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An overview of public perceptions to CCS Peta Ashworth Presentation to UCL, 12 th June 2009 Nick Otter, Interim CEO, GCCSI, April, 2009

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Page 1: An overview of public perceptions to CCS• Public perceptions of the risk of technology do not occur in a vacuum. People bring to their evaluation of a particular technology their

An overview of public perceptions to CCS

Peta Ashworth

Presentation to UCL, 12th June 2009

Nick Otter, Interim CEO, GCCSI, April, 2009

Page 2: An overview of public perceptions to CCS• Public perceptions of the risk of technology do not occur in a vacuum. People bring to their evaluation of a particular technology their

Timeline of Communication Research Activities2002 - 2007

Page 3: An overview of public perceptions to CCS• Public perceptions of the risk of technology do not occur in a vacuum. People bring to their evaluation of a particular technology their

The value of social research and communication

• From CLET Scoping Study - 2003

• A major risk to technology adoption is ifthere is no appropriate engagement withstakeholders during the developmentprocess.

• Public attitudes to new technologies canchange over time however, once formedthey can be slow to change

• Social research can• enhance technology outcomes through a

better knowledge of the end userenvironment,

• identify societal issues and suggeststrategies for addressing them

• increase the awareness of newtechnology development

Page 4: An overview of public perceptions to CCS• Public perceptions of the risk of technology do not occur in a vacuum. People bring to their evaluation of a particular technology their

Preferred energy technology to address global warming

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

Solar energy

Energy efficient cars

Wind energy

Carbon sequestration

Bioenergy/biomass

Nuclear energy

Carbon capture and

storage

Definitely use Probably use Not sure Probably not use Definitely not use

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

Solar energy

Energy efficient cars

Wind energy

Carbon sequestration

Bioenergy/biomass

Nuclear energy

Carbon capture andstorage

Australia US

D. Reiner et al., (2007)An international comparison of public attitudes towards carbon capture and

storage technologies. GHGT-8

Page 5: An overview of public perceptions to CCS• Public perceptions of the risk of technology do not occur in a vacuum. People bring to their evaluation of a particular technology their

JapanSweden

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

Solar energy

Energy efficient cars

Wind energy

Carbon sequestration

Bioenergy/biomass

Nuclear energy

Carbon capture and

storage

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

Solar energy

Energy efficient cars

Wind energy

Carbon sequestration

Bioenergy/biomass

Nuclear energy

Carbon capture and storage

Definitely use Probably use Not sure Probably not use Definitely not use

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

Solar energy

Energy efficient cars

Wind energy

Carbon sequestration

Bioenergy/biomass

Nuclear energy

Carbon capture and

storage

UK

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

Solar energy

Energy efficient cars

Wind energy

Carbon sequestration

Bioenergy/biomass

Nuclear energy

Carbon capture and

storage

Spain

Page 6: An overview of public perceptions to CCS• Public perceptions of the risk of technology do not occur in a vacuum. People bring to their evaluation of a particular technology their

Youth 29

9.09.18.99.28.88.89.19.29.89.9Oil

8.37.76.66.98.28.59.18.89.48.7Nuclear

8.48.78.69.08.48.68.78.89.69.6Coal

4.36.57.26.95.77.17.06.76.26.5CCS

6.76.76.77.26.47.05.56.25.95.8Biofuels

6.35.76.55.15.65.55.35.25.95.6Hydro

6.05.86.46.66.15.66.06.56.26.6Nat. Gas

3.84.86.15.56.76.15.24.94.04.2Geothermal

6.85.24.14.45.34.44.74.34.64.3Wave/Tidal

3.63.12.82.52.72.63.33.12.42.9Wind

2.52.12.13.02.11.91.92.11.81.7Solar

After%

Before%

After%

Before%

After%

Before%

After%

Before%

After%

Before%

Adelaide 131Perth 62Melbourne 47Brisbane 60

Feb, 2009Nov, 2008Jun, 2008Mar, 2008Feb, 2008

Preferred energy source/technology1= high preference 11= lowest preference

Page 7: An overview of public perceptions to CCS• Public perceptions of the risk of technology do not occur in a vacuum. People bring to their evaluation of a particular technology their

How strongly do you agree or disagree with CCS1= strongly disagree 7= strongly agree

Youth 29

10010010099.9100100100.1100100100Total

01.51.602.100000Missing responses

23.717.66.54.812.86.410.25.23.63.4Strongly agree

38.21317.79.719.18.513.617.27.113.8Moderately agree

22.110.737.122.640.46.427.18.635.713.8Agree

9.947.32154.814.959.632.248.32548.3Unsure

3.85.36.51.64.314.95.16.914.30Disagree

2.33.14.84.84.32.11.75.210.713.8Moderately disagree

01.54.81.62.12.110.28.63.66.9Strongly disagree

After %Before%

After %Before%

After %Before%

After %Before%

After %Before%

Adelaide 131Perth 62Melbourne 47Brisbane 60

Feb, 2009Nov, 2008Jun, 2008Mar, 2008Feb, 2008

Ashworth et al. (2008) Engaging the public on Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage: Does alarge group process work? GHGT9

Page 8: An overview of public perceptions to CCS• Public perceptions of the risk of technology do not occur in a vacuum. People bring to their evaluation of a particular technology their

Questions about CCS

• “Have any studies been done on ways to use CO2 emissions forpractical uses thereby creating a recycling effect rather than just buryit?”

• We need to know more about it before widespread application - Is itsafe? What are the long-term effects? Is it a cover-up operation – will itgive companies that invest in this technology the appearance of lookinggreen without actually doing anything?

• CCS is not an answer but can be a bridge for other technologies. Ithought it was bad but now I have changed my opinion.

• What is payback period for building CO2 sequestration, brings jobs andprogress but how many emissions?

• CCS is a pipedream; there is not concrete evidence of it working

• How far down the track is carbon sequestration? How soon can weimplement? How long can we use the special sequestration spots?

Page 9: An overview of public perceptions to CCS• Public perceptions of the risk of technology do not occur in a vacuum. People bring to their evaluation of a particular technology their

US DOE Regional Partnerships –Predominance of Social Concerns

• Among all groups, most strongly expressed concerns were:• trust in authority• concern about the fairness of CCS implementation procedures

• Domination of technological risk issues in CCS discussion may be misplaced.Rather, social processes are key.

• Public perceptions of the risk of technology do not occur in a vacuum. Peoplebring to their evaluation of a particular technology their cultural frame ofreference: differing values, experiences, way of interpreting and responding.

• Technology and decisions about risk (level and acceptability) are essentiallysocial in origin and effect.

• Resolution of safety issues related to leakage, seismicity and containmentare essential to successful deployment of CCS.

• But, management of these risks is the critical factor for public acceptance• How can we have a say in what happens?• Will the process be fair and will anyone listen to us?• Can we trust the project developers and government to take care of problems• What have our previous relationships with these entities shown us?• What is the benefit to the community• How does the project fit or improve our way of life?

Bradbury, J., et al. The Role of Social Factors in Shaping Public Perceptions of CCS: Results of Multi-State Focus Group Interviews in the U.S

Page 10: An overview of public perceptions to CCS• Public perceptions of the risk of technology do not occur in a vacuum. People bring to their evaluation of a particular technology their

Stated Risks From California EJ Group!

• CO2 liquid’s acidic nature is corrosive to the undergroundenvironment, contaminating the ground and would eventually leachto the surface.

• When CO2 escapes from underground to the surface it alsochanges from liquid to gas, it is 1.5 times heavier than air, does notreadily disperse in the atmosphere, stays close to the ground andwill kill every living human, animal and plant within 20 milesfrom asphyxiation.

• When CO2 leaches up to the surface it will contaminateunderground fresh drinking water aquifers, lakes, rivers and theocean.

• Southern California is in earthquake country with numerous faults.To sequester the volume of CO2 the distance underground willrequire large dangerous high pressure equipment.

• The CO2 will not be transported by pipelines to a safe locationaway from the population. The plan is to sequester the CO2 in theWilmington Oil Field which is located under the City of Los Angeles,City of Long Beach, City of Carson and other neighboring cities.

• Over 500,000 people and children will be placed in danger.

Page 11: An overview of public perceptions to CCS• Public perceptions of the risk of technology do not occur in a vacuum. People bring to their evaluation of a particular technology their
Page 12: An overview of public perceptions to CCS• Public perceptions of the risk of technology do not occur in a vacuum. People bring to their evaluation of a particular technology their

Environmental NGOs’ perceptions - Australia

• The urgency of the problem of climate change

• A preference for a portfolio approach

• Privileging of CCS interests and a “silver bullet syndrome”

• Technological feasibility and the absence of trustworthyinformation

• Whether other stakeholders, including the lay public, appreciatethe scale of infrastructure required for CCS

• The importance of communication – for now seems to be anabsence of accurate and easily accessible information forindividuals

Page 13: An overview of public perceptions to CCS• Public perceptions of the risk of technology do not occur in a vacuum. People bring to their evaluation of a particular technology their

And from the 11 year olds’ perspective!

Dear Mr Bradshaw,We are two year six students from the International Baccalaureate School,Red Hill Primary. We are currently inquiring into the relationship betweenpopulation growth and energy use. We are convinced thatGeosequestration would provide a solution to carbon dioxideemissions produced from coal energy plants and would like to knowmore about it.

After viewing an episode of Catalyst on geosequestration, we haverecorded your name down as an expert on geosequestration and hopethat you will share some information on it with us. If you would be able tohelp us answer these questions or give us some useful websites to lookat we would be very thankful.

• Do you think Geosequestration is a practical and achievable solution towardsCO2 emissions from coal energy plants? And why?

• What steps would we, as Australians have to take to ensure the success ofgeosequestration as a permanent solution?

• Is there another country or city that is already using geosequestrationsuccessfully?

• What would it cost to install geosequestration?• Would it be worth us visiting Geoscience Australia on Hindmarsh Drive to see

any other information on this? Or to talk with any other experts?

We thank you in advance for your time and professional opinions.

Page 14: An overview of public perceptions to CCS• Public perceptions of the risk of technology do not occur in a vacuum. People bring to their evaluation of a particular technology their

What have we learnt

• CCS is less positively evaluated when compared with other mitigationoptions

• The evaluation of capture and storage could be influenced by thetechnology it is associated with

• Influenced by individual’s strength of existing opinions – does the newinformation create dissonance

• Quality and objectiveness of information

• Need for a trusted and knowledgeable expert as the messenger

• Greater emphasis needed on procedural and management concerns

• Associated need for upfront social analysis and planning

• One-way outreach after site selection is not the same as priorconsultation, two-way exchange of communication between developersand potentially affected community

Page 15: An overview of public perceptions to CCS• Public perceptions of the risk of technology do not occur in a vacuum. People bring to their evaluation of a particular technology their

Conclusions

• Varying levels of knowledge about climate change and itscauses – need this to accept CCS

• Still limited knowledge about CCS• Knowledge greater among more educated participants

• Very little knowledge of the potential scale required

• Any communication needs to be in context of climate changemitigation – suite of options

• CCS is a bridging technology to a more sustainable future

• CCS investment not at expense of renewables

• Need to provide scientific based information, includes benefitsand risks

• information on natural/industrial analogues will assist riskperception

• Communication about how other people or organisations viewCCS will influence acceptance – what are the messages

“The only overarching solution to long term mitigation ofgreenhouse gas emissions is to forge collaborativerelationships with policy makers in all countries acrossthe planet in order to ensure the appropriate mix oftechnologies is deployed. At this stage all the modellingtells us CCS must be a part of that mix…”

Dr John Wright, Energy Transformed Flagship, Australia