tsigaridis, kanakidou, daskalakis...
Post on 05-Jun-2018
217 Views
Preview:
TRANSCRIPT
Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Maria!Kanakidou,!Nikos!Daskalakisand!the!AEROCOM!team
Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Maria!Kanakidou,!Nikos!Daskalakisand!the!AEROCOM!team
10/30/2011 Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Columbia!University/NASA!GISS 1
20092009
10/30/2011 Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Columbia!University/NASA!GISS 2
! CAM"Oslo Alf!Kirkevåg! GISS!MATRIX* Susanne!Bauer! GISS!modelE* Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Dorothy!Koch! GLOMAP** Graham!Mann! SPRINTARS! Toshi!Takemura! TM3! Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Maria!Kanakidou! TM4"ECPL* Nikos!Daskalakis,!Maria!Kanakidou! Measurements Lynn!Russell!and!many!others
*
Preliminary!results
**
Results!not!analyzed!yet
20102010
10/30/2011 Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Columbia!University/NASA!GISS 3
! Maria!Kanakidou,!Lazaros!Perakis,!Kostas!Tsigaridis!(TM3)
! Maria!Kanakidou,!Stelios!Myriokefalitakis,!Nikos!Daskalakis!(TM4"ECPL)
! Dorothy!Koch,!Surabi!Menon,!Kostas!Tsigaridis!(GISS!modelE,!GISS!modelE!+!MATRIX)
! AEROCOM!modelers! Alf!Kirkevåg!(CAM"Oslo)! Angela!Benedetti!(ECMWF)! Kirstie!Pringle,!Jos!Lelieveld!(EMAC)! Gabriele!Curci!(GEOS"Chem)! Shantanu!Jathar,!Peter!Adams!(GISS!II’ UBS)
! Graham!Mann!(GLOMAP)! Thomas!Diehl!(GOCART)! Toshi!Takemura!(SPRINTARS)
! Measurements! Lynn!Russell,!Ranjit!Bahadur! Jose"Luis!Jimenez,!Qi!Zhang,!Sally!Ng
! Jean!Sciare! Nikos!Mihalopoulos! Jose!Prospero !Denis!Savoie
20112011
10/30/2011 Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Columbia!University/NASA!GISS 4
Total!number!of!models:!27Total!number!of!models:!2727
10/30/2011 Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Columbia!University/NASA!GISS 5
2!more!models!are!expected:!IMPACT!(3!versions)!and!INCA
FactsFacts! Year(s)!simulated:!Mostly!2006,!but!not!always!with!2006!emissions!and/or!meteorology.
! Focus!on!surface!concentrations,!at!least!for!now.! Emissions!vary!greatly.!This!is!not!necessarily!bad.! OM/OC is!1.4 for!most!models,!but!not!all.
10/30/2011 Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Columbia!University/NASA!GISS 6
What!does!2006!mean?What!does!2006!mean?
10/30/2011 Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Columbia!University/NASA!GISS 7
1
23
45
67
891011
12131415
1617
18192021
222324252627
???
Year!other!than!2006Year!other!than!2006,!calculated!onlineYear!2006,!calculated!onlineYear!2006Not!availableUncertain
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14Meteo ??? ??? ???
FF,!BF ??? ???
BB
mPOC
trSOC
Isop
Terp
Arom
Other
15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27Meteo
FF,!BF ??? ???
BB ???
mPO
CtrSOC
Isop ???
Terp ??? ???
Arom
Other
What!does!2006!mean?What!does!2006!mean?
10/30/2011 Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Columbia!University/NASA!GISS 8
Primary!Organic!Matter!(POM)Primary!Organic!Matter!(POM)
! All!models!have!fossil!fuel,!biofuel!and!biomass!burning!terrestrial!sources!(tPOM).!GISS"CMU"VBS!assumes!semivolatile!tPOM.!CAM4"Oslo,!GISS"modelE!and!TM4"ECPL!also!include!marine!POM!(mPOM).! Fossil!fuel!and!biofuel:!Bond!et!al.!(2004;!2007);!Diehl!et!al.!(2008);!Lamarque!et!al.!(2010);!Dentener!et!al.!(2006);!Park!et!al.,!2003;!CIRCE.
! Biomass!burning:!GFED!(v1;!v2;!v3);!Diehl!et!al.!(2008);!Dentener!et!al.!(2006);!Lamarque!et!al.!(2010).
! Marine!sources:!CAM4"Oslo,!GISS"modelE,!TM4"ECPL.
10/30/2011 Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Columbia!University/NASA!GISS 9
Secondary!Organic!Matter!(SOM)Secondary!Organic!Matter!(SOM)Almost!all!models!have!some!SOM!representation:
! None:!1!model!(BCC).! trSOM:!26!models
! Non"volatile:!13!models;!SOM!is!included!in!tPOM.! A!yield!from!terpenes!emissions!(CAM4"Oslo,!CanAM"PAM,!ECHAM5"SALSA,!ECMWF"GEMS,!EMAC,!GISS"MATRIX,!GMI,!GOCART,!SPRINTARS,!TM5)
! A!yield!from!terpenes!oxidation!(GISS"TOMAS,!2!GLOMAP!versions)! Semi"volatile:!13!models;!“traditional” SOM,!trSOM.
! A!yield!from!terpenes!emissions!(CAM5"MAM3)! Fixed!3D!monthly!climatology!(HadGEM2,!climatology!from!STOCHEM)! 2"product!model!(GEOS"Chem,!GEOS"Chem"APM,!2!GISS"modelE!versions,!
IMAGES,!MPIHAM"v2,!OsloCTM2,!3!TM4"ECPL!versions)! Volatility"basis!set!(GISS"CMU"VBS)
! ntrSOM!(Glyoxal,!from!cloud!and!aerosol!water!chemistry):!4!models(IMAGES,!3!TM4"ECPL!versions)
! MSA!(from!DMS!oxidation):!9!models!(CAM4"Oslo,!GEOS"Chem"APM,!2!GISS"modelE!versions,!3!TM4"ECPL!versions,!TM5)
10/30/2011 Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Columbia!University/NASA!GISS 10
Mean!model!surface!distributionMean!model!surface!distribution
10/30/2011 Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Columbia!University/NASA!GISS 11
Median!vs.!individual!models!(1x1!grid)Median!vs.!individual!models!(1x1!grid)
10/30/2011 Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Columbia!University/NASA!GISS 12
10/30/2011 Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Columbia!University/NASA!GISS 13
Primary!Organic!Matter!(POM)Primary!Organic!Matter!(POM)
10/30/2011 Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Columbia!University/NASA!GISS 14
Textor!et!al.!(2006)!mean:96.6Tg!a"1
±26%(includes!19.1Tg!a"1
non"volatile!SOM)
Secondary!Organic!Matter!(SOM)Secondary!Organic!Matter!(SOM)
10/30/2011 Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Columbia!University/NASA!GISS 15
Possible!precursors!Isoprene,!monoterpenes!Higher!terpenes!Aromatics!Higher!alkanes,!alkenes
Dry!depositionDry!deposition
10/30/2011 Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Columbia!University/NASA!GISS 16
Textor!et!al.!(2006)!mean:18.6Tg!a"1
±49%
Wet!depositionWet!deposition
10/30/2011 Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Columbia!University/NASA!GISS 17
Textor!et!al.!(2006)!mean:86.9Tg!a"1
±32%
BurdenBurden
10/30/2011 Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Columbia!University/NASA!GISS 18
Textor!et!al.!(2006)!mean:1.70Tg!±27%
Aerosol!Optical!Depth!(AOD)!550nmAerosol!Optical!Depth!(AOD)!550nm
10/30/2011 Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Columbia!University/NASA!GISS 19
OA!life!cycleOA!life!cycle
10/30/2011 Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Columbia!University/NASA!GISS 20
10/30/2011 Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Columbia!University/NASA!GISS 21
Organic!Carbon!(OC)!– PM 2.5
Organic!Carbon!(OC)!– PM2.5
10/30/2011 Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Columbia!University/NASA!GISS 22
Bahadur!et!al.,!2009
Organic!Carbon!(OC)Organic!Carbon!(OC)
10/30/2011 Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Columbia!University/NASA!GISS 23
Pindado!et!al.,!2009Ward!et!al.,!2004Koulouri!et!al.,!2008Li!et!al.,!2009He!et!al.,!2004Salma!et!al.,!2004Graham!et!al.,!2003Sciare!et!al.,!2009Fuzzi!et!al.,!2007Gatari!and!Boman,!2002Smith!et!al.,!1996Zappoli!et!al.,!1999Chow!et!al.,!1994Hueglin!et!al.,!2005Kim!et!al.,!2005Ho!et!al.,!2004Fan!et!al.,!2004Eatough!et!al.,!2001;!2003Long!et!al.,!2003Sawant!et!al.,!2004Kim!et!al.,!2000Jeong!et!al.,!2004Artaxo!et!al.,!2002Balasubramanian!et!al.,!2003Xu!et!al.,!2004Krivacsy!et!al.,!2001Shakya!et!al.,!2010
Comparison!with!OC!measurementsComparison!with!OC!measurements
10/30/2011 Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Columbia!University/NASA!GISS 24
Comparison!with!OC!measurementsComparison!with!OC!measurements
10/30/2011 Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Columbia!University/NASA!GISS 25
Organic!Matter!(OM)!– PM 1
Organic!Matter!(OM)!– PM1
10/30/2011 Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Columbia!University/NASA!GISS 26
Zhang!et!al.,!2007
Comparison!with!OM!measurementsComparison!with!OM!measurements
10/30/2011 Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Columbia!University/NASA!GISS 27
Comparison!with!OM!measurementsComparison!with!OM!measurements
10/30/2011 Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Columbia!University/NASA!GISS 28
10/30/2011 Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Columbia!University/NASA!GISS 29
SeasonalitySeasonality
10/30/2011 Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Columbia!University/NASA!GISS 30
Almost!identical!correlationsAlmost!identical!correlations
10/30/2011 Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Columbia!University/NASA!GISS 31
Almost!identical!correlationsAlmost!identical!correlations
10/30/2011 Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Columbia!University/NASA!GISS 32
FinokaliaFinokalia
10/30/2011 Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Columbia!University/NASA!GISS 33
Huge!peaksHuge!peaks
10/30/2011 Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Columbia!University/NASA!GISS 34
Nice!performanceNice!performance
10/30/2011 Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Columbia!University/NASA!GISS 35
Nice!performanceNice!performance
10/30/2011 Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Columbia!University/NASA!GISS 36
HawaiiHawaii
10/30/2011 Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Columbia!University/NASA!GISS 37
Amsterdam!IslandAmsterdam!Island
10/30/2011 Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Columbia!University/NASA!GISS 38
Alta!Floresta,!BrazilAlta!Floresta,!Brazil
10/30/2011 Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Columbia!University/NASA!GISS 39
Alta!Floresta,!BrazilAlta!Floresta,!Brazil
10/30/2011 Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Columbia!University/NASA!GISS 40
Concluding!remarksConcluding!remarks! Large!model!diversity.! In!general!models!underestimate measurements,!especially!during!winter.
! Remote!stations!are!better!captured!compared!to!urban!and!marine!ones.
! A!condensed!(and!updated?)!version!of!this!presentation!is!scheduled!for!IAMA!(Davis)!and!AGU!(SF)!this!December.
! A!paper!is!under!preparation.!At!least!two!others!are!planned.
10/30/2011 Kostas!Tsigaridis,!Columbia!University/NASA!GISS 41
top related