the fourth international conference on population geographies hong kong, 10-13 july 2007 population,...

The Fourth International Conference on Population Geographies Hong Kong, 10-13 July 2007

Population, mobility and environment: the vulnerability of commuters in metropolitan areas

Daniel Joseph HoganPopulation Studies Center

State University of Campinas

Percent urban, Brazil, 1940-2000.

31,336,2

44,7

55,9

67,6

75,681,3

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1991 2000

Year

% U

rban P

opula

tion

Source: IBGE, Demographic Census 1940 – 2000.

Commuters by municipality of residence (2000).

Source: Ojima, 2007.

Metropolitan Region of Campinas

Source: Pires, 2007.

Average Annual Growth Rate of the Population of the Campinas Metropolitan Region, 1991-2000

Campinas: world technology pole

Source: U.N. Technology Achievement Index

Anhangüera

Bandeirantes

Mogi Mirim

ITAL

Paulínia

Monte Mor

Sumaré

Limeira

Dom Pedro

São Paulo

CIATECSmall Business Incubator

OPTOLINK (EDFA)ECCO (Fibers, Lasers)

FIBER WORK (Fiber Bragg Gratings)UNILASER (Lasers)

...

UNICAMPfibras ópticas

Lucent Technologies

Bell Labs Innovations

10 km radius

10 km0

Indaiatuba,Sorocaba

São José dos CamposRio de Janeiro

R&D institutions in Campinas

Population of Campinas Metropolitan Region: Campinas and other municipalities, 1970-2000

Years Percent Campinas

Growth rates, previous decade (%)

Campinas Others

1970 55.20

1980 52.05 5,86 7.22

1991 45.39 2.22 4.73

2000 41.46 1.52 3.34

Source: IBGE, apud Pires, 2007

Source: Seva, 1995.

Water quality, Piracicaba-Capivari River Basin, 1995

Source: São Paulo, 1995.

Vectors of Urban ExpansionMetropolitan Region of Campinas

Source: EMPLASA, 2003, apud Pires, 2007.

Intra-metropolitan migration, Metropolitan Region

of Campinas, 1986/91 e 1995/2000

Source: IBGE, Demographic censuses 1991-2000. Special tabulations, NEPO/UNICAMP, 2004

Commuting of Active Labor Force, Metropolitan Region of Campinas, 1980 and 2000.

Household heads with income greater than 20 minimum salaries, Metropolitan Region of

Campinas, 1991 and 2000

Household heads with more than 12 years of schooling, Metropolitan Region of Campinas, 1991

and 2000

Built-up area, MRC, 1989/2000

Selected characteristics of commuters in the urban agglomerations of Campinas and São Paulo, and

Brazil, 2000. Percent Campinas São

PauloBrazil

age 15-64 93.1 92.8 92.4

migrants 82.3 74.3 71.8

intra-

agglomeration movements

78.6 91.4 87.0

i-a to central city 48.8 58.3 68.2

Source: Ojima, 2007.

Commuting streams < 1000 persons, MRC, 2000

Source: Emplasa, 2003 apud Pessini and Cunha.

Commuting streams > 1000 persons, MRC, 2000

Source: Emplasa, 2003 apud Pessini and Cunha.

Economically active population, MRC, 2000

Non-commutersCommuters

Source: IBGE, 2000 census, apud Pessini and Cunha.

Intra-metropolitan dynamics and socio-demographic vulnerability in two metropolitan

areas in the State of São Paulo, Brazil:

Campinas and Santos

Commuters vs non-commuters

• Socio-demographic characteristics• Adolescents• Working age population• elderly

Socio-demographic vulnerability of commuters in the metropolis

Intra-urban mobility

• Distance and time of journey to work

• Journeys related to cultural activities

• Journeys related to shopping

• Hazards encountered– Environmental– Traffic-related– Violence

Socio-demographic vulnerability of commuters in the metropolis

• Caretakers of children, elderly and infirm– Family– Neighbors– Professionals

• Exposure to hazard– Journey to work and school– In the household

Socio-demographic vulnerability of commuters in the metropolis

• Commuting in female-headed households

See you in Tunis!

hogan@nepo.unicamp.br