“our future: sustainably successful!“...privatization threshold: constitutionally mandated...
TRANSCRIPT
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May 2012
Deutsche Bahn AG / DB Mobility Logistics AG
CFO
Dr. Richard Lutz
“Our future: Sustainably successful!“
Munich –
Frankfurt –
London –
Edinburgh –
Milan –
Zurich –
Paris –
Helsinki –
Stockholm –
Amsterdam
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2Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
Intro
Our future
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3Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
Solid financial position, sustainable profit growth
Key investment highlights
DB Group combines stability with a good position for future growth
Key investment highlights
Strong track record in all key financial figures
Leading market position in all relevant markets
Core competence in managing transport networks
Balanced business mix of growth and value
Megatrends support our future growth potential
Unique geographic position in the heart of Europe
Profitable growth path continued since 2009
Very good ratings from Moody’s (Aa1), S&P (AA) and Fitch (AA)
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4Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
Integrated Group structure with two holding companies (DB AG and DB ML AG) and 9 business units
DB AG is 100% owned by the Federal Republic of Germany
Privatization threshold: constitutionally mandated Federal majority shareholding in DB AG (“ownership clause”)
Infrastructure business units are directly managed by DB AG
DB ML AG operates as a holding company for DB Group’s passenger and logistics activities
DB Bahn Long-
Distance
Deutsche Bahn AG
DB Netze Track
DB Netze Stations
DB Netze Energy
DB Bahn Regional DB Arriva
DB Schenker
Rail
DB Schenker Logistics
DB Services
DB Mobility Logistics AG
DB ML Group
DB Group
Structure
Organizational structure
DB Finance
B.V.
100%
100%
100%
Federal Republic of Germany
Deutsche Bahn Group Comments
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5Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
Where do we come from
Turnaround of German railway business was key to success
171 174191
171184 191
388
327
299
261
239221
206194
184 177 173
135127
140139 144 145 149
159 159 153 155 160 161 157156154154149
164
154151
720
893975
860863820
1,2201,184
328
656
413468
533603
1,0421,133
1,167
1,247
1,106
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Ptkm (bn) Employees - rail (thd, year average) Productivity
2.3
1.91.7
2.52.4
0.5
1.0
1.4
2.1
-0.4-0.7-0.8
-1.5-1.7
-2.1-2.2
-2.7-3.0
6.1%
5.4%
5.7%7.4%
7.6%
-20.3%
-17.5%
-14.6%-13.3%
-11.1%
-9.8%
-5.0% -4.6%
-2.2%
7.1%
5.4%4.0%
1.6%
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
EBIT adjusted Adj. EBIT margin
1993-2011:
+272%CAGR:
+7.6%1994-2011:
€
+5.3 bnPer year:
€
+294 mn
Figures until 2004 FY according to German GAAP
Productivity –
rail (thousand ptkm/employee)
EBIT adjusted and adjusted EBIT margin (€
bn or %)
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6Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
16.616.9
15.015.916.5
19.619.7
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
15.114.3
13.112.2
11.0
9.2
7.7
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Where do we come from
Equity ratio significantly improved, financial debt noticeably decreased
Equity (€
bn) Net financial debt (€
bn)Equity ratio (%)
29.227.527.6
25.2
22.6
19.0
16.3
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
-15.7%/-
€
3.1 bn +96.1%/+ €
7.4 bn +12.9 %-points
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7Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
Where do we come from
Key value management figures significantly improved
ROCE
(%)
7.3
6.05.9
8.98.7
7.5
5.0
'05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11
20.5
18.119.4
22.521.1
18.6
14.7
'05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11
256
213
151
131115 118
110
'05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11
3.2
3.63.4
3.13.2
3.9
4.8
'05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11
Redemption coverage
(%) Gearing
(%) Net debt/EBITDA
(multiple)
Target: 10%
Target: 30%
Target: 100%
Target: 2.5
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8Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
NetzeNo.1
Rail infrastructure
No.1Operation of railway stations
BahnNo.1
Local rail passenger transport
No.2Long-distance passenger rail transport
No.2Bus transport
Schenker
No.1Rail freight transport
No.1Land transport No.
Ocean freight
6Contract logistics
No.2Air freight
3No.
Where we are today
We hold leading market positions in Europe and the world
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9Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
Where we are today
We are operating today in more than 130 countries with more than
2,000 sites
DB worldwide
(examples)
Own sites Partners
Transfesa
(DB SR)
DB Schenker
Spain-Tir
(DB SL)
DB Arriva Spain
DB Schenker
Brasil
(DB SL)
DB International
DB Schenker
China (DB SL)
DB International
Railion
Russija
Services (DB SR)
DB Schenker
Russia (DB SL)
DB International
DB Schenker
Australia (DB SL)
ECR (DB SR)
DB Schenker-Joyau
(DB SL)
DB Schenker
Rail UK
DB Schenker
UK
DB Arriva UK
DB Vertrieb
UK
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10Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
Entrepreneurial approach to business
Integrated
GroupCross-modal solutions
Internationally positioned
Where we are today
Our success is based on four factors
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11Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
Challenges and opportunities of the future
The megatrends of the future
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12Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
Source: In-house figures as well as Progtrans, BMVBS figures
Ocean freight
Air freight
Land transport
Rail freight transport
Rail passenger transport
Public road/passenger transport
Contract logistics >+100
+80
+60
+35
+35
+10
+5
Market growth 2010 –
2020 % based on volumes (rounded figures)
Challenges and opportunities of the future
Transport markets will expand further in the future
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13Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
Customer
and quality
Profitable growth
Strategic directions
Vision We are becoming the world's leading mobility and logistics company
Sustainable business success and social acceptance
1
2
3 4Cultural change/ employee satisfaction
Resource preservation/ emissions and noise reduction
Sustain-
ability
dimension
Profitable market leaderEconomic
Top employerSocial
Eco-pioneerEnvironmental
TopTop TopTopTopTop 11101011
Strategy ‒
DB 2020
Sustainable success by bringing all three dimensions into harmony
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14Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
Strategy ‒
DB 2020
For people, for markets, for tomorrow
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May 2012
Deutsche Bahn
AG / DB Mobility Logistics AG
Group Treasurer, Head of M&A
Wolfgang Reuter
“Our future: Sustainably successful!“
Munich –
Frankfurt –
London –
Edinburgh –
Milan –
Zurich –
Paris –
Helsinki –
Stockholm –
Amsterdam
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16Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
Sustained recovery of global economy (GDP world +2.5%)Germany as a driver of economic growth in Europe
(GDP +3.0%)Economic development weakened during the course of the yearPrevailing insecurities as a result of the Euro-/debt crisisHigh cost burdens due to increase in energy, personnel and maintenance expenses
2011 Financial Year –
Overview
Highlights 2011
Positive development of German rail passenger transportFirst-time full-year inclusion of Arriva; major success in tender procedures in Denmark and Sweden
Rail freight transport again with strong growth Varying development in freight forwarding and logistics: strong growth in European land transport, further growth in ocean freight, decline in air freight
Train-path demand reached a new all time high at 1,051 mn
train-path kmNon-Group demand showed again double digit growth rates, share of total train-path demand increased to 20.9%
General conditions
Passenger transport
Transport and
logistics
Infrastructure
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17Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
Key figures (€
mn)
EBIT adjusted
Net profit for the year
Net financial debt as of Dec 31
2,309
1,332
16,592
37,901
35,888
2011 Financial Year –
Overview
Strong development in 2011 financial year
2011
Revenues adjusted
Revenues comparable
+23.7
+25.9
-2.0
+10.1
+4.3
€ %Change
+443
+274
-347
+3,491
+1,481
+8.9+610Gross capital expenditures 7,501
+24.0+497Net capital expenditures 2,569
ROCE (%) 7.3 --
2010
1,866
1,058
16,939
34,410
34,407
6,891
2,072
6.0
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18Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
2011 Financial Year –
Performance development
Significant recovery in transport and logistics
Performance in rail transport increasedDevelopment in long-distance transport dampened by non reoccurrence of positive one time effects from 2010 (among others pilot strike and ash clouds)No performance figures from Arriva included
Passenger Transport
DB Netze
Track
Train kilometers (train-path km: +1.7%)
Infrastructure in Germany
DB Netze
Stations
Stops (number: +0.9%)
Passenger Transport
Rail volume sold (pkm: +0.8%)
DB Bahn
Long-Distance
Rail volume sold (pkm: -1.3%)
DB Bahn
Regional Rail
Rail volume sold (pkm: +2.2%)
DB Bahn
Regional Bus
Bus volume sold (pkm: -4.0%)
Further recovery of transport volumesIncreases in performance except for air freightDevelopment in air freight weakened due to general market development especially on important Asian routes
Transport and Logistics in Europe/worldwide
DB Schenker
Rail
Rail volume sold (tkm: +5.8%)
Capacity utilization (t per train: +2.2%)
DB Schenker
Logistics
Land transport (shipments: +18.6%)
Air freight (t: -6.2%)
Ocean freight
(TEU: +7.0%)
Passenger Transport in Germany
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19Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
2011 Financial Year –
Revenues
Further increase in revenues
35,88835,87634,410
37,979 37,901 2,025 1278
Revenues (€
mn)
2010 2011 2011comparable
+10.4%
Changes in scope of
consolidation
+1,478 / +4.3%
FX
effects
2011adjusted
-5.8%-P. -0.0%-P.
Special items
-0.3%-P.
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20Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
2011 Financial Year –
Revenues
Structural shift in favor of passenger transport
4%6%
1%
59%29%
41%
1% 7%
51%
52% 48%
Revenues by division 2011
Germany
Europe (excl. Germany)
North America
Asia/Pacific
Other
Passenger transport
DB Schenker
DB Netze
(2010)
(54%)
(39%)
(6%)(1%)
Other
(62%)(25%)
(1%)
(5%)(6%)
Revenues by regions 2011
(2010)
Revenues by activities 2011
Rail Non-rail
(2010)
(47%)(53%)
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21Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
572,309
1,8661,817
75
49
2,177
2011 Financial Year –
Profits
EBIT development significantly positive
EBIT and EBIT adjusted (€
mn)
EBIT Special items EBIT adjusted
2010 2011
+19.8%
+23.7% +443
EBIT Special itemsEBIT adjusted Reclassifications
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22Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
4.1
9.2
0.6
2.7
3.71)
15.4
21.0
2.8
-
6.1
4.8
Margin (%)
2011 Financial Year –
Profits
Overall positive EBIT development on business units level
EBIT adjusted (€
mn)
DB Bahn Long-Distance
DB Bahn Regional
DB Schenker Rail
DB Schenker Logistics
DB Services
DB Netze Track
DB Netze Stations
DB Netze Energy
Other/Consolidation
DB Group
DB Arriva
117
794
12
304
129
601
217
82
-442
1,866
52
2010
157
801
32
403
123
715
226
80
-388
2,309
160
2011
+40 +34.2
+7 +0.9
+20 +167
+99 +32.6
-6 -4.7
+114 +19.0
+9 +4.1
-2 -2.4
+54 -12.2
+443 +23.7
+108 -
€ %Change
3.1
9.2
0.3
2.1
4.11)
13.1
20.8
3.3
-
5.4
4.2
Margin (%)
1)
Based on segment revenues
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23Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
2011 Financial Year –
Net financial debt
Decline in net financial debt
Arriva
2009 2010* 2011 2012E
-347
16.6
Net financial debt (€
bn)
15.0
* Excluding acquisition of Arriva
Dividend
16.9 16.6
-
Redemptions (2012) -1.9
Net liquidity
(as of Jan 1, 2012) +1.7
Net capex / other -4.4
Net liquidity
(as of Dec 31, 2012) +1.7
Anticipated funding requirements 2012 (€
bn)
Operating cash flow +4.9
Dividend 2011 -0.5
Bond issues (as of March 31, 2012) +0.9
Planned additional bond issues in 2012 +1.0
14.0*
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24Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
+37.5%
EBIT adjusted(€
mn)
2012 Financial Year –
Q1 and outlook
Positive development in Q1 2012 and expected for 2012 financial year
ROCE (%)
Revenues adjusted
EBIT adjusted
7.3%
37,901
2,309
Dampened, but still positive economic environmentFurther increases in performance
Positive revenue developmentOngoing cost management
Development weakened by higher capital employed
Increase in cash flowAdverse effects from higher net capex and dividend payment
7,501 Continuation of growth and modernization programs
9.6
9.3Q1/11
Q1/12
+3.9%/+3.1%1)
Revenues(€
bn)
16.5
16.6Dec 31,2011
Mar 31,2012
-0.6%
Net financial debt(as of Mar 31, €
bn)
7.3
5.3Q1/11
Q1/12
ROCE(%)
Key figures (€
mn) Outlook 2012 financial year (Estimates as of March 2012)2011
16,592
Gross capital expenditures
Net financial debtas of Dec 31
576
419Q1/11
Q1/12
1)
Excluding FX effects and changes in the scope of consolidation
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Appendix
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26Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
Management summary
DB is in a very good position for sustainable and profitable growth
SkillsStrong core
competence in operating transport
networks +
experienced management team
Supporting megatrends
Globalization Climate change and shortage of resources
Deregulation and liberalization
Demographic change
Key investment highlightsProfitable growth opportunities
Robust business portfolioStrong recovery after the crisis
Solid financial positionVery good ratings
Current positionLeading market
positions
+
unique geographical position in Europe
Strategy and structure
Vertically integrated
Internationally focused
Politically supported
Strongly positioned in Europe
Commercially driven
Proven track record
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27Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
Leading market position
Revenues (€
bn)
Appropriate returns
ROCE (%)
Financial stability
Redemption coverage (%)
6%
≥10%
18%
≥30%
34.4
70
As
a
profitable
market leader we offer our customers
first-class
mobility and logistics solutions
11TopTop
Strategy –
DB 2020
We want to become the profitable market leader by 2020
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28Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
Strategy –
DB 2020
We want to improve customer satisfaction
1)
Including €
34 billion DB funds
86Areas for action (selected examples)
Expand customer information and service
Modernization of vehicle fleet
Upgrade and expand infrastructure
Consistent process quality
Link global IT systems together
Modernize and expand passenger stations
Push product and process innovation
Customer and quality
Information and Service
Gross capital expendituresuntil 2020
billion €1)
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29Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
Acquisitions and
tenders
Expand existing and
new customer business
+100%
34,4
70
Profitable growth Areas for action
(selected examples)
Retain integrated structure and entrepreneurial approachImprove capacity utilization and productivity Develop, optimize and integrate transport networksTake advantage of opportunities arising from liberalization of European passenger transport marketExpand industrial competenceFurther development of cross-modal mobility and logistical
Strategy –
DB 2020
We intend to defend and expand our leading market position
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30Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
Top 10 in Germany
Top 20 in Germany
…
…
NEW
TopTop
As a top employer
we
win and build loyalty with qualified employees
who work
with enthusiasm for DB and its customers
I’m a proud DB
employee
Strategy –
DB 2020
We want to become one of the top employers
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31Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
Cultural change/ employee satisfaction
employeesenthusiastically
work
for DB and its customers
Qualified Areas for action (selected examples)
Regional future-focused discussions
Employee satisfaction
Employer attractiveness
Manage demographics
Understanding leadership
Diversity in leadership
Compatibility of career and family
Internationalization
Talent Pools
Career planning
Strategy –
DB 2020
We want to significantly increase employee satisfaction
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32Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
Cultural change/ employee satisfaction
Strategy –
DB 2020
Our values form the foundation of how we interact with each other
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33Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
Specific CO2
-
emissions DBShare of renewable energy in the DB Bahn energy mix
-15%TopTop
+75%
Noise emissions –
rail
-50%
20%
35%
Strategy –
DB 2020
By 2020 we’ll be recognized as the pioneer of environmental measures
As an eco-pioneer our products set standards for the efficient use of resources
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34Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
Resource preservation/ emissions and noise reduction We are a leader in
environmental protection
Areas for action (selected examples)
Use of wind and hydro-
electric energy
Noise abatement
Efficient use of energy
Freight transport using Eco Solutions
CO2
-free offers for passenger transport
Electro-mobility on the road
Efficient usage of materials and resources
Strategy –
DB 2020
We will expand our leading environmental position
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35Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
2011 Financial Year –
Revenues
Revenue increases across all business units
DB Group
Total revenues (€
mn)
+1,481 +4.3-2,022 12
€ %
Changes
DB Schenker Logistics +542 +3.8-1 -14
DB Netze Track +62 +1.4- -
DB Netze Stations +33 +3.2- -
DB Netze Energy +352 +14.1- -
DB Bahn Long-Distance +56 +1.5-8 -1
DB Bahn Regional +115 +1.3- -
DB Arriva +145 +11.7-2,001 15
DB Services +139 +10.9- -
DB Schenker Rail +340 +7.4-12 12
Other/Consolidation -303 +4.1- -
Consol.1) FX
Changes
35,888
14,852
4,642
1,077
2,853
3,785
8,718
1,381
1,413
4,924
-7,754
34,410
2010
14,310
4,580
1,044
2,501
3,729
8,603
1,236
1,274
4,584
-7,451
37,901
2011
14,867
4,642
1,077
2,853
3,794
8,718
3,367
1,413
4,924
-7,754
2011
comp.
1) Scope of consolidation
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36Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
2011 Financial Year –
Profit development
Differentiated EBITDA development by business units
Changes
by business units (€
mn)
DB Group
DB Schenker Rail
DB Services
DB Netze Track
DB Netze Stations
DB Bahn Long-Distance
DB Bahn Regional
DB Netze Energy
DB Schenker Logistics
DB Arriva
Other/Consolidation
+23 +4.8%
+10 +0.7%
+183 +129%
+34 +11.3%
+94 +19.7%
-9 -3.1%
+100 +6.6%
+8 +2.3%
-6 -3.6%
+53 -12.5%
+490 +10.5%
EBITDA adjusted(€
mn)
5,141
336
278
1,624
351
504
1,361
159
572
325
-369
2011
4,651
302
287
1,524
343
481
1,351
165
478
142
-422
2010
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37Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
2011 Financial Year –
Profit development
Reconciliation to the adjusted income statement
Income statement
(€
mn)
Com-
pounding/
discounting IFRS
Personnel expenses -
Depreciation -
Operating profit | EBIT adjusted -
Net interest | Operating net interest 98
Revenues -
Inventory changes and internally produced and capitalized assets -
Other operating income -
Other operating expenses -
Cost of materials -
Operating profit after interest 98
Other financial result -98
PPA-Amortization customer contracts -
Extraordinary result -
Results from at equity investments | investment income -
Profit before taxes -
Net investment
income
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-1
-
-
1
-
PPA-
amorti-
zation
-
75
75
-
-
-
-
-
-
75
-
-75
-
-
-
Personnel-
related provisions
-
-
-114
-
-
-
-114
-
-
-114
-
-
114
-
-
Restruc-
turing
of US domestic business
28
13
118
-
-78
-
-22
70
107
118
-
-
-118
-
-
Decommis-
sioning
of GKN I
-
-
46
-
-
-
-
-
46
46
39
-
-85
-
-
Other
-
44
7
-
-
7
-76
-
32
7
-
-
-7
-
-
2011
-13,076
-2,964
2,177
-840
37,979
2,457
3,062
-4,375
-20,906
-
3
-
-
19
1,359
2011
adjusted
-13,048
-2,832
2,309
-742
37,901
2,464
2,850
-4,305
-20,721
1,567
-57
-75
-96
20
1,359
RECLASSIFICATIONS ADJUSTMENT OF SPECIAL ITEMS
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38Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
2011 Financial Year –
Profit development
Significant improvement in operating profits
Adjusted income statement (€
mn) 2010
-11,583
-2,785
1,866
-752
34,410
2.207
2,636
-3,885
-19,134
1,114
-183
-
-49
18
900
Change
-1,465
-47
+443
+10
+3,491
+257
+214
-420
-1,587
+453
+126
-75
-47
+2
+459
Thereof due to changes in scope
of consolidation
-943
-96
+78
-8
+2,022
+4
+55
-281
-683
+70
+2
-50
-
+2
+24
Thereof due to exchange rate
effects
+6
+1
-20
-2
-12
-
-11
-13
+9
-22
-14
-
-
-
-36
2011
-13,048
-2,832
2,309
-742
37,901
2,464
2,850
-4,305
-20,721
1,567
-57
-75
-96
20
1,359
Personnel expenses
Depreciation
Operating profit | EBIT adjusted
Net interest | Operating net interest
Revenues
Inventory changes and internally produced and capitalized assets
Other operating income
Other operating expenses
Cost of materials
Operating profit after interest
Other financial result
PPA-Amortization customer contracts
Extraordinary result
Results from at equity investments | investment income
Profit before taxes
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39Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
2011 Financial Year –
Balance sheet
Development of balance sheet
(€
mn, as of Dec 31)
Equity and liabilities
Assets
+/-
Current assets +259
Cash and cash equivalents +228
Equity +810
Non-current liabilities -524
Current liabilities -498
Non-current assets -471
Total assets -212
AssetsEquity and
liabilities
Non-current assets(85%, 2010: 86%)
Current assets
(15%, 2010: 14%)
Equity (29%, 2010: 28%)
Non-current liabilities(47%, 2010: 48%)
Current liabilities
(24%, 2010: 25%)
Maturity structure (as of Dec 31, 2011)
€
51.8 bnTotal€
51.8 bnTotal
Property, plant and equipment -501
Trade receivables +217
Intangible assets +15
Deferred tax assets -10
Financial debt -27
Financial debt -175
Trade liabilities
2011
7,732
1,703
15,126
24,238
12,427
44,059
51,791
37,372
4,094
4,169
1,461
16,367
1,984
4,312 26
2010
7,473
1,475
14,316
24,762
12,925
44,530
52,003
37,873
3,877
4,154
1,471
16,394
2,159
4,286
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40Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
4,399
983
500
2,569
347
Reconciliation of decline in net financial debt (€
mn)
Operatingcash flow
2011 Financial Year –
Net financial debt
Decline in net financial debt
Net capex
Changes in
working
capital/Other
Dividend Surplus of funds
2009 2010 2011
-347
16,592
Net financial debt (€
mn)
15,011
13,966
-1,045
DividendArriva
16,092
16,939-847
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41Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
Net financial debt
+ Commercial paper
+ Bank borrowings (incl. EIB)
+ Finance Lease (present value)
+ Other finance liabilities
Financial debt excl. federal loans
+ Federal loans (present value)
Bonds
+ EUROFIMA loans
-
Cash and cash equivalents and receivables from financing
Financial debt
-347
+/-
+160
-155
+154
-8
+642
-844
+799
0
+804
+145
-202
Financial debt (€
mn; as of Dec 31)
2011 Financial Year –
Financial debt
Components of financial debt
2011
16,592
202
991
1,270
9
16,259
2,092
12,634
1,153
14,980
1,759
18,351
Dec 31, 2010 Dec 31, 2011
18,553 18,351
Net:
16,939Net:
16,592
-347
2010
16,939
42
1,146
1,424
17
15,617
2,936
11,835
1,153
14,176
1,614
18,553
-202
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42Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
2010 2011
2011 Financial Year –
Capital expenditures
Significant increase of capital expenditures
By business units (€
mn) 2010Gross capital expenditures (€
mn)€ %
Change
DB Group
DB Schenker Rail
DB Services
DB Netze Track
DB Netze Stations
DB Bahn Long-Distance
DB Bahn Regional
DB Netze Energy
DB Schenker Logistics
DB Arriva
6,891
350
177
4,986
511
48
287
144
189
187
Other/Consolidation 12
+610
-90
+70
+157
+36
+91
+106
+63
+57
+113
+7
+8.9
-25.7
+39.5
+3.1
+7.0
-
+36.9
+43.8
+30.2
+60.4
+58.3
6,891
7,501
2,0722,569
Net:
+610 +8.9%
+497 +24.0%
2011
7,501
260
247
5,143
547
139
393
207
246
300
19
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43Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
7.9 8.1
10.88.7
2010 20112010 2011
46.040.8
32.430.6
2010 2011
Relevant markets
Order book in regional transport increased significantly in 2011
DB order book* (€
bn; as of Dec 31, 2011)
78.4
+7.0 +9.8%
71.4
32.3 37.3
21.421.7
2010 2011
58.754.1
+4.6 +8.5%
0.8
-
0.8
+2.3 +14%
18.916.6
DB Group DB Bahn Regional (rail) DB Bahn Regional (bus) DB Arriva
* Secured and unsecured revenues (mostly farebox revenues).
Secured
Unsecured
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44Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
Relevant markets
€
46 bn of long-term secured revenues in regional transport
Long-term secured revenues Remarks
5.7 5.4 4.7 4.1 3.3 2.4 2.1 1.7
10.2
5.9
4.0 3.83.8
3.22.7
1.8 1.6 1.4
6.2
3.8
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021ff
Total: €
78 bn (€
46 bn secured + €
32 bn unsecured) As of December 31, 2011 the volume of revenues secured by long-term rail transport contracts (concession fees) in the DB Bahn Regional business unit increased by €
5.0 billion. The total of unsecured revenues decreased slightly by €
0.3 bn.
As of December 31, 2011, volume of revenues secured by long-term contracts (concession fees) in the DB Arriva business unit increased by €
0.2 billion. The total of unsecured revenues increased by €
2.1 bn.
secured unsecured
9.7 9.7 9.28.5
7.3
6.0
4.2 3.73.1
16.4
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45Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
Capex and financing (€
bn)
59
125Total
16
35
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Net financial debt (as of Dec 31, €
bn)
19.7 19.6
16.5 15.915.0
16.9
-3.1 / -
15.7%
Proven track record: Capex campaign and deleveraging
Despite high capex volume significant reduction of net financial
debt
16.6
95
14
64
DB funds
133Total
Infra-structure
17
38 37Other
Investment
grants
Interest-free
loans
1994-2011
FinancingCapex
Other grants
DB funds
(71%)
(29%)
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46Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
Major portfolio changes in DB Group: total M&A transactions (EqV) of €
11 bn
(€
4 bn divestitures and €
7 bn acquisitions)
2001 2002 2004 20052003 2006
Stinnes,Joyau
BAX,StarTrans
RAG Bahn
Brenntag,Interfer,Mitropa
2007
EWS
2008
Transfesa
…
Proven track record: Reshaping the entire DB Group
Expansion of transport networks partly through focused portfolio
measures
2009
PCC
2010
NordCargo
SDS
Rail freight
Logistics
Passenger transport
Divesti-
tures
DSB Gods
Deutsche Eisenbahn-
reklame
Scandlines,Aurelis,
Nuclear Cargo
Linjegods Spain-Tir
Arcor
Arriva
Romtrans
Chiltern,PanBus
RailNon Rail 9%
91%
RailNon Rail
31%
69%
2001 2003
Non Rail
48% 52%
Rail
2006
Non Rail
47% 53%
Rail
2010
Non Rail
47% 53%
Rail
2008
Revenue split
Non Rail
48% 52%
Rail
2011
2011
COBRA
Jean Heck
GrandCentral
Arriva Germany
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47Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
Debt and financing
Deutsche Bahn is an active player in the bond markets
2.1
2.5
2.2
0.6
1.81.71.7
2.2
1.2
1.0
00
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
DB Group has a very good access to capital marketsIn 2012 we expect to tap the bond markets for up to €
2 bnWe plan to issue benchmark bonds in the capital markets and private placements in 2012
Total: €
16.8 bn, Ø
p.a.: €
1.4 bn
<2.0
Bond issues 2000-12 (€
bn) Remarks
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48Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Ratings
Very good ratings:
Moody’s:
Aa1/stable S&P: AA/stable
Fitch:
AA/stableRatings confirmed in 2012
Major refinancing activities in 2011
EUR 500 mn bond with a 3.750 % coupon issued in MaiEUR 500 mn bond with a 2.875 % coupon issued in JuneEUR 200 mn bond with a 3.750 % coupon issued in JulyCHF 375 mn (€
323 mn) bond with a 1.500 % coupon issued in JulyNOK 750 mn (€
95 mn) bond with a 3.375 coupon issued in AugustHKD 836 mn (€
78 mn) bond with a 2.000 % coupon issued in OctoberNOK 500 mn (€
65 mn) bond with a 3.375% coupon issued in OctoberEUR 92 mn bond with a 3.535 % coupon issued in NovemberEUR 60 mn bond with a variable coupon at 3M-Euribor+50 bp issued in NovemberUSD 200 mn (€
146 mn) bond with a variable coupon at 3M-Euribor+82,5 bp issued in November
Interest-bearing debt
(%)
Maturity profile of financial debt (as of Dec 31, 2011; €
bn; incl. underlying swaps)
Bonds Eurofima EIBBank
Currency structure MTN program
Federal loans Leasing (as of Dec 31, 2011)
Bonds MTN78%
EUROFIMA7%
Bank6%
Other9%
NOK1%
CHF9%
EUR81%
USD1%
JPY7%
HKD1%
(as of Dec 31, 2011)
Total volume in 2011:
€
2,059 mn
1.7
1.4
1.2
1.1
2.2
1.5
1.9 1.8
1.7 1.7
1.1
0.2 0.2 0.2
0.5
Debt and financing
Rating and financing activities
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49Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
Long-distancetransport
Land transport
Contract
logistics/SCM
Air/ocean freight
Regionaltransport
Rail infrastructure
Rail freighttransport
Skills and current positions
Successfully developed transport networks ensure top market positions
DB
worldwide
No. 2
Air freight
No. 2
Long-distance rail passenger transport
No. 1
Regional rail passenger transport
No. 2
Urban bus transport
No. 1
Rail infrastructure
No. 1
Rail freight
transport
No. 3
Ocean freight
No. 5
Contract logistics/SCM
No. 1
Land transport
Our transport networks DB
in Europe
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50Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
Contacts
DB road show team
Dr. Richard LutzCFO
Wolfgang ReuterGroup Treasurer, Head of Mergers and Acquisitions
Tel.:
+49 30 297-64300
Address
Deutsche Bahn
AG/
DB Mobility Logistics AG
Europaplatz
1
10557 Berlin
Germany
Internet
www.deutschebahn.com/ir-e
www.deutschebahn.com/ir-dbml-e
Robert Allen StrehlHead of Investor Relations
Tel.:
+49 30 297-64030
Sascha
FriedrichManager Investor Relations
Tel.:
+49 30 297-64032
Hartwig
SchneidereitHead of Capital Market Financing
Tel.:
+49 30 297-64010
Marcus MehlingerHead of Equity and Debt Financing
Tel.:
+49 30 297-64006
Ute HaasCapital Market Financing
Tel.:
+49 30 297-64007
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51Deutsche Bahn AG Road Show Europe 2012
Appendix
Disclaimer and photo credits
This information contains forward-looking statements or trend information that are based on current beliefs and estimates of Deutsche Bahn
AG’s/DB Mobility Logistics AG´s
management and involves known and unknown risks and uncertainties. They are not guarantees of future performance. In addition to statements which are forward-looking by reason of context, including without limitation, statements referring to risk limitations, operational profitability, financial strength,
performance targets, profitable growth opportunities, and risk adequate pricing, as well as the words "may, will, should, expects, plans, intends, anticipates, believes, estimates, predicts, or continue", "potential, future, or further", and similar expressions identify forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause the Company's actual results or performance to be materially different from those expressed or implied by such statements. Many of these risks and uncertainties relate to
factors that are beyond Deutsche Bahn
AG’s/DB Mobility Logistics AG’s ability to control or estimate precisely, e.g. future market and
economic conditions and the behavior of market participants. Deutsche Bahn
AG and DB Mobility Logistics AG do not intend or assume any obligation to update these forward-looking statements. This document represents the Company‘s judgment as on the date of this presentation.
Page 2
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Jo Kirchherr, Claus Weber
Page 9
–
ClipDealer
(#393325), Max Lautenschläger, Wolfgang Klee, Michael Neuhaus
Page 10
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Tobias Heyer, ClipDealer
(#218972), ClipDealer
(#132843), Simon Kent, ClipDealer
(#245691)
Page 12
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Jo Kirchherr, Claus Weber, ClipDealer
(#70420), S. Müller
Page 27
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Jochen Manz, Christian Bedeschinski
Page 28
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Thomas Schwörer
Page 29
–
ClipDealer
(#70420)
Page 30
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Heiner Müller-Elsner
Page 31
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GettyImages
(#88752051)
Page 32
– S. Müller
Page 33
–
Bartlomiej
Banaszak
Page 48
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Günter Jazbec, Ralf Braum, Claus Weber, Stefan Warter, Rainer Garbe, Michael Neuhaus
Disclaimer
Photo credits