arctic marine biogeochemistry · 2012. 3. 7. · extreme thermochemistry . millero et al., several...

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Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry Los Alamos National Laboratory COSIM: Climate Ocean Sea Ice Modeling 1 LANL: Elliott, Maltrud, Hunke, Jeffery, Rowland LBL: Reagan, Moridis, Collins IARC: Deal, Jin LLNL: Cameron-Smith, Bhattacharyya, Bergmann PNNL: Liu, Ghan, Easter, Rasch ORNL: Hoffman, Erickson, Branstetter OTHER: NPS, universities and international… DOE: SciDAC, Fossil Energy, EPSCOR (IARC), Cloud-Cryosphere, SFA core, SciDAC redux Other: New Mexico IAS, IARC/JAMSTEC Cooperative, SOLAS, the Chevron Alliance

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Page 1: Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry · 2012. 3. 7. · Extreme Thermochemistry . Millero et al., several ? No, CRREL as usual Pitzer equations -just Debye-Huckel on steroids . 2HCO 3-+

Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry

Los Alamos National Laboratory COSIM:

Climate Ocean Sea Ice Modeling

1

LANL: Elliott, Maltrud, Hunke, Jeffery, Rowland LBL: Reagan, Moridis, Collins IARC: Deal, Jin LLNL: Cameron-Smith, Bhattacharyya, Bergmann PNNL: Liu, Ghan, Easter, Rasch ORNL: Hoffman, Erickson, Branstetter OTHER: NPS, universities and international…

DOE: SciDAC, Fossil Energy, EPSCOR (IARC), Cloud-Cryosphere, SFA core, SciDAC redux Other: New Mexico IAS, IARC/JAMSTEC Cooperative, SOLAS, the Chevron Alliance

Page 2: Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry · 2012. 3. 7. · Extreme Thermochemistry . Millero et al., several ? No, CRREL as usual Pitzer equations -just Debye-Huckel on steroids . 2HCO 3-+

OUTLINE STRUCTURE –From 50o northward via Pacific Arctic OKHOTSK –A methane hub MARGINS –CICE and coupling POP EAST SIBERIA –More CH4, brine bgc/transport CENTRAL –Resource limitations, biogenics to clouds

Page 3: Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry · 2012. 3. 7. · Extreme Thermochemistry . Millero et al., several ? No, CRREL as usual Pitzer equations -just Debye-Huckel on steroids . 2HCO 3-+

CH4 flare rise: Determined by surfactants

Arctic Plumes

Obzhirov 04 Methane Flares 100-300 meters

Page 4: Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry · 2012. 3. 7. · Extreme Thermochemistry . Millero et al., several ? No, CRREL as usual Pitzer equations -just Debye-Huckel on steroids . 2HCO 3-+

Integration: Sea of Okhotsk

Depth contours, coloring suggesting areas of potential destabilization (reds) vs. low-flux areas (blues)

GRL 2010 ICGH 2011 JGR 2011

Page 5: Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry · 2012. 3. 7. · Extreme Thermochemistry . Millero et al., several ? No, CRREL as usual Pitzer equations -just Debye-Huckel on steroids . 2HCO 3-+

IARC ice geocycling: JGR, DSR, AGU monograph

Page 6: Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry · 2012. 3. 7. · Extreme Thermochemistry . Millero et al., several ? No, CRREL as usual Pitzer equations -just Debye-Huckel on steroids . 2HCO 3-+

Chl in, DMS from bottom: JGR 2009, GBC 2010, Oceanography 2011, JGR 2012

log10Chl (l), mg/m2 log10DMS (r), nM May 1992 (upper) |June 1992 (lower)

Page 7: Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry · 2012. 3. 7. · Extreme Thermochemistry . Millero et al., several ? No, CRREL as usual Pitzer equations -just Debye-Huckel on steroids . 2HCO 3-+

Through sea ice and CICE…

JGR 2011, SOLAS 2011

Page 8: Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry · 2012. 3. 7. · Extreme Thermochemistry . Millero et al., several ? No, CRREL as usual Pitzer equations -just Debye-Huckel on steroids . 2HCO 3-+

Marion, 2002

Page 9: Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry · 2012. 3. 7. · Extreme Thermochemistry . Millero et al., several ? No, CRREL as usual Pitzer equations -just Debye-Huckel on steroids . 2HCO 3-+

∆Ice

Unknown?

N ?

Cu ?

O2, Fe ?

GRL 2010 (Schematic)

Page 10: Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry · 2012. 3. 7. · Extreme Thermochemistry . Millero et al., several ? No, CRREL as usual Pitzer equations -just Debye-Huckel on steroids . 2HCO 3-+

Leck, 2002

Page 11: Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry · 2012. 3. 7. · Extreme Thermochemistry . Millero et al., several ? No, CRREL as usual Pitzer equations -just Debye-Huckel on steroids . 2HCO 3-+

SUMMARY STRUCTURE –From 50o northward via Pacific Arctic OKHOTSK –A methane hub MARGINS –CICE and coupling POP EAST SIBERIA –More CH4, brine bgc/transport CENTRAL –Resource limitations, biogenics to clouds

Page 12: Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry · 2012. 3. 7. · Extreme Thermochemistry . Millero et al., several ? No, CRREL as usual Pitzer equations -just Debye-Huckel on steroids . 2HCO 3-+

IARC Coupled Sulfur Cycle: Subdued effects in POP/CICE Points to algal loss vs. retention?

In Prep

S-ice OFF S-ice ON

Page 13: Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry · 2012. 3. 7. · Extreme Thermochemistry . Millero et al., several ? No, CRREL as usual Pitzer equations -just Debye-Huckel on steroids . 2HCO 3-+
Page 14: Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry · 2012. 3. 7. · Extreme Thermochemistry . Millero et al., several ? No, CRREL as usual Pitzer equations -just Debye-Huckel on steroids . 2HCO 3-+
Page 15: Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry · 2012. 3. 7. · Extreme Thermochemistry . Millero et al., several ? No, CRREL as usual Pitzer equations -just Debye-Huckel on steroids . 2HCO 3-+
Page 16: Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry · 2012. 3. 7. · Extreme Thermochemistry . Millero et al., several ? No, CRREL as usual Pitzer equations -just Debye-Huckel on steroids . 2HCO 3-+

EXTRAS

Page 17: Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry · 2012. 3. 7. · Extreme Thermochemistry . Millero et al., several ? No, CRREL as usual Pitzer equations -just Debye-Huckel on steroids . 2HCO 3-+

JGR 2011

Page 18: Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry · 2012. 3. 7. · Extreme Thermochemistry . Millero et al., several ? No, CRREL as usual Pitzer equations -just Debye-Huckel on steroids . 2HCO 3-+

Ocean-Ice in NSF/DOE CESM

* *

*LANL

Page 19: Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry · 2012. 3. 7. · Extreme Thermochemistry . Millero et al., several ? No, CRREL as usual Pitzer equations -just Debye-Huckel on steroids . 2HCO 3-+

Systems Modeling means BGC

BIOGENICS JGR, GBC, GRL, other

ICE GEOCYCLING JGR, DSR, SOLAS, other

Page 20: Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry · 2012. 3. 7. · Extreme Thermochemistry . Millero et al., several ? No, CRREL as usual Pitzer equations -just Debye-Huckel on steroids . 2HCO 3-+

JGR 2011

CH4 sources: Upward seabed flow Sinking particles CH4 sinks: Empirical log linear a) Surface (nM), b) Saturation ratio, c) 150 meters (nM)

Global Cycle

Page 21: Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry · 2012. 3. 7. · Extreme Thermochemistry . Millero et al., several ? No, CRREL as usual Pitzer equations -just Debye-Huckel on steroids . 2HCO 3-+
Page 22: Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry · 2012. 3. 7. · Extreme Thermochemistry . Millero et al., several ? No, CRREL as usual Pitzer equations -just Debye-Huckel on steroids . 2HCO 3-+

320 meter fluxes 8 one-cell sites Log linear τ 30 years, coarse POP

300 100 10 0

CH4 (millimole/m2 and /m3)

LBL, mole/m2y

JGR 2010

Page 23: Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry · 2012. 3. 7. · Extreme Thermochemistry . Millero et al., several ? No, CRREL as usual Pitzer equations -just Debye-Huckel on steroids . 2HCO 3-+

O2, CO2 and Plume Expansion 300 200 100 0

0 -0.02 -0.04 -0.1 -0.2

millimole/m3

O2

∆pH

5000 1000 100 0

CH4, millimole/m2

5000 1000 100 0

300 meters, 30 years JGR 2011

Page 24: Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry · 2012. 3. 7. · Extreme Thermochemistry . Millero et al., several ? No, CRREL as usual Pitzer equations -just Debye-Huckel on steroids . 2HCO 3-+

CD sends these today, DMS left ice algal source off, right on (bluer images on left side of page are concentration, right yellow are column) This is coupled open water and ice biogeochemistry, pretty rare Real DMS increases in surface waters as early as April Nanomolar large areas, Bering extreme at close to ten nanomolar But nanomolar scale activity many locations Less pronounced than in my stand alone CICE simulations and we are now sorting out the potential reasons One is that POP is not capturing the then freshened bottom layer below and left over from the pack as it melts The other is that we are using different release parameterizations for the algae from the ice, quicker in the coupled version In stand alone I took a hard look at bottom layer chl data beyond the Pacific Arctic and decided I had to include some extension See Lavoie et al. 2005 for a closely related approach and some references… if growth and melting are slow the algae can maintain position L05 section 3.2.3 is good on this and I encourage Clara to ask MBJ to test in the coupled model

Page 25: Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry · 2012. 3. 7. · Extreme Thermochemistry . Millero et al., several ? No, CRREL as usual Pitzer equations -just Debye-Huckel on steroids . 2HCO 3-+

MBJ (caption)

Page 26: Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry · 2012. 3. 7. · Extreme Thermochemistry . Millero et al., several ? No, CRREL as usual Pitzer equations -just Debye-Huckel on steroids . 2HCO 3-+

Leck, 2002

Page 27: Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry · 2012. 3. 7. · Extreme Thermochemistry . Millero et al., several ? No, CRREL as usual Pitzer equations -just Debye-Huckel on steroids . 2HCO 3-+

Once and future DMS in CC&ESM: GRL 2011

y2000, nM

y2100, nM

∆nM

∆%

Page 28: Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry · 2012. 3. 7. · Extreme Thermochemistry . Millero et al., several ? No, CRREL as usual Pitzer equations -just Debye-Huckel on steroids . 2HCO 3-+

Gases in Ice

Los Alamos National Laboratory The Climate Ocean and Sea Ice Model (COSIM) project

Computational and Theoretical Science Divisions

28

LANL: S. Elliott, E. Hunke, N. Jeffery, M. Maltrud IARC: C. Deal, M. Jin LBL: M. Reagan, G. Moridis LLNL: P. Cameron Smith, D. Bergmann Others: B. Loose, J. Stefels, M. Levasseur

U.S. DOE SciDAC for Earth System Modeling, Plus Gas Hydrates and IMPACTS methane cycling

and around

Page 29: Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry · 2012. 3. 7. · Extreme Thermochemistry . Millero et al., several ? No, CRREL as usual Pitzer equations -just Debye-Huckel on steroids . 2HCO 3-+

OUTLINE: Gases of the Ice Domain OPENING MONTAGE –volatiles on parade ECOLOGY first but MINERALOGY close behind Extreme THERMO and C BUDGETS coming fast ORGANOSULFUR in ice and surroundings METHANE BUBBLES below and to the pack OTHER compounds, issues

Page 30: Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry · 2012. 3. 7. · Extreme Thermochemistry . Millero et al., several ? No, CRREL as usual Pitzer equations -just Debye-Huckel on steroids . 2HCO 3-+

Loose et al. 2011 Deboer et al. 2011 Light et al. 2002 Obzhirov et al. 2004 Shakhova et al. 2009

CO2, DMS, O2, CH4

Page 31: Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry · 2012. 3. 7. · Extreme Thermochemistry . Millero et al., several ? No, CRREL as usual Pitzer equations -just Debye-Huckel on steroids . 2HCO 3-+

N, Si, Fe drive: nCO2 + nH2O = (CH2O)n + nO2 + ∆alkalinity Ca2

+ + CO32- = ikaite + ∆alkalinity

H2O.CO2 = H+ + HCO3-

HCO3- = H+ + CO3

2-

Vertical and ice-air transfer All hypersaline: Pitzer eqs.

All roads lead to ecodynamics, but… IARC/LANL, JGR & DSR

Page 32: Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry · 2012. 3. 7. · Extreme Thermochemistry . Millero et al., several ? No, CRREL as usual Pitzer equations -just Debye-Huckel on steroids . 2HCO 3-+

Extreme Thermochemistry

Millero et al., several ? No, CRREL as usual Pitzer equations -just Debye-Huckel on steroids

Page 33: Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry · 2012. 3. 7. · Extreme Thermochemistry . Millero et al., several ? No, CRREL as usual Pitzer equations -just Debye-Huckel on steroids . 2HCO 3-+

2HCO3- + Ca2+

CaCO3 + CO2

CaCO3 + CO2

2HCO3- + Ca2+

CO2

CO2

In spring, CaCO3 trapped within sea ice dissolves. This process consumes CO2.

Budget of winter and

spring processes is a net sink of CO2. It depends on: ratio of CaCO3 trapped

vs CO2 expelled (?) quantity of CO2 which

pass below the pycnocline during the autumn-winter (?)

fall/winter spring

GAS COMPOSITION IN SEA ICE A potential abiotic CaCO3 Carbon pump

46

Rysgaard et al., 2007, Delille et al., in prep.

Page 34: Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry · 2012. 3. 7. · Extreme Thermochemistry . Millero et al., several ? No, CRREL as usual Pitzer equations -just Debye-Huckel on steroids . 2HCO 3-+

DMS via CICE: beneath, residual

Page 35: Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry · 2012. 3. 7. · Extreme Thermochemistry . Millero et al., several ? No, CRREL as usual Pitzer equations -just Debye-Huckel on steroids . 2HCO 3-+

O2, photo-radical chemistry -Biological stress Nitrogen redox: -Nitrification, N2O (Which incidentally… (Points to rest of N system… (Reduced gases too, NH3/NH4+)

Major Elements

Page 36: Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry · 2012. 3. 7. · Extreme Thermochemistry . Millero et al., several ? No, CRREL as usual Pitzer equations -just Debye-Huckel on steroids . 2HCO 3-+

Bubble rise for DOE Impacts and Gas Hydrates

{Swap in latest runs, methane trapped below ice…}

Page 37: Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry · 2012. 3. 7. · Extreme Thermochemistry . Millero et al., several ? No, CRREL as usual Pitzer equations -just Debye-Huckel on steroids . 2HCO 3-+

Bubbles and Futures

JF

AJ

Page 38: Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry · 2012. 3. 7. · Extreme Thermochemistry . Millero et al., several ? No, CRREL as usual Pitzer equations -just Debye-Huckel on steroids . 2HCO 3-+

…and (ever) more Organic surface chemistry Transfer from leads Halogenates, I2

Page 39: Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry · 2012. 3. 7. · Extreme Thermochemistry . Millero et al., several ? No, CRREL as usual Pitzer equations -just Debye-Huckel on steroids . 2HCO 3-+
Page 40: Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry · 2012. 3. 7. · Extreme Thermochemistry . Millero et al., several ? No, CRREL as usual Pitzer equations -just Debye-Huckel on steroids . 2HCO 3-+

By these criteria, rank order for high latitude cycles: -Ice chlorophyll (surface darkening) -DMS -Organics tweak sea-air transfer -CH4 -Organics tweak aerosol -Seeding tweaks sea-air transfer -Open, brine, skeletal C cycles -Aerosol/ice iron cycle -Ice nitrogen (NH3/4

+, N2O) -O2 and radical photochemistry

The envelope please…

Note: Order 102 characters –IPCC does same job in 106

Page 41: Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry · 2012. 3. 7. · Extreme Thermochemistry . Millero et al., several ? No, CRREL as usual Pitzer equations -just Debye-Huckel on steroids . 2HCO 3-+

By these criteria, rank order for high latitude cycles: -Ice chlorophyll (surface darkening) -DMS -Organics tweak sea-air transfer -CH4 -Organics tweak aerosol -Seeding tweaks sea-air transfer -Open, brine, skeletal C cycles -Aerosol/ice iron cycle -Ice nitrogen (NH3/4

+, N2O) -O2 and radical photochemistry

The envelope please…

Note: Order 102 characters –IPCC does same job in 106

CO2, O2

All

CO2

Page 42: Arctic Marine Biogeochemistry · 2012. 3. 7. · Extreme Thermochemistry . Millero et al., several ? No, CRREL as usual Pitzer equations -just Debye-Huckel on steroids . 2HCO 3-+

Loose et al. 2011 Deboer et al. 2011 Light et al. 2002 Obzhirov et al. 2004 Shakhova et al. 2009

CO2, DMS, O2, CH4