as u.s. presence wanes iran flexes in afghanistan · 2017/08/06 · bryan denton for the new york...

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VOL. CLXVI .... No. 57,681 © 2017 The New York Times Company SUNDAY, AUGUST 6, 2017 FARAH, Afghanistan — A po- lice officer guarding the outskirts of this city remembers the call from his commander, warning that hundreds of Taliban fighters were headed his way. “Within half an hour, they at- tacked,” recalled Officer Najibul- lah Amiri, 35. The Taliban swarmed the farmlands sur- rounding his post and seized the western riverbank here in Farah, the capital of the province by the same name. It was the start of a three-week siege in October, and only after American air support was called in to end it and the smoke cleared did Afghan security officials real- ize who was behind the lightning strike: Iran. Four senior Iranian comman- dos were among the scores of dead, Afghan intelligence officials said, noting their funerals in Iran. Many of the Taliban dead and wounded were also taken back across the nearby border with Iran, where the insurgents had been recruited and trained, vil- lage elders told Afghan provincial officials. The assault, coordinated with attacks on several other cities, was part of the Taliban’s most am- bitious attempt since 2001 to re- take power. But it was also a piece of an accelerating Iranian cam- paign to step into a vacuum left by departing American forces Iran’s biggest push into Afghanis- tan in decades. President Trump recently la- mented that the United States was losing its 16-year war in Afghanis- tan, and threatened to fire the American generals in charge. There is no doubt that as the United States winds down the Af- ghan war — the longest in Ameri- can history, and one that has cost half a trillion dollars and more than 150,000 lives on all sides — regional adversaries are muscling in. Saudi Arabia and Pakistan re- main the dominant players. But Iran is also making a bold gambit to shape Afghanistan in its favor. Over the past decade and a half, the United States has taken out Iran’s chief enemies on two of its borders, the Taliban government in Afghanistan and Saddam Hus- Iran Flexes in Afghanistan As U.S. Presence Wanes Covert Aid to Taliban, Onetime Enemies, Risks Destabilizing a Shaky Nation By CARLOTTA GALL The main bazaar in the city of Farah in Afghanistan in April. There, and in Herat, Iranian goods and influence are prominent. BRYAN DENTON FOR THE NEW YORK TIMES Continued on Page 12 TEHRAN’S TURN A Bold Gambit Just a year ago, after the Su- preme Court rejected a challenge to the University of Texas at Austin’s admissions program by a single swing vote, the question seemed to be edging, at last, to- ward an answer: Colleges could, the justices ruled, consider race when deciding whom to let through their gates. “I thought this was settled,” said Anthony P. Carnevale, an economist at Georgetown Univer- sity who studies affirmative ac- tion. “I thought it was done.” Only for the moment. A series of lawsuits and com- plaints have continued to chal- lenge such practices, and last week, President Trump’s Justice Department joined the chorus, signaling that it would marshal lawyers to investigate and per- haps sue colleges over “inten- tional race-based discrimination” in admissions. Besieged in court, routed in eight states, accused of favoring blacks and Latinos at the expense of Asians and whites, affirmative action — a major legacy of the civil rights era — is once again the sub- ject of uncomfortable scrutiny. But even without federal inter- vention, a look at affirmative ac- tion policies in 2017 shows that they have achieved their own kind of diversity, evolving from the ex- plicitly race-based quotas of dec- ades ago into a range of ap- proaches that occasionally, not al- ways, near the melting-pot ideal, often by giving preference to low- income students instead of minor- ities. “The reason a liberal like me is intrigued by Trump’s actions on affirmative action is that I think it could have the effect of driving universities to really pursuing so- cioeconomic diversity as a way of indirectly creating racial diversi- ty,” said Richard D. Kahlenberg, a senior fellow at the Century Foun- dation who has pushed for class- based admissions to replace race- based admissions. Public universities in California and Washington, forbidden by state law from considering race in Colleges Seek Diversity Ideal, But Pick Different Paths to It By VIVIAN YEE Continued on Page 15 CHATTANOOGA, Tenn. — At the airport here, there is a remind- er to travelers of the jobs that global trade can bring. A shiny 2017 Volkswagen Passat is sta- tioned near the entryway and la- beled: “Designed in Germany. Built in Chattanooga.” The American map is dotted with towns drained of jobs after homegrown factories bolted to lower-wage countries. But for many spots throughout the coun- try, the same strategy of moving operations overseas when practiced by foreign companies — has buoyed local fortunes. In Chattanooga and the sur- rounding region, for example, more than two dozen companies from 20 countries have set up shop, generating billions of dol- lars in investment, employing thousands of workers and helping drive Tennessee’s jobless rate to 3.6 percent in June, a record low for the state. But political and business lead- ers here in Hamilton County, a conservative stronghold where Donald J. Trump won a majority of the votes, worry that the presi- dent’s attacks on trading partners and exhortations to “Buy Ameri- can” could set off a protectionist spiral of tariffs and import restric- tions, hurting consumers and workers. “I’m nervous,” Mayor Andy Berke said over sweet tea and U.S. Cities Welcome a Foreign Product: Jobs By PATRICIA COHEN Bill Phillips shrugs off whether Southeast Mahindra in Chattanooga, Tenn., is a foreign company. MELISSA GOLDEN FOR THE NEW YORK TIMES Attack on Global Trade Worries Areas Lifted by Overseas Firms Continued on Page 17 Where will you be on Aug. 21? A special section to illuminate you on the coming darkness. The American Eclipse SEOUL, South Korea — Di- vorced and out of money, Kwon Chol-nam fled North Korea for China in 2014 by wading across a river border at night and then crawling over a barbed-wire fence. After a perilous trek that in- cluded walking through a jungle in Laos, he reached Thailand, where he was allowed to fly to South Korea to start a new life. After all that trouble and dan- ger, Mr. Kwon now wants South Korea to allow him to return home to the North. “You have to ride a horse to know whether it’s the right mount for you,” Mr. Kwon said in an interview in Seoul. “I have tried, and the South is not for me. I want to go home to the North to reunite with my ex-wife and 16-year-old son.” North Korea is one of the world’s most politically repressive countries. No matter. Mr. Kwon says he has grown disillusioned with life in the capitalist South, where he says North Korean de- fectors like him are treated like second-class citizens. “They called me names, treat- ing me like an idiot, and didn’t pay me as much as others doing the same work, just because I was from the North,” Mr. Kwon said, his voice rising in anger. To press his unusual demand, he has held news conferences, submitted petitions to the United Nations and demonstrated with signs in front of government buildings in Seoul. More than 30,000 North Kore- ans have fled to South Korea since a famine hit their homeland in the 1990s. Of them, 25 have mysteri- ously resurfaced back in the North in the past five years. South Korean officials suspect these “repeat defectors,” as those who return to the North are known, may have been lured to China and kidnapped back to the North. There, the government uses them for propaganda, ar- ranging for them to speak out against the “living hell” they said they had experienced in the South. Mr. Kwon tried to find his own way back to the North, but that ef- Risking Death, He Fled North Korea. Now He’s Begging to Return. By CHOE SANG-HUN Kwon Chol-nam Continued on Page 4 WASHINGTON Senators Tom Cotton and Ben Sasse have already been to Iowa this year, Gov. John Kasich is eyeing a re- turn visit to New Hampshire, and Mike Pence’s schedule is so full of political events that Republicans joke that he is acting more like a second-term vice president hop- ing to clear the field than a No. 2 sworn in a little over six months ago. President Trump’s first term is ostensibly just warming up, but luminaries in his own party have begun what amounts to a shadow campaign for 2020 — as if the cur- rent occupant of 1600 Pennsylva- nia Avenue weren’t involved. The would-be candidates are cultivating some of the party’s most prominent donors, courting conservative interest groups and carefully enhancing their profiles. Mr. Trump has given no indication that he will decline to seek a sec- ond term. But the sheer disarray sur- rounding this presidency, the in- tensifying investigation by the special counsel Robert S. Mueller III and the plain uncertainty about what Mr. Trump will do in the next week, let alone in the next election, have prompted Republi- can officeholders to take political steps that are unheard-of so soon into a new administration. Asked about those Republicans who seem to be eyeing 2020, a White House spokeswoman, Lind- say Walter, fired a warning shot: “The president is as strong as he’s ever been in Iowa, and every po- tentially ambitious Republican knows that.” But in interviews with more than 75 Republicans at every level of the party, elected officials, do- nors and strategists expressed widespread uncertainty about whether Mr. Trump would be on the ballot in 2020 and little doubt TRUMP IN DOUBT, SOME G.O.P. STARS SHAPE 2020 BIDS Quietly Planning in Case Embattled President Isn’t on the Ballot By JONATHAN MARTIN and ALEXANDER BURNS Continued on Page 16 As a tide of Puerto Ricans flees economic calamity, some young entrepreneurs are finding new niches, elbowing aside “colonial” ways of thinking. PAGE 14 NATIONAL 14-19 Finding Hope in Island’s Crisis Diane Hendricks and her late husband saw opportunity in Beloit, Wis., a decay- ing industrial town. Now, she dreams of a mecca for start-ups. PAGE 1 SUNDAY BUSINESS Billionaire’s Fixer-Upper Town Antonio Argüelles swam six of the arduous channel crossings of the so- called Oceans Seven. Then, at 58, he confronted the North Channel. PAGE 1 SPORTSSUNDAY 21 Frigid Ocean Miles to Go Britain’s exit from the European Union jeopardizes a hard-won arrangement easing travel between Northern Ireland and the Irish Republic. PAGE 6 INTERNATIONAL 4-13 Brexit Worries at Irish Border Jessica Nutik Zitter PAGE 1 SUNDAY REVIEW U(DF47D3)W+%!?!/!#!_ Printed in Chicago $6.00 Mostly cloudy. A few showers north. Periodic rain south. Thunderstorms far south. Highs in mid-60s to mid-70s. Some rain early tonight south. Weather map is on Page 18. National Edition

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C M Y K Yxxx,2017-08-06,A,001,Bs-4C,E1

VOL. CLXVI . . . . No. 57,681 © 2017 The New York Times Company SUNDAY, AUGUST 6, 2017

FARAH, Afghanistan — A po-lice officer guarding the outskirtsof this city remembers the callfrom his commander, warningthat hundreds of Taliban fighterswere headed his way.

“Within half an hour, they at-tacked,” recalled Officer Najibul-lah Amiri, 35. The Talibanswarmed the farmlands sur-rounding his post and seized thewestern riverbank here in Farah,the capital of the province by thesame name.

It was the start of a three-weeksiege in October, and only afterAmerican air support was calledin to end it and the smoke cleareddid Afghan security officials real-ize who was behind the lightningstrike: Iran.

Four senior Iranian comman-dos were among the scores ofdead, Afghan intelligence officialssaid, noting their funerals in Iran.Many of the Taliban dead andwounded were also taken backacross the nearby border withIran, where the insurgents hadbeen recruited and trained, vil-lage elders told Afghan provincialofficials.

The assault, coordinated withattacks on several other cities,was part of the Taliban’s most am-bitious attempt since 2001 to re-

take power. But it was also a pieceof an accelerating Iranian cam-paign to step into a vacuum left bydeparting American forces —Iran’s biggest push into Afghanis-tan in decades.

President Trump recently la-mented that the United States waslosing its 16-year war in Afghanis-tan, and threatened to fire theAmerican generals in charge.

There is no doubt that as the

United States winds down the Af-ghan war — the longest in Ameri-can history, and one that has costhalf a trillion dollars and morethan 150,000 lives on all sides —regional adversaries are musclingin.

Saudi Arabia and Pakistan re-main the dominant players. ButIran is also making a bold gambitto shape Afghanistan in its favor.

Over the past decade and a half,the United States has taken outIran’s chief enemies on two of itsborders, the Taliban governmentin Afghanistan and Saddam Hus-

Iran Flexes in AfghanistanAs U.S. Presence Wanes

Covert Aid to Taliban, Onetime Enemies,Risks Destabilizing a Shaky Nation

By CARLOTTA GALL

The main bazaar in the city of Farah in Afghanistan in April. There, and in Herat, Iranian goods and influence are prominent.BRYAN DENTON FOR THE NEW YORK TIMES

Continued on Page 12

TEHRAN’S TURN

A Bold Gambit

Just a year ago, after the Su-preme Court rejected a challengeto the University of Texas atAustin’s admissions program by asingle swing vote, the questionseemed to be edging, at last, to-ward an answer: Colleges could,the justices ruled, consider racewhen deciding whom to letthrough their gates.

“I thought this was settled,”said Anthony P. Carnevale, aneconomist at Georgetown Univer-sity who studies affirmative ac-tion. “I thought it was done.”

Only for the moment.A series of lawsuits and com-

plaints have continued to chal-lenge such practices, and lastweek, President Trump’s JusticeDepartment joined the chorus,signaling that it would marshallawyers to investigate and per-haps sue colleges over “inten-tional race-based discrimination”in admissions.

Besieged in court, routed ineight states, accused of favoringblacks and Latinos at the expenseof Asians and whites, affirmativeaction — a major legacy of the civil

rights era — is once again the sub-ject of uncomfortable scrutiny.

But even without federal inter-vention, a look at affirmative ac-tion policies in 2017 shows thatthey have achieved their own kindof diversity, evolving from the ex-plicitly race-based quotas of dec-ades ago into a range of ap-proaches that occasionally, not al-ways, near the melting-pot ideal,often by giving preference to low-income students instead of minor-ities.

“The reason a liberal like me isintrigued by Trump’s actions onaffirmative action is that I think itcould have the effect of drivinguniversities to really pursuing so-cioeconomic diversity as a way ofindirectly creating racial diversi-ty,” said Richard D. Kahlenberg, asenior fellow at the Century Foun-dation who has pushed for class-based admissions to replace race-based admissions.

Public universities in Californiaand Washington, forbidden bystate law from considering race in

Colleges Seek Diversity Ideal,But Pick Different Paths to It

By VIVIAN YEE

Continued on Page 15

CHATTANOOGA, Tenn. — Atthe airport here, there is a remind-er to travelers of the jobs thatglobal trade can bring. A shiny2017 Volkswagen Passat is sta-tioned near the entryway and la-beled: “Designed in Germany.Built in Chattanooga.”

The American map is dottedwith towns drained of jobs afterhomegrown factories bolted tolower-wage countries. But formany spots throughout the coun-try, the same strategy of movingoperations overseas — when

practiced by foreign companies —has buoyed local fortunes.

In Chattanooga and the sur-rounding region, for example,more than two dozen companiesfrom 20 countries have set upshop, generating billions of dol-lars in investment, employingthousands of workers and helping

drive Tennessee’s jobless rate to3.6 percent in June, a record lowfor the state.

But political and business lead-ers here in Hamilton County, aconservative stronghold whereDonald J. Trump won a majority ofthe votes, worry that the presi-dent’s attacks on trading partnersand exhortations to “Buy Ameri-can” could set off a protectionistspiral of tariffs and import restric-tions, hurting consumers andworkers.

“I’m nervous,” Mayor AndyBerke said over sweet tea and

U.S. Cities Welcome a Foreign Product: JobsBy PATRICIA COHEN

Bill Phillips shrugs off whether Southeast Mahindra in Chattanooga, Tenn., is a foreign company.MELISSA GOLDEN FOR THE NEW YORK TIMES

Attack on Global TradeWorries Areas Liftedby Overseas Firms

Continued on Page 17

Where will you be on Aug. 21?A special section to illuminateyou on the coming darkness.

The American Eclipse

SEOUL, South Korea — Di-vorced and out of money, KwonChol-nam fled North Korea forChina in 2014 by wading across ariver border at night and thencrawling over a barbed-wirefence. After a perilous trek that in-cluded walking through a junglein Laos, he reached Thailand,where he was allowed to fly toSouth Korea to start a new life.

After all that trouble and dan-ger, Mr. Kwon now wants SouthKorea to allow him to return hometo the North.

“You have toride a horse toknow whetherit’s the rightmount for you,”Mr. Kwon saidin an interviewin Seoul. “I havetried, and theSouth is not forme. I want to gohome to theNorth to reunite with my ex-wifeand 16-year-old son.”

North Korea is one of theworld’s most politically repressivecountries. No matter. Mr. Kwonsays he has grown disillusioned

with life in the capitalist South,where he says North Korean de-fectors like him are treated likesecond-class citizens.

“They called me names, treat-ing me like an idiot, and didn’t payme as much as others doing thesame work, just because I wasfrom the North,” Mr. Kwon said,his voice rising in anger.

To press his unusual demand,he has held news conferences,submitted petitions to the UnitedNations and demonstrated withsigns in front of governmentbuildings in Seoul.

More than 30,000 North Kore-ans have fled to South Korea since

a famine hit their homeland in the1990s. Of them, 25 have mysteri-ously resurfaced back in theNorth in the past five years.

South Korean officials suspectthese “repeat defectors,” as thosewho return to the North areknown, may have been lured toChina and kidnapped back to theNorth. There, the governmentuses them for propaganda, ar-ranging for them to speak outagainst the “living hell” they saidthey had experienced in theSouth.

Mr. Kwon tried to find his ownway back to the North, but that ef-

Risking Death, He Fled North Korea. Now He’s Begging to Return.By CHOE SANG-HUN

Kwon Chol-nam

Continued on Page 4

WASHINGTON — SenatorsTom Cotton and Ben Sasse havealready been to Iowa this year,Gov. John Kasich is eyeing a re-turn visit to New Hampshire, andMike Pence’s schedule is so full ofpolitical events that Republicansjoke that he is acting more like asecond-term vice president hop-ing to clear the field than a No. 2sworn in a little over six monthsago.

President Trump’s first term isostensibly just warming up, butluminaries in his own party havebegun what amounts to a shadowcampaign for 2020 — as if the cur-rent occupant of 1600 Pennsylva-nia Avenue weren’t involved.

The would-be candidates arecultivating some of the party’smost prominent donors, courtingconservative interest groups andcarefully enhancing their profiles.Mr. Trump has given no indicationthat he will decline to seek a sec-ond term.

But the sheer disarray sur-rounding this presidency, the in-tensifying investigation by thespecial counsel Robert S. MuellerIII and the plain uncertaintyabout what Mr. Trump will do inthe next week, let alone in the nextelection, have prompted Republi-can officeholders to take politicalsteps that are unheard-of so sooninto a new administration.

Asked about those Republicanswho seem to be eyeing 2020, aWhite House spokeswoman, Lind-say Walter, fired a warning shot:“The president is as strong as he’sever been in Iowa, and every po-tentially ambitious Republicanknows that.”

But in interviews with morethan 75 Republicans at every levelof the party, elected officials, do-nors and strategists expressedwidespread uncertainty aboutwhether Mr. Trump would be onthe ballot in 2020 and little doubt

TRUMP IN DOUBT, SOME G.O.P. STARSSHAPE 2020 BIDS

Quietly Planning in CaseEmbattled President

Isn’t on the Ballot

By JONATHAN MARTINand ALEXANDER BURNS

Continued on Page 16

As a tide of Puerto Ricans flees economiccalamity, some young entrepreneurs arefinding new niches, elbowing aside“colonial” ways of thinking. PAGE 14

NATIONAL 14-19

Finding Hope in Island’s CrisisDiane Hendricks and her late husbandsaw opportunity in Beloit, Wis., a decay-ing industrial town. Now, she dreams ofa mecca for start-ups. PAGE 1

SUNDAY BUSINESS

Billionaire’s Fixer-Upper TownAntonio Argüelles swam six of thearduous channel crossings of the so-called Oceans Seven. Then, at 58, heconfronted the North Channel. PAGE 1

SPORTSSUNDAY

21 Frigid Ocean Miles to GoBritain’s exit from the European Unionjeopardizes a hard-won arrangementeasing travel between Northern Irelandand the Irish Republic. PAGE 6

INTERNATIONAL 4-13

Brexit Worries at Irish Border Jessica Nutik Zitter PAGE 1

SUNDAY REVIEW

U(DF47D3)W+%!?!/!#!_

Printed in Chicago $6.00

Mostly cloudy. A few showers north.Periodic rain south. Thunderstormsfar south. Highs in mid-60s tomid-70s. Some rain early tonightsouth. Weather map is on Page 18.

National Edition