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11-November-2016 Chris Schneider ASDA Session 3: Airport Performance – More Punctuality

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Page 1: ASDA Session 3: · PDF fileASDA Session 3: Airport Performance – More . Punctuality . Content: ACARE Mobility challenge ... • An air traffic management system is capable of handling

11-November-2016 Chris Schneider

ASDA Session 3: Airport Performance – More Punctuality

Page 2: ASDA Session 3: · PDF fileASDA Session 3: Airport Performance – More . Punctuality . Content: ACARE Mobility challenge ... • An air traffic management system is capable of handling

Content: ACARE Mobility challenge The aviation environment The punctuality (and predictability) challenge

Page 3: ASDA Session 3: · PDF fileASDA Session 3: Airport Performance – More . Punctuality . Content: ACARE Mobility challenge ... • An air traffic management system is capable of handling

ACARE Mobility challenge

Page 4: ASDA Session 3: · PDF fileASDA Session 3: Airport Performance – More . Punctuality . Content: ACARE Mobility challenge ... • An air traffic management system is capable of handling

The mobility challenge set out by ACAREs ‚Flightpath 2050‘

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Advisory Council for Aviation Research and Innovation in Europe

Chris Schneider Munich Airport GmbH – Dataset2050 workshop – 12-JUL-2016

• European citizens are able to make informed mobility choices

• 90% of travellers within Europe are able to complete their journey, door-to-door within 4 hours.

• A coherent ground infrastructure is developed

• Flights land within 1 minute of the planned arrival time

• An air traffic management system is capable of handling 25 million flights a year in Europe

Page 5: ASDA Session 3: · PDF fileASDA Session 3: Airport Performance – More . Punctuality . Content: ACARE Mobility challenge ... • An air traffic management system is capable of handling

• A shift from ‘mode-specific’ to ‘integrated transport solutions’ (door-to-door vs. airport-to-airport)

• Need to harmonize processes and interfaces between travel modes

• Need to enable seamless flows of passengers and freight through the system in order to meet d2d mobility performance targets

• Need for a step-change in predictability and punctuality of transport operations

• Customer-centric system also means liberalised and competitive transport market

• Informed mobility-choices by customers require guidance provided without any bias towards providers or modes

Addressing this mobility challenge means ….

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Integration and co-operation is key for customer-centric mobility

Chris Schneider Munich Airport GmbH – Dataset2050 workshop – 12-JUL-2016

Page 6: ASDA Session 3: · PDF fileASDA Session 3: Airport Performance – More . Punctuality . Content: ACARE Mobility challenge ... • An air traffic management system is capable of handling

A simplified journey involving air travel …

Source: Munich Airport 6 11/20/2016

Chris Schneider Munich Airport GmbH – Dataset2050 workshop – 12-JUL-2016 6

Travel improvements: • Travel decisions based on

unbiased information according individual travel preferences (e.g. environmental footprint, cost, reliability, punctuality, health aspects etc.)

• Integrated door-to-door travel planning, booking, ticketing and payment (one contract for whole journey)

• Door-to-door (multimodal) travel monitoring & reconfiguration reduces uncertainty, buffers and stress

• Integrated airport processes provide a hassle-free and predictable walk-through experience

• Sufficient system capacity and integration allows customers freedom of choice and unprecedented reliability, service and punctuality levels.

Page 7: ASDA Session 3: · PDF fileASDA Session 3: Airport Performance – More . Punctuality . Content: ACARE Mobility challenge ... • An air traffic management system is capable of handling

The aviation environment

Page 8: ASDA Session 3: · PDF fileASDA Session 3: Airport Performance – More . Punctuality . Content: ACARE Mobility challenge ... • An air traffic management system is capable of handling

0 500 1000 15000 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400

Southeast Asia--South AsiaMiddle East--Southeast Asia

North America--South AmericaEurope--South America

Central America--North AmericaCIS Region--International

Africa--EuropeChina--Europe

China--North AmericaChina--Southeast Asia

Middle East--South AsiaEurope--North America

Europe--Middle EastSouth Asia--South Asia

South America--South AmericaRest of World

Southeast Asia--Southeast AsiaNorth America--North America

Europe--EuropeChina--China

Air traffic in Europe is forecast to double in the next 20 years ...

Only domestic traffic within China is forecast to outperform intra-European and North American traffic growth until 2034 (absolute growth, RPK):

RPK (billions)

Data source: Boeing CMO 2015

Europe North America

8 Chris Schneider Munich Airport GmbH – Dataset2050 workshop – 12-JUL-2016

Page 9: ASDA Session 3: · PDF fileASDA Session 3: Airport Performance – More . Punctuality . Content: ACARE Mobility challenge ... • An air traffic management system is capable of handling

Lack of airport capacity will most likely limit air travel …

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Global growth Regulated Growth Happy Localism Fragmenting World

about. 1500 add. daily mvts.

In Germany

Dotted lines unconstrained growth Solid lines Growth constrained by airport capacity

Chris Schneider Munich Airport GmbH – Dataset2050 workshop – 12-JUL-2016

Page 10: ASDA Session 3: · PDF fileASDA Session 3: Airport Performance – More . Punctuality . Content: ACARE Mobility challenge ... • An air traffic management system is capable of handling

Challenges for growth scenarios are based on completion of planned infrastructure projects ...

10 Chris Schneider Munich Airport GmbH – Dataset2050 workshop – 12-JUL-2016

This cannot be taken for granted. E.g. official planning for a third runway in MUC began in 2005, legal approval was obtained in 2012 and confirmed in 2014... But construction is currently blocked by a public vote

Page 11: ASDA Session 3: · PDF fileASDA Session 3: Airport Performance – More . Punctuality . Content: ACARE Mobility challenge ... • An air traffic management system is capable of handling

Major airports will be even more congested ....

Airports w/ summer delay (in minutes/flight). Source: EUROCONTROL

Chris Schneider Munich Airport GmbH – Dataset2050 workshop – 12-JUL-2016 11

Page 12: ASDA Session 3: · PDF fileASDA Session 3: Airport Performance – More . Punctuality . Content: ACARE Mobility challenge ... • An air traffic management system is capable of handling

movements / h

Average Delay [min]

Airside (Runway) Capacity Curve – Delays increase exponentially with traffic levels ….

Declared capacity

Declared Capacity: The capacity per hour used in specifying the number of slots available for schedule coordination purposes; no standard method for its determination; generally set to about 85-90% of saturation capacity

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Practical Capacity

Practical Capacity: The average number of operations that can be performed in one hour on a runway with an average delay per operation of 4 minutes.

Saturation Capacity

Saturation Capacity / max. Throughput: The expected (“average”) number of operations

(takeoffs and landings) that can be performed in one hour on a runway without violating ATC rules, assuming continuous aircraft demand.

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Page 13: ASDA Session 3: · PDF fileASDA Session 3: Airport Performance – More . Punctuality . Content: ACARE Mobility challenge ... • An air traffic management system is capable of handling

Disruptive change is in the air …. Will it help to meet the challenge ?

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The application and integration of new technologies offer a plethora of new services that can shake up the world as we know it …..

Automation & Connectivity

3D printing Battery technologies

Smart Systems Autonomous Vehicles Virtualisation

Posi

tion

base

d in

form

atio

n

Dig

italis

atio

n Big data

Dro

nes In

dust

ry 4

.0

Blockchains

Internet of Things Intelligent transport Systems Hyperloop

Alternative Fuels

Electrification of transport

Sm

art c

ities

Chris Schneider Munich Airport GmbH – Dataset2050 workshop – 12-JUL-2016

Page 14: ASDA Session 3: · PDF fileASDA Session 3: Airport Performance – More . Punctuality . Content: ACARE Mobility challenge ... • An air traffic management system is capable of handling

Seite 14

The punctuality & predictability challenge

Page 15: ASDA Session 3: · PDF fileASDA Session 3: Airport Performance – More . Punctuality . Content: ACARE Mobility challenge ... • An air traffic management system is capable of handling

Punctuality challenge 1: Airport (landside) capacity and operations

• Increasing predictability of operations (e.g. by Total Airport Management)

• Integration with other modes

• Hassle free, non-intrusive security procedures • Risk based approach to security • Use of biometrics • Improved screening technologies

• Time efficiency & process predictability

• Airport / travel experience • Indoor location & route-finding systems • Tailored & integrated services • Innovative passenger information channels

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Source: http://www.engadget.com/2011/06/08/iatas-checkpoint-of-the-future- uses-biometric-ids-to-separate-d/

Page 16: ASDA Session 3: · PDF fileASDA Session 3: Airport Performance – More . Punctuality . Content: ACARE Mobility challenge ... • An air traffic management system is capable of handling

Punctuality challenge 2: Airport (airside) Capacity

• Improved use of runway system

• updated runway operating modes based on new CNS/ATM technology (for new and existing infrastructure)

• reduced separations at increased safety levels • reduced runway occupancy times (e.g. Brake-To-

Vacate) • Increased predictability of runway operations and

performance • improved AWO systems and procedures

• Improved system resilience in adverse weather situations

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Page 17: ASDA Session 3: · PDF fileASDA Session 3: Airport Performance – More . Punctuality . Content: ACARE Mobility challenge ... • An air traffic management system is capable of handling

Punctuality challenge 3: ATM & airspace capacity

• Increasing airspace capacity

• Focus on on-time arrivals for flow management (?)

• Optimised terminal flight procedures

• Maintaining capacity levels in various WX conditions

• Integration of new air vehicle concepts (UAVs, RPAS, new configurations)

• Facilitating change and adoption of new technologies (e.g. GBAS)

• Role of automation ?

• ???

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Page 18: ASDA Session 3: · PDF fileASDA Session 3: Airport Performance – More . Punctuality . Content: ACARE Mobility challenge ... • An air traffic management system is capable of handling

So we do have a real punctuality & predictability challenge …

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Chris Schneider Munich Airport GmbH – Dataset2050 workshop – 12-JUL-2016

• How can we meet it ?

• What are the most promising approaches ?

• Do we need disruption ? If so, in which area ?

• ???

Page 19: ASDA Session 3: · PDF fileASDA Session 3: Airport Performance – More . Punctuality . Content: ACARE Mobility challenge ... • An air traffic management system is capable of handling

Thank you