analyst & investor briefing - investis...
TRANSCRIPT
Analyst & Investor Briefing
IFRS
Peter Fitzpatrick, Group Financial DirectorDavid McCarthy, Group CFO
November 2004
� Background
� Overview of changes
� Detailed Analysis
� Summary of Implications
2
� EU regulation requires all listed companies in the EUto prepare their consolidated financial statementsfrom 1 January 2005 in conformity with IFRS
� Endorsement of IAS39/IFRS4 by EU members hasproved to be problematic
� Regulation and Taxation issues on the drip
� Statutory reporting for life assurance subsidiaries willremain unchanged
3
1. Group
� Presentation / Format� Treatment of goodwill & share options
2. Banking
� Spreading of fees, charges, discounts� Less conservative bad debt provisioning� Hedge accounting - liquidity management
4
3. Life Assurance� Split of business between insurance & investment
contracts� Investment contracts - significant changes in timing of
profit recognition� Value of in-force (VIF) attributable to “investment”
contracts removed from balance sheet� Reduction in reported profit and (non-distributable)
reserves
4. General Insurance [Associate]� General reserves / provisions
5
� Cashflows
� Life assurance surpluses
� Dividend policy
� Life regulatory capital
� Accounting for “insurance” contracts
6
� No separation of life assurance and banking activities
� Three components to profit:
� Insurance
� Investment & other
� Banking
� Segmental reporting will be the key tool for analysingincome streams going forward
� Embedded Value (EV) numbers reported by way ofsupplemental information
7
� Goodwill (IFRS 3)� No amortisation but annual impairment testing� Amortisation saving of €12m p.a. expected
� Share based compensation (IFRS 2)� P&L charge for fair value of options at date of grant� Cost c.€4m per annum for next three years (max)
8
(a) Discounts & Fees - recognised over the estimated life ofthe loan and taken against net interest income.
� First year discounts� Intermediary commissions� MIG costs� Application fee income
(b) Bad Debt Provisioning – use of discounted cash flow models to arrive at and support loan loss provisions
� Only permitted on an incurred basis� General provisions outlawed
(c) IAS 19 - Pensions� Effectively FRS 17 Approach
(d) IAS 12 - Taxation� Deferred Tax on property revaluation surplus
9
(a) Discounts & Fees (Effective Yield)€m
permanent tsb First Year Discounts 46 Intermediary Commissions 23
MIG 15Commission Income (4)
80
CHLApplication Fees/Intermediary Commissions (12) 68
(b) Bad Debt Provisions permanent tsb 52
Balance carried forward 120
Impact on 2003 Reserves
10
€mBalance brought forward 120
(c) IAS 19 Deficit (166) Total (46)
Tax Effect 6
(d) Deferred Tax on Property Revaluation (8)
Net Reduction in Reserves (48)
Impact on 2003 Reserves
11
Increase/ Irish (Decrease)GAAP IFRS in PbT
€m €m €m Discounts / Fees (Effective Yield) permanent tsb First Year Discount 33 23 10 Intermediary Commissions 20 14 6 MIG 10 3 7 CHL (6)
17
Bad Debt Provisions 13 8 5
IAS 19 Additional Charge (10)Total Uplift in Profit before Tax 12
Total Reported Profit before Tax 129
Impact on Profit before Tax 2003
12
� IAS 39 heavily restricts use of hedge accounting
� Major impact is that all derivatives need to be carriedat fair value unless it can be proved that they are aneffective hedge. This requires:� Formal documentation in place approved by auditors� Testing of effectiveness� If ineffective hedges must be marked to market
� More stringent classifications for debt securities whichonly permit the early disposal of held to maturity debtsecurities in exceptional circumstances
13
� IFRS 4 issued on 31 March 2004 - Phase I
� Business is split into “insurance” and “investment”contracts
� Insurance contracts must have significant insurancerisk
� Investment contracts are accounted for under IAS 39 /IAS 18 (Accruals)
� No change to the embedded value accounting forinsurance contracts under Phase 1(although subjectto FRED 34 proposed changes)
14
� Investment Contracts (75% technical provisions)� Investment Bonds� Property Bonds� Pensions /PRSAs� SSIAs� I.L.I.M. UL Funds
� Insurance Contracts (15% technical provisions)� Protection/Risk� Annuities
� Other Contracts (10% technical provisions)
15
� Income recognised under IAS 18� Annual management fee� Front end or initial fees amortised over life of contract
� Costs Recognised Under IAS 18� Maintenance Costs� Fixed Acquisition Costs� Variable Acquisition Costs amortised over life of
contract
16
� Shareholder value of in-force (VIF) on investmentcontracts can no longer be recognised in profit andloss and balance sheet
� A liability for the deferral of front end fees must berecognised
� An asset for deferred acquisition costs [DAC] oninvestment contracts will be permitted but is limited tofully variable costs
17
Investment of €10,000 for 3 years
Front Fee - 5% €500Annual Management Fee - 2% €200Fixed Acquisition Cost - 7% (€700)Variable Acquisition Cost - 3% (€300)Annual Maintenance Cost - (€20)
18
In Out Net DCFYear € € € @ 6%
1 700 1,000 (300) (300)
2 200 20 180 170
3 200 20 180 160
Total 1,100 1,040 60 30
Cash Flows
19
VIF Cash P&L€ € €
Year 1 Value of New Business 30 30 Cashflow 300 (300)
Balance 330 (300) 30Year 2 VIF @ Discount Rate 20 20 Cashflow (180) 180
Balance 170 (120) 50Year 3 VIF @ Discount Rate 10 10
Cashflow (180) 180
Balance - 60 60
EV Accounting
20
Front End Fee 500 - -
Deferred Front End Fee (332) 166 166
Management Fee 200 200 200
Fixed Acquisition Cost (700) - -
Variable Acquisition Cost (300) - -
Deferred Variable Costs 200 (100) (100)
Maintenance Cost - (20) (20)
IFRS Profit/(Loss) (432) 246 246 60
EV Profit / (Loss) 30 20 10 60
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Total
€ € € €
IFRS Accounting
21
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Year
Prof
it IFRS ProfitsEV Profits
22
Annual Profit Profile
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Year
Acc
umul
ated
Pro
fits
IFRS ProfitsEV Profits
23
Cumulative Profit Profile
Maximum Minimum Change Change
% %Investment Contracts 85 75
Insurance Contracts 15 25
Split of Investment / Insurance Contracts 2003
24
Net Worth VIF Total €m €m €m
Reported 623 816 1,439
Restated under IFRS (75/25 split) 670 476 1,146
Minimum Change 47 (340) (293)
Restated under IFRS (85/15 split) 665 405 1,070
Maximum Change 42 (411) (369)
Shareholder Net Assets 2003*
* Life Assurance Ireland 25
Change in in Shareholder Net Assets 2003
Min Max€m €m
Net WorthDAC 101 121Deferred income (91) (119)Release of cash reserves 51 68IAS19 pensions (19) (19)Other 5 (9)
47 42
Value of in-force (VIF) (340) (411)
Total (293) (369)26
IFRS - Life Assurance P & L
Net Worth VIF Total €m €m €m
Reported 149 36 185
Restated under IFRS (75/25 split) 156 (12) 144
Minimum Change 7 (48) (41)
Restated under IFRS (85/15 split) 141 (33) 108
Maximum Change (8) (69) (77)
2003 Profit after Tax*
* Life Assurance Ireland 27
Balance Sheet 2003 €mReported net assets* 2,022
Bank (48)Life (293) - (369)
Restated under IFRS 1,681 - 1,605
P & L Account 2003 €mReported net profit 262
Group 8Bank 11Life (41 - 77)
Restated under IFRS 240 - 204
* Excluding UK Life Assurance €82m 28
� IFRS - reporting standard not management tool
� Growing business - IFRS impact:� Increases banking profits
� Reduces life assurance profits
� Embedded Value� Most appropriate management metrics
� Changes in methodology and disclosures
� Economic fundamentals & outlook unchanged
29
� Analysis of 2003 PAT from Life Assurance [ROI]
� EV v IFRS Comparison of 2003 PAT from LifeAssurance [ROI]
� Analysis of IFRS 2003 Investment Earnings [ROI]
30
Continuing Operations €m €m €mNew business contribution 42 4 46Contribution from existing business Unwind of discount rate 80 9 89 Experience variances 24 (6) 18 Development expenditure (11) - (11)Operating assumption changes 39 (2) 37Expected investment returns 4 1 5Other income 6 - 6Contribution from life assurance activities 184 6 190
Discontinued US life assurance activities - 1 1Short term fluctuations in investment returns 24 4 28Effect of economic assumption changes (18) (2) (20)Life assurance achieved profits 190 9 199Taxation (5) (4) (9)Life assurance achieved profits after tax 185 5 190
ROI UK/US Total
31
Comparison of IFRS v. Reported Life PAT 2003
Interest on VIF 27 32 VNB 13 17 Experience variances (1) 0Expected income 1 1 Other income 6 6
46 56
Operating assumption variances 23 27STIFS 16 24Economic (2) (3)
83 20 104 9
Insurance 107 107 86 86Earnings before tax 190 127 190 95Taxation (5) 17 (5) 13Profit after taxation 185 144 185 108
Minimum Maximum EV IFRS EV IFRS €m €m €m €m
32
Management fees 84 104 Non-deferrable acquisition expenses (17) (44)Renewal expenses (57) (62)
10 (2)Fees amortised 19 21Variable acquisition cost amortised (16) (18)
13 1Investment return 7 8Profits from other businesses 9 9
29 18Exceptional Costs (9) (9)Earnings before tax 20 9 Taxation 4 14 Profit after taxation 24 23
Min Max €m €m
33