an update on exoplanets - phughes/icon_dir/down/elderwise_16.pdf · history –the revolution...
TRANSCRIPT
An Update On Exoplanets
Philip Hughes
Department of Astronomy
University of Michigan
http://dept.astro.lsa.umich.edu/~phughes/
Recommended
https://eyes.nasa.gov/eyes-on-exoplanets.html
Exoplanet Basics
Extrasolar (Exo-) Planets➢ Metrodorus of Chios (forerunner of Epicurus)
wrote “It would be strange if a single ear of corn grew in a large plain or were there only one world in the infinite”
➢ Giordano Bruno burned at stake in 1600 for speculation about other inhabited worlds
➢ Bernard de Fontenelle speculated about Venusians, Jupiterians and planets about distant stars in 1686
History – A Century of Errors
➢ 1916: Barnard's star announced; “rapid” motion –only 6 light years away
➢ Peter van de Kamp at Swarthmore gets 2000 images from 1938 to 1962; these reveal a “wobble” due to a Jupiter-like planet
➢ v.d.K. publishes ever more refined results through 1982 – culmination of his life's work
History – A Century of Errors➢ From 1972 onwards, v.d.K.'s results receive
scrutiny by Gatewood, Eichhorn, Hershey, Harrington and Fredrick
➢ All fail to find a “wobble” except Hershey, using the same Sproul Obs. telescope – and he finds a “wobble” for all stars explored!! Telescope optics at fault!!
➢ v.d.K. dies in 1995 with issue unresolved; but few now believe in a planet around Barnard's star
History – The Revolution
➢ Gatewood (1996) makes tentative claim to finding “wobble” in Lalande 21185; still unconfirmed
➢ Dave Latham (1989) HD 114762 – brown dwarf?
➢ Pulsar planets (1992) – planets?
➢ 1994/5 – the radial velocity method triumphs:➢ Michel Mayor/Didier Queloz (Geneva Obs.) announce
planet about 51 Peg
➢ Geoff Marcy/Paul Butler (San Fransisco State) confirm this
➢ Both groups go on to dominate the early field of exoplanet discovery
The Tally To October 10, 2016
3533 exoplanets
2650 systems
595 multiple
systems
There are also
>pulsar
planets
>free floating
planets
>candidate
planets
(136 planets 2/6/05)
Why The Success?
➢ Significant improvements in spectrometers (for examining the spectra of star light)
➢ Better sensors for recording that light
➢ Better software for analyzing the data
Accelerated, more intensive, searches
–success breeds success
How? I.
➢ Two bodies orbit a common center of mass: if one object is invisible, you might still see the motion of the other
How? II.
➢ Depending on orientation in space, the observable object might move towards and away from you
➢ Sun moves at 13 m/s due to Jupiter – can now measure to a few m/s
How? III.
➢ This can be detected through the Doppler effect:
Footnote 1: Electrons In Atoms
Footnote 2: Spectra
How? IV.➢ The tiny motion of a star due a companion planet
requires “color” changes to be measured with exquisite precision
➢ In fact, you can't measure the color changes with enough accuracy
➢ We need markers on the spectrum
➢ We have markers; the absorption lines:
Orbits & Masses See binary applet
Period from variation in spectrum
Mass of star from spectral type
Kepler’s 3rd Law ⇒ planet orbit size
Speed of star from variation in spectrum
Size of star’s orbit about CoM = speed x period
Center of Mass concept ⇒ planet mass
Beware inclination! Masses are lower limits 12 MJ < MBD < 1/12 M
⊙
Early Years➢ Jupiter mass planets, close to their parent star,
were a great surprise
➢ Ever increasing sensitivity has revealed Earth-mass planets
687 Planets Found This Way
➢ From beyond the Solar System, the Sun outshines Jupiter by a billion, and the Earth by 10 billion
➢ We have the sensitivity, but....➢ compare viewing a firefly next to a search-light
➢ It's better in the infra-red: only a factor of a million!
➢ We have also found exoplanets using...
2692 By Transits (Eclipses)
➢ e.g., HD209458 detected by 1.7% dip in light from parent star
➢ 1. at just the time predicted from spectral discovery;
➢ 2. which is just the dip expected from a planet with 0.63 Jupiter masses, bloated by 60% due to heat from star
(Artist's impression.)
Kepler Mission
Launched by NASA, 2009
Photometer monitors brightness of >145,000 stars
Periodic dimming reveals planet(s)
Revolutionized field of study
51 By Microlensing, 72 By Direct Imaging!!
➢ GQ Lupi b – brown dwarf?
➢ 2M1207 b – orbits BD
➢ AB Pic b – BD?
More Detection Methods
If an exoplanet has a strong magnetic field, how might that be used to detect the planet?
Radio emission from aurorae!
LOFAR
Puffy Planets How do we get an exoplanet’s density?
Mass from radial velocity method
Radius from transit method
Kepler 7b: 0.5 MJ
“Puffy planets” or “hot Saturns” get heated by their parent star and/or some internal source
Maybe wind through magnetosphere produces internal electric current
Mega-Earths
Kepler 10 c
Mass: 15-19 ME
Radius: ~ 2.4 RE
Density 6000-8000 kg/m3
Rocky, few volatiles (ices), dense because of pressure – like Jupiter’s core, but without the surrounding H & He
Hot Jupiters
WASP 18 b:
Orbit is decaying due to tidal effects – in less than a million years
If tidal effects cause the Moon to move away from the Earth, why do they cause the objects to move together here?
Moon orbits Earth slowly – Earth is source of rotational energy
WASP 18b orbits in only 1 day, star spins slowly; orbit is source of rotational energy
Kepler Candidates 2012
Our Solar System & Planet Migration
Properties Of Solar System
➢ Orbits: almost circular orbits, in a plane, with most rotations and revolutions in the same direction
➢ Terrestrial/Jovian dichotomy
➢ Rock & Ice: why the asteroids and comets?
➢ Solar system wackiness: Earth's large moon.....tilt of Uranus
Formation of Solar System
➢ Well into C20th close encounter (Sun-star) was popular (cf tides). But it can't explain:➢ orbits
➢ terrestrial/Jovian division
➢ and it's highly unlikely to have happened! (and planet systems are common)
➢ Nebula Theory (Kant, Laplace, C18th) now accepted based on its ability to explain these properties
The Interstellar Medium
The Interstellar Medium
➢ The “space” between stars is filled with gas/dust(smoke), even the densest being a good vacuum on Earth, visible because of size
➢ The densest/coolest parts are the cores of Giant Molecular Clouds (molecular because protected from UV of nearby stars)
Collapse!
➢ GMC cores collapse because the are cold (10s K) and dense – gravity wins over pressure
➢ Collapse releases gravitation potential energy kinetic energy heat
➢ Thus temperature & pressure go up.... but density goes up, so gravity always wins
Collapse contd.
➢ The original nebula had some spin: conservation of angular momentum causes the cloud to spin up as it contracts
➢ Centripetal force holds up the cloud in the 'spin plane', but not along the axis, and collisions➢ allow collapse to disk
➢ order motions in the disk
A Good Theory!
➢ Orbits: almost circular orbits, in a plane, with most rotations and revolutions in the same direction!
➢ We can test the model because ➢ we can compute the consequences of such a scenario
and confirm the steps/end result
➢ we see IR emission from hot nebulae cores where stars are forming
➢ we see gas/dust disks
A Good Theory...?
➢ Terrestrial/Jovian dichotomy
➢ OK! The solar nebula contained ➢ 74% Hydrogen
➢ 24% Helium .....both from the “Big Bang”
➢ 2% everything else, including C, N, O, Ni, Fe, etc. .....from the life cycles of earlier stars
➢ Please explain!➢ fusion takes H/He and creates “heavy” elements
➢ a supernova spews those into the ISM, where it mixes in and enriches the ISM; no terrestrial planets around the first stars!
Terrestrial/Jovian Dichotomy
➢ Nebula core is dense – collapses fast and first to form Sun. Solar environment is hot; it's cooler further out.
Growth of Planets➢ Temperature determines what can condense (gas
to solid) to form seeds of planets at a given distance from Sun.➢ only metals (Ni, Fe) close in (only need T<1600K)
➢ metals, plus rocks (minerals) further out (some condense even at T=500K)
➢ metals plus rocks, plus ices (CH4, NH3, H2O) beyond the snow (frost) line (need T<150K)
Growth of Planets contd.➢ H & He never condense
➢ Planetesimals form by accretion – a growth by collision (electrostatic then gravitational force)
➢ Inside frost line we get rock/metal “seeds”. That's only 0.6% of all the stuff there. The planetesimals are small, and it's too hot to pull in H & He
➢ Outside the frost line we get rock/metal and ices– 2% of all stuff; planetesimals are larger, and it's cool enough to pull in H & He
Growth of Planets contd.
➢ Inside frost line: small metal/rock planets form –the terrestrials
➢ Outside the frost line: large bodies form – the Jovians; the heat from accretion turning the ices to gas➢ The gas giants are thus SS in miniature
➢ Moons (rings – see later) form about them from disks of dust/gas
➢ Later, asteroids etc. can be captured to complement the moon systems
So how to we get hot Jupiters????
Planet Migration
Migration
➢ Giants can exist close to a Sun-like star – they increase in size, but their gravity is more than sufficient for them to retain their gases
➢ However, they cannot form there
➢ They must form further out and migrate inwards
➢ How does migration happen?
Migration contd.➢ Type 1
➢ Earth mass planet drives spiral wave (cf. spiral galaxies)
➢ Gain/loss of angular momentum with inner/outer wave not in balance – planet loses AM
➢ Type 2
➢ Higher mass planets clear gap
➢ Material moves inward, trying to refill gap
➢ Planet + gap move in
Migration contd.➢ Type 3
➢ Similar principles
➢ Planet interacts gravitationally with vortices in disk
➢ Planet is “scattered”
Nice Model Of Solar System
Uranus
The big question: What stops migration?
Kepler Candidates 2012
The Solar System is an anomaly!
Exoplanet Atmospheres
The Rise Of Oxygen
➢ In the Earth’s early, Oxygen-free atmosphere, simple organisms would have been anaerobic;they were probably➢ chemoautotrophs – getting energy from inorganic
compounds➢ modern Archaea in hot springs get their energy from H/S/Fe
compound reactions
➢ Photosynthesis evolved from light absorbing pigments, that eventually allowed➢ photohetero(auto)trophs – getting energy from
sunlight➢ “blue-green” algae release oxygen
Oxygen contd.➢ Oxygen is highly
reactive:➢ Oxidizes surface rock & Fe
minerals in oceans➢ Rocks > 2 billion years old
have only 1% modern oxygen levels
➢ No more than 10% current until about 1 billion years ago
➢ Then reaches current levels
➢ Oxygen needs life!➢ O2/O3 in exoplanet
atmosphere will indicate life!
Detecting Exoplanet Atmospheres I
➢ First direct detection: David Charbonneau (Caltech/CFA; 2002) et al. using HST for HD 209458 b
Detecting Exoplanet Atmospheres II➢ Identify the planet
contribution to the spectrum from different (changing) Doppler shift
➢ Done 2012 by Matteo Brogi (Leiden) et al. for τ Boötis b using VLT in Chile
➢ Planet's light is only 0.01% the whole
Detecting Exoplanet Atmospheres III
To date, more than 50 atmospheres have been studied
We are just beginning to probe structure, as for planets in our Solar System: day/night temperature differences & vertical structure
We are beginning to probe composition: Sodium, Water, Carbon Monoxide, Methane
Extreme Example
HD 189733 b
In 2013 HST observations found deep blue color due to reflective clouds containing silicates
In 2007 Spitzer Space Telescope mapped temperature profile: T ~ 1000 K
Wind speeds ~ 2.7 km/s (~ 6000 mph)
⇒ A horizontal rain of semi-molten glass
Habitable Zones:Stellar & Galactic
Habitable Zone: Stars
Simple definition (liquid water) is naïve but practical
Application To Solar System
Venus: runaway greenhouse effect
Earth: warmer than without atmosphere, but… snowball Earth phase?
Mars: runaway glaciation (permafrost) without atmosphere, stripped by solar wind after loss of magnetic field?
Venus/Venera 9
Snowball Earth/650 My ago
Mars/Chaotic terrain/flood
Habitable Zone: Stars
Other factors: The HZ evolves
Close-in planets might tidally lock
Solar flares/CMEs more problematic in low mass stars
The planetary environment is modified……
The Ups & Downs Of Life➢ The fossil record shows that life has not followed
a simple, smooth progression of evolution; there have been major periods of mass extinctions
Extinctions➢ These may be due to numerous events, each of
which is not unique to Earth
➢ 1. impacts
➢ 2. loss of ozone
➢ 3. loss of magnetic field
➢ 4. Increase in cosmic ray flux?
➢ 5. climate change – anthropogenic & Milankovitch cycles
1. Impacts
➢ Falling debris starts world-wide fires
➢ Tsunamis propagate even 1000 km inland
➢ Dust remains in atmosphere for months –temporary global cooling – cessation of photosynthesis
➢ CO2 release causes a following global warming
➢ Noxious chemicals pollute atmosphere & oceans
general disruption of food-chain
Impacts – The Evidence➢ K-T event:
➢ world-wide layer:➢ Iridium etc.
➢ shocked quartz
➢ glass drops, soot
Impacts – Can We Survive?
Even modest events are dramatic
Chelyabinsk event
15 February 2013
Near Earth Asteroid
19 km/s (60 x sound), 20m, 12 kT
Explosion released 500 kT TNT equiv.
1500 people injured
Aside: King Tutankhamun’s Dagger
Made of iron in c. 1330 BCE, before Iron Age smelting!
Same proportions of Fe, Ni, Co as meteorite in Kharga Oasis
Ancients knew of “stones from the sky”
Ann HodgesAlabama1954
Aside: Death & Injury?
Probability Of Destruction
2. Ozone / 3. Magnetic Fields
➢ Ozone protects against damaging UV radiation; it's loss will increase mutation rate➢ Volcanism – indirect (catalytic aerosols)
➢ Magnetic field loss/supernova can provide p/e that promote reactions causing loss
➢ Magnetic field protects against ionizing particles; its loss will also increase mutation rate➢ Earth's field flips every one-tenth- to a few- million
years, with potentially long “drop outs” between polarities
Earth’s Dynamo
4. Increase In Cosmic Ray Flux
Habitable Zone: Galactic
Heavy elements: Need refractory elements (Iron, Nickel…) to form
terrestrial planets
Need radionuclides (40K, 235U…) to heat interior for tectonics/volcanism for atmosphere & dynamo generated
magnetic field to act as shield
Need elements for organic chemistry (CH4, H20…)
Habitable Zone: Galactic
Heavy elements: More common in inner galaxy
But excess of heavier elements might enhance seeding of gas giants, whose migration disrupts orbits of inner planets
Habitable Zone: Galactic
Catastrophic events: Supernovae produce damaging radiation; they are more
frequent in the inner Galaxy where there’s a high density of stars
Regions of higher Galactic tide might lead to higher rates of cometary impacts
Spiral arms contain molecular clouds, encounters with which might lead to higher rates of cometary impacts
Habitable Zone: Galactic
Search For Life Beyond Earth
Exoplanet- related Astronomical Techniques
(See also Solar System exploration, CETI, SETI & space travel)
Kepler Shadowgrams
The Kepler satellite is monitoring stars for the telltale periodic dimming of starlight as a planet transits
Suppose an alien civilization has constructed a light weight “gossamer” billboard orbiting their star; it's shape would be evident to us in the shadowgram:
(rotating triangle)
Shadowgrams contd. This could be used passively – for generations – or
Actively, like semaphore, sending information as binary digits
(louvered strip)
(multiple transits by groups)
What Is This?
Civilizations Need Energy
A data center can use as much as medium sized town
Globally, “data warehouses” use 30 billion watts –30 nuclear power plants; the USA accounts for about 1/4-1/3 of that
Up to 70% of the power is used for cooling/air handling
This is just one example of how an advancing civilization's energy use rises dramatically as technology develops
We Borrow Energy
Energy is not created or destroyed, it just changes form
eg, Potential ⇒ Kinetic ⇒ Heat (falling object)
eg, Electrical ⇒ Heat (electronics)
An advanced civilization with vast energy needs will generate a vast amount of waste energy
Use 'degrades' energy; we can expect the waste energy to show up as heat – radiation in infra-red (IR)
Kardashev Scale
Nikolai Kardashev, Russian astrophysicist, b. 1932
Type I civilization: utilizes as much energy as we do today (about 16 TW) Redefine? Use total insolation? At less than 1/10,000
that, we might be called Type 0
Type II civilization: capable of utilizing the entire energy output of its parent star
Type III civilization: capable of utilizing the entire energy output of its galaxy
Kardashev Scale contd.
Type I civilization: planet's energy supply; this might be achieved within centuries of the start of industry/technology
Type II civilization: energy output of its parent star; within millenia [Michio Kaku]
Type III civilization: energy output of its galaxy; within 100,000 to 1 million years
How can you tap into a star/galaxy's energy?
Dyson Sphere
Freeman Dyson, British/American physicist, b. 1923
Dyson Sphere
Dyson Shell: practical? drift w.r.t. star
no force holding interior biosphere
no known material is strong enough to withstand stress
not enough material in solar system for more than thin shell
Dyson Swarm (or Bubble or Net) independent energy traps/habitats; incremental
construction: won't get 100% star's light but maybe viable
Is The Time Frame Realistic?
Once a technology exists, it spreads on a time scale short compared with that of its context [see examples on next slide]
The Universe is 13.8 billion years old; the Earth formed 4.5 billion years ago, 9 billion years after the Universe; it's easy to imagine another star/planet/civilization that arose 8 billion years after the Big Bang, giving it a 1billion year 'head start' on us
The million year time frame suggested for utilizing a galaxy's energy is only 1/1000 this
Internet Access
Mobile Phones
A Search For Waste Energy
Jason Wright at Penn State PI
Funded by the John Templeton Foundation
Using WISE (Wide-field Infrared Survey Explorer): radiation from 1AU sized objects, 200-300K, in far IR
Search for 'astronomically anomalous' IR emission from the vicinity of (unseen?) stars (Type II civilization) and ditto from whole galaxies (Type III civilization) – a web of stars enshrouded in 'industrial' megastructures
Essential Points:
Exoplanets are common
Today we could detect Oxygen in exoplanet atmospheres, an almost certain
indicator of (maybe only primitive) life
Signals from “billboards” orbiting stars – an indicator of life a little more advanced than us
Evidence of vastly more advanced civilization via their waste energy
We don’t have to wait for ET to visit!