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Analyst Briefing Half year review June‘19 August 07, 2019 Confidential and Proprietary Information © FrieslandCampina Engro Pakistan Limited

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Page 1: Analyst Briefing Half year review June‘19 · 2019-08-09 · Disclaimer This briefing has been prepared by FrieslandCampina Engro Pakistan Limited (“FCEPL”) solely for information

Analyst Briefing Half year review June‘19

August 07, 2019 Confidential and Proprietary Information © FrieslandCampina Engro Pakistan Limited

Page 2: Analyst Briefing Half year review June‘19 · 2019-08-09 · Disclaimer This briefing has been prepared by FrieslandCampina Engro Pakistan Limited (“FCEPL”) solely for information

DisclaimerThis briefing has been prepared by FrieslandCampina Engro Pakistan Limited (“FCEPL”) solely for information purposes. No representation or warranty express or implied is made thereto, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, sufficiency, completeness or correctness of the information or any opinion contained herein or any opinion rendered thereto. The information contained in this briefing should be considered in the context of the circumstances prevailing at the time and will not be updated to reflect any developments that may occur after the date of the briefing. Neither FCEPL nor any of its respective affiliates, officials, advisors, associates, employees or any person working for, under or on behalf, shall have any responsibility and/or liability of any nature whatsoever (in contract or otherwise) for any loss whatsoever arising from any use of this briefing or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this briefing.

This briefing is for information purposes only and does not constitute or form any part of, and should not be construed as, an invitation or offer to acquire, purchase or subscribe for securities nor is it calculated to invite any such offer or invitation, whether in Pakistan, Netherlands, or elsewhere. This briefing shall not at all be intended to provide any disclosure upon which an investment decision could be made. No money, securities or other consideration is being solicited, and, if sent in response to this briefing or the information contained herein, will not be accepted.

The briefing may contain statements that reflect FCEPL’s own beliefs and expectations about the future. These forward-looking statements are based on a number of assumptions about the future, which are beyond FCEPL’s control. Such forward-looking statements represent, in each case, only one of many possible scenarios and should not be viewed as the most likely or standard scenario. Such forward looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated by the relevant forward-looking statements. FCEPL does not undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statements to reflect events that occur or circumstances that arise after the date of this briefing and it does not make any representation, warranty (whether express or implied) or prediction that the results anticipated by such forward-looking statements will be achieved. In addition, past performance should not be taken as an indication or guarantee of future results.

Certain data in this briefing was obtained from various external data sources that FCEPL believes to its knowledge, information and belief to be reliable, but FCEPL has not verified such data with independent sources and there can be no assurance, representation or warranty as to the accuracy, sufficiency, correctness or completeness of the included data. Accordingly, FCEPL makes no assurance, representation or warranty as to the accuracy, sufficiency, correctness or completeness of that data, and such data involves risks and uncertainties and is subject to change based on various factors.

You agree to keep the contents of this briefing strictly confidential. All or any part of this briefing may not be taken away, reproduced, copied, redistributed, retransmitted or disclosed in any manner or form and for any purpose whatsoever.

By attending this briefing, you are agreeing to be bound by the foregoing limitations.

Page 3: Analyst Briefing Half year review June‘19 · 2019-08-09 · Disclaimer This briefing has been prepared by FrieslandCampina Engro Pakistan Limited (“FCEPL”) solely for information

Table of content

Business highlights

Financial highlights

Page 4: Analyst Briefing Half year review June‘19 · 2019-08-09 · Disclaimer This briefing has been prepared by FrieslandCampina Engro Pakistan Limited (“FCEPL”) solely for information

Business Highlights

Page 5: Analyst Briefing Half year review June‘19 · 2019-08-09 · Disclaimer This briefing has been prepared by FrieslandCampina Engro Pakistan Limited (“FCEPL”) solely for information

Dairy Category offers tremendous opportunity to GROW!

Source: Tetra Milk Tree / HHP / U&A 2015

Annual Milk Consumption: 22.5 billion liters

Household penetration: 100% High usage incidence in multiple formats

96%81%

58%

31%

Avg Household Spend on Food & Beverages

40%Avg Household F&B Spend on

milk

23%

90%Loose Milk

Formalin

Caustic Soda

Detergent

Vanaspati Oil

Ammonium

Sulphate

Starch

Urea

AFLATOXIN

10%Packaged Milk

15%

PKR 40 bn Opportunity size for EFL if only 5% of loose milk users are

converted to packaged milk

Current Opportunity

Page 6: Analyst Briefing Half year review June‘19 · 2019-08-09 · Disclaimer This briefing has been prepared by FrieslandCampina Engro Pakistan Limited (“FCEPL”) solely for information

Industry in Negative Growth Cycle Due to False Consumer Perceptions

Industry Volumes(Mln Liters)

981

1079

1176

1279

1420

1370

1299

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Page 7: Analyst Briefing Half year review June‘19 · 2019-08-09 · Disclaimer This briefing has been prepared by FrieslandCampina Engro Pakistan Limited (“FCEPL”) solely for information

….Engaging with industry stakeholders to promote packaged milk

Page 8: Analyst Briefing Half year review June‘19 · 2019-08-09 · Disclaimer This briefing has been prepared by FrieslandCampina Engro Pakistan Limited (“FCEPL”) solely for information

..and directly influencing the Government

Page 9: Analyst Briefing Half year review June‘19 · 2019-08-09 · Disclaimer This briefing has been prepared by FrieslandCampina Engro Pakistan Limited (“FCEPL”) solely for information

9

Page 10: Analyst Briefing Half year review June‘19 · 2019-08-09 · Disclaimer This briefing has been prepared by FrieslandCampina Engro Pakistan Limited (“FCEPL”) solely for information

“Nourishing by Nature” Focus on purity & naturalness of Olper’s

Milk leading to happy mornings

“The Best Tea for All Occasions” Leverage new product and packaging to build taste

credentials; “Tastes so good your heart wants to dance”

Dairy SegmentStrengthening the core to drive conversion from Loose milk

Elaborate branded content built and

leveraged on digital platforms

Page 11: Analyst Briefing Half year review June‘19 · 2019-08-09 · Disclaimer This briefing has been prepared by FrieslandCampina Engro Pakistan Limited (“FCEPL”) solely for information

OLPER’S PROCAL

• High-protein, high-calcium, low-fat milk for an active lifestyle

• Launched: October 2018

Dairy SegmentStrong innovations further fueling business growth

Page 12: Analyst Briefing Half year review June‘19 · 2019-08-09 · Disclaimer This briefing has been prepared by FrieslandCampina Engro Pakistan Limited (“FCEPL”) solely for information

OLPER’S FULL CREAM MILK POWDER • Made with 100% dairy &

fortified with additional vitamins, calcium and protein to make children Tall & Strong

• Launched: November 2018

Dairy SegmentStrong innovations further fueling business growth

Page 13: Analyst Briefing Half year review June‘19 · 2019-08-09 · Disclaimer This briefing has been prepared by FrieslandCampina Engro Pakistan Limited (“FCEPL”) solely for information

OLPER’S CREAM• 100% dairy cream made from

fresh milk for rosy glow of nourishment at every breakfast occasion

• Launched: March 2019

Dairy SegmentStrong innovations further fueling business growth

Page 14: Analyst Briefing Half year review June‘19 · 2019-08-09 · Disclaimer This briefing has been prepared by FrieslandCampina Engro Pakistan Limited (“FCEPL”) solely for information

Dairy SegmentStrong innovations further fueling business growth

TARANG ELAICHIMade with just the right quantity of real cardamom flavour for perfectly balanced taste and aroma

Launched: February 2019

Page 15: Analyst Briefing Half year review June‘19 · 2019-08-09 · Disclaimer This briefing has been prepared by FrieslandCampina Engro Pakistan Limited (“FCEPL”) solely for information

17.5%

18.3%

19.9%

19.3%

20.4%20.0%

21.4%

22.2%22.6%

37.0%

40.1%

40.1%40.6%

42.4%

43.1% 43.2%

42.0%

42.4%

Winning in the market

18%

30% Q4’18 Vs Q4’17

Q1’19 Vs Q1‘18

Market Share improving month on MonthReversing the negative growth cycle

Tarang510bps share gain

Olpers540bps share gain

20%

Q2’19 Vs Q2‘18

-12%

Q3’18 Vs Q3’17

Page 16: Analyst Briefing Half year review June‘19 · 2019-08-09 · Disclaimer This briefing has been prepared by FrieslandCampina Engro Pakistan Limited (“FCEPL”) solely for information

16

EVER Highest on

Secondary

18.8 mn liters

(Jun’19)

24% value growth

TarangBecomes Most

Distributed STC Brand

36.7%of UHT Universe

+3% VOLUME SHARE

GAIN

20% 23.1%

DEC’18 JUN’19

H1’2019 Big Wins

2%+ Market Share Gain

Vs. Exit’18

24% volume growth 16K+ outlets increased

(Source: Tetra Dispatches 3m rolling forecast) (Source: AC Nielsen)

Page 17: Analyst Briefing Half year review June‘19 · 2019-08-09 · Disclaimer This briefing has been prepared by FrieslandCampina Engro Pakistan Limited (“FCEPL”) solely for information

OMORE BUSINESS HIGHLIGHTS

+4500 in 2018

+2500 in Q1 2019

+800 in 2018

+250 in Q1 2019

Asset Investment in the business Driving Mental Availability

+3344 in Q2 2019

+423 in Q2 2019

Page 18: Analyst Briefing Half year review June‘19 · 2019-08-09 · Disclaimer This briefing has been prepared by FrieslandCampina Engro Pakistan Limited (“FCEPL”) solely for information

OMORE - Innovations

Expanding the brand footprint by leveraging “novelty & variety”

2018 vs 2017

+6%

5 innovations in

20188 innovations in

2019

Revenue growth

2018 vs 2017

+2%HY1’19 vs HY1’18

+9%HY1’19 vs HY1’18

+10%

Volume growth

Page 19: Analyst Briefing Half year review June‘19 · 2019-08-09 · Disclaimer This briefing has been prepared by FrieslandCampina Engro Pakistan Limited (“FCEPL”) solely for information
Page 20: Analyst Briefing Half year review June‘19 · 2019-08-09 · Disclaimer This briefing has been prepared by FrieslandCampina Engro Pakistan Limited (“FCEPL”) solely for information
Page 21: Analyst Briefing Half year review June‘19 · 2019-08-09 · Disclaimer This briefing has been prepared by FrieslandCampina Engro Pakistan Limited (“FCEPL”) solely for information

+24% vs. SPLY

Primary Sales Volume

+10%YTD vs. LY

Primary Sales Volume

Highest ever

EID

3.05 Mn Ltrs

+22% vs. SPLY

Highest ever

QUARTER (Q2)

9.3 Mn Ltrs

Highest ever

MONTH (JUN)

3.95 Mn Ltrs

+24% vs. SPLY

Q2 RECORD BREAKING FOR OMORE

Q2’2019 Big Wins

Page 22: Analyst Briefing Half year review June‘19 · 2019-08-09 · Disclaimer This briefing has been prepared by FrieslandCampina Engro Pakistan Limited (“FCEPL”) solely for information

Positive Social Impact Made Along The Way

European Union recognition of EFL Dairy Development program

EFL Wins Commonwealth Company of the year award

3 NFEH Awards Received in 2019

Page 23: Analyst Briefing Half year review June‘19 · 2019-08-09 · Disclaimer This briefing has been prepared by FrieslandCampina Engro Pakistan Limited (“FCEPL”) solely for information

Financial Highlights

Page 24: Analyst Briefing Half year review June‘19 · 2019-08-09 · Disclaimer This briefing has been prepared by FrieslandCampina Engro Pakistan Limited (“FCEPL”) solely for information

24

Economic Overview

Page 25: Analyst Briefing Half year review June‘19 · 2019-08-09 · Disclaimer This briefing has been prepared by FrieslandCampina Engro Pakistan Limited (“FCEPL”) solely for information

2.5 3.1 2.8

4.9

12.6

19.0

13.6

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Current Account Deficit ($Bln)19.4

17.6

11.4

9.3

2016 2017 2018 2019

FX Reserves ($Bln)

Reasons for entering an IMF Program:

• Increase in trade deficit and dwindling Foreign Exchange reserves

• Increasing government borrowing (Interest payments > 25% of government revenue)

• Ballooning public deficits and losses in SOEs

• Inflation increase, growth skewed toward consumption, competitive loss, low investment and job creation.

Pre-IMF Economic Conditions

Page 26: Analyst Briefing Half year review June‘19 · 2019-08-09 · Disclaimer This briefing has been prepared by FrieslandCampina Engro Pakistan Limited (“FCEPL”) solely for information

A. Reducing Fiscal Deficits

B. Tightening Monetary Policy

C. Market determined Exchange rate

Pakistan entered into its 18th IMF Program – Salient Features

Page 27: Analyst Briefing Half year review June‘19 · 2019-08-09 · Disclaimer This briefing has been prepared by FrieslandCampina Engro Pakistan Limited (“FCEPL”) solely for information

A. Reducing Fiscal Deficits

B. Tightening Monetary Policy

C. Market determined Exchange rate

Pakistan entered into its 18th IMF Program – Salient Features

Increase in Corporate Tax Rates

Corporate Tax fixed at 29%

Sales Tax @ 10% on Dairy portfolio (except UHT)

Elimination of tax exemptions

Stricter Tax enforcement and widening of tax base

Economic activity unrest as Trade is resisting new

compliance requirements

Page 28: Analyst Briefing Half year review June‘19 · 2019-08-09 · Disclaimer This briefing has been prepared by FrieslandCampina Engro Pakistan Limited (“FCEPL”) solely for information

A. Reducing Fiscal Deficits

B. Tightening Monetary Policy

C. Market determined Exchange rate

Pakistan entered into its 18th IMF Program – Salient Features

750bps increase in Policy rate since Jan’18

6.5%

7.5%

10.0%10.8%

12.3%

13.3%

Jun-18 Jul-18 Aug-18 Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Dec-18 Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19 Apr-19 May-19 Jun-19 Jul-19

SBP Policy Rate

2x Finance cost to the Company

Distributor ROIs becoming relatively uncompetitive vs risk

free returns ➔ impeding further expansion

Page 29: Analyst Briefing Half year review June‘19 · 2019-08-09 · Disclaimer This briefing has been prepared by FrieslandCampina Engro Pakistan Limited (“FCEPL”) solely for information

A. Reducing Fiscal Deficits

B. Tightening Monetary Policy

C. Market determined Exchange rate

Pakistan entered into its 18th IMF Program – Salient Features

Sharp Pak Rupee devaluation resulting in increase in cost of doing

business

Diminishing consumer purchasing power due to rising inflation

116

122 124

140 141

163 PKR/USD Exchane Rate

4.2%

5.1%

6.2%

9.4%8.9%

Inflation

Page 30: Analyst Briefing Half year review June‘19 · 2019-08-09 · Disclaimer This briefing has been prepared by FrieslandCampina Engro Pakistan Limited (“FCEPL”) solely for information

Financial Highlights

Page 31: Analyst Briefing Half year review June‘19 · 2019-08-09 · Disclaimer This briefing has been prepared by FrieslandCampina Engro Pakistan Limited (“FCEPL”) solely for information

8,202 8,596 8,497 8,683

10,007

5%

-1%

2%

15%

-2%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

11,000

Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019

Revenue

Revenue (PKR in million) Growth (%age)

Financial Highlights of the Company

Revenue +15% vs Q1’19

1,617

1,277

742

1,555 1,497

20%

15%

9%

18%

15%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

-100

100

300

500

700

900

1,100

1,300

1,500

1,700

Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019

Gross Profit

Gross Profit (PKR in million) Gross Margin (%age)

210

2

(449)

83

(322)

3% 0%

-5%

1%

-3%

-6%

-5%

-4%

-3%

-2%

-1%

0%

1%

2%

3%

(500)

(400)

(300)

(200)

(100)

-

100

200

300

Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019

Profit After Tax

Profit After Tax (PKR in million) Profit After Tax (%age)

Gross Profit -4% vs Q1’19Profit After Tax Rs.-322mn in

Q2’19

Page 32: Analyst Briefing Half year review June‘19 · 2019-08-09 · Disclaimer This briefing has been prepared by FrieslandCampina Engro Pakistan Limited (“FCEPL”) solely for information

Financial Highlights - Dairy

Revenue +1% vs Q1’19Profit After Tax Rs. -472mn in

Q2’19

6,803 7,401

8,302 8,184 8,276

9%

12%

-1% 1%

-4%

-2%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019

Revenue

Revenue (PKR in million) Growth (%age)

14

(119)

(348)

177

(472)

0%

-2%

-4%

2%

-6%

-7%

-6%

-5%

-4%

-3%

-2%

-1%

0%

1%

2%

3%

(600)

(500)

(400)

(300)

(200)

(100)

-

100

200

300

Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019

Profit After Tax

Profit After Tax (PKR in million) Profit After Tax (%age)

Page 33: Analyst Briefing Half year review June‘19 · 2019-08-09 · Disclaimer This briefing has been prepared by FrieslandCampina Engro Pakistan Limited (“FCEPL”) solely for information

Financial Highlights – Ice Cream

Revenue +248% vs

Q1’19

Profit After Tax Rs. +184mn

in Q2’19

1,399

1,195

195 498

1,732

-15%

-84%

155%

248%

-150%

-100%

-50%

0%

50%

100%

150%

200%

250%

300%

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019

Revenue

Revenue (PKR in million) Growth (%age)

197

129

(149)(125)

184

14%

11%

-76%

-25%

11%

-90%

-80%

-70%

-60%

-50%

-40%

-30%

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

(200)

(150)

(100)

(50)

-

50

100

150

200

250

Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019

Profit After Tax

Profit After Tax (PKR in million) Profit After Tax (%age)

Page 34: Analyst Briefing Half year review June‘19 · 2019-08-09 · Disclaimer This briefing has been prepared by FrieslandCampina Engro Pakistan Limited (“FCEPL”) solely for information

Thank you