to fsc or not fsc? some background information for monday’s meeting

To FSC or not FSC?Some background information for Monday’s Meeting

Gregory J. Ettl

Questions to consider?

• Impact on forest operations and revenue?• Is certification a fad or is it here to stay?• What are the political implications of pursuing, or not pursuing FSC?• Does FSC help or harm the CFR’s image with our friends, alumni,

UW administration, and the general public?• Does FSC certification match with the mission of the both the

college and the CSF-PF?

I am sure you have other questions as well.

Oliver’s Classification Comparison under Existing Plan

                  2025                         2000            

Oliver 5C StructureStand InitiationStem ExclusionUnderstory ReinitiationOld GrowthSavanna

Oliver 5C StructureStand InitiationStem ExclusionUnderstory ReinitiationOld GrowthSavanna

Take home message—we will cut most “1926” stands by 2025

Stand ages under FSC rules over the entire forest -5% below current revenue targets

2006 2056

Take home message—some “1926 stands” retained under FSC when we harvest $475,000/yr

Age Structures under FSC with 5% and 10% less income

FSC with $450,000/yr 2056FSC with $475,000/yr 2056

Take home message is that a small reduction in revenue greater retention

Less 5% Discounted

$0.00

$500,000.00

$1,000,000.00

$1,500,000.00

$2,000,000.00

$2,500,000.00

$3,000,000.00

2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041 2046 2051 2056

Total Revenue

$475,000

Even flow of income of $475,000 can be met under FSC

-$500,000.00

$0.00

$500,000.00

$1,000,000.00

$1,500,000.00

$2,000,000.00

$2,500,000.00

$3,000,000.00

$3,500,000.00

$4,000,000.00

$4,500,000.00

2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041 2046 2051 2056

CC

CT

PCT

Weeding

Planting

Revenue under FSC constraints

0.5 0 0.5 1 Miles

NFSCSFI

What if we certified ½ our land under FSC?What if we certified ½ our land under FSC?

FSC guides management

SFI guides management

Percentage of Land Treated in Each PathwayFSC 5% FSC 10% FSC split SFI Split

Do nothing 13.4% 21.1% 16.0% 14.7%Short NoPCT

NoCT0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%

Short NoCT 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.4%ShortNoPCT 2.3% 2.3% 2.1% 3.9%Standard 72.3% 62.3% 68.5% 70.1%Long2CTCC 5.9% 8.2% 8.5% 4.5%Long2CTNoCC 6.1% 5.6% 5.2% 5.1%Take home message– there is more* “Do nothing”,”Long2CTCC” on FSC side

*Small difference related to maximizing income scenarios

2056 Age structure under split SFI and FSC

Introduction to New Material

• Bruce Lippke suggested we convert age structure maps to Johnson and O’Neil habitat maps– The Johnson and O’Neil classifications (through LMS) may

under predict canopy layering as we have a hard time growing even hemlock and red cedar until <35 trees/acre

• Visualizations of FSC treatments used– We maximized revenue on the FSC side– The CCA, CCB, CTA, and CTB represent the

maximum we could do under FSC

Silvicultural Treatments • FSC Commercial Thin Option A (CTA)--100 TPA

proportional• FSC Commercial Thin Option (CTB)--40% RD

proportional• FSC Clearcut Option A (CCA) [allowed if stand >65

year-old--reached culmination of MAI]– Leave 10% BA proportional, all >45” DBH trees

• FSC Clearcut Option B (CCB) – Required for stands yet to reach MAI– Leave 30% BA proportional, all >45” DBH trees

• SFI Clearcut CC--leave 5 TPA >10”, all under 6”, all >45” DBH trees)

Take Home—the following slides show the application each of these treatments and then visualizes the future stand

Johnson_oniell.shpGiant-Multi-ClosedGrass-ForbLarge-Multi-ClosedLarge-Multi-ModerateLarge-Multi-OpenLarge-Single-ModerateMedium-Multi-ClosedMedium-Multi-ModerateMedium-Multi-OpenMedium-Single-ModerateMedium-Single-OpenSapling-Pole-Multi-ClosedSapling-Pole-Multi-ModerateSapling-Pole-Multi-OpenSapling-Pole-Single-ClosedSapling-Pole-Single-ModerateSapling-Pole-Single-OpenSeedling-Single-OpenSmall-Multi-ClosedSmall-Multi-ModerateSmall-Multi-OpenSmall-Single-ModerateSmall-Single-Open

Division.shp

N

2005Johnson & O’Neil Habitat Types

FSC

SFI

Johnson_oniell.shpGiant-Multi-ClosedGiant-Single-OpenGrass-ForbLarge-Multi-ClosedLarge-Multi-ModerateLarge-Multi-OpenLarge-Single-ModerateMedium-Multi-ClosedMedium-Multi-ModerateMedium-Multi-OpenMedium-Single-ModerateMedium-Single-OpenSapling-Pole-Multi-ClosedSapling-Pole-Multi-ModerateSapling-Pole-Multi-OpenSapling-Pole-Single-ClosedSapling-Pole-Single-ModerateSapling-Pole-Single-OpenSeedling-Single-OpenSmall-Multi-ClosedSmall-Multi-ModerateSmall-Multi-OpenSmall-Single-ModerateSmall-Single-OpenSmall-Single-Closed

Division.shp

N

2010Johnson & O’Neil Habitat Types

FSC

SFI

Johnson_oniell.shpGiant-Multi-ClosedGiant-Single-OpenGrass-ForbLarge-Multi-ClosedLarge-Multi-ModerateLarge-Multi-OpenLarge-Single-ModerateMedium-Multi-ClosedMedium-Multi-ModerateMedium-Multi-OpenMedium-Single-ModerateMedium-Single-ClosedMedium-Single-OpenSapling-Pole-Multi-ClosedSapling-Pole-Multi-ModerateSapling-Pole-Multi-OpenSapling-Pole-Single-ClosedSapling-Pole-Single-ModerateSapling-Pole-Single-OpenSeedling-Single-OpenSmall-Multi-ClosedSmall-Multi-ModerateSmall-Multi-OpenSmall-Single-ModerateSmall-Single-OpenSmall-Single-Closed

Division.shp

N

2015Johnson & O’Neil Habitat Types

FSC

SFI

Johnson_oniell.shpGiant-Multi-ClosedGiant-Multi-ModerateGiant-Single-OpenGrass-ForbLarge-Multi-ClosedLarge-Multi-ModerateLarge-Multi-OpenLarge-Single-ModerateMedium-Multi-ClosedMedium-Multi-ModerateMedium-Multi-OpenMedium-Single-ModerateMedium-Single-ClosedMedium-Single-OpenSapling-Pole-Multi-ClosedSapling-Pole-Multi-ModerateSapling-Pole-Multi-OpenSapling-Pole-Single-ClosedSapling-Pole-Single-ModerateSapling-Pole-Single-OpenSeedling-Single-OpenSmall-Multi-ClosedSmall-Multi-ModerateSmall-Multi-OpenSmall-Single-ModerateSmall-Single-OpenSmall-Single-Closed

Division.shp

N

2020Johnson & O’Neil Habitat Types

FSC

SFI

Johnson_oniell.shpGiant-Multi-ClosedGiant-Multi-ModerateGiant-Single-OpenGrass-ForbLarge-Multi-ClosedLarge-Multi-ModerateLarge-Multi-OpenLarge-Single-ModerateMedium-Multi-ClosedMedium-Multi-ModerateMedium-Multi-OpenMedium-Single-ModerateMedium-Single-ClosedMedium-Single-OpenSapling-Pole-Multi-ClosedSapling-Pole-Multi-ModerateSapling-Pole-Multi-OpenSapling-Pole-Single-ClosedSapling-Pole-Single-ModerateSapling-Pole-Single-OpenSeedling-Single-OpenSmall-Multi-ClosedSmall-Multi-ModerateSmall-Multi-OpenSmall-Single-ModerateSmall-Single-OpenSmall-Single-Closed

Division.shp

N

2025Johnson & O’Neil Habitat Types

FSC

SFI

Johnson_oniell.shpGiant-Multi-ClosedGiant-Multi-ModerateGiant-Single-OpenGrass-ForbLarge-Multi-ClosedLarge-Multi-ModerateLarge-Multi-OpenLarge-Single-ModerateMedium-Multi-ClosedMedium-Multi-ModerateMedium-Multi-OpenMedium-Single-ModerateMedium-Single-ClosedMedium-Single-OpenSapling-Pole-Multi-ClosedSapling-Pole-Multi-ModerateSapling-Pole-Multi-OpenSapling-Pole-Single-ClosedSapling-Pole-Single-ModerateSapling-Pole-Single-OpenSeedling-Single-OpenSmall-Multi-ClosedSmall-Multi-ModerateSmall-Multi-OpenSmall-Single-ModerateSmall-Single-OpenSmall-Single-Closed

Division.shp

N

2035Johnson & O’Neil Habitat Types

FSC

SFI

Johnson_oniell.shpGiant-Multi-ClosedGiant-Multi-ModerateGiant-Single-OpenGrass-ForbLarge-Multi-ClosedLarge-Multi-ModerateLarge-Multi-OpenLarge-Single-ModerateMedium-Multi-ClosedMedium-Multi-ModerateMedium-Multi-OpenMedium-Single-ModerateMedium-Single-ClosedMedium-Single-OpenSapling-Pole-Multi-ClosedSapling-Pole-Multi-ModerateSapling-Pole-Multi-OpenSapling-Pole-Single-ClosedSapling-Pole-Single-ModerateSapling-Pole-Single-OpenSeedling-Single-OpenSmall-Multi-ClosedSmall-Multi-ModerateSmall-Multi-OpenSmall-Single-ModerateSmall-Single-OpenSmall-Single-Closed

Division.shp

N

2045Johnson & O’Neil Habitat Types

FSC

SFI

Johnson_oniell.shpGiant-Multi-ClosedGiant-Multi-ModerateGiant-Single-OpenGrass-ForbLarge-Multi-ClosedLarge-Multi-ModerateLarge-Multi-OpenLarge-Single-ModerateLarge-Single-OpenLarge-Single-ClosedMedium-Multi-ClosedMedium-Multi-ModerateMedium-Multi-OpenMedium-Single-ModerateMedium-Single-ClosedMedium-Single-OpenSapling-Pole-Multi-ClosedSapling-Pole-Multi-ModerateSapling-Pole-Multi-OpenSapling-Pole-Single-ClosedSapling-Pole-Single-ModerateSapling-Pole-Single-OpenSeedling-Single-OpenSmall-Multi-ClosedSmall-Multi-ModerateSmall-Multi-OpenSmall-Single-ModerateSmall-Single-OpenSmall-Single-Closed

Division.shp

N

2055Johnson & O’Neil Habitat Types

FSC

SFI

Johnson and O’Neil

Comparison

SFI

0.00

200.00

400.00

600.00

800.00

1000.00

1200.00

1400.00

2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055

Year

Acr

es

Giant

Grass

Large

Medium

Sapling

Small

FSC

0.00

200.00

400.00

600.00

800.00

1000.00

1200.00

1400.00

2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055

Year

Ac

res

Giant

Grass

Large

Medium

Small

Sapling

Harvest Comparison

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

Year

Vo

lum

e M

MB

F/5

yr

FSC/Decade(MMBF)

SFI/Decade(MMBF)

FSC yields 32.7 vs. SFI 30.2 MMBF total;

but 2005-2050 SFI 28.2 vs. FSC 26.6 MMBF

CCA Before Treatment

•80 years-old

CCA After Treatment

•85 years-old

•Leave 10% BA, all trees >45 cm DBH

CCA in 50 Years

CCB Before Treatment

•Stand at 45 years-old

•Leave 30% BA proportional, all >45” DBH trees

CCB After Treatment

•Leave 30% BA proportional, all >45” DBH trees

50 Years after CCB

•Emergent cohort 100 years-old

CTA Before Treatment

•Stand is 33 years-old

CTA After Treatment

CTB In 2005

•85 years-old

•40% RD proportional

20 years after CTB 2005

•100 years-old

2005

2055

FSC

SFI

Visualization under split certification

Discussion

• Advantages to FSC Certification– Green Building Standard– Benefits to some wildlife– Public Relations

• Advantages to Split Certification– CSF-PF Research Base– Possible Funding– Allows greater flexibility