thunderstorms tornadoes huricanes. ordinary thunderstorms three stages have been identified in...

Thunderstorms

Tornadoes

Huricanes

Ordinary ThunderstormsOrdinary Thunderstorms

Three stages have been identified in ordinary thunderstorms:

a) an unstable atmosphere

and vertical updrafts keep precipitation suspended

b) entrainment of dry air that causes cooler air from evaporation, triggering downdrafts and falling precipitation and gust fronts

c) weakening updrafts and loss of the fuel source after 15 to 30 minutes.

Mature Stage Thunderstorm

During the mature stage, updrafts may stop at the troposphere where the cloud ice crystals are pushed horizontally by winds and form an anvil top, or they may overshoot further into the tropopause.

Dissipating Stage of Thunderstorm

Once downdrafts dominate updrafts, the storm ends as precipitation leaves the cloud faster than it is replenished by rising, condensing air.

Often, lower level cloud particles will evaporate leaving an isolate cirrus anvil top section.

Multicell Storms

Cool downdrafts leaving a mature and dissipating storm may offer relief from summer heat, but they may also force surrounding, low-level moist air upward.

Hence, dying storms often trigger new storms, and the successive stages may be viewed in the sky.

Storms producing a minimum of • 3/4 inch hail and/or • wind gusts of 50 knots and/or • tornado winds, classify as severe.

In ordinary storms, the downdraft and falling precipitation cut off the updraft.

In severe storms, winds aloft push the rain ahead and the updraft is not weakened and the storm can continue maturing.

The single supercell storm shown here maintained its structure for hours.

Severe Thunderstorms

Gust Front & MicroburstGust Front & Microburst

Turbulent air forms along the leading edge of the gust front, which can generate tumbling dust clouds.

Such gust fronts and associated cold dense air often feel like a passing cold front, and may cause a 1 to 3 mb local rise in pressure, called a mesohigh.

Gust Front Shelf Cloud

When unstable air is prevalent near the base of the thunderstorm, the warm rising air along the forward edge of the gust front is likely to generate a shelf, or arcus, cloud.

Microbursts from Dense Air

Dry air entrained into the thunderstorm will evaporate and cool the falling mix of precipitation and air, which may create dry, and in humid areas wet, microbursts of strong winds.

Pre-Frontal Squall Line StormsPre-Frontal Squall Line Storms

Pre-frontal squall lines identify major storms triggered by a cold front that may contain several severe thunderstorms, some possibly supercells, extending for more than 1000 kilometers.

This 1989 storm spawned 25 tornadoes, the worst killing 25 people.

Trailing Stratified CloudsTrailing Stratified Clouds

An extensive region of stratified clouds may follow behind a squall line.

This figure shows a loop of rising and falling air that supplies the moisture to the stratiform clouds and associated light precipitation.

Mesoscale Convective Complex

An organized mass, or collection, of thunderstorms that extends across a large region is called a mesoscale convective complex (MCC).

With weak upper level winds, such MCC's can regenerate new storms and last for upwards of 12 hours and may bring hail, tornadoes, and flash floods.

They often form beneath a ridge of high pressure.

Dryline Thunderstorms

Abrupt geographic changes from moist to dry dew-point temperature, called drylines, form in western TX, OK, and KS in the spring and summer.

The diagram illustrates how cool cP air pushes hot and dry cT air, at the height of the central plains, over the warm moist mT air.

Such mixing causes large scale instabilities and the birth of many supercell storms.

Thunderstorm Movement

Middle troposphere winds often direct individual cells of a thunderstorm movement, but due to dying storm downdrafts spawning new storms, the storm system tends to be right-moving relative to the upper level winds.

In this figure, upper level winds move storms to the northeast, but downdrafts generate new cells to the south, which eventually cuts off moisture to the old cell.

Figure 15.17Figure 15.17

Lightning & ThunderLightning & Thunder

Charge differences between the thunderstorm and ground can cause lightning strokes of 30,000°C, and this rapid heating of air will creates an explosive shock wave called thunder, which requires approximately 3 seconds to travel 1 kilometer.

Lightning Stroke DevelopmentLightning Stroke Development

Charge layers in the cloud are formed by the transfer of positive ions from warmer hailstones to colder ice crystals.

When the negative charge near the bottom of the cloud is large enough to overcome the air's resistance, a stepped leader forms.

A region of positive ions move from the ground toward this charge, which then forms a return stroke into the cloud.

Nearly 90% of lightning is the negative cloud-to-ground type, but positive cloud-to-ground lightning can generate more current and more damage.

Several names, such as forked, bead, ball, and sheet lightning describe forms of the flash.

Distant, unseen lightning is often called heat lightning.

Types of Lightning

Lightning Rods & Fulgurite

Metal rods that are grounded by wires provide a low resistance path for lightning into the earth, which is a poor conductor.

The fusion of sand particles into root like tubes, called fulgurite, may result.

Tornado

A rapidly rotating column of air often evolve through a series of stages, from dust-whirl, to organizing and mature stages, and ending with the shrinking and decay stages.

Winds in this southern Illinois twister exceeded 150 knots.

Tornado Occurrence

Tornadoes from all 50 states of the U.S. add up to more than 1000 tornadoes annually, but the highest frequency is observed in tornado alley of the Central Plains.

Nearly 75% of tornadoes form from March to July, and are more likely when warm humid air is overlain by cooler dryer air to cause strong vertical lift.

Tornado Wind SpeedTornado Wind Speed

As the tornado moves along a path, the circular tornado winds blowing opposite the path of movement will have less speed.

For example, if the storm rotational speed is 100 knots, and its path is 50 knots, it will have a maximum wind of 150 knots on its forward rotation side.

Suction Vortices & Damage

A system of tornadoes with smaller whirls, or suction vortices, contained within the tornado is called a multi-vortex tornado.

Damage from tornadoes may include its low pressure centers causing buildings to explode out and the lifting of structures.

Human protection may be greatest in internal and basement rooms of a house.

Fujita Tornado Scale

Tornado watches are issued when tornadoes are likely, while a warning is issued when a tornado has been spotted.

Once the storm is observed, or has passed, the Fujita scale of F0 – F5 is used to classify tornadoes according to their rotational speed based on damage done by the storm.

Atmospheric Conditions

A specific pattern of events often coincide during the formation of tornadoes and severe thunderstorms.

This may include when an open-wave mid-latitude cyclone mixes together cold dry air with warm moist air at the surface, and 850 mb warm moist and 700 mb cold dry air aloft flow north and north east, as shown in this figure.

Further, at the 500 mb level a trough of low pressure pressure forms to the west of the surface low, and the 300 mb polar jet swings over the region.

Figure 15.34Figure 15.34

Thunderstorm SoundingThunderstorm Sounding

Temperature and dew point have typical vertical profile in the warm sector before a tornado occurs, including the shallow inversion at 800 mb that acts like a cap on the moist air below.

The cold dry air above warm humid air produces convective instability and lifting.

Vorticity from Horizontal to Vertical

Spinning horizontal vortex tubes created by surface wind shear may be tilted and forced in a vertical path by updrafts. This rising, spinning, and often stretching rotating air may then turn into a tornado.

Tornado Breeding Supercell Storm

Supercell thunderstorms may have many of the features illustrated here, including a mesocyclone of rotating winds formed when horizontal vorticity was tilted upwards.

Rear Flank Downdraft

Supercell thunderstorm development may create an area where the updraft and counterclockwise swirl of upper winds converge into a rear flank downdraft.

This downdraft can then interact with lower level inflow winds and spawn a tornado.

Rotating CloudsRotating Clouds

The first sign that a supercell may form a tornado is the sight of rotating clouds at the base of the storm, which may lower and form a wall cloud, shown in this picture.

NonSupercell Tornadoes

If a pre-existing wall cloud was not present, than any tornado formed is not from a supercell storm, and is often called a funnel cloud, or may be a gustnado if the form along a gust front.

Landspouts, which form over land but look like waterspouts.

They form when surface winds converge along a boundary where opposite blowing wind creates a horizontal rotational spin.

If a storm passes above, its updraft may lift and stretch the horizontal spinning air, causing it to narrow and increase in rotational speed.

Landspouts

Doppler Radar Analysis

A single Doppler radar unit can uncover many features of thunderstorm rotation and movement, but cannot detect winds parallel to the antenna.

As such, data from two or more units might be combined to provide a complete view of the storm.

Dopplar lidar (light beam rather than microwave beam) provides more details on the storm features, and will help measure wind speeds in smaller tornadoes.

NEXRAD Wind Analysis

NEXt Generation Weather RADar (NEXRAD) is operated by the National Weather Service and uses Doppler measurement to detect winds moving toward (green) and away (blue) from the antenna, which indicates areas of rotation and strong shear.

Waterspout Funnel

Warm, shallow coastal water is often home to waterspouts, which are much smaller than an average tornado, but similar in shape and appearance.

The waterspout does not draw water into its core, but is a condensed cloud of vapor.

A waterspout may, however, lift swirling spray from the water as it touches the water surface.

Things Often Mistaken For Tornadoes

Heavy Precipitation Downbursts Dust Devils Cold Funnels

If There’s No Evidence of Rotation, It’s Not a Tornado

Virga

Downburst, May 1994

Downburst Damage, Ontario

Dust Devil

Cold Funnels

Cold Funnels

Hurricanes

Hurricane: Atlantic and East Pacific Typhoon: West Pacific Cyclone: Indian Ocean

Intense Low-Pressure Systems Need 60 m (200 feet) of ocean water at

26.5 C or warmer to form

World Hurricane Tracks 1995-2003

Hurricane Forming Regions

Hurricane-Free Regions

No Coriolis effect at equator, hence no hurricanes within 5 degrees of equator

No warm sea water in South Atlantic, hence no South Atlantic Hurricanes

No warm sea water in Southeast Pacific, hence no Southeast Pacific Hurricanes

Apart from Caribbean coast, no hurricanes in South America

March 2004: Brazil’s First Hurricane?

Coriolis Effect at Equator

Coriolis Effect at Equator

Coriolis Effect at Equator

Westbound: Deflected away from Equator Eastbound: Directed along Equator Unlikely for winds but does happen in

oceans (Equatorial Countercurrent) Weather systems can’t spin

Saffir-Simpson Scale

Defined by instruments

1. 74-95 mph 1-2m storm surge

2. 96-110 mph 2-3 m

3. 111-130 mph 3-4 m

4. 131-155 mph 4-6 m

5. >155 mph > 6 m

Naming Hurricanes

No naming system until 1953 Women’s names 1953-79 Regional Name Lists Lists maintained by World

Meteorological Organization Names can be retired after especially

significant storms

Dangers of Hurricanes

Wind Pressure Flying Debris Storm Surge Flash Flooding Tornadoes

Eye of Hurricanes 100 km or less in diameter 30 minutes or so calm weather Definitely not the end of the storm! Post-eye storm is stronger “Centrifugal” force counteracts inward air

flow In strongest storms, air flow can get so

congested a second eyewall forms (Andrew)

Trailing Side is Most Dangerous

Decay of Hurricanes

Need warm water for energy Decay rapidly over land Lose strength over cold water Can still cause destructive flooding long

after cyclonic structure is gone Degenerate into low pressure systems

Cold Water Trail

Extratropical “Hurricanes”

Two-Ocean Hurricanes

Winter Storms