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© 2020 STR, LLC. All Rights Reserved. Any reprint, use or republication of all or a part of this presentation without the prior written approval of STR, LLC. or STR Global, Ltd. trading as STR (collectively “STR”) is strictly prohibited. Any such reproduction shall specifically credit STR as the source. This presentation is based on data collected by STR. No strategic advice or marketing recommendation is intended or implied.
What were the major stories in 2019?Alex Robinson, Senior Manager Industry Partners - STR
@STR_Data
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1. Global Hotel MarketsA slowdown in the cycle?
2. Global Serviced Apartments performanceVaried growth across the sector
3. Deep dive UK Serviced Apartments MarketA premium over hotels?
4. Serviced Apartment PilotThe importance of room type
5. Pipeline & ForecastSupply in Barcelona and Madrid
Agenda
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Middle East
Southern Africa
Northern Africa
+11.0%
Global RevPAR % ChangeUSD, Europe in EUR, Constant Currency, November 2019
Europe
Asia+0.6%
+2.8%
+2.2%
+7.4%
+0.9%
-5.2%-3.0%
Australia & Oceania
-1.8%
North America
Central America
South America excl. Venezuela
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-30%
-25%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
Europe USA
US RevPAR a leading indicator for EuropeEurope –RevPAR % Change, Constant Currency, EUR, 2002 – November 2019
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-30%
-25%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
OCC ADR RevPAR
A decade of growth not without ups and downsEurope – Occ, ADR and RevPAR % Change, Constant Currency, EUR, 2002 –November 2019
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Varied growth across global serviced apartment sectorServiced Apartments Performance – Occ, ADR & RevPAR % Chg, Local Currency – Nov 2019 YTD
6.2%
0.0% -1.0%
4.3%
-3.7%
-10.9%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
Singapore Germany UK Spain Australia UAE
Occupancy ADR RevPAR
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$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
$140
$160
$180
$200
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Australia
Spain UAE
Germany UK
Singapore
ADR RevPAR Occupancy
Occupancy strong in key countries, Singapore and UK lead the way in ADRServiced Apartment Occupancy, ADR, RevPAR, Nov 2019 YTD, USD
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2019 has experienced growth slowdown, across hotels and serviced apartments UK – Serviced Apartments & Hotels, KPIs Actuals and % Change, GBP, Nov 2019 YTD
Occupancy ADR81.6% £130.17 £106.24
RevPAR-0.0% +0.7% +0.7%
Occupancy ADR78.2% £94.70 £74.07
RevPAR-0.3% +0.8% +0.5%
Serviced Apartments
Overall industry incl. hotels
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Reasons for rate premium
Hotel
Studio Apartment
1 Bedroom Apartment
Size Higher rate for extra space
Geography City Centre, Tier 1 &2,
London centric
Class Upscale and above -unlike hotel Industry
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A mixed picture for key UK markets, supply growth evident in manyUK – Key Cities Service Apartment RevPAR % Change, GBP, Nov 2019 YTD
13
London
Edinburgh
16
Total UK
-12
Manchester -11
Birmingham
3
3
M4 Corridor* -20
Total UK: -0.2%
Reg. UK: -2.5%
*M4 Corridor: Bracknell, Maidenhead, Newbury, Reading, Slough, Windsor & Wokingham
-3
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Serviced Apartments: Pilot
2019, we conducted a pilot study in London with nine operators (76 properties) to validate our findings and ensure we are building the right solution for our clients.
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Occupancy patterns consistent across all types of apartmentLondon, Serviced Apartments Occupancy, June 2018 to November 2019
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Jun-18Jul-1
8
Aug-18
Sep-18
Oct-18
Nov-18
Dec-18
Jan-19
Feb-19
Mar-19
Apr-19
May-19
Jun-19Jul-1
9
Aug-19
Sep-19
Oct-19
Nov-19
Studio 1 Bedroom 2 Bedroom Hotels
*The data shown in this slide is based on a sample of participants in the pilot program and may not reflect the entire market.
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ADR very similar between hotels and 1-bedroom apartmentsLondon, Serviced Apartments ADR, Local Currency, June 2018 to November 2019
£80
£100
£120
£140
£160
£180
£200
£220
Jun-18Jul-1
8
Aug-18
Sep-18
Oct-18
Nov-18
Dec-18
Jan-19
Feb-19
Mar-19
Apr-19
May-19
Jun-19Jul-1
9
Aug-19
Sep-19
Oct-19
Nov-19
Studio 1 Bedroom 2 Bedroom Hotels
*The data shown in this slide is based on a sample of participants in the pilot program and may not reflect the entire market.
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Occupancy highest in 1 bedroom apartmentsLondon, Serviced Apartments & Hotels, Occupancy, ADR, RevPAR, Nov 2019 YTD
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
£0
£50
£100
£150
£200
£250
Studio 1BR 2BR Hotels
ADR RevPAR Occupancy
47% 43% 10%
*The data shown in this slide is based on a sample of participants in the pilot program and may not reflect the entire market.
Room type as % of total SA supply
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ADR aligned on STR’s classification Upper Midscale – Upper UpscaleLondon, September 2019 YTD, ADR, GBP
£0
£50
£100
£150
£200
£250
£300
£350
Serviced Apartments Hotels
Studio1 Bedroom
2 Bedroom
Upper Midscale
Upscale
Upper Upscale
Luxury
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110%
405%
5%
189%
143%
45%
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
Saudi Arabia
Ireland
Australia
United Arab Emirates
Germany
United Kingdom
Thousands
Existing Pipeline Pipeline % Existing
Serviced Apartments Pipeline – Top 6 countries December 2019 report, Pipeline by Room Count
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STR’s forecast overview for full year 2020Forecast – November 2019 Edition
Paris
Dubai Madrid
Amsterdam
BrusselsRecovery Continues
Steady Growth
Supply Challenges
Barcelona
Prague
Dublin
Hamburg
© 2020 STR, LLC All Rights Reserved. Any reprint, use or republication of all or a part of this presentation without the prior written approval of STR, LLC or STR Global, Ltd. trading as STR (collectively “STR”) is strictly prohibited. Any such reproduction shall specifically credit STR as the source. This presentation is based on data collected by STR. No strategic advice or marketing recommendation is intended or implied.
Thank You!
STR_Data
www.strglobal.com
Alex Robinson