roadmap euro-sibram’2002 - prague international colloquium towards simulation-based probabilistic...

Roadmap Euro-SiBRAM’2002 - Prague

International Colloquium

Towards Simulation-Based Probabilistic

Codified Structural Design

Pavel Marek

Colloquium Phases

- Proceedings Vol. 1- Keynote Presentation- Technical Sessions 1 to 9- Panel Discussion- Proceedings Vol. 2

+ Dissemination of the Colloquium Results

1General

Technical Sessions 1 to 9

General Discussion

• Application of Codified Probabilistic Simulation-Based Methods in Designers’ work

• Computer Era and Assessment Methods• Transition from Deterministic to

Probabilistic “Way of Thinking”• Designers’ Involvement• For more see Moderators’ Outlines

1General

2Variables

Representation of Variables

• Parametric or Non-parametric distributions?• Bounded Distributions?• Distributions stored in Data-bases• Multi-Component Variables• For more see Moderators’ Outline

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General

Variables

3Loading

Loading and Load Effects

• Representation of one- and more-component loadings in simulation-based reliability assessment method

• From Loadings to Load Effects• Combination Analysis of one- and more-

component Load Effects • For more see Moderator’ Outline

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1General

Variables

Loading

4 Limit Values

Limit Values

• Definition and application of the Limit Values in the probabilistic simulation-based reliability assessment method

• Safety and Serviceability• Durability• For more see Moderator’s Outline

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1General

Variables

Loading

Limit Values

5Systems

From Components to Systems

• Simulation-based reliability assessment of structural components and systems in computer era – Substance of the Criteria

• Load Effects and Reference Values• Safety and Serviceability Criteria (including

Durability) • Common and Exceptional Situations • For more see Moderator’s outline

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5

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1General

Variables

Loading

Limit Values

Systems

6 Durability

Assessment of Durability

• Load Effects and Reference Values in case of Durability Assessment

• Fatigue• Corrosion• Rheological Material Properties• Assessment Approaches using Simulation• For more see Moderator’s Outline

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1General

Variables

Loading

Limit Values

SystemsDurability

7Education

Education

• How to bring the “probabilistic simulation-based reliability assessment” message to designers?

• Education at Universities, Seminars • Teaching Tools• From deterministic to probabilistic “way of

thinking” of designers and their involvement in the assessment procedure

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1General

Variables

Loading

Limit Values

SystemsDurability

Education

8 Codes

Codes• Introduction of “Simulation-based probabilistic

reliability assessment methods” would require development of qualitatively new codes corresponding to the computer era

• “Rules of the Game”• Safety, Service-ability and Durability Criteria in

simulation-based codes expressed by Pf < Pd

• Data Bases and Internet Communication• Knowledge Bases• Software• Legal Aspects

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8

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1General

Variables

Loading

Limit Values

SystemsDurability

EducationCodes

9Applications

Applications

• Discussion on Selected Applications of Simulation-based probabilistic reliability assessment methods

• Examples and exercises• Comparative studies• Parametric Studies

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8

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7

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1General

Variables

Loading

Limit Values

SystemsDurability

EducationCodes

9Applications

Panel Discussion

Colloquium OutputProceedings - Volume 2 will contain:- Keynote Lecture and presented Papers- Review of the Sessions 1 to 9- Review of the Panel Discussion- Review of the Euro-SiBRAM’2002- Recommendations

OWL = Symbol of Wisdom

Euro-SiBRAM’2002