analyzing and communicating the challenge of growth with...

Analyzing & Communicating the Challenge of Growth with 3D GIS Technology


Scott T. Edmondson, AICP Information and Analysis Group January 25, 2017 | ESRI GeoDesign Summit 2017

Or How to tell a better “good” story!


San Francisco

Growth Challenge & Response

Traditional Communication Tools

3D Communication Tools

Topics


From a spec of a place on the whole earth


TO A BAYSIDE CITY


46.87 SQUARE MILES BOUNDED BY WATER ON THREE SIDES


San Francisco & Region – Population, Households (HH), & Jobs Higher growth rate will increase SF regional share

Bay Area 2010 7,800,000 POP

2.6M HH 3.4M Jobs

SAN FRANCISCO 2010 850,000 POP 346,000 HH

650,000 Jobs

Bay Area 2040 10.3M POP (+31%)

3.4M Hh (+31%) 4.7M Jobs (+37%)

SAN FRANCISCO 2040 1.2M Pop (+40%) 485,000 HH (+40%) 870,000 Jobs (+51%)

SF Share 2010 11% POP 13% HH

17% Jobs

SF Share 2040 12% POP 14% HH

19% Jobs

SF has 0.7% of land area, but . . .


San Francisco A Visual Feast Fortunate coincidence of natural assets + planning


Quality of Cities = People + Place


The Growth Challenge & Response


Maintain the quality & soul of a growing city


Programmed Growth East Side Planning Area Plans


Growth and Development


Growing Pains

innovation Unaffordable Housing

displacement/changes evictions


Response?

Grow – If ? How?

Need Tools – analysis, planning, and engagement

Need Data & Stories – “good” planning & design decisions – In a dynamic, complex, uncertain context


SF’s Growth Capacity Assessment

Arose from the multiplying issues of urban & regional growth

Conducted a 50-year assessment for SF (also regional)

3 variants of 1 scenario – Infill Current Settlement Pattern – Existing zoning -- growth allowed now – Likely “routine” rezoning – Transit Investment-dependent rezoning

Sr. Management interested in powerful communication tools


Traditional Communication Tools Our “Business as usual”

San Francisco Planning for the Future DRAFT – NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION

2D Maps Rezoning Ideas (excluding citywide)


Stunning Photos + Tables

Net Additional space Increment over existing zoning

Office Space 6.35 million gsf + 2.2 million gsf

Housing Units 1,300 +800

Hotel Rooms 975 +800

Retail Space 85,000 gsf - - -

Total Space 9.39 million gsf +4.02 million gsf


Copied & Pasted Excel tables

PBA Scenario 1 postulates job growth rate a bit less than historic (20-year) average

PBA Scenarios 2 and 3 postulate job growth rate somewhat greater than past 20-yr average, but only 55-60% of past 10-year average.


Copied & Pasted Excel Charts


Point Maps – Location + Magnitude: Scenario 1- Jobs

200,000+ jobs

Vacancy (2010) 22.5m gsf Completes 2.9m gsf Pipeline 6.4m gsf Plan Areas 22.7m gsf Soft Sites 8m gsf

Preliminary data – subject to revision


Side-by-Side Choropleth Maps 2D + 3D


Traditional Technology Evaluation

It works

Graphs & Tables – limited

Static maps show location well, magnitude not so well

It tells a good story, but can we tell a better story?


3D Communication tools


Esri’s 3D Demo Project for San Francisco Planning

SF asked for a quick, short demo

Overview of emerging 3D Technology

NOT a full blown “finished” project

Shows Examples using SF Data


Prepare Data

SF Growth Capacity

DEM / Terrain height map

Esri Basemaps

High-res orthophotography

CAD Basemaps

Sidewalks & features

Attribute overlays

Share in Story Map

Maps + Text + Images

+Multimedia

No Coding

Share/Web Access

Interactive “Scenes” (click)

Demo’s Components

Workshop

Tools/Practices Overview

GCA Workflow Needs

Visioning for 3D Practice

Working with 3D

Creating/Communicating Scenarios

Review/Next Steps

Prepare Visualizations

Schematic / Realistic

Height / Land Use / Zoning

Growth Cap by

Geography - Bars

Scenario – Fishnet

Transit Accessibility

Total

https://storymaps.arcgis.com/en/


Story Maps Web GIS Access


Story Map Introduction


Urban Context Section Opening View


2D Map View


3D Schematic View


3D Realistic View


3D Height Controls View


Land Use View on Building


Zoning View on Ground


Growth Capacity By Geography Section Bar Symbology


Jobs by Neighborhood


Housing by TAZ


Total Job Growth by Parcel


Explore Data Inside the map


Sources of Growth Section Fishnet Symbology


Total Growth Housing


Total Growth Jobs


Growth Capacity & Main High Capacity Transit Lines


Within 15-min. Transit Access Housing: 64% to 89%


Within 15-min. Transit Access Jobs: 81% to 91%


Total Job Capacity by Scenario


3D Presentation Technology Evaluation

A Better visual explanation

People “get” it quickly

Location & Magnitude Clear

Still Need Numbers/Tables

Can explore data in view

Add Video


Next Step: 3D Cities, Analysis, Design, Planning

Make complex analysis easier

Enable systems simulation, usher in a new era of urban SYSTEMS planning

Tell a BETTER “good” story for better decisions, cities, and quality of life


Thanks The Team

Information & Analysis Group Citywide SF Planning

Scott T. Edmondson, AICP Project Director [email protected]

Teresa Ojeda IAG Planning Manager

Paula Chiu Planner-Programmer

Adrienne Hyder Graphics/GIS Professional

Mike Webster GIS Professional

ESRI

Rob Matthews, AICP Professional Services, Geodesign Lead, [email protected]

Brooks Patrick, ASLA, Account Executive 3D/Geodesign

Amadea Azerki Solution Engineer, Local Government

Fang Yao, Esri Intern

Petr Bocharnikov, Esri Solution Engineer


Scott T. Edmondson, AICP Sr. Planner-Economist Information & Analysis Group [email protected] www.sfplanning.org

T H A N K Y O U

mailto:[email protected]?subject=

analyzing and communicating the challenge of growth with...

Documents