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Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week October 25, 2007 PAYBACK ON SOLAR ELECTRICITY

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Page 1: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Andy Black, OnGrid Solar

Solar Energy Week

October 25, 2007

PAYBACK ON SOLAR ELECTRICITY

Page 2: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 2

Introductions & Thanks

California Center for Sustainable EnergyAshley E. Watkins

Andy Black, OnGrid SolarSolar Financial Analyst, Software

You for coming!

Page 3: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 3

Financial Payback

Payback on solar isn’t the most important thing…

… it’s the only thing the vast majority of potential solar purchasers care about

Page 4: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 4

Right or Wrong

95% see energy as a commodity Few will pay more Must meet them on their terms:

$$ FINANCIAL! $$

Page 5: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 5

Attractive Economics

PV systems can be financially attractive to customers using > $100/mo in CA

Attractive defined as: Rate of Return > 9% Property Value Increase > System Cost Bill Savings > Loan Cost

Page 6: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 6

Payback AnalysisWhy is it Needed?

If we’re going to put solar on every roof, it needs to make $ense.

Page 7: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 7

Agenda

What Makes PV Attractive The Variables

How Do We Figure It Analysis Methods

Commercial & Residential Examples

Page 8: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 8

The Variables That Make Solar Attractive

Favorable Rates & Structures Incentives Good Sunlight & Declining PV Costs

Page 9: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 9

Favorable Rates & Structures

Net Metering High Rates

Inflation Tiers

Helpful Rate Structures Time of Use

Page 10: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 10

Net Metering

Sell Power to the Utility by Day

.

Buy Power at Night and Winter

•Exchange at Retail•100% Efficient Battery•Annual Cycle•$0 minimum bill

Page 11: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 11

California Public Utilities Commission

-

2.00

4.00

6.00

8.00

10.00

12.00

14.00

16.00

Residential 2.23 2.31 2.46 2.63 3.37 3.64 3.82 4.23 4.48 4.47 5.86 6.51 7.67 7.12 7.07 7.78 7.94 8.04 8.54 9.45 9.98 10.79 11.08 11.30 11.43 11.61 11.32 11.32 11.32 11.32 11.32 14.40

Small Business 1.71 1.81 1.92 2.09 2.74 2.98 3.28 4.11 4.47 4.46 6.14 6.59 7.43 7.31 7.52 8.06 8.25 8.01 8.24 8.64 8.98 9.59 9.92 9.99 10.36 10.26 9.78 9.78 9.78 9.78 9.78 14.37

Large Business 0.99 1.03 1.13 1.28 1.96 2.29 2.60 3.23 3.67 3.74 5.47 6.18 7.25 6.77 6.68 7.51 7.38 6.95 6.88 7.13 7.28 7.58 7.59 7.33 7.09 7.37 6.93 6.93 6.93 6.93 6.93 11.42

19701971 1972 19731974 1975 19761977 19781979 19801981 1982 1983 1984 1985 19861987 19881989 19901991 1992 1993 1994 19951996 1997 19981999 20002001

Source: Prepared by the CPUC Energy Division. Dataset from Energy Information Administration (EIA), DOE/EIA-0376(95), State Energy Price and Expenditure Report, 1995, Tables 36-38. 1996 through 2000 reflects AB 1890 frozen rates. 2001 rates include 4 cent increase in SCE and PG&E Rates.

*Rates only for SCE and PG&E.

Residential

Small Business

Large Business

1982

Cen

ts p

er k

ilow

att-

ho

ur California Electric Rates

Residential, Small Business, and Large Business Sectors 1970 to 2001*

Page 12: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 12

SDG&E Residential Tiered RatesResidential onlyPenalizes larger residential usersExcellent motivator of efficiency, conservation & PVSurcharge currently +13¢/kWh for Tier 5

Base is 13¢/kWh Top is 26¢/kWh

Residential Tiered Usage Before Solar

10¢

15¢

20¢

25¢

30¢

35¢

40¢

319, Tier 1415, Tier 2 639, Tier 3 958, Tier 4

Tier 5

Usage (kWh/mo at top of tier) & Tier

Cents per kWh

Usage

Page 13: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 13

Small “Net” Use After SolarMarginal Use at 13¢ - 15¢ .

SDG&E Tiered Rate System

Use/Bill Before Solar Marginal Use at 26¢

Solar systems offset the most expensive usage first

Questions?

Residential Tiered Usage Before Solar

10¢

15¢

20¢

25¢

30¢

35¢

40¢

319, Tier 1415, Tier 2 639, Tier 3 958, Tier 4

Tier 5

Usage (kWh/mo at top of tier) & Tier

Cents per kWh

Usage

Residential Tiered Usage With Solar

10¢

15¢

20¢

25¢

30¢

35¢

40¢

319, Tier 1415, Tier 2 639, Tier 3 958, Tier 4

Tier 5

Usage (kWh/mo at top of tier) & Tier

Cents per kWh

Net Usage Production

Page 14: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 14

Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday

Midnight - 6am Off-Peak Off-Peak Off-Peak Off-Peak Off-Peak Off-Peak Off-Peak

6am - Noon Off-Peak Off-Peak Off-Peak Off-Peak Off-Peak Off-Peak Off-Peak

Noon - 6pm Off-Peak Peak Peak Peak Peak Peak Off-Peak

6pm - Midnight Off-Peak Off-Peak Off-Peak Off-Peak Off-Peak Off-Peak Off-Peak

Residential "DR-TOU" Time-of-Use Pricing Periods

Time Of Use Residential SDG&E DR-TOU

Compare to 15¢/kWh average base rate Peak rates are Summer Afternoons 16¢/kWh + tier surcharges

… when most people are away from home

Off-Peak rates are Nights, Mornings & Weekends 13¢/kWh… when most people are home & using

Page 15: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 15

Time Of Use Commercial SDG&E AL-TOU

Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday

Midnight - 6am Off-Peak Off-Peak Off-Peak Off-Peak Off-Peak Off-Peak Off-Peak

6am - 11am Off-Peak Part-Peak Part-Peak Part-Peak Part-Peak Part-Peak Off-Peak

11am - 6pm Off-Peak Peak Peak Peak Peak Peak Off-Peak

6pm - 10pm Off-Peak Part-Peak Part-Peak Part-Peak Part-Peak Part-Peak Off-Peak

10pm - Midnight Off-Peak Off-Peak Off-Peak Off-Peak Off-Peak Off-Peak Off-Peak

Commercial "AL-TOU" Time-of-Use Pricing Periods

Compare to A: 14-18¢/kWh & AD: 9¢/kWh + Demand Charges

Use and/or Sell On-Peak @ 15¢/kWh, Part-Peak @ 9¢/kWh Use Off-Peak (nights & weekends): 7¢/kWh + Smaller Demand Charges

More usage on peak, less benefit from TOU

Questions?

Page 16: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 16

Time of Use with Annual Net Metering

Net Metering on an annual basis

Combined with Time Of Use metering

Sell High, Buy Low Ratio in customer favor Can reduce system size 0-30%

Reduction depends on % on-peak usage, demand Shading and orientation

Page 17: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 17

Time of day

shading analysis

Page 18: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 18

System Performance Loss Performance VariableFactor Factor

9-12% 88-91% Module Temperature

4-11% 89-96% Inverter Efficiency

5-15% 85-95% Dust & Dirt

2-10% 90-98% Module Degradation over 20 years

1.5-5% 95-98.5% Wiring (AC & DC sides)

1.5-2.5% 97.5-98.5% Module Mismatch

0-10% 90-100% Manufacturer Production Tolerance

0-40% 60-100% Orientation & Tilt

0-100% 0-100% Shading

Questions?

Page 19: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 19

Current Incentives

$2.50 -> $2.20 -> $1.90 / Watt rebate Commercial Soon -> $1.90/Watt Residential Soon -> $2.20/Watt

30% Federal tax credit Uncapped for Commercial Capped at $2,000 on Residential Ends 12/31/08, may be extended Residential cap may increase

Page 20: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 20

The Ideal Situation

Residence electric bill > $100/month No Shade Facing Southwest or South 5:12 roof pitch

Page 21: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 21

Agenda

What Makes PV Attractive The Variables

How Do We Figure It Analysis Methods

Commercial & Residential Examples

Page 22: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 22

Test the Viability of Solar

Total Lifecycle Payback Rate of Return analysis Cash Flow when financing Increase in Appraisal Valuation

Page 23: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 23

Annual Savings Before and After Payback

$-

$2,000

$4,000

$6,000

$8,000

$10,000

$12,000

$14,000

$16,000

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25

Year

Annual Savings

Annual Savings Before Payback

Annual Savings After Payback

Payback Year (Occurs at 9.4 Years)

Total Savings (whole area) is much larger than Initial Cost

Total Lifecycle Payback

Initial Cost

Total Savings

Page 24: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 24

Total Lifecycle Payback Commercial Examples (SDG&E)

Pre-Solar Bill

kWh per

Month Usage

System AC

Size

Fin a l Net Cost w/ Tax

Benefits &

Rebate

Cumula t ive Savi n gs

over first 25 years

(in clud ing infl a tio n )

Lifecycle Payback

Ratio

$3 3 4 20 0 0 10kW $15K $58K 39 6 %

$9 8 3 60 0 0 30kW $41K $1 7 7K 43 2 %

$3 2 56 20 0 00 100kW $1 2 7K $5 9 4K 46 7 %

Page 25: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 25

Total Lifecycle Payback Residential Examples (SDG&E)

Pre-Solar Bill

kWh per

Month Usage

System AC Size

Fin a l Net Cost w/ Tax

Benefits &

Rebate

Cumula t ive Savi n gs

over first 25 years

(in clud ing infl a tio n )

Lifecycle Payback

Ratio

$1 1 5 665 3kW $20K $38K 19 1 %

$2 3 7 11 5 0 6kW $39K $91K 23 2 %

$3 8 1 17 0 0 9kW $58K $1 4 9K 25 7 %

Page 26: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 26

Watt’$ the Rate %f Return?

Page 27: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 27

Rate of Return Analysis

Means: Finding the effective interest rate yield on the solar investment Uses Internal Rate of Return (IRR) analysis

Compound Annual Rate of Return (CARR) Useful for comparison with other investments w/

known Rates of Return I.e. Stocks: 10.5% over last 80 years Commercial/business investments Cost of issuing municipal bonds

Questions?

Page 28: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 28

Careful Set Up

Include all factors affecting the results Look over long term - 25 years Include cost and benefit components

Bill Savings, Inflation, & Tax Benefits Maintenance & Inverter replacement

Include all real factors that affect system performance

Page 29: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 29

Ideal Rates of Return Commercial Examples (SDG&E)

Pre-Solar Bill

kWh per

Month Usage

System AC

Size

System Gross Cost

Final Net Cost w/

Tax Benefits &

Rebate

EPBB After-Tax

Annual Return

PBI After-Tax

Annual Return

$334 2000 10kW $85K $15K 8.6% 7.9%

$983 6000 30kW $247K $41K 9.3% 8.4%

$3256 20000 100kW $799K $127K 9.8% 8.8%

Page 30: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 30

Ideal Rates of Return Residential Examples (SDG&E)

Pre-Solar Bill

kWh per

Month Usage

System AC Size

System Gross Cost

Final Net Cost w/

Tax Benefits &

Rebate

Pre-Tax Annual Return

$115 665 3kW $28K $20K 9.8%

$237 1150 6kW $55K $39K 11.5%

$381 1700 9kW $81K $58K 12.6%

Page 31: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 31

Watt’$ the Cash Flow?

Page 32: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 32

Cash Flow

Compares the savings on the utility bill with the cost of financing the system

At today’s rates (~8%) and including rebate benefits, cash flow is often positive immediately Cost of borrowing < savings on electric bill Stabilizes long term utility costs

Page 33: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 33

Cash Flow Residential system

offsetting a large bill

8% 20 year loan Many Systems are

cash positive from Year 0

Spike is Inverter Replacement Cost

Annual Costs: Solar plus Loan vs. No Solar

$-

$2,000

$4,000

$6,000

$8,000

$10,000

$12,000

$14,000

$16,000

$18,000

$20,000

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25Years

Annual Cost

Old Utility Bill w/ 5.0% inflation Solar Cost w/ Loan

Net Annual Savings

$(4,000)

$(2,000)

$-

$2,000

$4,000

$6,000

$8,000

$10,000

$12,000

$14,000

$16,000

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25

Years

Annual Savings

Net Annual Savings (Old Bill minus Solar with Loan)

Page 34: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 34

Cash Flow Commercial Examples (SDG&E)

Pre-Solar Bill

kWh per

Month Usage

System AC Size

System Gross Cost

Amount Financed

Net Cash Flow

Compared to 8% 10 -yr

Loan

$334 2000 10kW $85K $15K $112/mo

$983 6000 30kW $247K $41K $374/mo

$3256 20000 100kW $799K $127K $1,352/mo

Page 35: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 35

Cash Flow Residential Examples (SDG&E)

Pre-Solar Bill

kWh per

Month Usage

System AC Size

System Gross Cost

Amount Financed

Net Cash Flow

Compared to 8% 30 -yr

Loan

$115 665 3kW $28K $20K $-27/mo

$237 1150 6kW $55K $39K $-21/mo

$381 1700 9kW $81K $58K $-1/mo

Page 36: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 36

Watt’$ the Resale Value?

Page 37: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 37

Increase in Appraisal Valuation

Solar electric systems add value to homes by:Reducing or eliminating electric energy

operating costs

Page 38: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 38

Reduced Cost Increases Value

$1000/year savings in a residence. Nevin in the Appraisal Journal states: ‘The

increase in appraisal value for a home is about twenty (20) times the annual reduction in operating costs due to energy efficiency measures.’

Electric bill savings: $1,000 per year -- Increased appraisal value: $20,000.

Article refers to residential only. Use “Cap Rate” for commercial value.

Page 39: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 39

The Rational

The $1,000 not spent on electricity, is available to be spent on an equity loan payment…

… at no net change in the cost of living.

Page 40: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 40

20:1 Ratio

Based on 5% after tax cost of money Typical long term mortgage average

rates (8.3% before tax)

Page 41: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 41

Equity Increase Residential Examples (SDG&E)

Pre-Solar Bill

kWh per

Month Usage

System AC Size

Annual Savings

Final Net Cost w/ Tax Benefits &

Rebate

Appraisal Equity

Increase

$115 665 3kW $881 $20K $18K

$237 1150 6kW $2,122 $39K $42K

$381 1700 9kW $3,449 $58K $69K

Page 42: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 42

Equity Increase Commercial Examples (SDG&E)

Pre-Solar Bill

kWh per

Month Usage

System AC

Size

Annual Savings

Final Net Cost w/

Tax Benefits & Rebate

Value Increase Based On Cap Rate of 6.0%

Value Increase Based On

20x

$334 2000 10kW $2,454 $15K $41K $49K

$983 6000 30kW $7,474 $41K $125K $149K

$3256 20000 100kW $25,065 $127K $418K $501K

Page 43: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 43

Most PV is New

Most systems are new (< 5 years old) 95% installed in last four years

Normal occupancy is 5-7 years Most have not been offered for sale Most solar homeowners seem to be

planning on staying longer than average

Page 44: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 44

Biases

It has to look good too

© Sharp Solar

Page 45: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 45

©Alan Wood

If It’s Weird…

Page 46: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 46

The OnGrid Solar Financial Analysis Tool

A Sales & Design ToolFor use by PV salespeople

Proves the Payback Produces Proposals Produces Sales Paperwork

Page 47: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 47

Proves the Payback:Financial Analysis Methods

Simple Payback Total Lifecycle Payback Rate of Return analysis Cash Flow when financing Increase in Appraisal Valuation Provides spreadsheet of numbers for

proofPower Purchase Agreements & LeasesGrant Applications

Annual Savings Before and After Payback

$-

$2,000

$4,000

$6,000

$8,000

$10,000

$12,000

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25Year

Annual Savings

Annual Savings Before PaybackPayback Year (Occurs at 9.7 Years)Annual Savings After Payback

$-

$50,000

$100,000

$150,000

$200,000

$250,000

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25Years

Resale Value

Effective Resale Value (lesser of 20x annual or remaining 25yr savings)20 times Annual SavingsRemaining savings within 25 years

$-

$2,000

$4,000

$6,000

$8,000

$10,000

$12,000

$14,000

$16,000

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25Years

$(6,000)

$(4,000)

$(2,000)

$-

$2,000

$4,000

$6,000

$8,000

$10,000

$12,000

$14,000

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25Years

Page 48: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 48

Quotation & Contractfor a Renewable Energy Power System

OnGrid Solar Salesperson: Andy Black

4175 Renaissance Dr #4 Phone: (408) 428-0808San Jose, CA 95134 Email: [email protected]

Contractor's License Number: Cont. Lic. # July 4, 2006Contractor's License Type: Cont Lic Type

Client: Site Address: 117 So Mary Ave, #30Mr. Sunny Customer and Ms. Happy Buyer Sunnyvale, CA 94087

Solar User Inc.(408) 111 1111H, (408) 222 2222C, (408) 333 3333x333W Mailing Address: 117 So Mary Ave, #[email protected] Sunnyvale, CA 94087

PROJECT DESCRIPTION and MAJOR COMPONENTS: System Size (kW DC, STC) 12.272 kWA 10.2 kW PV System, with turn-key installation at customer's site address stated above. System Size (kW AC, CEC) 10.220 kW

Mounting type: Composite roof.

Major System Components: System Pricing Details91,433$

Module STC rating: 208W(26,572)$

64,861$

Payment Schedule:Inverter rating: 3800W each Event (%) Amount Approximate Date

1,000$ July 17, 200644,717$ July 31, 2006

Standard Components: 36,573$ October 23, 2006-$ -$

9,143$ November 6, 2006Total Sale Price**: 91,433$

Time for Completion:Additional Components:

October 23, 2006November 6, 2006

Monitoring: Construction Commencement Schedule:Standard monitor/display built into inverter

X Delivery of material to site, or____ __________________________________________________________

Standard Labor:Design system and secure basic building or electrical permit

(Architectural, planning commission or other reviews are extra)Install specified system in good workman like mannerComplete and submit utility interconnection documents Additional Contract Provisions:Coordinate building, electrical and utility inspections 1. All payments are due Net 10 days. 1% interest per month carrying charge.

Additional Work:3. **Installer will refund rebate to customer within 3 days of receipt from the State4. Quoted price includes electric utility fees, but not permit fees

ALLOWANCES: The following items or specific prices as indicated are included in the contract price as allowances.

The contract price shall be adjusted based upon actual amounts rather than estimated amounts herein:_X_ none or (1) _____________________________________________(2) ________________________________________________________(3) ________________________________________________________

This quotation price is valid for 14 days from the above date, quoted schedule is valid for 3 days.Salesperson Signature: Date:

Customer Acceptance Signature: Date:(to be signed when customer decides to purchase)

5. This PV system includes a\the 5-year warranty required by the California Energy Commission.

2. *System Completion occurs upon building or electrical inspectors permit signoff. Utility inspection typically occurs 4 to 14 days after permit signoff.

Initial Deposit (10% or $1,000)Upon ordering of materials (49%)

Installed System Price including Sales Tax & Shipping (before Rebate)

and shall be substantially completed within 14 days or approximately on:

Commencement of work shall be defined as

Upon municipal building/electrical inspection* (10%)

The work to be performed by Contractor pursuant to this Agreement shall be commenced

within ________ days from this date or approximately on:

If the customer decides to purchase the goods and services outlined above, this document shall become part of the Agreement for Supply and Installationof a Renewable Energy Power System which specifies additional terms and boilerplate consumer rights as part of a Home Improvement Contract.

Estimated Buy-Down Program Rebate at $2.60/W** to be paid to the installerContract Price Net to Customer

Roofing sealant or flashings as needed

AC and DC disconnects per National Electric Code and Utility

Contractor's failure to substantially commence work without lawful excuse, within twenty

Upon delivery of materials to the jobsite (40%)

(20) days from the date specified above is a violation of the Contractors License Law.

Wiring, conduit, and overcurrent protection per National Electric Code

59 Sharp Corporation ND-208U1 modules.

3 SMA America SB3800U (240V) inverters.

Racking and mounting components per Uniform Building Code

Your Logo HereP.S. State incentives will decline at the

Sales Docs Prepared: 3 Varieties of Proposal Contract/Quote CSI 2 & 3 Step Applications 3rd Party Authorization Interconnection Agreements

Data entered once Accuracy & Time Savings

SUBMITTED TO THE FOLLOWING.Please check all that apply:

o PG&E o SoCalGas

o SCE o SDG&E

THIS IS A LEGALLY BINDING CONTRACT _ READ IT CAREFULLY(Please Print or Type)

I, Mr. Sunny Customer ownerNAME TITLE (IF APPLICABLE

of Mr. Sunny Customer (Customer) have the following mailing addressNAME OF CUSTOMER OF RECORD

117 So Mary Ave, #30 Sunnyvale CA 94087 , and do hereby appointMAILING ADDRESS CITY STATE ZIP

California Energy Commission of 1516 Ninth St. MS-45NAME OF THIRD PARTY MAILING ADDRESS

Sacramento CA 95814CITY STATE ZIP

to act as my agent and consultant (Agent) for the listed account(s) and in the categories indicated below:

ACCOUNTS INCLUDED IN THIS AUTHORIZATION:

1. 117 So Mary Ave, #30 Sunnyvale Util Acct #SERVICE ADDRESS CITY SERVICE ACCOUNT NUMBER

2.SERVICE ADDRESS CITY SERVICE ACCOUNT NUMBER

3.SERVICE ADDRESS CITY SERVICE ACCOUNT NUMBER

(For more than three accounts, please list additional accounts on a separate sheet and attaceh it to this form)

INFORMATION, ACTS AND FUNCTIONS AUTHORIZED-This authorization provides authority to the Agent. The Agent must thereafterprovide specific written instructions/requests (e-mail is acceptable) about the particular account(s) before any information is released oraction is taken. In certain instances, the requested act or function may result in cost to you, the customer. Requests for information maybe limited to the most recent 12 month period.

I (Customer) authorize my Agent to act on my behalf to perform the following specific acts and functions (initial all applicable boxes):

> 1. Request and receive billing records, billing history and all meter usage data used for bill caclulation fo all of my account(s), as specified herein,

regarding utiltiy services furnished by the Utility1.

> 2. Request and receive copies of correspondence in connection with my account(s) concerning (initial all that apply):

> a. Verification of rate, date of rate change, and related information;> b. Contracts and Service Agreements;

c. Previous or proposed issuance of adjustments/credits; ord. Other previously issued or unresolved/disputed billing adjustments

3. Request investigation of my utility bill(s).

4. Request special metering, and the right to access interval usage and other metering data onmy account(s).

5. Request rate analysis.

6. Request rate changes.

7. Request and receive verification of balances on my accounts(s) anddiscontinuance notices.

1The Utility will provide standard customer information without charge up to two times in a 12 month period per service account. After two requests in a year, I undertstand I may be

responsible for charges that may be incurred to process this request.

Revised 1/11/00 Page 1 of 2

AUTHORIZATION TO: RECEIVE CUSTOMER INFORMATION OR ACT ON A CUSTOMER'S BEHALF

Pacific Gas and Electric Company DISTRIBUTION Billing INTERCONNECTION AGREEMENT FOR Customer-Generator NET ENERGY METERING FOR Business Customer Center RESIDENTIAL AND SMALL COMMERCIAL SOLAR OR WIND REFERENCE ELECTRIC GENERATING FACILITIES OF 10 KILOWATTS OR LESS Current Acct No. ______________________

DECLARATIONS

Mr. Sunny Customer ("Customer-Generator") and Pacific Gas and

Electric Company, also referred to as “Utility”, referred to collectively as "Parties" and individually as "Party," consistent with, and in order to effectuate, the provisions of Sections 2827 and 2827.7 of the California Public Utilities Code and Pacific Gas and Electric Company’s electric rate Schedule E-NET (“E-NET”), enter into this “Interconnection Agreement for Net Energy Metering For Residential and Small Commercial Solar or Wind Electric Generating Facilities of 10 Kilowatts or Less” (“Agreement”)1. This Agreement applies to the Customer-Generator’s generating facilities identified below with the specified characteristics and generating capacity, and does not allow interconnection or operation of facilities different than those described. Accordingly, the Parties agree as follows: 1. DESCRIPTION OF CUSTOMER-GENERATOR’S SOLAR OR WIND ELECTRIC GENERATING

FACILITY (“Facility”) Project Identification Number: __________________________

(Utility Log Number)

Interconnected Equipment:

Table 1. - List of generating equipment interconnecting with Pacific Gas and Electric Company’s Distribution System with, or without, an inverter. (For those generators interconnecting without an inverter, write in “N/A” in the right three columns. If an inverter is shared by more than one generator, write “shared” on the same line as that generator under the manufacturer column and do not enter the inverter rating. Attach list of additional equipment if applicable.)

Type of Generator Generator Manufacturer for Inverter Inverter Rating (Solar / Wind / Rating Inverter used with Model (watts) 2

Hybrid) (watts) Generator Number 1

Generator Rating: =# of inverters * Inverter Rating 2Inverter Rating =# of inverters * Inverter Rating * Inverter CEC efficiency

It is possible that the inverter rating might be the nameplate rating, rather than the CEC rating. For example, the IG3000 might be 3000W instead of 2700W.

1 Additional forms are available upon request by telephoning 415-972-5676 or on PG&E’s website at http://www.pge.com/gen).

2 The inverter rating equals: (the CEC efficiency for each installed inverter) TIMES (the nameplate rating, in kW, of each inverter). The CEC efficiency is obtained on the CEC website at http://www.consumerenergycenter.org/erprebate/eligible_inverters.html as listed on the date the application is reviewed. Enter the total of all inverter ratings for multiple inverter installations in the Table above.

Page 1 of 9 Form 79-854

Tariffs and Compliance Revised November 6, 2003

Effective January 1, 2003 Advice 2373-E-B

SMA America SB3800U (240V)

- W

Solar 11,400 W 10,773 W

- W

OnGrid Tool Outputs

Page 49: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 49

Results with OnGrid Faster, Easier, More Accurate Selling

Credible Financial Analysis

Effective Selling

Faster & Easier Paperwork Completion

= More Sales Closed, Less Effort

Free Demo Available - License Agreement

Page 50: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 50

Financial Analysis Summary

On Grid Solar Electric Systems can: Demonstrably increase property value Hedge Against Inflation Spikes Be an attractive financial investment

Oh, it’s kinda nice environmentally & socially too…

Page 51: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 51

Conclusion

An Attractive & Legal investment…

Page 52: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 52

Andy BlackSolar Financial Analysis

& Sales Software

(408) [email protected]

www.ongrid.net - Demos, Tools, Articles, & Classes

Page 53: Andy Black, OnGrid Solar Solar Energy Week

Understanding Financial Analysis for PV© 2007 OnGrid Solar. All rights reserved.October 2007 Solar Energy Week - 53

Andy BlackSolar Financial Analysis

& Sales Software

(408) [email protected]

www.ongrid.net - Demos, Tools, Articles, & Classes