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REBOOT 2020Sander Duivestein

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

0INTRODUCTION

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

We are all interested in the FUTURE, for that is

where you and I are going to spend the rest of our lives.

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

1ME THE MEDIA

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

RISE OF THE CONVERSATION SOCIETY

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

1440

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

1605

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

1804

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

1840

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

1875

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

1878

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

1880

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

1885

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

1895

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

1903

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

1904

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

1906

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

1946

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

1989

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

2001

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

2007

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

2009

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

2010

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

TECHNOLOGY accelerates SOCIETY

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

TIMES are CHANGING

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

the single most frequent failure in the history of forecasting has been grossly underestimating the

IMPACT OF TECHNOLOGIES

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

RESISTANCE is FUTILE

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

We are moving from the MECHANICAL AGE OF SPEED into the DIGITAL AGE OF REAL TIME.

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

PEOPLE are now in CONTROL

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

MARKETS are CONVERSATIONS

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

from MASS MEDIA to MEDIA MESS

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

SOCIAL MEDIA is the new DIAL TONE

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

2COLLABORATION IN THE CLOUD

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

VALUE CHAIN 2.0

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

It is not the strongest of the species that survives, nor the most intelligent that survives. It is the one that is MOST ADAPTABLE TO CHANGE.

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

NEW NATURE of the FIRM

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

3DON’T BE EVIL

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

17681848

19181974

1971

1793 18291829 18731875 18931908 1929

2008 ?

WaterSteamOilEnergyICT

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

1

23

45

6GDP

Time

Water

Steam

Oil

Energy

ICT

NBIC

17711829

1875

1908

1971

Atoms Bits

We are moving away from a world of

ATOMS towards a world of BITS

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

DATA is the NEW OIL

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

PRIVACY is the new ATOMIC BOMB

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

CITIZEN JOURNALISM

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

REALTIME is the new PRIME TIME

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

4WE THE WEB

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

FUTURE of the WEB

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

WEB OF PEOPLESOCIAL GRAPH

FACEBOOK

WEB OF THE WORLDINTEREST GRAPH

TWITTER

WEB OF PAGESLINK GRAPH

GOOGLE

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

BIG DATA

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

DATA

INFORMATION

KNOWLEDGE

WISDOM

DIKW+ HIERARCHY

ENLIGHTENMENT

FUTU

RE

PAST

UN

DER

STA

ND

ING

\C

ON

TEX

T

WHAT HAPPENED?

WHY DID IT HAPPEN?

WHAT IS HAPPENING?

WHAT IS LIKELY TO HAPPEN?

HOW CAN I MAKE IT HAPPEN?

5THE RIGHT BRAIN

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

When people understand that this

GENERATION GAP is really a

TECHNOLOGICAL GAP, it will help them

to get things in some sort of order again.

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

THE LAST GENERATION

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

We shape our tools and thereafter

OUR TOOLS SHAPE US.

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

650 CC 1075 CC 1425 CC

HOMO HABILIS HOMO ERECTUS HOMO SAPIENS

2.500.000Tools

1.800.000 – 70.000Fire

250.000Speech

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

THE RIGHT BRAIN

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

6CONCLUSION

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

THE APP EFFECT

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

TECHNOLOGY is an EXTENSION OF MAN

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

SINGULARITY is NEAR

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

INNOVATE and EXPERIMENT

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

QUESTIONS

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends

@duivestein+31 6 250 260 20

V I N T | Vision • Inspiration • Navigation • Trends