welcome to this experiment on decision making centre for ecological and evolutionary studies dept....

Post on 14-Dec-2015

214 Views

Category:

Documents

0 Downloads

Preview:

Click to see full reader

TRANSCRIPT

Welcome to this experiment on decision making

Centre for Ecological and Evolutionary Studies

dept. of Theoretical Biology

General overview

• Instructions (ca. 15 minutes)• Receiving desk number• Going to lab• Experiment (max. 120 minutes)• Payment (outside laboratory)

• Earnings: 30 +/- 30 Euros

General overview

• Instructions (ca. 15 minutes)• Receiving desk number• Going to lab• Experiment (max. 120 minutes)• Payment (outside laboratory)

• Earnings: 30 +/- 30 Euros

In the lab…

• Instructions are on your desk• Quiz• Experiment itself• Questionnaire• Payment (outside of the lab…)

The experiment

• Do not talk inside the laboratory• You will earn money depending on your decisions

and the decisions of others• You get a show-up fee of XXX Euros• Payments are anonymous• You start out with XXX points• 10 points are worth 1 Euro

The experiment

• Lasts for 10 periods• Each period you will be part of a group

• Randomly assigned• Anonymous• You get a ‘symbol’

•#, $, %, etc

Interacting in your group

• ‘Contribution game’• At least 1 round• New round will start with a 80% chance• Period ends with a 20% chance• Initially, your group will consist of 3 players

The contribution game

• Each round, you can contribute to a project• Costs: 4 points

• Contributions are made simultaneously• The revenues of the project are the sum of the

group’s investments x 1.5• Equally split among the group members

• Both contributors and non-contibutors

The contribution game: example I

• Example 1: all three group members contribute • Cost per player = 4 points

• Total contributions to the project• 3 x 4 = 12 points

• Project’s revenue• 12 x 1.5 = 18 points

• All group members get 6 points• Earnings in this round: 2 points for all group

members

The contribution game: example II

• Other group members contribute, you do NOT contribute • Cost for you = 0 points

• Total contributions to the project• 2 x 4 = 8 points

• Project’s revenue• 8 x 1.5 = 12 points

• Your group-mates earn 0 points• You earn in this round: 3 points

Hiring a ‘supervisor’

• Before the contribution game starts• Your group can decide to hire a supervisor

• Rigorous supervisor• Lenient supervisor• No supervisor

• Supervisor is hired for 1 period• Supervisor is a computer program

Hiring a ‘supervisor’

• Each round of the period that the supervisor is hired

• Non-contributors will NOT get revenues with chance• Rigorous supervisor 100%• Lenient supervisor 50%• No supervisor 0%

• Supervisor is hired for 1 period

Hiring a ‘supervisor’

• Each round of the period that the supervisor is hired

• Non-contributors will NOT get revenues with chance• Rigorous supervisor 100% cost: 2 points• Lenient supervisor 50% cost: 1 point• No supervisor 0% cost: 0 points

• Each round of that period, all group members have costs for the supervision

Hiring a ‘supervisor’

• Which supervisor is hired, depends on majority voting

• Before voting, you can discuss which supervisor to hire in a chat box

• If none of the options gets the majority, the computer program will select a random option

Hiring a ‘supervisor’: example

• You are in a group with 2 others• You hired a ‘lenient supervisor’ for this period

• Cost: 1 point per player per round • One of your group-mates (‘#’) contributes• The other (‘$’) does not contribute

• What are the earnings of the players in this round if you do (not) contribute?

Hiring a ‘supervisor’: example

• What are the earnings of the players in this round if you do (not) contribute?

Your decision

Total amount invested

Project revenue

Your earnings

Earnings of ‘#’

Earnings of ‘$’

Contribute 8 (2x4)

12 (8x1.5)

–1(12/3 – 4 – 1)

–1 (12/3–4–1)

3 or –1(12/3–1) or (12/3

– 1 – 12/3)

Do not contribute

4(1x4)

6(4 x 1.5)

1 or –1(6/3–1) or (6/3 –

1 – 6/3)

–1 (6/3-4-1)

1 or –1(6/3–1) or (6/3 –

1 – 6/3)

50-50 chance

Recapitulation

• As far as we have seen, a period looks like this:1. Chatting2. Voting for hiring a supervisor3. Playing the ‘contribution game’ for a number

of rounds• The number of rounds per period

is equal for all groups

Group growth, splitting and elimination

• At the end of each period, average earnings of the groups are compared

Group growth, splitting and elimination

• At the end of each period, average earnings of the groups are compared

• One group will have the highest average

Group growth, splitting and elimination

• At the end of each period, average earnings of the groups are compared

• This group will grow, two participants are added to this group

Group growth, splitting and elimination

• At the end of each period, average earnings of the groups are compared

• The next period will start, one group being larger

Group growth, splitting and elimination

• After a number of growth events, it may occur that a group of 5 players has the highest average earnings

Group growth, splitting and elimination

• After a number of growth events, it may occur that a group of 5 players has the highest average earnings

• In this case, the group with the lowest average earnings will be eliminated

Group growth, splitting and elimination

• After a number of growth events, it may occur that a group of 5 players has the highest average earnings

• In this case, the group with the lowest average earnings will be eliminated

•Questionnaire

•Payment

Group growth, splitting and elimination

• After a number of growth events, it may occur that a group of 5 players has the highest average earnings

• One participant is added to the this group

Group growth, splitting and elimination

• After a number of growth events, it may occur that a group of 5 players has the highest average earnings

• The group splits in two

Group growth, splitting and elimination

• After a number of growth events, it may occur that a group of 5 players has the highest average earnings

• A new period starts

Summary of a period

1. Hiring a supervisor

2. Playing contribution game

(a number of times)

3. Growth, splitting and elimination of

groups

• In total, the session will last for 10 periods

Session end: questionnaire & payment

• After 10 periods, the experiment ends• You are asked to fill out a few questions about

your personal background• Please remain seated until your desk number

is called• You will be paid in cash individually and

anonymously

Questions ?

top related