tuesday, august 15, 2017 -...
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Page 1 of 25
Tuesday, August 15, 2017
The surprise this week from USDA was an increase of 2% in the good/excellent rating for US corn. Conspiracy
theorists would say that was USDA’s attempt to make their crop rating come closer to matching last week’s
yield estimate from the monthly Crop Production Report. We’ll see down the road. Markets continue to
struggle as forecasts call for pretty good soybean growing weather the remainder of this month. Check out the
forecast maps below, and check out of crop scouts’ comments on their crops on the following pages.
6-10 Day Temperature & Precipitation Forecast
8-14 Day Temperature & Precipitation Forecast
Page 2 of 25
Arkansas
Natalie Miller – Southeast Arkansas
The corn harvest is under way with high yields ranging 170-
200 and others are waiting for the rain to pass. 5 Rating
Cotton is progressing along. The weekend rains have not
been helpful to any of the crops at this point and the
weather is calling for more this weekend. 3 Rating
Soybeans are a 4 Rating with early beans coming off and
late beans continue to improve. The excessive moisture will
be a concern if it continues to rain.
Rice has mostly turned and being drained off. We are
waiting for the moisture to dry up and resume harvest. 4
Rating
Jade Bates – NE Arkansas / SEMO
This week in NE AR and SEMO areas it is about the same as it was last week. We got some decent showers over the
weekend in the SEMO area.
Corn: About the same as last week, some people are finishing up on their final water and others are a little further along
and about a week out from harvesting. Rating 4.5
Cotton: With the rain and cloudy days lately the plants are dropping off the new blooms that have formed. Rating 4.5
Beans: About the same as last week as well. It’s going to be a big waiting game for those with damage to see how the
pods turn out. Rating 4
Rice: Farmers are starting to drain fields. Rice looks good and the heads look full. Rating 4.5
Page 3 of 25
Georgia
Lewis Baldwin – Richland, Georgia
No great change from last week.
SW GA still getting rain last week,1-4 inches. Several
areas still need rain. Irrigation still going on several areas I
observed last week in Webster and Randolph counties.
In many areas most rain we have
received in areas during growing season in last 5 years. .
Farmer comments are "too wet to go to field" in several
areas. Crop condition have improved greatly.
Weeds are getting out of hand in some fields and will
need strong herbicides to get back into control. Need a
few days of dry weather to get over the top weed control
out in areas and to spray insecticide and fungicide.
Many areas to wet to top dress cotton so they are getting
planes at a cost of $20.00 per acre to apply the fertilizer.
Farmers are putting out land plaster on peanuts and are
having trouble since it will not flow in the spreader due to
moisture in the plaster.
Peanuts are blooming and pegging. Cotton blooming and
early planted cotton being prepped for growth control.
Much of early planted cotton now has bolls the size of
golf balls and will be ready to pick by end of September
for an early harvest.
Corn harvest is beginning on early planted acres with
yields in area of
250 bu/ac.
Heavy wild animal damage being seen in areas.
Heavy rains washing light loamy soils on top of plants and
this could decrease yields. heavy thrip damage in areas.
NI corn expects to have best yields in past 10 years.
corn
irr 5
ni 5
cotton
irr 5
ni 4
peanuts
irr 5
ni 4
Plenn Hunnicutt – Moultrie, Georgia
Good moisture in our area.
Cotton 4/5
Peanuts 4/5
Corn 4.5/5 200-250 bu corn yields
Soybeans 4/5
Hope for a drier harvest season.
Page 4 of 25
Illinois
Jennifer Hendrix – Venedy, Illinois
Corn: Rating: (2.75/5) I am moving my rating
slightly up this week. We caught some
desperately needed rain this week for most of
our service area. The main issue we are seeing is
the vast differences in yield from field to field.
There is a great deal of unevenness when it
comes to this corn crop. Some producers have a
few good looking fields and others that have
caught hardly any rain. It really is on a field by
field basis and only time will tell what the end
result will be for this crop.
Beans: Rating: (3.5/5) I am keeping my rating
the same this week as we have not had much
change since last week. Although we did receive
some rain, there are still some soybeans fields
that could use more moisture. Given the
unpredictable spring and summer we have had
the beans are faring quite well given the
situation.
Rustin Godfrey – Chatham, Illinois We were gone for about 5 days on vacation
and things look about the same as when we
left. Sounds like we got about 4 tenths of rain
with some getting none and a lucky few
reporting 8 tenths. I heard about one yield
tour report from Logan County Young
Farmers. That group has had a real good track
record in the past. I don't have the official
numbers but if memory serves me correctly
the estimates were around the mid 180's to
low 190's. That is about what I was thinking
for that county but well below it's potential
and 30 plus bushels lower than last year. I
continue to think we have a good bean crop
on the way if we can catch a good soaking rain
here in August. Leaving the ratings the same
again this week. Corn 3.75 Soybeans 4.25.
Bill Pherigo – Mt Sterling, Illinois
Mike Toohill – North Central Illinois Despite the cool weather I thought that the
central Illinois corn crop was back on the
decline last week with the overall lack of
rain. Nitrogen deficiency is becoming more
common as the root system shut back down in
the dry pockets and some plants are dying early
in the stressed areas (milk line down about
50%). See pictures. Also noticing lots of water
hemp breaks in the corn and the areas where
populations are too high when spotting in
replant also aren't very good. On the flip side I
think the beans had another decent week
despite the dry weather. Most of central Illinois
is still in need of water so I am keeping my bean
rating at 4.0. I am dropping my corn rating
down to 3.5 this week (was 3.75 last week).
Jennifer Koehler – Sterling, Illinois
This past Thursday in Bureau County we were hit with a hail
storm in the early evening hours. Some fields were almost
completely stripped. It was a small area but with significant
impact. The rain varied anywhere from 1 inch to ½ inch from
that same storm system.
Not much activity in the fields besides water ways being baled
and roadsides getting mowed. I have seen a lot of combines
in the shops getting ready for the upcoming harvest season.
Corn 4.25/5
Soybeans 4/5
Page 5 of 25
Indiana
Mike McKay – Medaryville, Indiana
Mitch Snyder – Wabash, Indiana
Corn: The weather the past 2 weeks has been very beneficial to kernel set and finishing
pollination. Some areas want a rain this week to continue good kernel
development. Because of the mild weather I could probably take the corn rating up a
half point, but I know there are still a lot of problems with the crop that have not went
away. Still as I rate this crop vs. the last 5 corn crops it’s only better than 2012 at this
point from my observations and other areas will have to make up to achieve USDA’s 173
bushel estimate for Indiana. 2.5/5
Soybeans: Early planted soybeans look to be podded pretty well but will need a rain this
next week to set the little pods and fill them with grain. The cooler weather has probably
been beneficial to date getting more pods set. At some point we will need to make up
some GDD; especially the late planted crops. Not a lot of disease developing at this
point. Hard to see us hold a 55 bushel crop in Indiana. 2.5/5
Erin Parks – Mt Vernon, Indiana Weather – Last week’s weather was again mild with scattered rains. The local area rain totaled .15 of an inch. Daily high’s topped out at 86 and nightly lows were down in the low 60’s. This week is forecasted to be slightly warmer and humid. Daily highs in the low 90’s and nightly lows in the mid 60’s. The best chance of rain is Thursday, a 80% chance. Corn – Rating 4.25 The same as last week. Silage started to be cut last week, about a week early. Some early corn black layered last week. A few acres of the very early corn and has missed rains could run as early as late next week. Many are checking their mid planted corn to check for pollination issues. Pollination issues are out there. Corn development ranges from R3 to drying down. Soybeans – Rating 4.25. The same as last week. If the field received rain, the conditions improved. The rains were spotty so some fields haven’t had any moisture for almost two weeks, those conditions have gotten worse. Early beans are filling pods. Double crops are in full bloom. Most feel their soybeans have good potential. Soybean development ranges from R2 to R5.
Danny Greene – Franklin, Indiana
Past few weeks have been
dry. Forecast is for warm weather,
some rain. Both corn and beans are
giving up on clay knolls as soils dry
out.
CORN: 3.0 Most corn is near or in
dent stages. Leaf disease incidence
is continuing to increase. Southern
rust has been identified in our area in
addition to GLS and common rust.
Keeping rating near average due to
uneven stands and ear development
from early water-logged soils.
SOYBEANS: 3.0 Soybeans look good
overall where plants didn’t sit in wet
soils for too long. Really need a rain
to fill pods. No significant pest issues
in our area. Rating drops to 3.0
Page 6 of 25
Iowa
Corey Tiskoetter – Ossian, Iowa
Corn- Disease in corn has been
low. Fungicide applications are all
wrapped up for the most part.
Seeing a few more pollination
issues out there which are
believed to be caused by the
stress put on the plants at
emergence, (stretching out the
emergence window) and the
wind stress put on a lot of these
acres right prior/during
pollination. Overall I'd give the
corn a 4.
Soybeans- Aphid numbers are
low still. Fungicide application on
beans are down I would say.
There have been some reports of
white mold and some SDS coming
out. Overall if we get some rain in
August here, I think the beans
could surprise us in a good way.
The experienced farmers say rain
in August is worth 10
bushel/acre. Chances of rain later
this week look like a good
possibility. Waterhemp and Giant
Ragweed are looking good and
healthy this time of year…… I
would give beans a 3.5.
John Becker – Griswold, Iowa Still no rain. Local dairy starting to chop silage today. Poor
spots in corn fields completely yellow. Tip back in every
field. Guessing we are 30% or more off last year’s corn
yields.
Soybeans, if we don’t get a decent rain this week soybean
yields we really take a hit.
Corn rating 3.
Soybean rating 3.
Greg Artz – Story County,
Iowa
Travis Patton – Albia, Iowa
Corn – 1 of 5
Beans – 1 of 5
Both corn and beans are really starting to
burn up and show signs of significant
stress here in Monroe and surrounding
counties. The outlook here is not good
and getting worse with temps rising and
no significant rainfall in the foreseeable
future.
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