annex a - list of maps and tables list of figures · 2019. 7. 8. · figure 5.32 perceived...
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ESPON ECR2 SCIENTIFIC REPORT 1
Annex A - List of maps and tables
List of figures
Figure 3.1 The Panarchy model of System Change (adapted from Pendall et al,
2010).
Figure 4.1 Proportion of trade undertaken with other EU economies and
external to the EU
Figure 4.2 Number of national economies in decline across the ESPON space
1990-2011
Figure 4.3 Annual incidence of employment and GDP decline at a regional level
Figure 4.4 Percentage loss in employment from pre-crisis peak (1990s, by region)
Figure 4.5 Period taken to recover to pre-crisis peak employment (years, by
region)
Figure 4.6 Employment losses in selected economies (Millenial downturn)
Figure 5.1 GDP change in EU economies
Figure 5.2 Employment decline by region (%, peak year to 2011)
Figure 5.3 Impact of the crisis within ESPON states
Figure 5.4 Intra-country differences in employment experience
Figure 5.5 Employment losses by sector (NACE2, 2008-11)
Figure 5.6 Variations in sectoral employment change across countries (Max-Min
by country, %)
Figure 5.7 Unemployment rates in EU (2000-2013)
Figure 5.8 Regional unemployment rates by country (2007)
Figure 5.9 Regional unemployment rates by country (2011)
Figure 5.10 Change in range between highest and lowest unemployment (2007-
11, by country)
Figure 5.11 Changes in EU trade volume, 2000-2011
Figure 5.12 Ratio of gross household debt to income (EU28)
Figure 5.13a Declining household debt:income ratios
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Figure 5.13b Rapid increase-decline in household debt:income ratios
Figure 5.13c Gradual increase-decline in household debt:income ratios
Figure 5.13d Marked increase-decline in household debt:income ratios
Figure 5.13e Increasing household debt:income ratios
Figure 5.14 Trends in Government debt (% GDP)
Figure 5.15 Change in proportion of population living in low work intensity
households (2008-12, %)
Figure 5.16 Change in the total number of hours worked (2005-2011, %)
Figure 5.17 Change in total level of employment compensation (2008-11, %)
Figure 5.18 Change in total household disposable income (2008-12, %)
Figure 5.19 Population at risk of poverty (2011)
Figure 5.20 Changes in proportion of population at risk of poverty (NUTS2)
Figure 5.21 Comparative net migration rates (2001-07, 2008-11)
Figure 5.22 House price index 2007-12
Figure 5.23 Public perceptions of their national economy
Figure 5.24 Proportion of residents who believe worst of crisis is still to come (%)
Figure 5.25 Change in proportion of residents who believe worst of the crisis is
still to come
Figure 5.26 Proportion of respondents Very Confident in their ability to keep their
job (%)
Figure 5.27 Proportion of respondents Not At All or Not Very Confident in their
ability to keep their job (%)
Figure 5.28 Extent to which the crisis is having an impact on your personal
situation (% respondents)
Figure 5.29 Employment effects, as a direct response to the crisis
Figure 5.30 Perceived change in level of poverty in past 12 months in area where
respondents live (% all respondents)
Figure 5.31 Perceived proportion of population in area living in poverty in 2009 (%
respondents)
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Figure 5.32 Perceived proportion of population in area living in poverty in 2011 (%
respondents)
Figure 5.33 Change in proportion of residents believing that about 30% or more of
residents live in poverty (2009-2011)
Figure 6.1 GDP Resilience of Regions (NUTS 2)
Figure 6.2 Employment Resilience of Regions (NUTS 2)
Figure 6.3 GDP vs Employment Resilience
Figure 6.4 Relative regional resilience
Figure 6.5 Speed of recovery to pre-crisis peak employment levels (early 1990s,
NUTS 2 regions)
Figure 7.1 Themes and domains of EKOSGEN index
Figure 8.1 Reason for part-time working for employees (Estonia, 2009)
Figure 8.2 Examples of local promotion: Ireland and Wales
LIST OF MAPS
Map 4.1 Resistant and Hysteretic Regions
Map 5.1 NUTS2 Regions in Recession by GDP 2006
Map 5.2 NUTS2 Regions in Recession by Employment 2006
Map 5.3 NUTS2 Regions in Recession be GDP 2007
Map 5.4 NUTS2 Regions in Recession by Employment 2007
Map 5.5 Countries in Recession by GDP 2007
Map 5.6 Countries in Recession by Employment 2007
Map 5.7 Countries in Recession by GDP 2008
Map 5.8 Countries in Recession by Employment 2008
Map 5.9 NUTS2 Regions in Recession by Employment 2008
Map 5.10 NUTS2 Regions in Recession by GDP 2008
Map 5.11 Countries in Recession by GDP 2009
Map 5.12 Countries in Recession by Employment 2009
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Map 5.13 NUTS2 Regions in Recession by GDP 2009
Map 5.14 NUTS2 Regions in Recession by Employment 2009
Map 5.15 NUTS2 Regions in Recession by GDP 2010
Map 5.16 NUTS2 Regions in Recession by Employment 2010
Map 5.17 NUTS2 Regions in Recession by GDP 2011
Map 5.18 NUTS2 Regions in Recession by Employment 2011
Map 5.19 Employment Loss During the Crisis
Map 5.20 Regions with Unemployment Rates Below 4%
Map 5.22 Youth Unemployment
Map 6.1 Resilience by Employment by Country: Resistant
Map 6.2 Resilience by GDP by Country: Resistant
Map 6.3 Resilience by GDP by Country: Recovered
Map 6.4 Resilience by Employment by Country: Recovered
Map 6.5 Resilience by GDP by Country: Upturn not recovered
Map 6.6 Resilience by Employment by Country: Upturn not recovered
Map 6.7 Resilience by GDP by Country: No upturn not recovered
Map 6.8 Resilience by Employment by Country: No upturn not recovered
Map 6.9 Employment and GDP Resilience Compared
Map 6.10 NUTS3 Resilience
Map 6.11 Resilience by GDP by NUTS2 Region: Resistant
Map 6.12 Resilience by GDP by NUTS2 Region: Recovered
Map 6.13 Resilience by GDP by NUTS2 Region: Upturn not recovered
Map 6.14 Resilience by GDP by NUTS2 Region: No upturn not recovered
Map 6.15 Resilience by Employment by NUTS2 Region: Resistant
Map 6.16 Resilience by Employment by NUTS2 Region: Recovered
Map 6.17 Resilience by Employment by NUTS2 Region: Upturn not recovered
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Map 6.18 Resilience by Employment by NUTS2 Region: No upturn not recovered
Map 6.19 Employment Resilience
Map 6.20 GDP Resilience
Map 6.21 Relative Regional Resilience
Map 6.22 Coastal Territories and Resilience
Map 6.23 Mountain Territories and Resilience
Map 6.24 Border Territories and Resilience
Map 6.25 Island Territories and Resilience
Map 7.1 Resilience score of European economies
Map 7.2 Regional Resilience in the US
List of tables
Box 1.1 Defining economic crisis
Table 4.1 International support for Member States
Table 4.2 Economic downturn in the ESPON space (Millenial downturn)
Table 5.1 Employment decline across territorial groupings (%, peak year to
2011)
Table 5.2 Duration of crisis across territorial groupings (peak year to 2011)
Table 5.3 Steepness of employment decline (%, peak year to 2011)
Table 5.4 Employment change by sector (2008-11)
Table 5.5 Regional rates of unemployment (2007 and 2011)
Table 5.6 Change in peak regional unemployment and disparities within states
(2007-11)
Table 5.7 Households ability to keep up with household bills and credit
commitments (%)
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Table 5.8 Impact of Crisis on Member States (2007-11)
Table 6.1 Employment Resilience of NUTS 3 Territories
Table 6.2 Relative Regional Resilience: outlying cases
Table 6.3 Urban Rural Type and Regional Resilience
Table 6.4 Metro Type and Regional Resilience
Table 6.5 Coastal Regions and Regional Resilience
Table 6.6 Mountain Regions and Regional Resilience
Table 6.7 Border Regions and Regional Resilience
Table 6.8 Industrial Restructuring and Regional Resilience
Table 6.9 Changing Industry Share (1997-2007) and Regional Resilience
Table 6.10 Regional Innovation Performance and Regional Resilience
Table 6.11 Cohesion Policy Eligibility (2007-13) and Regional Resilience
Table 7.1 Indicators of national economic resilience
Table 7.2 Indicators of Resilience Capacity
Table 7.3 Indicators of Components of Resilience
Table 7.4 FTEE, average growth over 8 years (cgr_FTEE, period =8)
Table 7.5 Unemployment rate, level (cl_UR)
Table 7.6 Change of the unemployment rate over 7 years (cd_UR, period=7)
Table 7.7 Average unemployment rate over 7 years (cma_UR, period=7)
Table 7.8 Participation rate, level (cl_PR)
Table 7.9 Share of employment in the agricultural sector in total employment,
level (cl_STR_ESAB)
Table 7.10 Employment in the construction sector, level (cl_ESF)
Table 7.11 Change in the number of employed persons in construction over 7
years (cd_ESF, period=7)
Table 7.12 Share of employment in the construction sector in total employment,
level (cl_STR_ESF)
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Table 7.13 Share of employment in the services sector in total employment, level
(cl_STR_ESGS)
Table 7.14 Change in the share of employment in the services sector in total
employment over 7 years (cd_STR_ESGS, period=7)
Table 7.15 Household disposable income, average growth over 7 years
(cgr_HHDI)
Table 7.16 Educational attainment, level (cl_EA)
Table 7.17 Educational attainment, average growth over 4 years (cgr_EA,
period=4)
Table 7.18 Timing of the Economic Crisis
Table 7.19a Labour Market Characteristics, employment and the Economic Crisis
Table 7.19b Labour Market Characteristics, GDP and the Economic Crisis
Table 7.20a Demographic Characteristics, employment and the Economic Crisis
Table 7.20b Demographic Characteristics, GDP and the Economic Crisis
Table 7.21a Industrial Composition, Employment and the Economic Crisis
Table 7.21b Industrial Composition, GDP and the Economic Crisis
Table 7.22a Migration, Accessibility, employment and the Economic Crisis
Table 7.22b Migration, Accessibility, GDP and the Economic Crisis
Table 7.23a Capital, Investment, employment and the Economic Crisis
Table 7.23b Capital, Investment, GDP and the Economic Crisis
Table 7.24a Utilisation of Information Technology, Employment and the Economic
Crisis
Table 7.24b Utilisation of Information Technology, GDP and the Economic Crisis
Table 7.25a Utilisation of Science and Technology, employment and the Economic
Crisis
Table 7.25b Utilisation of Science and Technology, employment and the Economic
Crisis
Table 7.26a Income, competitiveness, employment and Economic Crisis
Table 7.26b Income, competitiveness, GDP and Economic Crisis
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Table 7.27a Regional Innovation, employment and Economic Crisis
Table 7.27b Regional Innovation, GDP and Economic Crisis
Table 7.28 Accounting for Response to Economic Crisis
Table 7.29 Accounting for the Resilience to Economic Crisis
Table 8.1 Structural composition of Wales vs UK
Annex B – Data coverage and list of missing data
Data coverage
Country Code NUTS III Data availability
Employment Data Availability
GDP Data Availability
AL No N 95-09 N 96 - 09
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AT Yes 90 - 11 90 – 11
BE Yes 90 – 11 90 – 11
BG Yes 90 – 11 90 – 11
CH No 95 - 11 95 – 11
CY Yes N 90 - 11 90 – 11
CZ Yes 90 – 11 90 – 11
DE Yes 90 - 11 90 – 11
DK Yes 90 - 11 90 – 11
EE Yes N 90 - 11 90 – 11
ES Yes 90 – 11 90 - 11
FL Yes 90 – 11 90 – 11
FR Yes 90 – 11 90 – 11
GR Yes 90 – 11 90 – 11
HR No 00, 08, 11 00 – 08 N 95 – 11
HU Yes 90 – 11 90 – 11
IE Yes 90 – 11 90 – 11
IS No N 95 - 10 N 90 – 11
IT Yes 90 - 11 90 – 11
LI No No Data No data
LT Yes N 90 - 11 N 90 - 11
LU Yes N 90 – 11 N 90 - 11
LV Yes N 90 – 11 N 90 – 11
MK No No Data No Data
MT Yes N 90 - 11 N 90 – 11
NL Yes 90 – 11 90 – 11
NO Yes 90 – 11 90 – 11
PL Yes 90 – 11 90 – 11
PT Yes 90 - 11 90 – 11
RO Yes 90 – 11 90 – 11
RS No N 04 – 10 N 04 – 10
SE Yes 90 – 11 90 – 11
SI Yes 90 – 11 90 – 11
SK Yes 90 – 11 90 – 11
TR No No Data No Data
UK Yes 90 – 11 90 – 11
N=Only national data available
Missing data
No data available: Turkey
Macedonia
Lichtenstein
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Only national data available: Serbia
Albania
Iceland
Luxembourg
Latvia
Lithuania
Malta
Only national employment data: Cyprus
Estonia
Annex C - ECR2 Glossary of acronyms
CAS - Complex adaptive system
CEO - Chief executive officer
DEI – Greece's public energy corporation
ECB- European Central Bank
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EEG – Evolutionary economic geography
EFSF – European Financial Stability Facility
GDP – Gross Domestic Product
HEI – Higher education institution
HRST - Human Resources devoted to Science and Technology
IMF - International Monetary Fund
KET - Key Enabling Technology
NACE A - primary industries
NACE B-E - manufacturing industries
NACE F - construction sector
NACE J - ICT
NACE L - real estate sector
NACE M-N - Professional, scientific and technical services
NACE R-U - Arts, entertainment, recreation and other services
NACE O- Q - public sector employment sectors
NICE – Non inflationary continuous expansion
NUTS - Nomenclature of territorial units for statistics
OECD – Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development
RMBS - residential mortgage-backed securities
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Annex E – List of data produced
Please see affiliated excel document for data.
Resilience outcomes following 1990s downturn
Relative Regional Resilience (R3) current cases
Economic resilience employment NUTS 2
Economic resilience employment National
Economic resilience GDP NUTS 2
Economic resilience GDP National
Economic resilience comparison of employment and GDP NUTS 2
Regional economic resilience NUTS3