assessing sustainable development

Upload: jjrs

Post on 06-Apr-2018

220 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 8/3/2019 Assessing Sustainable Development

    1/4

    An Alternative Model for Assessing the Sustainable Development of a Construction

    Project

    Min Wu

    School of Management, Chongqing Qiao Tong University, Xuefu Rd No 66, Nanan District, Chongqing, China,

    400074. Email: [email protected]

    The concept of sustainable construction has become popular in

    research. However, there is little existing work providing methods

    to assess the degree of the contribution of developing a

    construction project to the attainment of sustainable development.

    This paper thus proposes an alternative quantitative model to

    address this issue. The model, developed based on the general

    principle of sustainable development, is proposed for the

    application at project feasibility stage. A case study is provided to

    demonstrate the application of the proposed model.

    Keywords: construction project, sustainable development,

    assessment, feasibility study

    1. Introduction

    Traditional works have developed a number of measurements such

    as net present value, return on investment, payback period, etc., to

    assess the feasibility of a project investment. These measurements

    have been widely adopted when the profitability of the investment

    is examined. However, it appears that there is little existing

    mechanism for assessing the sustainability of a construction

    project investment [1]. This mainly reflects the tradition, which

    concerns less about the environment than profitability. The

    pursuance of sustainable development presents the challenge that

    the sustainability of a construction project development must be

    assessed before its commencement. The aim of this paper is, thus

    to introduce an alternative model to assist in assessing the

    contribution of a construction project in attaining the principle of

    sustainable development.

    2. Sustainable development value (SDV) of a construction

    project

    An effective methodology of undertaking such assessment is to

    develop a measurement, and sustainable development value (SDV)

    is introduced for such purpose. Sustainable development value of a

    construction project is defined in this study as the contribution of a

    construction project to the attainment of sustainable development

    principle. The major principle of sustainable development mainly

    concerns the sustainability of economic development (E), social

    development (S) and environmental development (En) [2], which

    are usually described as the three dimensions of sustainable

    development. Based on this principle, the three dimensions are

    considered as variables affecting the level of contribution from a

    construction project to the attainment of sustainable development.

    Therefore, it is considered that SDV can be used to indicate the

    significance of developing a construction project to the attainment

    of the three dimensions of sustainable development, called

    elementary indicators of sustainable development. Based on this,

    an analytical expression can be established to indicate the relation

    between SDVand the indicatorsE, SandEn, shown as follows:

    ),,( nESESDV f= (1)

    Where: SDVdenotes for sustainable development value of a

    construction project;Edenotes for the significance of developing a

    construction project to sustainable economic development; S

    denotes for the significance of developing a construction project to

    sustainable social development; and nE denotes for the

    significance of developing a construction project to sustainable

    environmental development. Model (1) indicates the existence of

    the relation between SDV and the key sustainability indicators.

    However, the implementation of a construction project will have

    various impacts to economic development, social development and

    environmental sustainability at different stages in different formats

    of presence during the whole development process of a

    construction project. Therefore, when the sustainability of a

    construction project is examined, time must be specified. In other

    words, the indicators E, Sand nE will carry different values indifferent time in the life cycle of a construction project. For

    example, a construction project will not generate any economic

    benefits but consume various resources at construction stage, thus

    its economic impact at this stage can be considered negative,

    1-4244-1312-5/07/$25.00 2007 IEEE 5504

    Authorized licensed use limited to: Universidad Federal de Pernambuco. Downloaded on April 14,2010 at 18:20:10 UTC from IEEE Xplore. Restrictions apply.

  • 8/3/2019 Assessing Sustainable Development

    2/4

    whereas the project will generally make positive economic

    contributions during its operation stage. Thus time (t) is the key

    parameter toE, SandEn when they are examined, and the value of

    SDVshould be assessed across the life cycle of a project. Model (1)

    therefore can be re-written as follows:

    ))(),(),(( tEtStESDV nf= (2)

    This measure specifies a specific value at a specific time.

    3. Sustainable development ability (SDA) of a construction

    project

    Whilst it may be impossible to allow a project having positive

    contributions all the time during its life cycle, it must be the

    objective of developing an adequate project to ensure that the total

    contribution during its life cycle is positive. In other words, SDV

    can be positive or negative at a specific time, but the total value of

    SDV during the whole life cycle must be positive. The current

    project management practice contributes efforts mainly on the

    construction and the functional performance of a project during its

    effective operation period. In fact, a project can bring serious

    negative impacts particularly on social and environmental

    development when it becomes obsolete technologically and

    economically. It is therefore more proper to assess a project with

    considering its whole process, and a project with a positive total

    value ofSDVcan be considered feasible or adequate in line with

    the sustainable development principle. This conception requests

    that the assessment on the feasibility of developing a construction

    project should be undertaken from the viewpoints of social,economical and environmental perspectives throughout project life

    cycle. The application of this conception pursues the maximum

    totality of SDV. For supporting the following analysis, this paper

    defines the totality ofSDVduring the life cycle of a construction

    project as the ability that the project will have in contributing to

    the attainment of sustainable development, and such ability is

    called as sustainable development ability (SDA). An analytical

    model can be used to present SDA as follows:

    =

    =

    endT

    n dttEtStE

    dSDVSDA

    f0

    ))(),(),((

    (3)

    Where SDV denotes for the ability of a construction project in

    contributing to the attainment of sustainable development;

    denotes for the whole period of the project life cycle; and Tend

    denotes for the end of a construction project life cycle. The

    introduction ofSDA provides alternative mechanism for assessing

    whether the development of a construction project is in line with

    sustainable development. The implication of model (3) for its

    application can be described as: (a) the development of a

    construction project is feasible and acceptable in line with

    sustainable development when SDA is positive; and (b) the

    development of a construction project is not feasible and

    unacceptable in line with sustainable development when SDA is

    negative. Nevertheless, model (3) itself can find difficult for its

    application. The following section is to investigate a practical

    procedures of using the theories embodied in model (3)

    4. Leveling method for analyzing the ability of construction

    project in attaining sustainable development

    The value SDVof a construction project is determined by multiple

    factors, see model (1). The general factors E, SandEn describing

    sustainable development are examined through investigating their

    sub-level factors such as cultural, historical and political aspects.

    In turn, sub-level factors can be examined through investigating

    sub-sub-level factors. By adopting such leveling process, the value

    SDV can be analyzed through examining all levels of factors.

    Hypothetically, factors determining SDVcan be leveled into many

    levels. For the simplicity of analysis, three levels of factors are

    used in this study. The value SDV thus can be derived from the

    following model:

    ijvijv

    iSDV

    i

    k

    j

    n

    v

    i i

    k

    j

    R

    RR

    3

    1 1 1

    3

    1

    3

    1 1

    ijiji

    =

    ==

    = = =

    == =

    (4)

    Where iR denotes for the first-level variables, namely, E

    (significance to sustainable economy), S (significance to

    sustainable social development), and En (significance to

    sustainable environment); ijR denotes for the second-level

    variables, which are derived from first-level variables; ijvR denotes

    for the third-level variables, which are derived from second-level

    variables; i denotes for the weighting values of the first-level

    1-4244-1312-5/07/$25.00 2007 IEEE 5505

    Authorized licensed use limited to: Universidad Federal de Pernambuco. Downloaded on April 14,2010 at 18:20:10 UTC from IEEE Xplore. Restrictions apply.

  • 8/3/2019 Assessing Sustainable Development

    3/4

    variables, subject to: 13

    1

    ==i

    i ; ij denotes for the weighting

    values of the second-level variables, subject to: =

    =k

    j

    iij

    1

    ; ijv

    denotes for the weighting values of the third-level variables,

    subject to: =

    =n

    v

    ijijv

    1

    .

    In model (4), 1R , 2R and R3are the significance values of the

    first-level variables, which are economic contribution, social

    contribution and environmental contribution of the project

    concerned. As all other variables are derived from these three

    general factors, the proper analysis on the composition of variables

    at second-level and third-level is very important. The significance

    of the variables and their weightings will be assessed with

    considering many factors and project characteristics such as

    cultural, historical, and political context where the project is

    developed. The calculation of these values can be conducted by

    employing Multi-attribute value technique (MAVT). The

    employment of MAVT needs the assistance of a group of experts

    in evaluating the weighting of all factors at each level.

    The proposed procedure for applying leveling-method in assessing

    project sustainability encompasses six steps and will be explained

    in the case study.

    5. A case study

    A practical case is applied to demonstrate the application of the

    procedures established in Figure 1. The project is named as

    Fengdu CNNa Renovation Project. It is the extension of a

    nitrogenous fertilizer factory. The data are derived from the

    projects feasibility study report, environmental impact assessment

    report, and social analysis report.

    Step 1: Analyze the characteristic of Fengdu CNNa Modification

    Project. The project is developed to produce CNNa . Its expected

    annual product will be 4000 t. The project is located at the Fengdu

    County in Chongqing. It is a resettlement of a previous nitrogenous

    fertilizer plant, which was demolished due to Three Gorges Project.

    The new plant is built with much larger scale compared to the old

    one. The annual coal consumption is 13663 ton. It is expected that

    sulphur emission in the coal will be 2%, thus 2SO will be a main

    pollutant. The total area occupied by the plant is 30000m2. 25

    management positions, and 250 technical positions are recruited

    for the operation of the project. The total investment of the project

    development is RMB50 million. Construction period is one year

    and operation life is planned 10 years. The project inception,

    commission, and demolish assume relatively short period of time,

    three months for each stage.

    Step 2: Identify the variables affecting SDV of the project at

    second and third level by using the leveling-tree. The first-level

    variables embrace three general attributes, namely, the significance

    to economical development, the significance to social development,

    and significance to the environmental protection. Considering

    economic contribution, attribute such as cash flow can be selected

    as the sub-variable. Air, water, and noise are selected as the

    sub-variables indicating the significance to environmental

    protection. 2SO , CO, TSP (total suspended particulate), and NO

    are selected as the third-level variables for air quality. PH, SS

    (suspended solid), 5BOD (biological oxygen demand within a

    sealed container at 20 oC, and some other factors are selected as

    the third-level variables for water quality. Employment opportunity

    per RMB1 million investments (EOPM1), comprehensive energy

    consumption efficiency (CECE), consumption ratio of cultivated

    land (CRCL), and water consumption ratio (WCR) are selected as

    sub variables for social development.

    Step 3: Establish standards or benchmarks through collecting and

    applying relevant criteria or standards stipulated by authoritative

    bodies. Fengdu CNNa Modification Project is constructed in

    Chongqing of China. Therefore, the China National Environmental

    Protection Standard and Chongqing local Environmental Code of

    Practice are employed for establishing the benchmarks in assessing

    the SDV of the variables of air, water, and noise. The criteria and

    benchmarks can be obtained from National Air Quality Standard

    GB3095-1996, National Water Quality Standard GB3838-88, and

    Urban Environment Noise Standard GB-3096-93. For assessing

    the SDVs of other variables, Construction Project Economical

    Assessment Methodology, and Guidelines for Social Assessment

    of Development Project can be applied.

    1-4244-1312-5/07/$25.00 2007 IEEE 5506

    Authorized licensed use limited to: Universidad Federal de Pernambuco. Downloaded on April 14,2010 at 18:20:10 UTC from IEEE Xplore. Restrictions apply.

  • 8/3/2019 Assessing Sustainable Development

    4/4

    Step 4: Determine the weighting values of individual variables at

    each level. Assume that through a comprehensive survey process

    and using the MAVT technique, the weighting values for all

    variables are established as in Table 1.

    Step 5: Calculate SDV and SDA. For the purpose of simplicity,

    only construction and operation states are considered. Assume that

    the required benchmark values for all variables are 100.

    Considering both project characteristics and benchmark standards

    issued by authoritative bodies, the SDVs of all variables during

    construction and operation are hypothetically established in Table

    1. According to formula (4):

    5.6811

    3

    1

    == ===

    ijv

    n

    v

    ijv

    k

    ji

    stageonconstructi RSDV

    130

    11

    3

    1

    == ===

    ijv

    n

    v

    ijv

    k

    ji

    stageoperation RSDV

    And, according to model (3), the following calculation can be

    obtained:

    5.1981305.680

    =+== endT

    SDVdtSDA

    Compared to the required benchmark, namely, 100, the sustainable

    development ability of this project with 198.5 is considered of

    good potential. In other words, the development of this project can

    be considered in line with the sustainable development principles,

    thus its implementation is acceptable.

    6. Conclusion

    Construction activity has been traditionally considered having

    adverse impact on the sustainable development of the environment.

    The traditional practice of assessing the feasibility of a

    construction project concerns more on the economic and social

    contribution of a construction project. This paper thus develops a

    quantitative model to assess the feasibility of a construction project

    in contributing to the attainment of sustainable development. A

    case study is provided to demonstrate the application of the

    proposed model.

    Table 1 SDVand SDA for case study

    SDVValueVariables Wt

    Construction

    stage

    Operation

    stage

    Economic Cash flow 0.5 50 150

    2SO 0.06 70 100

    CO 0.01 80 100

    TSP 0.02 75 100

    Air

    NO 0.01 80 100

    PH 0.04 100 110

    SS 0.04 80 100

    Water

    BOD5 0.04 90 100

    Environ.

    Noise 0.08 80 120

    EOPMI 0.05 110 150

    CECE 0.05 90 110

    CLCR 0.05 90 100

    Social

    WCR 0.05 90 100

    References

    [1]Ding, G. and Langston, C., Multiple criteria sustainability

    modeling: case study on school buildings, The International

    Journal of Construction Management, Vol. 4 No. 2, pp. 13-26,

    2004.

    [2]UNCHS, The Habitat Agenda: Goals, Principles, Commitments

    and Global Plan of Action, Istanbul, Turkey, 3-14 June, pp13,

    1996.

    1-4244-1312-5/07/$25.00 2007 IEEE 5507

    Authorized licensed use limited to: Universidad Federal de Pernambuco. Downloaded on April 14,2010 at 18:20:10 UTC from IEEE Xplore. Restrictions apply.