regional transport modelling review. who’s doing what? planning national planning framework...

Regional Transport Modelling Review

Who’s doing what?Who’s doing what?

PlanningPlanning

National Planning National Planning FrameworkFramework

Strategic Development Strategic Development PlansPlans

Local Development Local Development PlansPlans

TransportTransport

National Transport StrategyNational Transport Strategy

Strategic Transport Strategic Transport Projects ReviewProjects Review

Regional Transport Regional Transport StrategyStrategy

Local Transport StrategyLocal Transport Strategy

What are Transport and Traffic Models?What are Transport and Traffic Models?

ChoicesChoices

Edinburgh

Glasgow

Perth

Dundee

Stirling

Crieff

G lenrothes

Kirkcaldy

St Andrews

Cupar

Livingston

Falkirk

Dunfermline

RouteTime of DayModeDestinationOrigin

Choices on personal travelChoices on personal travel

When do I leave?When do I leave?

What route to take? What route to take?

How will I get there?How will I get there?

How often? (or not at all)How often? (or not at all)

Where am I going?Where am I going?

Where am I?Where am I?

Wider influences on personal travelWider influences on personal travel

Active ChoiceActive ChoiceLifestyle (e.g. car, motorbike, cycle ownership)Lifestyle (e.g. car, motorbike, cycle ownership)

Limited ChoiceLimited ChoiceEmployment, income, household composition, household Employment, income, household composition, household locationlocation

FixedFixedAge, sex, healthAge, sex, health

Life, the Universe and EverythingTraffic ModelTransport Model

DestinationDestinationModeMode

Time of DayTime of DayRouteRoute

OriginOrigin Land-Use Model

ResponseResponseTimeTime

QuickQuick

SlowSlow

AggregationAggregation SmallSmall

LargeLarge

TerminologyTerminology

ExogenousExogenousThe model does not vary the user inputsThe model does not vary the user inputs

EndogenousEndogenousThe model does vary the user inputsThe model does vary the user inputs

Land Use / Transport InteractionLand Use / Transport Interaction

National ModelNational ModelTransport Model for Scotland (TMfS)Transport Model for Scotland (TMfS)

combined withcombined with

Transport and Economic Land-use Model of Scotland Transport and Economic Land-use Model of Scotland (TELMoS)(TELMoS)

SPTSPTStrathclyde Integrated Transport Model (SITM)Strathclyde Integrated Transport Model (SITM)

combined withcombined with

Strathclyde Integrated Transport and Land-Use Strathclyde Integrated Transport and Land-Use Model (SITLUM)Model (SITLUM)

If you like this sort of stuff though, it’s all If you like this sort of stuff though, it’s all freely available.freely available.

How does it work?How does it work?

Land

Generates / AttractsMovement

of People / Goods

Use theRoad and Rail Network

Transport ModelTransport Model

NationalNationalTMfS (covers tactran and TayPlan)TMfS (covers tactran and TayPlan)

RegionalRegionalSITMSITM

Forth Regional Model (FRM) Forth Regional Model (FRM)

Aberdeen Sub-Area Model (ASAM)Aberdeen Sub-Area Model (ASAM)

Moray Firth Transport Model (MFTM)Moray Firth Transport Model (MFTM)

Traffic ModelsTraffic Models

Part of all the earlier modelsPart of all the earlier models

Local examplesLocal examplesDundee City CentreDundee City Centre

StirlingStirling

PerthPerth

CuparCupar

Dundee KingswayDundee Kingsway

BlairgowrieBlairgowrie

St AndrewsSt Andrews

How do we use them?How do we use them?

ActiveActiveTesting different policies and interventionsTesting different policies and interventions

PassivePassiveReportingReporting

Active Model UseActive Model Use

What do you want to test?What do you want to test?

What responses do you need to happen?What responses do you need to happen?

How will you decide between Options?How will you decide between Options?

Passive Model UsePassive Model Use

What information do you need to report?What information do you need to report?

Base DataBase Data

SupplySupplyWhat is the existing infrastructure?What is the existing infrastructure?

Houses, Retail Parks, Roads, Buses, Trains, Houses, Retail Parks, Roads, Buses, Trains, Parking etc.Parking etc.

DemandDemandWho is going to use it?Who is going to use it?

People and GoodsPeople and Goods

ForecastingForecasting

What changes do you want to make?What changes do you want to make?

Don’t forget to check what the neighbours are doing!Don’t forget to check what the neighbours are doing!

Remember there are things changing that we can’t Remember there are things changing that we can’t control (e.g. ageing, fuel prices)control (e.g. ageing, fuel prices)