system management principles statement · system management principles statement ... 1953 1988...
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System Management Principles Statement
� Compliance report for December 2013 and January 2014
� Summary of balancing actions and breaches for December 2013 - January
2014
� Performance compared to last year
2
Summary Report
00Number of Non-Material Breaches
00Number of Material Breaches
Jan-14Dec-13
2219Total
1710Total Number of Sell Actions
59Total Number of Buy Actions
Jan-14Dec-13
0
0
41
Jan-13
0Number of Non-Material Breaches
(Calendar year to date)
0Number of Material Breaches
(Calendar year to date)
22Number of Balancing Actions
(Calendar year to date)
Jan-14
Transporter Actions and Neutrality
� Energy Balancing
� Capacity
4
Transporter Energy Traded on the OCMJanuary 2013 to January 2014 Vs Previous Year
-33162891Jan – Dec 13
-3621242014 [YTD]
Sell [GWh]Buy [GWh]Year
National Grid Monthly Buys and Sells
Jan 2013 to Jan 2014 vs Previous Year
-1,400
-1,200
-1,000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14
Month
GW
h
-1,400
-1,200
-1,000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Buy 2013/14 Buy Prev Year Sell 2013/14 Sell Prev Year
5
Days of Default SMP PricesFrom February 2013 to January 2014
71%77%94%Jan 14
BothSMPSSMPBMonth
SMPB Calculation Summary
Feb 2013 to Jan 2014
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Feb
-13
Ma
r-1
3
Apr-
13
May
-13
Jun
-13
Ju
l-1
3
Aug
-13
Se
p-1
3
Oct-
13
Nov
-13
Dec
-13
Jan
-14
%a
ge
SMPB [NG Set Price] SMPB [Default Marginal]
SMPS Calculation Summary
Feb 2013 to Jan 2014
010
20304050
607080
90100
Feb-1
3
Mar-
13
Apr-
13
May-1
3
Jun-1
3
Jul-13
Aug-1
3
Sep
-13
Oc
t-13
Nov-1
3
Dec-1
3
Jan-1
4
%ag
e
SMPS [NG Set Price] SMPS [Default Marginal]
6
Energy Balancing – Balancing Costs Nov - Dec 2013
Payments / Charges / Net Credit / Debit [Imbalance /
Scheduling / OCM] - 1st Nov to 31st Dec 2013
37,342,989
671,476
35,473,098
12,798,2637,965,111
0
10,000,000
20,000,000
30,000,000
40,000,000
50,000,000
60,000,000
Credits Debits
Imbalance Scheduling OCM
Net Debit £2,291,785
7
Energy Balancing – Balancing CostsNov - Dec 2013
OCM Payments / Charges Graph
1st Nov 2013 to 31st Dec 2013
-2,000,000
-1,500,000
-1,000,000
-500,000
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
01/1
1/2
013
08/1
1/2
013
15/1
1/2
013
22/1
1/2
013
29/1
1/2
013
06/1
2/2
013
13/1
2/2
013
20/1
2/2
013
27/1
2/2
013
Day
£
Payment [TTB]
Charge £ [TTS]Imbalance Payments / Charges Graph
1st Nov 2013 to 31st Dec 2013
-2,500,000
-2,000,000
-1,500,000
-1,000,000
-500,000
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
01
/11
/20
13
08
/11
/20
13
15
/11
/20
13
22
/11
/20
13
29
/11
/20
13
06
/12
/20
13
13
/12
/20
13
20
/12
/20
13
27
/12
/20
13
Day
£
Payment £ [DCS]
Charge £ [DCT]
Scheduling Charges Graph
1st Nov 2013 to 31st Dec 2013
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
01/1
1/2
013
08/1
1/2
013
15/1
1/2
013
22/1
1/2
013
29/1
1/2
013
06/1
2/2
013
13/1
2/2
013
20/1
2/2
013
27/1
2/2
013
Day
£
Exit Charge £ [EXS]Entry Charge £ [ESC]Exit Charge £ [DXS]
8
Capacity NeutralityNet Cost / Revenue From 1st April 2013 to 31st December 2013
-£651,333Net Revenue
£0Revenue from Locational Sells and PRI Charges
-£85,537Non-Obligated Sales Revenue (Entry only)
-£110,940Entry Capacity Overrun Revenue
£0Total Entry Constraint Management Operational Costs
-£454,856WDDSEC/DAI Entry Capacity Revenue
Revenue/Costs
9
Capacity NeutralityRevenues from WDDSEC and DAIFrom 1st April 2013 to 31st December 2013
Capacity Neutrality
Revenues from WDDSEC and DAI
April 2013 to December 2013
£5,000
£25,000
£45,000
£65,000
£85,000
£105,000
£125,000
£145,000
£165,000
£185,000
St Ferg
usTees
side
Bar
row
Theddleth
orpe
Easin
gton
Bac
ton
Oth
er
10
Capacity NeutralityRevenues from Entry Cap Overruns and Non-Obligated Sales,and Locational Sells and PRI Charges. Totals From 1st April 2013 to 31st December 2013
£0 (FY13/14)Total
-Mar-14
-Feb-14
-Jan-14
£0Dec-13
£0Nov-13
£0Oct-13
£0Sep-13
£0Aug-13
£0Jul-13
£0Jun-13
£0May-13
£0Apr-13
Locational Sells and PRI charges revenue
Month
Total
Mar-14
Feb-14
Jan-14
Dec-13
Nov-13
Oct-13
Sep-13
Aug-13
Jul-13
Jun-13
May-13
Apr-13
Month
-£85,537 (FY13-14)-£110,940 (FY13-14)
--
--
--
-£28,665-£3,364
-£27,943-£22,002
-£28,755-£5,355
--£11,538
--£6,080
--£16,257
--£33,996
--£7,376
-£175-£4,972
Non-obligated sales revenue
(entry)
Entry Cap Overrun Revenue
Operational Overview
12
National Composite Weather October 2013 to Feb 2014 vs. Historical Range
Month ahead ensemble weather
-5
0
5
10
15
20
01-Oct 01-Nov 01-Dec 01-Jan 01-Feb 01-Mar 01-Apr
Deg
ree
s C
WV
Ensemble
forecasts
2012/13
CWV
Mean
Ensemble
Seasonal normal
to maximum
Minimum to
seasonal normal
13
Mean
Co
mp
osite
Weath
er V
aria
ble
s
Decem
ber 2
013 v
s. P
revio
us Y
rs
Me
an
Na
tion
al C
om
po
site
We
ath
er fo
r De
ce
mb
er 2
01
3
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
2010195019621995196319351946196919961928200919781943199019701965196719301999195819911936200519471932198919291956200319511955198619842002200019981997197219851994197119531988
Degrees CWV
20
12
20
13
14
Mean
Co
mp
osite
Weath
er V
aria
ble
s
Jan
uary
2014 v
s. P
revio
us Y
rs
Me
an
Na
tion
al C
om
po
site
We
ath
er fo
r Ja
nu
ary
20
14
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1962
1978
1944
1984
1928
2009
1958
1954
1979
1945
1981
1985
1930
1983
1963
1952
1955
1935
2000
1967
1959
2012
1961
1991
1949
1970
1942
1980
1972
2005
1993
1956
1987
2003
1968
1997
1973
1943
2011
1931
2004
1974
2007
Degrees CWV
20
12
20
13
Demands
16
Gas Demand Breakdown1st Oct 2013 to 2nd Feb 2014 vs Previous Year
Gas Demand Breakdown
1st Oct 2013 to 2nd February 2014 vs Previous Year
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
01-O
ct-
13
08-O
ct-
13
15-O
ct-
13
22-O
ct-
13
29-O
ct-
13
05-N
ov-1
3
12-N
ov-1
3
19-N
ov-1
3
26-N
ov-1
3
03-D
ec-1
3
10-D
ec-1
3
17-D
ec-1
3
24-D
ec-1
3
31-D
ec-1
3
07-J
an
-14
14-J
an
-14
21-J
an
-14
28-J
an
-14
04-F
eb
-14
11-F
eb
-14
18-F
eb
-14
25-F
eb
-14
04-M
ar-
14
11-M
ar-
14
18-M
ar-
14
25-M
ar-
14
mcm
NDM DM (Excl Interconnectors) Total Interconnector Export Storage Injection
SND Cold Demand Warm Demand Previous Years Demand
17
LDZ Demand1st October 2013 to 2nd February 2014
Gas Demand Breakdown [LDZ 2013/14 vs Previous Year] vs NTS Demand /
CWV's
1st Oct 2013 to 2nd Feb 2014
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
01-O
ct-
13
08-O
ct-
13
15-O
ct-
13
22-O
ct-
13
29-O
ct-
13
05-N
ov-1
3
12-N
ov-1
3
19-N
ov-1
3
26-N
ov-1
3
03-D
ec-1
3
10-D
ec-1
3
17-D
ec-1
3
24-D
ec-1
3
31-D
ec-1
3
07-J
an
-14
14-J
an
-14
21-J
an
-14
28-J
an
-14
Gas Day
mcm
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
LDZ Demand 13/14 LDZ Demand Previous Year NTS Demand 13/14 CWV 13/14
18
Po
wer G
en
era
tion
Octo
ber 2
013 to
Feb
ruary
2014
Ga
s C
on
su
mp
tion
for P
ow
er G
en
era
tion
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
30-Sep
07-Oct
14-Oct
21-Oct
28-Oct
04-Nov
11-Nov
18-Nov
25-Nov
02-Dec
09-Dec
16-Dec
23-Dec
30-Dec
06-Jan
13-Jan
20-Jan
27-Jan
03-Feb
10-Feb
17-Feb
24-Feb
03-Mar
10-Mar
17-Mar
24-Mar
31-Mar
mcm/d
Actu
al fo
r Po
we
r Ge
ne
ratio
nB
ase
Ca
seH
igh
Pre
vio
us Y
ea
r
19
Depressed Demand this Winter
Supplies
21
Gas Supply Breakdown 1st October 2013 to 2nd February 2014
Gas Supply Breakdown
1st October 2013 to 2nd February 2014 vs Previous Year
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
01-O
ct-
13
08-O
ct-
13
15-O
ct-
13
22-O
ct-
13
29-O
ct-
13
05-N
ov-1
3
12-N
ov-1
3
19-N
ov-1
3
26-N
ov-1
3
03-D
ec-1
3
10-D
ec-1
3
17-D
ec-1
3
24-D
ec-1
3
31-D
ec-1
3
07-J
an
-14
14-J
an
-14
21-J
an
-14
28-J
an
-14
04-F
eb
-14
11-F
eb
-14
18-F
eb
-14
25-F
eb
-14
04-M
ar-
14
11-M
ar-
14
18-M
ar-
14
25-M
ar-
14
Gas Day
mcm
/d
UKCS Norway (est) LNG Imports
BBL I(UK) LRS Supplies
MRS Supplies SRS Supplies Previous Year Actual Supply
22
Gas Supply Breakdown – IUK1st October 2013 to 3rd February 2014
IUK Export / Import volumes Oct 2013 - Feb 2014 vs Previous Year / SAP
-70
-50
-30
-10
10
30
50
01
-Oct
05
-Oct
09
-Oct
13
-Oct
17
-Oct
21
-Oct
25
-Oct
29
-Oct
02
-No
v
06
-No
v
10
-No
v
14
-No
v
18
-No
v
22
-No
v
26
-No
v
30
-No
v
04
-De
c
08
-De
c
12
-De
c
16
-De
c
20
-De
c
24
-De
c
28
-De
c
01
-Jan
05
-Jan
09
-Jan
13
-Jan
17
-Jan
21
-Jan
25
-Jan
29
-Jan
02
-Feb
Vo
lum
es
(m
cm
)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
pri
ce
(p
/tm
)
IUK Export IUK Import IUK Import [Previous Year] IUK Export [Previous Year] SAP SAP [Previous Year]
23
Gas Supply Breakdown – LNG1st October 2013 to 3rd February 2014
LNG terminal flows Oct 2013 - Feb 2014 vs Previous Year / SAP
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
01
-Oct
05
-Oct
09
-Oct
13
-Oct
17
-Oct
21
-Oct
25
-Oct
29
-Oct
02
-No
v
06
-No
v
10
-No
v
14
-No
v
18
-No
v
22
-No
v
26
-No
v
30
-No
v
04
-De
c
08
-De
c
12
-De
c
16
-De
c
20
-De
c
24
-De
c
28
-De
c
01
-Ja
n
05
-Ja
n
09
-Ja
n
13
-Ja
n
17
-Ja
n
21
-Ja
n
25
-Ja
n
29
-Ja
n
02
-Fe
b
Volu
mes (
mcm
)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Pri
ce
(p
/th
)
SouthHookTer DragonTer Isle of grain
DragonTer [Previous Year] Isle of grain [Previous Year] SouthHookTer [Previous Year]
SAP SAP [Previous Year]
24
Gas Supply Breakdown – Norway1st October 2013 to 3rd February 2014
Norwegian* supply volumes Oct 2013 - Feb 2014 vs Previous Year / SAP
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
01-O
ct
05-O
ct
09-O
ct
13-O
ct
17-O
ct
21-O
ct
25-O
ct
29-O
ct
02-N
ov
06-N
ov
10-N
ov
14-N
ov
18-N
ov
22-N
ov
26-N
ov
30-N
ov
04-D
ec
08-D
ec
12-D
ec
16-D
ec
20-D
ec
24-D
ec
28-D
ec
01-J
an
05-J
an
09-J
an
13-J
an
17-J
an
21-J
an
25-J
an
29-J
an
02-F
eb
Vo
lum
es (
mcm
)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Pri
ce
(p
/th
)
Norway* Norway* [Previous Year] SAP SAP [Previous Year]
25
Gas Supply Breakdown – Storage1st October 2013 to 3rd February 2014
Storage flows Oct 2013 - Feb 2014 vs Previous Year / SAP
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
01
-Oct
05
-Oct
09
-Oct
13
-Oct
17
-Oct
21
-Oct
25
-Oct
29
-Oct
02
-Nov
06
-Nov
10
-Nov
14
-Nov
18
-Nov
22
-Nov
26
-Nov
30
-Nov
04
-Dec
08
-Dec
12
-Dec
16
-Dec
20
-Dec
24
-Dec
28
-Dec
01
-Ja
n
05
-Ja
n
09
-Ja
n
13
-Ja
n
17
-Ja
n
21
-Ja
n
25
-Ja
n
29
-Ja
n
02
-Feb
Volu
me
s (
mcm
)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Price (
p/tm
)
Storage Storage [Previous Year] SAP SAP [Previous Year]
26
Storage Stocks - UK1st Oct 2013 to 4th February 2014 Vs Previous Years
LRS Stocks
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
35.00
40.00
45.00
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
TW
h
LRS 2010/2011 LRS 2011/2012 LRS 2012/2013 LRS 2013/2014
MRS Stocks
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
TW
h
MRS 2010/2011 MRS 2011/2012 MRS 2012/2013 MRS 2013/2014
SRS Stocks
0.00
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.60
0.70
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
TW
h
MRS 2010/2011 SRS 2011/2012 SRS 2012/2013 SRS 2013/2014
27
201
3/1
4 R
efle
ctio
nS
tora
ge S
tocks
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
10
0
01-Apr
08-Apr
15-Apr
22-Apr
29-Apr
06-May
13-May
20-May
27-May
03-Jun
10-Jun
17-Jun
24-Jun
01-Jul
08-Jul
15-Jul
22-Jul
29-Jul
05-Aug
12-Aug
19-Aug
26-Aug
02-Sep
09-Sep
16-Sep
23-Sep
30-Sep
07-Oct
14-Oct
21-Oct
28-Oct
04-Nov
11-Nov
18-Nov
25-Nov
02-Dec
09-Dec
16-Dec
23-Dec
30-Dec
06-Jan
13-Jan
20-Jan
27-Jan
03-Feb
10-Feb
17-Feb
24-Feb
03-Mar
10-Mar
17-Mar
24-Mar
31-Mar
Net Storage Injection (mcm)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Storage Stock Percentage Full
Ro
ug
hH
um
ble
y G
rov
eH
atfie
ld M
oo
rH
orn
se
aH
olfo
rdH
ole
ho
us
e F
arm
Ald
bro
ug
h
Av
on
mo
uth
LR
S %
Fu
ll 20
12M
RS
% F
ull 2
012
SR
S %
Fu
ll 20
12L
RS
% F
ull 2
013
MR
S %
Fu
ll 20
13S
RS
% F
ull 2
013
28
Storage Stocks - EUFrom 1st Oct 2013 to 1st February 2014 vs. Previous Years
Total EU Weekly Storage Levels
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
Oct
No
v
De
c
Ja
n
Fe
b
Ma
r
Ap
r
Ma
y
Ju
n
Ju
l
Au
g
Se
p
Date
mc
m
2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014
Note: AGSI+ are no longer publishing aggregated data on hub level.
Storage Data for Wednesday 05-02-2014
29
Gas Supply comparison –Winter 2012/13 vs 2013/14
30
UK
Gas P
rices
1s
tJan
2013 to
4th
Feb
2014 V
s P
revio
us Y
ears
Sy
stem
Price
s
1st Ja
n 2
01
3 to
4th
Fe
bru
ary
20
14
Vs P
rev
iou
s Ye
ars S
AP
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
10
0
11
0
12
0
13
0
01-Jan-13
15-Jan-13
29-Jan-13
12-Feb-13
26-Feb-13
12-Mar-13
26-Mar-13
09-Apr-13
23-Apr-13
07-May-13
21-May-13
04-Jun-13
18-Jun-13
02-Jul-13
16-Jul-13
30-Jul-13
13-Aug-13
27-Aug-13
10-Sep-13
24-Sep-13
08-Oct-13
22-Oct-13
05-Nov-13
19-Nov-13
03-Dec-13
17-Dec-13
31-Dec-13
14-Jan-14
28-Jan-14
p/therm
SA
PS
MP
Bu
yS
MP
Se
llS
AP
Pre
vio
us
Ye
ar
31
What Operational Issues Affected Users?
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