CGRFA Side Event, July 19th 2011

CCAFS: An Overview

Andy JarvisCCAFS Theme Leader

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The Challenge

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The concentration of GHGs is rising

Long-term implications

for the climate and for crop suitability

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Historical impacts on food security

% Yield impact for wheat

Observed changes in growing season temperature for crop growing regions,1980-2008.

Lobell et al (2011)

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Average projected % change in suitability for 50 crops, to 2050

Crop suitability is changing

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In order to meet global

demands, we will need

60-70% more food

by 2050.

Food security is at risk

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Message 1:In the coming decades, climate

change and other global trends will endanger agriculture, food security,

and rural livelihoods.

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Average price in voluntary carbon markets ($/tCO2e)

Left: Example of a silvo-pastoral system

2006 2007 2008

Ecosystem valuation

Spot the livestock!

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Message 2:With new challenges also come

new opportunities.

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Program Design

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CCAFS: the partnership

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1. Identify and develop pro-poor

adaptation and mitigation

practices, technologies and

policies for agriculture and

food systems.

2.Support the inclusion of

agricultural issues in climate

change policies, and of

climate issues in agricultural

policies, at all levels.

CCAFS objectives

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The CCAFS FrameworkAdapting Agriculture to

Climate Variability and Change

Technologies, practices, partnerships and policies for:

1.Adaptation to Progressive Climate Change2.Adaptation through Managing Climate Risk3.Pro-poor Climate Change Mitigation

Improved Environmental

HealthImproved

Rural Livelihoods

Improved Food

Security

Enhanced adaptive capacity in agricultural, natural

resource management, and food systems

Trade-offs and Synergies

4. Integration for Decision Making

•Linking Knowledge with Action•Assembling Data and Tools for Analysis and Planning•Refining Frameworks for Policy Analysis

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Progressive Adaptation

THE VISION

To adapt farming systems, we need to:

• Close the production gap by effectively using current technologies, practices and policies

• Increase the bar: develop new ways to increase food production potential

• Enable policies and institutions, from the farm to national level

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Objective One: Adapted farming systems via integrated technologies, practices, and policies

Objective Two: Breeding strategies to address abiotic and biotic stresses induced by future climatesObjective Three: Identification, conservation, and deployment of species and genetic diversity

Adaptation to progressive climate change · 1

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Adaptation to progressive climate change · 1

1.1

• Holistic testing of farming options (benchmark sites)

• Agricultural knowledge transfer

• Analysis of enabling policies and instit. mechanisms

Adapted farming systems

1.2

• Climate-proofed global and national breeding strategies

• Regional fora to discuss and set priorities

Breeding strategies for

climate stresses

1.3

• Knowledge for better use of germplasm for adaptation

• On-farm use of diversity to adapt

• Policies of access for benefit sharing

Species and genetic diversity

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Greater interdependence for agricultural biodiversity

Courtesy: Burke, Lobell and Guarino

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Risk

Management

THE VISION

• Climate-related risk impedes development, leading to chronic poverty and dependency

• Actions taken now can reduce vulnerability in the short term and enhance resilience in the long term

•Improving current climate risk management will reduce obstacles to making future structural adaptations.

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Objective One: Building resilient livelihoods (Farm level)

Objective Two: Food delivery, trade, and crisis response (Food system level)

Objective Three: Enhanced climate information and services

Managing Climate Risk · 2

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Pro-poor Mitigation

VISION

Short-term: Identifying options feasible for smallholder mitigation and trade-offs with other outcomes

Long-term: Addressing conflict between achieving food security and agricultural mitigation

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Integration

VISION

•Provide an analytical and diagnostic framework, grounded in the policy context

• Synthesize lessons learned

•Effectively engage with rural stakeholders and decision makers

•Communicate likely effects of specific policies and interventions

•Build partners’ capacity

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Importance of agricultural biodiversity for climate change

• Increased interdependence of genetic resources requiring effective international and national level policies

• Varietal and crop substitution for adaptation

• Designed diversification for risk management

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