outsourcing and imported inputs in the u.s. economy

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Outsourcing and Imported Inputs in the U.S. Economy. Insights from Integrated Economic Accounts. R. Yuskavage, E. Strassner, and G. Medeiros World Congress on National Accounts and Economic Performance Measures for Nations May 15, 2008. Motivation. Size and Growth of Outsourcing - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Outsourcing and Imported Inputs in the U.S. EconomyInsights from Integrated

Economic Accounts

R. Yuskavage, E. Strassner, and G. Medeiros

World Congress on National Accounts and Economic Performance Measures for Nations

May 15, 2008

2www.bea.gov

Motivation

Size and Growth of Outsourcing Domestic outsourcing Imported inputs

Annual Industry Accounts Recent enhancements Analytical framework

3www.bea.gov

Key Findings

Domestic Outsourcing One-fourth of intermediate inputs Nearly one-half of purchased services Growing fast in real terms

Imported Inputs More than half of all U.S. imports Nearly 11 percent of intermediate inputs Substitution for domestic materials

4www.bea.gov

Definition of Outsourcing No consensus in economics profession International guidelines largely silent NAPA study identified two types

Business process Business relocation

Establishment-based production focus

5www.bea.gov

Composition of Outsourcing

2006

6%11%

5%

47%

31%

Transportation & storageservices

Repair & maintenanceservices

Information services

Professional, scientific, &technical services

Administrative & supportservices

6www.bea.gov

Outsourcing in Economic Statistics

Company vs. Establishment Industry Classification

Advantages of NAICS Treatment of auxiliaries

Economic Census Source Data Input-Output Definitions &

Conventions

7www.bea.gov

Input Category Disaggregation

E (pub)

Dom (unpub)

S (pub)

M (pub)

Imp (unpub)

Dom (unpub)

Imp (unpub)

Dom (unpub)

Imp (unpub)

Each category includes nominal values, price indexes, and quantity indexes

Disaggregation performed for each of 65 industries for each year 1997-2006

8www.bea.gov

Purchased Services Disaggregation

S (pub)

Outsourcing (unpub)

Other Services

Imp (unpub)

Utilities

Telecomm

Financial

Rental & Leasing

Aggregation of 30 4-digit commodities

Dom (unpub)

9www.bea.gov

Purchased Services Shares

Input Category Shares of Nominal Intermediate InputsAll Private Industries

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006Year

Perc

ent

Outsourcing Other Purchased Services

10www.bea.gov

Energy and Materials Shares

Input Category Shares of Nominal Intermediate InputsAll Private Industries

0

10

20

30

40

50

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006Year

Perc

ent

Energy Materials

11www.bea.gov

Import Share of Intermediate Inputs

Import Shares of Nominal Intermediate InputsAll Private Industries

0

5

10

15

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006Year

Perc

ent

Total Intermediate Inputs

12www.bea.gov

Import Shares by Input Category

Import Shares of Nominal Intermediate InputsAll Private Industries

0

5

10

15

20

25

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006Year

Perc

ent

Purchased Services Energy Materials

13www.bea.gov

Input Intensity: Private Industries

Real Inputs per Unit of Real Gross OutputAll Private Industries

0.850

0.900

0.950

1.000

1.050

1.100

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Year

Inde

x (2

000

= 1.

000)

Purchased Services Materials Energy Labor

14www.bea.gov

Import Intensity of Intermediates

Imported Real Inputs per Unit of Domestic Real InputAll Private Industries

0.800

0.900

1.000

1.100

1.200

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Year

Inde

x (2

000

= 1.

000)

Total Intermediate Materials

15www.bea.gov

Summary

Domestic outsourcing is large

Imported inputs are growing fast

Data are gradually improving

Improvements are still needed

16www.bea.gov

Recommendations

Better Data Fewer assumptions Greater reliability

More Guidance Less uncertainty Better research

17www.bea.gov

Better Data Imports by Industry Expanded/Improved Price Indexes

Domestic services Imported goods and services

Annual Inputs by Industry Interagency Integration

Capital services Occupation by industry

18www.bea.gov

More Guidance Definition of Outsourcing Unit of Analysis Distinguishing Outsourcing from

Services growth Technological change

Special Issues Leasing of assets and employees Capitalized services

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