the patterns of culture (fall 2014)

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an evolving lecture series for classes at Parsons the New School for Design

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TIM STOCK

The Patterns of CultureAnalyzing Trends Fall 2014

1

TIM STOCK 2

trend analytics - reading and patterning signals

LANGUAGE CODES CULTURE STORY

TIM STOCK

TREND FORCES

PERCEPTION/BEHAVIOR

3

analyzing language from diverse corpus of languageunderstanding how language evolves in context is critical to transformative consumer intelligence

open corpus

closed corpus

social mediabooks,

magazines, speeches etc.

TIM STOCK 4

Google Ngram as closed corpus analysisa tool that allows to test linguistic patterning on a large corpus of scanned texts

TIM STOCK 5

Google Ngram as a cultural analytics toolgoogle Ngram is a tool that allows to test linguistic patterning on a large corpus of scanned texts

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victory gardens as expressed language

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PERCEPTION/BEHAVIOR

7

victory gardens as an Ngram visualization

TREND FORCES

victory garden

TIM STOCK

PERCEPTION/BEHAVIOR

7

victory gardens as an Ngram visualization

TREND FORCES

victory garden

WW2

meaning

forces

patriotism

war

TIM STOCK

PERCEPTION/BEHAVIOR

7

victory gardens as an Ngram visualization

TREND FORCES

victory garden

WW2

meaning

forces

patriotism

war

1970s

meaning

forces

recession

frugality

TIM STOCK

1969 1981

drug culture as expressed languagewhat trend forces correlate to the peaks in narrative?

8

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TREND FORCES

PERCEPTION/BEHAVIOR

9

drug culture as an Ngram index

marijuana

cocaine1960s

meaning

forces

rebellion

civil unrest

(against)

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TREND FORCES

PERCEPTION/BEHAVIOR

9

drug culture as an Ngram index

marijuana

cocaine1960s 1980s

meaning

forces

rebellion

civil unrest

(against)

meaning

forces

(affirm)status

market deregulation

TIM STOCK 10

cellphones as signifiers of cultural codes

LANGUAGE

TREND FORCES

CODES

CULTURE

1980-2008

identifying hidden meaning of how the product fits in

TIM STOCK

PERCEPTION/BEHAVIOR

TREND FORCES

11

cellphone as signifier - the context of signals

meaning

forces

luxury

1980s cellphone

TIM STOCK

PERCEPTION/BEHAVIOR

TREND FORCES

11

cellphone as signifier - the context of signals

meaning

forces

luxury

meaning

forces

aspiration

1980s 1990s cellphone

TIM STOCK

PERCEPTION/BEHAVIOR

TREND FORCES

11

cellphone as signifier - the context of signals

meaning

forces

luxury

meaning

forces

aspiration

meaning

forces

utility

1980s 1990s 2000s cellphone

TIM STOCK 12

yuppie culture - cultural systems / connotation

LANGUAGE

TREND FORCES

CODES

CULTURE

1980s

TIM STOCK

PERCEPTION/BEHAVIOR

TREND FORCES

13

1980s yuppie culture - cultural systems / connotation

espresso

sushi

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PERCEPTION/BEHAVIOR

TREND FORCES

13

1980s yuppie culture - cultural systems / connotation

economic boom + new money

status + fraternity + rank

meaning

forces

espresso

sushi1980s

TIM STOCK

PERCEPTION/BEHAVIOR

TREND FORCES

14

rank

the power suit as expression of meaning

meaning

forces

economic growth

power suit

TIM STOCK 15

yuppie culture - cultural systems / connotation

TIM STOCK

LANGUAGE

TREND FORCES

CODES

CULTURE

decoding the bourgeoisie bohemian

16

in the 2000s a new culture of aspiration emerges

2000s

TIM STOCK

PERCEPTION/BEHAVIOR

TREND FORCES

17

codes of Bobo culture - cultural systems / connotation

made in usa

locavore

post WW2

recession

TIM STOCK

PERCEPTION/BEHAVIOR

TREND FORCES

17

codes of Bobo culture - cultural systems / connotation

made in usa

guilt + tactile + local

meaning

forces

9/11 + recession + urban migration

locavore

post WW2

recession

2000s

TIM STOCK

stories

18

patterns

The Future of __________

patterns help us frame the opportunities for innovation

where do we invest?

signals

TIM STOCK 19

The Future of __________

trends as innovation - where do we invest?

packaged foodpast present future

TIM STOCK

LANGUAGE

TREND FORCES

CODES

CULTURE

transparency

packaging

quantity

20

quality

past present future

the future of packaged foodwhat trend forces are likely to impact future patterns?

technology + farming + government subsidies

eating affirms cultural ties

sourcing ingredients retail

TIM STOCK

decoding whole foods vs. trader joe’s

21

“whole paycheck” vs. the rise of a more understated urban shopper

LANGUAGE

TREND FORCES

CULTURE

CODES

TIM STOCK

LANGUAGE

TREND FORCES

CODES

CULTURE

22

frozen foods shaped behavior towards quantity and convenience

1960

packaged

suburbia + appliances + globalism

quantity convenience

decoding supermarkets as cultural ideology

suburban culture

fortified improved

progress

TIM STOCK 23

where do we invest?the evolution of food signals

FIXED LIVING

1960 2014

TIM STOCK

FROZEN

24

fixed / standardized clean / wisdom

our move to fresher food reflects a shiftcodes inform the broader narrative

1960 2014

FRESHFRESH

TIM STOCK

PERCEPTION/BEHAVIOR

TREND FORCES

25

language reveals the point that culture begins to change coursetracking inflection points

tv dinner

fresh dinner

TIM STOCK

PERCEPTION/BEHAVIOR

TREND FORCES

25

language reveals the point that culture begins to change coursetracking inflection points

meaning

forces

convenience craftpatterns

tv dinner

fresh dinner

1980s

TIM STOCK

LANGUAGE

TREND FORCES

CODES

CULTURE

future

forecasting futures: scenarios based on cultural dynamics

26

MACRO TREND

farming/retail hybrids

frugal

production + fuel costs + sustainability

localseasonal

integrated practical transparent

TIM STOCK 27

The Future of __________

trends as innovation - where do we invest?

workpast present future

TIM STOCK

LANGUAGE

TREND FORCES

CODES

CULTURE

intelligencesecurity

28

flexibility

past present future

the future of workwhat trend forces are likely to impact future patterns?

technology + economics + legislation

fraternity innovation

machinesoffice plans organization

TIM STOCK

LANGUAGE

TREND FORCES

CODES

CULTURE

29

the culture of work is shaped by the spaces and objects we inject it with

1950s - 1970s

copy machines

compartmentalized

wartime process + technology + globalism

standardized

decoding the meaning of work after ww2

9 to 5

secretary pool cubicle

corporate ladder on-premise tech

TIM STOCK 30

white collar vs. blue collarsocial stratification was supported by the framework of work

1950s - 1970s

TIM STOCK

PERCEPTION/BEHAVIOR

TREND FORCES

31

information

a shift from industrial to service economy

meaning

forces

post-industrial

white collar workerblue collar worker

product

meaning

forces

industrial

TIM STOCK 32

the shift from primary industry work to tertiary industry work

TIM STOCK 33

the culture of conformity after ww2work as repatriation of cultural codes of class and gender

1950s

TIM STOCK 34

the brainstorm as model of collaborationthe scripting of post-war narrative consumerism

1960s

TIM STOCK

PERCEPTION/BEHAVIOR

TREND FORCES

35

information

the language of war in consumer marketing

meaning

forces

post-industrial

marketing campaign

target market

product

meaning

forces

industrial

marketing loses traditional effectiveness as the framework of consumption changes

TIM STOCK

LANGUAGE

TREND FORCES

CODES

CULTURE

2000 -2014

mobile

connected

post-industrial + technology + globalism

intelligent

flex hours

open plan play

flattened structure work everywhere

36

the new campus model of workthe impact of startup culture challenges the how, what and why of work

TIM STOCK

PERCEPTION/BEHAVIOR

TREND FORCES

37

always working

the lines of work and life blur

meaning

forces

recession mobile technology

9 to 5

flex hours

TIM STOCK

PERCEPTION/BEHAVIOR

TREND FORCES

38

the flatlining of existing language for work spaces

flexibility

meaning

forces

mobile technology

post-industrial

office cubicle

corner office

2005

TIM STOCK 39

finding new language for work spacessteelcase new office spaces for introverts

2014

TIM STOCK

LANGUAGE

TREND FORCES

CODES

CULTURE

future

forecasting futures: what possible forecasts did you find?

40

TIM STOCK 41

The Future of __________

a peek into your final project (you will choose your own topic)

cars fast food

education

fast fashion television wearable tech

hotelswork

music

TIM STOCK 42

run some searches

TIM STOCK 43

see you next week

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