the fossil fuel non-proliferation treaty

THE FOSSIL FUELNON- PROLIFERATION TREATY

An initiative to phase-out fossil fuels and fast-track solutions

4.1

Climate Action Committee

Greatest Global Threat: Climate ChangeSource: WEF Global Risks Perception Survey 2019-2020Climate Action Committee

Developed reserves + Paris climate goalsClimate Action Committee

The Production Gap

Climate Action Committee

Global systems approach to the fossil fuel industryClimate Action Committee

Non-proliferation Global disarmament

Peaceful transition

Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation TreatyFacilitating a rapid, coordinated, transparent and equitable transition

away from fossil fuels

See: Peter Newell & Andrew Simms (2020) Towards a fossil fuel non-proliferation treaty, Climate Policy, 20:8, 1043-1054

Climate Action Committee

Equity in the Global South

Climate Action Committee

Climate Action Committee

Cities:

● Play a pivotal role

● Hit hard by climate

disruption

Fossil fuel companies:

● Undercut climate action

● Divert funds

Why cities?

A treaty is important to act on climate emergency

Climate Action Committee

Climate Action Committee

Climate Action Committee

Climate Action Committee

Learn more and join the campaign at

www.fossilfueltreaty.org

Follow @fossilfueltreaty to share with your networks

Climate Action Committee42308646

MODELLING A CARBON NEUTRAL REGIONPRELIMINARY RESULTS Morgan BraglewiczSENIOR POLICY AND PLANNING ANALYST

Climate Action Committee

5.2

2

Metro Vancouver will be a carbon neutral region by 2050, and reduce GHG emissions by 45% by 2030

Climate Action Committee

3

How do we create a carbon neutral region by 2050?Climate Action Committee

A Business as Planned scenario models our emissions trajectory based on current policies and plans

A Carbon Neutral Scenario models an aggressive and achievable package of policies to more drastically reduce emissions

4

Objective: to evaluate the greenhouse gas emissions reductions associated with an “aggressive and achievable” policy package

Modelling a Carbon Neutral Region

Climate Action Committee

5

Business As Planned Scenario*Preliminary results subject to change

Climate Action Committee

6

Carbon Neutral Scenario*Preliminary results subject to change

2030 target: - 45%

-1,022,000 (total)- 41,000 (incremental)

2030 modelled: - 14%

- 74%3,819,000

Climate Action Committee

Accelerated ZEV mandate for light duty vehicles: 100% of new passenger vehicles sold are Zero Emissions Vehicles (ZEVs) by 2030, rather than 2040 as currently regulated.

ZEV mandate for medium/heavy duty vehicles: Provincial ZEV sales targets are established for medium and heavy duty vehicles, steadily increasing over time.

Renewable transportation fuels: renewable fuel blends for gasoline and diesel gradually increase to 100% for gasoline by 2050, and 80% for diesel.

Reducing passenger vehicle use: a suite of policies target mode switching and less driving to reduce the amount of kilometers travelled by passenger vehicles.

7

Key Model Policies: On Road Transportation

Climate Action Committee

8

On Road Transportation Results*Preliminary results subject to change DRAFT

Climate Action Committee

New buildings requirements: starting in 2025, coordinated region-wide regulations require all new buildings to meet stringent low GHG emission performance standards.

Building benchmarking and performance requirements: starting in 2025, large existing buildings must report their energy use and meet increasingly stringent GHG emission performance requirements through retrofits.

Retrofit code: starting in 2025, a Provincial retrofit code sets stringent low GHG emission performance standards for existing homes and town homes that must be met by 2045.

9

Key Model Policies: Buildings

Climate Action Committee

10

Buildings Results*Preliminary results subject to change

DRAFT

Climate Action Committee

Industrial energy switching: A suite of regional and provincial regulations, supported by utility incentive programs, require that energy used for boilers, heaters, and industrial processes use increasing amounts of renewable energy.

Cement fuel switching: Regionally supplied biosolids displace some coal use in cement plants.

Large emitter carbon capture: 50,000 tonnes of CO2 is captured in 2030, reaching 200,000 tonnes in 2050.

11

Key Model Policies: Industry

Climate Action Committee

12

Industry Results*Preliminary results subject to change

DRAFT

Climate Action Committee

• Finalize the project results and share the final report with Committee

• Use modelling results to inform the development of the initial Climate2050 Roadmaps and Clean Air Plan

• Identify critical near term actions and policy areas that may need moredevelopment

• Enable development of long term policies, action, and technologies toreach regional carbon neutrality by 2050

• Monitor progress towards key GHG targets through annual reporting 13

Next Steps

Climate Action Committee

14

How can we create a carbon neutral region by 2050?

Climate Action Committee

Questions

Climate Action Committee

41872472

Proposed Amendments to Air Quality Fees

Ray RobbENVIRONMENTAL REGULATION & ENFORCEMENT DIVISION MANAGER, PARKS AND ENVIRONMENT

Derek JennejohnLEAD SENIOR ENGINEER, PARKS AND ENVIRONMENT

Climate Action Committee | November 13, 2020

PHASE 2: ENGAGEMENT

5.4

Climate Action Committee

Protect air quality by:• Developing

• permit requirements• regulatory (bylaw) requirements

• Promoting compliance with (enforcement of)• permit requirements• regulatory requirements

• Responding to air quality complaints

2

Metro Vancouver Air Quality Regulatory Services

Climate Action Committee

3

Regulatory Costs and Drivers

ComplaintsPermit (Appeal) CostsRegulatory Development Costs Enforcement Costs 0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Complaints

Climate Action Committee

Regulatory services costs are up

Permit and regulatory fees are down• No change to air contaminant fee rates ($/tonne)

since 2008• Air contaminant discharge quantities (tonnes/year)

are downTax requisitions are up and are forecast to go up even more

4

Regulatory Services Funding

Climate Action Committee

Phase 1: Public opinion researchSurvey to inform development of a Discussion Paper

Phase 2: EngagementPublic and targeted engagement on proposed amendments in Discussion Paper

5

Process

Climate Action Committee

6

Public Opinion Polling (Phase One) ResultsWho should fund Metro Vancouver Air Quality Regulatory Services?

63%

23%

5%

9%

Emitter feesshould fund full

cost

Emitter fees andtaxes shouldshare cost

Costs should befunded by taxes

Not sure

17%

2%

<1%

4%

Fees fundmajority

Fees/Taxes50/50

Taxes fundmajority

Not sureClimate Action Committee

7

Do you support higher fees for more harmful contaminants, and lower fees for less harmful contaminants?

63%

29%

3%

1%

4%

Stronglysupport

Somewhatsupport

SomewhatopposeStronglyoppose

Not sure

92%

4%

Climate Action Committee

• Fees proposed to significantly increase for somecontaminants

• Fees for odorous air contaminants (previously no fee)• Opportunity for rebate if demonstrate minimal impact

• Two increments proposed: 2022 and 2025• Expected fees less than regulatory costs• Proposed fees far less than societal (health) costs

9

Proposed Amendments to Fees: Key Points

Climate Action Committee

• Phase 1: Survey (Complete) August to October

• Develop Discussion PaperOctober and November

• Phase 2: Engagement December to March 2021

• Bring draft bylaw to Board Second Quarter 2021

10

Engagement Schedule

Climate Action Committee

Questions?

11Climate Action Committee

41915693

Air Aware: Air Quality and Citizen Science

Amy ThaiACTING SENIOR POLICY ANALYST

Ken ReidSUPERINTENDENT, ENVIRONMENTAL SAMPLING AND MONITORING

Climate Action Committee, November 13, 202042110967

5.5

Climate Action Committee

http://www.metrovancouver.org/services/air-quality/action/air-aware/Pages/default.aspx

Climate Action Committee

Thank you

Climate Action Committee42311290