solving the global economic politics of peak oil with renewables presented by stephen l. rush ceo...

Solving the Global EconomicPolitics of Peak Oil with Renewables

Presented by

Stephen L. Rush

CEO of For Fuel Freedom (3F Inc.),

Contrary Economist & Business Strategist

World Green Energy Symposium

October 22, 2010

Copyright 2010 © Wise Landfill Recycling & Mining, Inc.

TM TM

OverviewPolitical-economics of future Oil Supply

Resulting Economics of Peak OilDecision Time for Governments

Fossil Fuel Transition PlanImplementing Transition to RenewablesHow we arrived here

Economic ChoicesTechnology Choices AvailableSolving the Bio-fuel Supply Equation

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The Politics of PetroleumPeak Oil

Requires more Money and Energy to extract Kuwaiti Economists

Global Oil Will Peak: Tetonic 20142014Hubbert Model (abiotic)

Oil is Already Becoming ScarceUnnecessary & unstable Deep Ocean Drilling

Oil Scarcity Can Be Prevented By TransitionTo Renewables

Panic can lead to War Renewables can lead to Trade &

Peace 10-10-10

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Peak Oil Predictions

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Economics of Scarcity

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The Time Is NowTo avert a Crisis

This is the Last Chance to Transition from OilTo determine Economic Options

Plan to implement Best Technologies within 3 months

Act Now to Avoid Economic DisparityDevelop a Fossil-fuel Transition Plan

A Well thought-out Plan will Stabilize MarketsKing Abdullah of Saudi Arabia said,

“All of us must get used to a different lifestyle.” Copyright 2010 © Wise Landfill Recycling & Mining, Inc. Page 5

Fossil Fuel Transition PlanDetermine your Level of Market

ParticipationExpect Oil Shortfall to be 7.3%

Estimated Production Loss is 3.4%3.9% is Compounded Economics(How scarcity affects the breakdown of oil supply)

Evaluate Fuel and Energy Supply Select Economically Sustainable Technology

Assess Local Renewable ResourcesCompare resources to your Energy Needs3 months from now is latest to Start Development

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Lessons of the Xinho Indians of So. America

Food on the table vs. Survival

Scarcity vs. Abundance

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Sources of Energy Making Smart Energy Choices

Unsustainable Energy Sources Sources:

Oil Dams Geo-thermalCoal, Nat’l GasNuclear Petrol-chemical Wireless

Grid

Lethal Drawbacks:Desertification Seismic Disturbance Poor HealthOcean Acidificaton Famine Conditions Disease

Sustainable Options can prevent calamityRenewables are here to save the day 10-10-10

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Energy Demand Comparison

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Economic ConsiderationsTransitional Energy Solutions

Power Plant Oxy-fuel Process CO2 Capture For Algae Bio-products

Coal Power Plant Toxins Filter for Eco-productsSuch as Vehicle Battery lead, mercury for Cool Light

OtherDC Current EfficienciesHarnessing the TideGreen Buidling System

Renewable Energy SolutionsBio-compost Bio-gas Bldg-integrated Energy Non-fossil fuel Wind Solar Cellulosic Fuels

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Renewable Fuel DirectionsSustainable Bio-fuels Options

Bio-fuels and By-products from AlgaeBiodiesel Jet Grade Bio-fuel Bio-plasticsBio-oil Food Suppliments Bio-pharma

Bio-fuels and By-products from WastesEthanol Bio-gas Bio-Fertilizer Glass AggregateHydrogen Bio-fuel Water Fuel Pellets

Solving Bio-fuel Supplies Economic EquationMarket for Renewable Products

Consumer Convenience and Ethanol 10-10-10

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A Brief History of EthanolDevelopment of Ethanol

Roots in Persia, Appalacian Mtns, BrazilLiked for its Resemblence to Gasoline

Easy Vehicle Maintenance and Use

Persian Discoveries & Future EconomiesProven tech thru the ages updated for today’s usageDistilled Alcohol -> EthanolOptics and Electricity -> SolarWind Inventions -> Non-fossil fuel WindAstronomical Sci -> Int’l Space ParticipationCell Transplantation -> Umbilical Stem Cells

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Political - Economics of EthanolEconomic Threshold of Grain Ethanol

Bio-fuels from FoodEcocologically unfriendly Eco-crops

Apocalyptic DeforestationWestern Climate and use of Corn

Commoditiy PricingEconomics of fertilizer vs. Bio-fertilizers

Supply Dilemma of EthanolEthanol from Cellulose

Sugar LimitationsProduction Threshold 10-10-10 Copyright 2010 © Wise Landfill Recycling . Page 14

Economic & Ecological EthanolNext Generation Cellulosic Systems

The use of MicrobesIncrease in feedstock or product

Reuse and Recycling of PulpBy-products and markets

Economics To Look ForEconomic Thresholds

Breakeven Profit AnalysisRaw Material to Product Output RatioRaw Material Supplies

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Differences in Ethanol Production

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How 3F Inc. Accellerates the Supply

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What Fits Your Transition PlanUtilizing Integrated By-products with Ethanol

Does The System Provide Renewable Energy?Bio-compost Bio-gas Bio-oil Bio-plasticsBldg-integrated Energy CO2 Sales Bio-FertilizerFood Suppliments Glass Aggregate Wind PowerHydrogen Bio-fuel Jet Grade Bio-fuel Oxy-fuelBio-pharma Solar Non-coal Fuel Pellets Water

The Need for Bio-fuels and RenewablesCost to install Renewables in Iran?

vs. Costs of Nuclear facilities, or War?

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Solving Supply EconomicsBio-fuels needed to meet Oil Shortfall

U.S. average fuel demand is 3,898,886,420 brls.112,348,162,808 gallons gasoline 51,405,066,828 gallons diesel

E85 is 72% and Bio-diesel is 86% of the energy in petroleum

Replace the 7.3% shortfall7.3% of the current U.S. fuel demand is equal to

23.5b gallons of ethanol, bio-diesel, jet fuel, bio-oil & bio-plastics

Equal to 103 of 3F Inc’s facilities in the first yearAt a cost of $40.53b US; decreasing scale after

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Refining Cost vs Bio-fuel Capital CostOperating Costs to run U.S. Refineries

Total operating expenses for U.S. oil refineries:$1.465 trillion U.S. dollars

Could use it to buy 4,000+ Plants Next generation bio-fuel systemsProduce renewable energy in concert

Global Operating CostsGlobal operating expenses for oil refineries:

$10.7 trillion dollars (estimated)Could buy 20,000 Plants

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Next Steps In The PlanSustainable Renewable Choices

This is the opportunity to explore your optionsAssess your best economic & technological fit

Rate Economic Performance of these systemsFind your next-generation of Sustainable Fuels

Utilize Renewables Efficiently and EffectivelyIt is easy to Retrofit existing infrastructure

There is a huge market for it

Supplies can coincide with Economic Change If Expansion Phases are timed to bring Renewable

Systems to market quickly and methodically 10-10-10 Copyright 2010 © Wise Landfill Recycling & Mining, Inc. Page 21

Now is the Time to Plan Your Oil Transition

A healthy environment makes for a healthy people and a healthy economy.

Copyright 2010 © Wise Landfill Recycling & Mining, Inc.

A Presentation of

For Fuel Freedom (3F Inc.)