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    PAKISTAN STATE OIL LIMITED

    ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

    INTRODUCTION

    Pakistan State OIL (PSO) came into being in the mid-1970s when the Government of

    Pakistan amalgamated three Oil Marketing Companies: Esso Eastern, Pakistan

    National Oil (PNO) and Dawood Petroleum as part of its Nationalization Plan.

    From 1999 to 2004, PSO had undergone radical changes, both internal and external

    and has emerged with a new look and as a market leader with a long term vision. The

    company is the only public sector entity in Pakistan that has been competing effectively

    with three foreign multinationals, Shell, Caltex and Total.

    PSO is currently enjoying over 73% share of Black Oil market and 59% share of White

    Oil market. It is engaged in import, storage, distribution and marketing of various POL

    products including mogas, high speed diesel (HSD), fuel oil, jet fuel, kerosene, liquified

    petroleum gas (LPG),compressed natural gas (CNG) and petrochemicals. PSO also

    enjoys around 35% market participation in lubricants and is

    blending/marketing Castrol brands, in addition to a wide array of its own.

    It is considered as one of the most successful mergers in the history of Pakistan. The

    company has retail coverage of over 3,800 outlets, representing 80% participation in

    total industry network. The company has been the winner of Karachi Stock Exchange

    Top Companies Award for many years and is a member of World Economic Forum.

    PSO serves a wide range of customers throughout Pakistan including retail, industrial,

    aviation, marine and government/defense sectors. PSO has been meeting the countrys

    fuel needs by merging sound business sense with national obligation.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Government_of_Pakistanhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Government_of_Pakistanhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Essohttp://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Pakistan_National_Oil&action=edit&redlink=1http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Pakistan_National_Oil&action=edit&redlink=1http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Dawood_Petroleum&action=edit&redlink=1http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Royal_Dutch_Shellhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Caltexhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Total_S.A.http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Black_oil_(Pakistan)&action=edit&redlink=1http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=White_Oil&action=edit&redlink=1http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=White_Oil&action=edit&redlink=1http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marketinghttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mogashttp://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=High_speed_diesel&action=edit&redlink=1http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fuel_oilhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jet_fuelhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kerosenehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liquified_petroleum_gashttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liquified_petroleum_gashttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Compressed_natural_gashttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Petrochemicalhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Castrolhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Economic_Forumhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Economic_Forumhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Castrolhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Petrochemicalhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Compressed_natural_gashttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liquified_petroleum_gashttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liquified_petroleum_gashttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kerosenehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jet_fuelhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fuel_oilhttp://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=High_speed_diesel&action=edit&redlink=1http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mogashttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marketinghttp://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=White_Oil&action=edit&redlink=1http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=White_Oil&action=edit&redlink=1http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Black_oil_(Pakistan)&action=edit&redlink=1http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Total_S.A.http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Caltexhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Royal_Dutch_Shellhttp://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Dawood_Petroleum&action=edit&redlink=1http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Pakistan_National_Oil&action=edit&redlink=1http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Pakistan_National_Oil&action=edit&redlink=1http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Essohttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Government_of_Pakistanhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Government_of_Pakistan
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    INTRODUCTION TO THE PETROLEUM

    INDUSTRY

    Fy09 witnessed a very sharp fluctuation in international oil prices which touched the

    highest level of US$ 141 /bbl in July 2008 against the lowest level of US$ 33/bbl in

    December 2008.

    During FY 09, a number of internal and external challenges threatened Pakistans

    economy, and a shortfall in the energy sector, mainly driven by circular debt, was

    among the major problems. During the year under review, supply and consumptions ofenergy in different sectors remained lower then the previous year. This was mainly due

    to the overall slow down of our economy caused by inflation coming from very high

    energy product prices. This, in particular, had an adverse impact on the performance of

    the PSO large scale manufacturing sector.

    The Consumption of petroleum products in the country during FY 09 decreased by 1%

    compared to the preceding year. Mogas and JPI showed a volumetric growth of 4.2%

    and 3.2% respectively, whereas HSD and SKO experienced a downward trend with anegative growth of 7.4% and 21.7% respectively.

    On the CNG side, Pakistan became the largest CNG consumer in the worl with 2,700

    CNG stations catering to about 2.0 million vehicles as compared to 1.7 million vehicles

    during the preceding year, showing an increase of 17.6%.

    The consumption of black oil grew to 8.2 million tons. During FY 09, local refineries

    produced 9.6 million tons whilst the deficit requirement of around 9.8 million tons was

    imported. A significant reduction in the refining capacity of different refineries was

    witnessed mainly due to the mounting circular debt.

    During FY09, PSO sold 12.9 million tons of POL products (excluding exports of 0.17

    million tons) as compared to 13 million tons (excluding exports of 0.11 million tons)

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    during the preceding year. The Company was able to maintain its sales despite the

    overall economic slowdown and the decline in petroleum products consumption in the

    white oil segment.

    The Pakistan Credit Rating Agency Limited PARCA has rated Pakistan State OilCompany limited as AA+/A1+ .These ratings denote a very strong capacity for the

    timely payment of financial commitments.

    RESULTS OF FY 09

    Profitability Ratios

    Pakistan state oil posted a Lost after tax RS 6,699 million in FY 09 which was 147.66

    percent less then the previous year. In the previous year the company reported profit

    after tax of 14,054 million.

    Moving forth, an assessment of the Profitability shows that the company earned Rs 719

    billion revenues in FY09 compared to Rs 583 billion in FY08. This increase can be

    accounted to the heavy reliance on PSO for provision of furnace oil. However, despite

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    the higher sales the loss after tax stood at Rs 6.7 billion in FY09 vis-a-vis a profit of Rs

    14 billion in FY08. It was due to the gross profit margin crashed from 5.15 in FY08 to

    0.42 in FY09. The impact on net profit margin was more crucial by all standards as it

    plunged from 2.41 to -1.09 owing to heavy inventory losses and exorbitant financial

    charges. Financial charges escalated by 356% between FY08 and FY09 as they rose

    from previous Rs 1.6 million to Rs 6.3 million. The virtually four fold increase in the

    financial charges during the period under observation was a step taken to meet the

    liquidity crunch caused by the severe circular debt that had accumulated. In addition to

    the heavy inventory losses and the steep financial charges recorded during the FY09,

    the devaluation in rupee value was another significant contributor to the fall in

    profitability. A 19% depreciation of rupee against the dollar during the FY09

    exaggerated the dent in the profitability of PSO as the company imports approximately

    80% of the country's POL imports.

    0

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    revenue

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    Gross profit margin

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    Net profit margin

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    The Return on asset in FY09 was ( 4.36%) as compared to 11.1 % in Fy 08. The return

    on owners equity was also very less ( 32.09%) during FY 09 as compared to 45.4 % in

    FY 08. The decline in both the returns can be attributed to the loss after tax.

    Liquidity Ratios

    An overview of the liquidity position of the company shows that the liquidity has dipped

    by 13.7% from 1.24 in FY08 to 1.07 in FY09. This problem with liquidity was proactively

    addressed by PSO as they introduced various strategies to ensure a better match

    between the current assets and current liabilities of the company. In the short-term

    however, the current liabilities were covered by short-term borrowings. Furthermore,

    PSO recovered Rs. 167 billion from the power sector and another Rs. 39 billion on

    account of the Petroleum Development Levy (PDL) from the GOP. These short and

    long-term measures were taken to streamline the liquidity stature of the company.

    -40.00%

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    2009 2008

    Return on asset

    Return on equity

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    The inventory turnover during FY09 was 24.36 days as it was 10.1 days during FY 08 it

    was about 10.1 days. The asset turnover during FY09 was 4.96 times as it was 5.8

    times during FY08.

    Debt Management Ratios

    The debt to asset ratio rose from 75.64 in FY08 to 84.74 in FY09. The debt to equity

    ratio and the long-term debt to equity ratios both rose with the debt to equity ratio

    growing by 104% as it rose from 310.5 to 635.10. This spike in the debt to equity ratio

    was due to severe accumulation of circular debt on accounts of Company's like

    HUBCO, KAPCO, PEPCO, and PIA who defaulted on their payments and created acute

    liquidity problems. Receivables from these companies amounted to Rs 79 billion and inan attempt to service its obligations to refineries, PSO has to resort to short term

    borrowing amounting to Rs 64 billion.

    1

    1.05

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    1.15

    1.2

    1.25

    2009 2008

    current ratio

    70.00%

    75.00%

    80.00%

    85.00%

    90.00%

    2009 2008

    DEBT TO ASSET RATIO

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    However, this cycle of circular debt led to excessive short term borrowing and piling of

    financial charges - factors which tarnished the profitability of the company. The Time

    Interest Earned (TIE) ratio crashed from 16.4 to -0.89 due to the hike in financial

    charges on account of short term borrowings to meet due financial obligations.

    The Gearing ratio During FY 09 was 12.11% and it was 7.78% during FY 08. As the

    gearing ratio measures the riskiness of the company. So it tells that the company is not

    so risky however its gearing ratio has increased by 55.65 percent.

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    2009 2008

    Debt to equity

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    2009 2008

    Time Interest Earned

    Ratio

    0.00%

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    2009 2008

    Gearing ratio

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    Owners Equity Ratios

    The Dividend Yield ratio during FY 09 was around 2.34% as compared to 5.6 % in FY08 which shows the rate of return received by the shareholders was around 58% less as

    compared to FY08.

    The price earning ratio during FY 09 was (5.47). As it were 5.1 during FY08. This shows

    however the willingness of investors to pay the price of Company share have came

    down as compared to the last year.

    .

    0.00%

    1.00%

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    4.00%

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    2009 2008

    Dividend Yield Ratio

    -10

    -5

    0

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    10

    2009 2008

    Price earning ratio

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    The market value per share of Pakistan State Oil during FY09 was around 213.65 which

    were also decreased as it was 417.2 during FY 08. The dividend per share during FY09

    was around Rs5 which was Rs 23.5 in FY 08 which shows that it is also decreased by

    around 78.72%.

    Balance Sheet Growth

    The total assets of the company grew by 20.7% in FY 09 as compared to FY08 while

    the total liabilities grew by 37.86% as compared to FY 08 whereas the Equity of the

    company declined by 32.6% as compared to FY 08.

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    Future outlook

    Pakistan State Oil geared towards addressing and meeting the energy challenges of the

    country in the face of the limited domestic refining capacity that has resulted in the

    import of refined products. The future energy demand in Pakistan is expected to grow,

    which is largely due to the expected natural gas constraints for the powe generation

    0

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    Total Assets

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    Total Liabilities

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    Total Equity

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    sector and reduction in hydro electric potential. In an economic environment that is

    marred by mounting circular debt, the company is successful in fulfilling the energy

    demand of the country with its prudent utilization of resources.

    Pakistan State Oils future performance will be reliant on cost savings, increased salesand high operating efficiencies. In the long term the Company will continue to enhance

    its brand equity with aggressive and focused marketing efforts that will utilize the print

    and electronic media and will strengthen the companys visibility.

    PSO AT A GLANCE

    Rs. Million (unless noted)

    2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003

    Sales Volume

    (Million Tons)13.2 13.0 11.8 9.8 9.7 8.6 10.8

    Profit & Loss Account

    Sales Revenue 719,282 583,214 411,058 352,515 253,777 195,130 206,376

    Net Revenue 612,696 495,279 349,706 298,250 212,504 161,538 172,446

    Gross Profit 3,010 30,024 12,259 17,207 13,746 9,191 8,955

    Operating

    (Loss) / Profit(5,577) 22,451 7,950 11,264 9,340 6,452 6,484

    Marketing &Administrative

    Expenses

    5,113 4,425 3,748 3,428 3,219 2,634 2,465

    (Loss) / Profit

    before Tax(11,357) 21,377 7,122 11,418 9,191 6,263 6,209

    (Loss) / Profit

    after Tax(6,699) 14,054 4,690 7,525 5,656 4,212 4,030

    Earning beforeInterest, taxes,

    depreciation &

    Amortization

    (EBITDA)

    (3,983) 23,912 9,420 13,385 10,546 7,244 7,113

    Copex 694 620 1,609 751 1,506 2,096 1,643

    Balance Sheet

    Share Capital 1,715 1,715 1,715 1,715 1,715 1,715 1,715

    Reserves 19,156 29,250 19,224 19,098 15,830 13,731 11,348

    Shareholders' 20,871 30,965 20,939 20,813 17,545 15,446 14,264

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    Equity

    Property Plant& Equipment

    7,056 7,567 8,138 7,674 8,256 7,738 6,437

    Net current

    assets8,666 22,143 11,128 10,978 7,970 6,309 4,531

    Long TermLiabilities

    2,528 2,409 2,412 2,299 1,999 1,636 1,358

    Profitabiltiy Ratios

    Gross Profit

    ratio% 0.42 5.15 2.98 4.88 5.42 4.71 4.34

    Net Profit ratio % (0.93) 2.41 1.14 2.13 2.23 2.16 1.95

    EBITDAmargin

    % (0.55) 4.10 2.29 3.80 4.16 3.71 3.45

    Return onShareholders'

    Equity

    % (32.10) 45.39 22.40 36.16 32.24 27.27 30.85

    Return on total

    assets% (4.37) 11.06 6.28 10.72 10.81 9.93 12.46

    Return on

    capitalemployed

    % 15.5 68.1 35.4 54.1 48.9 40.8 44.90

    Asset utilization

    Inventory

    turnover ratio

    (x) 13.9 10.1 11.7 11.5 11.2 13.1 19.7

    Debtor

    turnover ratio

    (x) 12.6 24.6 32.5 38.1 39.9 40.1 35.4

    Creditor

    turnover ratio

    (x) 6.3 9.6 10.8 12.5 13.5 12.2 15.1

    Total assetturnover ratio

    (x) 5.13 5.78 5.67 5.76 5.36 5.22 6.34

    Fixed assetturnover ratio

    (x) 98.4 74.3 52.0 44.3 31.7 27.5 36.4

    Investment

    Earning per

    share

    Rs. (39.05) 81.94 27.34 43.87 32.98 24.56 23.50

    Market valueper share (YearEnd)

    Rs. 213.65 417.24 391.45 309.00 386.00 256.75 228.40

    Highest Price Rs. 428.79 539.70 418.30 452.30 490.10 316.60 239.50

    Lowest Price Rs. 96.00 317.50 280.50 264.65 239.00 232.75 109.90

    Break-up value Rs. 121 180 122 121 102 90 76

    Price earningratio (P/E)

    (x) (5.5) 5.1 14.3 7.0 11.7 10.5 9.7

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    Dividend per

    share

    Rs. 5.0 23.5 21.0 34.0 26.0 17.5 16.0

    Bonus share % - - - - - - -

    Dividend

    payout

    % - 28.68 76.81 77.50 78.84 71.25 68.09

    Dividend yield % 2.34 5.63 5.36 11.00 6.74 6.82 7.01Dividend cover

    ratio

    (x) - 3.49 1.30 1.29 1.27 1.40 1.47

    Leverage

    Debt : Equity

    ratio- - - - - - -

    Interest Coverratio

    (x) - 16.4 6.9 12.7 25.2 34.1 23.6

    Current Ratio 1.07 1.24 1.22 1.23 1.24 1.25 1.25

    Quick Ratio (x) 0.75 0.57 0.64 0.63 0.62 0.66 0.79

    Contribution

    Employees as

    remuneration2,872 2,438 2,006 1,857 1,870 1,474 1,403

    Government astaxes

    161,388 85,208 68,096 58,822 38,823 50,942 53,699

    Shareholders asdividends

    858 4,031 3,602 5,831 4,459 3,002 2,744

    Retainedwithin the

    business

    - 1,100 1,900 1,230 1,210 1,290

    Financialcharges to

    providers offinance

    6,232 1,368 1,158 884 371 189 275

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