dr. john corley technical director aac/xr capabilities...

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 1

Capabilities Integration Division

Dr. John Corley Technical Director

AAC/XRCapabilities Integration Directorate

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 2

Air Armament Symposium NDIA Fuze Industry Panel Team

Mr Steve VukelichBoeing CompanyOctober 4, 2006

UNCLASSIFIED BRIEFING

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 3

Panel

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 4

The Fuzing NeedJuly 2005 Air Force Magazine – “Holes in the Pipeline”

“… some of us worry that we’re not working on the new technologies of the future that we need to be … fuzes on hand are not smart enough ... not rugged enough ... not durable enough at the price we’ve been paying for them, and we’re not putting enough money into the R&D of making them better.”

- Maj. Gen. Robert W. Chedister

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 5

The Fuzing NeedJuly 2005 Air Force Magazine – “Holes in the Pipeline”

“… some of us worry that we’re not working on the new technologies of the future that we need to be … fuzes on hand are not smart enough ... not rugged enough ... not durable enough at the price we’ve been paying for them, and we’re not putting enough money into the R&D of making them better.”

- Maj. Gen. Robert W. Chedister

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 6

AAC’s Challenge to Industry

• Perception: Problems in providing fuzes that work reliability across the full spectrum of operational uses, are affordable and meet schedules, have cast doubt on the ability to produce fuzes for existing and future weapon systems.

• Assumption: The Primes need to be more involved in creating a successful environment.

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 7

AAC’s Challenge to Industry

1. What should the community be doing differently?1. What should the community be doing differently?1. What should the community be doing differently?

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 8

1. What should the community be doing differently?

2. Is the next generation fuze beyond our grasp? What are the issues (technical, cost, or political)?

AAC’s Challenge to Industry

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 9

1. What should the community be doing differently?

2. Is the next generation fuze beyond our grasp? What are the issues (technical, cost, or political)?

3. Recommend those investments/activities required to produce a reliable product that the war fighter requires.

AAC’s Challenge to Industry

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 10

Time Constraint Limited

• Concentrate on Air Force applications

• Restricted analysis to smart fuzes for hard targets

• One-on-one discussions with 5 suppliers• KDI (2 August)• ATK (9 August)• Kaman (16 August)• Mustang Technologies (22 August)• THALES (25 Sep)

• Full Panel Meeting at Eglin 31 August

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 11

Some 20 Fuzes and Sensors Are in AF Use

FMU-139A/B, C/B FMU-143B/B -N/BFMU-152A/B DTU-31/BDSU-33A-C/B M904E4M905 M907MK43 FZU-39/BFMU-26 FMU-54A/BFMU-56 FMU-72FMU-81 FMU-110FMU-113 FMU-124FMU-159/B FMU-339 MOD 1

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 12

Inventory Fuze Capability Gaps

• Reliably survive the impact environment associated with HDBT defeat

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 13

Inventory Fuze Capability Gaps

• Reliably survive the impact environment associated with HDBT defeat

• Void-sensing or layer-counting capability

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 14

Inventory Fuze Capability Gaps

• Reliably survive the impact environment associated with HDBT defeat

• Void-sensing or layer-counting capability• Arm & power-up at high altitude

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 15

Inventory Fuze Capability Gaps

• Reliably survive the impact environment associated with HDBT defeat

• Void-sensing or layer-counting capability• Arm & power-up at high altitude• Power-up at slow release speeds

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 16

Inventory Fuze Capability Gaps

• Reliably survive the impact environment associated with HDBT defeat

• Void-sensing or layer-counting capability• Arm & power-up at high altitude• Power-up at slow release speeds• Captive carriage reliability

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 17

Inventory Fuze Capability Gaps

• Reliably survive the impact environment associated with HDBT defeat

• Void-sensing or layer-counting capability• Arm & power-up at high altitude• Power-up at slow release speeds• Captive carriage reliability• Height of burst for urban areas

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 18

The Fuze Market is Contracting

• General Purpose

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 19

The Fuze Market is Contracting

• General Purpose• ~25,000 units/year• ~$2,000 each

• Hard Target Fuze (estimated)

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 20

The Fuze Market is Contracting

• General Purpose• ~25,000 units/year• ~$2,000 each

• Hard Target Fuze (estimated)

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 21

The Fuze Market is Contracting

• General Purpose• ~25,000 units/year• ~$2,000 each

• Hard Target Fuze (estimated)

→$ 50 M

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 22

The Fuze Market is Contracting

• General Purpose• ~25,000 units/year• ~$2,000 each

• Hard Target Fuze (estimated)• ~500 units/year• ~$30,000 each

→$ 50 M

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 23

The Fuze Market is Contracting

• General Purpose• ~25,000 units/year• ~$2,000 each

• Hard Target Fuze (estimated)• ~500 units/year• ~$30,000 each

→$ 50 M

→ $ 15 M

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 24

The Fuze Market is Contracting

• General Purpose• ~25,000 units/year• ~$2,000 each

• Hard Target Fuze (estimated)• ~500 units/year• ~$30,000 each

→$ 50 M

→ $ 15 M

Usage in Operation Enduring Freedom, Operation Iraqi FreedomNon Penetrating Fuzes: ~17,000 Penetrating Fuzes: ~1,000

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 25

Use of PGMs Growing

Operation

Desert Storm

Allied Force

Enduring Freedom

PGMs Used

7.7 %

40.5 %

60.4 %

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 26

Business Environment Tough

1970 2006

Number of Suppliers Declining

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 27

Business Environment Tough

31 8

1970 2006

Number of Suppliers Declining

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 28

Business Environment Tough

31 8

1970 2006

Number of Suppliers Declining

Precision Weapons

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 29

Business Environment Tough

31 8

1970 2006

Number of Suppliers Declining

Precision Weapons

Skilled Staff

New Targets:Layer countingVoid sensing

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 30

Business Environment Tough

31 8

1970 2006

Number of Suppliers Declining

Precision Weapons

Skilled Staff

More Investment RequiredNew Targets:

Layer countingVoid sensing

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 31

Business Environment Tough

31 8

1970 2006

Number of Suppliers Declining

Precision Weapons

Reduced Quantities

Skilled Staff

More Investment RequiredNew Targets:

Layer countingVoid sensing

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 32

Business Environment Tough

31 8

1970 2006

Number of Suppliers Declining

Precision Weapons

Reduced Quantities

Reduced Revenue

Skilled Staff

More Investment RequiredNew Targets:

Layer countingVoid sensing

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 33

Business Environment Tough

31 8

1970 2006

Number of Suppliers Declining

Precision Weapons

Reduced Quantities

Reduced Revenue

Reduced Investment Available

Skilled Staff

More Investment RequiredNew Targets:

Layer countingVoid sensing

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 34

Business Environment Tough

31 8

1970 2006

Number of Suppliers Declining

Precision Weapons

Reduced Quantities

Reduced Revenue

Reduced Investment Available

Skilled Staff

More Investment Required

≠New Targets:

Layer countingVoid sensing

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 35

Business Cases For IRAD Investment in Smart Fuzes Are Difficult to Make

Government support and technology investment is required

Earnings on the system slowly offset fuze development costs; business case marginal

4,140Fuze + Warhead(system)

Excellent business case; earnings on the system quickly offset fuze development costs

No business case; large investment with low unit price does not close the business case

Notes

Fuze + warhead+ Missile (system)

Fuze only

Case

1,200

15,000

Number of Units to

Break-Even

Earnings on the system slowly offset fuze development costs; business case marginal

4,140Fuze + Warhead(system)

Excellent business case; earnings on the system quickly offset fuze development costs

No business case; large investment with low unit price does not close the business case

Notes

Fuze + warhead+ Missile (system)

Fuze only

Case

1,200

15,000

Number of Units to

Break-Even

~ 30 years

~ 8 years

~ 2 years

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 36

Fuze Capability Findings

• Current inventory fuzes– Are reliable and affordable when used in intended

environments

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 37

Fuze Capability Findings

• Current inventory fuzes– Are reliable and affordable when used in intended

environments – Have been a GFE (commodity) component of the

system

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 38

Fuze Capability Findings

• Current inventory fuzes– Are reliable and affordable when used in intended

environments– Have been a GFE (commodity) component of the

system– New target intel reveals harsher environments; driving

weapon system / fuze failures

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 39

Fuze Capability Findings

• Current inventory fuzes– Are reliable and affordable when used in intended

environments– Have been a GFE (commodity) component of the

system– New target intel reveals harsher environments; driving

weapon system / fuze failures– Current systems capability against new targets not

known

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 40

Fuze Capability Findings

• Current inventory fuzes– Are reliable and affordable when used in intended

environments– Have been a GFE (commodity) component of the

system– New target intel reveals harsher environments; driving

weapon system / fuze failures– Current systems capability against new targets not

known

Characterization of the current inventory has not been done in enough detail to develop a comprehensive fuze for new hard targets

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 41

Fuze Capability Findings

• Future fuzes– For increasingly harder targets, the technology

will be available for a HDBT fuze for existing inventory weapons by FY10.

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 42

Fuze Capability Findings

• Future fuzes– For increasingly harder targets, the technology

will be available for a HDBT fuze for existing inventory weapons by FY10

– Future targets and void-sensing/layer-counting requirements are not sufficiently defined to determine if the technology is available for a future HDBT weapon systems

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 43

Fuze Capability Findings

• Future fuzes– For increasingly harder targets, the technology

will be available for a HDBT fuze for existing inventory weapons by FY10

– Future targets and void-sensing/layer-counting requirements are not sufficiently defined to determine if the technology is available for a future HDBT weapon systems

The technology is available to develop a fuze / warhead system for Hard and Deeply Buried Targets

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 44

Team Recommendations1. ACC/AAC provide fuze / targets based on intel for contractor design use

(understanding target descriptions)

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 45

Team Recommendations1. ACC/AAC provide fuze / targets based on intel for contractor design use

(understanding target descriptions)2. AAC needs to characterize current inventory weapon environments with

new targets

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 46

Team Recommendations1. ACC/AAC provide fuze / targets based on intel for contractor design use

(understanding target descriptions)2. AAC needs to characterize current inventory weapon environments with

new targets 3. Increase FY07-09 funding for AFRL and industry for fuze technology to fill

technology gaps

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 47

Team Recommendations1. ACC/AAC provide fuze / targets based on intel for contractor design use

(understanding target descriptions)2. AAC needs to characterize current inventory weapon environments with

new targets 3. Increase FY07-09 funding for AFRL and industry for fuze technology to fill

technology gaps4. Next HDBT system

• AAC to define new system that includes a fuze as part of a system solution

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 48

Team Recommendations1. ACC/AAC provide fuze / targets based on intel for contractor design use

(understanding target descriptions)2. AAC needs to characterize current inventory weapon environments with

new targets 3. Increase FY07-09 funding for AFRL and industry for fuze technology to fill

technology gaps4. Next HDBT system

• AAC to define new system that includes a fuze as part of a system solution • Dual source fuze development efforts

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 49

Team Recommendations1. ACC/AAC provide fuze / targets based on intel for contractor design use

(understanding target descriptions)2. AAC needs to characterize current inventory weapon environments with

new targets 3. Increase FY07-09 funding for AFRL and industry for fuze technology to fill

technology gaps4. Next HDBT system

• AAC to define new system that includes a fuze as part of a system solution • Dual source fuze development efforts• Provide award incentives for backward compatible fuze technology

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 50

Team Recommendations1. ACC/AAC provide fuze / targets based on intel for contractor design use

(understanding target descriptions)2. AAC needs to characterize current inventory weapon environments with

new targets 3. Increase FY07-09 funding for AFRL and industry for fuze technology to fill

technology gaps4. Next HDBT system

• AAC to define new system that includes a fuze as part of a system solution • Dual source fuze development efforts• Provide award incentives for backward compatible fuze technology• ACC and the missile primes to define system- and subsystem-level

requirements for the next generation HDBT systems

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 51

Team Recommendations1. ACC/AAC provide fuze / targets based on intel for contractor design use

(understanding target descriptions)2. AAC needs to characterize current inventory weapon environments with

new targets 3. Increase FY07-09 funding for AFRL and industry for fuze technology to fill

technology gaps4. Next HDBT system

• AAC to define new system that includes a fuze as part of a system solution • Dual source fuze development efforts• Provide award incentives for backward compatible fuze technology• ACC and the missile primes to define system- and subsystem-level

requirements for the next generation HDBT systems5. AAC needs to initiate slow speed, high altitude arming program

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 52

Team Recommendations1. ACC/AAC provide fuze / targets based on intel for contractor design use

(understanding target descriptions)2. AAC needs to characterize current inventory weapon environments with

new targets 3. Increase FY07-09 funding for AFRL and industry for fuze technology to fill

technology gaps4. Next HDBT system

• AAC to define new system that includes a fuze as part of a system solution • Dual source fuze development efforts• Provide award incentives for backward compatible fuze technology• ACC and the missile primes to define system- and subsystem-level

requirements for the next generation HDBT systems5. AAC needs to initiate slow speed, high altitude arming program6. Future procurements need to take into consideration the fuze industrial

base to maintain stability and/or prevent further erosion

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 53

Team Recommendations1. ACC/AAC provide fuze / targets based on intel for contractor design use

(understanding target descriptions)2. AAC needs to characterize current inventory weapon environments with

new targets 3. Increase FY07-09 funding for AFRL and industry for fuze technology to fill

technology gaps4. Next HDBT system

• AAC to define new system that includes a fuze as part of a system solution • Dual source fuze development efforts• Provide award incentives for backward compatible fuze technology• ACC and the missile primes to define system- and subsystem-level

requirements for the next generation HDBT systems5. AAC needs to initiate slow speed, high altitude arming program6. Future procurements need to take into consideration the fuze industrial

base to maintain stability and/or prevent further erosion7. Maintain awareness of international products

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 54

Team Recommendations1. ACC/AAC provide fuze / targets based on intel for contractor design use

(understanding target descriptions)2. AAC needs to characterize current inventory weapon environments with

new targets 3. Increase FY07-09 funding for AFRL and industry for fuze technology to fill

technology gaps4. Next HDBT system

• AAC to define new system that includes a fuze as part of a system solution • Dual source fuze development efforts• Provide award incentives for backward compatible fuze technology• ACC and the missile primes to define system- and subsystem-level

requirements for the next generation HDBT systems5. AAC needs to initiate slow speed, high altitude arming program6. Future procurements need to take into consideration the fuze industrial

base to maintain stability and/or prevent further erosion7. Maintain awareness of international products8. Maintain dialog among Government / Primes / Fuze Contractors

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 55

Summary

• The weapon Primes recognize the importance of their increased involvement in developing fuzing as part of the weapon system

• The fuze industry production base is at minimum effective capacity and technology investments are under-funded

• HDBT is achievable near-term as a system solution with appropriate investment

• Foreign comparative tests provide an opportunity to evaluate international products as well (products from Thales and TDW are being evaluated)

NDIA Fuze Industry TeamRev G 56

Thanks to …Ed Arcemont GD-OTSRoger Barrett AAC/XRSBob Blake ATKTim Bonbrake RaytheonAaron Brinson Consultant - GDOTSSonny Childress AAC/XRDave Cole L-3 KDIDr John Corley AAC/XRGene Estep AAC/XRRussell Gunter AAC/XRSJ. Rick Holder Sr. 308th ARSWHarry Hutchins KamanBill Kamper L-3 BTR. Kent Lowder Mustang Technology GroupCarl Miller BoeingMike Pattison ThalesJoe Renshaw L-3 KDIEric Roach Lockheed-MartinFrank Robbins ConsultantRick Schultz Northrop-GrummanRoger Smith AFRLTim Tobik AFRLSteve Vukelich Boeing