andrew cottrill, hcf - growing pressure of rising medical costs
DESCRIPTION
Dr. Andrew Cottrill, Medical Director, HCF delivered this presentation at the 15th Annual Health Congress 2014. This event brings together thought leaders and leading practitioners from across the Australian health system to consider the challenges, implications and future directions for health reform. For more information, please visit http://www.informa.com.au/annualhealthcongress14TRANSCRIPT
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Growing Pressure on
Medical Costs
Perspectives from Benefits Management at HCF
MARCH 2014
Dr Andrew Cottrill
Medical Director
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Same drivers…
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• Ageing population • Increased incidence of Chronic Disease • Lifestyle illnesses • New Technology • Changes in patterns of practice • Consumer driven demand • Supplier induced demand • Defensive (medico-legal) practice
9.4% of GDP
7.9% of GDP
Australian Health and Total Spending
Source: www.aihw.gov.au/australias-health/2012/spending-on-health/
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Changing face of healthcare
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Genomics
Proteomics
3D Organ Printing
Robotics Nanoparticles
Personalised Medicine
M Health
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Improving Value
Value is about satisfying clinical need through the
Right Service
Right Place
Right Time
Right Cost
“In the United States a survey by the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality found that while healthcare expenditure doubled between 1994 and 2005, the quality of care – measured in terms of effectiveness, patient safety, timeliness, and patient-centredness – improved by barely a third”
Source: Larsson et el: “From Concept to Reality: Putting Value-Based Health Care into Practice in Sweden.” Nov 2010, Boston Consulting Group.
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Implantable Cardiac Defibrillators
HCF spends approximately $8.5 Million per year
Defibrillator costs: Average $51,000
Plus, leads, EPS studies etc, theatre, accommodation.
Total Costs per episode around $65 - 80,000
And again, when the batteries run out!
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22.5% ICD implants did not meet evidence based criteria for implantation
JAMA, Jan 5, 2011, Vol 305, No1
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Diagnostic cardiac catheterisation
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HCF funded 2,494 admissions last FY, at an average charge of $9,700, at total cost of approx $ 24 M.
“One quarter of patients undergoing DC for suspected coronary artery disease were rated as inappropriate for the procedure…”
Hannan, L et al: “Appropriateness of Diagnostic Catheterization for Suspected Coronary Artery Disease in New York State” Circ Cardiovascular Interv. Jan 28, 2014
8,986 DC procedures: • 35.3% appropriate • 39.8% uncertain • 24.9% inappropriate
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Value: Gastric Banding
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“In Australia, the number of LAGB procedures increased by 10 times over the last decade, as compared to the rate of RYGB
procedures”
LAGB RYGB
LAG
B x
1,0
00
RYG
B x
10
0
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… LAGB trending to younger patients
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Recommends:
• At least 15 years old
• BMI > 40
• Associated complication such as Type 2 diabetes
• Persistent problems despite undertaking lifestyle programs
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Value: HCF data on Bariatric Surgery
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Year of Admission
LAGB Other Bariatric Total
No Admits
Benefits Paid
No Admits
Benefits Paid
No Admits
Benefits Paid
FY0910
911 80% $8.7 M
233 20% $2.5 M 1,144 $ 11.1 M
FY1011
676 69% $6.6 M
305 31% $3.4 M 981 $ 10.0 M
FY1112
547 57% $5.5 M
420 43% $4.9 M 967 $ 10.4 M
FY1213
519 47% $5.2 M
587 53% $6.7 M 1,106 $ 11.8 M
Year of Admission
Reversal Repair Adjust Reduction Total
Benefits Paid
Benefits Paid
Benefits Paid
Benefits Paid Benefits
Paid
FY0910 $682 K $205 K $757 K $ 1,644 K
FY1011 $1,152 K $233 K $ 0.5 K $914 K $ 2,299.5 K
FY1112 $1,460 K $266 K $2 K $922 K $ 2,650 K
FY1213 $1,765 K $243 K $2 K $864 K $ 2,874 K
Total
Benefits Paid
$ 12.7 M
$ 12.3 M
$ 13.1 M
$ 14.7 M
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“RYGB produces substantially greater weight loss than LAGB. Whilst peri-operative complications are greater after RYGB, long term complication rate is higher following LAGB.”
World J Gastroenterol 2013 September 28;
Nguyen NQ et al. Vol 19(36): 6035-6043
RYGB LABG p
Pre-op BMI 46.8 40.4 <.001
BMI reduced kg/m2 -14.8 -1.2 <.0001
Perioperative compl. 8% 0.5% <.001
Long term compl. 2.1% 8.9% <0.001
Fasting Blood Glucose 33% 17% <.02
Total Cholesterol 54% 4% <.001
Plasma Triglycerides 81% 27% <.0001
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Avg weight loss (n=930; Start BMI >30) 7.7kg 7.9%
Members achieving some weight loss 916 99%
5% or more weight loss 695 75%
10% or more weight loss 258 28%
15% or more weight loss 52 6%
… and a more conservative approach
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Other procedures to consider…
Routine Pre-operative echo & stress testing
Hyperbaric oxygen therapy for diabetic wounds
Sleep studies
Arthroscopy for knee OA
Da Vinci robotic surgery
Midurethral sling vs colposuspension
Cervical discectomy
Drug eluting stents vs bare metal stents
Stents in stable coronary disease
Endovascular abdominal aortic aneurysm repair vs open surgical repair
Spinal fusion
CT coronary angiography vs percutaneous coronary angiography
Inguinal hernia repair
Indications for Caesarean sections
Colonoscopy - indications
Prostatectomy - indications
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Levers
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Product
Design
Regulatory Environment
Pricing Signals Member
Behaviour
Preventive Health
Strategies
Provider Behaviour
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Regulatory Environment
Pricing Signals
Levers
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Member Behaviour
Preventive Health
Strategies
Provider Behaviour
- Exclusions - Restrictions - Minimum benefits - Benefit limitation periods + Incentives + Loyalty rewards
Product
Design
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Levers
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Product
Design
Regulatory Environment
Pricing Signals Member
Behaviour
Preventive Health
Strategies
Provider Behaviour
Lobby Legislation Health technology Assessment processes: TGA PLAC MSAC PBAC
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Levers
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Product
Design
Regulatory Environment
Pricing Signals Member
Behaviour
Preventive Health
Strategies
Provider Behaviour
Bundled case payments Rewarding desired outcomes Not paying for mistakes wrong site wrong side surgery
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Levers
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Product
Design
Regulatory Environment
Pricing Signals Member
Behaviour
Preventive Health
Strategies
Provider Behaviour
Information to support informed health choices Information about how to navigate the health system Information about preference sensitive conditions Information to help select a provider Incentives
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Levers
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Product
Design
Regulatory Environment
Pricing Signals Member
Behaviour
Preventive Health
Strategies
Provider Behaviour
Gap arrangements Contracts Direct service delivery Sharing performance information
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Levers
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Product
Design
Regulatory Environment
Pricing Signals Member
Behaviour
Preventive Health
Strategies
Provider Behaviour
Health and wellbeing programs Health and wellness assessments Chronic disease management programs
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Impact: Savings from review
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FUTURE
… WE SHOULD EXPECT TO CONTINUE TO PAY MORE
$ 2.6 M
$ 1.7 M
$ 2.6 M
Hospitalbenefits
AncillaryBenefits
HospitalSubsituteTreatment
July 2013 – December 2013 $ 6.9 M 1.3% of total benefits
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Impact
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FUTURE
… WE SHOULD EXPECT TO CONTINUE TO PAY MORE
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
Jan-0
4
Ap
r-04
Jul-0
4
Oct-0
4
Jan-0
5
Ap
r-05
Jul-0
5
Oct-0
5
Jan-0
6
Ap
r-06
Jul-0
6
Oct-0
6
Jan-0
7
Ap
r-07
Jul-0
7
Oct-0
7
Jan-0
8
Ap
r-08
Jul-0
8
Oct-0
8
Jan-0
9
Ap
r-09
Jul-0
9
Oct-0
9
Jan-1
0
Ap
r-10
Jul-1
0
Oct-1
0
Jan-1
1
Ap
r-11
Jul-1
1
Oct-1
1
Jan-1
2
Ap
r-12
Jul-1
2
Oct-1
2
Jan-1
3
Ap
r-13
Jul-1
3
Oct-1
3
Bed
Days p
er
1,0
00 m
em
bers
Admission Month
Go Live
Rest of HCF
Participants from enrolment
Data as at 13 October 2013
Based on 26,400 currently active enrolments
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Impact: No gap coverage
23
FUTURE
… WE SHOULD EXPECT TO CONTINUE TO PAY MORE
76 % 77 % 78 %
79 % 80 %
86.8 % 87.4 % 87.6 % 88.0 % 89.2 %
FY09/10 FY10/11 FY11/12 FY12/13 FY13/14
Hospital admissions with all medical services at no gap
Medical services at no gap
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Impact: Member gaps
24
FUTURE
… WE SHOULD EXPECT TO CONTINUE TO PAY MORE
$0
$2
,00
0$
4,0
00
$6
,00
0$
8,0
00
1 11 21 31
Pa
ym
en
t to
Do
cto
r
Services
Cervical decompression Charge Distribution for item 40335
01/01/2012 - 31/12/2012
CMBS rate
HCF no gap rate
AMA Rate
73% no gap coverage
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Impact: Member gaps
25
FUTURE
… WE SHOULD EXPECT TO CONTINUE TO PAY MORE
$-
$2
00
$4
00
$6
00
$8
00
$1
,00
0
1 4 7
10
13
16
19
22
25
28
31
34
37
40
43
46
49
52
55
58
61
64
67
70
73
76
79
82
85
88
91
94
97
10
0
10
3
10
6
10
9
11
2
11
5
11
8
12
1
12
4
12
7
13
0
13
3
13
6
Pa
ym
en
t to
Do
cto
r
Services
Intravitreous injection Charge Distribution for item 42740
01/02/2013 - 01/02/2014
CMBS rate
HCF No gap rate
AMA rate
98% no gap coverage
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Impact: Member gaps
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$0
$2
,00
0$
4,0
00
$6
,00
0$
8,0
00
$1
0,0
00
1 11 21 31
Pa
ym
en
t to
Do
cto
r
Service Number
Excision of Pituitary Tumour Benefit Distribution for item 39715
01/01/2010 - 31/12/2010
CMBS rate
HCF no gap rate
AMA Rate
52% no gap coverage
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Summary
• There is no cure for healthcare inflation
• As new technologies evolve the scope of “healthcare” expands
• Value-Based healthcare should be our aim
• We have few levers with which to influence healthcare costs
• We have had some success, but managing benefits is multi-faceted and difficult because it is a complex system requiring complex solutions