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Armstrong South East Asia Clean Energy Fund LP Solar Energy South East Asia Financing Small Power Projects 26 th November 2014 Fund Executive Summary 2 Investment strategy Sector focus Fund premise & rationale Armstrong Fund Fund Size $164 m Investors: IFC, AMC, EIB, DEG, FMO, Proparco, Asian Corporate, Unigestion & Obviam Clean energy assets, using commercially proven technology Investment Size – US$ 5 – 25 million Expansion capital - at least 90% investment in post-permitting projects Majority control by investor syndicate - minority only if influential SE Asian renewable energy & resource efficiency Growing energy demand in SE Asia • Increasing need for clean & sustainable energy • Opportunity for greater resource efficiency • Region underserved by private capital • Armstrong Fund established to meet this clear market opportunity

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Page 1: Armstrong South East Asia Clean Energy Fund LP · Armstrong South East Asia Clean Energy Fund LP Solar Energy South East Asia Financing Small Power Projects 26 th November 2014

Armstrong South East Asia Clean Energy Fund LP

Solar Energy South East Asia

Financing Small Power Projects

26th November 2014

Fund Executive Summary

2

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Armstrong Fund

Fund Size $164 m

Investors: IFC, AMC, EIB, DEG, FMO, Proparco, Asian Corporate, Unigestion & Obviam

Clean energy assets, using commercially proven technologyInvestment Size – US$ 5 – 25 million

Expansion capital - at least 90% investment in post-permitting projectsMajority control by investor syndicate - minority only if influential

SE Asian renewable energy & resource efficiency

Growing energy demand in SE Asia • Increasing need for clean & sustainable energy •Opportunity for greater resource efficiency • Region underserved by private capital •

Armstrong Fund established to meet this clear market opportunity

Page 2: Armstrong South East Asia Clean Energy Fund LP · Armstrong South East Asia Clean Energy Fund LP Solar Energy South East Asia Financing Small Power Projects 26 th November 2014

Fund Overview Investors

3

Solar SE Asia Investment Activity

4

Country Reasons for Delay in 2013/14 What Has Changed in 2014

Thailand

Policy: No issuance of FiT allocation for solar

• New FiT rate agreed (Aug 2014)• Approval committee formed for FiT allocation

Development: Rooftop hosts waiting for proof of concept

• Announced plans for significant PPA issuance.• Agreements being signed / tender processes

starting.

Philippines

Policy: Limited solar allocation, “First Come First Served” rule and funding mechanism for FiT not established

• FiT-ALL Fund & implementing regulations near finalization

• Announcement that Solar FiT quota to be increased to 450MW; formal increase and applicable tariff rate expected to be issued soon

Development: Off-takers slow to execute bilateral PPAs pending proof of concept

• First bilateral solar PV project with Socoteco I due to commence construction shortly

Indonesia Policy: Proposed increase to hydro FiT rate• New FiT rate and new implementation rules issued• Standard PPA to be issued to further streamline

process

� Increasing cost competitiveness & key policy commitments in Thailand and the Philippines now underpinning a base for strong growth inSoutheast Asia.

Page 3: Armstrong South East Asia Clean Energy Fund LP · Armstrong South East Asia Clean Energy Fund LP Solar Energy South East Asia Financing Small Power Projects 26 th November 2014

Solar Policy & Growth

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Source: Thailand Dept. of Alt. Energy (DEDE), Indonesia Ministry of Energy, Philippines Dept. of Energy and AAM estimates.

� Policy implementation …slow but progressing;

� Energy security concerns & cost competitiveness driving sharp rise in announced PPA issuance over next 12 months;

� Government sponsored FiT rates reflecting move to unsubsidized energy – Thailand (Fixed 17.6c /kWh 20 yrs), Philippines (~Fixed 20c/kWh 20 yrs);

� Grid parity allowing expansion into higher potential bilateral DG and industrial/commercial rooftop segments (13.0c/kWh + PPI);

Solar Tariffs & Competitiveness

� General power prices in all SEA markets forecast to rise >> CPI reflecting increasing cost of fuel mix (LNG & diesel) and need to reduce subsidies.

� Reductions in system costs and costs of financing continue.

� Solar PV power now possible @ $0.13/kWh (20% reduction YoY) driving growth at all scales – both public & private.

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Source: AAM estimates.

Page 4: Armstrong South East Asia Clean Energy Fund LP · Armstrong South East Asia Clean Energy Fund LP Solar Energy South East Asia Financing Small Power Projects 26 th November 2014

Sector Focused Funds Offer:

�Development funding;

�Contracted equity funding against clear milestones supports developer with flexible & responsive financing;

�Specialized financial & execution support.

Sector Focused Funds Seek:

�Experience + initial pipeline with clear entry and exit terms;

�Alignment & compatibility;

�Opportunity to build execution capacity and capability. Financial

ClosureFeasibility

Confirmed

PPA

Approval

• EPC

• Debt

• Legal

• Surveys

• Engineering

• Equity

financing

• Permits

• Licenses

• Site ID

• TeamR

isk / W

AC

C

Entry point

for Sector

Focused

Investors

More typical

entry point

for Investors

Financing Solar Matching Needs

For Investors

�Price competitiveness – move to growth potential of unsubsidized opportunities;

�Market maturing – increased knowledge of risks & opportunities;

�Price discovery shortening development timelines.

For Developers

�Financing increasingly flexible & available;

� Opportunity to build capacity – platform.

Combined

�Positive feedback of scale - lower costs, lower risks, lower financing costs, lower tariffs, increased demand.

Financing Solar Summary

Page 5: Armstrong South East Asia Clean Energy Fund LP · Armstrong South East Asia Clean Energy Fund LP Solar Energy South East Asia Financing Small Power Projects 26 th November 2014

Q&A

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