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READY OR NOT
THE 20 YEAR CHALLENGE
Jamais CascioResearch Fellow, Institute for the Future
November 30, 2011
WHY FUTURISM?
WHAT WILL THE NEXT 20 YEARS LOOK LIKE?
WARNING:TURBULENCE
AHEAD
CLIMATE: STRESS AND RESPONSE
RESOURCES: DEPLETION AND COLLAPSE
TRANSPARENCY: THE INVISIBLE BECOMES VISIBLE
CONNECTIONS: GLOBALLY LOCAL
ECONOMIES: THE NEED FOR RESILIENCE
MAKING: ATOMS AND BITS
HUMAN AUGMENTATION: HUMANITY AND MORE
SCENARIOS
REPERCUSSION
REINVENTION
REVOLUTION
FORESIGHT:the capacity of a system to anticipate the consequences of present-day actions; to understand the implications of past choices; and to spot weak signals of change.
RESILIENCE: the capacity of a system to tolerate disturbance without collapse, to withstand shocks, to rebuild itself when necessary, and to improve itself when possible.
PLAY: Embracing Turbulence.
JAMAIS CASCIO
OPEN THE FUTURECASCIO@OPENTHEFUTURE.COM
TWITTER: @CASCIO
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