state of the region ualr regional stewardship conference september 14, 2004

State of the State of the RegionRegion

UALRREGIONAL STEWARDSHIP

CONFERENCESEPTEMBER 14, 2004

METROPLANA COUNCIL OF LOCAL GOVERNMENTS

FOUNDED IN 1955 to conduct long-range public infrastructure planning to support the growth of the central Arkansas metropolitan area

MEMBERS = 5 Counties and 23 Cities in Central Arkansas

METROPOLITAN PLANNING ORGANIZATION

METROTRENDS - Economic and Demographic Review and Outlook

To Subscribe: Metroplan

501 West Markham

Little Rock, Arkansas 72201

metroplan.org

CURRENT MAJOR ACTIVITIES:

METRO 2030 Long-Range Transportation Plan Update

Central Arkansas Clean Air Task Force

Mid-Arkansas Water Alliance

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WHAT WE’LL TALK ABOUTWHAT WE’LL TALK ABOUT

Why regions are important

Varying definitions of “regions” used in central Arkansas

Some facts about our region, and others

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Enhanced Satellite ImageryEnhanced Satellite Imagery

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1950’s Economic 1950’s Economic CompetitionCompetition

Shreveport and New Orleans, LAJackson, MSDallas and Ft. Worth, TXTulsa, OKSpringfield and St. Louis, MOMemphis, TN

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21st CENTURY 21st CENTURY COMPETITIONCOMPETITION

Dallas-Ft. WorthHoustonNew OrleansJacksonFayettevilleSt. LouisKansas CityChicagoPhiladelphiaCharlotteNew YorkSeattlePortlandLos Angeles

TorontoTokyoTaipeiHong KongNew DelhiCalcuttaCapetownCairoRomeBrusselsMadridManchesterDublinEtc. etc.

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In a Global EconomyIn a Global Economy

Our metropolitan area is in competition with every other metro economy on earth for talent, capital and natural resources.

The more educated and skilled our workforce, the higher our quality of life, the better our public infrastructure supports our activities at a reasonable tax rate, the more competitive we will be in the world of the future.

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WHAT REGION ARE WE TALKING ABOUT?WHAT REGION ARE WE TALKING ABOUT?

IN no country in the world has the principle of association been more successfully used or applied to a greater multitude of objects than in America.

As soon as several of the inhabitants of the United States have taken up an opinion…which they wish to promote in the world, … they combine. From that moment they are no longer isolated men, but a power seen from afar, whose actions serve for an example and whose language is listened to.

Alexis de Tocqueville, Democracy in America

IT DEPENDS ON WHAT SUBJECT WE ARE TALKING ABOUT

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U.S. Major Market AreasU.S. Major Market Areas

• Seattle• Spokane

•Billings

•Portland

SanFrancisco • Oakland San Jose

Los Angels • San Diego •

• Phoenix

•Albequerque

• El Paso

•Salt Lake

City •Denver

•Minneapolis

Omaha •• Des Moines

Milwaulkee •

•Chicago

Detroit •

Witchita•

KansasCity

•

•Tulsa

•Oklahoma

CityDallas

•Ft Worth

Houston••San Antonio

•Little Rock

•New Orleans

•St Louis

•Jackson

•Memphis

•Miami

Tampa •• Orlando

• Jacksonville

•Birmingham •

Atlanta

•Nashville

• Knoxville• Charlotte

•Louisville

•Indianapolis• Cincinnati

•Cleveland •

Pittsburg

• Richmond Norfolk

• Washington• Baltimore

• Philadelphia

• Buffalo• New York

• Boston

•Columbus

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Basic Trading Areas WithinBasic Trading Areas WithinLittle Rock Major Market Little Rock Major Market AreaArea BENTONCARROLLBOONEMARIONBAXTERFULTONRANDOLPHCLAYWASHINGTONMADISONNEWTONSEARCYSTONEIZARDSHARPGREENELAWRENCECRAIGHEADJACKSONINDEPENDENCECLEBURNEVAN BURENPOPEJOHNSONFRANKLINCRAWFORDSEBASTIANLOGANYELLCONWAYFAULKNERWHITEWOODRUFFPOINSETTCROSSCRITTENDENST. FRANCISPERRYSCOTT

MISSISSIPPILEEPHILLIPSMONROEPRAIRIEPULASKIPOLKMONTGOMERYGARLANDSALINEHOWARD

LONOKEARKANSASDESHACHICOT

SEVIERLITTLE RIVERMILLERLAFAYETTE

PIKECLARKHEMPSTEADNEVADACOLUMBIAUNIONOUACHITADALLASGRANTJEFFERSONCLEVELANDLINCOLNDREWASHLEYBRADLEYCALHOUNHOT SPRING

SequoyahLeFloreJonesboro

Little Rock

Pine Bluff

Fort Smith

Fayetteville

Harrison

Hot Springs

El Dorado

Russellville

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Arkansas Commuting ShedsArkansas Commuting ShedsBENTONCARROLLBOONEMARIONBAXTERFULTONRANDOLPHCLAYWASHINGTONMADISONNEWTONSEARCYSTONEIZARDSHARPGREENELAWRENCECRAIGHEADJACKSONINDEPENDENCECLEBURNEVAN BURENPOPEJOHNSONFRANKLINCRAWFORDSEBASTIANLOGANYELLCONWAYFAULKNERWHITEWOODRUFFPOINSETTCROSSCRITTENDENST. FRANCISPERRYSCOTTMISSISSIPPI

LEEPHILLIPSMONROEPRAIRIEPULASKIPOLKMONTGOMERYGARLANDSALINEHOWARDLONOKEARKANSAS

DESHACHICOT

SEVIERLITTLE RIVERMILLERLAFAYETTE

PIKECLARKHEMPSTEADNEVADACOLUMBIAUNIONOUACHITADALLASGRANTJEFFERSONCLEVELANDLINCOLNDREWASHLEYBRADLEYCALHOUNHOT SPRING

•Harrison

•Fayetteville

Fort Smith• Russellville•

Little Rock•

•Mt. Home

•West Plaines, MO

•Batesville

Heber Springs •

•Searcy

•Jonesboro

•Blytheville

•West Memphis

Stuttgart•

Pine Bluff •

•Crossett•

El Dorado

•Magnolia

•Texarkana

•Hot Springs

•Idabel, OK

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TRANSPORTATIONTRANSPORTATIONCentral Arkansas Regional Transportation Central Arkansas Regional Transportation StudyStudy

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Saline

Pulaski

Faulkner

LonokePopulation 583,845

2000 Census 21.8 percent of state

Land Area 3,005 square miles5.6 percent of state

Total Personal $17.0 billionIncome 2001 28.7 percent of state

Per Capita Personal $28,845Income 2001

1980-2000 LR-NLR MSA1980-2000 LR-NLR MSA

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Population 610,5182000 Census 22.8 percent of state

Land Area 4,198 square miles7.9 percent of state

Total Personal $17.6 billionIncome 2001 28.7 percent of state

Per Capita Personal $28,457Income 2001

Saline

Pulaski

Faulkner

Lonoke

Perry

Grant

2000 LR-NLR-MSA2000 LR-NLR-MSA

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White

Jefferson

LincolnCleveland

Saline

Pulaski

Faulkner

Lonoke

Perry

Grant

Population 785,0242000 Census 29.4 percent of state

Land Area 7,325 square miles13.8 percent of state

Total Personal $20.97 billionIncome 2001 34.2 percent of state

Per Capita Personal $26,447Income 2001

LR-NLR-Pine Bluff-LR-NLR-Pine Bluff-Searcy Combined Searcy Combined Statistical AreaStatistical Area

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WHAT TO MEASURE ABOUT WHAT TO MEASURE ABOUT THE REGION?THE REGION?

Focused on Regional GoalsEconomyEducationEnvironmentTransportationCommunityLand Use/Housing

Goals For Central Arkansas -- 1974

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WHAT TO MEASURE ABOUT WHAT TO MEASURE ABOUT A REGIONA REGION

Some Measure Against Oneself Over Time to Gauge ProgressSome Measure Against Competing Regions

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Population Trend 1970-2000Population Trend 1970-2000With 2030 ProjectionsWith 2030 Projections

300,000400,000500,000600,000700,000800,000900,000

1970197519801985199019952000200520102015202020252030583,845762,516833,824

METRO 2030METRO 2025Census

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Median Age in Central Median Age in Central ArkansasArkansas

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Migration Trends Migration Trends 1980-1990 & 1980-1990 & 1990-20001990-2000

Saline1980 - 1990+ 7,6401990 - 2000+16,134

Faulkner1980 - 1990+10,7001990 - 2000+20,900Lonoke1980 - 1990+ 2,7001990 - 2000+11,300Pulaski1980 - 1990-22,9001990 - 2000-24,300

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Average Annual Percent Average Annual Percent PopulationPopulationGrowthGrowth

0.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.0

FaulknerLonokePulaskiSalineLR-NLR MSA1990-20002000-2002

Per

cen

t G

row

th

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URBAN FORM

Little Rock - North Little RockMetro Area

18th Most Sprawling Metro Area

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Housing Density 77.5 7

Mix of Housing, Jobs, Services 68.27 10

Street Connectedness 88.17 30

Strength of Centers 105.86 49

Components Rankings for LR/NLR MSA

Component Score Rank

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1. Riverside/San Bernardino, CA 14.22. Greensboro/Winston-Salem NC 46.83. Raleigh/Durham NC 54.84. Atlanta, GA MSA 57.75. Greenville/Spartanburg, SC MSA 58.66. W. Palm Beach/Boca Raton FL, MSA 67.77. Bridgeport/Stamford CT NECMA 68.48. Knoxville, TN MSA 68.79. Oxnard/* CA MSA 77.2

10. Ft. Worth, TX PMSA 77.218. LR/NLR AR MSA 82.283. NYC, NY PMSA 177.8

Overall Sprawl Rankings

Metro Area Rating

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10. Ft. Worth, TX PMSA 77.2313. Dallas, TX PMSA 78.2618. LR/NLR, AR 82.2721. Oklahoma City, OK MSA 85.5823. Birmingham, AL MSA 87.9724. Baton Rouge, LA MSA 90.1331. Memphis, TN-AR-MS MSA 92.1532. Houston, TX PMSA 93.3035. St. Louis, MO-IL MSA 94.5143. Tulsa, OK MSA 99.0659. Austin, TX MSA 100.2674. New Orleans, LA MSA 125.3976. Portland, OR MSA 126.12

Regional Comparisons

Metro Area Rating

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Growth in Workers & Jobs Growth in Workers & Jobs 1990-20001990-2000 FAULKNER

PERRYSALINE

GRANT

LONOKEPULASKI1,25815215,46112,701

8,1873,17510,6915,6611,433944

8,13529,730Growth in Workers(by place of residence)Growth in Jobs(by place of work)

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Commuting Destinations ofCommuting Destinations ofResident Workers - 2000Resident Workers - 2000

FAULKNER32.9%PERRY70.7%SALINE62.8%

GRANT59.0%LONOKE61.9%PULASKI5.5%

174,06641,855

7,44925,006

4,38039,456

Working in resident countyWorking outside resident county

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Mean Travel TimeMean Travel Time

Change in Percent1990 2000 Minutes Change

USA 22.4 25.5 3.1 13.8

LR-NLR MSA 19.9 22.9 3.0 15.1

Faulkner Co. 21.8 24.8 3.0 13.8

Lonoke Co. 23.5 27.5 4.0 17.0

Pulaski Co. 18.4 20.8 2.4 13.0

Saline Co. 24.2 27.0 2.8 11.6

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Annual Percent Employment Growth 1993-Annual Percent Employment Growth 1993-20032003

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

4

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

LR-NLRUSA

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1990-2002 Unemployment1990-2002 UnemploymentLR-NLR vs Arkansas and National LR-NLR vs Arkansas and National AveragesAverages

0123456781990199119921993199419951996199719981999200020012002

LR-NLRArkansasUSA

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Percent Employment Change by Industry Percent Employment Change by Industry 2000-20032000-2003

-30 -20 -10 0 10 20

Construction

Manufacturing

Trade/Transport/Util

Information

Financial

Professional/Business

Education/Health

Leisure/Hospitality

Other Services

Government

USALR-NLR

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Percent of Population In Percent of Population In PovertyPoverty

0510152025

USAArkansasLR-NLR MSAFaulknerLonokePulaskiSaline13.119.113.513.814.914.19.312.415.812.112.510.513.37.219902000

Per

cen

t

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K-12 Public School K-12 Public School EnrollmentEnrollmentas Percent of Total Enrollment 1970-as Percent of Total Enrollment 1970-20002000

85868788899091929394951970198019902000

LR-NLRUSP

erce

nt

Enr

ollm

ent

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Educational Attainment Educational Attainment ComparisonComparison

051015202530 BA DegreePost-Grad DegreeFaulknerLonokePulaskiSalineLR-NLR MSAUSAArkansas

Per

cen

t

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Education Attainment in Education Attainment in SelectedSelectedSouth Central MetrosSouth Central Metros

Dallas-Ft WorthNashvilleLR-NLRTulsaFayettevilleTX CMSATN MSAAR MSAOK MSAAR0510152025303540

AustinJacksonBaton RougeOklahomaMemphisTX MSAMS MSALA MSAOK MSATN MSA

BA DegreePost-Grad DegreeP

erce

nt

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2000 Cost of Living Index for 2000 Cost of Living Index for Selected South Central Selected South Central Metro AreasMetro Areas

707580859095100105110ACCRA Index

LR-NLRMSA 88.0FayettevilleMSA 89.7MemphisMSA 90.1TulsaMSA 92.6NashvilleMSA 92.6OklahomaMSA 93.5DallasPMSA 99.5UA Average100.0Baton RougeMSA 105.8

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“Even if you’re on the right track, you’ll get run over if you’re standing still”

--Will Rogers