northcentral north roland park roland park tuscany-canterbury hampden loyola/notre dame homeland...

NorthcentralNorth Roland Park

Roland Park

Tuscany-Canterbury

Hampden

Loyola/Notre Dame

Homeland

Guilford

Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis

Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013

Northcentral

Spatial Context

Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis

Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013

Northcentral

City Line

Yo

rk Rd

.

Falls R

d.

Hopkins Homewood Campus

Background & History | An Historically Affluent Area

Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis

Reputation • Affluent• Safe• Desirable residential area

Housing stock•Detached homes, single- l …family residences•Apartment complexes

Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013

Northcentral

Demographics | Population Change

Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis

• City population decline: 20% from 1980 to 2010

• Northcentral growth: 11% from 1980 to 2010

Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013

Northcentral

Demographics | Ethnic and Racial Change since 1980

Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis

1980 20100%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

WhiteBlackHispanicAsian and Other

Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013

Northcentral

Demographics | Northcentral vs. Baltimore, E/R Composition 2010

Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis

78.6

10.4

3.1

10.9

Northcentral

29.6

63.7

3.16.7

Baltimore City

Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013

Northcentral

White

HispanicAsian andOther

Black

Focus Neighborhoods

Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis

• Tuscany-Canterbury• Roland Park• North Roland Park

• Loyola/Notre Dame

• Hampden• Guilford• Homeland

Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013

Northcentral

} Increase in Asian and others

Increase in black population

}No notable ethnic and racial change

Summary of Findings

Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis

•Growing diversity, improving indicators

• Exception: Education in Roland Park

• Exception: Loyola/Notre Dame

•A story of education

•Ethnic enclaves

Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013

Northcentral

Tuscany-Canterbury

Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis

Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013

Northcentral

• Large apartment and condo buildings

• Population decline: nearly 4%

....(1980 to 2010)

• Asian increase, rising education

University Pkwy.

East Highfield Rd.

Gre

enm

ount

Rd.

Hopkins Homewood Campus

Tuscany-Canterbury | Population & Ethnic/Racial Change

Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis

1980 1990 2000 20100

200

400

600

800

1000

Asian Population

Year

Resi

dent

s

Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013

Northcentral

• Asians: ..18% of total ...population ...(2010)

Tuscany-Canterbury | Socioeconomics

Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis

1980 1990 2000 20100

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

Median IncomeMedian Sales Price

Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013

Northcentral

Tuscany-Canterbury | Socioeconomics

Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis

1980 1990 2000 201040%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

% Employed

% 25+ with BA or Higher

Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013

Northcentral

• Increasing ... ...diversity and ... ...improving key ...indicators

Tuscany-Canterbury | Education

Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis

1980 1990 2000 201040%50%60%70%80%90%100%

Percentage with B.A. Degree or Higher

White Asian

Year

Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013

Northcentral

%

Tuscany-Canterbury | Trends

Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis

• Influx of Asian residents

• Educational levels rising

Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013

Northcentral

Tuscany-Canterbury | Enclaves & Social Integration

Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis

Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013

Northcentral

• 49.4% of Asians live in one block group

University Pkwy.

East Highfield Rd.

Gre

enm

ount

Rd.

Hopkins Homewood Campus

Roland Park and North Roland Park

Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis

Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013

Northcentral

City LimitF

alls

Rd.

Rol

and

Ave

.Wyndhurst Ave.

University Pkwy.

Roland Park and North Roland Park | Population & Ethnic/Racial Change

Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis

97

1980

78

8

3

14

2010

Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013

Northcentral

Total Pop. Change:Roland Park: +26.4 % North Roland Park: +5.3%White

HispanicAsian and Other

Black

Roland Park and North Roland Park | Socioeconomics

Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis

1980 1990 2000 20100

50,000100,000150,000200,000250,000300,000350,000400,000450,000500,000

North Roland Park

Median Income Median Sales Price1980 1990 2000 2010

050,000100,000150,000200,000250,000300,000350,000400,000450,000

Roland Park

Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013

Northcentral

Roland Park and North Roland Park | Socioeconomics

Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis

1980 1990 2000 201040%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

North Roland Park

% Employed % 25+ with BA or higher

1980 1990 2000 201040%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Roland Park

Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013

Northcentral

Roland Park and North Roland Park | Education

Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis

Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013

Northcentral

1980 1990 2000 201040%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

North Roland Park

White Asian and Other

1980 1990 2000 201040%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Roland Park

• 2010 Asian and other educational attainment does not follow trend

Roland Park and North Roland Park | Trends

Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis

Differing relationships between diversity and indicators:• Non-education indicators: positive relationship• North Roland Park: negative relationship between Asian

growth and education• Roland Park: positive relationship between Asian growth

and education • Exception: 2000-2010 education declined, diversity

continued to increase

Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013

Northcentral

Roland Park and North Roland Park | Enclaves & Social Integration

Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis

Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013

Northcentral

• 84% of Asian and other residents live in two of six block groups

City Limit

Fal

ls R

d.

Rol

and

Ave

.

Wyndhurst Ave.

University Pkwy.

Northern Pkwy.

Loyola/Notre Dame

Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis

Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013

Northcentral

• Contains Loyola ...University and Notre ...Dame of Maryland ...University

• Total population ...decline of 9.71% from ...(1980 to 2010)

Loyola/Notre Dame | Population & Ethnic/Racial Change

Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis

Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013

Northcentral

1980 1990 2000* 20100

102030405060708090

White and Black Populations

WhiteBlack

Year

%

*2000 figures adjusted to compensate for

Census error

Loyola/Notre Dame | Socioeconomics

Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis

Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013

Northcentral

1980 1990 2000 20100

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

Median Income

Median Sales Price

Loyola/Notre Dame | Socioeconomics

Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis

Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013

Northcentral

1980 1990 2000 20100%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

% Employed

% 25+ with BA or higher

• Employment ...increased ...since 1980• Education ...drop in last ...decade

Loyola/Notre Dame | Education

Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis

Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013

Northcentral

1980 1990 2000 20100

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Attainment of B.A. or Higher by Race

White Black

Year

%

Loyola/Notre Dame | Employment

Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis

Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013

Northcentral

1980 1990 2000 201040%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

WhiteBlack

Loyola/Notre Dame | Some Interesting Trends

Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis

• Decrease in white residents• Increase in black residents • Black residents make up increasing proportion

of population

• Socioeconomic disparities by race:• Education • Employment (fluctuates)• Income

Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013

Northcentral

Key Findings

Overview Neighborhood Analysis FindingsStudy Area Analysis

• Increase in Asian residents in Tuscany-Canterbury • Hopkins affiliates

• Increasing diversity is associated with improved

neighborhood indicators• Exception: Education in Roland Park• Exception: Loyola-Notre Dame (mixed bag)

• Evidence of ethnic/racial enclaves at block level

Johns Hopkins University | Institute for Policy Studies | December 13, 2011 | Class of 2013

Northcentral