precision higgs at future colliders howard e. haber gunion fest uc davis march 28, 2014

Precision Higgs at Future Colliders

Howard E. HaberGunion FestUC DavisMarch 28, 2014

Timeline of a collaboration

July, 1978—First meeting at Seattle Summer Institute on the Electroweak Interactions

Lost badly at squash August, 1981—Second meeting at Seattle Summer Institute on Grand Unification, Supersymmetry and Supergravity

Attempt to learn SUSY using four-component spinors (one month before the release of Part 1 of the Supersymmetry Lectures by Wess and Bagger) French feast hosted by three star chef Jean Iliopoulos

April 21-23, 1983—Fourth Workshop on Grand Unification (FWOGU) held in Philadelphia

Jack and I discuss whether it would be useful to provide a comprehensive study of Higgs bosons in the MSSM

Iliopoulos Feast, SUSY-Workshop in Seattle (August, 1981)

It was thirty years ago today…

My first paper with Jack (and Stan Brodsky), contributed to a workshop on p-bar p options for the supercollider, at Argonne in February, 1984

Affectionatelycalled the“intrinsicchevrolet”paper

1984---a seminal year June/July, 1984: Snowmass 1984 Workshop

Collaboration with Jack on SSC physics takes off

August, 1984: Our paper on Higgs in SUSY is completed.

Initially rejected by Nuclear Physics B.

After withdrawing the paper, the NPB intervenes and decides to publish. Finally appears on

July 14, 1986. Until 2014, remains our most highly cited paper…

I’m sorry Jack, “Higgs in SUSY 1” just dropped to the Number 2 spot this past week.

Pursuit of the Higgs boson at future colliders

1988—future e+ e- colliders: the next generation

1989—The Higgs Hunter’s Guide

Followed by many enjoyablecollaborations over the next 25 years on Higgs, SUSY, BSM physics at SLC and LEP, Tevatron, LHC, and future collider facilities (ILC,…)

30 years later, the collaboration is alive and well

And we are not yet done…

So, at the celebration of your 70th milestonebirthday, let me convey my gratitude for yourwarm friendship and your generosity in sharingyour ideas and yourdedication to fosterthis long and fruitfulcollaboration.

Precision Higgs at Future Colliders

Reference: ILC Higgs White Paper, by D.M. Asner, T. Barklow, C. Calancha, K. Fujii, N. Graf, H.E. Haber, et al.,arXiv:1310.0763 [hep-ph], to appear in the Proceedings of the 2013 Snowmass CommunityStudy.

See also M.E. Peskin, Estimation of LHC and ILC Capabilities for Precision Higgs Boson Coupling Measurements, arXiv:1312.4974 [hep-ph].

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: Linear Collider at 250 GeV < < 1000 GeV ILC e e s

Energy/Luminosity running scenarios

From the ILC Technical Design Report

CM Energy: 250 GeV 500 GeV 1000 GeV

Baseline design 0.75 1.8 3.6

Luminosity upgrade 3.0* 3.6 4.9

Luminosity (in units of 1034 cm-2 s-1)

*not in ILC TDR; high rep rate operation proposed by Marc Ross and Nick Walker

Luminosity Upgrade at Ecm=250 GeV

Upgrade Luminosity

Baseline Luminosity

Energy/Luminosity scenariosStage # nickname Ecm(1)

(GeV)Lumi (1) (fb-1)

Ecm(2) (GeV)

Lumi (2) (fb-1)

Ecm(3) (GeV)

Lumi (3) (fb-1)

Runtime (years)

1 ILC (250) 250 250 1.1

2 ILC (500) 250 250 500 500 2.0

3 ILC (1000) 250 250 500 500 1000 1000 2.9

4 ILC(LumUp) 250 1150 500 1600 1000 2500 5.8

At each stage, the accumulated luminosity of a given energy is listed. The runtimes listed consist of actual elapsed cumulative running time at the end of each stage. Assuming that the ILC runs for 1/3 of the time, then the actual time elapsed is equal to the runtime times 3.

Assume that the ILC is run at its baseline luminosity at 250 GeV (stage 1), then at 500 GeV (stage 2), and finally at 1000 GeV (stage 3)

Then, stage 4 repeats the successive stages 1, 2 and 3 at the upgraded luminosity.

In real time, this entire program would require 5.8 x 3 = 17.4 years.

Beam polarization can increase the vector boson fusioncross section, W+W- H, by as much as a factor of two.

P(e-,e+)=(0,0)

Systematic errors:

Simulations: Full simulations performed with ILD and/or SiD dectector.

What does the ILC actually measure?

1.

The Z can be reconstructed in charged lepton and quark channels. The H can be “seen” in the mass spectrum recoiling against the Z (including the invisible Higgs decays). The H can be reconstructed in its main decay channels.

Invisible Higgs Decay• In the SM, an invisible Higgs decay is H

ZZ* 4n process and its BF is small ~0.1%• If we found sizable invisible Higgs decays, it is

clear new physics signal.– The decay products are dark matter candidates.

• At the LHC, one can search for invisible Higgs decays by using recoil mass from Z or summing up BFs of observed decay modes with some assumptions.– The upper limit is O(10%).

• At the ILC, we can search for invisible Higgs decays using a recoil mass technique with model independent way!– e+e- ZH

ZeeH PPP

known measured

"Search for Invisible Higgs Decays with ILD", Akimasa Ishikawa (Tohoku Univ.)

Signal+Background

• If BF(Hinvisible) = 3%– Signal is clearly seen for “Right” polarization

“Left”“Right”

Polarizations P(e+,e-)=(+30%,-80) [denoted below as “Left”] =(-30%, +80%) [denoted below as “Right”]

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Expected precision for cross section and cross section times branching ratio at the baseline luminosity and a one year runtime(i.e. three years in real time) for each energy/luminosity

For invisible decays, the 95% CL upper limit is given.Note: Mass measurement at ECM=250 GeV yields ΔMH=32 MeV.

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Expected accuracies for cross section and cross section times branching ratio at the upgraded luminosity and a one year runtime (i.e. three years in real time) for each energy/luminosity

For invisible decays, the 95% CL upper limit is given.Note: Mass measurement at ECM=250 GeV yields ΔMH=15 MeV.

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Model-independent determinations of Higgs couplings

Example--consider the following four independent measurements:

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Summary of expected accuracies Δgi/gi and ΓT for model independent determinations of the Higgs boson couplings

The theory errors are ΔFi/Fi=0.5%. For the invisible branching ratio, the numbers quoted are 95% confidence upper limits.

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Model-independent determinations of Higgs cross sections and branching ratios

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Summary of expected accuracies for the three cross sections and eight branching ratios obtained from aneleven parameter global fit of all available data.

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Comparing LHC and ILC Projected Precision

ATLAS and CMS have provided projections for the ultimate accuracies of Higgs coupling measurements based on the currently planned six year program (accumulating 300 fb-1 of data) and a proposed high-luminosity ten year program (accumulating 3000 fb-1 of data).

Here, I make use of Michael Peskin’s reinterpretation of the CMS results, which are less conservative than the ATLAS numbers. Since ATLAS does not provide projections for the measurement of the hbb coupling, Peskin only employs the CMS numbers in his analysis.

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CMS quotes a pessimistic and optimistic scenario: CMS-1: current systematic and theoretical uncertainties are employed.

CMS-2: theoretical errors are reduced by a factor of two and systematic errors are assumed to decrease as the square root of the integrated luminosity.

In comparing with ILC precision estimates, Peskin improves the ILC Higgs White paper numbers by imposing the constraint:

based on anticipated measured upper limits for BR’s of exotic Higgs decay modes.

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Peskin notes that by combining oneLHC observable, namely

as projected by ATLAS in their highluminosity LHC analysis, with theILC precision measurement of the ZZH coupling, one is able to obtain a very precise determination of the γγH coupling.

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The Bottom Line

The ILC will provide the next significant step in the precision study of Higgs boson properties. LHC precision measurements in the 5—10% range will be brought down to the 1% level.

The ILC is able to provide a model-independent determination of Higgs couplings via the measurement of σZH, in addition to measuring σ x Br in numerous channels. (In contrast, LHC only can measure σ x Br).

Together with the LHC Higgs data, the ILC will provide critical measurements that can probe new physics beyond the Standard Model and provide important clues as to what may lie ahead.

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Back-up slides

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Summary of expected accuracies Δgi/gi and ΓT

using the model-dependent seven parameter HXSWG benchmark parameterization, assuming all theoryerrors are 0.5%