy Objectives

Cam Short (Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (Policy Branch)); JoeDewbre (OECD)

The Future of Canadian Safety NetsTom Richardson (Agriculture andAgri-food Canada)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: DavidFreshwater (Universite Laval); AlLyons (University of Manitoba)

08:30-10:00 ST 128CAES Session - Modeling AgriculturalTrade / Seance de la CAES - Modeliser lecommerce agricole

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: James Rude (Universityof Manitoba)

Welfare-maximizing and Revenue-maximizingTariffs with a Few Domestic Firms

B. Larue (Universite laval); J. Gervais(Universite laval)

A Framework for Modeling Trade in VerticallyRelated Markets

D. Roy (University of Lethbridge);G. Fox (University of Guelph); KarlMeilke (University of Guelph)

Canada’s Agricultural Trade in North America:Do National Boarders Matter?

B. van Melle (University ofSaskatchewan); Hartley Furtan (Uni-versity of Saskatchewan)

Demand for Domestic and Imported Wine inBritish Columbia: An Almost Ideal DemandSystem Approach

R. Carew (Pacific Agri-food ResearchCentre); W. Florkowski (University ofGeorgia); S. He (University of Georgia)

22 CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002

FRIDAY/VENDREDI

08:30-10:00 ST 129CAES Session - Food Demand Analy-sis / Seance de la CAES - Analyse de lademande de nourriture

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Gale West (UniversiteLaval)

Test of Generalized Composites and Separabilityin U.S. Food Demand

A. Reed (Economic Research Service,USDA); W. Levedahl (Economic Re-search Service, USDA); C. Hallahan(Economic Research Service, USDA)

Consumer Demands in Canada: A Comparisonof the Quadratic and Modified Almost IdealDemand Systems

John Cranfield (University of Guelph)Incorporating Health Information in DemandStudies: The Case of Wine in Ontario

B. Dyack (University of Guelph)A Model of Food Demand, Nutrition, and theEffect of Agricultural Policy

Timothy Beatty (University of BritishColumbia); J. LaFrance (University ofCalifornia)

08:30-10:00 ST 131Labor Market Issues in Macroeconomics/ Problemes de marche du travail enmacroeconomie

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Karlis Smits (Queen’sUniversity)

The Effects of Policy Shocks in a MonetaryBusiness Cycle Model with Unemployment

Michelle Alexopoulos (University ofToronto)

Inflation and Real Wage DispersionAlok Kumar (Queen’s University)

Towards a Formal Profiling Model to FosterActive Labour Market Policies in New Zealand

James Obben (Massey University)DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Michelle

Alexopoulos (University of Toronto);Alok Kumar (Queen’s University);James Obben (Massey University)

08:30-10:00 ST 133Quality of Schooling and Training /Qualite de l’education et de la formation

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Urvashi Dhawan-Biswal(Human Resources DevelopmentCanada)

Differential Grading Standards, and DistortedIncentives

B. Curtis Eaton (University of Cal-gary); Jean-Francois Wen (Universityof Calgary)

The Effect of the Maclean’s Rankings on theEntering Class of University Students

Richard Mueller (University of Leth-bridge); Duane Rockerbie (Universityof Lethbridge)

Trainers’ Dilemma of Choosing between Train-ing and Promotion

Kyota Eguchi (University of Tsukuba)DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: B. Curtis

Eaton (University of Calgary); Ky-ota Eguchi (University of Tsukuba);Duane Rockerbie (University ofLethbridge)

CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002 23

FRIDAY/VENDREDI

08:30-10:00 ST 141Trade Policies / Politiques de commerceexterieur

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Nizar Assanie (AsiaPacific Foundation of Canada)

Political Ideology and Endogenous Trade Policy:An Empirical Investigation

Pushan Dutt (University of Alberta);Devashish Mitra (Florida InternationalUniversity)

Antidumping Cases and Dumping Margins inCanada: 1985-2000

Carol Lau (University of Calgary);James Gaisford (University of Cal-gary)

Learning-by-Doing, Export Subsidies, andJapanese Steel Miracle

Hiroshi Ohashi (University of BritishColumbia)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: PushanDutt (University of Alberta); CarolLau (University of Calgary); Hi-roshi Ohashi (University of BritishColumbia)

08:30-10:00 ST 145Poverty and Determinants of Migration /Pauvrete et determinants de l’emigration

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Melanie Raymond(Government of Canada)

The Dynamics of Social Assistance in Canada:New Empirical Evidence

Ross Finnie (Queen’s University)Immigrant Selection and Child Outcomes

Nina Ahmed (Dalhousie University)The Role of Social Interactions in Migration

Melanie Raymond (Government ofCanada); Elisabeth Sadoulet (Univer-sity of California, Berkeley)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: NinaAhmed (Dalhousie University);Ian Irvine (Concordia University);Melanie Raymond (Government ofCanada)

08:30-10:00 ST 147Econometric Theory I / Theorieeconometrique I

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Victoria Zinde-Walsh(McGill University)

Consistent Estimation of Shape-RestrictedFunctions and Their Derivatives

Pok Man Chak (York University);Neal Madras (York University); BarrySmith (York University)

Two-Stage M-Estimation with CompositeDependent Variable

Christophe Muller (University of Not-tingham); Tae-Hwan Kim (Universityof Nottingham)

Thick ModelingYongil Jeon (Central Michigan Univer-sity)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: LyndaKhalaf (Universite Laval); Nour Med-dahi (Universite de Montreal); TonyWirjanto (University of Waterloo)

10:30-12:00 MFH 164CERF - Session VI / CERF - Seance VI

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: David Green (Universityof British Columbia)

Differences in Wealth and Asset HoldingsAmong U.S. and Foreign-Born Households:Evidence from the SIPP Data

24 CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002

FRIDAY/VENDREDI

Deborah A. Cobb-Clark (AustralianNational University); Vincent Hilde-brand (McMaster University)

The Wealth Gap Between Immigrant andNative-born Families in Canada

Xuelin Zhang (Statistics Canada)DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Michael

Abbott (Queen’s University); SamuelLaryea (HRDC)

10:30-12:00 SS 10Financial Markets and Crises / Marchesfinanciers et crises

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Gregor Smith (Queen’sUniversity)

Contagion in Interbank Lending MarketsEric Santor (Bank of Canada / Univer-sity of Toronto); Alexandra Lai (Bankof Canada); Cesaire Meh (Bank ofCanada)

Banking Crises and Contagion: EmpiricalEvidence

Eric Santor (Bank of Canada / Univer-sity of Toronto)

Sunspots and Fundamentals in a FinancialCrisis: A Reconciliation

Maxim Nikitin (University of Alberta)

10:30-12:00 SS 12SRDC Session I - New Evidence on Workand EI Use Patterns / Seance I de la SRSA- Nouvelles perspectives concernant laparticipation au marche du travail et lerecours a l’assurance-emploi

ORGANIZER/ORGANISATEUR: Carole Vincent(Social Research and DemonstrationCorporation)

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Carole Vincent (So-cial Research and Demonstration

Corporation)The Role of EI in High-School Completion andEmployment Decisions

Ana Ferrer (University of BritishColumbia); Craig Riddell (Universityof British Columbia)

The Role of EI in Migration and EmploymentDecisions

Ted McDonald (University of NewBrunswick); Rick Audas (Universityof New Brunswick)

The Impact of Household Labour Supply on EIUse Patterns

Louise Grogan (Canadian Interna-tional Labour Network, McMasterUniv.)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Miles Corak(Statistics Canada); Ted McDonald(University of New Brunswick); ReneMorissette (Statistics Canada)

10:30-12:00 ST 125Progressive Economics Forum II - The Po-litical Economy of Effective Demand andTrade / Forum d’economie progressisteII - L’economie politique de la demandeeffective et du commerce

ORGANIZER/ORGANISATEUR: Fletcher Bara-gar (University of Manitoba)

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Fletcher Baragar (Uni-versity of Manitoba)

How Alternative is Alternative Trade? - Al-ternative Trade Coffee in the Chiapas Region ofMexico

Ian Hudson (University of Manitoba)The New Face of Effective Demand

Pierre Parisien (Unaffiliated)

CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002 25

FRIDAY/VENDREDI

10:30-12:00 ST 127CAES Session (P3) - Evolution of Coopera-tives / Seance de la CAES (P3) - L’evolutiondes cooperatives

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Murray Fulton (Univer-sity of Saskatchewan)

An Overview of the Evolution of Co-operativesin Alberta/Saskatchewan

Ellen Goddard (University of Al-berta); Clotilde Belanger (Universityof Alberta)

An Overview of the Evolution of Co-operativesin Quebec

Maurice Doyon (Universite Laval)Cooperatives and the Commodity PoliticalAgenda: A Political Economy Approach to theEvolution of a Cooperative

Mel Lerohl (University of Alberta); P.Boxall (University of Alberta); EllenGoddard (University of Alberta)

10:30-12:00 ST 128CAES Session - Assessing Efficiency inPrimary Agricultural Production / Seancede la CAES - Evaluation de l’efficacite dela production agricole primaire

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Mike Trant (StatisticsCanada)

Parsimony Versus Flexibility in the Measure-ment of Technical Efficiency: Results fromMonte Carlo Experiments

B. Larue (Universite laval); M. Msafiri(Universite laval); R. Romain (Univer-site laval)

Interregional Dairy Cost Efficiency Differential:Alberta-Ontario Comparison

G. Hailu (University of Alberta);S. Jeffrey (University of Alberta); J.Unterschultz (University of Alberta)

Rates of Return in the Grain and Dairy Sectors- Based on Historical Cost

J. Caldwell (Agriculture and Agri-food Canada); A. Piau (Agricultureand Agri-food Canada); D. Niekamp(Agriculture and Agri-food Canada);D. Culver (Agriculture and Agri-foodCanada)

10:30-12:00 ST 129CAES Session - Valuing Agricultural andForest Product Attributes / Seance de laCAES - Valoriser les caracteristiques desproduits agricoles et forestiers

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: D. McCann (Universityof Alberta)

Valuing Alberta Beef Cattle Attributes: Do theValues Reflect Consumer Preference?

A. Walburger (University of Leth-bridge)

Modeling Consumer Choice in Korean BeefMarket: Market Segmentation Analysis

R. Kim (University of Manitoba); M.Boyd (University of Manitoba)

The Potential for Non-Timber Forest Productsfrom the Boreal Forest: An Exploration ofAboriginal Opportunities

G. Murray (University of Alberta); P.Boxall (University of Alberta)

10:30-12:00 ST 130Openness and Growth / Ouverture etcroissance

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Ram Acharya (IndustryCanada)

The Quality of Foreign Direct Investment: DoesIt Matter for Economic Growth?

26 CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002

FRIDAY/VENDREDI

Nizar Assanie (Asia Pacific Foun-dation of Canada); Bill Singleton(Canadian International DevelopmentAgency)

Export-led Growth, Investment and Efficiency:Evidence from Malaysia

Khalid Yousif Khalafalla (Center forDevelopment Research (ZEF))

Export Response to the Reduction of Anti-Export Bias: Empirics from Bangladesh

Nina Ahmed (Dalhousie University);Mohammad Hossain (University ofQueensland); Neil Karunatne (Univer-sity of Queensland)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Nizar As-sanie (Asia Pacific Foundation ofCanada); Khalid Yousif Khalafalla(Center for Development Research(ZEF))

10:30-12:00 ST 131Economic History I / Histoire economiqueI

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Mary MacKinnon(McGill University)

The Role of Legal Restrictions in the Issue ofArmy Bills in Canada, 1812-17

Kam Hon Chu (Memorial Universityof Newfoundland)

Trade Policy and Politics in the 1911 and 1988Canadian General Elections

Eugene Beaulieu (University of Cal-gary); Daryck Riddel (University ofCalgary)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: MaryMacKinnon (McGill University);Richard Sicotte (University of Cal-gary)

10:30-12:00 ST 133Trade and Financial Liberalization /Liberalisation commerciale et financiere

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Pushan Dutt (Universityof Alberta)

Financial Liberalization in Less DevelopmentCountries (LDC)

Mokhtar Maazouz (Centre d’Etude enMacrodynam Finance Internationale);Eric Gasperini (CEMAFI)

Unilateral versus Preferential LiberalizationRavi Yatawara (University ofDelaware)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: MokhtarMaazouz (Centre d’Etude en Macro-dynam Finance Internationale); RaviYatawara (University of Delaware)

10:30-12:00 ST 140

State of the Art Lecture I / Etat des con-naissances I: Arthur Robson

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Myrna Wooders (Univer-sity of Warwick)

Economics and BiologyArthur Robson (University of WesternOntario)

10:30-12:00 ST 141Economic Integration / Integrationeconomique

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Carolyn MacLeod (In-dustry Canada)

Trade Costs and Changes in Canada’s TradePattern

Shenjie Chen (DFAIT)Are Trade and Investment Complements orSubstitutes? Ukraine Since Independence

CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002 27

FRIDAY/VENDREDI

Nadiya Mankovska (German Advi-sory Group, Kyiv, Ukraine); James W.Dean (Simon Fraser University)

Labour Productivity and the Free Trade Agree-ment: a Provincial Analysis

Carolyn MacLeod (Industry Canada);Mokhtar Souissi (Finance Canada)

DISCUSSANT/COMMENTATEUR: Zhiqi Chen(Carleton University)

10:30-12:00 ST 145Trade and Fiscal Policy / Politique com-merciale et fiscale

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Kirk Collins (Universityof Ottawa)

How Does Trade Affect Health?Teresa Cyrus (Dalhousie University);Lori Curtis (Dalhousie University)

Rules versus Discretion in Social Programs:Evidence on Profiling in Employment andTraining Programs

Miana Plesca (University of WesternOntario); Jeffrey Smith (University ofMaryland)

Cointegration Analysis and Wagner’s Law: TheCase of United States 1970 - 1999

Amin Ghaziani (Unaffiliated)DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Chris Auld

(University of Calgary); MartinDooley (McMaster University); KenStewart (University of Victoria)

10:30-12:00 ST 147Panel Data and Microeconometrics /Donnees de panel et microeconometrie

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: John Cranfield (Univer-sity of Guelph)

Adaptive Estimation of the Dynamic LinearModel with Fixed Effects

Marcel-Cristian Voia (Universityof Western Ontario); Tony Lan-caster (Brown University); TiemenWoutersen (University of WesternOntario)

Estimating Discrete Choice Models fromPseudo-panel Data

Marie-France Paquet (Universited’Ottawa); Denis Bolduc (UniversiteLaval)

PANELISTS/PANELISTES: Marie-France Pa-quet (Universite d’Ottawa); Marcel-Cristian Voia (University of WesternOntario)

12:00-13:30 BR 1Industry Canada Reception to Launch theResearch Volume “Productivity Issuesin Canada” (all conference participantsare invited) “ / Reception d’IndustrieCanada pour le lancement de l’ouvrage“Les enjeux de la productivite au Canada”(invitation a tous)

12:00-13:30 UCCAES Lunch: Department Chairs withAgriculture and Agri-Food Canada / Lunchde la CAES: directeurs de departementsavec Agriculture et AgroalimentaireCanada

12:10-13:40 BRCWEN Luncheon / Dıner-causerie duCWEN

28 CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002

FRIDAY/VENDREDI

13:30-15:00 MFH 164Open Economy Macroeconomics /Macroeconomie internationale

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Eric Santor (Bank ofCanada / University of Toronto)

Transfer Problem Dynamics: Macroeconomicsof the Franco-Prussian War Indemnity

Gregor Smith (Queen’s University);Michael Devereux (University ofBritish Columbia)

Monetary Policy Analysis in a Small OpenEconomy with Incomplete Asset Markets

Hamza Malik (McMaster University)International Capital Mobility and the US-European Unemployment Gap

Karlis Smits (Queen’s University);Allen Head (Queen’s University);Shouyong Shi (Indiana University)

13:30-15:00 SS 10Exchange Rates I / Taux de change I

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Nikola Gradojevic (Uni-versity of British Columbia)

Higher Power Tests for Bilateral Failure of PPPafter 1973

Elena Pesavento (Emory University)Solving the PPP Puzzle from Bottom Up

Martin Berka (University of BritishColumbia)

Supply Shocks and Real Exchange Rate Dy-namics: Canadian Evidence

David Tessier (Bank of Canada);Celine Gauthier (Bank of Canada)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Mar-tin Berka (University of BritishColumbia); Elena Pesavento (EmoryUniversity); David Tessier (Bank ofCanada)

13:30-15:00 SS 109Industrial Organization I / Organisationindustrielle I

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Gamal Atallah (Univer-sity of Ottawa)

Incentives in Common AgencyBernard Sinclair-Desgagne (Ecole desHautes Etudes Commerciales)

Toward a Theory of Family FirmsLasheng Yuan (University of Cal-gary); B. Curtis Eaton (Universityof Calgary); Bill Wu (University ofCalgary)

Double Moral Hazard in TeamsBaomin Dong (Concordia University)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: GregoryDow (Simon Fraser University);Mukesh Eswaran (University ofBritish Columbia); Bernard Sinclair-Desgagne (Ecole des Hautes EtudesCommerciales)

13:30-15:00 SS 113Innovation and Technology / Innovationet technologie

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Aidan Hollis (Universityof Calgary)

The Importance of Skills for InnovationSomeshwar Rao (Industry Canada);Jianmin Tang (Industry Canada);Weimin Wang (Industry Canada)

Process Innovation and LicensingLuigi Filippini (Universita Cattolica)

Demand for Canadian Cable Television ServicesStephen Law (Mount Allison Univer-sity)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: John R.Boyce (University of Calgary); An-

CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002 29

FRIDAY/VENDREDI

drew Eckert (University of Alberta);David J. Sabourin (Statistics Canada)

13:30-15:00 ST 61

Saving and Credit / Epargne et credit

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Michel Normandin(Ecole des Hautes Etudes Commer-ciales)

Estimation of the Savings Function withoutExpected Utility

Parantap Basu (Fordham University);Elie Appelbaum (York University andUniversity of Sydney)

The Decline in Savings: Should We Be Sur-prised?

Stuart Wilson (University of Regina)An Eclectic Definition of a Credit Crunch

Ian Christensen (Bank of Canada)DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Paran-

tap Basu (Fordham University); IanChristensen (Bank of Canada); StuartWilson (University of Regina)

13:30-15:00 ST 125Progressive Economis Forum IV - Eco-nomic Democracy and Popular Partici-pation / Forum d’economie progressisteIV - Economie de la democratie et de laparticipation populaire

ORGANIZER/ORGANISATEUR: Nick Falvo(Progressive Economics Forum)

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Raphael Thierrin (FairVote Canada)

Cooperatives: The Route to Economic Democ-racy

Bob Williams (Van City Credit Union)International Trade Agreements and the Erosionof Democracy

Bruce Campbell (Canadian Centre forPolicy Alternatives)

Towards a Non-Autistic Economy - A Place forSociety

William Krehm (Committee on Mone-tary and Economic Reform)

Budgets as if People Mattered: DemocratisingMacroeconomic Policies

Nilufer Cagatay (University of Utah)DISCUSSANT/COMMENTATEUR: Mario Secca-

reccia (University of Ottawa)

13:30-15:00 ST 127CAES Session (P4) - Challenges Facingthe Functional Foods and NutraceuticalsIndustry / Seance de la CAES (P4) - Defisde l’industrie des aliments fonctionnels etdes nutraceutiques

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Gary Fisher (AgAnaly-sis)

Consumer Preferences for Novel Foods: SomeIssues and Concerns

Michele Veeman (University of Al-berta)

Consumers’ Valuation of Functional Propertiesof Foods: Results from a Canada-Wide Survey

Gale West (Universite Laval); CaroleGendron (Universite Laval); RemyLambert (Universite Laval); BrunoLarue (Universite Laval)

Developing Supply Chains for Nutraceuticalsand Functional Foods: Opportunities andChallenges

Jill Hobbs (University ofSaskatchewan)

Nutraceutical Product Segmentation in Canada:A Blurring of Boundaries and Implications forValue Chain Coordination

30 CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002

FRIDAY/VENDREDI

Martin L. Cloutier (Universite duQuebec a Montreal); Albert Lejeune(Universite du Quebec a Montreal);Anne-Laure Saives (UQAM)

13:30-15:00 ST 128CAES Session - Emerging Issues in Cana-dian Agri-food Markets / Seance de laCAES - Problemes nouveaux sur lesmarches agroalimentaires canadiens

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: D. Ng (University ofAlberta)

Terrorism and Containers: The Impact ofSecurity Measures on Container Traffic

S. Thompson (SJT Solutions); D. Spear-ing (Logistics Marketing Service)

Changes in the Use of Energy in CanadianAgriculture 1990-2000

C. Nagy (Centre for Studies in Agri-culture, Law, and the Environment);A. Hucq (Canadian Agricultural En-ergy End-Use Data Analysis Centre);M. Nouhi (Natural Resources Canada)

Structural Changes in Markets and Grain andOilseed Prices, 1995-2001

Cam Short (Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (Policy Branch)); P.Charlebois (Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (Policy Branch))

Factors Influencing Mergers and Acquisitionsin the Canadian Food Industry

M. Beaulieu (Statistics Canada)

13:30-15:00 ST 129CAES Session - Agricultural Trade Issues:Inter-regional Trade, Predatory Pricing,and Competitiveness / Seance de laCAES - Problemes de commerce agricole:commerce interregional, fixation de prixabusifs et competitivite

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: R. Gray (University ofSaskatchewan)

An Economic Analysis of Inter-regional Tradein the Canadian Dairy Industry

D. Roy (University of Lethbridge);G. Fox (University of Guelph); KarlMeilke (University of Guelph)

International Predatory Pricing and Possibilityof Dumping

M. Mahbobi (University ofSaskatchewan); W. Kerr (Univer-sity of Saskatchewan); Hartley Furtan(University of Saskatchewan)

The Beef Trade: Canada’s Share in Japan’s BeefImport Market

K. Kelly (University of BritishColumbia); Rick Barichello (Uni-versity of British Columbia); K. Klein(University of Lethbridge)

Trade Liberalization, Changing Structure, andCompetitiveness of Japan’s Oilseed CrushingIndustry

M. Shi (University of Tsukuba); K.Chen (University of Alberta)

13:30-15:00 ST 130

Transition Economics / Economie destransitions

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: James W. Dean (SimonFraser University)

Employment Dynamics in Chinese State OwnedEnterprises During Transition

CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002 31

FRIDAY/VENDREDI

Dwayne Benjamin (University ofToronto); Loren Brandt (Universityof Toronto); Terence Yuen (Bank ofCanada)

Budget Constraints and Profitability: Evidencefrom a Transition Economy

Marian Rizov (K.U.Leuven)DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Dwayne

Benjamin (University of Toronto);Marian Rizov (K.U.Leuven)

13:30-15:00 ST 131SRDC Session II - The Self-SufficiencyProject: Final Results for Welfare Recip-ients / Seance II de la SRSA - Le projetd’autosuffisance: resultats finaux pour lesbeneficiaires de l’aide sociale

ORGANIZER/ORGANISATEUR: Reuben Ford(Social Research and DemonstrationCorporation)

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Louis Grignon (HumanResources Development Canada)

The Experimental Impact of Financial Incen-tives for Long-term Social Assistance Recipientsin the Self-Sufficiency Project: Final Results

Reuben Ford (Social Research andDemonstration Corporation); DougTattrie (Social Research and Demon-stration Corporation)

What Happens When a Time-limited Finan-cial Incentive is Withdrawn? Effects on SSPParticipants Who Experienced “the Cliff”

David Gyarmati (Social Research andDemonstration Corporation)

Do Employment Services Make a Difference?Final Results from the SSP Plus Experiment inNew Brunswick

Kelly Foley (Social Research andDemonstration Corporation)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: David

Green (University of BritishColumbia); Bill Warburton (BCMinistry of Human Resources)

13:30-15:00 ST 133Job Satisfaction and Innovation / Satisfac-tion professionnelle et innovation

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Lori Whewell (Depart-ment of Finance)

An Empirical Analysis of Job Satisfaction inCanada

Bruno Rainville (Human ResourcesDevelopment Canada)

Job Quality in Canada: An Evaluation byOccupation

Maxime Fougere (Human ResourcesDevelopment Canada)

Empowering Employees: A Route to InnovationPierre Therrien (Industry Canada);Andre Leonard (Human ResourcesDevelopment Canada)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: SurendraGera (Industry Canada); MelanieRaymond (Government of Canada);Daphne G. Taras (University of Cal-gary)

13:30-15:00 ST 135Corporate Finance / Financement desentreprises

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Shay Aba (C.D. HoweInstitute)

Strategic Investment Decision Making for Max-imizing Total Profits: With a Case of ShippingBusiness

Weon Jae Kim (Incheon City College)Explaining Cross-Border Mergers and Acquisi-tions Involving Canadian Firms

32 CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002

FRIDAY/VENDREDI

Shay Aba (C.D. Howe Institute)DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Shay Aba

(C.D. Howe Institute); Weon Jae Kim(Incheon City College)

13:30-15:00 ST 141Tests of Asset Pricing Models / Tests desmodeles d’evaluation d’actifs financiers

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Bryan Campbell (Con-cordia University)

Testing Black’s CAPM in Possibly Non-Gaussian Contexts: An Exact Simulation-basedApproach

Lynda Khalaf (Universite Laval);Marie-Claude Beaulieu (UniversiteLaval); Jean-Marie Dufour (Universitede Montreal)

A Theoretical Comparison Between Integratedand Realized Volatility

Nour Meddahi (Universite deMontreal)

Implication of the Method of Portfolio Formationon Asset Pricing Tests

KaMan Lo (University of WesternOntario)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: LyndaKhalaf (Universite Laval); KaMan Lo(University of Western Ontario); NourMeddahi (Universite de Montreal)

13:30-15:00 ST 145

Human Behavior Economics / Economiedu comportement humain

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Gueorgui Kambourov(University of Western Ontario)

Myopic Deterrence Policies and the Instabilityof Low Crime Equilibria

Jean-Francois Wen (University ofCalgary); B. Curtis Eaton (Universityof Calgary)

An Overlapping Generations Model of Age-Group Societies: The Rendille of NorthernKenya

Merwan Engineer (University ofVictoria); Eric Roth (University ofVictoria); Linda Welling (University ofVictoria)

Demographic Characteristics Affecting Inter-generational Altruism: Evidence from EstateTax Data

Robert Rebelein (University of Cincin-nati)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: MerwanEngineer (University of Victoria);Robert Rebelein (University of Cincin-nati)

13:30-15:00 ST 147Econometric Theory II / Theorieeconometrique II

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Ken Stewart (Universityof Victoria)

Point-optimal Instruments and GeneralizedAnderson-Rubin Procedures for NonlinearModels

Mohamed Taamouti (INSEA);Jean-Marie Dufour (Universite deMontreal)

Dimension Reduction with Statistical ControlsVictoria Zinde-Walsh (McGill Uni-versity); John W. Galbraith (McGillUniversity)

A Factor Model for Dynamic CorrelationsDenis Pelletier (Universite deMontreal)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: YongilJeon (Central Michigan University);

CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002 33

FRIDAY/VENDREDI

Christophe Muller (University ofNottingham); Christoph Schleicher(University of British Columbia)

15:30-17:00 SHPEF Annual Business Meeting and Steer-ing Committee Elections, Wine and CheeseSocial, Everyone Welcome! / Assembleeannuelle du PEF et elections des mem-bres du comite directeur, vin et fromage,invitation a tous!

The Contribution of Feminism to the Develop-ment of Heterodox Economics

Nilufer Cagatay (University of Utah)

15:30-17:00 SS 10Exchange Rates II / Taux de change II

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: David Tessier (Bank ofCanada)

Neuro-Fuzzy Decision-Making in ForeignExchange Trading and Other Applications

Nikola Gradojevic (University ofBritish Columbia); Jing Yang (Bankof Canada); Toni Gravelle (Bank ofCanada)

Central Bank Intervention and Exchange RateExpectations

Stefan Reitz (University of Giessen)Inflation Expectations and Learning aboutMonetary Policy

Kevin Moran (Bank of Canada); DavidAndolfatto (Simon Fraser University);Scott Hendry (Bank of Canada)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: SteveAmbler (Universite du Quebec aMontreal); David Dupuis (Bank ofCanada); Stefan Reitz (University ofGiessen)

15:30-17:00 SS 12Public Goods / Biens publics

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Stefan Dodds (Queen’sUniversity)

Group Size, Prestige and Relative Reporting ofContributions to Public Goods

Ratna K. Shrestha (Memorial Uni-versity of Newfoundland); JamesP. Feehan (Memorial University ofNewfoundland)

Public Sector Wage Settlement under the Threatof Privatization

Gervan Fearon (York University)The Politics of Visibility and the Urban Bias

Sumon Majumdar (Queen’s Univer-sity); Anandi Mani (Williams College);Sharun Mukand (Tufts University)

15:30-17:00 SS 105Productivity I / Productivite I

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: David J. Sabourin (Statis-tics Canada)

What Does Total Factor Productivity Measure?Richard Lipsey (Simon Fraser Univer-sity); Kenneth Carlaw (University ofCanterbury)

A Frontier Approach to Multifactor Productiv-ity Performance. An Application to Canada-USManufacturing Sector

Kais Dachraoui (Statistics Canada);Tarek Harchaoi (Statistics Canada)

The Effect of ICT Use on Productivity Perfor-mance

David J. Sabourin (Statistics Canada);David Smith (Department of Finance)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Alice Naka-mura (University of Alberta); JianminTang (Industry Canada); JamesTownsend (Department of Finance)

34 CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002

FRIDAY/VENDREDI

15:30-17:00 SS 109Industrial Organization II / Organisationindustrielle II

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Baomin Dong (Concor-dia University)

Multidivisional Firms, Internal Competitionand the Merger Paradox

Anthony Creane (Michigan StateUniversity); Carl Davidson (MichiganState University)

Regulation, Flexibility of the Technology andthe Canadian Air Carriers

Stephane Vigeant (University of Al-berta); Pierre Ouellette (Universitedu Quebec a Montreal); Patrick Petit(Analysis group and UQAM)

Pricing of Brand-name Drugs and ProductSelection

Hu Lu (Health Canada); CharlesMallory (Health Canada)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: AnthonyCreane (Michigan State University);Can Erutku (Competition Bureau);Lasheng Yuan (University of Calgary)

15:30-17:00 SS 113Selection / Selection

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Jean-Etienne de Bettig-nies (University of British Columbia)

Opportunity Costs, Competition, and FirmSelection

Gamal Atallah (University of Ottawa)Advertising, Profits, Switching Costs, and theInternet

Avi Goldfarb (Northwestern Univer-sity)

Product Market Competition and the Bound-aries of the Firm

Jean-Etienne de Bettignies (Universityof British Columbia)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: GamalAtallah (University of Ottawa); Jean-Etienne de Bettignies (Universityof British Columbia); Avi Goldfarb(Northwestern University)

15:30-17:00 ST 61Growth and Monetary Policy / Croissanceet politique monetaire

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Jeannine Bailliu (Bank ofCanada)

Does Exchange Rate Policy Matter for Growth?Jeannine Bailliu (Bank of Canada);Robert Lafrance (Bank of Canada);Jean-Francois Perrault (Bank ofCanada)

The Economic Consequences of AlternativeExchange Rate and Monetary Policy Regimesin Canada

Lawrence Schembri (Bank of Canada);Tiff Macklem (Bank of Canada);Patrick Osakwe (UN Economic Com-mission for Africa); Hope Pioro (Bankof Canada)

Structural Change and Growth: Trends andPolicy Implications

Frank Lee (OECD); Dirk Pilat (OECD)DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Somesh-

war Rao (Industry Canada); WilliamB.P. Robson (C.D. Howe Institute);Nicholas Rowe (Carleton University)

CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002 35

FRIDAY/VENDREDI

15:30-17:00 ST 125

Health Economics I / Economie de la santeI

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Ian Irvine (ConcordiaUniversity)

An Empirical Analysis of Milk AddictionChris Auld (University of Calgary);Paul Grootendorst (McMaster Univer-sity)

A Simultaneous Model of Kydney DiseaseTreatment Decisions

Sumana Bandyopadhyay (York Uni-versity); Paul Rilstone (York Univer-sity)

Tobacco Demand in Canada 1970-2000Ian Irvine (Concordia University);Nikolay Gospodinov (ConcordiaUniversity)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Chris Auld(University of Calgary); NikolayGospodinov (Concordia University);Ian Irvine (Concordia University);Kevin Milligan (University of BritishColumbia)

15:30-17:00 ST 129Contemporary Trade Issues / Problemesde commerce contemporains

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Jen Baggs (University ofBritish Columbia)

The Kyoto Protocol RevisitedRandall Wigle (Wilfrid Laurier Uni-versity)

State of Trade 2002John Curtis (Government of Canada)

A Naunced Case for the Doha Round

John Curtis (Government of Canada)DISCUSSANT/COMMENTATEUR: Werner

Antweiler (University of BritishColumbia)

15:30-17:00 ST 130CSLS Session I - Evaluating the NationalChild Benefits Program / Seance I duCSLS - Evaluer le programme Prestationnationale pour enfants

ORGANIZER/ORGANISATEUR: Andrew Sharpe(Centre for the Study of Living Stan-dards)

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Ross Finnie (Queen’sUniversity)

The Impact of the National Child Benefits Sup-plement of the Low-Income Status of Canadians:The SPSD/M Results

Andrew Sharpe (Centre for the Studyof Living Standards); Brian Murphy(Statistics Canada)

An Assessment of the Impact of the NationalChild Benefit on Families on Social Assistance

Mangal Gupta (HRDC)DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Michael

Mendelson (Caledon Institute forSocial Policy); Wayne Simpson (Uni-versity of Manitoba)

15:30-17:00 ST 133Determinants of Workers’ Productivity inthe Firm / Determinants de la productivitedes travailleurs dans une firme

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Rene Morissette (Statis-tics Canada)

Productivity and Wages: Measuring the Effectof Human Capital and Technology Use FromLinked Employer-Employee Data

36 CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002

FRIDAY/VENDREDI

Lori Whewell (Department of Fi-nance); Julie Turcotte (Department ofFinance)

Organisational Capital and Plant ProductivityAndrew J. Clarke (McMaster Univer-sity)

The Effect of Organizational Change and Infor-mation Technology on Productivity: Firm-LevelEvidence

Surendra Gera (Industry Canada);Wulong Gu (Statistics Canada); Jen-ness Cawthray (Industry Canada)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: AndrewJ. Clarke (McMaster University);Wulong Gu (Statistics Canada); JulieTurcotte (Department of Finance)

15:30-17:00 ST 135Macroeconomic Dynamics / Dynamiquemacroeconomique

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Ali Dib (Bank of Canada)Global versus Country-Specific ProductivityShocks: The Adjustment of the Current Accountand Real Interest Rate

Michel Normandin (Ecole des HautesEtudes Commerciales); Martin Boileau(University of Colorado at Boulder)

Nominal Rigidities and Monetary Policy Rulein Canada Since 1980

Ali Dib (Bank of Canada)Monetary Rules and Macroperformance in aStochastic Classroom Model

Norman Cameron (University ofManitoba)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: JosephAtta-Mensah (Bank of Canada); AliDib (Bank of Canada); Michel Nor-mandin (Ecole des Hautes EtudesCommerciales)

15:30-17:00 ST 140Business Cycle Empirics / Analyse em-pirique du cycle economique

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Thomas Lubik (JohnsHopkins University)

Are U.S. Business Cycles Driven By SunspotShocks?

Thomas Lubik (Johns Hopkins Univer-sity); Frank Schorfheide (University ofPennsylvania)

The Decline in US Output Volatility: StructuralChanges in Inventories or Sales?

Ana Marıa Herrera (Michigan StateUniversity); Elena Pesavento (EmoryUniversity)

Technological Innovations, Expectation Errorsand Business Cycles

Lilia Karnizova (University of BritishColumbia)

15:30-17:30 ST 141CAES Annual Business Meeting / As-semblee annuelle de la CAES

15:30-17:00 ST 145Value of Human Capital / Valeur du capitalhumain

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Lynda Gagne (Universityof Victoria)

The Role of Systematic Performance Volatilityin Pricing Human Assets: Adapting the CapitalAsset Pricing Model to the Analysis of NHLSalaries

Neil Longley (University of Regina)The Balance between Supply and Demandfor Literacy Skills on the Job; Long-termConsequences

CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002 37

FRIDAY/VENDREDI

Kitty Mak (Westat); Trevor Williams(Westat)

Parental Work, Child-care Use and YoungChildren’s Cognitive Outcomes

Lynda Gagne (University of Victoria)

15:30-17:00 ST 147Econometric Theory III / Theorieeconometrique III

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Christoph Schleicher(University of British Columbia)

A Simple Estimation Method and Finite-sampleInference for a Stochastic Volatility Model

Pascale Valery (Universite deMontreal); Jean-Marie Dufour (Uni-versite de Montreal)

Kolmogorov-Wiener Filters for Finite TimeSeries

Christoph Schleicher (University ofBritish Columbia)

Understanding Long-Horizon Predictability ofAsset Returns

Bryan Campbell (Concordia Univer-sity); Nour Meddahi (Universite deMontreal); Enrique Sentana (CEMFI)

17:45-19:00 ST 140Innis Lecture / Conference Innis: ThomasLemieux

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Charles Beach (Queen’sUniversity)

The Economics and Econometrics of EarningsInequality

Thomas Lemieux (University ofBritish Columbia)

19:00-22:00 BRInnis (Welcome) Reception / Reception(Bienvenue) Innis

19:45-22:45 UCCAES Banquet and Awards Ceremony(University Club: Tickets to be purchasedwith online registration and/or prior toarrival in Calgary) / Banquet et ceremoniede remise des prix de la CAES (UniversityClub: les billets devront etre acheteslors de l’inscription en ligne et/ou avantl’arrivee a Calgary)

38 CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002

SATURDAY/SAMEDI

Saturday/samedi

07:00-08:30 SS 105CAES New Executive Meeting / Assembleedes nouveaux dirigeants de la CAES

08:30-10:00 MFH 160CPEG - Session I / CPEG - Seance I

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Jean-Francois Wen(University of Calgary)

Taxation and the Introduction of New Technolo-gies in the Presence of Strategic Investment

Jean-Francois Tremblay (Queen’sUniversity)

Captial Tax Competition and Returns to ScaleKatherine Cuff (McMaster University);John Burbidge (McMaster University)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: B. CurtisEaton (University of Calgary); GervanFearon (York University)

08:30-10:00 SS 10

Environmental Economics I / Economie del’environnement I

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Nancy Carson (UNBC)Using Consensus-Building Processes to SetEnvironmental Policy

Christopher Bruce (University ofCalgary)

An Integrated Approach to EnvironmentalPolicy

Paul Missios (Ryerson University); IdaFerrara (York University)

DISCUSSANT/COMMENTATEUR: ChristopherBruce (University of Calgary)

08:30-10:00 SS 12Canadian Exchange Rate Policy / Politiquecanadienne du taux de change

ORGANIZER/ORGANISATEUR: LawrenceSchembri (Bank of Canada)

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Lawrence Schembri(Bank of Canada)

Is There a Link Between Investment and theExchange Rate Regime?

Richard Harris (Simon Fraser Univer-sity)

Dollarization in CanadaJohn Murray (Bank of Canada); JamesPowell (Bank of Canada)

Revisiting the Case for Flexible Exchange Ratesin North America

John Murray (Bank of Canada);Lawrence Schembri (Bank of Canada);Pierre St-Amant (Bank of Canada)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Brian Doyle(Federal Reserve Board); Chris Ragan(McGill University); Gregor Smith(Queen’s University)

CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002 39

SATURDAY/SAMEDI

08:30-10:00 SS 105Measurement of Well-Being / Mesure dubien-etre

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Andrew Sharpe (Centrefor the Study of Living Standards)

How’s Life? Combining Individual andNational Variables to Explain SubjectiveWell-being

John Helliwell (University of BritishColumbia)

Real Income, Economic Well-being and theQuality of Life

Pauline Halchuk (University of SouthAustralia); Michael Burns (Universityof South Australia)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: BrianMacLean (Laurentian University);Andrew Sharpe (Centre for the Studyof Living Standards)

08:30-10:00 SS 113

Health Economics II / Economie de lasante II

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Cam Donaldson (Uni-versity of Calgary)

An Empirical Analysis of Health Status andLabor Supply

Siu Fai Leung (Hong Kong Universityof Science and Technology); Chi TatWong (Hong Kong University ofScience and Technology)

The Effect of Information and Alcohol Reg-ulations on Youth Marijuana Consumption:Evidence from French Epidemiological Data

Fabrice Etile (INRA, Universite Paris-1)

Morbidity from Prostate Cancer: A NewBrunswick Tale

Peter Sephton (Queen’s University)DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Chris Auld

(University of Calgary); MingshanLu (University of Calgary); SujayaParthasarathy (University of Calgary)

08:30-10:00 ST 63CAES Session - Risk and Risk Man-agement in Agriculture / Seance de laCAES - Risque et gestion du risque dansl’agriculture

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Jeffrey Scott (Universityof Alberta)

Variance of Yield and Return When InputAffects Yield and Price

E. Smith (Agriculture and Agri-foodCanada); R. McKenzie (Agricultureand Agri-food Canada); C. Grant(Agriculture and Agri-food Canada)

Evaluation of the Real Options Approach toAgribusiness Valuation: A Pork InvestmentCase Study

A. Duku-Kaakyire (University ofAlberta); J. Unterschultz (Universityof Alberta); B. Radke (Dairy CattleResearch Veterinarian)

Improved Methods for Computing Value at Riskin Futures Markets

J. Driedger (University of Manitoba);M. Boyd (University of Manitoba); R.Kim (University of Manitoba)

Hedging Price Risk with Futures and OptionsUnder Revenue Insurance: An Application toQuebec Hog Producers

J. Gervais (Universite laval); MauriceDoyon (Universite Laval); C. Akande(Universite laval)

40 CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002

SATURDAY/SAMEDI

08:30-10:00 ST 125CAES Session - Policy Issues in Agricul-ture / Seance de la CAES - Problemes depolitique en agriculture

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Marco Morin (StatisticsCanada)

The Effects of Decoupling Payments on Agricul-tural Investment, Using Dynamic InvestmentModels

G. Chabokrow (University ofSaskatchewan); R. Gray (University ofSaskatchewan)

Critical Analysis of the Concept of the ProducerSubsidy Equivalent in the Dairy Sector

Maurice Doyon (Universite Laval); N.Paillat (Universite laval); D. Gouin(Universite laval)

Public Research Policy in Today’s Crop ResearchIndustry

S. Malla (University of Saskatchewan);R. Gray (University of Saskatchewan)

The Implications of Insurability for NaturalDisaster Policy in Canada

C. Ayoo (University of Guelph); G.Fox (University of Guelph)

08:30-10:00 ST 127C.D. Howe Institute Session I - Taxes,Transfers and Saving over the Life Cyclein Canada / Seance I de l’Institut C.D.Howe - Taxes, transferts et epargne aucours du cycle de vie au Canada

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: William B.P. Robson(C.D. Howe Institute)

The Tax Treatment of Saving: The Case forLiberalization

Jack Mintz (C.D. Howe Institute); TomWilson (University of Toronto)

Why Canadians Need a T/E/E/ Option

Finn Poschmann (C.D. Howe Institute)Tax Preferences for Education Savings: AreRESPs Effective?

Kevin Milligan (University of BritishColumbia)

DISCUSSANT/COMMENTATEUR: James B.Davies (University of Western On-tario)

08:30-10:00 ST 128CAES Session - Genetically ModifiedFoods: Consumer Responses and RelatedIssues / Seance de la CAES - Alimentsgenetiquement modifies: reponses desconsommateurs et sujets relies

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: R. Kim (University ofManitoba)

Genetically Modified Foods: Comparison ofConsumers’ Preferences for Different PolicyOptions

Michele Veeman (University of Al-berta); V. Adamowicz (University ofAlberta); D. McCann (University ofAlberta)

Uncovering Motivations Underlying Anti-GMFood Activism in Canada

G. West (Universite laval); B. Larue(Universite laval)

Western Canadian GM Wheat Tolerance Levels:Implications for Costs of Identity Preservationof Non-Genetically Modified Wheat

I. Huygen (University of Alberta);Mel Lerohl (University of Alberta);Michele Veeman (University of Al-berta)

CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002 41

SATURDAY/SAMEDI

08:30-10:00 ST 129CAES Session - Rural Development Is-sues in Mozambique, China, and Canada/ Seance de la CAES - Problemes dedeveloppement rural au Mozambique, enChine et au Canada

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Julie Kennett (PFRA,Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada)

Assessing Rural Development Policy Options inMozambique: Preliminary Results of a SpastialEquilibrium Model

A. Alasia (University of Guelph); T.Phillips (University of Guelph); A.Weersink (University of Guelph)

An Analysis on Current Problems in China’sAgricultural Development

Y. Quan (McGill University); Z. Liu(Concordia University)

Role of Women in China: Results from Surveysof Farm Families in Hebei in 1996 and 1999

K. Klein (University of Lethbridge);E. Smith (Agriculture and Agri-foodCanada); W. Zhang (LethbridgeResearch Centre, Agriculture andAgri-food Canada); C. Vandervalk(Agriculture and Agri-food Canada)

The Dynamics of Low Pay in Canadian RuralHouseholds

E. Vera-Toscano (University of Cal-ifornia); A. Weersink (University ofGuelph); E. Phimister (University ofAberdeen)

08:30-10:00 ST 130Economic History II - EconomicGrowth: Approaches and Reinter-pretations / Histoire economique II -Croissance economique: approches etreinterpretations

ORGANIZER/ORGANISATEUR: Byron Lew(Trent University)

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Ian Keay (Queen’sUniversity)

Economic History As It Is and Should Be: To-ward an Open, Honest, Methodologically Flex-ible, Theoretically Diverse, InterdisciplinaryExploration of the Causes and Consequences ofEconomic Growth

Rick Szostak (University of Alberta)The Industrial Revolution as an OrganizationalRevolution

Alvaro Pereira (University of BritishColumbia)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: MaryMacKinnon (McGill University); ChrisMinns (McGill University)

08:30-10:00 ST 131SFU-UBC Centre for the Study of Govern-ment and Business I

ORGANIZERS/ORGANISATEURS: Thomas Ross(University of British Columbia); PeterTownley (Acadia University)

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Thomas Ross (Universityof British Columbia)

A Tale of Two Cities: Price Uniformity andPrice Volatility in Gasoline Retailing

Douglas West (University of Alberta);Andrew Eckert (University of Alberta)

Specification Issues and Confidence Intervals inUnilateral Price Effects Analysis

42 CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002

SATURDAY/SAMEDI

Jeffrey Church (University of Calgary);Oral Capps, Jr. (Texas A&M); H. AlanLove (Texas A&M)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Hi-roshi Ohashi (University of BritishColumbia); Annidya Sen (Universityof Waterloo)

08:30-10:00 ST 133Immigrant Assimilation in Canada /Assimilation des immigrants au Canada

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Stephanie Lluis (Univer-sity of Minnesota)

Educational Credentials and Immigrant Assim-ilation

Ana Ferrer (University of BritishColumbia); Craig Riddell (Universityof British Columbia)

Using Education As a Predictor of EconomicPerformance of Immigrants

Ather H. Akbari (Saint Mary’s Univer-sity)

DISCUSSANT/COMMENTATEUR: ChristopherWorswick (Carleton University)

08:30-10:00 ST 135Open Economy Models and Monetary Pol-icy / Modeles d’economie internationale etpolitique monetaire

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Frank Atkins (Universityof Calgary)

Terms of Trade Shocks, Monetary Instabilityand Exchange Rate Regime Choice

Steve Ambler (Universite du Quebec aMontreal)

Stabilization Policy and Equilibrium Indetermi-nacy in Small Open Economies with IncompleteInternational Asset Markets

Thomas Lubik (Johns Hopkins Uni-versity)

Le choix de la devise d’emission de la dettefederale: un choix couteux pour les Canadiens?

Homayoon Shalchian (Universite duQuebec a Montreal); Bouchra M’Zali(Universite du Quebec a Montreal);Alain Paquet (Universite du Quebec aMontreal)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: SteveAmbler (Universite du Quebec aMontreal); Thomas Lubik (JohnsHopkins University)

09:00-10:30 SS 403CEA Nominating Committee / Comite denomination de l’ACE

10:30-12:00 MFH 160CPEG - Session II / CPEG - Seance II

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Ken McKenzie (Univer-sity of Calgary)

Keynote AddressAlan Auerbach (University of Califor-nia at Berkeley)

CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002 43

SATURDAY/SAMEDI

10:30-12:00 SS 10Chinese Economic Association in NorthAmerica (CEANA) Session / Seancede l’Association economique chinoised’Amerique du Nord (CEANA)

ORGANIZER/ORGANISATEUR: Eugene Tsoa(Memorial University of Newfound-land)

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Eden Yu (City Universityof Hong Kong)

An Econometric Analysis of the Consumptionof Addictive Substance: Onset, Timing andInterdependence

Siu Fai Leung (Hong Kong Universityof Science and Technology); Shihti Yu(National Chung Hsing University)

Optimal Protection of Intellectual PropertyRights

Hwan-Chyang Lin (University ofNorth Carolina at Charlotte)

Volatility and Optimal Central Bank Interven-tion

Hui-Kuan Tseng (University of NorthCarolina at Charlotte)

Investigating Stock Market Efficiency in ChinaJunxi Zhang (University of HongKong); Hua Zhang (University ofHong Kong)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Kam HonChu (Memorial University of New-foundland); Ambrose Leung (Univer-sity of Winnipeg); Kuan Xu (DalhousieUniversity)

10:30-12:00 SS 12SRDC Session III - New Evidence onWork and EI Use Patterns / Seance III de laSRSA - Nouvelles perspectives concernantla participation au marche du travail et lerecours a l’assurance-emploi

ORGANIZER/ORGANISATEUR: Carole Vincent(Social Research and DemonstrationCorporation)

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Carole Vincent (So-cial Research and DemonstrationCorporation)

The Impact of the EI Allowable EarningsProvision on EI Dependency

David Gray (University of Ottawa);Shawn de Raaf (Social Research andDemonstration Corporation)

The Role of the Demand and Supply Sides of theLabour Market in Explaining EI Use Patterns:Evidence from Linked Employers-EmployeesAdministrative Data

Miles Corak (Statistics Canada);Wen-Hao Chen (Statistics Canada)

Preferences and Attitudes of EI FrequentClaimants Towards Learning Activities: Designof a Laboratory Experiment

Jean-Pierre Voyer (Social Research andDemonstration Corporation)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: MarcelBedard (Applied Research Branch,HRDC); David Gray (University ofOttawa)

10:30-12:00 SS 105Technology Adoption / Adoption de latechnologie

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Kais Dachraoui (Statis-tics Canada)

44 CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002

SATURDAY/SAMEDI

Economic Reform and Productivity Growthin Indian Manufacturing Industries: AnInteraction of Technical Change and ScaleEconomies

Sanja Samirana Pattnayak (NationalUniversity of Singapore); Shandre Mu-gan Thangavelu (National Universityof Singapore)

Information Highway in Rural CanadaVik Singh (Statistics Canada)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Andrew J.Clarke (McMaster University); VikSingh (Statistics Canada)

10:30-12:00 SS 109

Urban and Regional Economics / Economieurbaine et regionale

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Robin Lindsey (Univer-sity of Alberta)

Economies of Scale and Lifecycle HousingDynamics

Yuri Ostrovsky (York University);Thomas F. Crossley (McMaster Uni-versity)

The Impact of the Home Buyers’ Plan onHousing Demand

Mario Fortin (Universite de Sher-brooke); Frederic Chartrand (Min-istere des finances, Gouv. du Quebec)

Ever Increasing Standards? Should We AskWhat the Customer Wants?

Darla Hatton MacDonald (CSIROLand & Water); Michael D. Young(CSIRO Land & Water)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: MarioFortin (Universite de Sherbrooke);Darla Hatton MacDonald (CSIROLand & Water); Yuri Ostrovsky (YorkUniversity)

10:30-12:00 ST 61Monetary Policy I / Politique monetaire I

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Maxim Nikitin (Univer-sity of Alberta)

Measuring MoneyLise Pichette (Bank of Canada); PaulGilbert (Bank of Canada)

How to Improve Inflation Targeting at the Bankof Canada

Nicholas Rowe (Carleton University)Is the Canadian Monetary Policy Truly Endoge-nous?

Jean-Guy Loranger (Universite deMontreal); Gerard Boismenu (Univer-site de Montreal)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Jean-GuyLoranger (Universite de Montreal);Lise Pichette (Bank of Canada);Nicholas Rowe (Carleton University)

10:30-12:00 ST 63CAES Session - Production Economics:Adoption of Technology, Energy UseEfficiency, and Riparian Grazing Manage-ment / Seance de la CAES - Economie de laproduction: adoption de technologie, effi-cacite energetique et gestion de paturageriverain

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Varghese Manaloor(Augustana University College)

Adoption of Technology in the Ontario CattleIndustry

D. Sparling (University of Guelph); A.Weersink (University of Guelph)

The Economic and Energy Use Efficiency ofWheat/Pea Production with Variable Fertilizerand Herbicides Rates

CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002 45

SATURDAY/SAMEDI

M. Khakbazan (Agriculture CanadaResearch Station); D. Derksen (Agri-culture Canada Research Station); R.Zentner (Agriculture Canada ResearchStation)

An Examination of the On-Ranch Economics ofRiparian Grazing Management

J. Miller (University of Alberta); J.Unterschultz (University of Alberta);P. Boxall (University of Alberta)

10:30-12:00 ST 125CAES Session - Sustainability, SocialDiscount Rate, Food Stamp Program,and Efficiency of Non-Market Institution/ Seance de la CAES - Viabilite, tauxd’escompte sociale, programme de timbresalimentaires et efficience

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Ugo de Montigny (Agri-culture Canada)

Macroeconomic Indicators of Sustainability forAlberta

A. Pearson (University of Alberta); T.Veeman (University of Alberta)

The Social Discount Rate for Canada TwentyYears On

T. Horbulyk (University of Calgary)Estimation of Welfare Reform and Food StampCaseloads Using a Time Series Approach

S. Clark (Nova Scotia AgriculturalCollege); J. Levedahl (EconomicResearch Service, USDA); A. Reed(Economic Research Service, USDA)

Government Weaknesses: Has the Market MetIts Match?

B. Paul (University of Guelph)

10:30-12:00 ST 127C.D. Howe Institute Session II - Taxes,Transfers and Saving over the Life Cyclein Canada / Seance II de l’Institut C.D.Howe: Taxes, transferts et epargne aucours du cycle de vie au Canada

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: William B.P. Robson(C.D. Howe Institute)

Letting Students Decide: A Case for CitizenLearning Endowments

Michael Grant (Grant Insights)Financing Health Care: Tax and Saving Options

Grant L. Reuber (G.L. Reuber Asso-ciates Inc.)

New Poverty Traps: Means-Testing andModest-Income Seniors

Richard Shillington (Tristat Resources)DISCUSSANT/COMMENTATEUR: Robert D.

Brown (FCA)

10:30-12:00 ST 128CAES Session - Policy and ManagementIssues on Water and Forestry / Seance dela CAES - Politique et gestion de l’eau etde la foret

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: G. Fox (University ofGuelph)

Economic Analysis of PFRA Water SupplySystem in Southwest Saskatchewan

W. Thompson (University ofSaskatchewan)

The Optimal Policy Decisions for ControllingRaw Water Polution when There are Multi-ple Users and Multiple Pollution AbatementStrategies

K. Rollins (University of Guelph); S.Gbegbelegbe (University of Guelph)

How Do Carbon Incentives Affect ForestManagement?

46 CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002

SATURDAY/SAMEDI

T. Hunt (University of Alberta); G.K.Hauer (University of Alberta)

Integrating a Random Utility Model for Non-timber Forest Users in Strategic Forest PlanningModels

D. Nanang (University of Alberta);G.K. Hauer (University of Alberta)

10:30-12:00 ST 129CAES Session - Organization and StrategicIssues in Agricultural Markets / Seance dela CAES - Problemes d’organisation et destrategie sur les marches agricoles

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: John Cranfield (Univer-sity of Guelph)

Testing the Horizon Problem in AgriculturalCooperatives: An Experimental Approach

R. Vyn (University of Alberta); G.K.Hauer (University of Alberta); H.Brooks (University of Alberta)

Efficiency and Effectiveness in Milk Marketing:the Role of Dairy Cooperatives in Bangladesh

A. Roy (Yamagata University); Z.Ohtaka (Yamagata University)

Agricultural Production Organization inTransition Economies and the Role of HumanCapital: Evidence from Romania

M. Rizon (LICOS Centre for TransitionEconomics, Katholieke UniversiteitLeuven)

Subjective Implications to a Knowledge BasedView of Strategy: An Austrian Economics andKnowledge Network Perspective

D. Ng (University of Alberta)

10:30-12:00 ST 130Economic History III - The FundamentalRole of Economic Institutions / Histoireeconomique III - Le role fondamental desinstitutions economiques

ORGANIZER/ORGANISATEUR: Byron Lew(Trent University)

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Chris Minns (McGillUniversity)

Saving the Whales: Lessons from the First GreatWhale Extinction

Ian Keay (Queen’s University); RobertAllen (Nuffield College, OxfordUniversity)

The Means or the End? Fraternal Safety Netsand Concepts of Self-Reliance

Herb Emery (University of Calgary);George Emery (University of WesternOntario)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Al-varo Pereira (University of BritishColumbia); Rick Szostak (Universityof Alberta)

10:30-12:00 ST 131SFU-UBC Centre for the Study of Govern-ment and Business II

ORGANIZERS/ORGANISATEURS: Thomas Ross(University of British Columbia); PeterTownley (Acadia University)

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Peter Townley (AcadiaUniversity)

Dominant Retailers and the CountervailingPower Hypothesis

Zhiqi Chen (Carleton University)Revealed Antitrust Preferences for Mergers

Marc Duhamel (Competition Bureau)DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Aidan Hol-

lis (University of Calgary); Lawrence

CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002 47

SATURDAY/SAMEDI

McDonough (Royal Military Collegeof Canada)

10:30-12:00 ST 133Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables /Prevision de variables macroeconomiques

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Marc-Andre Gosselin(Bank of Canada)

Uncertainty and Output Growth Forecasts inReal-Time

Nathanael Braun (Department ofFinance); Bernard Babineau (Depart-ment of Finance)

Three Dummies and the Stock MarketBrian Doyle (Federal Reserve Board);Jon Faust (Federal Reserve Board)

The Usefulness of Consumer Confidence Indicesin the U.S.

Marc-Andre Gosselin (Bank ofCanada); Brigitte Desroches (Bankof Canada)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: JosephAtta-Mensah (Bank of Canada); EdithGagnon (Bank of Canada)

10:30-12:00 ST 135

State of the Art Lecture II / Etat desconnaissances II: Rene Garcia

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Gregor Smith (Queen’sUniversity)

Recent Developments in Option Pricing Theoryand Econometrics

Rene Garcia (Universite de Montreal)

10:30-12:00 ST 141

Developing Economies / Economie endeveloppement

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Randall Wigle (WilfridLaurier University)

Currency Devaluation and Trade Balance:An Empirical Study in Nepalese EconomicPerspective

Narayan Regmi (St. Louis University,USA)

How Well Does the IS-LM Model Fit the De-veloping Economies: The Cases of Bangladesh,India, and Pakistan

Mudabber Ahmed (Dalhousie Univer-sity)

Distributional Effects of Subsidy Removal in theEconomy of Iran: A Price-based SAM Analysis

Habibollah Salami (University ofTehran); Mohhamd Hormozi (Univer-sity of Tehran)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Mudab-ber Ahmed (Dalhousie University);Narayan Regmi (St. Louis University,USA); Habibollah Salami (Universityof Tehran)

10:30-12:00 ST 145Evolution of Employment in Canada andthe United States / Evolution de l’emploiau Canada et aux Etats-Unis

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Nicole Fortin (Universityof British Columbia)

The Long-Run Effects of Unemployment Insur-ance: A Comparative Study of New Brunswickand Maine, 1940-1991

Peter Kuhn (University of Califor-nia, Santa Barbara); Chris Riddell(University of Toronto)

48 CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002

SATURDAY/SAMEDI

Working Hours in Canada and the UnitedStates

Andrew Heisz (Statistics Canada);Sebastien LaRochelle-Cote (StatisticsCanada)

A Longitudinal Perspective on Women’s LabourForce Transitions: Trigger Events

Sung-Hee Jeon (York University)

12:00-13:30 BRPurvis Luncheon / Dıner-conferencePurvis: Guy Laroque

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Jean-Marie Dufour(Universite de Montreal)

Optimal Incentives for Labor Force ParticipationGuy Laroque (INSEE)

13:30-15:00 MFH 160CPEG - Session III / CPEG Seance III

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Ron Kneebone (Univer-sity of Calgary)

Globalization and the Future of the CorporateIncome Tax

Bev Dahlby (University of Alberta)Interjurisdictional Company Taxation in Eu-rope, the German Reform, and the New EUSuggested Direction

Marcel Gerard (Facultes UniversitairesCatholiques de Mons)

DISCUSSANT/COMMENTATEUR: Jack Mintz(C.D. Howe Institute)

13:30-15:00 SS 10Economics of the Financial Sector /Economie du secteur financier

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Khandakar Qudrat-lElahi (University of Guelph)

An Empirical Investigation on Foreign Entryinto the Canadian Banking Sector

Dennis Lu (Competition Bureau);Michel Sabbagh (Competition Bureau)

Market Structure and Bias in Bookmaker andParimutuel Markets

Lawrence McDonough (Royal MilitaryCollege of Canada); William Hurley(Royal Military College of Canada)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: DennisLu (Competition Bureau); LawrenceMcDonough (Royal Military Collegeof Canada)

13:30-15:00 SS 12Tax Competition and Regions / Concur-rence fiscale et regions

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Myrna Wooders (Univer-sity of Warwick)

The Contribution of Federal Grants to Provin-cial Revenue Uncertainty

Tracy Snoddon (Wilfrid Laurier Uni-versity)

Equalization Incentives with EndogenousPopulation Determination

Annette Ryan (Prince Edward IslandProvincial Treasury)

The Redistributive Impact of Federal Taxes andTransfers on Canadian Provinces

Fazley Siddiq (Dalhousie University)Tax Competition Reconsidered

Myrna Wooders (University of War-wick); Amrita Dhillon (University of

CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002 49

SATURDAY/SAMEDI

Warwick); Ben Zissimos (University ofWarwick)

13:30-15:00 SS 109

Transportation Economics / Economie destransports

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Yuri Yevdokimov (Uni-versity of New Brunswick)

Congestion Pricing with Heterogeneous Travel-ers: A General Equilibrium Welfare Analysis

Robin Lindsey (University of Al-berta); Andre De Palma (Universite deCergy-Pontoise)

Optimal Airport Charges and Capacity Expan-sion: Effect of Concession Revenues

Anming Zhang (University of BritishColumbia); Yimin Zhang (City Uni-versity of Hong Kong)

Economic Modelling of a Sustainable Trans-portation System

Yuri Yevdokimov (University of NewBrunswick)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: RobinLindsey (University of Alberta); YuriYevdokimov (University of NewBrunswick); Anming Zhang (Univer-sity of British Columbia)

13:30-15:00 SS 113Game Theory / Theorie des jeux

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Andrew Leach (Queen’sUniversity)

An Experimental Evaluation of Partnerships asCPR Management Instruments

Stephan Schott (Carleton University);Stuart Mestelman (McMaster Uni-versity); Andrew Muller (McMasterUniversity); Neil Buckley (McMasterUniversity)

Complete Information Wars of Attrition and theGeneralized Nash Bargaining Solution

Peter Burton (Dalhousie University)SubGame, Set and Match

Andrew Leach (Queen’s University)DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Peter Bur-

ton (Dalhousie University); AndrewLeach (Queen’s University); StephanSchott (Carleton University)

13:30-15:00 SS 117

Energy and Agriculture / Energie etagriculture

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Philippe Crabbe (Univer-sity of Ottawa)

Metering in Electricity Markets: When is MoreBetter?

Joseph Doucet (University of Alberta);Andrew Kleit (Pennsylvania StateUniversity)

Estimating Technical Efficiency of On-tario Dairy Producers using the Marginal-Integration Method

Morteza Haghiri (University ofSaskatchewan); Alireza Simchi (Uni-versity of Saskatchewan)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: PhilippeCrabbe (University of Ottawa);Morteza Haghiri (University ofSaskatchewan)

50 CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002

SATURDAY/SAMEDI

13:30-15:00 ST 63

Health Economics III / Economie de lasante III

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Ian Irvine (ConcordiaUniversity)

Family Income and Child OutcomesMartin Dooley (McMaster Univer-sity); Jennifer Stewart (McMasterUniversity)

The Future Supply of General Practitioner Ser-vices in Nova Scotia: A Time Series Approach

Sean Rogers (Saint Francis XavierUniversity)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Livio DiMatteo (Lakehead University); WayneSimpson (University of Manitoba)

13:30-15:00 ST 125Progressive Economics Forum III - PanelDiscussion: Should Canada and ItsNAFTA Partners Engage in Greater Mon-etary Integration? / Forum d’economieprogressiste III - Table ronde: Est-ce que leCanada et ses partenaires dans l’ALENAdevraient s’engager dans une plus grandeintegration monetaire

ORGANIZER/ORGANISATEUR: Mario Seccarec-cia (University of Ottawa)

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Brian MacLean (Lauren-tian University)

PANELISTS/PANELISTES: James W. Dean(Simon Fraser University); EduardoLoria (Universidad Nacional Au-tonoma de Mexico); John Murray(Bank of Canada); Mario Seccareccia(University of Ottawa)

13:30-15:00 ST 128Human Capital and Growth / Capitalhumain et croissance

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Xuelin Zhang (StatisticsCanada)

Immigration and Welfare for the Host Economywith Imperfect Competition

Eden Yu (City University of HongKong); Chi-Chur Chao (City Univer-sity of Hong Kong)

Education, croissance et inegaliteLobna Benhassen (Les UniversitesaAix en Provence)

Human Capital and Convergence: AProduction-Frontier Approach

Daniel J. Henderson (University ofCalifornia at Riverside); R. RobertRussell (University of California atRiverside)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: LobnaBenhassen (Les Universitesa Aix enProvence); Daniel J. Henderson (Uni-versity of California at Riverside);Eden Yu (City University of HongKong)

13:30-15:00 ST 130Economic History IV - Canada, the U.S.,Open Borders: Impact on Some Invest-ment Choices / Histoire economique IV- Canada, Etats-Unis, frontieres ouvertes:impact sur certains choix d’investissement

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Rick Szostak (Universityof Alberta)

Education for Export? Schooling in Canada1890-1910

Mary MacKinnon (McGill University);Alan Green (Queen’s University)

CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002 51

SATURDAY/SAMEDI

The Impact of North American ImmigrationPolicy of the 1920s on the Adoption of theTractor

Byron Lew (Trent University); BruceCater (Trent University)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: HerbEmery (University of Calgary); IanKeay (Queen’s University)

13:30-15:00 ST 131SFU-UBC Centre for the Study of Govern-ment and Business III - A Panel Session onEfficiencies in Mergers Under the Compe-tition Act / Table ronde sur les economiesdans les fusions en vertu de la loi sur laconcurrence

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Marc Duhamel (Compe-tition Bureau)

PANELISTS/PANELISTES: Jeffrey Church(University of Calgary); Tim Hazle-dine (University of Auckland); PeterTownley (Acadia University)

13:30-15:00 ST 133Violent Crimes / Crimes violents

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Ather H. Akbari (SaintMary’s University)

Does Increased Abortion Lead to Lower Crime?Evaluating the Relationship between Crime,Abortion, and Fertility

Annidya Sen (University of Waterloo)Study Habits and the Level of Alcohol UseAmong College Students

Lisa Powell (Queen’s University);Jenny Williams (Adelaide University);Henry Wechsler (Harvard University)

School Size and Youth Violence

Ambrose Leung (University of Win-nipeg); Stephen Ferris (CarletonUniversity)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: AmbroseLeung (University of Winnipeg); LisaPowell (Queen’s University); AnnidyaSen (University of Waterloo)

13:30-15:00 ST 135

State of the Art Lecture III / Etat desconnaissances III: Martin Eichenbaum

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Steve Ambler (Universitedu Quebec a Montreal)

Financial Crisis, Inflation and Real ExchangeRate Variability

Martin Eichenbaum (NorthwesternUniversity)

13:30-15:00 ST 141Labor Markets and InternationalTrade / Marche du travail et commerceinternational

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Andrew Heisz (StatisticsCanada)

Intra-Industry Trade Liberalization: WhySkilled Workers In Most Countries ResistProtectionism

Eugene Beaulieu (University of Cal-gary); Michael Benarroch (Universityof Winnipeg); James Gaisford (Univer-sity of Calgary)

The Impact of International Trade and Techno-logical Change on Relative Wages in Canada

Ram Acharya (Industry Canada)Trade, Technology and the Relative Wage: TheOther Side of the Picture

52 CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002

SATURDAY/SAMEDI

Tahir Abdi (Carleton University)DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Vivek De-

hejia (Carleton University); OmarZakhilwal (Statistics Canada)

15:30-17:00 MFH 160CPEG - Session IV / CPEG - Seance IV

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Krishna Pendakur (Si-mon Fraser University)

The Long-Run Consequences of Living in a PoorNeighborhood

Philip Oreopoulos (University ofToronto)

Do Taxes Matter for Firm Location Decisions?An Empirical Investigation for CanadianProvinces

Eugene Beaulieu (University of Cal-gary); Jean-Francois Wen (Universityof Calgary); Ken McKenzie (Univer-sity of Calgary)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Kevin Milli-gan (University of British Columbia);Krishna Pendakur (Simon FraserUniversity)

15:30-17:00 SS 10

Environmental Economics II / Economiede l’environnement II

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Christopher Bruce (Uni-versity of Calgary)

Automobile Quality Choice under PollutionControl Regulation

Ida Ferrara (York University)Can Carbon Tax Result in Strong DoubleDividend in Developing Economies: The Case ofThailand

Govinda R. Timilsina (CanadianEnergy Research Institute)

DISCUSSANT/COMMENTATEUR: ElizabethWilman (University of Calgary)

15:30-17:00 SS 12Public Choice and Policy / Choix public etregle

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Neil Longley (Universityof Regina)

Political Competition and Extension of theFranchise

Robert Oxoby (University of Calgary);Humberto Llavador (UniversitatPompeu Fabra)

Policy Choice under Model UncertaintyGustavo Durango (Department ofFinance); Claude Lavoie (Departmentof Finance)

Voting Abstentions in the Canadian House ofCommons: An Agency Theory Approach toAnalysing the Effects of Strict Party Discipline

Neil Longley (University of Regina)DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Gustavo

Durango (Department of Finance);Neil Longley (University of Regina);Robert Oxoby (University of Calgary)

15:30-17:00 SS 105Microeconomic Theory / Theorie mi-croeconomique

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: B. Curtis Eaton (Univer-sity of Calgary)

How Should a Behavioral Economist do WelfareEconomics?

Lorne Carmichael (Queen’s Univer-sity); Bentley MacLeod (University ofSouthern California)

A Theory of Gender Differences in Altruism

CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002 53

SATURDAY/SAMEDI

Mukesh Eswaran (University ofBritish Columbia); Ashok Kotwal(University of British Columbia)

The Geometry of the Comparative StaticsChristophe Muller (University ofNottingham)

15:30-17:00 SS 109Market Microstructure / Microstructure demarche

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Nour Meddahi (Univer-site de Montreal)

Is All That Talk Just Noise? The InformationContent of Internet Stock Message Boards

Werner Antweiler (University ofBritish Columbia); Murray Frank(University of British Columbia)

Asymmetry of Information, Market Liquidityand the Activity of the Specialist on the NYSE

Thierry Kamionka (Crest, CNRS andIDEI)

15:30-17:00 SS 113Productivity III / Productivite III

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: David J. Sabourin (Statis-tics Canada)

Competition and Productivity: Evidence fromCanadian Manufacturing Firms

Jianmin Tang (Industry Canada);Weimin Wang (Industry Canada)

Managerial Practices and Labor Productivity:Evidence from Canadian Manufacturing Firms

Weimin Wang (Industry Canada);Jianmin Tang (Industry Canada)

Decomposing Labour Productivity Growth inthe Business Sector: A Canada-U.S. Compari-son

Umar Faruqui (Department of Fi-nance); Mireille Laroche (Departmentof Finance); Wulong Gu (StatisticsCanada); Jean-Pierre Maynard (Statis-tics Canada)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: KaisDachraoui (Statistics Canada);Someshwar Rao (Industry Canada);David J. Sabourin (Statistics Canada)

15:30-17:00 ST 61Monetary Policy II / Politique monetaire II

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Nicholas Rowe (CarletonUniversity)

Conducting Monetary Policy with Measure-ment Errors in Potential Output

Martin Charron (Department ofFinance); Lisa Backa (Departmentof Finance); Jean-Francois Fillion(Department of Finance)

Why Were Changes in the Federal Funds RateSmaller in the 1990s?

Arabinda Basistha (University ofWashington); Richard Startz (Univer-sity of Washington)

The Performance and Robustness of Sim-ple Monetary Policy Rules in Models of theCanadian Economy

Denise Cote (Bank of Canada); JohnKuszczak (Bank of Canada); Jean-PaulLam (Bank of Canada); Ying Liu (Bankof Canada); Pierre St-Amant (Bank ofCanada)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: ArabindaBasistha (University of Washing-ton); Martin Charron (Departmentof Finance); Denise Cote (Bank ofCanada)

54 CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002

SATURDAY/SAMEDI

15:30-17:00 ST 63

Health Economics IV / Economie de lasante IV

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Peter Sephton (Queen’sUniversity)

Social Networks in Health UtilizationCatherine Deri (University of Toronto)

A Microeconometric Analysis of Health CareUtilization in Canada: Evidence from NPHSData

Sisira K. Sarma (University of Mani-toba)

The Income Elasticity of Health Care Spending:Comparing Parametric and Non-ParametricApproaches

Livio Di Matteo (Lakehead University)DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Catherine

Deri (University of Toronto); Livio DiMatteo (Lakehead University); SisiraK. Sarma (University of Manitoba)

15:30-17:00 ST 125Progressive Economics Forum V - The“Alberta Advantage”: Digging Deeper/ Forum d’economie progressiste V -“L’avantage de l’Alberta”: en profondeur

ORGANIZER/ORGANISATEUR: Ursule Critoph(Ursule Christoph Consulting)

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Greg Flanagan (St.Mary’s College)

The Geniune Progress Index and the AlbertaAdvantage

Mark Anielski (Anielski ManagementInc.)

Economic Performance and Social Progress:Interprovincial Comparisons

Jim Stanford (Canadian Auto Work-ers)

The Condition of the Working Class in Alberta:Notes Toward an Examination of Wages and theAlberta Advantage

Tom Fuller (Alberta Federation ofLabour)

15:30-17:00 ST 127Economic Growth / Croissanceeconomique

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: M.H. Zahedi Vafa (ImamSadiq University)

The Link Between Growth Volatility andTechnical Progress - Cross-Country Evidence

Sam Hak Kan Tang (Chinese Univer-sity of Hong Kong)

Democracy and Development: The ExpectedAssociation!

Khandakar Qudrat-l Elahi (Universityof Guelph)

The Two-Sector Endogenous Growth ModelM.H. Zahedi Vafa (Imam Sadiq Uni-versity)

Politique fiscale et croissance : quelle relation ?Abdel Aziz Mahjoub (Universite deParis I)

15:30-17:00 ST 129Fiscal Policy I / Politique fiscale I

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Nicolas Moreau (Depart-ment of Finance Canada)

Effective Tax Rates on Investment in HumanCapital in Canada

Kirk Collins (University of Ottawa);James B. Davies (University of West-ern Ontario)

Charitable Donations in Canada: New Evidence

CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002 55

SATURDAY/SAMEDI

Bagala Biswal (Memorial Universityof Newfoundland)

Implications of the Goods and Services Tax forFamilies in Canada

JoAnn Kingston-Riechers (DalhousieUniversity); Lori Curtis (DalhousieUniversity)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Aled abIorwerth (Department of Finance);Bev Dahlby (University of Alberta);Melanie Raymond (Government ofCanada)

15:30-17:00 ST 130CSLS Session II - Trends in EconomicWell-being / Seance II du CSLS - Ten-dances du bien-etre economique

ORGANIZER/ORGANISATEUR: Andrew Sharpe(Centre for the Study of Living Stan-dards)

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Alice Nakamura (Uni-versity of Alberta)

Determining the Weights in Measures ofEconomic Well-being

Michael Burns (University of SouthAustralia); Pauline Halchuk (Univer-sity of South Australia)

Trends in Economic Well-being for CanadianProvinces, 1980-1999

Lars Osberg (Dalhousie University);Andrew Sharpe (Centre for the Studyof Living Standards); Jeremy Smith(Centre for the Study of Living Stan-dards)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Doug Host-land (Department of Finance); MarioSeccareccia (University of Ottawa)

15:30-17:00 ST 131Phillips Curves and Monetary Policy /Courbes de Phillips et politique monetaire

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Kevin Moran (Bank ofCanada)

Estimate of the Sticky-Information PhillipsCurve for the United States and Canada

Zhenhua Zhu (Bank of Canada);Hashmat Khan (Bank of England)

Canada’s National Interest Benefits from aRenewal of the North American WartimeRelationship

Thomas Velk (McGill University);Todd Fox (McGill University)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: BrianMacLean (Laurentian University);Hamza Malik (McMaster University)

15:30-17:00 ST 133Choice of Education Level / Choix duniveau d’education

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Michelle Alexopoulos(University of Toronto)

Liberation Revisited: Education, TechnicalAdoption and the Household Labour Supply

Marina Adshade (Queen’s University)Why Do Canadian Youth Drop Out of HighSchool? A Multivariate Analysis Using theFirst Cycle of the Youth in Transition Survey

Urvashi Dhawan-Biswal (HumanResources Development Canada)

The Determinants of Participation in AdultTraining and Education in Canada

Shek-wai Hui (University of WesternOntario); Jeffrey Smith (University ofMaryland)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Andrew J.Clarke (McMaster University); JulieTurcotte (Department of Finance)

56 CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002

SATURDAY/SAMEDI

15:30-17:00 ST 140

NAFTA / ALENA

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Randall Wigle (WilfridLaurier University)

Changing Trade Barriers and Canadian Firms:Survival and Exit After the Canada-US FreeTrade Agreement

Jen Baggs (University of BritishColumbia)

Implications of European Union Enlargementfor Canada

Konstantin Loukine (Dept. of For-eign Affairs and International Trade);Richard Cameron (DFAIT)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Wulong Gu(Statistics Canada); Carolyn MacLeod(Industry Canada)

15:30-17:00 ST 141Investment and Finance / Investissementet finance

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Lawrence McDonough(Royal Military College of Canada)

Optimal Investment Rules When InvestmentOpportunities May Vanish

Jean-Daniel Saphores (University ofCalifornia Irvine)

How Do FX Market Intermediaries Hedge TheirExposure to Risk?

Chris D’Souza (Concordia University)DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Marc

Duhamel (Competition Bureau);Jean-Daniel Saphores (University ofCalifornia Irvine)

15:30-17:00 ST 145Wage Inequality in the United States /Inegalites salariales aux Etats-Unis

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Sung-Hee Jeon (YorkUniversity)

Does College Education Spending Reduce WageInequality? Cross-State Evidence from the1990s

Nicole Fortin (University of BritishColumbia)

Occupational Mobility and Wage InequalityIourii Manovskii (University of West-ern Ontario); Gueorgui Kambourov(University of Western Ontario)

Workplace Practices and Wage DispersionAmong US Establishments

Stephanie Lluis (University of Min-nesota)

15:30-17:00 ST 147Microeconometrics / Microeconometrie

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Ka Kei Gary Wong(Deakin University)

Modelling Regular and Estimable Inverse De-mand Systems: A Distance Function Approach

Ka Kei Gary Wong (Deakin Uni-versity); Keith McLaren (MonashUniversity)

The Role of Global versus Local Negativity inFunctional Form Selection: An Application toCanadian Consumer Demands

John Cranfield (University of Guelph);Scott Pellow (University of Manitoba)

CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002 57

SATURDAY/SAMEDI

17:45-19:00 ST 140CEA Presidential Address: James MacK-innon and Rae Prize Announcement /Discours du president de l’ACE: JamesMacKinnon et Annonce du recipiendairedu Prix Rae

Bootstrap Inference in EconometricsJames MacKinnon (Queen’s Univer-sity)

19:00-22:00 BRPresidential Reception / Reception dupresident

58 CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002

SUNDAY/DIMANCHE

Sunday/dimanche

08:30-10:00 MFH 160CPEG - Session V / CPEG - Seance V

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Bagala Biswal (MemorialUniversity of Newfoundland)

Taxation and Economic Efficiency: Results froma Canadian CGE Model

Maximilian Baylor (Department of Fi-nance); Louis Beausejour (Departmentof Finance)

A New Look at the Laffer Curve and theDisplacement Loss from Tax Evasion

Filip Palda (E.N.A.P.)DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: John R.

Boyce (University of Calgary); RandallWigle (Wilfrid Laurier University)

08:30-10:00 SS 10Natural Resource Management II / Gestiondes ressources naturelles II

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Pierre Lasserre (Univer-site du Quebec a Montreal)

Aboriginal Customs, the Common Law and Re-newable Resource Exploitation: The EconomicFoundations

Cherie Metcalf (Queen’s University);Ian Keay (Queen’s University)

Sharing Clams: Tragedy of an IncompleteCommons

John Janmaat (Acadia University)Competitive Equilibrium and ExhaustibleResources

Robert Cairns (McGill University)DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: P. Boxall

(University of Alberta); Karine Gobert(Concordia University); Ilhem Kassar(Universite du Quebec a Montreal)

08:30-10:00 SS 12Cost-Benefit Analysis in Health Economics/ Analyse cout-benefice en economie de lasante

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Robert Oxoby (Univer-sity of Calgary)

Brand-Generic Product and Entry Deterrencein Pharmaceutical Market

Ying Kong (University College ofthe Cariboo); Jim Seldon (UniversityCollege of the Cariboo)

Kaldor, Hicks and Reference Dependency:Developing a New WTP Method from OldPrinciples

Robert Oxoby (University of Cal-gary); Cam Donaldson (University ofCalgary)

08:30-10:00 SS 105Families and Poverty / Familles et pauvrete

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Philip Oreopoulos (Uni-versity of Toronto)

The Dynamics of Children’s Economic Experi-ences in Canada and the United States

Peter Burton (Dalhousie University);Shelley Phipps (Dalhousie University)

The Persistance of Child Poverty in Canada:Measurement Issues and Socio-economicDevelopments

CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002 59

SUNDAY/DIMANCHE

Lori Curtis (Dalhousie University);Thomas F. Crossley (McMaster Uni-versity)

The Effect of Welfare on the Fertility of YoungNever Married Women in Canada

Abdiweli Mohamed (University ofOttawa); Gilles Grenier (University ofOttawa)

08:30-10:00 SS 109Productivity and Multi-Market Contact /Productivite et contact multi-marche

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Hu Lu (Health Canada)Markets Linked by Rising Marginal Costs:Implications for Multi-Market Contact

Thomas Ross (University of BritishColumbia); Zhiqi Chen (CarletonUniversity)

Are Environmental Innovations Harmful to theEconomic Performance of Innovating Firms?

Petr Hanel (Universite de Sherbrooke)DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Petr Hanel

(Universite de Sherbrooke); ThomasRoss (University of British Columbia)

08:30-10:00 ST 61International Perspectives on EmpiricalMacro Issues / Perspectives internationalessur des problemes de macroeconomieempirique

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Nathanael Braun (De-partment of Finance)

Why U.S. Money Does Not Cause U.S. Output,but Does Cause Hong Kong Output

Nicholas Rowe (Carleton University);Gabriel Rodriguez (University ofOttawa)

Monetary Policy in Developing Countries:Lessons from Kenya

Robert F. Lucas (University ofSaskatchewan); Christopher D. Ger-rard (The World Bank)

Oil Price fluctuations and their Impact on theMacroeconomic Variables of Iran: A Case StudyUsing VAR Model for Iran

Davood Manzoor (Imam SadeghUniversity)

DISCUSSANT/COMMENTATEUR: Brian Doyle(Federal Reserve Board)

08:30-10:00 ST 127Openness and Efficiency / Degred’ouverture et efficacite

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Omar Zakhilwal (Statis-tics Canada)

Factors Determining the Success or Failurefor Canadian Exporters: A Survival AnalysisApproach

Jean-Bosco Sabuhoro (StatisticsCanada)

The Effect of Exporting on Productivity Growthin Canadian Manufacturing

Wulong Gu (Statistics Canada); JohnR. Baldwin (Statistics Canada)

The Border Game: Happy Meals, Fences andOther Issues

Dragan Filipovich (El Colegio deMexico)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: TahirAbdi (Carleton University); RamAcharya (Industry Canada); Jean-Bosco Sabuhoro (Statistics Canada)

60 CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002

SUNDAY/DIMANCHE

08:30-10:00 ST 128Financial Markets and Growth / Marchesfinanciers et croissance

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Narayan Regmi (St.Louis University, USA)

Borrowing for GrowthGenevieve Verdier (University ofBritish Columbia)

The Microcredit Movement: Three CriticalQuestions

Khandakar Qudrat-l Elahi (Universityof Guelph)

08:30-10:00 ST 129Topics in Empirical and Applied Macroe-conomics / Sujets en macroeconomieempirique et appliquee

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Steve Ambler (Universitedu Quebec a Montreal)

The Value of a Dollar: The Economics and Poli-tics of North American Monetary Integration

William B.P. Robson (C.D. HoweInstitute); David Laidler (C.D. HoweInstitute)

The U.S. Stock Market and Fundamentals: AHistorical Decomposition

David Dupuis (Bank of Canada);David Tessier (Bank of Canada)

Bank Lending and the Transmission of CanadianMonetary Policy

Joseph Atta-Mensah (Bank of Canada);Ali Dib (Bank of Canada)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: FrankAtkins (University of Calgary); Jean-nine Bailliu (Bank of Canada); ChrisRagan (McGill University)

08:30-10:00 ST 130CSLS-IRPP Session III - Linkages Be-tween Productivity and Social Progress/ Seance III du CSLS-IRPP - Liens entreproductivite et progres social

ORGANIZER/ORGANISATEUR: Andrew Sharpe(Centre for the Study of Living Stan-dards)

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Andrew Sharpe (Centrefor the Study of Living Standards)

Labour Productivity, Disposable Income andLiving Standards in Canada

Doug Hostland (Department of Fi-nance); Anthony Fisher (Departmentof Finance)

Productivity and Natural Resource and Envi-ronmental Sustainability

Nancy Olewiler (Simon Fraser Uni-versity)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: John Helli-well (University of British Columbia);Craig Riddell (University of BritishColumbia)

08:30-10:00 ST 133Unemployment and Job Stability /Chomage et stabilite de l’emploi

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Marion Steele (Univer-sity of Guelph)

Rising Occupational and Industry Mobility inthe US: Evidence from the 1968-1993 PSID

Iourii Manovskii (University of West-ern Ontario); Gueorgui Kambourov(University of Western Ontario)

Wealth, Reservation Wages, and Labor MarketTransitions in the U.S.

Michelle Alexopoulos (University ofToronto); Tricia Gladden (Universityof Missouri-Columbia)

CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002 61

SUNDAY/DIMANCHE

Sector Choice and the Unemployment of HighlyEducated Workers in Morocco

Brahim Boudarbat (Universite deMontreal)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Louise Gro-gan (Canadian International LabourNetwork, McMaster Univ.); AliceNakamura (University of Alberta)

08:30-10:00 ST 141Empirical Models of Exchange Rates /Modeles empiriques des taux de change

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Richard Harris (SimonFraser University)

Explaining Exchange Rate Regime TransitionsPaul Masson (IMF); Francisco Ruge-Murcia (Universite de Montreal)

Is Stability of the Spot-Forward ExchangeRate Relation Important? - Evidence andApplications for Canada

Matthew McPherson (West VirginiaUniversity); Jon Vilasuso (West Vir-ginia University)

Exchange Rate Pass-through and Oil PricesAyoub Yousefi (University of WesternOntario); Tony Wirjanto (University ofWaterloo)

08:30-10:00 ST 145Human Capital and Earnings / Capitalhumain et salaires

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Francisco Gonzalez(University of British Columbia)

Wage Progression of Low-skilled Workers inCanada: Evidence from SLID 1993-1998

Xuelin Zhang (Statistics Canada)Occupational Specificity of Human Capital

Gueorgui Kambourov (University ofWestern Ontario); Iourii Manovskii(University of Western Ontario)

Compulsory Schooling Laws and the Return toEducation in France

Chris Minns (McGill University)DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Gueorgui

Kambourov (University of WesternOntario); Chris Minns (McGill Uni-versity); Xuelin Zhang (StatisticsCanada)

08:30-10:00 ST 147International Trade and Investment /Commerce international et investissement

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Hartley Furtan (Univer-sity of Saskatchewan)

Financial Accelerator in a Small Open EconomyModel with Heterogeneous Entrepreneurs

Dmitriy Kovtun (University of Ken-tucky)

Explaining Home Bias: The Role of Intermedi-ates

Russell Hillberry (Purdue University);David Hummels (Purdue University)

Time-Path of the Equilibrium Real ExchangeRate in Canada: A General EquilibriumAnalysis

Hasan Imam (Brock University)DISCUSSANT/COMMENTATEUR: Kien C. Tran

(University of Saskatchewan)

62 CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002

SUNDAY/DIMANCHE

10:30-12:00 MFH 160CPEG - Session VI / CPEG - Seance VI

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Sam Wilson (Universityof Alberta)

The Distribution of Health Care FinancingCosts in Alberta

James Smythe (University of Alberta)Government Fiscal Responses to UncertainRevenue

Tracy Snoddon (Wilfrid Laurier Uni-versity)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Paul Booth(University of Alberta); Ron Kneebone(University of Calgary)

10:30-12:00 SS 12

Public Economics / Economie publique

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Sumon Majumdar(Queen’s University)

Monitoring and Privacy: When Private Infor-mation is a Public Good

Stefan Dodds (Queen’s University)A Collective Model of Consumer Bbehavior withPrivate and Public Goods — Some EmpiricalEvidence from U.S. Data

Olivier Donni (Universite du Quebeca Montreal)

Joint Ventures Subsidies under Switching CostsMohamed Adel Dhif (Ecole Polytech-nique de Tunisie)

10:30-12:00 SS 105Income Distribution / Distribution desrevenus

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Peter Burton (DalhousieUniversity)

The Dynamics of Income in Four Countries

Miles Corak (Statistics Canada);Wen-Hao Chen (Statistics Canada);Abdelatif Demnati (Statistics Canada)

The Measurement of Interregional Redistribu-tion

Weiqiu Yu (University of NewBrunswick); G.C. Ruggeri (Universityof New Brunswick)

Converging at the Bottom of the IncomeDistribution? A Suggested Methodology

Kuan Xu (Dalhousie University)DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Miles

Corak (Statistics Canada); Kuan Xu(Dalhousie University); Weiqiu Yu(University of New Brunswick)

10:30-12:00 SS 113Industrial Organization III / Organisationindustrielle III

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Caroline Boivin (Univer-site de Sherbrooke)

The Ultimate Control GroupGregory Dow (Simon Fraser Univer-sity)

Professional Bettors, Odds-Arbitrage Competi-tion, and Betting Market Equilibrium

David Walls (University of Calgary);Franklin Rusco (U.S. General Account-ing Office)

How Common Is Common Knowledge: A NoteOn Arms Race

Amin Ghaziani (Unaffiliated)DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Gregory

Dow (Simon Fraser University);Karine Gobert (Concordia University);David Walls (University of Calgary)

CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002 63

SUNDAY/DIMANCHE

10:30-12:00 ST 127Productivity and R&D in Canada / Produc-tivite et R&D au Canada

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Jean-Bosco Sabuhoro(Statistics Canada)

Efficiency and Dynamics in Canadian Manu-facturing

James Townsend (Department of Fi-nance); Nathanael Braun (Departmentof Finance)

Productivity Trends in the Construction Sec-tor in Canada: A Case of Lagging TechnicalProgress

Andrew Sharpe (Centre for the Studyof Living Standards)

Role of R&D in Long-Run Economic Growth:A Dynamic General Equilibrium EndogenousGrowth Model for Canada

Madanmohan Ghosh (IndustryCanada)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Jean-BoscoSabuhoro (Statistics Canada); MokhtarSouissi (Finance Canada); JamesTownsend (Department of Finance)

10:30-12:00 ST 129Fiscal Policy II / Politique fiscale II

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Lori Curtis (DalhousieUniversity)

Prudence, Scope for Reducing Program Spend-ing and Policy Rulesin Medium-Term FiscalPlanning “Towards an Integrated Strategy forDeficit-Risk Management”

Nicolas Moreau (Department ofFinance Canada); Patrick Georges(Department of Finance)

Fiscal Planning under Uncertainty Surround-ing Private Sector Forecasts

Doug Hostland (Department of Fi-nance)

Enrichments to Multi-Year Fiscal CommitmentsPatrick Georges (Department of Fi-nance); Nicolas Moreau (Departmentof Finance Canada)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Lori Cur-tis (Dalhousie University); JoAnnKingston-Riechers (Dalhousie Univer-sity); Finn Poschmann (C.D. HoweInstitute)

10:30-12:00 ST 131Aging / Vieillissement

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Paul Anglin (Universityof Windsor)

Residential Mobility of the Elderly in CanadaOstrovsky Yuri (York University)

Quebec’s Housing Allowance for Familiesand the Elderly: Design, Participation, andConsumption Effects

Marion Steele (University of Guelph)DISCUSSANT/COMMENTATEUR: Paul Anglin

(University of Windsor)

10:30-12:00 ST 133Matching Markets and Job Flows / Ap-pariement des marches et flux d’emplois

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Alice Nakamura (Uni-versity of Alberta)

Asymmetric Labor Adjustment, OrganizationalCapital and Aggregate Job Flows

Francisco Gonzalez (University ofBritish Columbia); Alok Johri (Mc-Master University)

Labour Market Matching with HeterogeneousAgents

64 CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002

SUNDAY/DIMANCHE

Simon Woodcock (Cornell University)Pre-contractual Investment Competition in aLarge Matching Market

Seungjin Han (University of Toronto)DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: Alice Naka-

mura (University of Alberta); GingWong (Privy Council Office)

10:30-12:00 ST 145Technical Change at the Workplace /Changement technique sur les lieux detravail

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Xuelin Zhang (StatisticsCanada)

Occupational Labor Demand and the Sources ofNonneutral Technical Change

Wing H. Chan (University of Alberta);Daniel Rich (Illinois State University)

Access to and Use of Computers at Work inCanada: An Empirical Investigation

Zhengxi Lin (HRDC); Popovic Andrija(HRDC)

Workplace Computer Technology and SkillUpgrading in Canada

Zhengxi Lin (HRDC); Andrija Popovic(HRDC)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: WingH. Chan (University of Alberta);Lynda Gagne (University of Victoria);Sebastien LaRochelle-Cote (StatisticsCanada)

10:30-12:00 ST 147Investments, Foreign Direct Investmentin Open Economics / Investissements,investissements etrangers directs eneconomie ouverte

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Wulong Gu (StatisticsCanada)

Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Foreign DirectInvestment Flows to Developing Countries: AnEmpirical Investigation

Shyamal Chowdhury (Bonn Univer-sity)

Domestic Investment Response to ExchangeRate

Omar Zakhilwal (Statistics Canada);Tarek Harchaoi (Statistics Canada);Faouzi Tarkhani (Statistics Canada)

The Effect of FDI on US Agricultural ProtectionToward Canada

Hartley Furtan (University ofSaskatchewan)

DISCUSSANTS/COMMENTATEURS: RamAcharya (Industry Canada); Wu-long Gu (Statistics Canada)

12:00-13:30 SS 423CJE Editorial Board Lunch / Lunch ducomite de redaction de la Revue canadi-enne d’economique

12:00-13:30 SS 545CPP Editorial Board Lunch / Lunch ducomite de redaction de la revue Analysede Politiques

CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002 65

SUNDAY/DIMANCHE

13:30-15:00 MFH 160CPEG - Session VII / CPEG - Seance VII

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Stan Winer (CarletonUniversity)

Economic Versus Political Symmetry and theWelfare Concern with Market Integration andTax Competition

Gordon Myers (Simon Fraser Uni-versity); Anke Kessler (Universityof Bonn); Christoph Lulfesmann(University of Bonn)

Strategic Voting and Intergovernmental Bar-gaining in a Two-tier Three-party ParliamentarySystem

Maria Gallego (Wilfrid Laurier Uni-versity)

DISCUSSANT/COMMENTATEUR: DavidScoones (University of Victoria)

13:30-14:30 SS 423CEA Annual General Meeting / Assembleegenerale annuelle de l’ACE

14:30-15:30 SS 423CEA Executive Council Meeting II /Conseil executif de l’ACE II

15:30-17:00 MFH 160CPEG - Session VIII / CPEG - Seance VIII

CHAIR/PRESIDENT: Gordon Myers (SimonFraser University)

Tax Competition and Revenue EqualizationSam Bucovetsky (York University);Michael Smart (University of Toronto)

Near-Sighted JusticeEd Nosel (Federal Reserve Bank ofCleveland); Dan Bernhardt (College ofCommerce and Business Adminis)

DISCUSSANT/COMMENTATEUR: Steve Mon-grain (Simon Fraser University)

66 CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002

INDEX

Indexab Iorwerth, Aled, 56Aba, Shay, 32, 33Abbott, Michael, 25Abdi, Tahir, 53, 60Acharya, Ram, 26, 52, 60, 65Adamowicz, V., 19, 41Adshade, Marina, 56Agrawal, Ajay K., 21Ahmed, Mudabber, 48Ahmed, Nina, 24, 27Akande, C., 40Akbari, Ather H., 43, 52Alasia, A., 42Alexopoulos, Michelle, 23, 56, 61Allen, Robert, 47Ambler, Steve, 34, 43, 52, 61Andolfatto, David, 34Andrija, Popovic, 65Andrusiak, Gordon, 22Anglin, Paul, 64Anielski, Mark, 55Antweiler, Werner, 1, 36, 54Appelbaum, Elie, 30Assanie, Nizar, 24, 27Atallah, Gamal, 21, 29, 35Atkins, Frank, 43, 61Atta-Mensah, Joseph, 37, 48, 61Audas, Rick, 25Auerbach, Alan, 43Auld, Chris, 28, 36, 40Avio, Kenneth, 21Aydemir, Abdurrahman, 17, 18Ayoo, C., 41

Bedard, Marcel, 44Babineau, Bernard, 48Backa, Lisa, 54Baggs, Jen, 36, 57Bailliu, Jeannine, 35, 61Baldwin, John R., 60Bandyopadhyay, Sumana, 36Baragar, Fletcher, 22, 25Barichello, Rick, 19, 31Basistha, Arabinda, 54Basu, Parantap, 30Baylor, Maximilian, 59Beach, Charles, 17, 38Beatty, Timothy, 23Beaulieu, Eugene, 27, 52, 53

Beaulieu, M., 31Beaulieu, Marie-Claude, 33Beausejour, Louis, 59Belanger, Clotilde, 26Benarroch, Michael, 52Benhassen, Lobna, 51Benjamin, Dwayne, 32Berka, Martin, 21, 29Bernhardt, Dan, 66Biswal, Bagala, 56, 59Boileau, Martin, 37Boismenu, Gerard, 45Boivin, Caroline, 20, 63Bolduc, Denis, 28Booth, Paul, 63Boudarbat, Brahim, 62Boxall, P., 26, 46, 59Boyce, John R., 21, 29, 59Boyd, M., 26, 40Brandt, Loren, 32Braun, Nathanael, 48, 60, 64Brewer, Shannon, 1Brinkman, George, 18Brooks, H., 47Brown, Robert D., 46Bruce, Christopher, 39, 53Buckley, Neil, 50Bucovetsky, Sam, 66Burbidge, John, 39Burns, Michael, 21, 40, 56Burton, Peter, 50, 59, 63

Cote, Denise, 54Cagatay, Nilufer, 30, 34Cairns, Robert, 59Caldwell, J., 26Cameron, Norman, 37Cameron, Richard, 57Campbell, Bruce, 30Campbell, Bryan, 33, 38Capps, Jr., Oral, 43Carew, R., 22Carlaw, Kenneth, 34Carmichael, Lorne, 53Carson, Nancy, 39Cater, Bruce, 52Cawthray, Jenness, 37Chabokrow, G., 41Chak, Pok Man, 24

CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002 67

INDEX

Chan, Wing H., 65Chao, Chi-Chur, 51Charlebois, P., 31Charron, Martin, 54Chartrand, Frederic, 45Chen, K., 31Chen, Shenjie, 27Chen, Wen-Hao, 44, 63Chen, Zhiqi, 21, 28, 47, 60Chiswick, Barry R., 17Cho, G., 18Chowdhury, Shyamal, 65Christensen, Ian, 30Chu, Kam Hon, 27, 44Church, Jeffrey, 43, 52Clark, S., 46Clarke, Andrew J., 37, 45, 56Cloutier, Martin L., 31Cobb-Clark, Deborah A., 17, 25Collins, Kirk, 28, 55Corak, Miles, 25, 44, 63Crabbe, Philippe, 20, 50Cranfield, John, 23, 28, 47, 57Creane, Anthony, 35Critoph, Ursule, 55Crossley, Thomas F., 45, 60Cuff, Katherine, 39Culver, D., 26Curtis, John, 36Curtis, Lori, 28, 56, 60, 64Cyrus, Teresa, 28

D’Souza, Chris, 57Dachraoui, Kais, 34, 44, 54Dahlby, Bev, 49, 56Davidson, Carl, 35Davies, James B., 41, 55de Bettignies, Jean-Etienne, 35de Montigny, Ugo, 46De Palma, Andre, 50de Raaf, Shawn, 44Dean, James W., 28, 31, 51Dehejia, Vivek, 53Demnati, Abdelatif, 63Deri, Catherine, 55Derksen, D., 46Desroches, Brigitte, 48Devereux, Michael, 29deVos, G., 19Dewbre, Joe, 22Dhawan-Biswal, Urvashi, 23, 56Dhif, Mohamed Adel, 63Dhillon, Amrita, 49

Di Matteo, Livio, 51, 55Dib, Ali, 37, 61Dodds, Stefan, 34, 63Donaldson, Cam, 40, 59Dong, Baomin, 29, 35Donni, Olivier, 63Dooley, Martin, 28, 51Dooley, Peter, 21Doucet, Joseph, 20, 50Dougherty, Craig, 20Dow, Gregory, 29, 63Doyle, Brian, 39, 48, 60Doyon, Maurice, 26, 40, 41Driedger, J., 40Dufour, Jean-Marie, 1, 33, 38, 49Duhamel, Marc, 47, 52, 57Duku-Kaakyire, A., 40Dupuis, David, 34, 61Durango, Gustavo, 53Dutt, Pushan, 24, 27Dyack, B., 23

Eaton, B. Curtis, 23, 29, 33, 39, 53Eckert, Andrew, 30, 42Eguchi, Kyota, 23Eichenbaum, Martin, 52Elahi, Khandakar Qudrat-l, 49, 55, 61Emery, George, 47Emery, Herb, 47, 52Engineer, Merwan, 33Erutku, Can, 20, 35Eswaran, Mukesh, 29, 54Etile, Fabrice, 40

Falvo, Nick, 30Faruqui, Umar, 54Faust, Jon, 48Fearon, Gervan, 34, 39Feehan, James P., 34Ferrara, Ida, 39, 53Ferrer, Ana, 18, 25, 43Ferris, Stephen, 52Filipovich, Dragan, 60Filippini, Luigi, 29Fillion, Jean-Francois, 54Finnie, Ross, 17, 24, 36Fisher, Anthony, 61Fisher, Gary, 30Flanagan, Greg, 55Florkowski, W., 22Foley, Kelly, 32Ford, Reuben, 32Fortin, Mario, 45

68 CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002

INDEX

Fortin, Nicole, 48, 57Fougere, Maxime, 32Fox, G., 22, 31, 41, 46Fox, Todd, 56Frank, Murray, 54Frenette, Marc, 18Freshwater, David, 22Fuller, Tom, 55Fulton, Murray, 18, 26Furtan, Hartley, 19, 22, 31, 62, 65

Gagne, Lynda, 37, 38, 65Gagnon, Edith, 48Gaisford, James, 24, 52Galbraith, John W., 33Gallego, Maria, 66Garcia, Rene, 48Gasperini, Eric, 27Gauthier, Celine, 29Gbegbelegbe, S., 46Gendron, Carole, 30Georges, Patrick, 64Gera, Surendra, 32, 37Gerard, Marcel, 49Gerrard, Christopher D., 60Gervais, J., 22, 40Ghaziani, Amin, 28, 63Ghosh, Madanmohan, 64Gilbert, Paul, 45Gladden, Tricia, 61Gobert, Karine, 59, 63Goddard, Ellen, 26Goldfarb, Avi, 35Gonzalez, Francisco, 62, 64Gospodinov, Nikolay, 36Gosselin, Marc-Andre, 48Gouin, D., 41Gradojevic, Nikola, 29, 34Grant, C., 40Grant, Mary, 18Grant, Michael, 46Gravelle, Toni, 34Gray, David, 18, 44Gray, R., 19, 31, 41Green, Alan, 51Green, David, 17, 20, 24, 32Grenier, Gilles, 60Grignon, Louis, 18, 32Grogan, Louise, 25, 62Grootendorst, Paul, 36Gu, Wulong, 37, 54, 57, 60, 65Gupta, Mangal, 36Gyarmati, David, 32

Haggui, F., 19Haghiri, Morteza, 50Hailu, G., 26Halchuk, Pauline, 40, 56Hallahan, C., 23Han, Seungjin, 65Hanel, Petr, 60Harchaoi, Tarek, 34, 65Harris, Richard, 39, 62Hatton MacDonald, Darla, 45Hauer, G.K., 47Hazledine, Tim, 52He, S., 22Head, Allen, 29Heisz, Andrew, 49, 52Helliwell, John, 40, 61Henderson, Daniel J., 51Hendry, Scott, 34Herrera, Ana Marıa, 37Hildebrand, Vincent, 25Hillberry, Russell, 62Hobbs, Jill, 30Hollis, Aidan, 21, 29, 47Horbulyk, T., 46Hormozi, Mohhamd, 48Hossain, Mohammad, 27Hostland, Doug, 56, 61, 64Hou, Feng, 20Hucq, A., 31Hudson, Ian, 25Hui, Shek-wai, 56Hummels, David, 62Hunt, T., 47Hurley, William, 49Huygen, I., 41

Imam, Hasan, 62Irvine, Ian, 24, 36, 51Ishikawa, Toshiya, 21

Jabs, J., 19Janmaat, John, 59Jeffrey, S., 26Jeon, Sung-Hee, 49, 57Jeon, Yongil, 24, 33Johnson, Lewis D., 21Johri, Alok, 64

Kam, Eric, 21Kambourov, Gueorgui, 33, 57, 61, 62Kamionka, Thierry, 54Karnizova, Lilia, 37Karunatne, Neil, 27

CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002 69

INDEX

Kassar, Ilhem, 20, 59Keay, Ian, 42, 47, 52, 59Kelly, K., 31Kennett, Julie, 42Kerr, W., 19, 31Kessler, Anke, 66Khakbazan, M., 46Khalaf, Lynda, 24, 33Khalafalla, Khalid Yousif, 27Khan, Hashmat, 56Kim, M., 18Kim, R., 26, 40, 41Kim, Tae-Hwan, 24Kim, Weon Jae, 32, 33Kingston-Riechers, JoAnn, 56, 64Klein, K., 31, 42Kleit, Andrew, 50Kneebone, Ron, 49, 63Kong, Ying, 59Koo, W., 18Kotwal, Ashok, 54Kovtun, Dmitriy, 62Krehm, William, 30Kuhn, Peter, 48Kumar, Alok, 23Kunz, Jean, 18Kuszczak, John, 54

Lulfesmann, Christoph, 66Leonard, Andre, 32LaFrance, J., 23Lafrance, Robert, 35Lai, Alexandra, 25Laidler, David, 61Lam, Jean-Paul, 54Lambert, Remy, 30Lancaster, Tony, 28Langinier, Corinne, 20Laroche, Mireille, 54LaRochelle-Cote, Sebastien, 49, 65Laroque, Guy, 49Larue, B., 22, 26, 41Larue, Bruno, 30Laryea, Samuel, 20, 25Lasserre, Pierre, 20, 59Lau, Carol, 24Lavoie, Claude, 53Law, Stephen, 29Leach, Andrew, 50Lee, Frank, 35Lee, Marc, 22Lee, Yew Liang, 17Lejeune, Albert, 31

Lemieux, Thomas, 38Lerohl, Mel, 26, 41Lessard, Frederic, 18Leung, Ambrose, 44, 52Leung, Siu Fai, 40, 44Levedahl, J., 46Levedahl, W., 23Levine, Larry, 21Lew, Byron, 1, 42, 47, 52Lin, Hwan-Chyang, 44Lin, Zhengxi, 65Lindsey, Robin, 45, 50Lipsey, Richard, 22, 34Liu, Hui, 20Liu, Ying, 54Liu, Z., 42Llavador, Humberto, 53Lluis, Stephanie, 43, 57Lo, KaMan, 33Longley, Neil, 37, 53Loranger, Jean-Guy, 21, 45Loria, Eduardo, 51Loukine, Konstantin, 57Love, H. Alan, 43Lu, Dennis, 49Lu, Hu, 35, 60Lu, Mingshan, 40Lubik, Thomas, 37, 43Lucas, Robert F., 60Lyons, Al, 22

M’Zali, Bouchra, 43Maazouz, Mokhtar, 27MacKinnon, James, 58MacKinnon, Mary, 27, 42, 51Macklem, Tiff, 35MacLean, Brian, 22, 40, 51, 56MacLeod, Bentley, 53MacLeod, Carolyn, 27, 28, 57Madras, Neal, 24Mahbobi, M., 19, 31Mahjoub, Abdel Aziz, 55Mahmud, Arif, 21Majumdar, Sumon, 34, 63Mak, Kitty, 38Malik, Hamza, 29, 56Malla, S., 41Mallory, Charles, 35Manaloor, Varghese, 45Mani, Anandi, 34Mankovska, Nadiya, 28Manovskii, Iourii, 57, 61, 62Manzoor, Davood, 60

70 CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002

INDEX

Martin, Larry, 22Masson, Paul, 62Maynard, Jean-Pierre, 54Mbaga, M., 18McCann, D., 26, 41McCaw, George, 19McDonald, Ted, 25McDonough, Lawrence, 48, 49, 57McKenzie, Ken, 1, 43, 53McKenzie, R., 40McLaren, Keith, 57McPherson, Matthew, 62Meddahi, Nour, 24, 33, 38, 54Meh, Cesaire, 25Meilke, Karl, 19, 22, 31Mendelson, Michael, 36Meng, Ronald, 17Mestelman, Stuart, 50Metcalf, Cherie, 59Miller, J., 46Miller, Paul W., 17Milligan, Kevin, 36, 41, 53Mills, Jeffrey, 18Minns, Chris, 42, 47, 62Mintz, Jack, 41, 49Missios, Paul, 21, 39Mitra, Devashish, 24Mohamed, Abdiweli, 60Mongrain, Steve, 66Moran, Kevin, 34, 56Moreau, Nicolas, 55, 64Morin, Marco, 41Morissette, Rene, 17, 25, 36Msafiri, M., 26Mueller, Richard, 23Mukand, Sharun, 34Muller, Andrew, 50Muller, Christophe, 24, 34, 54Murphy, Brian, 36Murray, G., 26Murray, John, 39, 51Myers, Gordon, 66Myles, John, 20

Nagy, C., 31Nakamura, Alice, 34, 56, 62, 64, 65Nanang, D., 47Ng, D., 31, 47Niekamp, D., 26Nikitin, Maxim, 25, 45Normandin, Michel, 30, 37Nosel, Ed, 66Nouhi, M., 31

Obben, James, 23Ohashi, Hiroshi, 24, 43Ohtaka, Z., 47Olewiler, Nancy, 61Oreopoulos, Philip, 53, 59Osakwe, Patrick, 35Osberg, Lars, 56Ostrovsky, Yuri, 45Ouellette, Pierre, 35Oxoby, Robert, 53, 59

Paddock, Brian, 19Paillat, N., 41Palda, Filip, 59Paquet, Alain, 43Paquet, Marie-France, 28Parisien, Pierre, 25Parthasarathy, Sujaya, 40Pattnayak, Sanja Samirana, 45Paul, B., 46Pazderka, Bohumir, 21Pearson, A., 46Pelletier, Denis, 20, 33Pellow, Scott, 57Pendakur, Krishna, 53Pereira, Alvaro, 42, 47Perrault, Jean-Francois, 35Pesavento, Elena, 29, 37Petit, Patrick, 35Phillips, T., 42Phimister, E., 42Phipps, Shelley, 59Piau, A., 26Pichette, Lise, 45Picot, Garnett, 17, 20Pilat, Dirk, 35Pioro, Hope, 35Plesca, Miana, 28Popovic, Andrija, 65Poschmann, Finn, 41, 64Powell, James, 39Powell, Lisa, 52

Quan, Y., 42

Radke, B., 40Rafiquzzaman, Mohammed, 21Ragan, Chris, 39, 61Rainville, Bruno, 32Rao, Someshwar, 21, 29, 35, 54Raymond, Melanie, 24, 32, 56Rebelein, Robert, 33Reed, A., 23, 46

CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002 71

INDEX

Regmi, Narayan, 48, 61Reitz, Stefan, 34Reuber, Grant L., 46Rich, Daniel, 65Richardson, Tom, 22Richelle, Yves, 20Riddel, Daryck, 27Riddell, Chris, 48Riddell, Craig, 25, 43, 61Rilstone, Paul, 36Rizon, M., 47Rizov, Marian, 32Robson, Arthur, 27Robson, William B.P., 35, 41, 46, 61Rockerbie, Duane, 23Rodriguez, Gabriel, 20, 60Rogers, Sean, 51Rollins, K., 46Romain, R., 26Ross, Thomas, 1, 42, 47, 60Roth, Eric, 33Rowe, Nicholas, 35, 45, 54, 60Roy, A., 47Roy, D., 22, 31Rude, J., 19Rude, James, 19, 22Ruge-Murcia, Francisco, 62Ruggeri, G.C., 63Rusco, Franklin, 63Russell, R. Robert, 51Ryan, Annette, 49

Sabbagh, Michel, 49Sabourin, David J., 30, 34, 54Sabuhoro, Jean-Bosco, 60, 64Sadoulet, Elisabeth, 24Saives, Anne-Laure, 31Salami, Habibollah, 48Santor, Eric, 25, 29Saphores, Jean-Daniel, 20, 57Sarma, Sisira K., 55Schembri, Lawrence, 1, 35, 39Schleicher, Christoph, 34, 38Schorfheide, Frank, 37Schott, Stephan, 50Scoones, David, 66Scott, Jeffrey, 40Seccareccia, Mario, 30, 51, 56Seldon, Jim, 59Sen, Annidya, 43, 52Sen, Debapriya, 20Sentana, Enrique, 38Sephton, Peter, 40, 55

Shalchian, Homayoon, 43Sharpe, Andrew, 36, 40, 56, 61, 64Shi, M., 31Shi, Shouyong, 29Shillington, Richard, 46Short, Cam, 19, 22, 31Shrestha, Ratna K., 34Sicotte, Richard, 27Siddiq, Fazley, 49Simchi, Alireza, 50Simpson, Wayne, 17, 36, 51Sinclair-Desgagne, Bernard, 20, 29Singh, Vik, 45Singleton, Bill, 27Smart, Michael, 66Smith, Barry, 24Smith, David, 34Smith, E., 40, 42Smith, Gregor, 25, 29, 39, 48Smith, Jeffrey, 28, 56Smith, Jeremy, 56Smits, Karlis, 23, 29Smythe, James, 63Snoddon, Tracy, 49, 63Souissi, Mokhtar, 28, 64Sparling, D., 45Spearing, D., 31St-Amant, Pierre, 39, 54Stanford, Jim, 22, 55Startz, Richard, 54Steele, Marion, 61, 64Stewart, Jennifer, 51Stewart, Ken, 28, 33Stonehouse, P., 19Strain, Greg, 22Szostak, Rick, 42, 47, 51

Taamouti, Mohamed, 33Tang, Jianmin, 29, 34, 54Tang, Sam Hak Kan, 55Taras, Daphne G., 32Tarkhani, Faouzi, 65Tattrie, Doug, 32Tauman, Yair, 20Tessier, David, 29, 34, 61Thangavelu, Shandre Mugan, 45Therrien, Pierre, 32Thierrin, Raphael, 30Thompson, Eden, 18Thompson, S., 31Thompson, W., 46Timilsina, Govinda R., 53Townley, Peter, 1, 42, 47, 52

72 CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002

INDEX

Townsend, James, 34, 64Tran, Kien C., 62Trant, Mike, 18, 26Tremblay, Jean-Francois, 39Tseng, Hui-Kuan, 44Tsoa, Eugene, 44Turcotte, Julie, 37, 56

Unterschultz, J., 26, 40, 46

Valery, Pascale, 38van Melle, B., 22Vandervalk, C., 42Veeman, Michele, 30, 41Veeman, T., 19, 46Velk, Thomas, 56Vera-Toscano, E., 42Verdier, Genevieve, 61Vigeant, Stephane, 20, 35Vilasuso, Jon, 62Vincent, Carole, 25, 44Voia, Marcel-Cristian, 28Voyer, Jean-Pierre, 44Vyn, R., 47

Walburger, A., 26Walls, David, 63Wang, Weimin, 29, 54Warburton, Bill, 32Wechsler, Henry, 52Weersink, A., 19, 42, 45Welling, Linda, 33Wen, Jean-Francois, 1, 23, 33, 39, 53West, Douglas, 42West, G., 41West, Gale, 23, 30Whewell, Lori, 32, 37Wigle, Randall, 36, 48, 57, 59Williams, Bob, 30Williams, Jenny, 52Williams, Trevor, 38Wilman, Elizabeth, 53Wilson, Sam, 63Wilson, Stuart, 30Wilson, Tom, 41Winer, Stan, 66Wirjanto, Tony, 24, 62Wong, Chi Tat, 40Wong, Ging, 65Wong, Ka Kei Gary, 57Woodcock, Simon, 65Wooders, Myrna, 27, 49Worswick, Christopher, 17, 18, 20, 43

Woutersen, Tiemen, 28Wu, Bill, 29

Xu, Kuan, 44, 63

Yang, Jing, 34Yatawara, Ravi, 27Yevdokimov, Yuri, 50Young, Michael D., 45Yousefi, Ayoub, 62Yu, Eden, 44, 51Yu, Shihti, 44Yu, Weiqiu, 63Yuan, Lasheng, 29, 35Yuen, Terence, 32Yuri, Ostrovsky, 64

Zahedi Vafa, M.H., 55Zakhilwal, Omar, 53, 60, 65Zandvakili, Sourushe, 18Zentner, R., 46Zhang, Anming, 50Zhang, Hua, 44Zhang, Junxi, 44Zhang, W., 42Zhang, Xuelin, 25, 51, 62, 65Zhang, Yimin, 50Zhu, Zhenhua, 56Zinde-Walsh, Victoria, 24, 33Zissimos, Ben, 50

CEA Conference 2002 / Congres de l’ACE 2002 73

NOTES

NOTES

The CEA would like to acknowledge gratefullythe contributions from the following sponsors:

L’ACE remercie, pour leur contribution, les commanditaires suivants:

BANK OF CANADA / BANQUE DU CANADA

CANADIAN ASSOCIATION OF PETROLEUM PRODUCERS (CAPP)

CENTRE INTERUNIVERSITAIRE DE RECHERCHEEN ANALYSE DES ORGANISATIONS (CIRANO)

CENTRE INTERUNIVERSITAIRE DE RECHERCHEEN ECONOMIE QUANTITATIVE (CIREQ)

DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS, UNIVERSITY OF CALGARY

DEPARTMENT OF FINANCE, CANADAMINISTERE DES FINANCES, CANADA

EXPORT DEVELOPMENT CANADAEXPORTATION ET DEVELOPPEMENT CANADA

FACULTY OF GRADUATE STUDIES, UNIVERSITY OF CALGARY

FACULTY OF MANAGEMENT, UNIVERSITY OF CALGARY

NELSON THOMPSON LEARNING

PRESIDENT’S OFFICE, UNIVERSITY OF CALGARY

STATISTICS CANADA – ANALYTICAL STUDIES BRANCHSTATISTIQUE CANADA - DIRECTION DES ETUDES ANALYTIQUES