april 29 2013 quinnipiac poll

7/30/2019 April 29 2013 Quinnipiac poll

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FOR RELEASE: APRIL 29, 2013

LEADING DEMS TOP CORBETT IN PENNSYLVANIA GOV RACE,

QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS;

DEM PRIMARY IS A RACE BETWEEN SCHWARTZ AND SESTAK

Each of three leading Democrats who might challenge Pennsylvania Gov. Tom Corbett for

reelection in 2014 lead the Republican incumbent by margins of 9 percentage points or higher,

according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Pennsylvania voters disapprove 4738 percent of the job Gov. Corbett is doing,continuing a four-month string of negative scores in surveys by the independent Quinnipiac

(KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.

With a 2-1 thumbs down from women, voters say 5032 percent that Corbett does not

deserve reelection. Saying no to four more years are women, 5427 percent, men, 4639

percent, Democrats, 7313 percent, and independent voters, 4927 percent. Republicans favor

reelection 6025 percent.

An early look at the 2014 Pennsylvania governors race shows:

Former U.S. Rep. Joe Sestak tops Corbett 4834 percent, including 4529 percentamong independent voters:

U.S. Rep. Allyson Schwartz is ahead 4734 percent, including 4527 percent amongindependent voters:

State Treasurer Rob McCord is up 4435 percent, including 4030 percent among

independent voters:

Pennsylvania Gov. Tom Corbett gets a triple dose of bad news. Three Democratic

challengers would beat him handily if the election for governor were held today, said Tim

Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

Fortunately for Gov. Corbett, the election is not today. He has 18 months to turn things

around.

-more-

Tim Malloy, Assistant Director,

Quinnipiac University Polling Institute

(203) 645-8043

Rubenstein Associates, Inc.

Public Relations

Contact: Pat Smith (212) 843-8026


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Quinnipiac University Poll/April 29, 2013page 2

In each matchup, Pennsylvania women voters back the Democrat by margins of more

than 18 percent.

Corbett gets a negative 2943 percent favorability rating from voters. The percentage of

voters who dont know enough about the Democratic contenders to form an opinion ranges from

58 percent to 85 percent.

Democratic Primary

In a possible Democratic primary for governor, 59 percent of voters are undecided.

Sestak gets 15 percent, with 15 percent for Schwartz and no other candidate above 3 percent.

Pennsylvania voters, even Democrats, dont know much about the challengers in the

2014 governors race, Malloy said.

Right now, voters are doing their ABCsAnyone But Corbett.

From April 1924, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,235 registered voters with a

margin of error of +/- 2.8 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The survey includes 547 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 4.2 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public

opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia

and the nation as a public service and for research.

For more information, visithttp://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling , call (203) 582-5201, or

follow us onTwitter.
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/pollinghttp://www.quinnipiac.edu/pollinghttp://www.quinnipiac.edu/pollinghttp://twitter.com/QuinnipiacPollhttp://twitter.com/QuinnipiacPollhttp://twitter.com/QuinnipiacPollhttp://twitter.com/QuinnipiacPollhttp://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling


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1. (If Registered Democrat) If the Democratic primary for Governor were being held today,

and the candidates were John Hanger, Rob McCord, Ed Pawlowski, Allyson Schwartz,

Joe Sestak, Mike Stack and Tom Wolf, for whom would you vote?

REGISTERED DEMOCRATS

Tot Men Wom

Hanger - 1% -

McCord 3 3 3

Pawlowski 1 2 1

Schwartz 15 13 16Sestak 15 20 12

Stack 1 1 1

Wolf 3 4 2

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 1

WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 2 1

DK/NA 59 53 62

2. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Rob McCord

the Democrat and Tom Corbett the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk

McCord 44% 8% 81% 40% 40% 48% 40% 74%

Corbett 35 76 3 30 40 30 39 11

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 -

WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 1 4 4 2 3 2

DK/NA 17 14 14 25 16 19 17 13

COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS..............

Yes No 100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+

McCord 49% 42% 48% 42% 44% 45% 42% 45% 44%

Corbett 32 36 31 38 40 33 35 35 35

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 - 2 2 - 1 1

WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 2 4 2 7 4 2 1

DK/NA 16 18 18 15 12 13 19 16 19

Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst Cntrl

McCord 51% 63% 47% 40% 36% 40% 39%

Corbett 27 21 34 34 40 39 41

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 2 - 1 - -

WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 2 4 2 4 3

DK/NA 18 13 15 22 20 17 16

ECONOMY.........................

Q16.......... PERSONAL

Exclnt NtGood Q17............... FINANCES Q18...

+Good +Poor Better Worse Same Better WorseOff

McCord 39% 47% 46% 49% 41% 44% 43%

Corbett 44 30 35 26 38 38 36

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 - 1 1 1


DK/NA 14 19 16 22 17 15 17


4/124

TREND: If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were

Rob McCord the Democrat and Tom Corbett the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Apr 29 Mar 13

2013 2013

McCord 44 38

Corbett 35 42

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1

WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3

DK/NA 17 16

3. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were

Allyson Schwartz the Democrat and Tom Corbett the Republican, for whom would you vote?


Schwartz 47% 8% 86% 45% 42% 51% 43% 78%

Corbett 34 77 3 27 39 30 39 6

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 - 3 2 2 2 -

WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 1 4 2 3 2 4

DK/NA 14 11 10 21 14 14 14 12


Yes No 100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+

Schwartz 53% 44% 51% 46% 47% 49% 46% 49% 45%

Corbett 33 35 31 36 39 31 35 36 34

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 2 1 3 2 2 2 1

WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 2 4 2 8 3 1 2

DK/NA 11 15 14 14 9 10 15 12 17


Schwartz 55% 75% 48% 46% 38% 41% 36%

Corbett 26 14 31 35 42 39 44

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 3 3 2 1 - 2WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 1 2 2 2 3 3

DK/NA 12 7 15 15 17 17 15

ECONOMY.........................




Schwartz 42% 50% 51% 52% 44% 48% 46%

Corbett 43 30 35 27 37 37 34

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 2 1 3


DK/NA 11 15 11 18 13 10 15

TREND: If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Allyson

Schwartz the Democrat and Tom Corbett the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Apr 29 Mar 13

2013 2013

Schwartz 47 42

Corbett 34 39

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1


DK/NA 14 15


5/125

4. If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Sestak

the Democrat and Tom Corbett the Republican, for whom would you vote?


Sestak 48% 11% 86% 45% 43% 53% 45% 74%

Corbett 34 73 4 29 39 29 38 9

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 1

WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 1 4 4 2 3 2

DK/NA 14 12 9 21 13 14 13 14


Yes No 100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+

Sestak 54% 46% 54% 46% 46% 49% 47% 50% 49%

Corbett 32 35 28 37 41 30 35 35 33

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 2 2 - 1 1

WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 3 3 4 1 6 4 2 2

DK/NA 12 15 14 12 11 14 13 13 15


Sestak 58% 68% 50% 50% 42% 41% 38%

Corbett 27 17 34 32 40 37 42SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 2 - 1 1 2

WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 3 3 - 2 5 4

DK/NA 11 11 11 18 14 16 14

ECONOMY.........................




Sestak 42% 52% 47% 52% 47% 48% 46%

Corbett 43 30 37 28 35 37 34

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 1 1 1


DK/NA 12 14 13 16 13 12 14

TREND: If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were

Joe Sestak the Democrat and Tom Corbett the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Apr 29 Mar 13

2013 2013

Sestak 48 47

Corbett 34 38

SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1


DK/NA 14 11


6/126

5. Is your opinion of Tom Corbett favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about

him?


Favorable 29% 57% 7% 26% 36% 23% 32% 12%

Unfavorable 43 18 65 45 41 45 44 37

Hvn't hrd enough 25 24 25 27 21 29 21 46

REFUSED 3 2 3 3 2 3 2 4

TREND: Is your opinion of Tom Corbett favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enoughabout him?

FAVORABLE....

High Low

Apr 29 Mar 13 Jul 13 May 13 Apr 8 May 13 Apr 29

2013 2013 2010 2010 2010 2010 2013

Favorable 29 39 44 49 47 49 29

Unfavorable 43 44 11 13 13 13 43

Hvn't hrd enough 25 14 44 36 38 36 25

REFUSED 3 2 1 1 2 1 3

6. Is your opinion of Rob McCord favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough abouthim?


Favorable 9% 6% 13% 7% 9% 9% 8% 15%

Unfavorable 5 8 2 5 6 5 6 6

Hvn't hrd enough 85 85 84 88 85 85 86 78

REFUSED 1 1 2 - 1 1 1 1

TREND: Is your opinion of Rob McCord favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough

about him?

Apr 29 Mar 13

2013 2013

Favorable 9 12

Unfavorable 5 5

Hvn't hrd enough 85 83

REFUSED 1 1

7. Is your opinion of Allyson Schwartz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough

about her?


Favorable 20% 5% 36% 20% 20% 20% 17% 46%

Unfavorable 10 19 2 9 14 7 11 3Hvn't hrd enough 69 76 62 70 65 72 71 48

REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3

TREND: Is your opinion of Allyson Schwartz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard

enough about her?

Apr 29 Mar 13

2013 2013

Favorable 20 22

Unfavorable 10 11

Hvn't hrd enough 69 67

REFUSED 1 1


7/127

8. Is your opinion of Joe Sestak favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about

him?


Favorable 27% 14% 40% 28% 30% 24% 26% 38%

Unfavorable 15 25 3 16 19 11 16 6

Hvn't hrd enough 58 59 57 55 50 64 58 55

REFUSED 1 1 - - 1 1 1 1

TREND: Is your opinion of Joe Sestak favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enoughabout him? (*Low also 18% May 2009)

FAVORABLE....

High Low

Apr 29 Mar 13 Jul 14 May 13 Apr 8 May 13 Mar 2

2013 2013 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010*

Favorable 27 27 31 32 20 32 18

Unfavorable 15 14 20 14 11 14 6

Hvn't hrd enough 58 58 47 52 68 52 74

REFUSED 1 - 2 2 1 2 1

9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Tom Corbett is handling his job as Governor?


Approve 38% 64% 17% 35% 43% 34% 40% 23%

Disapprove 47 21 70 48 44 50 47 59

DK/NA 15 15 13 17 13 16 13 17


Yes No 100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+

Approve 33% 40% 34% 42% 41% 40% 43% 37% 34%

Disapprove 56 44 50 47 48 36 44 50 55

DK/NA 11 16 16 11 10 24 13 13 12


Approve 27% 33% 35% 45% 40% 42% 39%

Disapprove 59 51 43 41 48 44 49

DK/NA 14 16 21 14 12 14 12

ECONOMY.........................




Approve 51% 31% 46% 23% 41% 44% 33%

Disapprove 35 54 40 58 46 41 53DK/NA 14 14 14 19 12 15 14

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Tom Corbett is handling his job as

Governor?

APPROVE.......

High Low

Apr 29 Mar 13 Jan 29 Nov 15 Jun 27 Sep 29 Jun 27

2013 2013 2013 2012 2012 2011 2012

Approve 38 39 36 40 35 50 35

Disapprove 47 49 42 38 50 32 50

DK/NA 15 12 23 23 15 18 15


8/128

10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?


Approve 29% 46% 17% 26% 33% 26% 30% 22%

Disapprove 52 40 62 54 52 53 52 58

DK/NA 19 14 21 20 15 22 18 21


Yes No 100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+

Approve 30% 29% 28% 32% 29% 28% 38% 28% 23%

Disapprove 58 50 53 50 56 52 47 54 55

DK/NA 12 21 19 18 16 21 15 18 22


Approve 19% 22% 27% 34% 34% 28% 32%

Disapprove 58 60 52 46 50 53 52

DK/NA 22 18 21 20 17 19 16

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?

(*Low also 25% Dec 2009)

APPROVE.......High Low

Apr 29 Mar 13 Jan 29 Nov 15 Jun 12 Apr 10 May 13

2013 2013 2013 2012 2012 2003 2010*

Approve 29 28 33 36 27 49 25

Disapprove 52 58 46 43 51 24 59

DK/NA 19 14 20 21 21 27 16

14. Do you feel that Tom Corbett deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not

deserve to be reelected?


Yes/Deserves 32% 60% 12% 27% 39% 27% 35% 21%

No/Does not 50 25 73 49 46 54 50 54

DK/NA 17 16 14 23 15 20 15 24


Yes No 100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+

Yes/Deserves 29% 34% 33% 31% 35% 34% 38% 31% 29%

No/Does not 57 47 49 53 55 43 43 55 55

DK/NA 14 19 18 16 11 24 18 15 16


Yes/Deserves 27% 32% 27% 37% 32% 34% 34%

No/Does not 54 52 56 42 51 51 50

DK/NA 19 16 17 22 16 15 16

ECONOMY.........................




Yes/Deserves 44% 26% 37% 23% 35% 39% 29%

No/Does not 38 57 45 60 49 45 56

DK/NA 18 17 18 17 16 16 15


9/129

TREND: Do you feel that Tom Corbett deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does

not deserve to be reelected?

Apr 29 Mar 13 Jan 29

2013 2013 2013

Yes/Deserves 32 35 31

No/Does not 50 53 51

DK/NA 17 12 18

15. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Pennsylvania today;

are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?


Very satisfied 4% 4% 2% 5% 4% 3% 4% 3%

Smwht satisfied 41 52 34 39 44 38 42 37

Smwht dissatisfied 38 34 40 40 36 40 38 40

Very dissatisfied 16 9 22 15 15 17 16 17

DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 3


Yes No 100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+

Very satisfied 2% 4% 4% 3% 4% 7% 2% 3% 3%

Smwht satisfied 41 41 39 40 41 36 44 39 45

Smwht dissatisfied 40 37 40 37 42 47 37 40 32

Very dissatisfied 16 16 15 19 14 10 15 18 17

DK/NA 1 1 2 1 - - 1 1 2


Very satisfied 1% 3% 5% 6% 4% 6% 1%

Smwht satisfied 41 37 27 52 35 42 43

Smwht dissatisfied 36 39 47 33 36 31 41

Very dissatisfied 20 18 19 9 23 20 14

DK/NA 2 2 1 1 1 1 1

ECONOMY.........................




Very satisfied 9% 1% 8% 1% 3% 7% 1%

Smwht satisfied 62 30 53 21 45 52 32



DK/NA 1 1 - 1 1 1 -

TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Pennsylvania

today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or verydissatisfied?

VERY+SMWHT SAT

High Low

Apr 29 Mar 13 Jan 29 Nov 15 Jun 12 Jun 05 Dec 15

2013 2013 2013 2012 2012 2002 2010

Very satisfied 4 3 3 5 3 8 2

Smwht satisfied 41 41 42 46 40 60 35



DK/NA 1 1 1 2 2 3 1


10/1210

16. Would you describe the state of Pennsylvania's economy these days as excellent, good,

not so good, or poor?


Excellent 1% 1% 2% - 1% 1% 1% 4%

Good 33 36 27 40 39 28 33 27

Not so good 47 47 52 39 42 51 49 38

Poor 17 16 17 19 15 19 15 29

DK/NA 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 3


Yes No 100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+

Excellent - 1% 1% 1% - 2% 1% 1% 1%

Good 40 30 28 36 48 41 40 29 29

Not so good 47 47 47 50 39 44 42 49 52

Poor 11 20 21 13 13 12 17 20 16

DK/NA 1 2 2 1 1 2 - 1 3


Excellent 2% 2% - 1% - 1% -

Good 46 23 31 39 30 27 33Not so good 39 50 41 46 44 53 51

Poor 12 22 26 9 23 18 15

DK/NA 2 2 - 4 2 1 1

ECONOMY........... PERSONAL

Q17............... FINANCES Q18...

Better Worse Same Better WorseOff

Excellent 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

Good 59 7 35 52 19

Not so good 35 47 52 38 53

Poor 4 43 12 9 25

DK/NA 1 2 1 1 2

TREND: Would you describe the state of Pennsylvania's economy these days as excellent,

good, not so good, or poor?

Exclnt+Good...

High Low

Apr 29 Mar 25 Feb 11 Jul 14 Jul 13 Jun 24 Feb 11

2013 2009 2009 2005 2004 2004 2009

Excellent 1 - - 1 1 1 -

Good 33 17 11 41 41 42 11

Not so good 47 55 50 43 43 42 50

Poor 17 26 38 13 12 13 38

DK/NA 2 2 1 2 3 2 1


11/1211

17. Do you think Pennsylvania's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about

the same?


Better 21% 16% 23% 23% 26% 17% 21% 21%

Worse 23 22 25 18 17 27 21 34

The same 55 61 49 58 56 54 58 40

DK/NA 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 5

COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS..............Yes No 100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+

Better 24% 20% 18% 19% 33% 27% 23% 18% 20%

Worse 15 26 25 22 14 18 20 27 20

The same 59 53 55 59 51 54 56 53 58

DK/NA 2 1 2 - 2 1 1 1 2


Better 24% 18% 30% 25% 15% 15% 19%

Worse 21 29 23 17 27 28 20

The same 53 50 47 56 56 57 60

DK/NA 2 3 - 2 2 - 1

ECONOMY......


Exclnt NtGood FINANCES Q18...

+Good +Poor Better WorseOff

Better 37% 13% 41% 11%

Worse 5 32 11 34

The same 57 54 47 54

DK/NA 1 1 1 1

TREND: Do you think Pennsylvania's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying

about the same?

Apr 29 Mar 25

2013 2009

Better 21 5

Worse 23 35

The same 55 56

DK/NA 1 3


12/1212

18. Would you say that you are better off or worse off financially than you were a year

ago?


Better off 32% 32% 32% 29% 35% 28% 31% 33%

Worse off 43 44 38 48 41 44 43 37

SAME(VOL) 24 22 29 22 23 26 24 29

DK/NA 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 1

COLLEGE DEG ANNUAL HSHOLD INC AGE IN YRS..............Yes No 100K 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+

Better off 43% 27% 23% 36% 54% 47% 41% 28% 18%

Worse off 34 46 51 37 27 39 35 48 43

SAME(VOL) 22 25 24 27 19 12 23 23 36

DK/NA 1 2 2 1 - 2 - 1 4


Better off 34% 31% 30% 37% 31% 27% 29%

Worse off 40 46 43 38 39 50 44

SAME(VOL) 25 23 22 24 29 22 24

DK/NA 1 - 4 1 1 - 2

ECONOMY.........................

Q16..........

Exclnt NtGood Q17...............

+Good +Poor Better Worse Same

Better off 49% 23% 61% 16% 27%

Worse off 25 52 23 65 42

SAME(VOL) 26 23 16 18 29

DK/NA 1 1 1 1 2

TREND: Would you say that you are better off or worse off financially than you were a year

ago? (*Low also 23% Nov 2008)

BETTER OFF....

High Low

Apr 29 Mar 14 Feb 12 Nov 26 Jul 13 Jul 13 Feb 12

2013 2012 2009 2008 2004 2004 2009

Better off 32 32 23 23 39 39 23

Worse off 43 44 54 54 35 35 54

SAME(VOL) 24 22 22 22 24 24 22

DK/NA 1 2 1 1 1 1 1

april 29 2013 quinnipiac poll

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