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www. USfinancialdiaries.org | ©, 2011

The Financial Lives of Working Americans

Jonathan MorduchSeptember 29, 2014

www. USfinancialdiaries.org | ©, 2011

PRELIMINARY DATA - DO NOT CITE

Leadership

• Jonathan Morduch, Professor of Public Policy and Economics, New York University

• Rachel Schneider, Senior Vice President, Insights and Analytics, Center for Financial Services innovation

Principal Investigators

The US financial diaries were created jointly by the NYU Financial Access Initiative, the Center for Financial Services Innovation, and Bankable Frontier Associates.

Daryl Collins Director

Nancy CastilloUSFD Manager

Timothy Ogden Managing Director

www. USfinancialdiaries.org | ©, 2011

PRELIMINARY DATA - DO NOT CITE

Sponsorship

Leadership support for the project is provided by the Ford Foundation and the Citi Foundation, with additional support

and guidance from the Omidyar Network.

www. USfinancialdiaries.org | ©, 2011

We have lots of annual data

www. USfinancialdiaries.org | ©, 2011

But life is lived day to day, week to week

www. USfinancialdiaries.org | ©, 2011

PRELIMINARY DATA - DO NOT CITE

US Financial Diaries

www. USfinancialdiaries.org | ©, 2011

• High frequency economic and financial data

– Interviews every 2-4 weeks over a year

• A view into hard-to-see strategies

US Financial Diaries

www. USfinancialdiaries.org | ©, 2011

www. USfinancialdiaries.org | ©, 2011

Focus

Income Assets Cash flows

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Cash

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Fed Cash Product Office (April 2014)Diary of Consumer Payment Choice

USFD: 40% on average

USFD: 50% on average

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Cash in Income and Expenditures

80% of cash expenditures are < $50

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Cash spending is harder to track and

manage

Why cash matters

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Ups & downswithin the year

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Garza Family Income, California

16

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17

Turn to pawn shops, costly loans

Garza Family Income

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Income Variability

Northern California

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Predicting next month

19

Can you predict next month’s income and spending within $500?

www. USfinancialdiaries.org | ©, 2011

Poor Near Poor Low Income0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

% Households that can’t predict next month’s spending within $500

Poor Near Poor Low Income0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

% Households that can’t predict next month’s income within $500

20

Predicting next month

www. USfinancialdiaries.org | ©, 2011

Spending > income: 97% of households had at least one month with excess spending

Overdrafts: 48% had one in the last year (if had checking account); 23% had two +

Not Much Slack

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Credit cards

78% not paid in full each month

34% had a card near its maximum

Not Much Slack

www. USfinancialdiaries.org | ©, 2011

Paying the Bills

Choosing when to pay bills• Late-paying as common as payday loans

One or more weeks early

Less than 1 week early

On time Less than 1 week late

One or more weeks late

14%

26%36%

15%9%

Q: When were bills paid?

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Fundamental tradeoff

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Now LaterSoon

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The quest for control

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Q: Which of the following is more important to you?

A. Financial StabilityB. Moving up the income ladder

www. USfinancialdiaries.org | ©, 2011

Pew Survey (2011): Sample 2000 Households

Stability vs. Ladder-Climbing

Series1

85%

13%3%

Financial stability Moving up the income ladder Not sure/don't know

www. USfinancialdiaries.org | ©, 2011

USFD (2012): Sample 200 Households

Stability vs. Ladder-Climbing

Under 101% FPL 101%-201% FPL Above 201% FPL

70%80% 79%

26%16% 20%

3% 4% 2%

Financial stability Moving up the income ladder Not sure/don't know

Poor Near Poor

Moderate income

www. USfinancialdiaries.org | ©, 2011

Thank you

www.USfinancialdiaries.org

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