word trends in air transport development -global market .... kabashkin.pdf · twin-aisle ....

Word Trends in Air Transport Development -Global Market Forecast 2030

Igor Kabashkin

Dr.hab.sc.ing., Professor, PresidentTransport and Telecommunication Institute (Riga, Latvia)

World urban population

Source: UN population Division, Airbus

Source: OECD, Airbus

Global Middle Class

The real cost of air transport 

Fuel efficiency of new aircraft

Aircraft asset utilization

The real price of air transport

Airline profitability over the past 40 years

Breakdown of airlines’ total operation costs 

Source: ICAO, Airbus

Traffic will double in the next 15 years

Source: EIA, IHS, CERA, Airbus

Oil price forecast

Aviation Mega‐Cities, 2012

Source: CMF 2013

Aviation Mega‐Cities, 2032

Source: CMF 2013

Fleet in service

Number of new aircraftAsia‐Pacific Europe North America

Middle East Latin America CIS

Source: Airbus

Freight traffic

Air Freight Industry in 2013

Freighters Fleet in Service

The Cargo Market Centre of Gravity

Igor KabashkinDr.Hab.Sc.Eng., Professor

President

Transport and Telecommunication Institute1 Lomonosova iela, Riga, LV-1019, Latvia

Phone: +371-29215392Fax: +371-67100535E-mail: kiv@tsi.lvhttp: www.tsi.lv