social protection momentum in bangladesh 03 november 2013 shashwatee biplob -senior program manager...
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Social Protection Momentum in Bangladesh
03 November 2013
Shashwatee Biplob -Senior Program ManagerDevelopment Cooperation, Australian High Commission
Issues constraining Outcome:
• Number of programs
• Size of Transfers
• Leakages and corruption
• Duplication
• Exclusion/ Inclusion Errors
• Sector Governance
• Evidence of Impact
Key Issues:
• Coverage / adequacy …… impact
• Food ….. cash
• Poverty targeting ….. social categorical/ life cycle
• GoB…… CSOs
Poverty Rate: 1991-2010
1991-92 1995-96 2000 2005 20100
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
National RuralUrban
• Poverty rate has been halved from 1991 to 2010
• Still the rate is high 31.5%, around 47 million people
How different are the lives of the people below and above the poverty line???
BNPL
BNPL X 1.2
BNPL X 1.5
BNPL X 2
020
00
40
00
60
00
80
00
10
00
0pe
r ca
pita
co
nsu
mptio
n e
xp m
on
thly
0 .2 .4 .6 .8 1cumulative percentage
Difference in level of per capita consumption of the 3rd and 8th decile is not great
Life-cycle risks:
Scope of Social Protection Reform:“It shall be a fundamental responsibility of the state to attain……..the right to social security, that is to say to public assistance in cases of undeserved want arising from unemployment, illness or disablement, or suffered by widows or orphans or in old age, or in other such cases.” - Article 15, Constitution of Bangladesh
• Sixth Five Year Plan (2011): Increase spending to 3% of GDP by 2015
• Government has resolved to develop a National Social Protection Strategy (NSPS) by February 2014.
Current Social Protections:
Spending vs. Coverage:
Primar
y St
ipen
d
Seco
nary
Stip
end
Old A
ge
Employ
men
t Gen
Widow
sVGD
Disab
ility
Free
dom
Fight
ers
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0.00
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.10
0.12
0.14
Number of recipients Cost
Num
ber
of
recip
ients
(m
illions)
Cost
(% o
f G
DP
)
National Social Protection Strategy Development:
• Led by a 12 member inter-ministerial committee, Cabinet Secretary as Chair, GED as Secretariat
• SP Study tour to South Africa and Lesotho
• A consortium of South Asian Network on Economic Modelling (SANEM) and the Policy Research Institute (PRI) was contracted to help in drafting the NSPS.
• At sectoral level, Inter-Ministerial Committee (22) and a Monitoring Sub-Committee (8) are linked to NSPS
• GoB/ DPs: Local Consultative Group on Poverty and SP sub group
National Social Protection Strategy Development:10 background research papers:
1. Poverty, Vulnerability and Inequality in Bangladesh
2. Building a social protection system to address urban poverty in Bangladesh
3. Social Protection Strategy to address social and gender-based exclusion, including
disability, high-risk groups and minority;
4. Social Protection financing and affordability
5. Social Protection Strategies to address idiosyncratic and covariate risks and socks,
including seasonal poverty, econo9mic recession and natural disaster;
6. Taking stock and moving forward: enhancing labour strategies for Bangladesh's vulnerable
groups
7. State of governance within social protection sector in Bangladesh
8. Building a social protection system to address the demographic challenges faced by
Bangladesh
9. International best practice in Social Protection: implications for Bangladesh
10. Review of Bangladesh Social Protection Sector
National Social Protection Strategy Development:
• Zero draft of 8 papers have already been shared with DPs and got feedback
• A visioning workshop for SP was held on 27 October, Sunday – DPs, CSOs and GoB attended
• Possible options for reform, approaches, micro and macro level impact on poverty, affordability/ fiscal space
Percentage reduction in poverty gap for households with over-65s:
Tk.1000
Tk.800
Tk.600
Tk.450
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
30%
Universal
Percentage reduction in poverty gap
Percentage reduction in poverty gap for households with 0-4 years at various transfer levels:
Tk.500
Tk.300
Tk.150
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
10%
30%
Universal
Percentage reduction in poverty gap
Universal Old Age and Child Grant Combined impact:
Next Course of Actions:
• Finalizing the 10 background papers
• Zero draft of NSPS by 31st October 2013
• Comments will be sought from different ministries/ divisions, experts, CSOs, think tanks, DPs.
• Regional (Nov.) and National (Nov. & Dec.) dialogues will be held
• SP sub committee meeting on the revised draft
• Central Monitoring committee Meeting to Finalise the draft
• Process for approval by the competent authority.
THANKS
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