apple operating and financial metrics review – july 2014
TRANSCRIPT
Jan Dawson Chief Analyst
(408) 744-6244 [email protected]
@jandawson
Apple profile Appendix – numbers
Introduction• This appendix is intended to complement the
written Apple profile, with a series of financial and operating data on Apple
• The data presented is largely based on reported information from Apple, but in some cases data is estimated by Jackdaw Research
• In those cases where data is estimated, it will be noted in the title of each chart
Table of contents1. Long-term financials
2. Near-term financials
3. Regional splits
4. Retail data
5. Shipment data
6. iTunes data
1. Long-term financials
Revenues
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
Fiscal year revenues, $m
0
45,000
90,000
135,000
180,000
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
1. Long-term financials
Year-on-year growth in trailing 4-quarter revenue
-60%
-30%
0%
30%
60%
90%
Q4 1999 Q2 2001 Q4 2002 Q2 2004 Q4 2005 Q2 2007 Q4 2008 Q2 2010 Q4 2011 Q2 2013
Revenue growth
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
iPod era iPhone era
1. Long-term financials
Profitability
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
Fiscal year margins
-25%
-13%
0%
13%
25%
38%
50%
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
Gross margin Operating margin Net margin
1. Long-term financials
ProfitabilityTrailing 4-quarter margins
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Q4 1998 Q2 2000 Q4 2001 Q2 2003 Q4 2004 Q2 2006 Q4 2007 Q2 2009 Q4 2010 Q2 2012 Q4 2013
Gross margin Operating margin Net margin
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
Inventory adjustment in Q4 2000 led to unusual losses
iPod launch
iPhone launch
iPad launch
1. Long-term financials
Cost components
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Q4 2001 Q1 2003 Q2 2004 Q3 2005 Q4 2006 Q1 2008 Q2 2009 Q3 2010 Q4 2011 Q1 2013
Cost of sales as % of revenues R&D as % of revenuesSG&A as % of revenues Operating costs as % of revenues
iPad eraiPhone era
1. Long-term financials
Revenues by segment
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
Revenues by segment, $m
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
Q3 2001 Q4 2002 Q1 2004 Q2 2005 Q3 2006 Q4 2007 Q1 2009 Q2 2010 Q3 2011 Q4 2012 Q1 2014
Mac iPod iPhoneiPad iTunes, Software & Services Peripherals / Accessories
1. Long-term financials
Revenues by segment
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
Revenues as % of total revenues
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
75%
90%
Q3 2001 Q4 2002 Q1 2004 Q2 2005 Q3 2006 Q4 2007 Q1 2009 Q2 2010 Q3 2011 Q4 2012 Q1 2014
Mac iPodiPhone iPadiTunes, Software & Services Peripherals / Accessories
1. Long-term financials
Revenue growth by segment
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
Year on year growth in trailing 4-quarter revenues, by segment
-150%
0%
150%
300%
450%
600%
Q3 2002 Q4 2003 Q1 2005 Q2 2006 Q3 2007 Q4 2008 Q1 2010 Q2 2011 Q3 2012 Q4 2013
MaciPodiPhoneiPadiTunes, Software & ServicesPeripherals and Accessories
1. Long-term financials
Near-term financials
High-level overview
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
0
30,000
60,000
90,000
120,000
150,000
180,000
Q1 2010 Q3 2010 Q1 2011 Q3 2011 Q1 2012 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014
Revenues Gross profit Operating income Net income
2. Near-term financials
Margins
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Q1 2010 Q3 2010 Q1 2011 Q3 2011 Q1 2012 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014
20% 21% 21% 22% 22% 24% 24%26%
27% 27% 27%25%
23% 22% 22% 21% 21%
27% 28% 28% 28% 29%30% 31%
34%36% 36% 35%
33%31%
29% 29% 28% 29%
39% 40% 39% 39% 39% 40% 40%42%
44% 44% 44%42%
40% 38% 38% 37% 38%
Gross margin Operating margin Net margin
2. Near-term financials
Cost components
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
Trailing 4-quarter ratios
0%
5%
10%
15%
Q1 2010 Q3 2010 Q1 2011 Q3 2011 Q1 2012 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014
12.9%12.2%
11.2%10.6%
10.0%9.4% 9.3%
8.5% 8.3% 8.5% 8.6% 8.4% 8.6% 8.8% 9.0% 9.1% 9.3%9.7%
9.1%8.5%
8.0%7.6%
7.1% 7.0%6.5% 6.2% 6.4% 6.4% 6.2% 6.3% 6.3% 6.3% 6.3% 6.4%
3.2% 3.0% 2.7% 2.6% 2.4% 2.3% 2.2% 2.0% 2.0% 2.1% 2.2% 2.2% 2.3% 2.5% 2.6% 2.8% 2.9%
R&D as % of revenues SG&A as % of revenuesOperating costs as % of revenues
2. Near-term financials
Revenue by segment
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
0
45,000
90,000
135,000
180,000
Q2 2010 Q4 2010 Q2 2011 Q4 2011 Q2 2012 Q4 2012 Q2 2013 Q4 2013
Mac iPod iPhone iPad iTunes, Software & ServicesAccessories
2. Near-term financials
Revenue by segment
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
Revenue split by segment, trailing 4 quarters
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
Q4 2010 Q2 2011 Q4 2011 Q2 2012 Q4 2012 Q2 2013 Q4 2013
iPhone iPad Mac iPodAccessories iTunes - Apps iTunes - Content Software & Services
2. Near-term financials
Revenue by segment
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
Revenue split by major category
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
Q3 2011 Q1 2012 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014
3.3%3.3%3.3%3.3%3.4%3.3%3.3%3.4%3.5%3.8%4.1%
4.2%4.1%4.0%3.8%3.7%3.5%3.5%3.4%3.2%3.3%3.6%
5.6%5.5%5.4%5.3%4.9%4.7%4.7%4.6%4.6%4.7%5.0%
86.9%87.1%87.3%87.6%88.1%88.4%88.5%88.6%88.7%88.2%87.2%
Hardware products Apps & ContentSoftware & Services Accessories
2. Near-term financials
Revenue growth by segment
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
Year on year growth in trailing 4-quarter revenues
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014
Overall Mac iPod iPhoneiPad iTunes Peripherals / accessories Software, Services & other
2. Near-term financials
Regional splits
Revenue split by region
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
Trailing 4 quarter revenue split by region (Retail is not included in regions)
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014
11.8%11.9%11.8%11.8%11.8%11.6%12.0%
5.8%6.2%6.5%6.7%7.0%6.8%6.9%8.4%8.0%7.9%7.4%7.1%7.0%6.8%
16.2%15.8%14.9%14.8%15.3%15.4%14.4%
22.1%22.1%22.2%22.4%22.8%22.8%23.2%
35.6%35.9%36.7%37.0%36.1%36.5%36.7%
Americas Europe Greater China Japan Rest of AP Retail
3. Regional splits
Regional margins
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
Operating margins by region (trailing 4 quarters)
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014
Americas Europe Greater China Japan Rest of AP Retail
3. Regional splits
Revenue split by region
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
Operating margin split by region
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014
6.9%7.0%6.8%6.9%7.0%6.8%7.3%5.9%6.2%6.4%6.4%6.5%6.3%6.8%
11.8%11.6%11.6%10.8%10.0%9.7%9.3%
16.0%15.2%14.5%14.6%15.8%16.9%15.7%
21.9%22.0%22.1%22.5%23.1%23.1%23.7%
37.4%37.9%38.7%38.7%37.6%37.2%37.3%
Americas Europe Greater China Japan Rest of AP Retail
3. Regional splits
Revenue split by region
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
Revenue and operating income split by regional segment, year to March ‘14
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
Revenue Operating income
6.9%11.8%5.9%
5.8% 11.8%8.4%
16.0%16.2%
21.9%22.1%
37.4%35.6%
Americas Europe Greater China Japan Rest of AP Retail
3. Regional splits
Revenue split by region
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014
Americas Europe Greater China Japan Rest of AP Retail
3. Regional splits
Retail data
Retail vs revenue split
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
Split of Apple retail stores and total revenue by reported region
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Americas Europe Rest of AP Greater China Japan
10%
18%
7%
25%
40%
2%3%5%
23%
67% Stores Revenue*
*Regional revenue split excludes Retail segment, which is not split by region.
Store count as of May 2014
4. Retail data
Stores open
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
Number of Apple retail stores open at end of quarter
0
100
200
300
400
500
Q3 2009 Q1 2010 Q3 2010 Q1 2011 Q3 2011 Q1 2012 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014
US stores International stores
4. Retail data
Stores open
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Q3 2009 Q1 2010 Q3 2010 Q1 2011 Q3 2011 Q1 2012 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014
US as % of stores Intl as % of stores
4. Retail data
New stores opened
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
0
10
20
30
40
Q3 2010 Q1 2011 Q3 2011 Q1 2012 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014
1816
22
333535
28
32292828
232225
28
3343455
131110
1211
151516
New US stores New intl stores
4. Retail data
New stores opened
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
New stores opened by region
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
Q4 2010 Q2 2011 Q4 2011 Q2 2012 Q4 2012 Q2 2013 Q4 2013
US as % of new stores Intl as % of new stores
4. Retail data
0
4
8
12
16
Q3 2009 Q1 2010 Q3 2010 Q1 2011 Q3 2011 Q1 2012 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014
No of countries with Apple retail stores
New stores opened
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
Spain
Netherlands
Sweden
Brazil, Turkey
US UK Canada Australia France Italy Germany China Japan Switzerland Hong Kong
4. Retail data
Revenue per store
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
0
20
40
60
Q2 2010 Q4 2010 Q2 2011 Q4 2011 Q2 2012 Q4 2012 Q2 2013 Q4 2013
Annual retail revenue per store – trailing four quarters ($m)
4. Retail data
Visitor numbers
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
0
100
200
300
400
Q2 2010 Q4 2010 Q2 2011 Q4 2011 Q2 2012 Q4 2012 Q2 2013 Q4 2013
4-quarter visitors to stores
4. Retail data
Revenue per visitor
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
4-quarter retail revenue per visitor, $
0
15
30
45
60
Q2 2010 Q4 2010 Q2 2011 Q4 2011 Q2 2012 Q4 2012 Q2 2013 Q4 2013
53.651.251.251.450.050.651.150.849.347.447.846.845.3
42.139.6
4. Retail data
Store employees
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
Q3 2009 Q1 2010 Q3 2010 Q1 2011 Q3 2011 Q1 2012 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014
Headcount (left axis) Retail as % of overall employees (right axis)
4. Retail data
Revenue per employee
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
4. Retail data
0
100
200
300
400
500
Q3 2010 Q1 2011 Q3 2011 Q1 2012 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014
487487471466469
450450452468473
447482485481
451
4-q revenue per employee, $ thousands
Employees per store
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Q3 2009 Q1 2010 Q3 2010 Q1 2011 Q3 2011 Q1 2012 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014
Employees per store
4. Retail data
Shipment data
Unit shipments – long view
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
Unit shipments, quarterly, 000s, Q1 2000 to Q1 2014
0
15,000
30,000
45,000
60,000
Q1 2000 Q3 2001 Q1 2003 Q3 2004 Q1 2006 Q3 2007 Q1 2009 Q3 2010 Q1 2012 Q3 2013
Mac iPod iPhone iPad
5. Shipment data
Unit shipments – long view
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
Trailing 4-quarter shipments, 000s, Q4 2000 to Q1 2014
0
40,000
80,000
120,000
160,000
Q4 2000 Q2 2002 Q4 2003 Q2 2005 Q4 2006 Q2 2008 Q4 2009 Q2 2011 Q4 2012
Mac iPod iPhone iPad
5. Shipment data
Unit shipments – 4-year view
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
Quarterly unit shipments, 000s, Q1 2010 to Q1 2014
0
15,000
30,000
45,000
60,000
Q1 2010 Q3 2010 Q1 2011 Q3 2011 Q1 2012 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014
Mac iPod iPhone iPad
5. Shipment data
Unit shipments – 4-year view
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
Trailing 4-quarter shipments, 000s, Q1 2010 to Q1 2014
0
40,000
80,000
120,000
160,000
Q1 2010 Q3 2010 Q1 2011 Q3 2011 Q1 2012 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014
Mac iPod iPhone iPad
5. Shipment data
Growth rates
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
Year-on-year growth in quarterly shipments
-100%
-50%
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
Q1 2010 Q3 2010 Q1 2011 Q3 2011 Q1 2012 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014
Mac iPod iPhone iPad
5. Shipment data
Average selling prices
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
Revenue per shipment (average selling price), $, quarterly
0
500
1,000
1,500
Q4 2010 Q2 2011 Q4 2011 Q2 2012 Q4 2012 Q2 2013 Q4 2013
596 561606 590 568 531 515 508
467 449 436 439 440 465
631 646 644 621 647 635 608 619 642 613 581 577637
596
176 177 176 167 164 157 157 153 168 171 160 164 161 167
1,313 1,323 1,293 1,282 1,269 1,263 1,227
1,344 1,359 1,3781,303
1,2301,322 1,334
Mac iPod iPhone iPad
5. Shipment data
Average selling prices
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
Revenue per shipment, trailing 4 quarters, $
0
375
750
1,125
1,500
Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014
592 582 571 548 531 500 481 464 450 442 445
636 641 638 630 629 629 623 617 607 607 602
175 170 166 162 160 161 163 165 167 164 162
1,302 1,289 1,276 1,262 1,279 1,301 1,328 1,347 1,315 1,306 1,297
Mac iPod iPhone iPad
5. Shipment data
iTunes data
iTunes revenues and billings
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
Net sales and gross billings for iTunes, as reported, $m
0
1,500
3,000
4,500
6,000
Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014
5,200
4,7004,4004,300
4,000
2,6002,4002,4002,4002,400
iTunes net sales iTunes billings
6. iTunes data
iTunes revenue by category
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
Trailing 4-quarter iTunes revenue by category, net, $m (estimated)
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
Q3 2010 Q1 2011 Q3 2011 Q1 2012 Q3 2012 Q1 2013 Q3 2013 Q1 2014
Content revenues App revenues
6. iTunes data
iTunes accounts
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
Number of iTunes accounts, 000s, reported and estimated
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
Q3 2008 Q2 2009 Q1 2010 Q4 2010 Q3 2011 Q2 2012 Q1 2013 Q4 2013
6. iTunes data
iTunes revenue by category
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
Revenue per iTunes account ($ per year), estimated
0
5
10
15
20
25
Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014
Content Apps Total iTunes
6. iTunes data
Apps in app stores
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
Apps in Apple App Store, 000s, as reported, with interpolation
0
300
600
900
1,200
Q2 2008 Q1 2009 Q4 2009 Q3 2010 Q2 2011 Q1 2012 Q4 2012 Q3 2013
iOS total iPad optimized
6. iTunes data
Apps downloaded
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
Apps downloaded, m, as reported, with interpolation
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Q2 2008 Q1 2009 Q4 2009 Q3 2010 Q2 2011 Q1 2012 Q4 2012 Q3 2013
6. iTunes data
Developer payments
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
Cumulative payments to app developers, $m, reported and estimated
0
6,000
12,000
18,000
Q3 2008 Q2 2009 Q1 2010 Q4 2010 Q3 2011 Q2 2012 Q1 2013 Q4 2013
6. iTunes data
Revenue per app
Source: Apple financial reporting, Jackdaw Research analysis
Gross app revenue per app download, $, calculated based on estimates
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
Q3 2008 Q2 2009 Q1 2010 Q4 2010 Q3 2011 Q2 2012 Q1 2013 Q4 2013
Revenue per app ($), quarterly basis Revenue per app ($), cumulative basis
6. iTunes data