urbanization in china trends, challenges, and opportunities

URBANIZATION IN CHINATRENDS, CHALLENGES, AND OPPORTUNITIES

December 10, 2010

Josh NewellUM School of Natural Resources & Environment

Urbanization: Unprecedented Migration to Cities

1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 20300

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Urbanization, World (1950-2030)

World

Source: United Nations, Population Division, 2010.

Rapid Urbanization in Emerging Countries

Source: United Nations, Population Division, 2010.

Mass Urbanization in Asia

Sources: McKinsey Global Institute, China National Bureau of Statistics, Foreign Policy.

Mass Urbanization: China in 2025

Sources: McKinsey Global Institute, China National Bureau of Statistics, Foreign Policy.

Building Cities: China

Sources: McKinsey Global Institute, China National Bureau of Statistics, Foreign Policy.

China: Boom in Urban Area Jobs

Sources: McKinsey Global Institute, China National Bureau of Statistics, Foreign Policy.

Cities and CO2 Emissions

8

Cities are responsible for approximately 71% of the world’s greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions.

-International Energy Agency, 2009

China Challenge: Urban-scale CO2 emissions

Sources: McKinsey Global Institute, China National Bureau of Statistics, Foreign Policy.

Challenge: Sustainable Buildings

Source: Lawrence Berkeley National Lab, 2008.

Commercial Building Emissions, China, 2005-2020

Challenge: Sustainable Urban Transportation

Business Opportunity: Sustainable Cities

1. Urban areas just 2% of total land area, but responsible for most of the world’s carbon emissions. Cities are key leverage points for change

2. More than 50% of the cities that we will have by 2050 have not yet been built.

3. How we build cities will have long-term resource implications

Smart City Example: Portugal