appendix m1: historic adf&g baranof project … u o p ly vol. fw suooly deep fw supoly shallow...

27
Natural Stocks Alsek Proposed P rojec t s Ufil Hatchery Stocks 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Carroll Inl et (re l eas (Swan La ke) Neets B ay Whitman Lake Baranof Warm Springs Orchard Lake Thomas Bay (release) 1i,q K I] Little Pa~(F] Port Armstrong (P FIGURE LOCATION OF STATE(S), PRIVATE(P) A NO FE OER AL(F) HAT CH ERIES IN SOUTHEAST ALASKA WITH PLANNED CHINOOK PRODUCTION (ADF&G 10/84).

Upload: vuongdat

Post on 21-Aug-2018

213 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Appendix M1: Historic ADF&G Baranof Project … u o p ly vol. fw suooly deep fw supoly shallow fw gravity fw freshwater saltwater • 121 srnolts isolation land-based .,I • ' supo

bull

Natural Stocks Alsek

Proposed Projec t s ~ Ufil

Hatchery Stocks

1

2 3 4 5 6

Carroll Inl et (re l eas (Swan La ke)

Neets Bay Whitman Lake Baranof Warm Springs Orchard Lake Thomas Bay (release)

1iq K

I] Little Pa~(F] Port Armstrong (P

FIGURE LOCATION OF STATE(S) PRIVATE(P) ANO FE OERAL(F) HATCHERIES IN SOUTHEAST ALASKA WITH PLANNED CHINOOK PRODUCTION (ADFampG 1084)

Li oimiddot~t vear SLJBJECTStock Interact +-middot- -- ---- - --middot- --- -middot - - - middot-middot -middotmiddotmiddot-middot - --+-middot - -middot-- - +- --- - - -middot + VERSI0N1st Draft

CRITERIA I MODE IWEIGHT I c ~z J8+--------------------+------+------+ near -t f~rmiddotmiddot rn harv v 5121

terrn harvest V 5Q)

adult stravin[1 V 25

J uveni 1 e cornoet V -t CJ

+--------------------+------+------+

t~ ~middotmiddot middot middot

middot middot_ r ~ ~J~~ l-Jt~ middotmiddotl~t ~~~-~ _middot_( middot

Ligi tvear ~U BJEC ~ S tocK i n t eract

C ~IT r1I CJ l-i nr- a r-tErr1 harv

+-------------------+-----------------+ ALTERl l(T I vES

------------------+-----------------+ Alternative A Moderate

Alterr-ative B Ylinirn a l

A 1 t err-a t i ve C

+---------------- ---+- ----------------+

~middot

VERSI0N 1st Dra ft

+-------------------+ IriirJact

+------------------ -+ 11 e g l i g i bl e 50

Mi nirnal 3 c5 Moderate z~ Hiqh I) Extreme

0

+--- ----------------+

rmiddot

-~

+-------------------+-----------------+ ALTERN 1T IV CS

---- --------------+-----------------+ A 1 t err-ia t i ve A Neg 1 i o i blbull=

Alternative B Neglir_Jible

Alternative C Ne q l i Cl i o l E

+--------- ----------+-----------------+

S UGJECTStoc K i nterac t VERSIONlst Draft

+-------------------+ Irnpcct

+-------------------+ Negligible 17)

IYlinirnal deg36 Moderate Z7 High 3 Extrerne 0

+-------------------+

_ lt

middotmiddot

VERSIONlst Dr aft C r~ I TC I~ I (Ji 1 a d _ t ~ t r ~ v i n 1

+-------------------+-----------------+ ALTERNATIVES WORDS

------------------+------- ----------+ Alternati v e A Hi gh I

I +-------------------+ A 1 t ernat i VF B II in i r1i 1 I rHJcct

+-------------------+ Alternat iv2 C Negligible Neg 1 i g i bl Pshy 2 ~-

Mini rna l IC Moderate 3 High b Ex treme O

+-------------------+ +-------------------+-----------------+

~ middotbull middotmiddot _ ~ -middotbull

~ e~r~middot_middotmiddot~----~ lt- --~- )-~- middot ~--~middot

Li grJt year

ci~ITEl~TCJII middot1uv c~ni~ c~111 1ultc t

+-------------------+--------- -------- + ALTEFIAT IVES JO fmS

------------------+-----------------+ Alternative A Moderate

Alternative B Minimal

A 1 t err-ct i ve C Ylinir11il

+-------------------+-----------------+

VERSIONlst Draft

ti 512 78-rshy

+-------------------+ Impact

+-------------------+ fieCJ 1 i 1i i bl 27if Minimal I 1 Moderate 13 Hioh 6 Egtlttrerne O

+-------------------+

middot ~=~- r (1middot(

i 1~ 72 ~ ( middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot

1middot1 t- middot1 middot middotmiddot middotmiddot-middot t -middot~middot ~shy r 1middotmiddot ( middot middot middot ( ~

7- middotshy

gt1

middotmiddot1 -~ bullcmiddot-i middot

J I_J ~ ~ l )

i

middot-------------~--shy

L j_ght year SUBJ ECTProduct Desi~ +--------------------+------+------+ VERSI0N1st Draft

CRITERIR I YIOD E WEIGHTEnclosure 4 +------------------- -+------+--- ---+ water chemistry V 1 IZl

e middotr1dern i c fish

ad eq fw s u o p ly

vol fw suooly

deep fw supoly

shallow fw

gravity fw

freshwater

saltwater

bull 121 srnolts

isolation

land-based

I bull

supo

51lOO

bull 1

1

fry

site

float i Y-1~ site

V 10 DR V 2121

N 21Z1

N 15

N 15

V 10

N 30

N 30

N 30

N lZI -

-cshyN i

N 25 +--------------------+---- --+------+

middot~middot~middot -~-middot

SLJBJECT Product Desion VERSIONls t Draft

CRITERION water chemistry

+-------------------+-----------------+ ALTERNATIVES WDRDS -----------------+-----------------+ Alternative A acceptable

I middot Alterrative B trEiatable

Alternative C untreatable

+-------------------+-----------------+

DRAFT +-------------------+

Water Chemistry +-------------------+

acceotable ID treatable 5 untreatable O

+-------------------+

1 - -~ middot ~middotrmiddot -

Liqhtyear SUBJECTProduct Desion VERSIONlst Draft

CRITERION endemic f i sh

+-------------------+-----------------+ ALTERNATIVES

middot-----------------+--------- --------+ Alternative A none

+-------------------+ Alternative B high-l evfl oath Endernic Fish

+-- -----------------+ Alternative C 1 os1-l eve 1 CJct h none 0

pat hogen-free 7 low-level oath high-l evel oath O

+-------------------+ +-------------------+-----------------+

middot middot bullmiddot bull ltmiddot middot middot ~ ~- ~middotmiddot~- ~

Liqhbullt year SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONlst Draft

fi_1CRITEJUDN adeq ciUODly

+----------- --------+-----------------+ ALTERNAT I VES

-----------------+------------ -----+ Alternative A Yes

+-------------------+ A 1 t erra t i v e B YesNo

+-------------------+ Alternative C Maybe Yes 2-0

Maybe 0 No 0

+-------------------+ +-------------------+-----------------+

~ - ( l I middot

-fr ~-(gt-middot middot _ -_ t ~

Li ght j ear SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONlst Draft

CRITERIOII vol fw suppl y

+--------- -----------+------------+ ALTERIIAT IVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative R 15

Alternative B 7 +-----------------------------+

Al terl1at i v e C 3 VPtLUE RANGE +-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 20 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

+--------------------+---------- --+

middot1 middot -( r ~ $

Light j ear SU BJECTProduct Design

CRITERION deeo fw s upol y

+--------------------+---- - -------+ ALTEl~NRT IVES VRLUE

+--------------------+------------+ 15

Alternative B E

A 1 t erY-1at i ve C 13

+----- ------------- --+------------+

VERS 10N1st Draft

+-------------------- ---------+ W -)LUE RAJIGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 15 I LEAST DE SI RABLE 0

+-----------------------------+

_ ~

_ shy

Light ear SLJBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION shallow fw supp

+--------------------+------------+ RLTEF~NAT IVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 15

Alternative B 3

Alternative C 8

+--------------------+------------+

VERSIONl s t Draft

+-----------------------------+ Vf~LUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 15 I LEAST DESIR~BLE 0 +-----------------------------+

~ bull _ ~11~middot ~

Light vear SUBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION qravity

+-------------------+------------ - - - - -+ ALTERIIAT IVES WOfm~

~ ------ ----------+----------- --- - --+ ~lternative A Yes

A 1 t err1a t i ve B IJ

Alterr1ative C Ma yb e

+-------------------+-----------------+

VERSIONlst Draft fw s up o

+---- ---------------+ YesNo

+-------------------+ Yes IO Ma yb e ~ 11 0

I I I

- middot1

+-------------------+

bull- -~ii bull middotbull ~middoty i~middot shy

Li ght year SUBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION freshwater 1

+--------------------+----------- - + ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 15 middot

Alternative B 30

Alternative C 20

+---------------- ----+------------+

VERSI ONls t Draft

+--------- - -------------------+ VRLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +------------------ -----------+

middot i shy

imiddot -shy 1middott middot ~-- -~-~~-gt _~~-- middot ~~_~~middot_f~ -~

__ightye ar SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONi s t Draft

CRITERION saltwater 1

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERIJAT IVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 20

Al terr1at i ve B 20

Alternative C 3

+--------------------+------------+

middot~ ~~ -middot lt~ --~

i~~i ttJ~l ~~ s

+----------------- ------------+ V(JLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

-l bull

- - ----~ ~(yen__~_ ~ middot- ~- bull bull y-~ -- ~-

_ight y~ar SLJB J ECTProduct Design

CRITERION 0 smolts

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alterrat ive A 4

Alternative B

Alternative C 20

I I

I

I

+--------------------+------------+

VERSIONl s t Draft

+-----------------------------+ ViLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

( t middot middot - middot

---~~-f~~~-~ rmiddotmiddot ~-L~~- -Ji -~middot~ middot- - -

i ght yemiddota r SUBJ ECT P r oduc t Design VERSIO Nl st Dra ft

CRITERION i s olation fr y

+--------------- -----+- - ------- - - -+ ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+------- ------------- +--- ---------+ Alternative A 3

A 1 t err-a t i ve B 3

Alternative C 3

+--------------------+--------- - - -+

~ - - r ~ -~ 1 bull - ~

~~gtt ~-~ rf_~-~~ ~t~ J

+------- ----------------------+ VALUE RANGE

+- ----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 10 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

middot

_ _

i~f~~~ middot (f middot~ -~- middot middotmiddot

ightyea r SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONlst Draft

CRITERION land-based site

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERNATIVES tjALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative R

Alternative B 15

-tA1t erYa t i ve C CJ

+--------------------+------------+

- t middot middotmiddot 1

middotmiddot~~ ~- _~~ ti~ J

+-----------------------------+ VRLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 25 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

_ _middot _ middot~~ - ~ ~ -bull

middot~ ~ - middot - middot middot middot_ __ J~ j---- middot middot ~ ~~ ti~- ~~ Jmiddot~~ )r~f _

CRITERION floatin g site

+-------------------- +- ------- ----+ AL TEFmRTIVES VALUE

+-------- ------------+------------+ Alternative A 10

IZI

A 1 t erY-a ti ve C 20

+--------------------+------------+

SUBJECTProduct De s iqn VERSI ONl st Draft

+----------------------------- + VALUE RAIJGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 25 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

Li ght y ear SUBJECTProduct Desig VERSI0N 1st Draf t

RU LE JIRJYI E lltULE +----------------- - +---- - ----------------- - - - - - - -------------- ---- ----- ------ shy H20 CHEMI STR Y I wa te r chemistrv MUST BE AT LEAS T treatable

CELIMINA ~ ION RUL E) y - -middot ~ t~ ~

middota - -~C-~~ _ t 1PRTHDLOGY ende ri1i c f i s h ltLJS~r EltI=- H -r L_EAS T l rbullw-leve l p a t hmiddot middotmiddotmiddotmiddot - t ~middot middot ~middot s

ltELI MI NATI ON RUL E)

+------------------+----------------------- - - ----------------- ----------------middot

) middot - (

Production Design Criteria - 250 Total Points

Major Assumption

In order to be evaluated a project must have a minimum level of

production of 10000 adults using the worst case assumptions of

marine survival

A Freshwater Source 100 pt Total

1 Quality 20 pt

a Water Chemistry

i Acceptable ~ t

ii Treatable 5 pt

iii Not treatable reject zero total

b Endemic Fish populations

i None 10 pt

ii Present but

pathogen free 0 t

iii Present with low level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with unknown status) 1 pt

iv Present with high level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with viral pathogen) reject zero total

2 Quantity 40 pt

a Adequate for proposal based

on 20 yr minimum flow

b Total volume available

scaling of all prorosals 6Jt

3 Temperature 30 pt

a Deep intake only uniform

l()y7 water temperature 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

b Shallow intake only ambient

surface water temperatures 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

c Deep and shallow intakes

variable water temperatures

available depending on

degree of temperature

ccntrol (Note on rrodel

this criteria is rated by

sumning a and b )

4 Gravity Delivery ~ t

a Yes 10 pt

b No 0 pt

B Strateqies (Culture Flexibility ) 100 pt Total

In this rating we are not comparing the relative merits of the

different strategies but are ranking according to the capability

of a project to utilize a variety of strategies In order to

qualify for a rating in one of the strategies a project must

release a miniJnum of 500000 fish in that strategy In Eating the

possible points in each strategy a number of roints are awarded

middot~~ - ~ i ~t~ ~-~

middotml -middot1t~--~

for minimum production l eJel aoc iticna l points up to the maximum

are then awarded based on level of production relative to other

projects using that strategy

Mir1irrrum Level Maximum Level

1 Yearling snolts

a Freshwater 20 30

b Seawater netpens 20 30

2 Age-zero snolts 20 30

3 Fry-stocking with isolation

incubation and rearing capability 5 10

C Physical Site Characteristics 50 pt Total

1 Potential for land-based siting Maximum 25 pts

a Flat land available

b Access

c Earthquake and avalanche hazard

d Soil characteristics

e Water supply characteristics

2 Potential for f loat complex in estuary Maximum 25 pt

a Stonn protection

b Anchor points

c Tidal fl0v

d Natural Freshwater influence

e Water supply characteristics

f Surface ar ea available

1

I - Ri5k Fact or An3lvs isshyl Ch1r0c ~ E~h ance~e~t Alternatives

tmiddotmiddotmiddot bull r-l1~ - ~ middot middotbull111 w bullmiddot middot vl rv -1lbulll-Imiddot

Tot3l Pr01ect C~ sc lJl per unit ~arv~s t

- rJal Sml t fr dex hrvEst r)bbilitv Index Harvest Prooabilitv A1rt ize Usable Pro1ect Arnual Oaeratiro Anrual C t Alternative PrJd Et in Best Case (best case) Worst Case (worst case ) Ca~ital Cost Life (v ear sl Cst fotal Best Case Wrst Case iii- ------------~~---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------middot-- --------------shy e0-check 5 0il0 iJJ 0006 025 0 ~lil 075 $8388320 2a $100000 e0 f lB3 Ba3 20 $6 13 $7355 $53U

05-chec k 2 52LJ 10~0 0015 0 70 001 1 030 $83 863 20 2J $20J0il 00 $283383 2~ t i SB ilO 3E Ht (with lens)

05-check 2 5~10 0e0 0018 010 0008 090 $5445050 20 $2e0 000 00 $25445copySJ $5 51 $1 3~3 fll lii (

(wo lensi

10-chec~ 1 2s0 e00 0021 080 0013 020 $83 Be3 20 20 $150000 ~I~ $233883211 ltl 3l $ i l L~ ilr ]t

Enclosure 6

J LIGHTYEAR

Lightyear i s a software produ ct th at produ ce s a r anking nr pr i oritization of a set of alternatives based on a numerical sco ring system

To use the product it is first necessary to choose and define a set of alternatives In this application alternatives will be location-specific chinook culture techniques Elimination of non- eq uivalent alternatives fr om the start of the analysis simplifies subsequent evaluations but is not absolutely necessary At present only dummy alternatives (ie Hatchshyery A Hatchery B etc) have been entered into the model in order to allow for unbiased development of evaluation cri t eria the next step in the process

Criteria are the qualities or attributes used to evaluate the alternatives in a decision Each criterion has a mode ie Numeric (N) Graphic (G) or Verbal (V) and a weight The weight defines the relative importance of a single criterion to the overall outcome of the decision It is possible to define as many criteria as the decision requires or to add delete or change a criterion as necessary Lightyear readily permits the editing and modification of the decisions structure If significant changes are made to the set of criteria any values assigned in the following evaluation step will be eliminated

The final step in the basic decision process is evaluating the alternatives An individual criterion is selected and each al te rnative is evaluated in turn for that citerion At the end of the evaluation process it is also possible to define simple logical rules to wei ght or eliminate alternatives on the basis of their evaluations for specific criteria

Once the basic steps in the decision process have been completed Lightyear then displays the ranked outcome of the decision process and identifies the preferred alternative It then further permits detailed examination of the performance of an individual alternative on the basis of each criterion

Page 2: Appendix M1: Historic ADF&G Baranof Project … u o p ly vol. fw suooly deep fw supoly shallow fw gravity fw freshwater saltwater • 121 srnolts isolation land-based .,I • ' supo

Li oimiddot~t vear SLJBJECTStock Interact +-middot- -- ---- - --middot- --- -middot - - - middot-middot -middotmiddotmiddot-middot - --+-middot - -middot-- - +- --- - - -middot + VERSI0N1st Draft

CRITERIA I MODE IWEIGHT I c ~z J8+--------------------+------+------+ near -t f~rmiddotmiddot rn harv v 5121

terrn harvest V 5Q)

adult stravin[1 V 25

J uveni 1 e cornoet V -t CJ

+--------------------+------+------+

t~ ~middotmiddot middot middot

middot middot_ r ~ ~J~~ l-Jt~ middotmiddotl~t ~~~-~ _middot_( middot

Ligi tvear ~U BJEC ~ S tocK i n t eract

C ~IT r1I CJ l-i nr- a r-tErr1 harv

+-------------------+-----------------+ ALTERl l(T I vES

------------------+-----------------+ Alternative A Moderate

Alterr-ative B Ylinirn a l

A 1 t err-a t i ve C

+---------------- ---+- ----------------+

~middot

VERSI0N 1st Dra ft

+-------------------+ IriirJact

+------------------ -+ 11 e g l i g i bl e 50

Mi nirnal 3 c5 Moderate z~ Hiqh I) Extreme

0

+--- ----------------+

rmiddot

-~

+-------------------+-----------------+ ALTERN 1T IV CS

---- --------------+-----------------+ A 1 t err-ia t i ve A Neg 1 i o i blbull=

Alternative B Neglir_Jible

Alternative C Ne q l i Cl i o l E

+--------- ----------+-----------------+

S UGJECTStoc K i nterac t VERSIONlst Draft

+-------------------+ Irnpcct

+-------------------+ Negligible 17)

IYlinirnal deg36 Moderate Z7 High 3 Extrerne 0

+-------------------+

_ lt

middotmiddot

VERSIONlst Dr aft C r~ I TC I~ I (Ji 1 a d _ t ~ t r ~ v i n 1

+-------------------+-----------------+ ALTERNATIVES WORDS

------------------+------- ----------+ Alternati v e A Hi gh I

I +-------------------+ A 1 t ernat i VF B II in i r1i 1 I rHJcct

+-------------------+ Alternat iv2 C Negligible Neg 1 i g i bl Pshy 2 ~-

Mini rna l IC Moderate 3 High b Ex treme O

+-------------------+ +-------------------+-----------------+

~ middotbull middotmiddot _ ~ -middotbull

~ e~r~middot_middotmiddot~----~ lt- --~- )-~- middot ~--~middot

Li grJt year

ci~ITEl~TCJII middot1uv c~ni~ c~111 1ultc t

+-------------------+--------- -------- + ALTEFIAT IVES JO fmS

------------------+-----------------+ Alternative A Moderate

Alternative B Minimal

A 1 t err-ct i ve C Ylinir11il

+-------------------+-----------------+

VERSIONlst Draft

ti 512 78-rshy

+-------------------+ Impact

+-------------------+ fieCJ 1 i 1i i bl 27if Minimal I 1 Moderate 13 Hioh 6 Egtlttrerne O

+-------------------+

middot ~=~- r (1middot(

i 1~ 72 ~ ( middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot

1middot1 t- middot1 middot middotmiddot middotmiddot-middot t -middot~middot ~shy r 1middotmiddot ( middot middot middot ( ~

7- middotshy

gt1

middotmiddot1 -~ bullcmiddot-i middot

J I_J ~ ~ l )

i

middot-------------~--shy

L j_ght year SUBJ ECTProduct Desi~ +--------------------+------+------+ VERSI0N1st Draft

CRITERIR I YIOD E WEIGHTEnclosure 4 +------------------- -+------+--- ---+ water chemistry V 1 IZl

e middotr1dern i c fish

ad eq fw s u o p ly

vol fw suooly

deep fw supoly

shallow fw

gravity fw

freshwater

saltwater

bull 121 srnolts

isolation

land-based

I bull

supo

51lOO

bull 1

1

fry

site

float i Y-1~ site

V 10 DR V 2121

N 21Z1

N 15

N 15

V 10

N 30

N 30

N 30

N lZI -

-cshyN i

N 25 +--------------------+---- --+------+

middot~middot~middot -~-middot

SLJBJECT Product Desion VERSIONls t Draft

CRITERION water chemistry

+-------------------+-----------------+ ALTERNATIVES WDRDS -----------------+-----------------+ Alternative A acceptable

I middot Alterrative B trEiatable

Alternative C untreatable

+-------------------+-----------------+

DRAFT +-------------------+

Water Chemistry +-------------------+

acceotable ID treatable 5 untreatable O

+-------------------+

1 - -~ middot ~middotrmiddot -

Liqhtyear SUBJECTProduct Desion VERSIONlst Draft

CRITERION endemic f i sh

+-------------------+-----------------+ ALTERNATIVES

middot-----------------+--------- --------+ Alternative A none

+-------------------+ Alternative B high-l evfl oath Endernic Fish

+-- -----------------+ Alternative C 1 os1-l eve 1 CJct h none 0

pat hogen-free 7 low-level oath high-l evel oath O

+-------------------+ +-------------------+-----------------+

middot middot bullmiddot bull ltmiddot middot middot ~ ~- ~middotmiddot~- ~

Liqhbullt year SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONlst Draft

fi_1CRITEJUDN adeq ciUODly

+----------- --------+-----------------+ ALTERNAT I VES

-----------------+------------ -----+ Alternative A Yes

+-------------------+ A 1 t erra t i v e B YesNo

+-------------------+ Alternative C Maybe Yes 2-0

Maybe 0 No 0

+-------------------+ +-------------------+-----------------+

~ - ( l I middot

-fr ~-(gt-middot middot _ -_ t ~

Li ght j ear SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONlst Draft

CRITERIOII vol fw suppl y

+--------- -----------+------------+ ALTERIIAT IVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative R 15

Alternative B 7 +-----------------------------+

Al terl1at i v e C 3 VPtLUE RANGE +-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 20 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

+--------------------+---------- --+

middot1 middot -( r ~ $

Light j ear SU BJECTProduct Design

CRITERION deeo fw s upol y

+--------------------+---- - -------+ ALTEl~NRT IVES VRLUE

+--------------------+------------+ 15

Alternative B E

A 1 t erY-1at i ve C 13

+----- ------------- --+------------+

VERS 10N1st Draft

+-------------------- ---------+ W -)LUE RAJIGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 15 I LEAST DE SI RABLE 0

+-----------------------------+

_ ~

_ shy

Light ear SLJBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION shallow fw supp

+--------------------+------------+ RLTEF~NAT IVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 15

Alternative B 3

Alternative C 8

+--------------------+------------+

VERSIONl s t Draft

+-----------------------------+ Vf~LUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 15 I LEAST DESIR~BLE 0 +-----------------------------+

~ bull _ ~11~middot ~

Light vear SUBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION qravity

+-------------------+------------ - - - - -+ ALTERIIAT IVES WOfm~

~ ------ ----------+----------- --- - --+ ~lternative A Yes

A 1 t err1a t i ve B IJ

Alterr1ative C Ma yb e

+-------------------+-----------------+

VERSIONlst Draft fw s up o

+---- ---------------+ YesNo

+-------------------+ Yes IO Ma yb e ~ 11 0

I I I

- middot1

+-------------------+

bull- -~ii bull middotbull ~middoty i~middot shy

Li ght year SUBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION freshwater 1

+--------------------+----------- - + ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 15 middot

Alternative B 30

Alternative C 20

+---------------- ----+------------+

VERSI ONls t Draft

+--------- - -------------------+ VRLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +------------------ -----------+

middot i shy

imiddot -shy 1middott middot ~-- -~-~~-gt _~~-- middot ~~_~~middot_f~ -~

__ightye ar SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONi s t Draft

CRITERION saltwater 1

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERIJAT IVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 20

Al terr1at i ve B 20

Alternative C 3

+--------------------+------------+

middot~ ~~ -middot lt~ --~

i~~i ttJ~l ~~ s

+----------------- ------------+ V(JLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

-l bull

- - ----~ ~(yen__~_ ~ middot- ~- bull bull y-~ -- ~-

_ight y~ar SLJB J ECTProduct Design

CRITERION 0 smolts

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alterrat ive A 4

Alternative B

Alternative C 20

I I

I

I

+--------------------+------------+

VERSIONl s t Draft

+-----------------------------+ ViLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

( t middot middot - middot

---~~-f~~~-~ rmiddotmiddot ~-L~~- -Ji -~middot~ middot- - -

i ght yemiddota r SUBJ ECT P r oduc t Design VERSIO Nl st Dra ft

CRITERION i s olation fr y

+--------------- -----+- - ------- - - -+ ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+------- ------------- +--- ---------+ Alternative A 3

A 1 t err-a t i ve B 3

Alternative C 3

+--------------------+--------- - - -+

~ - - r ~ -~ 1 bull - ~

~~gtt ~-~ rf_~-~~ ~t~ J

+------- ----------------------+ VALUE RANGE

+- ----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 10 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

middot

_ _

i~f~~~ middot (f middot~ -~- middot middotmiddot

ightyea r SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONlst Draft

CRITERION land-based site

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERNATIVES tjALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative R

Alternative B 15

-tA1t erYa t i ve C CJ

+--------------------+------------+

- t middot middotmiddot 1

middotmiddot~~ ~- _~~ ti~ J

+-----------------------------+ VRLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 25 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

_ _middot _ middot~~ - ~ ~ -bull

middot~ ~ - middot - middot middot middot_ __ J~ j---- middot middot ~ ~~ ti~- ~~ Jmiddot~~ )r~f _

CRITERION floatin g site

+-------------------- +- ------- ----+ AL TEFmRTIVES VALUE

+-------- ------------+------------+ Alternative A 10

IZI

A 1 t erY-a ti ve C 20

+--------------------+------------+

SUBJECTProduct De s iqn VERSI ONl st Draft

+----------------------------- + VALUE RAIJGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 25 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

Li ght y ear SUBJECTProduct Desig VERSI0N 1st Draf t

RU LE JIRJYI E lltULE +----------------- - +---- - ----------------- - - - - - - -------------- ---- ----- ------ shy H20 CHEMI STR Y I wa te r chemistrv MUST BE AT LEAS T treatable

CELIMINA ~ ION RUL E) y - -middot ~ t~ ~

middota - -~C-~~ _ t 1PRTHDLOGY ende ri1i c f i s h ltLJS~r EltI=- H -r L_EAS T l rbullw-leve l p a t hmiddot middotmiddotmiddotmiddot - t ~middot middot ~middot s

ltELI MI NATI ON RUL E)

+------------------+----------------------- - - ----------------- ----------------middot

) middot - (

Production Design Criteria - 250 Total Points

Major Assumption

In order to be evaluated a project must have a minimum level of

production of 10000 adults using the worst case assumptions of

marine survival

A Freshwater Source 100 pt Total

1 Quality 20 pt

a Water Chemistry

i Acceptable ~ t

ii Treatable 5 pt

iii Not treatable reject zero total

b Endemic Fish populations

i None 10 pt

ii Present but

pathogen free 0 t

iii Present with low level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with unknown status) 1 pt

iv Present with high level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with viral pathogen) reject zero total

2 Quantity 40 pt

a Adequate for proposal based

on 20 yr minimum flow

b Total volume available

scaling of all prorosals 6Jt

3 Temperature 30 pt

a Deep intake only uniform

l()y7 water temperature 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

b Shallow intake only ambient

surface water temperatures 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

c Deep and shallow intakes

variable water temperatures

available depending on

degree of temperature

ccntrol (Note on rrodel

this criteria is rated by

sumning a and b )

4 Gravity Delivery ~ t

a Yes 10 pt

b No 0 pt

B Strateqies (Culture Flexibility ) 100 pt Total

In this rating we are not comparing the relative merits of the

different strategies but are ranking according to the capability

of a project to utilize a variety of strategies In order to

qualify for a rating in one of the strategies a project must

release a miniJnum of 500000 fish in that strategy In Eating the

possible points in each strategy a number of roints are awarded

middot~~ - ~ i ~t~ ~-~

middotml -middot1t~--~

for minimum production l eJel aoc iticna l points up to the maximum

are then awarded based on level of production relative to other

projects using that strategy

Mir1irrrum Level Maximum Level

1 Yearling snolts

a Freshwater 20 30

b Seawater netpens 20 30

2 Age-zero snolts 20 30

3 Fry-stocking with isolation

incubation and rearing capability 5 10

C Physical Site Characteristics 50 pt Total

1 Potential for land-based siting Maximum 25 pts

a Flat land available

b Access

c Earthquake and avalanche hazard

d Soil characteristics

e Water supply characteristics

2 Potential for f loat complex in estuary Maximum 25 pt

a Stonn protection

b Anchor points

c Tidal fl0v

d Natural Freshwater influence

e Water supply characteristics

f Surface ar ea available

1

I - Ri5k Fact or An3lvs isshyl Ch1r0c ~ E~h ance~e~t Alternatives

tmiddotmiddotmiddot bull r-l1~ - ~ middot middotbull111 w bullmiddot middot vl rv -1lbulll-Imiddot

Tot3l Pr01ect C~ sc lJl per unit ~arv~s t

- rJal Sml t fr dex hrvEst r)bbilitv Index Harvest Prooabilitv A1rt ize Usable Pro1ect Arnual Oaeratiro Anrual C t Alternative PrJd Et in Best Case (best case) Worst Case (worst case ) Ca~ital Cost Life (v ear sl Cst fotal Best Case Wrst Case iii- ------------~~---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------middot-- --------------shy e0-check 5 0il0 iJJ 0006 025 0 ~lil 075 $8388320 2a $100000 e0 f lB3 Ba3 20 $6 13 $7355 $53U

05-chec k 2 52LJ 10~0 0015 0 70 001 1 030 $83 863 20 2J $20J0il 00 $283383 2~ t i SB ilO 3E Ht (with lens)

05-check 2 5~10 0e0 0018 010 0008 090 $5445050 20 $2e0 000 00 $25445copySJ $5 51 $1 3~3 fll lii (

(wo lensi

10-chec~ 1 2s0 e00 0021 080 0013 020 $83 Be3 20 20 $150000 ~I~ $233883211 ltl 3l $ i l L~ ilr ]t

Enclosure 6

J LIGHTYEAR

Lightyear i s a software produ ct th at produ ce s a r anking nr pr i oritization of a set of alternatives based on a numerical sco ring system

To use the product it is first necessary to choose and define a set of alternatives In this application alternatives will be location-specific chinook culture techniques Elimination of non- eq uivalent alternatives fr om the start of the analysis simplifies subsequent evaluations but is not absolutely necessary At present only dummy alternatives (ie Hatchshyery A Hatchery B etc) have been entered into the model in order to allow for unbiased development of evaluation cri t eria the next step in the process

Criteria are the qualities or attributes used to evaluate the alternatives in a decision Each criterion has a mode ie Numeric (N) Graphic (G) or Verbal (V) and a weight The weight defines the relative importance of a single criterion to the overall outcome of the decision It is possible to define as many criteria as the decision requires or to add delete or change a criterion as necessary Lightyear readily permits the editing and modification of the decisions structure If significant changes are made to the set of criteria any values assigned in the following evaluation step will be eliminated

The final step in the basic decision process is evaluating the alternatives An individual criterion is selected and each al te rnative is evaluated in turn for that citerion At the end of the evaluation process it is also possible to define simple logical rules to wei ght or eliminate alternatives on the basis of their evaluations for specific criteria

Once the basic steps in the decision process have been completed Lightyear then displays the ranked outcome of the decision process and identifies the preferred alternative It then further permits detailed examination of the performance of an individual alternative on the basis of each criterion

Page 3: Appendix M1: Historic ADF&G Baranof Project … u o p ly vol. fw suooly deep fw supoly shallow fw gravity fw freshwater saltwater • 121 srnolts isolation land-based .,I • ' supo

Ligi tvear ~U BJEC ~ S tocK i n t eract

C ~IT r1I CJ l-i nr- a r-tErr1 harv

+-------------------+-----------------+ ALTERl l(T I vES

------------------+-----------------+ Alternative A Moderate

Alterr-ative B Ylinirn a l

A 1 t err-a t i ve C

+---------------- ---+- ----------------+

~middot

VERSI0N 1st Dra ft

+-------------------+ IriirJact

+------------------ -+ 11 e g l i g i bl e 50

Mi nirnal 3 c5 Moderate z~ Hiqh I) Extreme

0

+--- ----------------+

rmiddot

-~

+-------------------+-----------------+ ALTERN 1T IV CS

---- --------------+-----------------+ A 1 t err-ia t i ve A Neg 1 i o i blbull=

Alternative B Neglir_Jible

Alternative C Ne q l i Cl i o l E

+--------- ----------+-----------------+

S UGJECTStoc K i nterac t VERSIONlst Draft

+-------------------+ Irnpcct

+-------------------+ Negligible 17)

IYlinirnal deg36 Moderate Z7 High 3 Extrerne 0

+-------------------+

_ lt

middotmiddot

VERSIONlst Dr aft C r~ I TC I~ I (Ji 1 a d _ t ~ t r ~ v i n 1

+-------------------+-----------------+ ALTERNATIVES WORDS

------------------+------- ----------+ Alternati v e A Hi gh I

I +-------------------+ A 1 t ernat i VF B II in i r1i 1 I rHJcct

+-------------------+ Alternat iv2 C Negligible Neg 1 i g i bl Pshy 2 ~-

Mini rna l IC Moderate 3 High b Ex treme O

+-------------------+ +-------------------+-----------------+

~ middotbull middotmiddot _ ~ -middotbull

~ e~r~middot_middotmiddot~----~ lt- --~- )-~- middot ~--~middot

Li grJt year

ci~ITEl~TCJII middot1uv c~ni~ c~111 1ultc t

+-------------------+--------- -------- + ALTEFIAT IVES JO fmS

------------------+-----------------+ Alternative A Moderate

Alternative B Minimal

A 1 t err-ct i ve C Ylinir11il

+-------------------+-----------------+

VERSIONlst Draft

ti 512 78-rshy

+-------------------+ Impact

+-------------------+ fieCJ 1 i 1i i bl 27if Minimal I 1 Moderate 13 Hioh 6 Egtlttrerne O

+-------------------+

middot ~=~- r (1middot(

i 1~ 72 ~ ( middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot

1middot1 t- middot1 middot middotmiddot middotmiddot-middot t -middot~middot ~shy r 1middotmiddot ( middot middot middot ( ~

7- middotshy

gt1

middotmiddot1 -~ bullcmiddot-i middot

J I_J ~ ~ l )

i

middot-------------~--shy

L j_ght year SUBJ ECTProduct Desi~ +--------------------+------+------+ VERSI0N1st Draft

CRITERIR I YIOD E WEIGHTEnclosure 4 +------------------- -+------+--- ---+ water chemistry V 1 IZl

e middotr1dern i c fish

ad eq fw s u o p ly

vol fw suooly

deep fw supoly

shallow fw

gravity fw

freshwater

saltwater

bull 121 srnolts

isolation

land-based

I bull

supo

51lOO

bull 1

1

fry

site

float i Y-1~ site

V 10 DR V 2121

N 21Z1

N 15

N 15

V 10

N 30

N 30

N 30

N lZI -

-cshyN i

N 25 +--------------------+---- --+------+

middot~middot~middot -~-middot

SLJBJECT Product Desion VERSIONls t Draft

CRITERION water chemistry

+-------------------+-----------------+ ALTERNATIVES WDRDS -----------------+-----------------+ Alternative A acceptable

I middot Alterrative B trEiatable

Alternative C untreatable

+-------------------+-----------------+

DRAFT +-------------------+

Water Chemistry +-------------------+

acceotable ID treatable 5 untreatable O

+-------------------+

1 - -~ middot ~middotrmiddot -

Liqhtyear SUBJECTProduct Desion VERSIONlst Draft

CRITERION endemic f i sh

+-------------------+-----------------+ ALTERNATIVES

middot-----------------+--------- --------+ Alternative A none

+-------------------+ Alternative B high-l evfl oath Endernic Fish

+-- -----------------+ Alternative C 1 os1-l eve 1 CJct h none 0

pat hogen-free 7 low-level oath high-l evel oath O

+-------------------+ +-------------------+-----------------+

middot middot bullmiddot bull ltmiddot middot middot ~ ~- ~middotmiddot~- ~

Liqhbullt year SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONlst Draft

fi_1CRITEJUDN adeq ciUODly

+----------- --------+-----------------+ ALTERNAT I VES

-----------------+------------ -----+ Alternative A Yes

+-------------------+ A 1 t erra t i v e B YesNo

+-------------------+ Alternative C Maybe Yes 2-0

Maybe 0 No 0

+-------------------+ +-------------------+-----------------+

~ - ( l I middot

-fr ~-(gt-middot middot _ -_ t ~

Li ght j ear SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONlst Draft

CRITERIOII vol fw suppl y

+--------- -----------+------------+ ALTERIIAT IVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative R 15

Alternative B 7 +-----------------------------+

Al terl1at i v e C 3 VPtLUE RANGE +-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 20 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

+--------------------+---------- --+

middot1 middot -( r ~ $

Light j ear SU BJECTProduct Design

CRITERION deeo fw s upol y

+--------------------+---- - -------+ ALTEl~NRT IVES VRLUE

+--------------------+------------+ 15

Alternative B E

A 1 t erY-1at i ve C 13

+----- ------------- --+------------+

VERS 10N1st Draft

+-------------------- ---------+ W -)LUE RAJIGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 15 I LEAST DE SI RABLE 0

+-----------------------------+

_ ~

_ shy

Light ear SLJBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION shallow fw supp

+--------------------+------------+ RLTEF~NAT IVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 15

Alternative B 3

Alternative C 8

+--------------------+------------+

VERSIONl s t Draft

+-----------------------------+ Vf~LUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 15 I LEAST DESIR~BLE 0 +-----------------------------+

~ bull _ ~11~middot ~

Light vear SUBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION qravity

+-------------------+------------ - - - - -+ ALTERIIAT IVES WOfm~

~ ------ ----------+----------- --- - --+ ~lternative A Yes

A 1 t err1a t i ve B IJ

Alterr1ative C Ma yb e

+-------------------+-----------------+

VERSIONlst Draft fw s up o

+---- ---------------+ YesNo

+-------------------+ Yes IO Ma yb e ~ 11 0

I I I

- middot1

+-------------------+

bull- -~ii bull middotbull ~middoty i~middot shy

Li ght year SUBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION freshwater 1

+--------------------+----------- - + ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 15 middot

Alternative B 30

Alternative C 20

+---------------- ----+------------+

VERSI ONls t Draft

+--------- - -------------------+ VRLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +------------------ -----------+

middot i shy

imiddot -shy 1middott middot ~-- -~-~~-gt _~~-- middot ~~_~~middot_f~ -~

__ightye ar SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONi s t Draft

CRITERION saltwater 1

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERIJAT IVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 20

Al terr1at i ve B 20

Alternative C 3

+--------------------+------------+

middot~ ~~ -middot lt~ --~

i~~i ttJ~l ~~ s

+----------------- ------------+ V(JLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

-l bull

- - ----~ ~(yen__~_ ~ middot- ~- bull bull y-~ -- ~-

_ight y~ar SLJB J ECTProduct Design

CRITERION 0 smolts

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alterrat ive A 4

Alternative B

Alternative C 20

I I

I

I

+--------------------+------------+

VERSIONl s t Draft

+-----------------------------+ ViLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

( t middot middot - middot

---~~-f~~~-~ rmiddotmiddot ~-L~~- -Ji -~middot~ middot- - -

i ght yemiddota r SUBJ ECT P r oduc t Design VERSIO Nl st Dra ft

CRITERION i s olation fr y

+--------------- -----+- - ------- - - -+ ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+------- ------------- +--- ---------+ Alternative A 3

A 1 t err-a t i ve B 3

Alternative C 3

+--------------------+--------- - - -+

~ - - r ~ -~ 1 bull - ~

~~gtt ~-~ rf_~-~~ ~t~ J

+------- ----------------------+ VALUE RANGE

+- ----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 10 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

middot

_ _

i~f~~~ middot (f middot~ -~- middot middotmiddot

ightyea r SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONlst Draft

CRITERION land-based site

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERNATIVES tjALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative R

Alternative B 15

-tA1t erYa t i ve C CJ

+--------------------+------------+

- t middot middotmiddot 1

middotmiddot~~ ~- _~~ ti~ J

+-----------------------------+ VRLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 25 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

_ _middot _ middot~~ - ~ ~ -bull

middot~ ~ - middot - middot middot middot_ __ J~ j---- middot middot ~ ~~ ti~- ~~ Jmiddot~~ )r~f _

CRITERION floatin g site

+-------------------- +- ------- ----+ AL TEFmRTIVES VALUE

+-------- ------------+------------+ Alternative A 10

IZI

A 1 t erY-a ti ve C 20

+--------------------+------------+

SUBJECTProduct De s iqn VERSI ONl st Draft

+----------------------------- + VALUE RAIJGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 25 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

Li ght y ear SUBJECTProduct Desig VERSI0N 1st Draf t

RU LE JIRJYI E lltULE +----------------- - +---- - ----------------- - - - - - - -------------- ---- ----- ------ shy H20 CHEMI STR Y I wa te r chemistrv MUST BE AT LEAS T treatable

CELIMINA ~ ION RUL E) y - -middot ~ t~ ~

middota - -~C-~~ _ t 1PRTHDLOGY ende ri1i c f i s h ltLJS~r EltI=- H -r L_EAS T l rbullw-leve l p a t hmiddot middotmiddotmiddotmiddot - t ~middot middot ~middot s

ltELI MI NATI ON RUL E)

+------------------+----------------------- - - ----------------- ----------------middot

) middot - (

Production Design Criteria - 250 Total Points

Major Assumption

In order to be evaluated a project must have a minimum level of

production of 10000 adults using the worst case assumptions of

marine survival

A Freshwater Source 100 pt Total

1 Quality 20 pt

a Water Chemistry

i Acceptable ~ t

ii Treatable 5 pt

iii Not treatable reject zero total

b Endemic Fish populations

i None 10 pt

ii Present but

pathogen free 0 t

iii Present with low level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with unknown status) 1 pt

iv Present with high level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with viral pathogen) reject zero total

2 Quantity 40 pt

a Adequate for proposal based

on 20 yr minimum flow

b Total volume available

scaling of all prorosals 6Jt

3 Temperature 30 pt

a Deep intake only uniform

l()y7 water temperature 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

b Shallow intake only ambient

surface water temperatures 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

c Deep and shallow intakes

variable water temperatures

available depending on

degree of temperature

ccntrol (Note on rrodel

this criteria is rated by

sumning a and b )

4 Gravity Delivery ~ t

a Yes 10 pt

b No 0 pt

B Strateqies (Culture Flexibility ) 100 pt Total

In this rating we are not comparing the relative merits of the

different strategies but are ranking according to the capability

of a project to utilize a variety of strategies In order to

qualify for a rating in one of the strategies a project must

release a miniJnum of 500000 fish in that strategy In Eating the

possible points in each strategy a number of roints are awarded

middot~~ - ~ i ~t~ ~-~

middotml -middot1t~--~

for minimum production l eJel aoc iticna l points up to the maximum

are then awarded based on level of production relative to other

projects using that strategy

Mir1irrrum Level Maximum Level

1 Yearling snolts

a Freshwater 20 30

b Seawater netpens 20 30

2 Age-zero snolts 20 30

3 Fry-stocking with isolation

incubation and rearing capability 5 10

C Physical Site Characteristics 50 pt Total

1 Potential for land-based siting Maximum 25 pts

a Flat land available

b Access

c Earthquake and avalanche hazard

d Soil characteristics

e Water supply characteristics

2 Potential for f loat complex in estuary Maximum 25 pt

a Stonn protection

b Anchor points

c Tidal fl0v

d Natural Freshwater influence

e Water supply characteristics

f Surface ar ea available

1

I - Ri5k Fact or An3lvs isshyl Ch1r0c ~ E~h ance~e~t Alternatives

tmiddotmiddotmiddot bull r-l1~ - ~ middot middotbull111 w bullmiddot middot vl rv -1lbulll-Imiddot

Tot3l Pr01ect C~ sc lJl per unit ~arv~s t

- rJal Sml t fr dex hrvEst r)bbilitv Index Harvest Prooabilitv A1rt ize Usable Pro1ect Arnual Oaeratiro Anrual C t Alternative PrJd Et in Best Case (best case) Worst Case (worst case ) Ca~ital Cost Life (v ear sl Cst fotal Best Case Wrst Case iii- ------------~~---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------middot-- --------------shy e0-check 5 0il0 iJJ 0006 025 0 ~lil 075 $8388320 2a $100000 e0 f lB3 Ba3 20 $6 13 $7355 $53U

05-chec k 2 52LJ 10~0 0015 0 70 001 1 030 $83 863 20 2J $20J0il 00 $283383 2~ t i SB ilO 3E Ht (with lens)

05-check 2 5~10 0e0 0018 010 0008 090 $5445050 20 $2e0 000 00 $25445copySJ $5 51 $1 3~3 fll lii (

(wo lensi

10-chec~ 1 2s0 e00 0021 080 0013 020 $83 Be3 20 20 $150000 ~I~ $233883211 ltl 3l $ i l L~ ilr ]t

Enclosure 6

J LIGHTYEAR

Lightyear i s a software produ ct th at produ ce s a r anking nr pr i oritization of a set of alternatives based on a numerical sco ring system

To use the product it is first necessary to choose and define a set of alternatives In this application alternatives will be location-specific chinook culture techniques Elimination of non- eq uivalent alternatives fr om the start of the analysis simplifies subsequent evaluations but is not absolutely necessary At present only dummy alternatives (ie Hatchshyery A Hatchery B etc) have been entered into the model in order to allow for unbiased development of evaluation cri t eria the next step in the process

Criteria are the qualities or attributes used to evaluate the alternatives in a decision Each criterion has a mode ie Numeric (N) Graphic (G) or Verbal (V) and a weight The weight defines the relative importance of a single criterion to the overall outcome of the decision It is possible to define as many criteria as the decision requires or to add delete or change a criterion as necessary Lightyear readily permits the editing and modification of the decisions structure If significant changes are made to the set of criteria any values assigned in the following evaluation step will be eliminated

The final step in the basic decision process is evaluating the alternatives An individual criterion is selected and each al te rnative is evaluated in turn for that citerion At the end of the evaluation process it is also possible to define simple logical rules to wei ght or eliminate alternatives on the basis of their evaluations for specific criteria

Once the basic steps in the decision process have been completed Lightyear then displays the ranked outcome of the decision process and identifies the preferred alternative It then further permits detailed examination of the performance of an individual alternative on the basis of each criterion

Page 4: Appendix M1: Historic ADF&G Baranof Project … u o p ly vol. fw suooly deep fw supoly shallow fw gravity fw freshwater saltwater • 121 srnolts isolation land-based .,I • ' supo

+-------------------+-----------------+ ALTERN 1T IV CS

---- --------------+-----------------+ A 1 t err-ia t i ve A Neg 1 i o i blbull=

Alternative B Neglir_Jible

Alternative C Ne q l i Cl i o l E

+--------- ----------+-----------------+

S UGJECTStoc K i nterac t VERSIONlst Draft

+-------------------+ Irnpcct

+-------------------+ Negligible 17)

IYlinirnal deg36 Moderate Z7 High 3 Extrerne 0

+-------------------+

_ lt

middotmiddot

VERSIONlst Dr aft C r~ I TC I~ I (Ji 1 a d _ t ~ t r ~ v i n 1

+-------------------+-----------------+ ALTERNATIVES WORDS

------------------+------- ----------+ Alternati v e A Hi gh I

I +-------------------+ A 1 t ernat i VF B II in i r1i 1 I rHJcct

+-------------------+ Alternat iv2 C Negligible Neg 1 i g i bl Pshy 2 ~-

Mini rna l IC Moderate 3 High b Ex treme O

+-------------------+ +-------------------+-----------------+

~ middotbull middotmiddot _ ~ -middotbull

~ e~r~middot_middotmiddot~----~ lt- --~- )-~- middot ~--~middot

Li grJt year

ci~ITEl~TCJII middot1uv c~ni~ c~111 1ultc t

+-------------------+--------- -------- + ALTEFIAT IVES JO fmS

------------------+-----------------+ Alternative A Moderate

Alternative B Minimal

A 1 t err-ct i ve C Ylinir11il

+-------------------+-----------------+

VERSIONlst Draft

ti 512 78-rshy

+-------------------+ Impact

+-------------------+ fieCJ 1 i 1i i bl 27if Minimal I 1 Moderate 13 Hioh 6 Egtlttrerne O

+-------------------+

middot ~=~- r (1middot(

i 1~ 72 ~ ( middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot

1middot1 t- middot1 middot middotmiddot middotmiddot-middot t -middot~middot ~shy r 1middotmiddot ( middot middot middot ( ~

7- middotshy

gt1

middotmiddot1 -~ bullcmiddot-i middot

J I_J ~ ~ l )

i

middot-------------~--shy

L j_ght year SUBJ ECTProduct Desi~ +--------------------+------+------+ VERSI0N1st Draft

CRITERIR I YIOD E WEIGHTEnclosure 4 +------------------- -+------+--- ---+ water chemistry V 1 IZl

e middotr1dern i c fish

ad eq fw s u o p ly

vol fw suooly

deep fw supoly

shallow fw

gravity fw

freshwater

saltwater

bull 121 srnolts

isolation

land-based

I bull

supo

51lOO

bull 1

1

fry

site

float i Y-1~ site

V 10 DR V 2121

N 21Z1

N 15

N 15

V 10

N 30

N 30

N 30

N lZI -

-cshyN i

N 25 +--------------------+---- --+------+

middot~middot~middot -~-middot

SLJBJECT Product Desion VERSIONls t Draft

CRITERION water chemistry

+-------------------+-----------------+ ALTERNATIVES WDRDS -----------------+-----------------+ Alternative A acceptable

I middot Alterrative B trEiatable

Alternative C untreatable

+-------------------+-----------------+

DRAFT +-------------------+

Water Chemistry +-------------------+

acceotable ID treatable 5 untreatable O

+-------------------+

1 - -~ middot ~middotrmiddot -

Liqhtyear SUBJECTProduct Desion VERSIONlst Draft

CRITERION endemic f i sh

+-------------------+-----------------+ ALTERNATIVES

middot-----------------+--------- --------+ Alternative A none

+-------------------+ Alternative B high-l evfl oath Endernic Fish

+-- -----------------+ Alternative C 1 os1-l eve 1 CJct h none 0

pat hogen-free 7 low-level oath high-l evel oath O

+-------------------+ +-------------------+-----------------+

middot middot bullmiddot bull ltmiddot middot middot ~ ~- ~middotmiddot~- ~

Liqhbullt year SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONlst Draft

fi_1CRITEJUDN adeq ciUODly

+----------- --------+-----------------+ ALTERNAT I VES

-----------------+------------ -----+ Alternative A Yes

+-------------------+ A 1 t erra t i v e B YesNo

+-------------------+ Alternative C Maybe Yes 2-0

Maybe 0 No 0

+-------------------+ +-------------------+-----------------+

~ - ( l I middot

-fr ~-(gt-middot middot _ -_ t ~

Li ght j ear SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONlst Draft

CRITERIOII vol fw suppl y

+--------- -----------+------------+ ALTERIIAT IVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative R 15

Alternative B 7 +-----------------------------+

Al terl1at i v e C 3 VPtLUE RANGE +-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 20 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

+--------------------+---------- --+

middot1 middot -( r ~ $

Light j ear SU BJECTProduct Design

CRITERION deeo fw s upol y

+--------------------+---- - -------+ ALTEl~NRT IVES VRLUE

+--------------------+------------+ 15

Alternative B E

A 1 t erY-1at i ve C 13

+----- ------------- --+------------+

VERS 10N1st Draft

+-------------------- ---------+ W -)LUE RAJIGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 15 I LEAST DE SI RABLE 0

+-----------------------------+

_ ~

_ shy

Light ear SLJBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION shallow fw supp

+--------------------+------------+ RLTEF~NAT IVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 15

Alternative B 3

Alternative C 8

+--------------------+------------+

VERSIONl s t Draft

+-----------------------------+ Vf~LUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 15 I LEAST DESIR~BLE 0 +-----------------------------+

~ bull _ ~11~middot ~

Light vear SUBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION qravity

+-------------------+------------ - - - - -+ ALTERIIAT IVES WOfm~

~ ------ ----------+----------- --- - --+ ~lternative A Yes

A 1 t err1a t i ve B IJ

Alterr1ative C Ma yb e

+-------------------+-----------------+

VERSIONlst Draft fw s up o

+---- ---------------+ YesNo

+-------------------+ Yes IO Ma yb e ~ 11 0

I I I

- middot1

+-------------------+

bull- -~ii bull middotbull ~middoty i~middot shy

Li ght year SUBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION freshwater 1

+--------------------+----------- - + ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 15 middot

Alternative B 30

Alternative C 20

+---------------- ----+------------+

VERSI ONls t Draft

+--------- - -------------------+ VRLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +------------------ -----------+

middot i shy

imiddot -shy 1middott middot ~-- -~-~~-gt _~~-- middot ~~_~~middot_f~ -~

__ightye ar SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONi s t Draft

CRITERION saltwater 1

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERIJAT IVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 20

Al terr1at i ve B 20

Alternative C 3

+--------------------+------------+

middot~ ~~ -middot lt~ --~

i~~i ttJ~l ~~ s

+----------------- ------------+ V(JLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

-l bull

- - ----~ ~(yen__~_ ~ middot- ~- bull bull y-~ -- ~-

_ight y~ar SLJB J ECTProduct Design

CRITERION 0 smolts

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alterrat ive A 4

Alternative B

Alternative C 20

I I

I

I

+--------------------+------------+

VERSIONl s t Draft

+-----------------------------+ ViLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

( t middot middot - middot

---~~-f~~~-~ rmiddotmiddot ~-L~~- -Ji -~middot~ middot- - -

i ght yemiddota r SUBJ ECT P r oduc t Design VERSIO Nl st Dra ft

CRITERION i s olation fr y

+--------------- -----+- - ------- - - -+ ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+------- ------------- +--- ---------+ Alternative A 3

A 1 t err-a t i ve B 3

Alternative C 3

+--------------------+--------- - - -+

~ - - r ~ -~ 1 bull - ~

~~gtt ~-~ rf_~-~~ ~t~ J

+------- ----------------------+ VALUE RANGE

+- ----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 10 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

middot

_ _

i~f~~~ middot (f middot~ -~- middot middotmiddot

ightyea r SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONlst Draft

CRITERION land-based site

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERNATIVES tjALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative R

Alternative B 15

-tA1t erYa t i ve C CJ

+--------------------+------------+

- t middot middotmiddot 1

middotmiddot~~ ~- _~~ ti~ J

+-----------------------------+ VRLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 25 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

_ _middot _ middot~~ - ~ ~ -bull

middot~ ~ - middot - middot middot middot_ __ J~ j---- middot middot ~ ~~ ti~- ~~ Jmiddot~~ )r~f _

CRITERION floatin g site

+-------------------- +- ------- ----+ AL TEFmRTIVES VALUE

+-------- ------------+------------+ Alternative A 10

IZI

A 1 t erY-a ti ve C 20

+--------------------+------------+

SUBJECTProduct De s iqn VERSI ONl st Draft

+----------------------------- + VALUE RAIJGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 25 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

Li ght y ear SUBJECTProduct Desig VERSI0N 1st Draf t

RU LE JIRJYI E lltULE +----------------- - +---- - ----------------- - - - - - - -------------- ---- ----- ------ shy H20 CHEMI STR Y I wa te r chemistrv MUST BE AT LEAS T treatable

CELIMINA ~ ION RUL E) y - -middot ~ t~ ~

middota - -~C-~~ _ t 1PRTHDLOGY ende ri1i c f i s h ltLJS~r EltI=- H -r L_EAS T l rbullw-leve l p a t hmiddot middotmiddotmiddotmiddot - t ~middot middot ~middot s

ltELI MI NATI ON RUL E)

+------------------+----------------------- - - ----------------- ----------------middot

) middot - (

Production Design Criteria - 250 Total Points

Major Assumption

In order to be evaluated a project must have a minimum level of

production of 10000 adults using the worst case assumptions of

marine survival

A Freshwater Source 100 pt Total

1 Quality 20 pt

a Water Chemistry

i Acceptable ~ t

ii Treatable 5 pt

iii Not treatable reject zero total

b Endemic Fish populations

i None 10 pt

ii Present but

pathogen free 0 t

iii Present with low level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with unknown status) 1 pt

iv Present with high level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with viral pathogen) reject zero total

2 Quantity 40 pt

a Adequate for proposal based

on 20 yr minimum flow

b Total volume available

scaling of all prorosals 6Jt

3 Temperature 30 pt

a Deep intake only uniform

l()y7 water temperature 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

b Shallow intake only ambient

surface water temperatures 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

c Deep and shallow intakes

variable water temperatures

available depending on

degree of temperature

ccntrol (Note on rrodel

this criteria is rated by

sumning a and b )

4 Gravity Delivery ~ t

a Yes 10 pt

b No 0 pt

B Strateqies (Culture Flexibility ) 100 pt Total

In this rating we are not comparing the relative merits of the

different strategies but are ranking according to the capability

of a project to utilize a variety of strategies In order to

qualify for a rating in one of the strategies a project must

release a miniJnum of 500000 fish in that strategy In Eating the

possible points in each strategy a number of roints are awarded

middot~~ - ~ i ~t~ ~-~

middotml -middot1t~--~

for minimum production l eJel aoc iticna l points up to the maximum

are then awarded based on level of production relative to other

projects using that strategy

Mir1irrrum Level Maximum Level

1 Yearling snolts

a Freshwater 20 30

b Seawater netpens 20 30

2 Age-zero snolts 20 30

3 Fry-stocking with isolation

incubation and rearing capability 5 10

C Physical Site Characteristics 50 pt Total

1 Potential for land-based siting Maximum 25 pts

a Flat land available

b Access

c Earthquake and avalanche hazard

d Soil characteristics

e Water supply characteristics

2 Potential for f loat complex in estuary Maximum 25 pt

a Stonn protection

b Anchor points

c Tidal fl0v

d Natural Freshwater influence

e Water supply characteristics

f Surface ar ea available

1

I - Ri5k Fact or An3lvs isshyl Ch1r0c ~ E~h ance~e~t Alternatives

tmiddotmiddotmiddot bull r-l1~ - ~ middot middotbull111 w bullmiddot middot vl rv -1lbulll-Imiddot

Tot3l Pr01ect C~ sc lJl per unit ~arv~s t

- rJal Sml t fr dex hrvEst r)bbilitv Index Harvest Prooabilitv A1rt ize Usable Pro1ect Arnual Oaeratiro Anrual C t Alternative PrJd Et in Best Case (best case) Worst Case (worst case ) Ca~ital Cost Life (v ear sl Cst fotal Best Case Wrst Case iii- ------------~~---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------middot-- --------------shy e0-check 5 0il0 iJJ 0006 025 0 ~lil 075 $8388320 2a $100000 e0 f lB3 Ba3 20 $6 13 $7355 $53U

05-chec k 2 52LJ 10~0 0015 0 70 001 1 030 $83 863 20 2J $20J0il 00 $283383 2~ t i SB ilO 3E Ht (with lens)

05-check 2 5~10 0e0 0018 010 0008 090 $5445050 20 $2e0 000 00 $25445copySJ $5 51 $1 3~3 fll lii (

(wo lensi

10-chec~ 1 2s0 e00 0021 080 0013 020 $83 Be3 20 20 $150000 ~I~ $233883211 ltl 3l $ i l L~ ilr ]t

Enclosure 6

J LIGHTYEAR

Lightyear i s a software produ ct th at produ ce s a r anking nr pr i oritization of a set of alternatives based on a numerical sco ring system

To use the product it is first necessary to choose and define a set of alternatives In this application alternatives will be location-specific chinook culture techniques Elimination of non- eq uivalent alternatives fr om the start of the analysis simplifies subsequent evaluations but is not absolutely necessary At present only dummy alternatives (ie Hatchshyery A Hatchery B etc) have been entered into the model in order to allow for unbiased development of evaluation cri t eria the next step in the process

Criteria are the qualities or attributes used to evaluate the alternatives in a decision Each criterion has a mode ie Numeric (N) Graphic (G) or Verbal (V) and a weight The weight defines the relative importance of a single criterion to the overall outcome of the decision It is possible to define as many criteria as the decision requires or to add delete or change a criterion as necessary Lightyear readily permits the editing and modification of the decisions structure If significant changes are made to the set of criteria any values assigned in the following evaluation step will be eliminated

The final step in the basic decision process is evaluating the alternatives An individual criterion is selected and each al te rnative is evaluated in turn for that citerion At the end of the evaluation process it is also possible to define simple logical rules to wei ght or eliminate alternatives on the basis of their evaluations for specific criteria

Once the basic steps in the decision process have been completed Lightyear then displays the ranked outcome of the decision process and identifies the preferred alternative It then further permits detailed examination of the performance of an individual alternative on the basis of each criterion

Page 5: Appendix M1: Historic ADF&G Baranof Project … u o p ly vol. fw suooly deep fw supoly shallow fw gravity fw freshwater saltwater • 121 srnolts isolation land-based .,I • ' supo

VERSIONlst Dr aft C r~ I TC I~ I (Ji 1 a d _ t ~ t r ~ v i n 1

+-------------------+-----------------+ ALTERNATIVES WORDS

------------------+------- ----------+ Alternati v e A Hi gh I

I +-------------------+ A 1 t ernat i VF B II in i r1i 1 I rHJcct

+-------------------+ Alternat iv2 C Negligible Neg 1 i g i bl Pshy 2 ~-

Mini rna l IC Moderate 3 High b Ex treme O

+-------------------+ +-------------------+-----------------+

~ middotbull middotmiddot _ ~ -middotbull

~ e~r~middot_middotmiddot~----~ lt- --~- )-~- middot ~--~middot

Li grJt year

ci~ITEl~TCJII middot1uv c~ni~ c~111 1ultc t

+-------------------+--------- -------- + ALTEFIAT IVES JO fmS

------------------+-----------------+ Alternative A Moderate

Alternative B Minimal

A 1 t err-ct i ve C Ylinir11il

+-------------------+-----------------+

VERSIONlst Draft

ti 512 78-rshy

+-------------------+ Impact

+-------------------+ fieCJ 1 i 1i i bl 27if Minimal I 1 Moderate 13 Hioh 6 Egtlttrerne O

+-------------------+

middot ~=~- r (1middot(

i 1~ 72 ~ ( middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot

1middot1 t- middot1 middot middotmiddot middotmiddot-middot t -middot~middot ~shy r 1middotmiddot ( middot middot middot ( ~

7- middotshy

gt1

middotmiddot1 -~ bullcmiddot-i middot

J I_J ~ ~ l )

i

middot-------------~--shy

L j_ght year SUBJ ECTProduct Desi~ +--------------------+------+------+ VERSI0N1st Draft

CRITERIR I YIOD E WEIGHTEnclosure 4 +------------------- -+------+--- ---+ water chemistry V 1 IZl

e middotr1dern i c fish

ad eq fw s u o p ly

vol fw suooly

deep fw supoly

shallow fw

gravity fw

freshwater

saltwater

bull 121 srnolts

isolation

land-based

I bull

supo

51lOO

bull 1

1

fry

site

float i Y-1~ site

V 10 DR V 2121

N 21Z1

N 15

N 15

V 10

N 30

N 30

N 30

N lZI -

-cshyN i

N 25 +--------------------+---- --+------+

middot~middot~middot -~-middot

SLJBJECT Product Desion VERSIONls t Draft

CRITERION water chemistry

+-------------------+-----------------+ ALTERNATIVES WDRDS -----------------+-----------------+ Alternative A acceptable

I middot Alterrative B trEiatable

Alternative C untreatable

+-------------------+-----------------+

DRAFT +-------------------+

Water Chemistry +-------------------+

acceotable ID treatable 5 untreatable O

+-------------------+

1 - -~ middot ~middotrmiddot -

Liqhtyear SUBJECTProduct Desion VERSIONlst Draft

CRITERION endemic f i sh

+-------------------+-----------------+ ALTERNATIVES

middot-----------------+--------- --------+ Alternative A none

+-------------------+ Alternative B high-l evfl oath Endernic Fish

+-- -----------------+ Alternative C 1 os1-l eve 1 CJct h none 0

pat hogen-free 7 low-level oath high-l evel oath O

+-------------------+ +-------------------+-----------------+

middot middot bullmiddot bull ltmiddot middot middot ~ ~- ~middotmiddot~- ~

Liqhbullt year SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONlst Draft

fi_1CRITEJUDN adeq ciUODly

+----------- --------+-----------------+ ALTERNAT I VES

-----------------+------------ -----+ Alternative A Yes

+-------------------+ A 1 t erra t i v e B YesNo

+-------------------+ Alternative C Maybe Yes 2-0

Maybe 0 No 0

+-------------------+ +-------------------+-----------------+

~ - ( l I middot

-fr ~-(gt-middot middot _ -_ t ~

Li ght j ear SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONlst Draft

CRITERIOII vol fw suppl y

+--------- -----------+------------+ ALTERIIAT IVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative R 15

Alternative B 7 +-----------------------------+

Al terl1at i v e C 3 VPtLUE RANGE +-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 20 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

+--------------------+---------- --+

middot1 middot -( r ~ $

Light j ear SU BJECTProduct Design

CRITERION deeo fw s upol y

+--------------------+---- - -------+ ALTEl~NRT IVES VRLUE

+--------------------+------------+ 15

Alternative B E

A 1 t erY-1at i ve C 13

+----- ------------- --+------------+

VERS 10N1st Draft

+-------------------- ---------+ W -)LUE RAJIGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 15 I LEAST DE SI RABLE 0

+-----------------------------+

_ ~

_ shy

Light ear SLJBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION shallow fw supp

+--------------------+------------+ RLTEF~NAT IVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 15

Alternative B 3

Alternative C 8

+--------------------+------------+

VERSIONl s t Draft

+-----------------------------+ Vf~LUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 15 I LEAST DESIR~BLE 0 +-----------------------------+

~ bull _ ~11~middot ~

Light vear SUBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION qravity

+-------------------+------------ - - - - -+ ALTERIIAT IVES WOfm~

~ ------ ----------+----------- --- - --+ ~lternative A Yes

A 1 t err1a t i ve B IJ

Alterr1ative C Ma yb e

+-------------------+-----------------+

VERSIONlst Draft fw s up o

+---- ---------------+ YesNo

+-------------------+ Yes IO Ma yb e ~ 11 0

I I I

- middot1

+-------------------+

bull- -~ii bull middotbull ~middoty i~middot shy

Li ght year SUBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION freshwater 1

+--------------------+----------- - + ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 15 middot

Alternative B 30

Alternative C 20

+---------------- ----+------------+

VERSI ONls t Draft

+--------- - -------------------+ VRLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +------------------ -----------+

middot i shy

imiddot -shy 1middott middot ~-- -~-~~-gt _~~-- middot ~~_~~middot_f~ -~

__ightye ar SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONi s t Draft

CRITERION saltwater 1

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERIJAT IVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 20

Al terr1at i ve B 20

Alternative C 3

+--------------------+------------+

middot~ ~~ -middot lt~ --~

i~~i ttJ~l ~~ s

+----------------- ------------+ V(JLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

-l bull

- - ----~ ~(yen__~_ ~ middot- ~- bull bull y-~ -- ~-

_ight y~ar SLJB J ECTProduct Design

CRITERION 0 smolts

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alterrat ive A 4

Alternative B

Alternative C 20

I I

I

I

+--------------------+------------+

VERSIONl s t Draft

+-----------------------------+ ViLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

( t middot middot - middot

---~~-f~~~-~ rmiddotmiddot ~-L~~- -Ji -~middot~ middot- - -

i ght yemiddota r SUBJ ECT P r oduc t Design VERSIO Nl st Dra ft

CRITERION i s olation fr y

+--------------- -----+- - ------- - - -+ ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+------- ------------- +--- ---------+ Alternative A 3

A 1 t err-a t i ve B 3

Alternative C 3

+--------------------+--------- - - -+

~ - - r ~ -~ 1 bull - ~

~~gtt ~-~ rf_~-~~ ~t~ J

+------- ----------------------+ VALUE RANGE

+- ----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 10 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

middot

_ _

i~f~~~ middot (f middot~ -~- middot middotmiddot

ightyea r SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONlst Draft

CRITERION land-based site

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERNATIVES tjALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative R

Alternative B 15

-tA1t erYa t i ve C CJ

+--------------------+------------+

- t middot middotmiddot 1

middotmiddot~~ ~- _~~ ti~ J

+-----------------------------+ VRLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 25 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

_ _middot _ middot~~ - ~ ~ -bull

middot~ ~ - middot - middot middot middot_ __ J~ j---- middot middot ~ ~~ ti~- ~~ Jmiddot~~ )r~f _

CRITERION floatin g site

+-------------------- +- ------- ----+ AL TEFmRTIVES VALUE

+-------- ------------+------------+ Alternative A 10

IZI

A 1 t erY-a ti ve C 20

+--------------------+------------+

SUBJECTProduct De s iqn VERSI ONl st Draft

+----------------------------- + VALUE RAIJGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 25 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

Li ght y ear SUBJECTProduct Desig VERSI0N 1st Draf t

RU LE JIRJYI E lltULE +----------------- - +---- - ----------------- - - - - - - -------------- ---- ----- ------ shy H20 CHEMI STR Y I wa te r chemistrv MUST BE AT LEAS T treatable

CELIMINA ~ ION RUL E) y - -middot ~ t~ ~

middota - -~C-~~ _ t 1PRTHDLOGY ende ri1i c f i s h ltLJS~r EltI=- H -r L_EAS T l rbullw-leve l p a t hmiddot middotmiddotmiddotmiddot - t ~middot middot ~middot s

ltELI MI NATI ON RUL E)

+------------------+----------------------- - - ----------------- ----------------middot

) middot - (

Production Design Criteria - 250 Total Points

Major Assumption

In order to be evaluated a project must have a minimum level of

production of 10000 adults using the worst case assumptions of

marine survival

A Freshwater Source 100 pt Total

1 Quality 20 pt

a Water Chemistry

i Acceptable ~ t

ii Treatable 5 pt

iii Not treatable reject zero total

b Endemic Fish populations

i None 10 pt

ii Present but

pathogen free 0 t

iii Present with low level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with unknown status) 1 pt

iv Present with high level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with viral pathogen) reject zero total

2 Quantity 40 pt

a Adequate for proposal based

on 20 yr minimum flow

b Total volume available

scaling of all prorosals 6Jt

3 Temperature 30 pt

a Deep intake only uniform

l()y7 water temperature 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

b Shallow intake only ambient

surface water temperatures 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

c Deep and shallow intakes

variable water temperatures

available depending on

degree of temperature

ccntrol (Note on rrodel

this criteria is rated by

sumning a and b )

4 Gravity Delivery ~ t

a Yes 10 pt

b No 0 pt

B Strateqies (Culture Flexibility ) 100 pt Total

In this rating we are not comparing the relative merits of the

different strategies but are ranking according to the capability

of a project to utilize a variety of strategies In order to

qualify for a rating in one of the strategies a project must

release a miniJnum of 500000 fish in that strategy In Eating the

possible points in each strategy a number of roints are awarded

middot~~ - ~ i ~t~ ~-~

middotml -middot1t~--~

for minimum production l eJel aoc iticna l points up to the maximum

are then awarded based on level of production relative to other

projects using that strategy

Mir1irrrum Level Maximum Level

1 Yearling snolts

a Freshwater 20 30

b Seawater netpens 20 30

2 Age-zero snolts 20 30

3 Fry-stocking with isolation

incubation and rearing capability 5 10

C Physical Site Characteristics 50 pt Total

1 Potential for land-based siting Maximum 25 pts

a Flat land available

b Access

c Earthquake and avalanche hazard

d Soil characteristics

e Water supply characteristics

2 Potential for f loat complex in estuary Maximum 25 pt

a Stonn protection

b Anchor points

c Tidal fl0v

d Natural Freshwater influence

e Water supply characteristics

f Surface ar ea available

1

I - Ri5k Fact or An3lvs isshyl Ch1r0c ~ E~h ance~e~t Alternatives

tmiddotmiddotmiddot bull r-l1~ - ~ middot middotbull111 w bullmiddot middot vl rv -1lbulll-Imiddot

Tot3l Pr01ect C~ sc lJl per unit ~arv~s t

- rJal Sml t fr dex hrvEst r)bbilitv Index Harvest Prooabilitv A1rt ize Usable Pro1ect Arnual Oaeratiro Anrual C t Alternative PrJd Et in Best Case (best case) Worst Case (worst case ) Ca~ital Cost Life (v ear sl Cst fotal Best Case Wrst Case iii- ------------~~---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------middot-- --------------shy e0-check 5 0il0 iJJ 0006 025 0 ~lil 075 $8388320 2a $100000 e0 f lB3 Ba3 20 $6 13 $7355 $53U

05-chec k 2 52LJ 10~0 0015 0 70 001 1 030 $83 863 20 2J $20J0il 00 $283383 2~ t i SB ilO 3E Ht (with lens)

05-check 2 5~10 0e0 0018 010 0008 090 $5445050 20 $2e0 000 00 $25445copySJ $5 51 $1 3~3 fll lii (

(wo lensi

10-chec~ 1 2s0 e00 0021 080 0013 020 $83 Be3 20 20 $150000 ~I~ $233883211 ltl 3l $ i l L~ ilr ]t

Enclosure 6

J LIGHTYEAR

Lightyear i s a software produ ct th at produ ce s a r anking nr pr i oritization of a set of alternatives based on a numerical sco ring system

To use the product it is first necessary to choose and define a set of alternatives In this application alternatives will be location-specific chinook culture techniques Elimination of non- eq uivalent alternatives fr om the start of the analysis simplifies subsequent evaluations but is not absolutely necessary At present only dummy alternatives (ie Hatchshyery A Hatchery B etc) have been entered into the model in order to allow for unbiased development of evaluation cri t eria the next step in the process

Criteria are the qualities or attributes used to evaluate the alternatives in a decision Each criterion has a mode ie Numeric (N) Graphic (G) or Verbal (V) and a weight The weight defines the relative importance of a single criterion to the overall outcome of the decision It is possible to define as many criteria as the decision requires or to add delete or change a criterion as necessary Lightyear readily permits the editing and modification of the decisions structure If significant changes are made to the set of criteria any values assigned in the following evaluation step will be eliminated

The final step in the basic decision process is evaluating the alternatives An individual criterion is selected and each al te rnative is evaluated in turn for that citerion At the end of the evaluation process it is also possible to define simple logical rules to wei ght or eliminate alternatives on the basis of their evaluations for specific criteria

Once the basic steps in the decision process have been completed Lightyear then displays the ranked outcome of the decision process and identifies the preferred alternative It then further permits detailed examination of the performance of an individual alternative on the basis of each criterion

Page 6: Appendix M1: Historic ADF&G Baranof Project … u o p ly vol. fw suooly deep fw supoly shallow fw gravity fw freshwater saltwater • 121 srnolts isolation land-based .,I • ' supo

Li grJt year

ci~ITEl~TCJII middot1uv c~ni~ c~111 1ultc t

+-------------------+--------- -------- + ALTEFIAT IVES JO fmS

------------------+-----------------+ Alternative A Moderate

Alternative B Minimal

A 1 t err-ct i ve C Ylinir11il

+-------------------+-----------------+

VERSIONlst Draft

ti 512 78-rshy

+-------------------+ Impact

+-------------------+ fieCJ 1 i 1i i bl 27if Minimal I 1 Moderate 13 Hioh 6 Egtlttrerne O

+-------------------+

middot ~=~- r (1middot(

i 1~ 72 ~ ( middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot

1middot1 t- middot1 middot middotmiddot middotmiddot-middot t -middot~middot ~shy r 1middotmiddot ( middot middot middot ( ~

7- middotshy

gt1

middotmiddot1 -~ bullcmiddot-i middot

J I_J ~ ~ l )

i

middot-------------~--shy

L j_ght year SUBJ ECTProduct Desi~ +--------------------+------+------+ VERSI0N1st Draft

CRITERIR I YIOD E WEIGHTEnclosure 4 +------------------- -+------+--- ---+ water chemistry V 1 IZl

e middotr1dern i c fish

ad eq fw s u o p ly

vol fw suooly

deep fw supoly

shallow fw

gravity fw

freshwater

saltwater

bull 121 srnolts

isolation

land-based

I bull

supo

51lOO

bull 1

1

fry

site

float i Y-1~ site

V 10 DR V 2121

N 21Z1

N 15

N 15

V 10

N 30

N 30

N 30

N lZI -

-cshyN i

N 25 +--------------------+---- --+------+

middot~middot~middot -~-middot

SLJBJECT Product Desion VERSIONls t Draft

CRITERION water chemistry

+-------------------+-----------------+ ALTERNATIVES WDRDS -----------------+-----------------+ Alternative A acceptable

I middot Alterrative B trEiatable

Alternative C untreatable

+-------------------+-----------------+

DRAFT +-------------------+

Water Chemistry +-------------------+

acceotable ID treatable 5 untreatable O

+-------------------+

1 - -~ middot ~middotrmiddot -

Liqhtyear SUBJECTProduct Desion VERSIONlst Draft

CRITERION endemic f i sh

+-------------------+-----------------+ ALTERNATIVES

middot-----------------+--------- --------+ Alternative A none

+-------------------+ Alternative B high-l evfl oath Endernic Fish

+-- -----------------+ Alternative C 1 os1-l eve 1 CJct h none 0

pat hogen-free 7 low-level oath high-l evel oath O

+-------------------+ +-------------------+-----------------+

middot middot bullmiddot bull ltmiddot middot middot ~ ~- ~middotmiddot~- ~

Liqhbullt year SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONlst Draft

fi_1CRITEJUDN adeq ciUODly

+----------- --------+-----------------+ ALTERNAT I VES

-----------------+------------ -----+ Alternative A Yes

+-------------------+ A 1 t erra t i v e B YesNo

+-------------------+ Alternative C Maybe Yes 2-0

Maybe 0 No 0

+-------------------+ +-------------------+-----------------+

~ - ( l I middot

-fr ~-(gt-middot middot _ -_ t ~

Li ght j ear SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONlst Draft

CRITERIOII vol fw suppl y

+--------- -----------+------------+ ALTERIIAT IVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative R 15

Alternative B 7 +-----------------------------+

Al terl1at i v e C 3 VPtLUE RANGE +-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 20 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

+--------------------+---------- --+

middot1 middot -( r ~ $

Light j ear SU BJECTProduct Design

CRITERION deeo fw s upol y

+--------------------+---- - -------+ ALTEl~NRT IVES VRLUE

+--------------------+------------+ 15

Alternative B E

A 1 t erY-1at i ve C 13

+----- ------------- --+------------+

VERS 10N1st Draft

+-------------------- ---------+ W -)LUE RAJIGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 15 I LEAST DE SI RABLE 0

+-----------------------------+

_ ~

_ shy

Light ear SLJBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION shallow fw supp

+--------------------+------------+ RLTEF~NAT IVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 15

Alternative B 3

Alternative C 8

+--------------------+------------+

VERSIONl s t Draft

+-----------------------------+ Vf~LUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 15 I LEAST DESIR~BLE 0 +-----------------------------+

~ bull _ ~11~middot ~

Light vear SUBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION qravity

+-------------------+------------ - - - - -+ ALTERIIAT IVES WOfm~

~ ------ ----------+----------- --- - --+ ~lternative A Yes

A 1 t err1a t i ve B IJ

Alterr1ative C Ma yb e

+-------------------+-----------------+

VERSIONlst Draft fw s up o

+---- ---------------+ YesNo

+-------------------+ Yes IO Ma yb e ~ 11 0

I I I

- middot1

+-------------------+

bull- -~ii bull middotbull ~middoty i~middot shy

Li ght year SUBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION freshwater 1

+--------------------+----------- - + ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 15 middot

Alternative B 30

Alternative C 20

+---------------- ----+------------+

VERSI ONls t Draft

+--------- - -------------------+ VRLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +------------------ -----------+

middot i shy

imiddot -shy 1middott middot ~-- -~-~~-gt _~~-- middot ~~_~~middot_f~ -~

__ightye ar SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONi s t Draft

CRITERION saltwater 1

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERIJAT IVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 20

Al terr1at i ve B 20

Alternative C 3

+--------------------+------------+

middot~ ~~ -middot lt~ --~

i~~i ttJ~l ~~ s

+----------------- ------------+ V(JLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

-l bull

- - ----~ ~(yen__~_ ~ middot- ~- bull bull y-~ -- ~-

_ight y~ar SLJB J ECTProduct Design

CRITERION 0 smolts

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alterrat ive A 4

Alternative B

Alternative C 20

I I

I

I

+--------------------+------------+

VERSIONl s t Draft

+-----------------------------+ ViLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

( t middot middot - middot

---~~-f~~~-~ rmiddotmiddot ~-L~~- -Ji -~middot~ middot- - -

i ght yemiddota r SUBJ ECT P r oduc t Design VERSIO Nl st Dra ft

CRITERION i s olation fr y

+--------------- -----+- - ------- - - -+ ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+------- ------------- +--- ---------+ Alternative A 3

A 1 t err-a t i ve B 3

Alternative C 3

+--------------------+--------- - - -+

~ - - r ~ -~ 1 bull - ~

~~gtt ~-~ rf_~-~~ ~t~ J

+------- ----------------------+ VALUE RANGE

+- ----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 10 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

middot

_ _

i~f~~~ middot (f middot~ -~- middot middotmiddot

ightyea r SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONlst Draft

CRITERION land-based site

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERNATIVES tjALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative R

Alternative B 15

-tA1t erYa t i ve C CJ

+--------------------+------------+

- t middot middotmiddot 1

middotmiddot~~ ~- _~~ ti~ J

+-----------------------------+ VRLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 25 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

_ _middot _ middot~~ - ~ ~ -bull

middot~ ~ - middot - middot middot middot_ __ J~ j---- middot middot ~ ~~ ti~- ~~ Jmiddot~~ )r~f _

CRITERION floatin g site

+-------------------- +- ------- ----+ AL TEFmRTIVES VALUE

+-------- ------------+------------+ Alternative A 10

IZI

A 1 t erY-a ti ve C 20

+--------------------+------------+

SUBJECTProduct De s iqn VERSI ONl st Draft

+----------------------------- + VALUE RAIJGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 25 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

Li ght y ear SUBJECTProduct Desig VERSI0N 1st Draf t

RU LE JIRJYI E lltULE +----------------- - +---- - ----------------- - - - - - - -------------- ---- ----- ------ shy H20 CHEMI STR Y I wa te r chemistrv MUST BE AT LEAS T treatable

CELIMINA ~ ION RUL E) y - -middot ~ t~ ~

middota - -~C-~~ _ t 1PRTHDLOGY ende ri1i c f i s h ltLJS~r EltI=- H -r L_EAS T l rbullw-leve l p a t hmiddot middotmiddotmiddotmiddot - t ~middot middot ~middot s

ltELI MI NATI ON RUL E)

+------------------+----------------------- - - ----------------- ----------------middot

) middot - (

Production Design Criteria - 250 Total Points

Major Assumption

In order to be evaluated a project must have a minimum level of

production of 10000 adults using the worst case assumptions of

marine survival

A Freshwater Source 100 pt Total

1 Quality 20 pt

a Water Chemistry

i Acceptable ~ t

ii Treatable 5 pt

iii Not treatable reject zero total

b Endemic Fish populations

i None 10 pt

ii Present but

pathogen free 0 t

iii Present with low level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with unknown status) 1 pt

iv Present with high level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with viral pathogen) reject zero total

2 Quantity 40 pt

a Adequate for proposal based

on 20 yr minimum flow

b Total volume available

scaling of all prorosals 6Jt

3 Temperature 30 pt

a Deep intake only uniform

l()y7 water temperature 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

b Shallow intake only ambient

surface water temperatures 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

c Deep and shallow intakes

variable water temperatures

available depending on

degree of temperature

ccntrol (Note on rrodel

this criteria is rated by

sumning a and b )

4 Gravity Delivery ~ t

a Yes 10 pt

b No 0 pt

B Strateqies (Culture Flexibility ) 100 pt Total

In this rating we are not comparing the relative merits of the

different strategies but are ranking according to the capability

of a project to utilize a variety of strategies In order to

qualify for a rating in one of the strategies a project must

release a miniJnum of 500000 fish in that strategy In Eating the

possible points in each strategy a number of roints are awarded

middot~~ - ~ i ~t~ ~-~

middotml -middot1t~--~

for minimum production l eJel aoc iticna l points up to the maximum

are then awarded based on level of production relative to other

projects using that strategy

Mir1irrrum Level Maximum Level

1 Yearling snolts

a Freshwater 20 30

b Seawater netpens 20 30

2 Age-zero snolts 20 30

3 Fry-stocking with isolation

incubation and rearing capability 5 10

C Physical Site Characteristics 50 pt Total

1 Potential for land-based siting Maximum 25 pts

a Flat land available

b Access

c Earthquake and avalanche hazard

d Soil characteristics

e Water supply characteristics

2 Potential for f loat complex in estuary Maximum 25 pt

a Stonn protection

b Anchor points

c Tidal fl0v

d Natural Freshwater influence

e Water supply characteristics

f Surface ar ea available

1

I - Ri5k Fact or An3lvs isshyl Ch1r0c ~ E~h ance~e~t Alternatives

tmiddotmiddotmiddot bull r-l1~ - ~ middot middotbull111 w bullmiddot middot vl rv -1lbulll-Imiddot

Tot3l Pr01ect C~ sc lJl per unit ~arv~s t

- rJal Sml t fr dex hrvEst r)bbilitv Index Harvest Prooabilitv A1rt ize Usable Pro1ect Arnual Oaeratiro Anrual C t Alternative PrJd Et in Best Case (best case) Worst Case (worst case ) Ca~ital Cost Life (v ear sl Cst fotal Best Case Wrst Case iii- ------------~~---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------middot-- --------------shy e0-check 5 0il0 iJJ 0006 025 0 ~lil 075 $8388320 2a $100000 e0 f lB3 Ba3 20 $6 13 $7355 $53U

05-chec k 2 52LJ 10~0 0015 0 70 001 1 030 $83 863 20 2J $20J0il 00 $283383 2~ t i SB ilO 3E Ht (with lens)

05-check 2 5~10 0e0 0018 010 0008 090 $5445050 20 $2e0 000 00 $25445copySJ $5 51 $1 3~3 fll lii (

(wo lensi

10-chec~ 1 2s0 e00 0021 080 0013 020 $83 Be3 20 20 $150000 ~I~ $233883211 ltl 3l $ i l L~ ilr ]t

Enclosure 6

J LIGHTYEAR

Lightyear i s a software produ ct th at produ ce s a r anking nr pr i oritization of a set of alternatives based on a numerical sco ring system

To use the product it is first necessary to choose and define a set of alternatives In this application alternatives will be location-specific chinook culture techniques Elimination of non- eq uivalent alternatives fr om the start of the analysis simplifies subsequent evaluations but is not absolutely necessary At present only dummy alternatives (ie Hatchshyery A Hatchery B etc) have been entered into the model in order to allow for unbiased development of evaluation cri t eria the next step in the process

Criteria are the qualities or attributes used to evaluate the alternatives in a decision Each criterion has a mode ie Numeric (N) Graphic (G) or Verbal (V) and a weight The weight defines the relative importance of a single criterion to the overall outcome of the decision It is possible to define as many criteria as the decision requires or to add delete or change a criterion as necessary Lightyear readily permits the editing and modification of the decisions structure If significant changes are made to the set of criteria any values assigned in the following evaluation step will be eliminated

The final step in the basic decision process is evaluating the alternatives An individual criterion is selected and each al te rnative is evaluated in turn for that citerion At the end of the evaluation process it is also possible to define simple logical rules to wei ght or eliminate alternatives on the basis of their evaluations for specific criteria

Once the basic steps in the decision process have been completed Lightyear then displays the ranked outcome of the decision process and identifies the preferred alternative It then further permits detailed examination of the performance of an individual alternative on the basis of each criterion

Page 7: Appendix M1: Historic ADF&G Baranof Project … u o p ly vol. fw suooly deep fw supoly shallow fw gravity fw freshwater saltwater • 121 srnolts isolation land-based .,I • ' supo

middot ~=~- r (1middot(

i 1~ 72 ~ ( middotmiddotmiddotmiddotmiddot

1middot1 t- middot1 middot middotmiddot middotmiddot-middot t -middot~middot ~shy r 1middotmiddot ( middot middot middot ( ~

7- middotshy

gt1

middotmiddot1 -~ bullcmiddot-i middot

J I_J ~ ~ l )

i

middot-------------~--shy

L j_ght year SUBJ ECTProduct Desi~ +--------------------+------+------+ VERSI0N1st Draft

CRITERIR I YIOD E WEIGHTEnclosure 4 +------------------- -+------+--- ---+ water chemistry V 1 IZl

e middotr1dern i c fish

ad eq fw s u o p ly

vol fw suooly

deep fw supoly

shallow fw

gravity fw

freshwater

saltwater

bull 121 srnolts

isolation

land-based

I bull

supo

51lOO

bull 1

1

fry

site

float i Y-1~ site

V 10 DR V 2121

N 21Z1

N 15

N 15

V 10

N 30

N 30

N 30

N lZI -

-cshyN i

N 25 +--------------------+---- --+------+

middot~middot~middot -~-middot

SLJBJECT Product Desion VERSIONls t Draft

CRITERION water chemistry

+-------------------+-----------------+ ALTERNATIVES WDRDS -----------------+-----------------+ Alternative A acceptable

I middot Alterrative B trEiatable

Alternative C untreatable

+-------------------+-----------------+

DRAFT +-------------------+

Water Chemistry +-------------------+

acceotable ID treatable 5 untreatable O

+-------------------+

1 - -~ middot ~middotrmiddot -

Liqhtyear SUBJECTProduct Desion VERSIONlst Draft

CRITERION endemic f i sh

+-------------------+-----------------+ ALTERNATIVES

middot-----------------+--------- --------+ Alternative A none

+-------------------+ Alternative B high-l evfl oath Endernic Fish

+-- -----------------+ Alternative C 1 os1-l eve 1 CJct h none 0

pat hogen-free 7 low-level oath high-l evel oath O

+-------------------+ +-------------------+-----------------+

middot middot bullmiddot bull ltmiddot middot middot ~ ~- ~middotmiddot~- ~

Liqhbullt year SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONlst Draft

fi_1CRITEJUDN adeq ciUODly

+----------- --------+-----------------+ ALTERNAT I VES

-----------------+------------ -----+ Alternative A Yes

+-------------------+ A 1 t erra t i v e B YesNo

+-------------------+ Alternative C Maybe Yes 2-0

Maybe 0 No 0

+-------------------+ +-------------------+-----------------+

~ - ( l I middot

-fr ~-(gt-middot middot _ -_ t ~

Li ght j ear SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONlst Draft

CRITERIOII vol fw suppl y

+--------- -----------+------------+ ALTERIIAT IVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative R 15

Alternative B 7 +-----------------------------+

Al terl1at i v e C 3 VPtLUE RANGE +-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 20 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

+--------------------+---------- --+

middot1 middot -( r ~ $

Light j ear SU BJECTProduct Design

CRITERION deeo fw s upol y

+--------------------+---- - -------+ ALTEl~NRT IVES VRLUE

+--------------------+------------+ 15

Alternative B E

A 1 t erY-1at i ve C 13

+----- ------------- --+------------+

VERS 10N1st Draft

+-------------------- ---------+ W -)LUE RAJIGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 15 I LEAST DE SI RABLE 0

+-----------------------------+

_ ~

_ shy

Light ear SLJBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION shallow fw supp

+--------------------+------------+ RLTEF~NAT IVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 15

Alternative B 3

Alternative C 8

+--------------------+------------+

VERSIONl s t Draft

+-----------------------------+ Vf~LUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 15 I LEAST DESIR~BLE 0 +-----------------------------+

~ bull _ ~11~middot ~

Light vear SUBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION qravity

+-------------------+------------ - - - - -+ ALTERIIAT IVES WOfm~

~ ------ ----------+----------- --- - --+ ~lternative A Yes

A 1 t err1a t i ve B IJ

Alterr1ative C Ma yb e

+-------------------+-----------------+

VERSIONlst Draft fw s up o

+---- ---------------+ YesNo

+-------------------+ Yes IO Ma yb e ~ 11 0

I I I

- middot1

+-------------------+

bull- -~ii bull middotbull ~middoty i~middot shy

Li ght year SUBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION freshwater 1

+--------------------+----------- - + ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 15 middot

Alternative B 30

Alternative C 20

+---------------- ----+------------+

VERSI ONls t Draft

+--------- - -------------------+ VRLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +------------------ -----------+

middot i shy

imiddot -shy 1middott middot ~-- -~-~~-gt _~~-- middot ~~_~~middot_f~ -~

__ightye ar SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONi s t Draft

CRITERION saltwater 1

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERIJAT IVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 20

Al terr1at i ve B 20

Alternative C 3

+--------------------+------------+

middot~ ~~ -middot lt~ --~

i~~i ttJ~l ~~ s

+----------------- ------------+ V(JLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

-l bull

- - ----~ ~(yen__~_ ~ middot- ~- bull bull y-~ -- ~-

_ight y~ar SLJB J ECTProduct Design

CRITERION 0 smolts

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alterrat ive A 4

Alternative B

Alternative C 20

I I

I

I

+--------------------+------------+

VERSIONl s t Draft

+-----------------------------+ ViLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

( t middot middot - middot

---~~-f~~~-~ rmiddotmiddot ~-L~~- -Ji -~middot~ middot- - -

i ght yemiddota r SUBJ ECT P r oduc t Design VERSIO Nl st Dra ft

CRITERION i s olation fr y

+--------------- -----+- - ------- - - -+ ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+------- ------------- +--- ---------+ Alternative A 3

A 1 t err-a t i ve B 3

Alternative C 3

+--------------------+--------- - - -+

~ - - r ~ -~ 1 bull - ~

~~gtt ~-~ rf_~-~~ ~t~ J

+------- ----------------------+ VALUE RANGE

+- ----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 10 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

middot

_ _

i~f~~~ middot (f middot~ -~- middot middotmiddot

ightyea r SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONlst Draft

CRITERION land-based site

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERNATIVES tjALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative R

Alternative B 15

-tA1t erYa t i ve C CJ

+--------------------+------------+

- t middot middotmiddot 1

middotmiddot~~ ~- _~~ ti~ J

+-----------------------------+ VRLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 25 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

_ _middot _ middot~~ - ~ ~ -bull

middot~ ~ - middot - middot middot middot_ __ J~ j---- middot middot ~ ~~ ti~- ~~ Jmiddot~~ )r~f _

CRITERION floatin g site

+-------------------- +- ------- ----+ AL TEFmRTIVES VALUE

+-------- ------------+------------+ Alternative A 10

IZI

A 1 t erY-a ti ve C 20

+--------------------+------------+

SUBJECTProduct De s iqn VERSI ONl st Draft

+----------------------------- + VALUE RAIJGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 25 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

Li ght y ear SUBJECTProduct Desig VERSI0N 1st Draf t

RU LE JIRJYI E lltULE +----------------- - +---- - ----------------- - - - - - - -------------- ---- ----- ------ shy H20 CHEMI STR Y I wa te r chemistrv MUST BE AT LEAS T treatable

CELIMINA ~ ION RUL E) y - -middot ~ t~ ~

middota - -~C-~~ _ t 1PRTHDLOGY ende ri1i c f i s h ltLJS~r EltI=- H -r L_EAS T l rbullw-leve l p a t hmiddot middotmiddotmiddotmiddot - t ~middot middot ~middot s

ltELI MI NATI ON RUL E)

+------------------+----------------------- - - ----------------- ----------------middot

) middot - (

Production Design Criteria - 250 Total Points

Major Assumption

In order to be evaluated a project must have a minimum level of

production of 10000 adults using the worst case assumptions of

marine survival

A Freshwater Source 100 pt Total

1 Quality 20 pt

a Water Chemistry

i Acceptable ~ t

ii Treatable 5 pt

iii Not treatable reject zero total

b Endemic Fish populations

i None 10 pt

ii Present but

pathogen free 0 t

iii Present with low level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with unknown status) 1 pt

iv Present with high level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with viral pathogen) reject zero total

2 Quantity 40 pt

a Adequate for proposal based

on 20 yr minimum flow

b Total volume available

scaling of all prorosals 6Jt

3 Temperature 30 pt

a Deep intake only uniform

l()y7 water temperature 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

b Shallow intake only ambient

surface water temperatures 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

c Deep and shallow intakes

variable water temperatures

available depending on

degree of temperature

ccntrol (Note on rrodel

this criteria is rated by

sumning a and b )

4 Gravity Delivery ~ t

a Yes 10 pt

b No 0 pt

B Strateqies (Culture Flexibility ) 100 pt Total

In this rating we are not comparing the relative merits of the

different strategies but are ranking according to the capability

of a project to utilize a variety of strategies In order to

qualify for a rating in one of the strategies a project must

release a miniJnum of 500000 fish in that strategy In Eating the

possible points in each strategy a number of roints are awarded

middot~~ - ~ i ~t~ ~-~

middotml -middot1t~--~

for minimum production l eJel aoc iticna l points up to the maximum

are then awarded based on level of production relative to other

projects using that strategy

Mir1irrrum Level Maximum Level

1 Yearling snolts

a Freshwater 20 30

b Seawater netpens 20 30

2 Age-zero snolts 20 30

3 Fry-stocking with isolation

incubation and rearing capability 5 10

C Physical Site Characteristics 50 pt Total

1 Potential for land-based siting Maximum 25 pts

a Flat land available

b Access

c Earthquake and avalanche hazard

d Soil characteristics

e Water supply characteristics

2 Potential for f loat complex in estuary Maximum 25 pt

a Stonn protection

b Anchor points

c Tidal fl0v

d Natural Freshwater influence

e Water supply characteristics

f Surface ar ea available

1

I - Ri5k Fact or An3lvs isshyl Ch1r0c ~ E~h ance~e~t Alternatives

tmiddotmiddotmiddot bull r-l1~ - ~ middot middotbull111 w bullmiddot middot vl rv -1lbulll-Imiddot

Tot3l Pr01ect C~ sc lJl per unit ~arv~s t

- rJal Sml t fr dex hrvEst r)bbilitv Index Harvest Prooabilitv A1rt ize Usable Pro1ect Arnual Oaeratiro Anrual C t Alternative PrJd Et in Best Case (best case) Worst Case (worst case ) Ca~ital Cost Life (v ear sl Cst fotal Best Case Wrst Case iii- ------------~~---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------middot-- --------------shy e0-check 5 0il0 iJJ 0006 025 0 ~lil 075 $8388320 2a $100000 e0 f lB3 Ba3 20 $6 13 $7355 $53U

05-chec k 2 52LJ 10~0 0015 0 70 001 1 030 $83 863 20 2J $20J0il 00 $283383 2~ t i SB ilO 3E Ht (with lens)

05-check 2 5~10 0e0 0018 010 0008 090 $5445050 20 $2e0 000 00 $25445copySJ $5 51 $1 3~3 fll lii (

(wo lensi

10-chec~ 1 2s0 e00 0021 080 0013 020 $83 Be3 20 20 $150000 ~I~ $233883211 ltl 3l $ i l L~ ilr ]t

Enclosure 6

J LIGHTYEAR

Lightyear i s a software produ ct th at produ ce s a r anking nr pr i oritization of a set of alternatives based on a numerical sco ring system

To use the product it is first necessary to choose and define a set of alternatives In this application alternatives will be location-specific chinook culture techniques Elimination of non- eq uivalent alternatives fr om the start of the analysis simplifies subsequent evaluations but is not absolutely necessary At present only dummy alternatives (ie Hatchshyery A Hatchery B etc) have been entered into the model in order to allow for unbiased development of evaluation cri t eria the next step in the process

Criteria are the qualities or attributes used to evaluate the alternatives in a decision Each criterion has a mode ie Numeric (N) Graphic (G) or Verbal (V) and a weight The weight defines the relative importance of a single criterion to the overall outcome of the decision It is possible to define as many criteria as the decision requires or to add delete or change a criterion as necessary Lightyear readily permits the editing and modification of the decisions structure If significant changes are made to the set of criteria any values assigned in the following evaluation step will be eliminated

The final step in the basic decision process is evaluating the alternatives An individual criterion is selected and each al te rnative is evaluated in turn for that citerion At the end of the evaluation process it is also possible to define simple logical rules to wei ght or eliminate alternatives on the basis of their evaluations for specific criteria

Once the basic steps in the decision process have been completed Lightyear then displays the ranked outcome of the decision process and identifies the preferred alternative It then further permits detailed examination of the performance of an individual alternative on the basis of each criterion

Page 8: Appendix M1: Historic ADF&G Baranof Project … u o p ly vol. fw suooly deep fw supoly shallow fw gravity fw freshwater saltwater • 121 srnolts isolation land-based .,I • ' supo

L j_ght year SUBJ ECTProduct Desi~ +--------------------+------+------+ VERSI0N1st Draft

CRITERIR I YIOD E WEIGHTEnclosure 4 +------------------- -+------+--- ---+ water chemistry V 1 IZl

e middotr1dern i c fish

ad eq fw s u o p ly

vol fw suooly

deep fw supoly

shallow fw

gravity fw

freshwater

saltwater

bull 121 srnolts

isolation

land-based

I bull

supo

51lOO

bull 1

1

fry

site

float i Y-1~ site

V 10 DR V 2121

N 21Z1

N 15

N 15

V 10

N 30

N 30

N 30

N lZI -

-cshyN i

N 25 +--------------------+---- --+------+

middot~middot~middot -~-middot

SLJBJECT Product Desion VERSIONls t Draft

CRITERION water chemistry

+-------------------+-----------------+ ALTERNATIVES WDRDS -----------------+-----------------+ Alternative A acceptable

I middot Alterrative B trEiatable

Alternative C untreatable

+-------------------+-----------------+

DRAFT +-------------------+

Water Chemistry +-------------------+

acceotable ID treatable 5 untreatable O

+-------------------+

1 - -~ middot ~middotrmiddot -

Liqhtyear SUBJECTProduct Desion VERSIONlst Draft

CRITERION endemic f i sh

+-------------------+-----------------+ ALTERNATIVES

middot-----------------+--------- --------+ Alternative A none

+-------------------+ Alternative B high-l evfl oath Endernic Fish

+-- -----------------+ Alternative C 1 os1-l eve 1 CJct h none 0

pat hogen-free 7 low-level oath high-l evel oath O

+-------------------+ +-------------------+-----------------+

middot middot bullmiddot bull ltmiddot middot middot ~ ~- ~middotmiddot~- ~

Liqhbullt year SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONlst Draft

fi_1CRITEJUDN adeq ciUODly

+----------- --------+-----------------+ ALTERNAT I VES

-----------------+------------ -----+ Alternative A Yes

+-------------------+ A 1 t erra t i v e B YesNo

+-------------------+ Alternative C Maybe Yes 2-0

Maybe 0 No 0

+-------------------+ +-------------------+-----------------+

~ - ( l I middot

-fr ~-(gt-middot middot _ -_ t ~

Li ght j ear SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONlst Draft

CRITERIOII vol fw suppl y

+--------- -----------+------------+ ALTERIIAT IVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative R 15

Alternative B 7 +-----------------------------+

Al terl1at i v e C 3 VPtLUE RANGE +-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 20 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

+--------------------+---------- --+

middot1 middot -( r ~ $

Light j ear SU BJECTProduct Design

CRITERION deeo fw s upol y

+--------------------+---- - -------+ ALTEl~NRT IVES VRLUE

+--------------------+------------+ 15

Alternative B E

A 1 t erY-1at i ve C 13

+----- ------------- --+------------+

VERS 10N1st Draft

+-------------------- ---------+ W -)LUE RAJIGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 15 I LEAST DE SI RABLE 0

+-----------------------------+

_ ~

_ shy

Light ear SLJBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION shallow fw supp

+--------------------+------------+ RLTEF~NAT IVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 15

Alternative B 3

Alternative C 8

+--------------------+------------+

VERSIONl s t Draft

+-----------------------------+ Vf~LUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 15 I LEAST DESIR~BLE 0 +-----------------------------+

~ bull _ ~11~middot ~

Light vear SUBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION qravity

+-------------------+------------ - - - - -+ ALTERIIAT IVES WOfm~

~ ------ ----------+----------- --- - --+ ~lternative A Yes

A 1 t err1a t i ve B IJ

Alterr1ative C Ma yb e

+-------------------+-----------------+

VERSIONlst Draft fw s up o

+---- ---------------+ YesNo

+-------------------+ Yes IO Ma yb e ~ 11 0

I I I

- middot1

+-------------------+

bull- -~ii bull middotbull ~middoty i~middot shy

Li ght year SUBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION freshwater 1

+--------------------+----------- - + ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 15 middot

Alternative B 30

Alternative C 20

+---------------- ----+------------+

VERSI ONls t Draft

+--------- - -------------------+ VRLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +------------------ -----------+

middot i shy

imiddot -shy 1middott middot ~-- -~-~~-gt _~~-- middot ~~_~~middot_f~ -~

__ightye ar SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONi s t Draft

CRITERION saltwater 1

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERIJAT IVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 20

Al terr1at i ve B 20

Alternative C 3

+--------------------+------------+

middot~ ~~ -middot lt~ --~

i~~i ttJ~l ~~ s

+----------------- ------------+ V(JLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

-l bull

- - ----~ ~(yen__~_ ~ middot- ~- bull bull y-~ -- ~-

_ight y~ar SLJB J ECTProduct Design

CRITERION 0 smolts

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alterrat ive A 4

Alternative B

Alternative C 20

I I

I

I

+--------------------+------------+

VERSIONl s t Draft

+-----------------------------+ ViLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

( t middot middot - middot

---~~-f~~~-~ rmiddotmiddot ~-L~~- -Ji -~middot~ middot- - -

i ght yemiddota r SUBJ ECT P r oduc t Design VERSIO Nl st Dra ft

CRITERION i s olation fr y

+--------------- -----+- - ------- - - -+ ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+------- ------------- +--- ---------+ Alternative A 3

A 1 t err-a t i ve B 3

Alternative C 3

+--------------------+--------- - - -+

~ - - r ~ -~ 1 bull - ~

~~gtt ~-~ rf_~-~~ ~t~ J

+------- ----------------------+ VALUE RANGE

+- ----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 10 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

middot

_ _

i~f~~~ middot (f middot~ -~- middot middotmiddot

ightyea r SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONlst Draft

CRITERION land-based site

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERNATIVES tjALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative R

Alternative B 15

-tA1t erYa t i ve C CJ

+--------------------+------------+

- t middot middotmiddot 1

middotmiddot~~ ~- _~~ ti~ J

+-----------------------------+ VRLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 25 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

_ _middot _ middot~~ - ~ ~ -bull

middot~ ~ - middot - middot middot middot_ __ J~ j---- middot middot ~ ~~ ti~- ~~ Jmiddot~~ )r~f _

CRITERION floatin g site

+-------------------- +- ------- ----+ AL TEFmRTIVES VALUE

+-------- ------------+------------+ Alternative A 10

IZI

A 1 t erY-a ti ve C 20

+--------------------+------------+

SUBJECTProduct De s iqn VERSI ONl st Draft

+----------------------------- + VALUE RAIJGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 25 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

Li ght y ear SUBJECTProduct Desig VERSI0N 1st Draf t

RU LE JIRJYI E lltULE +----------------- - +---- - ----------------- - - - - - - -------------- ---- ----- ------ shy H20 CHEMI STR Y I wa te r chemistrv MUST BE AT LEAS T treatable

CELIMINA ~ ION RUL E) y - -middot ~ t~ ~

middota - -~C-~~ _ t 1PRTHDLOGY ende ri1i c f i s h ltLJS~r EltI=- H -r L_EAS T l rbullw-leve l p a t hmiddot middotmiddotmiddotmiddot - t ~middot middot ~middot s

ltELI MI NATI ON RUL E)

+------------------+----------------------- - - ----------------- ----------------middot

) middot - (

Production Design Criteria - 250 Total Points

Major Assumption

In order to be evaluated a project must have a minimum level of

production of 10000 adults using the worst case assumptions of

marine survival

A Freshwater Source 100 pt Total

1 Quality 20 pt

a Water Chemistry

i Acceptable ~ t

ii Treatable 5 pt

iii Not treatable reject zero total

b Endemic Fish populations

i None 10 pt

ii Present but

pathogen free 0 t

iii Present with low level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with unknown status) 1 pt

iv Present with high level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with viral pathogen) reject zero total

2 Quantity 40 pt

a Adequate for proposal based

on 20 yr minimum flow

b Total volume available

scaling of all prorosals 6Jt

3 Temperature 30 pt

a Deep intake only uniform

l()y7 water temperature 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

b Shallow intake only ambient

surface water temperatures 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

c Deep and shallow intakes

variable water temperatures

available depending on

degree of temperature

ccntrol (Note on rrodel

this criteria is rated by

sumning a and b )

4 Gravity Delivery ~ t

a Yes 10 pt

b No 0 pt

B Strateqies (Culture Flexibility ) 100 pt Total

In this rating we are not comparing the relative merits of the

different strategies but are ranking according to the capability

of a project to utilize a variety of strategies In order to

qualify for a rating in one of the strategies a project must

release a miniJnum of 500000 fish in that strategy In Eating the

possible points in each strategy a number of roints are awarded

middot~~ - ~ i ~t~ ~-~

middotml -middot1t~--~

for minimum production l eJel aoc iticna l points up to the maximum

are then awarded based on level of production relative to other

projects using that strategy

Mir1irrrum Level Maximum Level

1 Yearling snolts

a Freshwater 20 30

b Seawater netpens 20 30

2 Age-zero snolts 20 30

3 Fry-stocking with isolation

incubation and rearing capability 5 10

C Physical Site Characteristics 50 pt Total

1 Potential for land-based siting Maximum 25 pts

a Flat land available

b Access

c Earthquake and avalanche hazard

d Soil characteristics

e Water supply characteristics

2 Potential for f loat complex in estuary Maximum 25 pt

a Stonn protection

b Anchor points

c Tidal fl0v

d Natural Freshwater influence

e Water supply characteristics

f Surface ar ea available

1

I - Ri5k Fact or An3lvs isshyl Ch1r0c ~ E~h ance~e~t Alternatives

tmiddotmiddotmiddot bull r-l1~ - ~ middot middotbull111 w bullmiddot middot vl rv -1lbulll-Imiddot

Tot3l Pr01ect C~ sc lJl per unit ~arv~s t

- rJal Sml t fr dex hrvEst r)bbilitv Index Harvest Prooabilitv A1rt ize Usable Pro1ect Arnual Oaeratiro Anrual C t Alternative PrJd Et in Best Case (best case) Worst Case (worst case ) Ca~ital Cost Life (v ear sl Cst fotal Best Case Wrst Case iii- ------------~~---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------middot-- --------------shy e0-check 5 0il0 iJJ 0006 025 0 ~lil 075 $8388320 2a $100000 e0 f lB3 Ba3 20 $6 13 $7355 $53U

05-chec k 2 52LJ 10~0 0015 0 70 001 1 030 $83 863 20 2J $20J0il 00 $283383 2~ t i SB ilO 3E Ht (with lens)

05-check 2 5~10 0e0 0018 010 0008 090 $5445050 20 $2e0 000 00 $25445copySJ $5 51 $1 3~3 fll lii (

(wo lensi

10-chec~ 1 2s0 e00 0021 080 0013 020 $83 Be3 20 20 $150000 ~I~ $233883211 ltl 3l $ i l L~ ilr ]t

Enclosure 6

J LIGHTYEAR

Lightyear i s a software produ ct th at produ ce s a r anking nr pr i oritization of a set of alternatives based on a numerical sco ring system

To use the product it is first necessary to choose and define a set of alternatives In this application alternatives will be location-specific chinook culture techniques Elimination of non- eq uivalent alternatives fr om the start of the analysis simplifies subsequent evaluations but is not absolutely necessary At present only dummy alternatives (ie Hatchshyery A Hatchery B etc) have been entered into the model in order to allow for unbiased development of evaluation cri t eria the next step in the process

Criteria are the qualities or attributes used to evaluate the alternatives in a decision Each criterion has a mode ie Numeric (N) Graphic (G) or Verbal (V) and a weight The weight defines the relative importance of a single criterion to the overall outcome of the decision It is possible to define as many criteria as the decision requires or to add delete or change a criterion as necessary Lightyear readily permits the editing and modification of the decisions structure If significant changes are made to the set of criteria any values assigned in the following evaluation step will be eliminated

The final step in the basic decision process is evaluating the alternatives An individual criterion is selected and each al te rnative is evaluated in turn for that citerion At the end of the evaluation process it is also possible to define simple logical rules to wei ght or eliminate alternatives on the basis of their evaluations for specific criteria

Once the basic steps in the decision process have been completed Lightyear then displays the ranked outcome of the decision process and identifies the preferred alternative It then further permits detailed examination of the performance of an individual alternative on the basis of each criterion

Page 9: Appendix M1: Historic ADF&G Baranof Project … u o p ly vol. fw suooly deep fw supoly shallow fw gravity fw freshwater saltwater • 121 srnolts isolation land-based .,I • ' supo

SLJBJECT Product Desion VERSIONls t Draft

CRITERION water chemistry

+-------------------+-----------------+ ALTERNATIVES WDRDS -----------------+-----------------+ Alternative A acceptable

I middot Alterrative B trEiatable

Alternative C untreatable

+-------------------+-----------------+

DRAFT +-------------------+

Water Chemistry +-------------------+

acceotable ID treatable 5 untreatable O

+-------------------+

1 - -~ middot ~middotrmiddot -

Liqhtyear SUBJECTProduct Desion VERSIONlst Draft

CRITERION endemic f i sh

+-------------------+-----------------+ ALTERNATIVES

middot-----------------+--------- --------+ Alternative A none

+-------------------+ Alternative B high-l evfl oath Endernic Fish

+-- -----------------+ Alternative C 1 os1-l eve 1 CJct h none 0

pat hogen-free 7 low-level oath high-l evel oath O

+-------------------+ +-------------------+-----------------+

middot middot bullmiddot bull ltmiddot middot middot ~ ~- ~middotmiddot~- ~

Liqhbullt year SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONlst Draft

fi_1CRITEJUDN adeq ciUODly

+----------- --------+-----------------+ ALTERNAT I VES

-----------------+------------ -----+ Alternative A Yes

+-------------------+ A 1 t erra t i v e B YesNo

+-------------------+ Alternative C Maybe Yes 2-0

Maybe 0 No 0

+-------------------+ +-------------------+-----------------+

~ - ( l I middot

-fr ~-(gt-middot middot _ -_ t ~

Li ght j ear SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONlst Draft

CRITERIOII vol fw suppl y

+--------- -----------+------------+ ALTERIIAT IVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative R 15

Alternative B 7 +-----------------------------+

Al terl1at i v e C 3 VPtLUE RANGE +-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 20 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

+--------------------+---------- --+

middot1 middot -( r ~ $

Light j ear SU BJECTProduct Design

CRITERION deeo fw s upol y

+--------------------+---- - -------+ ALTEl~NRT IVES VRLUE

+--------------------+------------+ 15

Alternative B E

A 1 t erY-1at i ve C 13

+----- ------------- --+------------+

VERS 10N1st Draft

+-------------------- ---------+ W -)LUE RAJIGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 15 I LEAST DE SI RABLE 0

+-----------------------------+

_ ~

_ shy

Light ear SLJBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION shallow fw supp

+--------------------+------------+ RLTEF~NAT IVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 15

Alternative B 3

Alternative C 8

+--------------------+------------+

VERSIONl s t Draft

+-----------------------------+ Vf~LUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 15 I LEAST DESIR~BLE 0 +-----------------------------+

~ bull _ ~11~middot ~

Light vear SUBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION qravity

+-------------------+------------ - - - - -+ ALTERIIAT IVES WOfm~

~ ------ ----------+----------- --- - --+ ~lternative A Yes

A 1 t err1a t i ve B IJ

Alterr1ative C Ma yb e

+-------------------+-----------------+

VERSIONlst Draft fw s up o

+---- ---------------+ YesNo

+-------------------+ Yes IO Ma yb e ~ 11 0

I I I

- middot1

+-------------------+

bull- -~ii bull middotbull ~middoty i~middot shy

Li ght year SUBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION freshwater 1

+--------------------+----------- - + ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 15 middot

Alternative B 30

Alternative C 20

+---------------- ----+------------+

VERSI ONls t Draft

+--------- - -------------------+ VRLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +------------------ -----------+

middot i shy

imiddot -shy 1middott middot ~-- -~-~~-gt _~~-- middot ~~_~~middot_f~ -~

__ightye ar SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONi s t Draft

CRITERION saltwater 1

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERIJAT IVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 20

Al terr1at i ve B 20

Alternative C 3

+--------------------+------------+

middot~ ~~ -middot lt~ --~

i~~i ttJ~l ~~ s

+----------------- ------------+ V(JLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

-l bull

- - ----~ ~(yen__~_ ~ middot- ~- bull bull y-~ -- ~-

_ight y~ar SLJB J ECTProduct Design

CRITERION 0 smolts

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alterrat ive A 4

Alternative B

Alternative C 20

I I

I

I

+--------------------+------------+

VERSIONl s t Draft

+-----------------------------+ ViLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

( t middot middot - middot

---~~-f~~~-~ rmiddotmiddot ~-L~~- -Ji -~middot~ middot- - -

i ght yemiddota r SUBJ ECT P r oduc t Design VERSIO Nl st Dra ft

CRITERION i s olation fr y

+--------------- -----+- - ------- - - -+ ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+------- ------------- +--- ---------+ Alternative A 3

A 1 t err-a t i ve B 3

Alternative C 3

+--------------------+--------- - - -+

~ - - r ~ -~ 1 bull - ~

~~gtt ~-~ rf_~-~~ ~t~ J

+------- ----------------------+ VALUE RANGE

+- ----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 10 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

middot

_ _

i~f~~~ middot (f middot~ -~- middot middotmiddot

ightyea r SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONlst Draft

CRITERION land-based site

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERNATIVES tjALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative R

Alternative B 15

-tA1t erYa t i ve C CJ

+--------------------+------------+

- t middot middotmiddot 1

middotmiddot~~ ~- _~~ ti~ J

+-----------------------------+ VRLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 25 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

_ _middot _ middot~~ - ~ ~ -bull

middot~ ~ - middot - middot middot middot_ __ J~ j---- middot middot ~ ~~ ti~- ~~ Jmiddot~~ )r~f _

CRITERION floatin g site

+-------------------- +- ------- ----+ AL TEFmRTIVES VALUE

+-------- ------------+------------+ Alternative A 10

IZI

A 1 t erY-a ti ve C 20

+--------------------+------------+

SUBJECTProduct De s iqn VERSI ONl st Draft

+----------------------------- + VALUE RAIJGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 25 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

Li ght y ear SUBJECTProduct Desig VERSI0N 1st Draf t

RU LE JIRJYI E lltULE +----------------- - +---- - ----------------- - - - - - - -------------- ---- ----- ------ shy H20 CHEMI STR Y I wa te r chemistrv MUST BE AT LEAS T treatable

CELIMINA ~ ION RUL E) y - -middot ~ t~ ~

middota - -~C-~~ _ t 1PRTHDLOGY ende ri1i c f i s h ltLJS~r EltI=- H -r L_EAS T l rbullw-leve l p a t hmiddot middotmiddotmiddotmiddot - t ~middot middot ~middot s

ltELI MI NATI ON RUL E)

+------------------+----------------------- - - ----------------- ----------------middot

) middot - (

Production Design Criteria - 250 Total Points

Major Assumption

In order to be evaluated a project must have a minimum level of

production of 10000 adults using the worst case assumptions of

marine survival

A Freshwater Source 100 pt Total

1 Quality 20 pt

a Water Chemistry

i Acceptable ~ t

ii Treatable 5 pt

iii Not treatable reject zero total

b Endemic Fish populations

i None 10 pt

ii Present but

pathogen free 0 t

iii Present with low level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with unknown status) 1 pt

iv Present with high level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with viral pathogen) reject zero total

2 Quantity 40 pt

a Adequate for proposal based

on 20 yr minimum flow

b Total volume available

scaling of all prorosals 6Jt

3 Temperature 30 pt

a Deep intake only uniform

l()y7 water temperature 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

b Shallow intake only ambient

surface water temperatures 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

c Deep and shallow intakes

variable water temperatures

available depending on

degree of temperature

ccntrol (Note on rrodel

this criteria is rated by

sumning a and b )

4 Gravity Delivery ~ t

a Yes 10 pt

b No 0 pt

B Strateqies (Culture Flexibility ) 100 pt Total

In this rating we are not comparing the relative merits of the

different strategies but are ranking according to the capability

of a project to utilize a variety of strategies In order to

qualify for a rating in one of the strategies a project must

release a miniJnum of 500000 fish in that strategy In Eating the

possible points in each strategy a number of roints are awarded

middot~~ - ~ i ~t~ ~-~

middotml -middot1t~--~

for minimum production l eJel aoc iticna l points up to the maximum

are then awarded based on level of production relative to other

projects using that strategy

Mir1irrrum Level Maximum Level

1 Yearling snolts

a Freshwater 20 30

b Seawater netpens 20 30

2 Age-zero snolts 20 30

3 Fry-stocking with isolation

incubation and rearing capability 5 10

C Physical Site Characteristics 50 pt Total

1 Potential for land-based siting Maximum 25 pts

a Flat land available

b Access

c Earthquake and avalanche hazard

d Soil characteristics

e Water supply characteristics

2 Potential for f loat complex in estuary Maximum 25 pt

a Stonn protection

b Anchor points

c Tidal fl0v

d Natural Freshwater influence

e Water supply characteristics

f Surface ar ea available

1

I - Ri5k Fact or An3lvs isshyl Ch1r0c ~ E~h ance~e~t Alternatives

tmiddotmiddotmiddot bull r-l1~ - ~ middot middotbull111 w bullmiddot middot vl rv -1lbulll-Imiddot

Tot3l Pr01ect C~ sc lJl per unit ~arv~s t

- rJal Sml t fr dex hrvEst r)bbilitv Index Harvest Prooabilitv A1rt ize Usable Pro1ect Arnual Oaeratiro Anrual C t Alternative PrJd Et in Best Case (best case) Worst Case (worst case ) Ca~ital Cost Life (v ear sl Cst fotal Best Case Wrst Case iii- ------------~~---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------middot-- --------------shy e0-check 5 0il0 iJJ 0006 025 0 ~lil 075 $8388320 2a $100000 e0 f lB3 Ba3 20 $6 13 $7355 $53U

05-chec k 2 52LJ 10~0 0015 0 70 001 1 030 $83 863 20 2J $20J0il 00 $283383 2~ t i SB ilO 3E Ht (with lens)

05-check 2 5~10 0e0 0018 010 0008 090 $5445050 20 $2e0 000 00 $25445copySJ $5 51 $1 3~3 fll lii (

(wo lensi

10-chec~ 1 2s0 e00 0021 080 0013 020 $83 Be3 20 20 $150000 ~I~ $233883211 ltl 3l $ i l L~ ilr ]t

Enclosure 6

J LIGHTYEAR

Lightyear i s a software produ ct th at produ ce s a r anking nr pr i oritization of a set of alternatives based on a numerical sco ring system

To use the product it is first necessary to choose and define a set of alternatives In this application alternatives will be location-specific chinook culture techniques Elimination of non- eq uivalent alternatives fr om the start of the analysis simplifies subsequent evaluations but is not absolutely necessary At present only dummy alternatives (ie Hatchshyery A Hatchery B etc) have been entered into the model in order to allow for unbiased development of evaluation cri t eria the next step in the process

Criteria are the qualities or attributes used to evaluate the alternatives in a decision Each criterion has a mode ie Numeric (N) Graphic (G) or Verbal (V) and a weight The weight defines the relative importance of a single criterion to the overall outcome of the decision It is possible to define as many criteria as the decision requires or to add delete or change a criterion as necessary Lightyear readily permits the editing and modification of the decisions structure If significant changes are made to the set of criteria any values assigned in the following evaluation step will be eliminated

The final step in the basic decision process is evaluating the alternatives An individual criterion is selected and each al te rnative is evaluated in turn for that citerion At the end of the evaluation process it is also possible to define simple logical rules to wei ght or eliminate alternatives on the basis of their evaluations for specific criteria

Once the basic steps in the decision process have been completed Lightyear then displays the ranked outcome of the decision process and identifies the preferred alternative It then further permits detailed examination of the performance of an individual alternative on the basis of each criterion

Page 10: Appendix M1: Historic ADF&G Baranof Project … u o p ly vol. fw suooly deep fw supoly shallow fw gravity fw freshwater saltwater • 121 srnolts isolation land-based .,I • ' supo

Liqhtyear SUBJECTProduct Desion VERSIONlst Draft

CRITERION endemic f i sh

+-------------------+-----------------+ ALTERNATIVES

middot-----------------+--------- --------+ Alternative A none

+-------------------+ Alternative B high-l evfl oath Endernic Fish

+-- -----------------+ Alternative C 1 os1-l eve 1 CJct h none 0

pat hogen-free 7 low-level oath high-l evel oath O

+-------------------+ +-------------------+-----------------+

middot middot bullmiddot bull ltmiddot middot middot ~ ~- ~middotmiddot~- ~

Liqhbullt year SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONlst Draft

fi_1CRITEJUDN adeq ciUODly

+----------- --------+-----------------+ ALTERNAT I VES

-----------------+------------ -----+ Alternative A Yes

+-------------------+ A 1 t erra t i v e B YesNo

+-------------------+ Alternative C Maybe Yes 2-0

Maybe 0 No 0

+-------------------+ +-------------------+-----------------+

~ - ( l I middot

-fr ~-(gt-middot middot _ -_ t ~

Li ght j ear SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONlst Draft

CRITERIOII vol fw suppl y

+--------- -----------+------------+ ALTERIIAT IVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative R 15

Alternative B 7 +-----------------------------+

Al terl1at i v e C 3 VPtLUE RANGE +-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 20 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

+--------------------+---------- --+

middot1 middot -( r ~ $

Light j ear SU BJECTProduct Design

CRITERION deeo fw s upol y

+--------------------+---- - -------+ ALTEl~NRT IVES VRLUE

+--------------------+------------+ 15

Alternative B E

A 1 t erY-1at i ve C 13

+----- ------------- --+------------+

VERS 10N1st Draft

+-------------------- ---------+ W -)LUE RAJIGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 15 I LEAST DE SI RABLE 0

+-----------------------------+

_ ~

_ shy

Light ear SLJBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION shallow fw supp

+--------------------+------------+ RLTEF~NAT IVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 15

Alternative B 3

Alternative C 8

+--------------------+------------+

VERSIONl s t Draft

+-----------------------------+ Vf~LUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 15 I LEAST DESIR~BLE 0 +-----------------------------+

~ bull _ ~11~middot ~

Light vear SUBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION qravity

+-------------------+------------ - - - - -+ ALTERIIAT IVES WOfm~

~ ------ ----------+----------- --- - --+ ~lternative A Yes

A 1 t err1a t i ve B IJ

Alterr1ative C Ma yb e

+-------------------+-----------------+

VERSIONlst Draft fw s up o

+---- ---------------+ YesNo

+-------------------+ Yes IO Ma yb e ~ 11 0

I I I

- middot1

+-------------------+

bull- -~ii bull middotbull ~middoty i~middot shy

Li ght year SUBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION freshwater 1

+--------------------+----------- - + ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 15 middot

Alternative B 30

Alternative C 20

+---------------- ----+------------+

VERSI ONls t Draft

+--------- - -------------------+ VRLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +------------------ -----------+

middot i shy

imiddot -shy 1middott middot ~-- -~-~~-gt _~~-- middot ~~_~~middot_f~ -~

__ightye ar SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONi s t Draft

CRITERION saltwater 1

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERIJAT IVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 20

Al terr1at i ve B 20

Alternative C 3

+--------------------+------------+

middot~ ~~ -middot lt~ --~

i~~i ttJ~l ~~ s

+----------------- ------------+ V(JLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

-l bull

- - ----~ ~(yen__~_ ~ middot- ~- bull bull y-~ -- ~-

_ight y~ar SLJB J ECTProduct Design

CRITERION 0 smolts

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alterrat ive A 4

Alternative B

Alternative C 20

I I

I

I

+--------------------+------------+

VERSIONl s t Draft

+-----------------------------+ ViLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

( t middot middot - middot

---~~-f~~~-~ rmiddotmiddot ~-L~~- -Ji -~middot~ middot- - -

i ght yemiddota r SUBJ ECT P r oduc t Design VERSIO Nl st Dra ft

CRITERION i s olation fr y

+--------------- -----+- - ------- - - -+ ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+------- ------------- +--- ---------+ Alternative A 3

A 1 t err-a t i ve B 3

Alternative C 3

+--------------------+--------- - - -+

~ - - r ~ -~ 1 bull - ~

~~gtt ~-~ rf_~-~~ ~t~ J

+------- ----------------------+ VALUE RANGE

+- ----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 10 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

middot

_ _

i~f~~~ middot (f middot~ -~- middot middotmiddot

ightyea r SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONlst Draft

CRITERION land-based site

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERNATIVES tjALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative R

Alternative B 15

-tA1t erYa t i ve C CJ

+--------------------+------------+

- t middot middotmiddot 1

middotmiddot~~ ~- _~~ ti~ J

+-----------------------------+ VRLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 25 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

_ _middot _ middot~~ - ~ ~ -bull

middot~ ~ - middot - middot middot middot_ __ J~ j---- middot middot ~ ~~ ti~- ~~ Jmiddot~~ )r~f _

CRITERION floatin g site

+-------------------- +- ------- ----+ AL TEFmRTIVES VALUE

+-------- ------------+------------+ Alternative A 10

IZI

A 1 t erY-a ti ve C 20

+--------------------+------------+

SUBJECTProduct De s iqn VERSI ONl st Draft

+----------------------------- + VALUE RAIJGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 25 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

Li ght y ear SUBJECTProduct Desig VERSI0N 1st Draf t

RU LE JIRJYI E lltULE +----------------- - +---- - ----------------- - - - - - - -------------- ---- ----- ------ shy H20 CHEMI STR Y I wa te r chemistrv MUST BE AT LEAS T treatable

CELIMINA ~ ION RUL E) y - -middot ~ t~ ~

middota - -~C-~~ _ t 1PRTHDLOGY ende ri1i c f i s h ltLJS~r EltI=- H -r L_EAS T l rbullw-leve l p a t hmiddot middotmiddotmiddotmiddot - t ~middot middot ~middot s

ltELI MI NATI ON RUL E)

+------------------+----------------------- - - ----------------- ----------------middot

) middot - (

Production Design Criteria - 250 Total Points

Major Assumption

In order to be evaluated a project must have a minimum level of

production of 10000 adults using the worst case assumptions of

marine survival

A Freshwater Source 100 pt Total

1 Quality 20 pt

a Water Chemistry

i Acceptable ~ t

ii Treatable 5 pt

iii Not treatable reject zero total

b Endemic Fish populations

i None 10 pt

ii Present but

pathogen free 0 t

iii Present with low level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with unknown status) 1 pt

iv Present with high level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with viral pathogen) reject zero total

2 Quantity 40 pt

a Adequate for proposal based

on 20 yr minimum flow

b Total volume available

scaling of all prorosals 6Jt

3 Temperature 30 pt

a Deep intake only uniform

l()y7 water temperature 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

b Shallow intake only ambient

surface water temperatures 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

c Deep and shallow intakes

variable water temperatures

available depending on

degree of temperature

ccntrol (Note on rrodel

this criteria is rated by

sumning a and b )

4 Gravity Delivery ~ t

a Yes 10 pt

b No 0 pt

B Strateqies (Culture Flexibility ) 100 pt Total

In this rating we are not comparing the relative merits of the

different strategies but are ranking according to the capability

of a project to utilize a variety of strategies In order to

qualify for a rating in one of the strategies a project must

release a miniJnum of 500000 fish in that strategy In Eating the

possible points in each strategy a number of roints are awarded

middot~~ - ~ i ~t~ ~-~

middotml -middot1t~--~

for minimum production l eJel aoc iticna l points up to the maximum

are then awarded based on level of production relative to other

projects using that strategy

Mir1irrrum Level Maximum Level

1 Yearling snolts

a Freshwater 20 30

b Seawater netpens 20 30

2 Age-zero snolts 20 30

3 Fry-stocking with isolation

incubation and rearing capability 5 10

C Physical Site Characteristics 50 pt Total

1 Potential for land-based siting Maximum 25 pts

a Flat land available

b Access

c Earthquake and avalanche hazard

d Soil characteristics

e Water supply characteristics

2 Potential for f loat complex in estuary Maximum 25 pt

a Stonn protection

b Anchor points

c Tidal fl0v

d Natural Freshwater influence

e Water supply characteristics

f Surface ar ea available

1

I - Ri5k Fact or An3lvs isshyl Ch1r0c ~ E~h ance~e~t Alternatives

tmiddotmiddotmiddot bull r-l1~ - ~ middot middotbull111 w bullmiddot middot vl rv -1lbulll-Imiddot

Tot3l Pr01ect C~ sc lJl per unit ~arv~s t

- rJal Sml t fr dex hrvEst r)bbilitv Index Harvest Prooabilitv A1rt ize Usable Pro1ect Arnual Oaeratiro Anrual C t Alternative PrJd Et in Best Case (best case) Worst Case (worst case ) Ca~ital Cost Life (v ear sl Cst fotal Best Case Wrst Case iii- ------------~~---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------middot-- --------------shy e0-check 5 0il0 iJJ 0006 025 0 ~lil 075 $8388320 2a $100000 e0 f lB3 Ba3 20 $6 13 $7355 $53U

05-chec k 2 52LJ 10~0 0015 0 70 001 1 030 $83 863 20 2J $20J0il 00 $283383 2~ t i SB ilO 3E Ht (with lens)

05-check 2 5~10 0e0 0018 010 0008 090 $5445050 20 $2e0 000 00 $25445copySJ $5 51 $1 3~3 fll lii (

(wo lensi

10-chec~ 1 2s0 e00 0021 080 0013 020 $83 Be3 20 20 $150000 ~I~ $233883211 ltl 3l $ i l L~ ilr ]t

Enclosure 6

J LIGHTYEAR

Lightyear i s a software produ ct th at produ ce s a r anking nr pr i oritization of a set of alternatives based on a numerical sco ring system

To use the product it is first necessary to choose and define a set of alternatives In this application alternatives will be location-specific chinook culture techniques Elimination of non- eq uivalent alternatives fr om the start of the analysis simplifies subsequent evaluations but is not absolutely necessary At present only dummy alternatives (ie Hatchshyery A Hatchery B etc) have been entered into the model in order to allow for unbiased development of evaluation cri t eria the next step in the process

Criteria are the qualities or attributes used to evaluate the alternatives in a decision Each criterion has a mode ie Numeric (N) Graphic (G) or Verbal (V) and a weight The weight defines the relative importance of a single criterion to the overall outcome of the decision It is possible to define as many criteria as the decision requires or to add delete or change a criterion as necessary Lightyear readily permits the editing and modification of the decisions structure If significant changes are made to the set of criteria any values assigned in the following evaluation step will be eliminated

The final step in the basic decision process is evaluating the alternatives An individual criterion is selected and each al te rnative is evaluated in turn for that citerion At the end of the evaluation process it is also possible to define simple logical rules to wei ght or eliminate alternatives on the basis of their evaluations for specific criteria

Once the basic steps in the decision process have been completed Lightyear then displays the ranked outcome of the decision process and identifies the preferred alternative It then further permits detailed examination of the performance of an individual alternative on the basis of each criterion

Page 11: Appendix M1: Historic ADF&G Baranof Project … u o p ly vol. fw suooly deep fw supoly shallow fw gravity fw freshwater saltwater • 121 srnolts isolation land-based .,I • ' supo

Liqhbullt year SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONlst Draft

fi_1CRITEJUDN adeq ciUODly

+----------- --------+-----------------+ ALTERNAT I VES

-----------------+------------ -----+ Alternative A Yes

+-------------------+ A 1 t erra t i v e B YesNo

+-------------------+ Alternative C Maybe Yes 2-0

Maybe 0 No 0

+-------------------+ +-------------------+-----------------+

~ - ( l I middot

-fr ~-(gt-middot middot _ -_ t ~

Li ght j ear SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONlst Draft

CRITERIOII vol fw suppl y

+--------- -----------+------------+ ALTERIIAT IVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative R 15

Alternative B 7 +-----------------------------+

Al terl1at i v e C 3 VPtLUE RANGE +-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 20 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

+--------------------+---------- --+

middot1 middot -( r ~ $

Light j ear SU BJECTProduct Design

CRITERION deeo fw s upol y

+--------------------+---- - -------+ ALTEl~NRT IVES VRLUE

+--------------------+------------+ 15

Alternative B E

A 1 t erY-1at i ve C 13

+----- ------------- --+------------+

VERS 10N1st Draft

+-------------------- ---------+ W -)LUE RAJIGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 15 I LEAST DE SI RABLE 0

+-----------------------------+

_ ~

_ shy

Light ear SLJBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION shallow fw supp

+--------------------+------------+ RLTEF~NAT IVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 15

Alternative B 3

Alternative C 8

+--------------------+------------+

VERSIONl s t Draft

+-----------------------------+ Vf~LUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 15 I LEAST DESIR~BLE 0 +-----------------------------+

~ bull _ ~11~middot ~

Light vear SUBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION qravity

+-------------------+------------ - - - - -+ ALTERIIAT IVES WOfm~

~ ------ ----------+----------- --- - --+ ~lternative A Yes

A 1 t err1a t i ve B IJ

Alterr1ative C Ma yb e

+-------------------+-----------------+

VERSIONlst Draft fw s up o

+---- ---------------+ YesNo

+-------------------+ Yes IO Ma yb e ~ 11 0

I I I

- middot1

+-------------------+

bull- -~ii bull middotbull ~middoty i~middot shy

Li ght year SUBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION freshwater 1

+--------------------+----------- - + ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 15 middot

Alternative B 30

Alternative C 20

+---------------- ----+------------+

VERSI ONls t Draft

+--------- - -------------------+ VRLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +------------------ -----------+

middot i shy

imiddot -shy 1middott middot ~-- -~-~~-gt _~~-- middot ~~_~~middot_f~ -~

__ightye ar SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONi s t Draft

CRITERION saltwater 1

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERIJAT IVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 20

Al terr1at i ve B 20

Alternative C 3

+--------------------+------------+

middot~ ~~ -middot lt~ --~

i~~i ttJ~l ~~ s

+----------------- ------------+ V(JLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

-l bull

- - ----~ ~(yen__~_ ~ middot- ~- bull bull y-~ -- ~-

_ight y~ar SLJB J ECTProduct Design

CRITERION 0 smolts

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alterrat ive A 4

Alternative B

Alternative C 20

I I

I

I

+--------------------+------------+

VERSIONl s t Draft

+-----------------------------+ ViLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

( t middot middot - middot

---~~-f~~~-~ rmiddotmiddot ~-L~~- -Ji -~middot~ middot- - -

i ght yemiddota r SUBJ ECT P r oduc t Design VERSIO Nl st Dra ft

CRITERION i s olation fr y

+--------------- -----+- - ------- - - -+ ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+------- ------------- +--- ---------+ Alternative A 3

A 1 t err-a t i ve B 3

Alternative C 3

+--------------------+--------- - - -+

~ - - r ~ -~ 1 bull - ~

~~gtt ~-~ rf_~-~~ ~t~ J

+------- ----------------------+ VALUE RANGE

+- ----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 10 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

middot

_ _

i~f~~~ middot (f middot~ -~- middot middotmiddot

ightyea r SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONlst Draft

CRITERION land-based site

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERNATIVES tjALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative R

Alternative B 15

-tA1t erYa t i ve C CJ

+--------------------+------------+

- t middot middotmiddot 1

middotmiddot~~ ~- _~~ ti~ J

+-----------------------------+ VRLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 25 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

_ _middot _ middot~~ - ~ ~ -bull

middot~ ~ - middot - middot middot middot_ __ J~ j---- middot middot ~ ~~ ti~- ~~ Jmiddot~~ )r~f _

CRITERION floatin g site

+-------------------- +- ------- ----+ AL TEFmRTIVES VALUE

+-------- ------------+------------+ Alternative A 10

IZI

A 1 t erY-a ti ve C 20

+--------------------+------------+

SUBJECTProduct De s iqn VERSI ONl st Draft

+----------------------------- + VALUE RAIJGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 25 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

Li ght y ear SUBJECTProduct Desig VERSI0N 1st Draf t

RU LE JIRJYI E lltULE +----------------- - +---- - ----------------- - - - - - - -------------- ---- ----- ------ shy H20 CHEMI STR Y I wa te r chemistrv MUST BE AT LEAS T treatable

CELIMINA ~ ION RUL E) y - -middot ~ t~ ~

middota - -~C-~~ _ t 1PRTHDLOGY ende ri1i c f i s h ltLJS~r EltI=- H -r L_EAS T l rbullw-leve l p a t hmiddot middotmiddotmiddotmiddot - t ~middot middot ~middot s

ltELI MI NATI ON RUL E)

+------------------+----------------------- - - ----------------- ----------------middot

) middot - (

Production Design Criteria - 250 Total Points

Major Assumption

In order to be evaluated a project must have a minimum level of

production of 10000 adults using the worst case assumptions of

marine survival

A Freshwater Source 100 pt Total

1 Quality 20 pt

a Water Chemistry

i Acceptable ~ t

ii Treatable 5 pt

iii Not treatable reject zero total

b Endemic Fish populations

i None 10 pt

ii Present but

pathogen free 0 t

iii Present with low level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with unknown status) 1 pt

iv Present with high level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with viral pathogen) reject zero total

2 Quantity 40 pt

a Adequate for proposal based

on 20 yr minimum flow

b Total volume available

scaling of all prorosals 6Jt

3 Temperature 30 pt

a Deep intake only uniform

l()y7 water temperature 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

b Shallow intake only ambient

surface water temperatures 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

c Deep and shallow intakes

variable water temperatures

available depending on

degree of temperature

ccntrol (Note on rrodel

this criteria is rated by

sumning a and b )

4 Gravity Delivery ~ t

a Yes 10 pt

b No 0 pt

B Strateqies (Culture Flexibility ) 100 pt Total

In this rating we are not comparing the relative merits of the

different strategies but are ranking according to the capability

of a project to utilize a variety of strategies In order to

qualify for a rating in one of the strategies a project must

release a miniJnum of 500000 fish in that strategy In Eating the

possible points in each strategy a number of roints are awarded

middot~~ - ~ i ~t~ ~-~

middotml -middot1t~--~

for minimum production l eJel aoc iticna l points up to the maximum

are then awarded based on level of production relative to other

projects using that strategy

Mir1irrrum Level Maximum Level

1 Yearling snolts

a Freshwater 20 30

b Seawater netpens 20 30

2 Age-zero snolts 20 30

3 Fry-stocking with isolation

incubation and rearing capability 5 10

C Physical Site Characteristics 50 pt Total

1 Potential for land-based siting Maximum 25 pts

a Flat land available

b Access

c Earthquake and avalanche hazard

d Soil characteristics

e Water supply characteristics

2 Potential for f loat complex in estuary Maximum 25 pt

a Stonn protection

b Anchor points

c Tidal fl0v

d Natural Freshwater influence

e Water supply characteristics

f Surface ar ea available

1

I - Ri5k Fact or An3lvs isshyl Ch1r0c ~ E~h ance~e~t Alternatives

tmiddotmiddotmiddot bull r-l1~ - ~ middot middotbull111 w bullmiddot middot vl rv -1lbulll-Imiddot

Tot3l Pr01ect C~ sc lJl per unit ~arv~s t

- rJal Sml t fr dex hrvEst r)bbilitv Index Harvest Prooabilitv A1rt ize Usable Pro1ect Arnual Oaeratiro Anrual C t Alternative PrJd Et in Best Case (best case) Worst Case (worst case ) Ca~ital Cost Life (v ear sl Cst fotal Best Case Wrst Case iii- ------------~~---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------middot-- --------------shy e0-check 5 0il0 iJJ 0006 025 0 ~lil 075 $8388320 2a $100000 e0 f lB3 Ba3 20 $6 13 $7355 $53U

05-chec k 2 52LJ 10~0 0015 0 70 001 1 030 $83 863 20 2J $20J0il 00 $283383 2~ t i SB ilO 3E Ht (with lens)

05-check 2 5~10 0e0 0018 010 0008 090 $5445050 20 $2e0 000 00 $25445copySJ $5 51 $1 3~3 fll lii (

(wo lensi

10-chec~ 1 2s0 e00 0021 080 0013 020 $83 Be3 20 20 $150000 ~I~ $233883211 ltl 3l $ i l L~ ilr ]t

Enclosure 6

J LIGHTYEAR

Lightyear i s a software produ ct th at produ ce s a r anking nr pr i oritization of a set of alternatives based on a numerical sco ring system

To use the product it is first necessary to choose and define a set of alternatives In this application alternatives will be location-specific chinook culture techniques Elimination of non- eq uivalent alternatives fr om the start of the analysis simplifies subsequent evaluations but is not absolutely necessary At present only dummy alternatives (ie Hatchshyery A Hatchery B etc) have been entered into the model in order to allow for unbiased development of evaluation cri t eria the next step in the process

Criteria are the qualities or attributes used to evaluate the alternatives in a decision Each criterion has a mode ie Numeric (N) Graphic (G) or Verbal (V) and a weight The weight defines the relative importance of a single criterion to the overall outcome of the decision It is possible to define as many criteria as the decision requires or to add delete or change a criterion as necessary Lightyear readily permits the editing and modification of the decisions structure If significant changes are made to the set of criteria any values assigned in the following evaluation step will be eliminated

The final step in the basic decision process is evaluating the alternatives An individual criterion is selected and each al te rnative is evaluated in turn for that citerion At the end of the evaluation process it is also possible to define simple logical rules to wei ght or eliminate alternatives on the basis of their evaluations for specific criteria

Once the basic steps in the decision process have been completed Lightyear then displays the ranked outcome of the decision process and identifies the preferred alternative It then further permits detailed examination of the performance of an individual alternative on the basis of each criterion

Page 12: Appendix M1: Historic ADF&G Baranof Project … u o p ly vol. fw suooly deep fw supoly shallow fw gravity fw freshwater saltwater • 121 srnolts isolation land-based .,I • ' supo

Li ght j ear SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONlst Draft

CRITERIOII vol fw suppl y

+--------- -----------+------------+ ALTERIIAT IVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative R 15

Alternative B 7 +-----------------------------+

Al terl1at i v e C 3 VPtLUE RANGE +-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 20 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

+--------------------+---------- --+

middot1 middot -( r ~ $

Light j ear SU BJECTProduct Design

CRITERION deeo fw s upol y

+--------------------+---- - -------+ ALTEl~NRT IVES VRLUE

+--------------------+------------+ 15

Alternative B E

A 1 t erY-1at i ve C 13

+----- ------------- --+------------+

VERS 10N1st Draft

+-------------------- ---------+ W -)LUE RAJIGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 15 I LEAST DE SI RABLE 0

+-----------------------------+

_ ~

_ shy

Light ear SLJBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION shallow fw supp

+--------------------+------------+ RLTEF~NAT IVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 15

Alternative B 3

Alternative C 8

+--------------------+------------+

VERSIONl s t Draft

+-----------------------------+ Vf~LUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 15 I LEAST DESIR~BLE 0 +-----------------------------+

~ bull _ ~11~middot ~

Light vear SUBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION qravity

+-------------------+------------ - - - - -+ ALTERIIAT IVES WOfm~

~ ------ ----------+----------- --- - --+ ~lternative A Yes

A 1 t err1a t i ve B IJ

Alterr1ative C Ma yb e

+-------------------+-----------------+

VERSIONlst Draft fw s up o

+---- ---------------+ YesNo

+-------------------+ Yes IO Ma yb e ~ 11 0

I I I

- middot1

+-------------------+

bull- -~ii bull middotbull ~middoty i~middot shy

Li ght year SUBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION freshwater 1

+--------------------+----------- - + ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 15 middot

Alternative B 30

Alternative C 20

+---------------- ----+------------+

VERSI ONls t Draft

+--------- - -------------------+ VRLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +------------------ -----------+

middot i shy

imiddot -shy 1middott middot ~-- -~-~~-gt _~~-- middot ~~_~~middot_f~ -~

__ightye ar SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONi s t Draft

CRITERION saltwater 1

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERIJAT IVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 20

Al terr1at i ve B 20

Alternative C 3

+--------------------+------------+

middot~ ~~ -middot lt~ --~

i~~i ttJ~l ~~ s

+----------------- ------------+ V(JLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

-l bull

- - ----~ ~(yen__~_ ~ middot- ~- bull bull y-~ -- ~-

_ight y~ar SLJB J ECTProduct Design

CRITERION 0 smolts

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alterrat ive A 4

Alternative B

Alternative C 20

I I

I

I

+--------------------+------------+

VERSIONl s t Draft

+-----------------------------+ ViLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

( t middot middot - middot

---~~-f~~~-~ rmiddotmiddot ~-L~~- -Ji -~middot~ middot- - -

i ght yemiddota r SUBJ ECT P r oduc t Design VERSIO Nl st Dra ft

CRITERION i s olation fr y

+--------------- -----+- - ------- - - -+ ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+------- ------------- +--- ---------+ Alternative A 3

A 1 t err-a t i ve B 3

Alternative C 3

+--------------------+--------- - - -+

~ - - r ~ -~ 1 bull - ~

~~gtt ~-~ rf_~-~~ ~t~ J

+------- ----------------------+ VALUE RANGE

+- ----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 10 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

middot

_ _

i~f~~~ middot (f middot~ -~- middot middotmiddot

ightyea r SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONlst Draft

CRITERION land-based site

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERNATIVES tjALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative R

Alternative B 15

-tA1t erYa t i ve C CJ

+--------------------+------------+

- t middot middotmiddot 1

middotmiddot~~ ~- _~~ ti~ J

+-----------------------------+ VRLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 25 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

_ _middot _ middot~~ - ~ ~ -bull

middot~ ~ - middot - middot middot middot_ __ J~ j---- middot middot ~ ~~ ti~- ~~ Jmiddot~~ )r~f _

CRITERION floatin g site

+-------------------- +- ------- ----+ AL TEFmRTIVES VALUE

+-------- ------------+------------+ Alternative A 10

IZI

A 1 t erY-a ti ve C 20

+--------------------+------------+

SUBJECTProduct De s iqn VERSI ONl st Draft

+----------------------------- + VALUE RAIJGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 25 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

Li ght y ear SUBJECTProduct Desig VERSI0N 1st Draf t

RU LE JIRJYI E lltULE +----------------- - +---- - ----------------- - - - - - - -------------- ---- ----- ------ shy H20 CHEMI STR Y I wa te r chemistrv MUST BE AT LEAS T treatable

CELIMINA ~ ION RUL E) y - -middot ~ t~ ~

middota - -~C-~~ _ t 1PRTHDLOGY ende ri1i c f i s h ltLJS~r EltI=- H -r L_EAS T l rbullw-leve l p a t hmiddot middotmiddotmiddotmiddot - t ~middot middot ~middot s

ltELI MI NATI ON RUL E)

+------------------+----------------------- - - ----------------- ----------------middot

) middot - (

Production Design Criteria - 250 Total Points

Major Assumption

In order to be evaluated a project must have a minimum level of

production of 10000 adults using the worst case assumptions of

marine survival

A Freshwater Source 100 pt Total

1 Quality 20 pt

a Water Chemistry

i Acceptable ~ t

ii Treatable 5 pt

iii Not treatable reject zero total

b Endemic Fish populations

i None 10 pt

ii Present but

pathogen free 0 t

iii Present with low level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with unknown status) 1 pt

iv Present with high level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with viral pathogen) reject zero total

2 Quantity 40 pt

a Adequate for proposal based

on 20 yr minimum flow

b Total volume available

scaling of all prorosals 6Jt

3 Temperature 30 pt

a Deep intake only uniform

l()y7 water temperature 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

b Shallow intake only ambient

surface water temperatures 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

c Deep and shallow intakes

variable water temperatures

available depending on

degree of temperature

ccntrol (Note on rrodel

this criteria is rated by

sumning a and b )

4 Gravity Delivery ~ t

a Yes 10 pt

b No 0 pt

B Strateqies (Culture Flexibility ) 100 pt Total

In this rating we are not comparing the relative merits of the

different strategies but are ranking according to the capability

of a project to utilize a variety of strategies In order to

qualify for a rating in one of the strategies a project must

release a miniJnum of 500000 fish in that strategy In Eating the

possible points in each strategy a number of roints are awarded

middot~~ - ~ i ~t~ ~-~

middotml -middot1t~--~

for minimum production l eJel aoc iticna l points up to the maximum

are then awarded based on level of production relative to other

projects using that strategy

Mir1irrrum Level Maximum Level

1 Yearling snolts

a Freshwater 20 30

b Seawater netpens 20 30

2 Age-zero snolts 20 30

3 Fry-stocking with isolation

incubation and rearing capability 5 10

C Physical Site Characteristics 50 pt Total

1 Potential for land-based siting Maximum 25 pts

a Flat land available

b Access

c Earthquake and avalanche hazard

d Soil characteristics

e Water supply characteristics

2 Potential for f loat complex in estuary Maximum 25 pt

a Stonn protection

b Anchor points

c Tidal fl0v

d Natural Freshwater influence

e Water supply characteristics

f Surface ar ea available

1

I - Ri5k Fact or An3lvs isshyl Ch1r0c ~ E~h ance~e~t Alternatives

tmiddotmiddotmiddot bull r-l1~ - ~ middot middotbull111 w bullmiddot middot vl rv -1lbulll-Imiddot

Tot3l Pr01ect C~ sc lJl per unit ~arv~s t

- rJal Sml t fr dex hrvEst r)bbilitv Index Harvest Prooabilitv A1rt ize Usable Pro1ect Arnual Oaeratiro Anrual C t Alternative PrJd Et in Best Case (best case) Worst Case (worst case ) Ca~ital Cost Life (v ear sl Cst fotal Best Case Wrst Case iii- ------------~~---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------middot-- --------------shy e0-check 5 0il0 iJJ 0006 025 0 ~lil 075 $8388320 2a $100000 e0 f lB3 Ba3 20 $6 13 $7355 $53U

05-chec k 2 52LJ 10~0 0015 0 70 001 1 030 $83 863 20 2J $20J0il 00 $283383 2~ t i SB ilO 3E Ht (with lens)

05-check 2 5~10 0e0 0018 010 0008 090 $5445050 20 $2e0 000 00 $25445copySJ $5 51 $1 3~3 fll lii (

(wo lensi

10-chec~ 1 2s0 e00 0021 080 0013 020 $83 Be3 20 20 $150000 ~I~ $233883211 ltl 3l $ i l L~ ilr ]t

Enclosure 6

J LIGHTYEAR

Lightyear i s a software produ ct th at produ ce s a r anking nr pr i oritization of a set of alternatives based on a numerical sco ring system

To use the product it is first necessary to choose and define a set of alternatives In this application alternatives will be location-specific chinook culture techniques Elimination of non- eq uivalent alternatives fr om the start of the analysis simplifies subsequent evaluations but is not absolutely necessary At present only dummy alternatives (ie Hatchshyery A Hatchery B etc) have been entered into the model in order to allow for unbiased development of evaluation cri t eria the next step in the process

Criteria are the qualities or attributes used to evaluate the alternatives in a decision Each criterion has a mode ie Numeric (N) Graphic (G) or Verbal (V) and a weight The weight defines the relative importance of a single criterion to the overall outcome of the decision It is possible to define as many criteria as the decision requires or to add delete or change a criterion as necessary Lightyear readily permits the editing and modification of the decisions structure If significant changes are made to the set of criteria any values assigned in the following evaluation step will be eliminated

The final step in the basic decision process is evaluating the alternatives An individual criterion is selected and each al te rnative is evaluated in turn for that citerion At the end of the evaluation process it is also possible to define simple logical rules to wei ght or eliminate alternatives on the basis of their evaluations for specific criteria

Once the basic steps in the decision process have been completed Lightyear then displays the ranked outcome of the decision process and identifies the preferred alternative It then further permits detailed examination of the performance of an individual alternative on the basis of each criterion

Page 13: Appendix M1: Historic ADF&G Baranof Project … u o p ly vol. fw suooly deep fw supoly shallow fw gravity fw freshwater saltwater • 121 srnolts isolation land-based .,I • ' supo

Light j ear SU BJECTProduct Design

CRITERION deeo fw s upol y

+--------------------+---- - -------+ ALTEl~NRT IVES VRLUE

+--------------------+------------+ 15

Alternative B E

A 1 t erY-1at i ve C 13

+----- ------------- --+------------+

VERS 10N1st Draft

+-------------------- ---------+ W -)LUE RAJIGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 15 I LEAST DE SI RABLE 0

+-----------------------------+

_ ~

_ shy

Light ear SLJBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION shallow fw supp

+--------------------+------------+ RLTEF~NAT IVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 15

Alternative B 3

Alternative C 8

+--------------------+------------+

VERSIONl s t Draft

+-----------------------------+ Vf~LUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 15 I LEAST DESIR~BLE 0 +-----------------------------+

~ bull _ ~11~middot ~

Light vear SUBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION qravity

+-------------------+------------ - - - - -+ ALTERIIAT IVES WOfm~

~ ------ ----------+----------- --- - --+ ~lternative A Yes

A 1 t err1a t i ve B IJ

Alterr1ative C Ma yb e

+-------------------+-----------------+

VERSIONlst Draft fw s up o

+---- ---------------+ YesNo

+-------------------+ Yes IO Ma yb e ~ 11 0

I I I

- middot1

+-------------------+

bull- -~ii bull middotbull ~middoty i~middot shy

Li ght year SUBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION freshwater 1

+--------------------+----------- - + ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 15 middot

Alternative B 30

Alternative C 20

+---------------- ----+------------+

VERSI ONls t Draft

+--------- - -------------------+ VRLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +------------------ -----------+

middot i shy

imiddot -shy 1middott middot ~-- -~-~~-gt _~~-- middot ~~_~~middot_f~ -~

__ightye ar SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONi s t Draft

CRITERION saltwater 1

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERIJAT IVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 20

Al terr1at i ve B 20

Alternative C 3

+--------------------+------------+

middot~ ~~ -middot lt~ --~

i~~i ttJ~l ~~ s

+----------------- ------------+ V(JLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

-l bull

- - ----~ ~(yen__~_ ~ middot- ~- bull bull y-~ -- ~-

_ight y~ar SLJB J ECTProduct Design

CRITERION 0 smolts

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alterrat ive A 4

Alternative B

Alternative C 20

I I

I

I

+--------------------+------------+

VERSIONl s t Draft

+-----------------------------+ ViLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

( t middot middot - middot

---~~-f~~~-~ rmiddotmiddot ~-L~~- -Ji -~middot~ middot- - -

i ght yemiddota r SUBJ ECT P r oduc t Design VERSIO Nl st Dra ft

CRITERION i s olation fr y

+--------------- -----+- - ------- - - -+ ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+------- ------------- +--- ---------+ Alternative A 3

A 1 t err-a t i ve B 3

Alternative C 3

+--------------------+--------- - - -+

~ - - r ~ -~ 1 bull - ~

~~gtt ~-~ rf_~-~~ ~t~ J

+------- ----------------------+ VALUE RANGE

+- ----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 10 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

middot

_ _

i~f~~~ middot (f middot~ -~- middot middotmiddot

ightyea r SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONlst Draft

CRITERION land-based site

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERNATIVES tjALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative R

Alternative B 15

-tA1t erYa t i ve C CJ

+--------------------+------------+

- t middot middotmiddot 1

middotmiddot~~ ~- _~~ ti~ J

+-----------------------------+ VRLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 25 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

_ _middot _ middot~~ - ~ ~ -bull

middot~ ~ - middot - middot middot middot_ __ J~ j---- middot middot ~ ~~ ti~- ~~ Jmiddot~~ )r~f _

CRITERION floatin g site

+-------------------- +- ------- ----+ AL TEFmRTIVES VALUE

+-------- ------------+------------+ Alternative A 10

IZI

A 1 t erY-a ti ve C 20

+--------------------+------------+

SUBJECTProduct De s iqn VERSI ONl st Draft

+----------------------------- + VALUE RAIJGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 25 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

Li ght y ear SUBJECTProduct Desig VERSI0N 1st Draf t

RU LE JIRJYI E lltULE +----------------- - +---- - ----------------- - - - - - - -------------- ---- ----- ------ shy H20 CHEMI STR Y I wa te r chemistrv MUST BE AT LEAS T treatable

CELIMINA ~ ION RUL E) y - -middot ~ t~ ~

middota - -~C-~~ _ t 1PRTHDLOGY ende ri1i c f i s h ltLJS~r EltI=- H -r L_EAS T l rbullw-leve l p a t hmiddot middotmiddotmiddotmiddot - t ~middot middot ~middot s

ltELI MI NATI ON RUL E)

+------------------+----------------------- - - ----------------- ----------------middot

) middot - (

Production Design Criteria - 250 Total Points

Major Assumption

In order to be evaluated a project must have a minimum level of

production of 10000 adults using the worst case assumptions of

marine survival

A Freshwater Source 100 pt Total

1 Quality 20 pt

a Water Chemistry

i Acceptable ~ t

ii Treatable 5 pt

iii Not treatable reject zero total

b Endemic Fish populations

i None 10 pt

ii Present but

pathogen free 0 t

iii Present with low level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with unknown status) 1 pt

iv Present with high level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with viral pathogen) reject zero total

2 Quantity 40 pt

a Adequate for proposal based

on 20 yr minimum flow

b Total volume available

scaling of all prorosals 6Jt

3 Temperature 30 pt

a Deep intake only uniform

l()y7 water temperature 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

b Shallow intake only ambient

surface water temperatures 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

c Deep and shallow intakes

variable water temperatures

available depending on

degree of temperature

ccntrol (Note on rrodel

this criteria is rated by

sumning a and b )

4 Gravity Delivery ~ t

a Yes 10 pt

b No 0 pt

B Strateqies (Culture Flexibility ) 100 pt Total

In this rating we are not comparing the relative merits of the

different strategies but are ranking according to the capability

of a project to utilize a variety of strategies In order to

qualify for a rating in one of the strategies a project must

release a miniJnum of 500000 fish in that strategy In Eating the

possible points in each strategy a number of roints are awarded

middot~~ - ~ i ~t~ ~-~

middotml -middot1t~--~

for minimum production l eJel aoc iticna l points up to the maximum

are then awarded based on level of production relative to other

projects using that strategy

Mir1irrrum Level Maximum Level

1 Yearling snolts

a Freshwater 20 30

b Seawater netpens 20 30

2 Age-zero snolts 20 30

3 Fry-stocking with isolation

incubation and rearing capability 5 10

C Physical Site Characteristics 50 pt Total

1 Potential for land-based siting Maximum 25 pts

a Flat land available

b Access

c Earthquake and avalanche hazard

d Soil characteristics

e Water supply characteristics

2 Potential for f loat complex in estuary Maximum 25 pt

a Stonn protection

b Anchor points

c Tidal fl0v

d Natural Freshwater influence

e Water supply characteristics

f Surface ar ea available

1

I - Ri5k Fact or An3lvs isshyl Ch1r0c ~ E~h ance~e~t Alternatives

tmiddotmiddotmiddot bull r-l1~ - ~ middot middotbull111 w bullmiddot middot vl rv -1lbulll-Imiddot

Tot3l Pr01ect C~ sc lJl per unit ~arv~s t

- rJal Sml t fr dex hrvEst r)bbilitv Index Harvest Prooabilitv A1rt ize Usable Pro1ect Arnual Oaeratiro Anrual C t Alternative PrJd Et in Best Case (best case) Worst Case (worst case ) Ca~ital Cost Life (v ear sl Cst fotal Best Case Wrst Case iii- ------------~~---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------middot-- --------------shy e0-check 5 0il0 iJJ 0006 025 0 ~lil 075 $8388320 2a $100000 e0 f lB3 Ba3 20 $6 13 $7355 $53U

05-chec k 2 52LJ 10~0 0015 0 70 001 1 030 $83 863 20 2J $20J0il 00 $283383 2~ t i SB ilO 3E Ht (with lens)

05-check 2 5~10 0e0 0018 010 0008 090 $5445050 20 $2e0 000 00 $25445copySJ $5 51 $1 3~3 fll lii (

(wo lensi

10-chec~ 1 2s0 e00 0021 080 0013 020 $83 Be3 20 20 $150000 ~I~ $233883211 ltl 3l $ i l L~ ilr ]t

Enclosure 6

J LIGHTYEAR

Lightyear i s a software produ ct th at produ ce s a r anking nr pr i oritization of a set of alternatives based on a numerical sco ring system

To use the product it is first necessary to choose and define a set of alternatives In this application alternatives will be location-specific chinook culture techniques Elimination of non- eq uivalent alternatives fr om the start of the analysis simplifies subsequent evaluations but is not absolutely necessary At present only dummy alternatives (ie Hatchshyery A Hatchery B etc) have been entered into the model in order to allow for unbiased development of evaluation cri t eria the next step in the process

Criteria are the qualities or attributes used to evaluate the alternatives in a decision Each criterion has a mode ie Numeric (N) Graphic (G) or Verbal (V) and a weight The weight defines the relative importance of a single criterion to the overall outcome of the decision It is possible to define as many criteria as the decision requires or to add delete or change a criterion as necessary Lightyear readily permits the editing and modification of the decisions structure If significant changes are made to the set of criteria any values assigned in the following evaluation step will be eliminated

The final step in the basic decision process is evaluating the alternatives An individual criterion is selected and each al te rnative is evaluated in turn for that citerion At the end of the evaluation process it is also possible to define simple logical rules to wei ght or eliminate alternatives on the basis of their evaluations for specific criteria

Once the basic steps in the decision process have been completed Lightyear then displays the ranked outcome of the decision process and identifies the preferred alternative It then further permits detailed examination of the performance of an individual alternative on the basis of each criterion

Page 14: Appendix M1: Historic ADF&G Baranof Project … u o p ly vol. fw suooly deep fw supoly shallow fw gravity fw freshwater saltwater • 121 srnolts isolation land-based .,I • ' supo

Light ear SLJBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION shallow fw supp

+--------------------+------------+ RLTEF~NAT IVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 15

Alternative B 3

Alternative C 8

+--------------------+------------+

VERSIONl s t Draft

+-----------------------------+ Vf~LUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 15 I LEAST DESIR~BLE 0 +-----------------------------+

~ bull _ ~11~middot ~

Light vear SUBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION qravity

+-------------------+------------ - - - - -+ ALTERIIAT IVES WOfm~

~ ------ ----------+----------- --- - --+ ~lternative A Yes

A 1 t err1a t i ve B IJ

Alterr1ative C Ma yb e

+-------------------+-----------------+

VERSIONlst Draft fw s up o

+---- ---------------+ YesNo

+-------------------+ Yes IO Ma yb e ~ 11 0

I I I

- middot1

+-------------------+

bull- -~ii bull middotbull ~middoty i~middot shy

Li ght year SUBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION freshwater 1

+--------------------+----------- - + ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 15 middot

Alternative B 30

Alternative C 20

+---------------- ----+------------+

VERSI ONls t Draft

+--------- - -------------------+ VRLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +------------------ -----------+

middot i shy

imiddot -shy 1middott middot ~-- -~-~~-gt _~~-- middot ~~_~~middot_f~ -~

__ightye ar SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONi s t Draft

CRITERION saltwater 1

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERIJAT IVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 20

Al terr1at i ve B 20

Alternative C 3

+--------------------+------------+

middot~ ~~ -middot lt~ --~

i~~i ttJ~l ~~ s

+----------------- ------------+ V(JLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

-l bull

- - ----~ ~(yen__~_ ~ middot- ~- bull bull y-~ -- ~-

_ight y~ar SLJB J ECTProduct Design

CRITERION 0 smolts

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alterrat ive A 4

Alternative B

Alternative C 20

I I

I

I

+--------------------+------------+

VERSIONl s t Draft

+-----------------------------+ ViLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

( t middot middot - middot

---~~-f~~~-~ rmiddotmiddot ~-L~~- -Ji -~middot~ middot- - -

i ght yemiddota r SUBJ ECT P r oduc t Design VERSIO Nl st Dra ft

CRITERION i s olation fr y

+--------------- -----+- - ------- - - -+ ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+------- ------------- +--- ---------+ Alternative A 3

A 1 t err-a t i ve B 3

Alternative C 3

+--------------------+--------- - - -+

~ - - r ~ -~ 1 bull - ~

~~gtt ~-~ rf_~-~~ ~t~ J

+------- ----------------------+ VALUE RANGE

+- ----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 10 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

middot

_ _

i~f~~~ middot (f middot~ -~- middot middotmiddot

ightyea r SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONlst Draft

CRITERION land-based site

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERNATIVES tjALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative R

Alternative B 15

-tA1t erYa t i ve C CJ

+--------------------+------------+

- t middot middotmiddot 1

middotmiddot~~ ~- _~~ ti~ J

+-----------------------------+ VRLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 25 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

_ _middot _ middot~~ - ~ ~ -bull

middot~ ~ - middot - middot middot middot_ __ J~ j---- middot middot ~ ~~ ti~- ~~ Jmiddot~~ )r~f _

CRITERION floatin g site

+-------------------- +- ------- ----+ AL TEFmRTIVES VALUE

+-------- ------------+------------+ Alternative A 10

IZI

A 1 t erY-a ti ve C 20

+--------------------+------------+

SUBJECTProduct De s iqn VERSI ONl st Draft

+----------------------------- + VALUE RAIJGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 25 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

Li ght y ear SUBJECTProduct Desig VERSI0N 1st Draf t

RU LE JIRJYI E lltULE +----------------- - +---- - ----------------- - - - - - - -------------- ---- ----- ------ shy H20 CHEMI STR Y I wa te r chemistrv MUST BE AT LEAS T treatable

CELIMINA ~ ION RUL E) y - -middot ~ t~ ~

middota - -~C-~~ _ t 1PRTHDLOGY ende ri1i c f i s h ltLJS~r EltI=- H -r L_EAS T l rbullw-leve l p a t hmiddot middotmiddotmiddotmiddot - t ~middot middot ~middot s

ltELI MI NATI ON RUL E)

+------------------+----------------------- - - ----------------- ----------------middot

) middot - (

Production Design Criteria - 250 Total Points

Major Assumption

In order to be evaluated a project must have a minimum level of

production of 10000 adults using the worst case assumptions of

marine survival

A Freshwater Source 100 pt Total

1 Quality 20 pt

a Water Chemistry

i Acceptable ~ t

ii Treatable 5 pt

iii Not treatable reject zero total

b Endemic Fish populations

i None 10 pt

ii Present but

pathogen free 0 t

iii Present with low level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with unknown status) 1 pt

iv Present with high level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with viral pathogen) reject zero total

2 Quantity 40 pt

a Adequate for proposal based

on 20 yr minimum flow

b Total volume available

scaling of all prorosals 6Jt

3 Temperature 30 pt

a Deep intake only uniform

l()y7 water temperature 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

b Shallow intake only ambient

surface water temperatures 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

c Deep and shallow intakes

variable water temperatures

available depending on

degree of temperature

ccntrol (Note on rrodel

this criteria is rated by

sumning a and b )

4 Gravity Delivery ~ t

a Yes 10 pt

b No 0 pt

B Strateqies (Culture Flexibility ) 100 pt Total

In this rating we are not comparing the relative merits of the

different strategies but are ranking according to the capability

of a project to utilize a variety of strategies In order to

qualify for a rating in one of the strategies a project must

release a miniJnum of 500000 fish in that strategy In Eating the

possible points in each strategy a number of roints are awarded

middot~~ - ~ i ~t~ ~-~

middotml -middot1t~--~

for minimum production l eJel aoc iticna l points up to the maximum

are then awarded based on level of production relative to other

projects using that strategy

Mir1irrrum Level Maximum Level

1 Yearling snolts

a Freshwater 20 30

b Seawater netpens 20 30

2 Age-zero snolts 20 30

3 Fry-stocking with isolation

incubation and rearing capability 5 10

C Physical Site Characteristics 50 pt Total

1 Potential for land-based siting Maximum 25 pts

a Flat land available

b Access

c Earthquake and avalanche hazard

d Soil characteristics

e Water supply characteristics

2 Potential for f loat complex in estuary Maximum 25 pt

a Stonn protection

b Anchor points

c Tidal fl0v

d Natural Freshwater influence

e Water supply characteristics

f Surface ar ea available

1

I - Ri5k Fact or An3lvs isshyl Ch1r0c ~ E~h ance~e~t Alternatives

tmiddotmiddotmiddot bull r-l1~ - ~ middot middotbull111 w bullmiddot middot vl rv -1lbulll-Imiddot

Tot3l Pr01ect C~ sc lJl per unit ~arv~s t

- rJal Sml t fr dex hrvEst r)bbilitv Index Harvest Prooabilitv A1rt ize Usable Pro1ect Arnual Oaeratiro Anrual C t Alternative PrJd Et in Best Case (best case) Worst Case (worst case ) Ca~ital Cost Life (v ear sl Cst fotal Best Case Wrst Case iii- ------------~~---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------middot-- --------------shy e0-check 5 0il0 iJJ 0006 025 0 ~lil 075 $8388320 2a $100000 e0 f lB3 Ba3 20 $6 13 $7355 $53U

05-chec k 2 52LJ 10~0 0015 0 70 001 1 030 $83 863 20 2J $20J0il 00 $283383 2~ t i SB ilO 3E Ht (with lens)

05-check 2 5~10 0e0 0018 010 0008 090 $5445050 20 $2e0 000 00 $25445copySJ $5 51 $1 3~3 fll lii (

(wo lensi

10-chec~ 1 2s0 e00 0021 080 0013 020 $83 Be3 20 20 $150000 ~I~ $233883211 ltl 3l $ i l L~ ilr ]t

Enclosure 6

J LIGHTYEAR

Lightyear i s a software produ ct th at produ ce s a r anking nr pr i oritization of a set of alternatives based on a numerical sco ring system

To use the product it is first necessary to choose and define a set of alternatives In this application alternatives will be location-specific chinook culture techniques Elimination of non- eq uivalent alternatives fr om the start of the analysis simplifies subsequent evaluations but is not absolutely necessary At present only dummy alternatives (ie Hatchshyery A Hatchery B etc) have been entered into the model in order to allow for unbiased development of evaluation cri t eria the next step in the process

Criteria are the qualities or attributes used to evaluate the alternatives in a decision Each criterion has a mode ie Numeric (N) Graphic (G) or Verbal (V) and a weight The weight defines the relative importance of a single criterion to the overall outcome of the decision It is possible to define as many criteria as the decision requires or to add delete or change a criterion as necessary Lightyear readily permits the editing and modification of the decisions structure If significant changes are made to the set of criteria any values assigned in the following evaluation step will be eliminated

The final step in the basic decision process is evaluating the alternatives An individual criterion is selected and each al te rnative is evaluated in turn for that citerion At the end of the evaluation process it is also possible to define simple logical rules to wei ght or eliminate alternatives on the basis of their evaluations for specific criteria

Once the basic steps in the decision process have been completed Lightyear then displays the ranked outcome of the decision process and identifies the preferred alternative It then further permits detailed examination of the performance of an individual alternative on the basis of each criterion

Page 15: Appendix M1: Historic ADF&G Baranof Project … u o p ly vol. fw suooly deep fw supoly shallow fw gravity fw freshwater saltwater • 121 srnolts isolation land-based .,I • ' supo

Light vear SUBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION qravity

+-------------------+------------ - - - - -+ ALTERIIAT IVES WOfm~

~ ------ ----------+----------- --- - --+ ~lternative A Yes

A 1 t err1a t i ve B IJ

Alterr1ative C Ma yb e

+-------------------+-----------------+

VERSIONlst Draft fw s up o

+---- ---------------+ YesNo

+-------------------+ Yes IO Ma yb e ~ 11 0

I I I

- middot1

+-------------------+

bull- -~ii bull middotbull ~middoty i~middot shy

Li ght year SUBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION freshwater 1

+--------------------+----------- - + ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 15 middot

Alternative B 30

Alternative C 20

+---------------- ----+------------+

VERSI ONls t Draft

+--------- - -------------------+ VRLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +------------------ -----------+

middot i shy

imiddot -shy 1middott middot ~-- -~-~~-gt _~~-- middot ~~_~~middot_f~ -~

__ightye ar SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONi s t Draft

CRITERION saltwater 1

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERIJAT IVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 20

Al terr1at i ve B 20

Alternative C 3

+--------------------+------------+

middot~ ~~ -middot lt~ --~

i~~i ttJ~l ~~ s

+----------------- ------------+ V(JLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

-l bull

- - ----~ ~(yen__~_ ~ middot- ~- bull bull y-~ -- ~-

_ight y~ar SLJB J ECTProduct Design

CRITERION 0 smolts

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alterrat ive A 4

Alternative B

Alternative C 20

I I

I

I

+--------------------+------------+

VERSIONl s t Draft

+-----------------------------+ ViLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

( t middot middot - middot

---~~-f~~~-~ rmiddotmiddot ~-L~~- -Ji -~middot~ middot- - -

i ght yemiddota r SUBJ ECT P r oduc t Design VERSIO Nl st Dra ft

CRITERION i s olation fr y

+--------------- -----+- - ------- - - -+ ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+------- ------------- +--- ---------+ Alternative A 3

A 1 t err-a t i ve B 3

Alternative C 3

+--------------------+--------- - - -+

~ - - r ~ -~ 1 bull - ~

~~gtt ~-~ rf_~-~~ ~t~ J

+------- ----------------------+ VALUE RANGE

+- ----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 10 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

middot

_ _

i~f~~~ middot (f middot~ -~- middot middotmiddot

ightyea r SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONlst Draft

CRITERION land-based site

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERNATIVES tjALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative R

Alternative B 15

-tA1t erYa t i ve C CJ

+--------------------+------------+

- t middot middotmiddot 1

middotmiddot~~ ~- _~~ ti~ J

+-----------------------------+ VRLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 25 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

_ _middot _ middot~~ - ~ ~ -bull

middot~ ~ - middot - middot middot middot_ __ J~ j---- middot middot ~ ~~ ti~- ~~ Jmiddot~~ )r~f _

CRITERION floatin g site

+-------------------- +- ------- ----+ AL TEFmRTIVES VALUE

+-------- ------------+------------+ Alternative A 10

IZI

A 1 t erY-a ti ve C 20

+--------------------+------------+

SUBJECTProduct De s iqn VERSI ONl st Draft

+----------------------------- + VALUE RAIJGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 25 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

Li ght y ear SUBJECTProduct Desig VERSI0N 1st Draf t

RU LE JIRJYI E lltULE +----------------- - +---- - ----------------- - - - - - - -------------- ---- ----- ------ shy H20 CHEMI STR Y I wa te r chemistrv MUST BE AT LEAS T treatable

CELIMINA ~ ION RUL E) y - -middot ~ t~ ~

middota - -~C-~~ _ t 1PRTHDLOGY ende ri1i c f i s h ltLJS~r EltI=- H -r L_EAS T l rbullw-leve l p a t hmiddot middotmiddotmiddotmiddot - t ~middot middot ~middot s

ltELI MI NATI ON RUL E)

+------------------+----------------------- - - ----------------- ----------------middot

) middot - (

Production Design Criteria - 250 Total Points

Major Assumption

In order to be evaluated a project must have a minimum level of

production of 10000 adults using the worst case assumptions of

marine survival

A Freshwater Source 100 pt Total

1 Quality 20 pt

a Water Chemistry

i Acceptable ~ t

ii Treatable 5 pt

iii Not treatable reject zero total

b Endemic Fish populations

i None 10 pt

ii Present but

pathogen free 0 t

iii Present with low level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with unknown status) 1 pt

iv Present with high level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with viral pathogen) reject zero total

2 Quantity 40 pt

a Adequate for proposal based

on 20 yr minimum flow

b Total volume available

scaling of all prorosals 6Jt

3 Temperature 30 pt

a Deep intake only uniform

l()y7 water temperature 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

b Shallow intake only ambient

surface water temperatures 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

c Deep and shallow intakes

variable water temperatures

available depending on

degree of temperature

ccntrol (Note on rrodel

this criteria is rated by

sumning a and b )

4 Gravity Delivery ~ t

a Yes 10 pt

b No 0 pt

B Strateqies (Culture Flexibility ) 100 pt Total

In this rating we are not comparing the relative merits of the

different strategies but are ranking according to the capability

of a project to utilize a variety of strategies In order to

qualify for a rating in one of the strategies a project must

release a miniJnum of 500000 fish in that strategy In Eating the

possible points in each strategy a number of roints are awarded

middot~~ - ~ i ~t~ ~-~

middotml -middot1t~--~

for minimum production l eJel aoc iticna l points up to the maximum

are then awarded based on level of production relative to other

projects using that strategy

Mir1irrrum Level Maximum Level

1 Yearling snolts

a Freshwater 20 30

b Seawater netpens 20 30

2 Age-zero snolts 20 30

3 Fry-stocking with isolation

incubation and rearing capability 5 10

C Physical Site Characteristics 50 pt Total

1 Potential for land-based siting Maximum 25 pts

a Flat land available

b Access

c Earthquake and avalanche hazard

d Soil characteristics

e Water supply characteristics

2 Potential for f loat complex in estuary Maximum 25 pt

a Stonn protection

b Anchor points

c Tidal fl0v

d Natural Freshwater influence

e Water supply characteristics

f Surface ar ea available

1

I - Ri5k Fact or An3lvs isshyl Ch1r0c ~ E~h ance~e~t Alternatives

tmiddotmiddotmiddot bull r-l1~ - ~ middot middotbull111 w bullmiddot middot vl rv -1lbulll-Imiddot

Tot3l Pr01ect C~ sc lJl per unit ~arv~s t

- rJal Sml t fr dex hrvEst r)bbilitv Index Harvest Prooabilitv A1rt ize Usable Pro1ect Arnual Oaeratiro Anrual C t Alternative PrJd Et in Best Case (best case) Worst Case (worst case ) Ca~ital Cost Life (v ear sl Cst fotal Best Case Wrst Case iii- ------------~~---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------middot-- --------------shy e0-check 5 0il0 iJJ 0006 025 0 ~lil 075 $8388320 2a $100000 e0 f lB3 Ba3 20 $6 13 $7355 $53U

05-chec k 2 52LJ 10~0 0015 0 70 001 1 030 $83 863 20 2J $20J0il 00 $283383 2~ t i SB ilO 3E Ht (with lens)

05-check 2 5~10 0e0 0018 010 0008 090 $5445050 20 $2e0 000 00 $25445copySJ $5 51 $1 3~3 fll lii (

(wo lensi

10-chec~ 1 2s0 e00 0021 080 0013 020 $83 Be3 20 20 $150000 ~I~ $233883211 ltl 3l $ i l L~ ilr ]t

Enclosure 6

J LIGHTYEAR

Lightyear i s a software produ ct th at produ ce s a r anking nr pr i oritization of a set of alternatives based on a numerical sco ring system

To use the product it is first necessary to choose and define a set of alternatives In this application alternatives will be location-specific chinook culture techniques Elimination of non- eq uivalent alternatives fr om the start of the analysis simplifies subsequent evaluations but is not absolutely necessary At present only dummy alternatives (ie Hatchshyery A Hatchery B etc) have been entered into the model in order to allow for unbiased development of evaluation cri t eria the next step in the process

Criteria are the qualities or attributes used to evaluate the alternatives in a decision Each criterion has a mode ie Numeric (N) Graphic (G) or Verbal (V) and a weight The weight defines the relative importance of a single criterion to the overall outcome of the decision It is possible to define as many criteria as the decision requires or to add delete or change a criterion as necessary Lightyear readily permits the editing and modification of the decisions structure If significant changes are made to the set of criteria any values assigned in the following evaluation step will be eliminated

The final step in the basic decision process is evaluating the alternatives An individual criterion is selected and each al te rnative is evaluated in turn for that citerion At the end of the evaluation process it is also possible to define simple logical rules to wei ght or eliminate alternatives on the basis of their evaluations for specific criteria

Once the basic steps in the decision process have been completed Lightyear then displays the ranked outcome of the decision process and identifies the preferred alternative It then further permits detailed examination of the performance of an individual alternative on the basis of each criterion

Page 16: Appendix M1: Historic ADF&G Baranof Project … u o p ly vol. fw suooly deep fw supoly shallow fw gravity fw freshwater saltwater • 121 srnolts isolation land-based .,I • ' supo

Li ght year SUBJECTProduct Design

CRITERION freshwater 1

+--------------------+----------- - + ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 15 middot

Alternative B 30

Alternative C 20

+---------------- ----+------------+

VERSI ONls t Draft

+--------- - -------------------+ VRLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +------------------ -----------+

middot i shy

imiddot -shy 1middott middot ~-- -~-~~-gt _~~-- middot ~~_~~middot_f~ -~

__ightye ar SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONi s t Draft

CRITERION saltwater 1

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERIJAT IVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 20

Al terr1at i ve B 20

Alternative C 3

+--------------------+------------+

middot~ ~~ -middot lt~ --~

i~~i ttJ~l ~~ s

+----------------- ------------+ V(JLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

-l bull

- - ----~ ~(yen__~_ ~ middot- ~- bull bull y-~ -- ~-

_ight y~ar SLJB J ECTProduct Design

CRITERION 0 smolts

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alterrat ive A 4

Alternative B

Alternative C 20

I I

I

I

+--------------------+------------+

VERSIONl s t Draft

+-----------------------------+ ViLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

( t middot middot - middot

---~~-f~~~-~ rmiddotmiddot ~-L~~- -Ji -~middot~ middot- - -

i ght yemiddota r SUBJ ECT P r oduc t Design VERSIO Nl st Dra ft

CRITERION i s olation fr y

+--------------- -----+- - ------- - - -+ ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+------- ------------- +--- ---------+ Alternative A 3

A 1 t err-a t i ve B 3

Alternative C 3

+--------------------+--------- - - -+

~ - - r ~ -~ 1 bull - ~

~~gtt ~-~ rf_~-~~ ~t~ J

+------- ----------------------+ VALUE RANGE

+- ----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 10 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

middot

_ _

i~f~~~ middot (f middot~ -~- middot middotmiddot

ightyea r SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONlst Draft

CRITERION land-based site

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERNATIVES tjALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative R

Alternative B 15

-tA1t erYa t i ve C CJ

+--------------------+------------+

- t middot middotmiddot 1

middotmiddot~~ ~- _~~ ti~ J

+-----------------------------+ VRLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 25 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

_ _middot _ middot~~ - ~ ~ -bull

middot~ ~ - middot - middot middot middot_ __ J~ j---- middot middot ~ ~~ ti~- ~~ Jmiddot~~ )r~f _

CRITERION floatin g site

+-------------------- +- ------- ----+ AL TEFmRTIVES VALUE

+-------- ------------+------------+ Alternative A 10

IZI

A 1 t erY-a ti ve C 20

+--------------------+------------+

SUBJECTProduct De s iqn VERSI ONl st Draft

+----------------------------- + VALUE RAIJGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 25 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

Li ght y ear SUBJECTProduct Desig VERSI0N 1st Draf t

RU LE JIRJYI E lltULE +----------------- - +---- - ----------------- - - - - - - -------------- ---- ----- ------ shy H20 CHEMI STR Y I wa te r chemistrv MUST BE AT LEAS T treatable

CELIMINA ~ ION RUL E) y - -middot ~ t~ ~

middota - -~C-~~ _ t 1PRTHDLOGY ende ri1i c f i s h ltLJS~r EltI=- H -r L_EAS T l rbullw-leve l p a t hmiddot middotmiddotmiddotmiddot - t ~middot middot ~middot s

ltELI MI NATI ON RUL E)

+------------------+----------------------- - - ----------------- ----------------middot

) middot - (

Production Design Criteria - 250 Total Points

Major Assumption

In order to be evaluated a project must have a minimum level of

production of 10000 adults using the worst case assumptions of

marine survival

A Freshwater Source 100 pt Total

1 Quality 20 pt

a Water Chemistry

i Acceptable ~ t

ii Treatable 5 pt

iii Not treatable reject zero total

b Endemic Fish populations

i None 10 pt

ii Present but

pathogen free 0 t

iii Present with low level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with unknown status) 1 pt

iv Present with high level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with viral pathogen) reject zero total

2 Quantity 40 pt

a Adequate for proposal based

on 20 yr minimum flow

b Total volume available

scaling of all prorosals 6Jt

3 Temperature 30 pt

a Deep intake only uniform

l()y7 water temperature 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

b Shallow intake only ambient

surface water temperatures 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

c Deep and shallow intakes

variable water temperatures

available depending on

degree of temperature

ccntrol (Note on rrodel

this criteria is rated by

sumning a and b )

4 Gravity Delivery ~ t

a Yes 10 pt

b No 0 pt

B Strateqies (Culture Flexibility ) 100 pt Total

In this rating we are not comparing the relative merits of the

different strategies but are ranking according to the capability

of a project to utilize a variety of strategies In order to

qualify for a rating in one of the strategies a project must

release a miniJnum of 500000 fish in that strategy In Eating the

possible points in each strategy a number of roints are awarded

middot~~ - ~ i ~t~ ~-~

middotml -middot1t~--~

for minimum production l eJel aoc iticna l points up to the maximum

are then awarded based on level of production relative to other

projects using that strategy

Mir1irrrum Level Maximum Level

1 Yearling snolts

a Freshwater 20 30

b Seawater netpens 20 30

2 Age-zero snolts 20 30

3 Fry-stocking with isolation

incubation and rearing capability 5 10

C Physical Site Characteristics 50 pt Total

1 Potential for land-based siting Maximum 25 pts

a Flat land available

b Access

c Earthquake and avalanche hazard

d Soil characteristics

e Water supply characteristics

2 Potential for f loat complex in estuary Maximum 25 pt

a Stonn protection

b Anchor points

c Tidal fl0v

d Natural Freshwater influence

e Water supply characteristics

f Surface ar ea available

1

I - Ri5k Fact or An3lvs isshyl Ch1r0c ~ E~h ance~e~t Alternatives

tmiddotmiddotmiddot bull r-l1~ - ~ middot middotbull111 w bullmiddot middot vl rv -1lbulll-Imiddot

Tot3l Pr01ect C~ sc lJl per unit ~arv~s t

- rJal Sml t fr dex hrvEst r)bbilitv Index Harvest Prooabilitv A1rt ize Usable Pro1ect Arnual Oaeratiro Anrual C t Alternative PrJd Et in Best Case (best case) Worst Case (worst case ) Ca~ital Cost Life (v ear sl Cst fotal Best Case Wrst Case iii- ------------~~---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------middot-- --------------shy e0-check 5 0il0 iJJ 0006 025 0 ~lil 075 $8388320 2a $100000 e0 f lB3 Ba3 20 $6 13 $7355 $53U

05-chec k 2 52LJ 10~0 0015 0 70 001 1 030 $83 863 20 2J $20J0il 00 $283383 2~ t i SB ilO 3E Ht (with lens)

05-check 2 5~10 0e0 0018 010 0008 090 $5445050 20 $2e0 000 00 $25445copySJ $5 51 $1 3~3 fll lii (

(wo lensi

10-chec~ 1 2s0 e00 0021 080 0013 020 $83 Be3 20 20 $150000 ~I~ $233883211 ltl 3l $ i l L~ ilr ]t

Enclosure 6

J LIGHTYEAR

Lightyear i s a software produ ct th at produ ce s a r anking nr pr i oritization of a set of alternatives based on a numerical sco ring system

To use the product it is first necessary to choose and define a set of alternatives In this application alternatives will be location-specific chinook culture techniques Elimination of non- eq uivalent alternatives fr om the start of the analysis simplifies subsequent evaluations but is not absolutely necessary At present only dummy alternatives (ie Hatchshyery A Hatchery B etc) have been entered into the model in order to allow for unbiased development of evaluation cri t eria the next step in the process

Criteria are the qualities or attributes used to evaluate the alternatives in a decision Each criterion has a mode ie Numeric (N) Graphic (G) or Verbal (V) and a weight The weight defines the relative importance of a single criterion to the overall outcome of the decision It is possible to define as many criteria as the decision requires or to add delete or change a criterion as necessary Lightyear readily permits the editing and modification of the decisions structure If significant changes are made to the set of criteria any values assigned in the following evaluation step will be eliminated

The final step in the basic decision process is evaluating the alternatives An individual criterion is selected and each al te rnative is evaluated in turn for that citerion At the end of the evaluation process it is also possible to define simple logical rules to wei ght or eliminate alternatives on the basis of their evaluations for specific criteria

Once the basic steps in the decision process have been completed Lightyear then displays the ranked outcome of the decision process and identifies the preferred alternative It then further permits detailed examination of the performance of an individual alternative on the basis of each criterion

Page 17: Appendix M1: Historic ADF&G Baranof Project … u o p ly vol. fw suooly deep fw supoly shallow fw gravity fw freshwater saltwater • 121 srnolts isolation land-based .,I • ' supo

__ightye ar SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONi s t Draft

CRITERION saltwater 1

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERIJAT IVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative A 20

Al terr1at i ve B 20

Alternative C 3

+--------------------+------------+

middot~ ~~ -middot lt~ --~

i~~i ttJ~l ~~ s

+----------------- ------------+ V(JLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

-l bull

- - ----~ ~(yen__~_ ~ middot- ~- bull bull y-~ -- ~-

_ight y~ar SLJB J ECTProduct Design

CRITERION 0 smolts

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alterrat ive A 4

Alternative B

Alternative C 20

I I

I

I

+--------------------+------------+

VERSIONl s t Draft

+-----------------------------+ ViLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

( t middot middot - middot

---~~-f~~~-~ rmiddotmiddot ~-L~~- -Ji -~middot~ middot- - -

i ght yemiddota r SUBJ ECT P r oduc t Design VERSIO Nl st Dra ft

CRITERION i s olation fr y

+--------------- -----+- - ------- - - -+ ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+------- ------------- +--- ---------+ Alternative A 3

A 1 t err-a t i ve B 3

Alternative C 3

+--------------------+--------- - - -+

~ - - r ~ -~ 1 bull - ~

~~gtt ~-~ rf_~-~~ ~t~ J

+------- ----------------------+ VALUE RANGE

+- ----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 10 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

middot

_ _

i~f~~~ middot (f middot~ -~- middot middotmiddot

ightyea r SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONlst Draft

CRITERION land-based site

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERNATIVES tjALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative R

Alternative B 15

-tA1t erYa t i ve C CJ

+--------------------+------------+

- t middot middotmiddot 1

middotmiddot~~ ~- _~~ ti~ J

+-----------------------------+ VRLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 25 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

_ _middot _ middot~~ - ~ ~ -bull

middot~ ~ - middot - middot middot middot_ __ J~ j---- middot middot ~ ~~ ti~- ~~ Jmiddot~~ )r~f _

CRITERION floatin g site

+-------------------- +- ------- ----+ AL TEFmRTIVES VALUE

+-------- ------------+------------+ Alternative A 10

IZI

A 1 t erY-a ti ve C 20

+--------------------+------------+

SUBJECTProduct De s iqn VERSI ONl st Draft

+----------------------------- + VALUE RAIJGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 25 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

Li ght y ear SUBJECTProduct Desig VERSI0N 1st Draf t

RU LE JIRJYI E lltULE +----------------- - +---- - ----------------- - - - - - - -------------- ---- ----- ------ shy H20 CHEMI STR Y I wa te r chemistrv MUST BE AT LEAS T treatable

CELIMINA ~ ION RUL E) y - -middot ~ t~ ~

middota - -~C-~~ _ t 1PRTHDLOGY ende ri1i c f i s h ltLJS~r EltI=- H -r L_EAS T l rbullw-leve l p a t hmiddot middotmiddotmiddotmiddot - t ~middot middot ~middot s

ltELI MI NATI ON RUL E)

+------------------+----------------------- - - ----------------- ----------------middot

) middot - (

Production Design Criteria - 250 Total Points

Major Assumption

In order to be evaluated a project must have a minimum level of

production of 10000 adults using the worst case assumptions of

marine survival

A Freshwater Source 100 pt Total

1 Quality 20 pt

a Water Chemistry

i Acceptable ~ t

ii Treatable 5 pt

iii Not treatable reject zero total

b Endemic Fish populations

i None 10 pt

ii Present but

pathogen free 0 t

iii Present with low level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with unknown status) 1 pt

iv Present with high level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with viral pathogen) reject zero total

2 Quantity 40 pt

a Adequate for proposal based

on 20 yr minimum flow

b Total volume available

scaling of all prorosals 6Jt

3 Temperature 30 pt

a Deep intake only uniform

l()y7 water temperature 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

b Shallow intake only ambient

surface water temperatures 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

c Deep and shallow intakes

variable water temperatures

available depending on

degree of temperature

ccntrol (Note on rrodel

this criteria is rated by

sumning a and b )

4 Gravity Delivery ~ t

a Yes 10 pt

b No 0 pt

B Strateqies (Culture Flexibility ) 100 pt Total

In this rating we are not comparing the relative merits of the

different strategies but are ranking according to the capability

of a project to utilize a variety of strategies In order to

qualify for a rating in one of the strategies a project must

release a miniJnum of 500000 fish in that strategy In Eating the

possible points in each strategy a number of roints are awarded

middot~~ - ~ i ~t~ ~-~

middotml -middot1t~--~

for minimum production l eJel aoc iticna l points up to the maximum

are then awarded based on level of production relative to other

projects using that strategy

Mir1irrrum Level Maximum Level

1 Yearling snolts

a Freshwater 20 30

b Seawater netpens 20 30

2 Age-zero snolts 20 30

3 Fry-stocking with isolation

incubation and rearing capability 5 10

C Physical Site Characteristics 50 pt Total

1 Potential for land-based siting Maximum 25 pts

a Flat land available

b Access

c Earthquake and avalanche hazard

d Soil characteristics

e Water supply characteristics

2 Potential for f loat complex in estuary Maximum 25 pt

a Stonn protection

b Anchor points

c Tidal fl0v

d Natural Freshwater influence

e Water supply characteristics

f Surface ar ea available

1

I - Ri5k Fact or An3lvs isshyl Ch1r0c ~ E~h ance~e~t Alternatives

tmiddotmiddotmiddot bull r-l1~ - ~ middot middotbull111 w bullmiddot middot vl rv -1lbulll-Imiddot

Tot3l Pr01ect C~ sc lJl per unit ~arv~s t

- rJal Sml t fr dex hrvEst r)bbilitv Index Harvest Prooabilitv A1rt ize Usable Pro1ect Arnual Oaeratiro Anrual C t Alternative PrJd Et in Best Case (best case) Worst Case (worst case ) Ca~ital Cost Life (v ear sl Cst fotal Best Case Wrst Case iii- ------------~~---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------middot-- --------------shy e0-check 5 0il0 iJJ 0006 025 0 ~lil 075 $8388320 2a $100000 e0 f lB3 Ba3 20 $6 13 $7355 $53U

05-chec k 2 52LJ 10~0 0015 0 70 001 1 030 $83 863 20 2J $20J0il 00 $283383 2~ t i SB ilO 3E Ht (with lens)

05-check 2 5~10 0e0 0018 010 0008 090 $5445050 20 $2e0 000 00 $25445copySJ $5 51 $1 3~3 fll lii (

(wo lensi

10-chec~ 1 2s0 e00 0021 080 0013 020 $83 Be3 20 20 $150000 ~I~ $233883211 ltl 3l $ i l L~ ilr ]t

Enclosure 6

J LIGHTYEAR

Lightyear i s a software produ ct th at produ ce s a r anking nr pr i oritization of a set of alternatives based on a numerical sco ring system

To use the product it is first necessary to choose and define a set of alternatives In this application alternatives will be location-specific chinook culture techniques Elimination of non- eq uivalent alternatives fr om the start of the analysis simplifies subsequent evaluations but is not absolutely necessary At present only dummy alternatives (ie Hatchshyery A Hatchery B etc) have been entered into the model in order to allow for unbiased development of evaluation cri t eria the next step in the process

Criteria are the qualities or attributes used to evaluate the alternatives in a decision Each criterion has a mode ie Numeric (N) Graphic (G) or Verbal (V) and a weight The weight defines the relative importance of a single criterion to the overall outcome of the decision It is possible to define as many criteria as the decision requires or to add delete or change a criterion as necessary Lightyear readily permits the editing and modification of the decisions structure If significant changes are made to the set of criteria any values assigned in the following evaluation step will be eliminated

The final step in the basic decision process is evaluating the alternatives An individual criterion is selected and each al te rnative is evaluated in turn for that citerion At the end of the evaluation process it is also possible to define simple logical rules to wei ght or eliminate alternatives on the basis of their evaluations for specific criteria

Once the basic steps in the decision process have been completed Lightyear then displays the ranked outcome of the decision process and identifies the preferred alternative It then further permits detailed examination of the performance of an individual alternative on the basis of each criterion

Page 18: Appendix M1: Historic ADF&G Baranof Project … u o p ly vol. fw suooly deep fw supoly shallow fw gravity fw freshwater saltwater • 121 srnolts isolation land-based .,I • ' supo

_ight y~ar SLJB J ECTProduct Design

CRITERION 0 smolts

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alterrat ive A 4

Alternative B

Alternative C 20

I I

I

I

+--------------------+------------+

VERSIONl s t Draft

+-----------------------------+ ViLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 30 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

( t middot middot - middot

---~~-f~~~-~ rmiddotmiddot ~-L~~- -Ji -~middot~ middot- - -

i ght yemiddota r SUBJ ECT P r oduc t Design VERSIO Nl st Dra ft

CRITERION i s olation fr y

+--------------- -----+- - ------- - - -+ ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+------- ------------- +--- ---------+ Alternative A 3

A 1 t err-a t i ve B 3

Alternative C 3

+--------------------+--------- - - -+

~ - - r ~ -~ 1 bull - ~

~~gtt ~-~ rf_~-~~ ~t~ J

+------- ----------------------+ VALUE RANGE

+- ----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 10 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

middot

_ _

i~f~~~ middot (f middot~ -~- middot middotmiddot

ightyea r SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONlst Draft

CRITERION land-based site

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERNATIVES tjALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative R

Alternative B 15

-tA1t erYa t i ve C CJ

+--------------------+------------+

- t middot middotmiddot 1

middotmiddot~~ ~- _~~ ti~ J

+-----------------------------+ VRLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 25 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

_ _middot _ middot~~ - ~ ~ -bull

middot~ ~ - middot - middot middot middot_ __ J~ j---- middot middot ~ ~~ ti~- ~~ Jmiddot~~ )r~f _

CRITERION floatin g site

+-------------------- +- ------- ----+ AL TEFmRTIVES VALUE

+-------- ------------+------------+ Alternative A 10

IZI

A 1 t erY-a ti ve C 20

+--------------------+------------+

SUBJECTProduct De s iqn VERSI ONl st Draft

+----------------------------- + VALUE RAIJGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 25 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

Li ght y ear SUBJECTProduct Desig VERSI0N 1st Draf t

RU LE JIRJYI E lltULE +----------------- - +---- - ----------------- - - - - - - -------------- ---- ----- ------ shy H20 CHEMI STR Y I wa te r chemistrv MUST BE AT LEAS T treatable

CELIMINA ~ ION RUL E) y - -middot ~ t~ ~

middota - -~C-~~ _ t 1PRTHDLOGY ende ri1i c f i s h ltLJS~r EltI=- H -r L_EAS T l rbullw-leve l p a t hmiddot middotmiddotmiddotmiddot - t ~middot middot ~middot s

ltELI MI NATI ON RUL E)

+------------------+----------------------- - - ----------------- ----------------middot

) middot - (

Production Design Criteria - 250 Total Points

Major Assumption

In order to be evaluated a project must have a minimum level of

production of 10000 adults using the worst case assumptions of

marine survival

A Freshwater Source 100 pt Total

1 Quality 20 pt

a Water Chemistry

i Acceptable ~ t

ii Treatable 5 pt

iii Not treatable reject zero total

b Endemic Fish populations

i None 10 pt

ii Present but

pathogen free 0 t

iii Present with low level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with unknown status) 1 pt

iv Present with high level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with viral pathogen) reject zero total

2 Quantity 40 pt

a Adequate for proposal based

on 20 yr minimum flow

b Total volume available

scaling of all prorosals 6Jt

3 Temperature 30 pt

a Deep intake only uniform

l()y7 water temperature 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

b Shallow intake only ambient

surface water temperatures 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

c Deep and shallow intakes

variable water temperatures

available depending on

degree of temperature

ccntrol (Note on rrodel

this criteria is rated by

sumning a and b )

4 Gravity Delivery ~ t

a Yes 10 pt

b No 0 pt

B Strateqies (Culture Flexibility ) 100 pt Total

In this rating we are not comparing the relative merits of the

different strategies but are ranking according to the capability

of a project to utilize a variety of strategies In order to

qualify for a rating in one of the strategies a project must

release a miniJnum of 500000 fish in that strategy In Eating the

possible points in each strategy a number of roints are awarded

middot~~ - ~ i ~t~ ~-~

middotml -middot1t~--~

for minimum production l eJel aoc iticna l points up to the maximum

are then awarded based on level of production relative to other

projects using that strategy

Mir1irrrum Level Maximum Level

1 Yearling snolts

a Freshwater 20 30

b Seawater netpens 20 30

2 Age-zero snolts 20 30

3 Fry-stocking with isolation

incubation and rearing capability 5 10

C Physical Site Characteristics 50 pt Total

1 Potential for land-based siting Maximum 25 pts

a Flat land available

b Access

c Earthquake and avalanche hazard

d Soil characteristics

e Water supply characteristics

2 Potential for f loat complex in estuary Maximum 25 pt

a Stonn protection

b Anchor points

c Tidal fl0v

d Natural Freshwater influence

e Water supply characteristics

f Surface ar ea available

1

I - Ri5k Fact or An3lvs isshyl Ch1r0c ~ E~h ance~e~t Alternatives

tmiddotmiddotmiddot bull r-l1~ - ~ middot middotbull111 w bullmiddot middot vl rv -1lbulll-Imiddot

Tot3l Pr01ect C~ sc lJl per unit ~arv~s t

- rJal Sml t fr dex hrvEst r)bbilitv Index Harvest Prooabilitv A1rt ize Usable Pro1ect Arnual Oaeratiro Anrual C t Alternative PrJd Et in Best Case (best case) Worst Case (worst case ) Ca~ital Cost Life (v ear sl Cst fotal Best Case Wrst Case iii- ------------~~---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------middot-- --------------shy e0-check 5 0il0 iJJ 0006 025 0 ~lil 075 $8388320 2a $100000 e0 f lB3 Ba3 20 $6 13 $7355 $53U

05-chec k 2 52LJ 10~0 0015 0 70 001 1 030 $83 863 20 2J $20J0il 00 $283383 2~ t i SB ilO 3E Ht (with lens)

05-check 2 5~10 0e0 0018 010 0008 090 $5445050 20 $2e0 000 00 $25445copySJ $5 51 $1 3~3 fll lii (

(wo lensi

10-chec~ 1 2s0 e00 0021 080 0013 020 $83 Be3 20 20 $150000 ~I~ $233883211 ltl 3l $ i l L~ ilr ]t

Enclosure 6

J LIGHTYEAR

Lightyear i s a software produ ct th at produ ce s a r anking nr pr i oritization of a set of alternatives based on a numerical sco ring system

To use the product it is first necessary to choose and define a set of alternatives In this application alternatives will be location-specific chinook culture techniques Elimination of non- eq uivalent alternatives fr om the start of the analysis simplifies subsequent evaluations but is not absolutely necessary At present only dummy alternatives (ie Hatchshyery A Hatchery B etc) have been entered into the model in order to allow for unbiased development of evaluation cri t eria the next step in the process

Criteria are the qualities or attributes used to evaluate the alternatives in a decision Each criterion has a mode ie Numeric (N) Graphic (G) or Verbal (V) and a weight The weight defines the relative importance of a single criterion to the overall outcome of the decision It is possible to define as many criteria as the decision requires or to add delete or change a criterion as necessary Lightyear readily permits the editing and modification of the decisions structure If significant changes are made to the set of criteria any values assigned in the following evaluation step will be eliminated

The final step in the basic decision process is evaluating the alternatives An individual criterion is selected and each al te rnative is evaluated in turn for that citerion At the end of the evaluation process it is also possible to define simple logical rules to wei ght or eliminate alternatives on the basis of their evaluations for specific criteria

Once the basic steps in the decision process have been completed Lightyear then displays the ranked outcome of the decision process and identifies the preferred alternative It then further permits detailed examination of the performance of an individual alternative on the basis of each criterion

Page 19: Appendix M1: Historic ADF&G Baranof Project … u o p ly vol. fw suooly deep fw supoly shallow fw gravity fw freshwater saltwater • 121 srnolts isolation land-based .,I • ' supo

i ght yemiddota r SUBJ ECT P r oduc t Design VERSIO Nl st Dra ft

CRITERION i s olation fr y

+--------------- -----+- - ------- - - -+ ALTERNATIVES VALUE

+------- ------------- +--- ---------+ Alternative A 3

A 1 t err-a t i ve B 3

Alternative C 3

+--------------------+--------- - - -+

~ - - r ~ -~ 1 bull - ~

~~gtt ~-~ rf_~-~~ ~t~ J

+------- ----------------------+ VALUE RANGE

+- ----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 10 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

middot

_ _

i~f~~~ middot (f middot~ -~- middot middotmiddot

ightyea r SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONlst Draft

CRITERION land-based site

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERNATIVES tjALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative R

Alternative B 15

-tA1t erYa t i ve C CJ

+--------------------+------------+

- t middot middotmiddot 1

middotmiddot~~ ~- _~~ ti~ J

+-----------------------------+ VRLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 25 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

_ _middot _ middot~~ - ~ ~ -bull

middot~ ~ - middot - middot middot middot_ __ J~ j---- middot middot ~ ~~ ti~- ~~ Jmiddot~~ )r~f _

CRITERION floatin g site

+-------------------- +- ------- ----+ AL TEFmRTIVES VALUE

+-------- ------------+------------+ Alternative A 10

IZI

A 1 t erY-a ti ve C 20

+--------------------+------------+

SUBJECTProduct De s iqn VERSI ONl st Draft

+----------------------------- + VALUE RAIJGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 25 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

Li ght y ear SUBJECTProduct Desig VERSI0N 1st Draf t

RU LE JIRJYI E lltULE +----------------- - +---- - ----------------- - - - - - - -------------- ---- ----- ------ shy H20 CHEMI STR Y I wa te r chemistrv MUST BE AT LEAS T treatable

CELIMINA ~ ION RUL E) y - -middot ~ t~ ~

middota - -~C-~~ _ t 1PRTHDLOGY ende ri1i c f i s h ltLJS~r EltI=- H -r L_EAS T l rbullw-leve l p a t hmiddot middotmiddotmiddotmiddot - t ~middot middot ~middot s

ltELI MI NATI ON RUL E)

+------------------+----------------------- - - ----------------- ----------------middot

) middot - (

Production Design Criteria - 250 Total Points

Major Assumption

In order to be evaluated a project must have a minimum level of

production of 10000 adults using the worst case assumptions of

marine survival

A Freshwater Source 100 pt Total

1 Quality 20 pt

a Water Chemistry

i Acceptable ~ t

ii Treatable 5 pt

iii Not treatable reject zero total

b Endemic Fish populations

i None 10 pt

ii Present but

pathogen free 0 t

iii Present with low level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with unknown status) 1 pt

iv Present with high level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with viral pathogen) reject zero total

2 Quantity 40 pt

a Adequate for proposal based

on 20 yr minimum flow

b Total volume available

scaling of all prorosals 6Jt

3 Temperature 30 pt

a Deep intake only uniform

l()y7 water temperature 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

b Shallow intake only ambient

surface water temperatures 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

c Deep and shallow intakes

variable water temperatures

available depending on

degree of temperature

ccntrol (Note on rrodel

this criteria is rated by

sumning a and b )

4 Gravity Delivery ~ t

a Yes 10 pt

b No 0 pt

B Strateqies (Culture Flexibility ) 100 pt Total

In this rating we are not comparing the relative merits of the

different strategies but are ranking according to the capability

of a project to utilize a variety of strategies In order to

qualify for a rating in one of the strategies a project must

release a miniJnum of 500000 fish in that strategy In Eating the

possible points in each strategy a number of roints are awarded

middot~~ - ~ i ~t~ ~-~

middotml -middot1t~--~

for minimum production l eJel aoc iticna l points up to the maximum

are then awarded based on level of production relative to other

projects using that strategy

Mir1irrrum Level Maximum Level

1 Yearling snolts

a Freshwater 20 30

b Seawater netpens 20 30

2 Age-zero snolts 20 30

3 Fry-stocking with isolation

incubation and rearing capability 5 10

C Physical Site Characteristics 50 pt Total

1 Potential for land-based siting Maximum 25 pts

a Flat land available

b Access

c Earthquake and avalanche hazard

d Soil characteristics

e Water supply characteristics

2 Potential for f loat complex in estuary Maximum 25 pt

a Stonn protection

b Anchor points

c Tidal fl0v

d Natural Freshwater influence

e Water supply characteristics

f Surface ar ea available

1

I - Ri5k Fact or An3lvs isshyl Ch1r0c ~ E~h ance~e~t Alternatives

tmiddotmiddotmiddot bull r-l1~ - ~ middot middotbull111 w bullmiddot middot vl rv -1lbulll-Imiddot

Tot3l Pr01ect C~ sc lJl per unit ~arv~s t

- rJal Sml t fr dex hrvEst r)bbilitv Index Harvest Prooabilitv A1rt ize Usable Pro1ect Arnual Oaeratiro Anrual C t Alternative PrJd Et in Best Case (best case) Worst Case (worst case ) Ca~ital Cost Life (v ear sl Cst fotal Best Case Wrst Case iii- ------------~~---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------middot-- --------------shy e0-check 5 0il0 iJJ 0006 025 0 ~lil 075 $8388320 2a $100000 e0 f lB3 Ba3 20 $6 13 $7355 $53U

05-chec k 2 52LJ 10~0 0015 0 70 001 1 030 $83 863 20 2J $20J0il 00 $283383 2~ t i SB ilO 3E Ht (with lens)

05-check 2 5~10 0e0 0018 010 0008 090 $5445050 20 $2e0 000 00 $25445copySJ $5 51 $1 3~3 fll lii (

(wo lensi

10-chec~ 1 2s0 e00 0021 080 0013 020 $83 Be3 20 20 $150000 ~I~ $233883211 ltl 3l $ i l L~ ilr ]t

Enclosure 6

J LIGHTYEAR

Lightyear i s a software produ ct th at produ ce s a r anking nr pr i oritization of a set of alternatives based on a numerical sco ring system

To use the product it is first necessary to choose and define a set of alternatives In this application alternatives will be location-specific chinook culture techniques Elimination of non- eq uivalent alternatives fr om the start of the analysis simplifies subsequent evaluations but is not absolutely necessary At present only dummy alternatives (ie Hatchshyery A Hatchery B etc) have been entered into the model in order to allow for unbiased development of evaluation cri t eria the next step in the process

Criteria are the qualities or attributes used to evaluate the alternatives in a decision Each criterion has a mode ie Numeric (N) Graphic (G) or Verbal (V) and a weight The weight defines the relative importance of a single criterion to the overall outcome of the decision It is possible to define as many criteria as the decision requires or to add delete or change a criterion as necessary Lightyear readily permits the editing and modification of the decisions structure If significant changes are made to the set of criteria any values assigned in the following evaluation step will be eliminated

The final step in the basic decision process is evaluating the alternatives An individual criterion is selected and each al te rnative is evaluated in turn for that citerion At the end of the evaluation process it is also possible to define simple logical rules to wei ght or eliminate alternatives on the basis of their evaluations for specific criteria

Once the basic steps in the decision process have been completed Lightyear then displays the ranked outcome of the decision process and identifies the preferred alternative It then further permits detailed examination of the performance of an individual alternative on the basis of each criterion

Page 20: Appendix M1: Historic ADF&G Baranof Project … u o p ly vol. fw suooly deep fw supoly shallow fw gravity fw freshwater saltwater • 121 srnolts isolation land-based .,I • ' supo

ightyea r SUBJECTProduct Design VERSIONlst Draft

CRITERION land-based site

+--------------------+------------+ ALTERNATIVES tjALUE

+--------------------+------------+ Alternative R

Alternative B 15

-tA1t erYa t i ve C CJ

+--------------------+------------+

- t middot middotmiddot 1

middotmiddot~~ ~- _~~ ti~ J

+-----------------------------+ VRLUE RANGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 25 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

_ _middot _ middot~~ - ~ ~ -bull

middot~ ~ - middot - middot middot middot_ __ J~ j---- middot middot ~ ~~ ti~- ~~ Jmiddot~~ )r~f _

CRITERION floatin g site

+-------------------- +- ------- ----+ AL TEFmRTIVES VALUE

+-------- ------------+------------+ Alternative A 10

IZI

A 1 t erY-a ti ve C 20

+--------------------+------------+

SUBJECTProduct De s iqn VERSI ONl st Draft

+----------------------------- + VALUE RAIJGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 25 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

Li ght y ear SUBJECTProduct Desig VERSI0N 1st Draf t

RU LE JIRJYI E lltULE +----------------- - +---- - ----------------- - - - - - - -------------- ---- ----- ------ shy H20 CHEMI STR Y I wa te r chemistrv MUST BE AT LEAS T treatable

CELIMINA ~ ION RUL E) y - -middot ~ t~ ~

middota - -~C-~~ _ t 1PRTHDLOGY ende ri1i c f i s h ltLJS~r EltI=- H -r L_EAS T l rbullw-leve l p a t hmiddot middotmiddotmiddotmiddot - t ~middot middot ~middot s

ltELI MI NATI ON RUL E)

+------------------+----------------------- - - ----------------- ----------------middot

) middot - (

Production Design Criteria - 250 Total Points

Major Assumption

In order to be evaluated a project must have a minimum level of

production of 10000 adults using the worst case assumptions of

marine survival

A Freshwater Source 100 pt Total

1 Quality 20 pt

a Water Chemistry

i Acceptable ~ t

ii Treatable 5 pt

iii Not treatable reject zero total

b Endemic Fish populations

i None 10 pt

ii Present but

pathogen free 0 t

iii Present with low level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with unknown status) 1 pt

iv Present with high level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with viral pathogen) reject zero total

2 Quantity 40 pt

a Adequate for proposal based

on 20 yr minimum flow

b Total volume available

scaling of all prorosals 6Jt

3 Temperature 30 pt

a Deep intake only uniform

l()y7 water temperature 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

b Shallow intake only ambient

surface water temperatures 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

c Deep and shallow intakes

variable water temperatures

available depending on

degree of temperature

ccntrol (Note on rrodel

this criteria is rated by

sumning a and b )

4 Gravity Delivery ~ t

a Yes 10 pt

b No 0 pt

B Strateqies (Culture Flexibility ) 100 pt Total

In this rating we are not comparing the relative merits of the

different strategies but are ranking according to the capability

of a project to utilize a variety of strategies In order to

qualify for a rating in one of the strategies a project must

release a miniJnum of 500000 fish in that strategy In Eating the

possible points in each strategy a number of roints are awarded

middot~~ - ~ i ~t~ ~-~

middotml -middot1t~--~

for minimum production l eJel aoc iticna l points up to the maximum

are then awarded based on level of production relative to other

projects using that strategy

Mir1irrrum Level Maximum Level

1 Yearling snolts

a Freshwater 20 30

b Seawater netpens 20 30

2 Age-zero snolts 20 30

3 Fry-stocking with isolation

incubation and rearing capability 5 10

C Physical Site Characteristics 50 pt Total

1 Potential for land-based siting Maximum 25 pts

a Flat land available

b Access

c Earthquake and avalanche hazard

d Soil characteristics

e Water supply characteristics

2 Potential for f loat complex in estuary Maximum 25 pt

a Stonn protection

b Anchor points

c Tidal fl0v

d Natural Freshwater influence

e Water supply characteristics

f Surface ar ea available

1

I - Ri5k Fact or An3lvs isshyl Ch1r0c ~ E~h ance~e~t Alternatives

tmiddotmiddotmiddot bull r-l1~ - ~ middot middotbull111 w bullmiddot middot vl rv -1lbulll-Imiddot

Tot3l Pr01ect C~ sc lJl per unit ~arv~s t

- rJal Sml t fr dex hrvEst r)bbilitv Index Harvest Prooabilitv A1rt ize Usable Pro1ect Arnual Oaeratiro Anrual C t Alternative PrJd Et in Best Case (best case) Worst Case (worst case ) Ca~ital Cost Life (v ear sl Cst fotal Best Case Wrst Case iii- ------------~~---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------middot-- --------------shy e0-check 5 0il0 iJJ 0006 025 0 ~lil 075 $8388320 2a $100000 e0 f lB3 Ba3 20 $6 13 $7355 $53U

05-chec k 2 52LJ 10~0 0015 0 70 001 1 030 $83 863 20 2J $20J0il 00 $283383 2~ t i SB ilO 3E Ht (with lens)

05-check 2 5~10 0e0 0018 010 0008 090 $5445050 20 $2e0 000 00 $25445copySJ $5 51 $1 3~3 fll lii (

(wo lensi

10-chec~ 1 2s0 e00 0021 080 0013 020 $83 Be3 20 20 $150000 ~I~ $233883211 ltl 3l $ i l L~ ilr ]t

Enclosure 6

J LIGHTYEAR

Lightyear i s a software produ ct th at produ ce s a r anking nr pr i oritization of a set of alternatives based on a numerical sco ring system

To use the product it is first necessary to choose and define a set of alternatives In this application alternatives will be location-specific chinook culture techniques Elimination of non- eq uivalent alternatives fr om the start of the analysis simplifies subsequent evaluations but is not absolutely necessary At present only dummy alternatives (ie Hatchshyery A Hatchery B etc) have been entered into the model in order to allow for unbiased development of evaluation cri t eria the next step in the process

Criteria are the qualities or attributes used to evaluate the alternatives in a decision Each criterion has a mode ie Numeric (N) Graphic (G) or Verbal (V) and a weight The weight defines the relative importance of a single criterion to the overall outcome of the decision It is possible to define as many criteria as the decision requires or to add delete or change a criterion as necessary Lightyear readily permits the editing and modification of the decisions structure If significant changes are made to the set of criteria any values assigned in the following evaluation step will be eliminated

The final step in the basic decision process is evaluating the alternatives An individual criterion is selected and each al te rnative is evaluated in turn for that citerion At the end of the evaluation process it is also possible to define simple logical rules to wei ght or eliminate alternatives on the basis of their evaluations for specific criteria

Once the basic steps in the decision process have been completed Lightyear then displays the ranked outcome of the decision process and identifies the preferred alternative It then further permits detailed examination of the performance of an individual alternative on the basis of each criterion

Page 21: Appendix M1: Historic ADF&G Baranof Project … u o p ly vol. fw suooly deep fw supoly shallow fw gravity fw freshwater saltwater • 121 srnolts isolation land-based .,I • ' supo

CRITERION floatin g site

+-------------------- +- ------- ----+ AL TEFmRTIVES VALUE

+-------- ------------+------------+ Alternative A 10

IZI

A 1 t erY-a ti ve C 20

+--------------------+------------+

SUBJECTProduct De s iqn VERSI ONl st Draft

+----------------------------- + VALUE RAIJGE

+-----------------------------+ I MOST DESIRABLE 25 I LEAST DESIRABLE 0 +-----------------------------+

Li ght y ear SUBJECTProduct Desig VERSI0N 1st Draf t

RU LE JIRJYI E lltULE +----------------- - +---- - ----------------- - - - - - - -------------- ---- ----- ------ shy H20 CHEMI STR Y I wa te r chemistrv MUST BE AT LEAS T treatable

CELIMINA ~ ION RUL E) y - -middot ~ t~ ~

middota - -~C-~~ _ t 1PRTHDLOGY ende ri1i c f i s h ltLJS~r EltI=- H -r L_EAS T l rbullw-leve l p a t hmiddot middotmiddotmiddotmiddot - t ~middot middot ~middot s

ltELI MI NATI ON RUL E)

+------------------+----------------------- - - ----------------- ----------------middot

) middot - (

Production Design Criteria - 250 Total Points

Major Assumption

In order to be evaluated a project must have a minimum level of

production of 10000 adults using the worst case assumptions of

marine survival

A Freshwater Source 100 pt Total

1 Quality 20 pt

a Water Chemistry

i Acceptable ~ t

ii Treatable 5 pt

iii Not treatable reject zero total

b Endemic Fish populations

i None 10 pt

ii Present but

pathogen free 0 t

iii Present with low level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with unknown status) 1 pt

iv Present with high level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with viral pathogen) reject zero total

2 Quantity 40 pt

a Adequate for proposal based

on 20 yr minimum flow

b Total volume available

scaling of all prorosals 6Jt

3 Temperature 30 pt

a Deep intake only uniform

l()y7 water temperature 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

b Shallow intake only ambient

surface water temperatures 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

c Deep and shallow intakes

variable water temperatures

available depending on

degree of temperature

ccntrol (Note on rrodel

this criteria is rated by

sumning a and b )

4 Gravity Delivery ~ t

a Yes 10 pt

b No 0 pt

B Strateqies (Culture Flexibility ) 100 pt Total

In this rating we are not comparing the relative merits of the

different strategies but are ranking according to the capability

of a project to utilize a variety of strategies In order to

qualify for a rating in one of the strategies a project must

release a miniJnum of 500000 fish in that strategy In Eating the

possible points in each strategy a number of roints are awarded

middot~~ - ~ i ~t~ ~-~

middotml -middot1t~--~

for minimum production l eJel aoc iticna l points up to the maximum

are then awarded based on level of production relative to other

projects using that strategy

Mir1irrrum Level Maximum Level

1 Yearling snolts

a Freshwater 20 30

b Seawater netpens 20 30

2 Age-zero snolts 20 30

3 Fry-stocking with isolation

incubation and rearing capability 5 10

C Physical Site Characteristics 50 pt Total

1 Potential for land-based siting Maximum 25 pts

a Flat land available

b Access

c Earthquake and avalanche hazard

d Soil characteristics

e Water supply characteristics

2 Potential for f loat complex in estuary Maximum 25 pt

a Stonn protection

b Anchor points

c Tidal fl0v

d Natural Freshwater influence

e Water supply characteristics

f Surface ar ea available

1

I - Ri5k Fact or An3lvs isshyl Ch1r0c ~ E~h ance~e~t Alternatives

tmiddotmiddotmiddot bull r-l1~ - ~ middot middotbull111 w bullmiddot middot vl rv -1lbulll-Imiddot

Tot3l Pr01ect C~ sc lJl per unit ~arv~s t

- rJal Sml t fr dex hrvEst r)bbilitv Index Harvest Prooabilitv A1rt ize Usable Pro1ect Arnual Oaeratiro Anrual C t Alternative PrJd Et in Best Case (best case) Worst Case (worst case ) Ca~ital Cost Life (v ear sl Cst fotal Best Case Wrst Case iii- ------------~~---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------middot-- --------------shy e0-check 5 0il0 iJJ 0006 025 0 ~lil 075 $8388320 2a $100000 e0 f lB3 Ba3 20 $6 13 $7355 $53U

05-chec k 2 52LJ 10~0 0015 0 70 001 1 030 $83 863 20 2J $20J0il 00 $283383 2~ t i SB ilO 3E Ht (with lens)

05-check 2 5~10 0e0 0018 010 0008 090 $5445050 20 $2e0 000 00 $25445copySJ $5 51 $1 3~3 fll lii (

(wo lensi

10-chec~ 1 2s0 e00 0021 080 0013 020 $83 Be3 20 20 $150000 ~I~ $233883211 ltl 3l $ i l L~ ilr ]t

Enclosure 6

J LIGHTYEAR

Lightyear i s a software produ ct th at produ ce s a r anking nr pr i oritization of a set of alternatives based on a numerical sco ring system

To use the product it is first necessary to choose and define a set of alternatives In this application alternatives will be location-specific chinook culture techniques Elimination of non- eq uivalent alternatives fr om the start of the analysis simplifies subsequent evaluations but is not absolutely necessary At present only dummy alternatives (ie Hatchshyery A Hatchery B etc) have been entered into the model in order to allow for unbiased development of evaluation cri t eria the next step in the process

Criteria are the qualities or attributes used to evaluate the alternatives in a decision Each criterion has a mode ie Numeric (N) Graphic (G) or Verbal (V) and a weight The weight defines the relative importance of a single criterion to the overall outcome of the decision It is possible to define as many criteria as the decision requires or to add delete or change a criterion as necessary Lightyear readily permits the editing and modification of the decisions structure If significant changes are made to the set of criteria any values assigned in the following evaluation step will be eliminated

The final step in the basic decision process is evaluating the alternatives An individual criterion is selected and each al te rnative is evaluated in turn for that citerion At the end of the evaluation process it is also possible to define simple logical rules to wei ght or eliminate alternatives on the basis of their evaluations for specific criteria

Once the basic steps in the decision process have been completed Lightyear then displays the ranked outcome of the decision process and identifies the preferred alternative It then further permits detailed examination of the performance of an individual alternative on the basis of each criterion

Page 22: Appendix M1: Historic ADF&G Baranof Project … u o p ly vol. fw suooly deep fw supoly shallow fw gravity fw freshwater saltwater • 121 srnolts isolation land-based .,I • ' supo

Li ght y ear SUBJECTProduct Desig VERSI0N 1st Draf t

RU LE JIRJYI E lltULE +----------------- - +---- - ----------------- - - - - - - -------------- ---- ----- ------ shy H20 CHEMI STR Y I wa te r chemistrv MUST BE AT LEAS T treatable

CELIMINA ~ ION RUL E) y - -middot ~ t~ ~

middota - -~C-~~ _ t 1PRTHDLOGY ende ri1i c f i s h ltLJS~r EltI=- H -r L_EAS T l rbullw-leve l p a t hmiddot middotmiddotmiddotmiddot - t ~middot middot ~middot s

ltELI MI NATI ON RUL E)

+------------------+----------------------- - - ----------------- ----------------middot

) middot - (

Production Design Criteria - 250 Total Points

Major Assumption

In order to be evaluated a project must have a minimum level of

production of 10000 adults using the worst case assumptions of

marine survival

A Freshwater Source 100 pt Total

1 Quality 20 pt

a Water Chemistry

i Acceptable ~ t

ii Treatable 5 pt

iii Not treatable reject zero total

b Endemic Fish populations

i None 10 pt

ii Present but

pathogen free 0 t

iii Present with low level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with unknown status) 1 pt

iv Present with high level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with viral pathogen) reject zero total

2 Quantity 40 pt

a Adequate for proposal based

on 20 yr minimum flow

b Total volume available

scaling of all prorosals 6Jt

3 Temperature 30 pt

a Deep intake only uniform

l()y7 water temperature 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

b Shallow intake only ambient

surface water temperatures 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

c Deep and shallow intakes

variable water temperatures

available depending on

degree of temperature

ccntrol (Note on rrodel

this criteria is rated by

sumning a and b )

4 Gravity Delivery ~ t

a Yes 10 pt

b No 0 pt

B Strateqies (Culture Flexibility ) 100 pt Total

In this rating we are not comparing the relative merits of the

different strategies but are ranking according to the capability

of a project to utilize a variety of strategies In order to

qualify for a rating in one of the strategies a project must

release a miniJnum of 500000 fish in that strategy In Eating the

possible points in each strategy a number of roints are awarded

middot~~ - ~ i ~t~ ~-~

middotml -middot1t~--~

for minimum production l eJel aoc iticna l points up to the maximum

are then awarded based on level of production relative to other

projects using that strategy

Mir1irrrum Level Maximum Level

1 Yearling snolts

a Freshwater 20 30

b Seawater netpens 20 30

2 Age-zero snolts 20 30

3 Fry-stocking with isolation

incubation and rearing capability 5 10

C Physical Site Characteristics 50 pt Total

1 Potential for land-based siting Maximum 25 pts

a Flat land available

b Access

c Earthquake and avalanche hazard

d Soil characteristics

e Water supply characteristics

2 Potential for f loat complex in estuary Maximum 25 pt

a Stonn protection

b Anchor points

c Tidal fl0v

d Natural Freshwater influence

e Water supply characteristics

f Surface ar ea available

1

I - Ri5k Fact or An3lvs isshyl Ch1r0c ~ E~h ance~e~t Alternatives

tmiddotmiddotmiddot bull r-l1~ - ~ middot middotbull111 w bullmiddot middot vl rv -1lbulll-Imiddot

Tot3l Pr01ect C~ sc lJl per unit ~arv~s t

- rJal Sml t fr dex hrvEst r)bbilitv Index Harvest Prooabilitv A1rt ize Usable Pro1ect Arnual Oaeratiro Anrual C t Alternative PrJd Et in Best Case (best case) Worst Case (worst case ) Ca~ital Cost Life (v ear sl Cst fotal Best Case Wrst Case iii- ------------~~---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------middot-- --------------shy e0-check 5 0il0 iJJ 0006 025 0 ~lil 075 $8388320 2a $100000 e0 f lB3 Ba3 20 $6 13 $7355 $53U

05-chec k 2 52LJ 10~0 0015 0 70 001 1 030 $83 863 20 2J $20J0il 00 $283383 2~ t i SB ilO 3E Ht (with lens)

05-check 2 5~10 0e0 0018 010 0008 090 $5445050 20 $2e0 000 00 $25445copySJ $5 51 $1 3~3 fll lii (

(wo lensi

10-chec~ 1 2s0 e00 0021 080 0013 020 $83 Be3 20 20 $150000 ~I~ $233883211 ltl 3l $ i l L~ ilr ]t

Enclosure 6

J LIGHTYEAR

Lightyear i s a software produ ct th at produ ce s a r anking nr pr i oritization of a set of alternatives based on a numerical sco ring system

To use the product it is first necessary to choose and define a set of alternatives In this application alternatives will be location-specific chinook culture techniques Elimination of non- eq uivalent alternatives fr om the start of the analysis simplifies subsequent evaluations but is not absolutely necessary At present only dummy alternatives (ie Hatchshyery A Hatchery B etc) have been entered into the model in order to allow for unbiased development of evaluation cri t eria the next step in the process

Criteria are the qualities or attributes used to evaluate the alternatives in a decision Each criterion has a mode ie Numeric (N) Graphic (G) or Verbal (V) and a weight The weight defines the relative importance of a single criterion to the overall outcome of the decision It is possible to define as many criteria as the decision requires or to add delete or change a criterion as necessary Lightyear readily permits the editing and modification of the decisions structure If significant changes are made to the set of criteria any values assigned in the following evaluation step will be eliminated

The final step in the basic decision process is evaluating the alternatives An individual criterion is selected and each al te rnative is evaluated in turn for that citerion At the end of the evaluation process it is also possible to define simple logical rules to wei ght or eliminate alternatives on the basis of their evaluations for specific criteria

Once the basic steps in the decision process have been completed Lightyear then displays the ranked outcome of the decision process and identifies the preferred alternative It then further permits detailed examination of the performance of an individual alternative on the basis of each criterion

Page 23: Appendix M1: Historic ADF&G Baranof Project … u o p ly vol. fw suooly deep fw supoly shallow fw gravity fw freshwater saltwater • 121 srnolts isolation land-based .,I • ' supo

Production Design Criteria - 250 Total Points

Major Assumption

In order to be evaluated a project must have a minimum level of

production of 10000 adults using the worst case assumptions of

marine survival

A Freshwater Source 100 pt Total

1 Quality 20 pt

a Water Chemistry

i Acceptable ~ t

ii Treatable 5 pt

iii Not treatable reject zero total

b Endemic Fish populations

i None 10 pt

ii Present but

pathogen free 0 t

iii Present with low level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with unknown status) 1 pt

iv Present with high level

of bacterial pathogen

(or with viral pathogen) reject zero total

2 Quantity 40 pt

a Adequate for proposal based

on 20 yr minimum flow

b Total volume available

scaling of all prorosals 6Jt

3 Temperature 30 pt

a Deep intake only uniform

l()y7 water temperature 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

b Shallow intake only ambient

surface water temperatures 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

c Deep and shallow intakes

variable water temperatures

available depending on

degree of temperature

ccntrol (Note on rrodel

this criteria is rated by

sumning a and b )

4 Gravity Delivery ~ t

a Yes 10 pt

b No 0 pt

B Strateqies (Culture Flexibility ) 100 pt Total

In this rating we are not comparing the relative merits of the

different strategies but are ranking according to the capability

of a project to utilize a variety of strategies In order to

qualify for a rating in one of the strategies a project must

release a miniJnum of 500000 fish in that strategy In Eating the

possible points in each strategy a number of roints are awarded

middot~~ - ~ i ~t~ ~-~

middotml -middot1t~--~

for minimum production l eJel aoc iticna l points up to the maximum

are then awarded based on level of production relative to other

projects using that strategy

Mir1irrrum Level Maximum Level

1 Yearling snolts

a Freshwater 20 30

b Seawater netpens 20 30

2 Age-zero snolts 20 30

3 Fry-stocking with isolation

incubation and rearing capability 5 10

C Physical Site Characteristics 50 pt Total

1 Potential for land-based siting Maximum 25 pts

a Flat land available

b Access

c Earthquake and avalanche hazard

d Soil characteristics

e Water supply characteristics

2 Potential for f loat complex in estuary Maximum 25 pt

a Stonn protection

b Anchor points

c Tidal fl0v

d Natural Freshwater influence

e Water supply characteristics

f Surface ar ea available

1

I - Ri5k Fact or An3lvs isshyl Ch1r0c ~ E~h ance~e~t Alternatives

tmiddotmiddotmiddot bull r-l1~ - ~ middot middotbull111 w bullmiddot middot vl rv -1lbulll-Imiddot

Tot3l Pr01ect C~ sc lJl per unit ~arv~s t

- rJal Sml t fr dex hrvEst r)bbilitv Index Harvest Prooabilitv A1rt ize Usable Pro1ect Arnual Oaeratiro Anrual C t Alternative PrJd Et in Best Case (best case) Worst Case (worst case ) Ca~ital Cost Life (v ear sl Cst fotal Best Case Wrst Case iii- ------------~~---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------middot-- --------------shy e0-check 5 0il0 iJJ 0006 025 0 ~lil 075 $8388320 2a $100000 e0 f lB3 Ba3 20 $6 13 $7355 $53U

05-chec k 2 52LJ 10~0 0015 0 70 001 1 030 $83 863 20 2J $20J0il 00 $283383 2~ t i SB ilO 3E Ht (with lens)

05-check 2 5~10 0e0 0018 010 0008 090 $5445050 20 $2e0 000 00 $25445copySJ $5 51 $1 3~3 fll lii (

(wo lensi

10-chec~ 1 2s0 e00 0021 080 0013 020 $83 Be3 20 20 $150000 ~I~ $233883211 ltl 3l $ i l L~ ilr ]t

Enclosure 6

J LIGHTYEAR

Lightyear i s a software produ ct th at produ ce s a r anking nr pr i oritization of a set of alternatives based on a numerical sco ring system

To use the product it is first necessary to choose and define a set of alternatives In this application alternatives will be location-specific chinook culture techniques Elimination of non- eq uivalent alternatives fr om the start of the analysis simplifies subsequent evaluations but is not absolutely necessary At present only dummy alternatives (ie Hatchshyery A Hatchery B etc) have been entered into the model in order to allow for unbiased development of evaluation cri t eria the next step in the process

Criteria are the qualities or attributes used to evaluate the alternatives in a decision Each criterion has a mode ie Numeric (N) Graphic (G) or Verbal (V) and a weight The weight defines the relative importance of a single criterion to the overall outcome of the decision It is possible to define as many criteria as the decision requires or to add delete or change a criterion as necessary Lightyear readily permits the editing and modification of the decisions structure If significant changes are made to the set of criteria any values assigned in the following evaluation step will be eliminated

The final step in the basic decision process is evaluating the alternatives An individual criterion is selected and each al te rnative is evaluated in turn for that citerion At the end of the evaluation process it is also possible to define simple logical rules to wei ght or eliminate alternatives on the basis of their evaluations for specific criteria

Once the basic steps in the decision process have been completed Lightyear then displays the ranked outcome of the decision process and identifies the preferred alternative It then further permits detailed examination of the performance of an individual alternative on the basis of each criterion

Page 24: Appendix M1: Historic ADF&G Baranof Project … u o p ly vol. fw suooly deep fw supoly shallow fw gravity fw freshwater saltwater • 121 srnolts isolation land-based .,I • ' supo

b Total volume available

scaling of all prorosals 6Jt

3 Temperature 30 pt

a Deep intake only uniform

l()y7 water temperature 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

b Shallow intake only ambient

surface water temperatures 0-15 pt depending on

temperature regirre

c Deep and shallow intakes

variable water temperatures

available depending on

degree of temperature

ccntrol (Note on rrodel

this criteria is rated by

sumning a and b )

4 Gravity Delivery ~ t

a Yes 10 pt

b No 0 pt

B Strateqies (Culture Flexibility ) 100 pt Total

In this rating we are not comparing the relative merits of the

different strategies but are ranking according to the capability

of a project to utilize a variety of strategies In order to

qualify for a rating in one of the strategies a project must

release a miniJnum of 500000 fish in that strategy In Eating the

possible points in each strategy a number of roints are awarded

middot~~ - ~ i ~t~ ~-~

middotml -middot1t~--~

for minimum production l eJel aoc iticna l points up to the maximum

are then awarded based on level of production relative to other

projects using that strategy

Mir1irrrum Level Maximum Level

1 Yearling snolts

a Freshwater 20 30

b Seawater netpens 20 30

2 Age-zero snolts 20 30

3 Fry-stocking with isolation

incubation and rearing capability 5 10

C Physical Site Characteristics 50 pt Total

1 Potential for land-based siting Maximum 25 pts

a Flat land available

b Access

c Earthquake and avalanche hazard

d Soil characteristics

e Water supply characteristics

2 Potential for f loat complex in estuary Maximum 25 pt

a Stonn protection

b Anchor points

c Tidal fl0v

d Natural Freshwater influence

e Water supply characteristics

f Surface ar ea available

1

I - Ri5k Fact or An3lvs isshyl Ch1r0c ~ E~h ance~e~t Alternatives

tmiddotmiddotmiddot bull r-l1~ - ~ middot middotbull111 w bullmiddot middot vl rv -1lbulll-Imiddot

Tot3l Pr01ect C~ sc lJl per unit ~arv~s t

- rJal Sml t fr dex hrvEst r)bbilitv Index Harvest Prooabilitv A1rt ize Usable Pro1ect Arnual Oaeratiro Anrual C t Alternative PrJd Et in Best Case (best case) Worst Case (worst case ) Ca~ital Cost Life (v ear sl Cst fotal Best Case Wrst Case iii- ------------~~---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------middot-- --------------shy e0-check 5 0il0 iJJ 0006 025 0 ~lil 075 $8388320 2a $100000 e0 f lB3 Ba3 20 $6 13 $7355 $53U

05-chec k 2 52LJ 10~0 0015 0 70 001 1 030 $83 863 20 2J $20J0il 00 $283383 2~ t i SB ilO 3E Ht (with lens)

05-check 2 5~10 0e0 0018 010 0008 090 $5445050 20 $2e0 000 00 $25445copySJ $5 51 $1 3~3 fll lii (

(wo lensi

10-chec~ 1 2s0 e00 0021 080 0013 020 $83 Be3 20 20 $150000 ~I~ $233883211 ltl 3l $ i l L~ ilr ]t

Enclosure 6

J LIGHTYEAR

Lightyear i s a software produ ct th at produ ce s a r anking nr pr i oritization of a set of alternatives based on a numerical sco ring system

To use the product it is first necessary to choose and define a set of alternatives In this application alternatives will be location-specific chinook culture techniques Elimination of non- eq uivalent alternatives fr om the start of the analysis simplifies subsequent evaluations but is not absolutely necessary At present only dummy alternatives (ie Hatchshyery A Hatchery B etc) have been entered into the model in order to allow for unbiased development of evaluation cri t eria the next step in the process

Criteria are the qualities or attributes used to evaluate the alternatives in a decision Each criterion has a mode ie Numeric (N) Graphic (G) or Verbal (V) and a weight The weight defines the relative importance of a single criterion to the overall outcome of the decision It is possible to define as many criteria as the decision requires or to add delete or change a criterion as necessary Lightyear readily permits the editing and modification of the decisions structure If significant changes are made to the set of criteria any values assigned in the following evaluation step will be eliminated

The final step in the basic decision process is evaluating the alternatives An individual criterion is selected and each al te rnative is evaluated in turn for that citerion At the end of the evaluation process it is also possible to define simple logical rules to wei ght or eliminate alternatives on the basis of their evaluations for specific criteria

Once the basic steps in the decision process have been completed Lightyear then displays the ranked outcome of the decision process and identifies the preferred alternative It then further permits detailed examination of the performance of an individual alternative on the basis of each criterion

Page 25: Appendix M1: Historic ADF&G Baranof Project … u o p ly vol. fw suooly deep fw supoly shallow fw gravity fw freshwater saltwater • 121 srnolts isolation land-based .,I • ' supo

middot~~ - ~ i ~t~ ~-~

middotml -middot1t~--~

for minimum production l eJel aoc iticna l points up to the maximum

are then awarded based on level of production relative to other

projects using that strategy

Mir1irrrum Level Maximum Level

1 Yearling snolts

a Freshwater 20 30

b Seawater netpens 20 30

2 Age-zero snolts 20 30

3 Fry-stocking with isolation

incubation and rearing capability 5 10

C Physical Site Characteristics 50 pt Total

1 Potential for land-based siting Maximum 25 pts

a Flat land available

b Access

c Earthquake and avalanche hazard

d Soil characteristics

e Water supply characteristics

2 Potential for f loat complex in estuary Maximum 25 pt

a Stonn protection

b Anchor points

c Tidal fl0v

d Natural Freshwater influence

e Water supply characteristics

f Surface ar ea available

1

I - Ri5k Fact or An3lvs isshyl Ch1r0c ~ E~h ance~e~t Alternatives

tmiddotmiddotmiddot bull r-l1~ - ~ middot middotbull111 w bullmiddot middot vl rv -1lbulll-Imiddot

Tot3l Pr01ect C~ sc lJl per unit ~arv~s t

- rJal Sml t fr dex hrvEst r)bbilitv Index Harvest Prooabilitv A1rt ize Usable Pro1ect Arnual Oaeratiro Anrual C t Alternative PrJd Et in Best Case (best case) Worst Case (worst case ) Ca~ital Cost Life (v ear sl Cst fotal Best Case Wrst Case iii- ------------~~---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------middot-- --------------shy e0-check 5 0il0 iJJ 0006 025 0 ~lil 075 $8388320 2a $100000 e0 f lB3 Ba3 20 $6 13 $7355 $53U

05-chec k 2 52LJ 10~0 0015 0 70 001 1 030 $83 863 20 2J $20J0il 00 $283383 2~ t i SB ilO 3E Ht (with lens)

05-check 2 5~10 0e0 0018 010 0008 090 $5445050 20 $2e0 000 00 $25445copySJ $5 51 $1 3~3 fll lii (

(wo lensi

10-chec~ 1 2s0 e00 0021 080 0013 020 $83 Be3 20 20 $150000 ~I~ $233883211 ltl 3l $ i l L~ ilr ]t

Enclosure 6

J LIGHTYEAR

Lightyear i s a software produ ct th at produ ce s a r anking nr pr i oritization of a set of alternatives based on a numerical sco ring system

To use the product it is first necessary to choose and define a set of alternatives In this application alternatives will be location-specific chinook culture techniques Elimination of non- eq uivalent alternatives fr om the start of the analysis simplifies subsequent evaluations but is not absolutely necessary At present only dummy alternatives (ie Hatchshyery A Hatchery B etc) have been entered into the model in order to allow for unbiased development of evaluation cri t eria the next step in the process

Criteria are the qualities or attributes used to evaluate the alternatives in a decision Each criterion has a mode ie Numeric (N) Graphic (G) or Verbal (V) and a weight The weight defines the relative importance of a single criterion to the overall outcome of the decision It is possible to define as many criteria as the decision requires or to add delete or change a criterion as necessary Lightyear readily permits the editing and modification of the decisions structure If significant changes are made to the set of criteria any values assigned in the following evaluation step will be eliminated

The final step in the basic decision process is evaluating the alternatives An individual criterion is selected and each al te rnative is evaluated in turn for that citerion At the end of the evaluation process it is also possible to define simple logical rules to wei ght or eliminate alternatives on the basis of their evaluations for specific criteria

Once the basic steps in the decision process have been completed Lightyear then displays the ranked outcome of the decision process and identifies the preferred alternative It then further permits detailed examination of the performance of an individual alternative on the basis of each criterion

Page 26: Appendix M1: Historic ADF&G Baranof Project … u o p ly vol. fw suooly deep fw supoly shallow fw gravity fw freshwater saltwater • 121 srnolts isolation land-based .,I • ' supo

1

I - Ri5k Fact or An3lvs isshyl Ch1r0c ~ E~h ance~e~t Alternatives

tmiddotmiddotmiddot bull r-l1~ - ~ middot middotbull111 w bullmiddot middot vl rv -1lbulll-Imiddot

Tot3l Pr01ect C~ sc lJl per unit ~arv~s t

- rJal Sml t fr dex hrvEst r)bbilitv Index Harvest Prooabilitv A1rt ize Usable Pro1ect Arnual Oaeratiro Anrual C t Alternative PrJd Et in Best Case (best case) Worst Case (worst case ) Ca~ital Cost Life (v ear sl Cst fotal Best Case Wrst Case iii- ------------~~---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------middot-- --------------shy e0-check 5 0il0 iJJ 0006 025 0 ~lil 075 $8388320 2a $100000 e0 f lB3 Ba3 20 $6 13 $7355 $53U

05-chec k 2 52LJ 10~0 0015 0 70 001 1 030 $83 863 20 2J $20J0il 00 $283383 2~ t i SB ilO 3E Ht (with lens)

05-check 2 5~10 0e0 0018 010 0008 090 $5445050 20 $2e0 000 00 $25445copySJ $5 51 $1 3~3 fll lii (

(wo lensi

10-chec~ 1 2s0 e00 0021 080 0013 020 $83 Be3 20 20 $150000 ~I~ $233883211 ltl 3l $ i l L~ ilr ]t

Enclosure 6

J LIGHTYEAR

Lightyear i s a software produ ct th at produ ce s a r anking nr pr i oritization of a set of alternatives based on a numerical sco ring system

To use the product it is first necessary to choose and define a set of alternatives In this application alternatives will be location-specific chinook culture techniques Elimination of non- eq uivalent alternatives fr om the start of the analysis simplifies subsequent evaluations but is not absolutely necessary At present only dummy alternatives (ie Hatchshyery A Hatchery B etc) have been entered into the model in order to allow for unbiased development of evaluation cri t eria the next step in the process

Criteria are the qualities or attributes used to evaluate the alternatives in a decision Each criterion has a mode ie Numeric (N) Graphic (G) or Verbal (V) and a weight The weight defines the relative importance of a single criterion to the overall outcome of the decision It is possible to define as many criteria as the decision requires or to add delete or change a criterion as necessary Lightyear readily permits the editing and modification of the decisions structure If significant changes are made to the set of criteria any values assigned in the following evaluation step will be eliminated

The final step in the basic decision process is evaluating the alternatives An individual criterion is selected and each al te rnative is evaluated in turn for that citerion At the end of the evaluation process it is also possible to define simple logical rules to wei ght or eliminate alternatives on the basis of their evaluations for specific criteria

Once the basic steps in the decision process have been completed Lightyear then displays the ranked outcome of the decision process and identifies the preferred alternative It then further permits detailed examination of the performance of an individual alternative on the basis of each criterion

Page 27: Appendix M1: Historic ADF&G Baranof Project … u o p ly vol. fw suooly deep fw supoly shallow fw gravity fw freshwater saltwater • 121 srnolts isolation land-based .,I • ' supo

Enclosure 6

J LIGHTYEAR

Lightyear i s a software produ ct th at produ ce s a r anking nr pr i oritization of a set of alternatives based on a numerical sco ring system

To use the product it is first necessary to choose and define a set of alternatives In this application alternatives will be location-specific chinook culture techniques Elimination of non- eq uivalent alternatives fr om the start of the analysis simplifies subsequent evaluations but is not absolutely necessary At present only dummy alternatives (ie Hatchshyery A Hatchery B etc) have been entered into the model in order to allow for unbiased development of evaluation cri t eria the next step in the process

Criteria are the qualities or attributes used to evaluate the alternatives in a decision Each criterion has a mode ie Numeric (N) Graphic (G) or Verbal (V) and a weight The weight defines the relative importance of a single criterion to the overall outcome of the decision It is possible to define as many criteria as the decision requires or to add delete or change a criterion as necessary Lightyear readily permits the editing and modification of the decisions structure If significant changes are made to the set of criteria any values assigned in the following evaluation step will be eliminated

The final step in the basic decision process is evaluating the alternatives An individual criterion is selected and each al te rnative is evaluated in turn for that citerion At the end of the evaluation process it is also possible to define simple logical rules to wei ght or eliminate alternatives on the basis of their evaluations for specific criteria

Once the basic steps in the decision process have been completed Lightyear then displays the ranked outcome of the decision process and identifies the preferred alternative It then further permits detailed examination of the performance of an individual alternative on the basis of each criterion