rotterdam is building (for) the future · 2019. 2. 1. · social and emotional competences 1...

Rotterdamis building (for) the future

Denis Wiering / Program-manager Youth Strategy / City of Rotterdam

In this presentation:

• Rotterdam: before and after

• Changes and challenges

• From objectives to factors

• Interaction and evidence

• Ranking the factors

• Sneak preview on data science

• Some showcases

• Results and things ahead

Rotterdam ‘80

Rotterdam now

Rotterdam now623.652207.098

17%

3,8% vs 2,1%

18% vs 15%

1.350

17.500

9%1/4

Rotterdam objectives

Rotterdam f1

Rotterdam now

Rotterdam now

Rotterdam is growing Policy model

Input

time / money /

quality

Throughput

Activities / interventions

OutputBenefits from

activities and

interventions

Outcome Impact

Monitoring and learning

Ranking the factorsOn relevance, on impact, on prevalence

Factor ranking

Social and emotional competences 1

Parental psychopathology 2

Social economic situation / debts / poverty 2

Parental skills 2

Psycho social problems 3

Truancy / school drop out / poor performances 3

Housing / deprived environment 3

Substance abuse 4

Domestic violence 4

Criminality 5

Sport and activity 5

Culture and leisure 5

Temperament 5

Acces to services 5

Nutricion 5

Smart cluster approach: ecosystemsMacro level

Meso level

Micro level

Impact

familynetworkperson

neighborhoodschoolwork

legislationpublic policieseconomyvalue systems

Possibilities of data science

Some showcases

• Social emotional health: from 0.3M to 2.2M of evidence or theory based interventions

• For example: Good Behaviour Game / decrease on agression, depression, anxiety, adhd

• Dynamic Cost Benefit Analysis of effective prevention: savings on child protection costs

• Monitoring and learning cycles with practitioners in preventive youth domain

• Method of distric programming of activities ‘Prosperous Neighbourhoods’, inspired by American Communities that Care programme: prevevntion, educational programmes, sports, culture etc.

• Drugs & Alcohol programme: projects in sports, leisure, nightlife, schools

Results: some stats

• Decrease in substance abuse:• Alcohol life time use among 14/15 year olds: from 45% in 2010 to 31.5% in 2017

• Alcohol binge drinking among 14/15 year olds: from 18% in 2010 to 7.1% in 2017

• Canabis life time use among 14/15 year olds: from 11% in 2010 to 4.6% in 2017

• Decrease in school drop outs: from 5,3% in 2011/2012 to 3% in 2016/2017

• Decrease in criminality: from 9.360 crimes commited by young people per year in 2010 to 3.418 per year in 2017

• Increase in school performance: average Dutch National Final Test score from 531,2 in 2010 to 534,2 in 2017

• Increase in birth outcomes: 11,5 per 1,000 births (2000-2008) to 7,6 per 1,000 births (2011-2016)

Things ahead

• Smart cluster approach in order to tackle the complex ecosystem of poverty

• Social emotional health: flip the perspective, insight in protective factors

• Criminality: what’s behind the stats?

• Equal opportunities: closing the gap

• Every day focus in building (for) the future: more young people growing up healthier, safer and withmore chances in life