nasa astrophysics division update - national academies · 2014 ao, and notional release of a midex...
Post on 07-Jul-2020
0 Views
Preview:
TRANSCRIPT
1
Paul HertzDirector, Astrophysics Division
Science Mission Directorate
NASA Astrophysics Division Update
Committee on Astronomy and Astrophysics
April 1, 2015
@PHertzNASA
2
Hubble Sees Supernova Split into Four Images by Cosmic Lens
3
NASA’s Chandra Detects Record-Breaking Outburst from Milky Way’s Black Hole
4
NASA’s Hubble detects Distortion of Circumstellar Disk by a Planet
5
Sun Dazzles In First-Ever NuSTAR High-Energy X-Ray Portrait
6
Citizen Scientists Lead Astronomers to Mystery Objects
7Image Credit: NASA/CXO/Herschel/VLA/Lau et al
SOFIA Finds Missing Link Between Supernovae and Planet Formation
8
NASA’s Kepler Marks 1,000th Exoplanet Discovery, Uncovers More Small Worlds in Habitable Zones
9
The Exoplanet Travel Bureau
10
Chandra Celebrates the International Year of Light
http://chandra.harvard.edu/photo/2015/iyl/
11
ULDB Test Flight – March 30
12
Balloon Overflight Assessment –March 31 18 Z UTCOverflight Distance (nm) 435Float Speed (knts) 60.8
ULDB Test Flight – April 1
13http://science.nasa.gov/astrophysics/documents
Astrophysics Driving Documents
14
Big Picture
• The FY15 appropriation and FY16 budget request provide funding for NASA astrophysics to continue its programs, missions, and projects as planned
- The total funding (Astrophysics including JWST) is flat at ~$1.3B through FY20- Fully fund JWST to remain on plan for an October 2018 launch- Fund continued pre-formulation and technology work leading toward WFIRST- Restore SOFIA to the budget with a reduction in FY15 and full funding beyond- Provide funding for SMD’s education programs
• The operating missions continue to generate important and compelling science results, and new missions are under development for the future
- Chandra, Fermi, Hubble, Kepler/K2, NuSTAR, Spitzer, Suzaku, Swift, XMM-Newton continued following the 2014 Senior Review
- SOFIA is in prime operations as of May 2014- Missions on track for launch include LISA Pathfinder (2015), ASTRO-H (2015),
NICER (2016), TESS (2017), JWST (2018), Euclid (2020)- New Explorers being selected (SMEX in 2015, MIDEX in 2017), WFIRST being
studied, NASA joining ESA’s Athena and ESA’s L3 gravitational wave observatory• Update to the Astrophysics Implementation Plan has been released• Progress being made against recommendations of the 2010 Decadal Survey
- NRC Mid Decade Review (with NSF, DOE) to begin in early 2015- NASA initiating large mission concept studies for 2020 Decadal Survey
15
FY15 Appropriation
• Provides $77M more than the President’s Budget Request for FY15• Supports the commitment to an October 2018 launch date for JWST• Includes $50M for continued preformulation of WFIRST, an increase of $36M over the
Administration request and comparable to FY14• Includes $70M for continued SOFIA operations, a reduction of $14M (17%) from FY14
o Directs NASA to (a) seek partners to restore SOFIA to its full level, and (b) not terminate missions without a Senior Review
• Includes $98M for Hubble operations, the same as FY14• Includes $38M for scientific ballooning, an increase of $5M (15%) from FY14• Does not specify the distribution of funding for the rest of Astrophysics, but the funding is
adequate for Astrophysics to execute its program as planned in FY15.o Includes support as planned in FY15 for missions under development, operating
missions, SMEX AO, R&A, etc.o Final budget numbers available when NASA operating plan approved
($M) 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019Astrophysics $685JWST $645
16
FY16 President’s Budget Request
• Supports operating missions: Chandra, Fermi, Hubble, Kepler, NuSTAR, SOFIA, Spitzer, and Swift.
• Funds development of Explorer missions TESS and NICER. TESS will continue the search for exoplanets, scanning all of the sky for Exoplanets closer to Earth than those found by Kepler.
• Supports pre-formulation studies for WFIRST/AFTA.• Maintains a competed astrophysics research program and support of the balloon
program.• Supports the commitment of an October 2018 launch date for JWST.
o Will deliver the Integrated Science Instrument Module for integration;o Completes integration of flight primary mirror subassemblies onto the flight primary
mirror backplane;o Completes acceptance testing of the cryocooler compressor assembly;o Completes spacecraft bus structure; ando Completes the sunshield structure manufacture and test.
* Excludes “SMD STEM Activities” in all years.
Outyears are notional planning from FY16 President’s budget request
($M) 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020Astrophysics* $678 $685 $689 $707 $750 $986 $1,118JWST $658 $645 $620 $569 $535 $305 $198
17
FY16 President’s Budget Request
• Continues preformulation of WFIRST/AFTA as the “Astrophysics Decadal Strategic Mission.”
• Grows Astrophysics Research and Analysis (including Astrophysics Data Analysis Program) from ~$80M/yr to ~$90M/yr in FY16.
• Supports completion of missions under development, including LPF/ST7, ASTRO-H, NICER, TESS, and Euclid.
• Enables selection of a SMEX mission and an Explorer Mission of Opportunity from the 2014 AO, and notional release of a MIDEX AO in late CY16/early FY17.
• Provides full funding for SOFIA operations and places SOFIA into the 2016 Astrophysics Senior Review.
• Plans for the 2016 Astrophysics Senior Review.• Plans for continued Hubble operations through FY20 providing overlap with JWST.• Plans for mission concept studies and technology development (within the three
Program SR&T budgets) leading up to the 2020 Decadal Survey.
* Excludes “SMD STEM Activities” in all years.
Outyears are notional planning from FY16 President’s budget request
($M) 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020Astrophysics* $678 $685 $689 $707 $750 $986 $1,118JWST $658 $645 $620 $569 $535 $305 $198
18
Hubble Space Telescope 25th Anniversary
Join the celebration: #Hubble25
Sample of Events & Programs:• Webcast event at National Air &
Space Museum April 24• Coordinated events worldwide April 24• Family Day at Udvar-Hazy April 25• Hubble 2020 STScI symposium• Exhibits at museums around the world• Exhibits at multiple airports• Nationwide University lecture series• Education programs in all 50 states• Comprehensive traditional & social
media outreach plans• ‘Ode to Hubble’ video contest• New Planetaria clips• Re-release of IMAX ‘Hubble 3D’
Find out more: hubble25th.org
20
JWSTJames Webb Space Telescope
Large Infrared Space ObservatoryTop priority of 2000 Decadal Survey Science themes: First Light; Assembly of Galaxies; Birth of Stars and Planetary Systems; Planetary Systems and the Origins of LifeMission: 6.5m deployable, segmented telescope at L2, passively cooled to <50K behind a large, deployable sunshieldInstruments: Near IR Camera, Near IR Spectrograph, Mid IR Instrument, Near IR Imager and Slitless SpectrographOperations: 2018 launch for a 5-year prime missionPartners: ESA, CSA
2015 Accomplishments• FGS/NIRISS and NIRSpec detector and
parts replacement completed,• 4 of 5 flight sunshield membranes in
manufacturing (final to start in a couple months)
• Spacecraft manufacturing continues on schedule
• Telescope Pathfinder installed into JSC chamber A for testing
• Telescope Flight Backplane, wings and secondary tower assembled
2015 Plans• Test ISIM for the final time before
integration into observatory• Conduct tests at JSC in preparation for full
telescope and instrument tests• Complete MIRI cryocooler• Start Assembly of the Primary mirrorhttp://jwst.nasa.gov/
21
JWST Hardware Progress
JWST remains on track for an October 2018 launch within its replan budget guidelines
22
2015
commissioning (through 4/19)
Cycle 1 science -April 2019
GTO & GO
commissioning proposals
GO CP2017Nov
GO Cy1deadline2018Feb
201920172016 2020 20212018
GTO CP2017Jan
GTO Propdeadline2017Apr
7 mo
Cycle 2
September - CP releaseDecember – proposal
deadline February 2020 – TACApril 2020 – Cycle 2
JWST Science Planning Timeline
TAC2018May
2 mo
GTO Cy1observations finalized
No later than 2017Sep
launch2018Oct
23
Plan for WFIRST/AFTA PreformulationWidefield Infrared Survey Telescope usingAstrophysics Focused Telescope Assets
23
24
WFIRST / AFTAWidefield Infrared Survey Telescope with Astrophysics Focused Telescope Assets
CURRENT STATUS:• May 2013, NASA Administrator Bolden directed
study of WFIRST/AFTA and preserve option for FY17 new start if budget is available.- No decision expected before early CY 2016.
• Currently in pre-formulation phase.- Activities include technology development for
detectors and coronagraph (with STMD), assessment of the 2.4m telescopes including risk mitigation, mission design trades, payload accommodation studies, and observatory performance simulations.
• Maturing key technologies by FY19.- H4RG infrared detectors for widefield imager.- Internal coronagraph for exoplanet
characterization (two architectures identified December 2013; occulting mask coronagraph and phased induced amplitude apodization complex mask coronagraph).
• March 2014 NRC study on WFIRST/AFTA offers positive view of AFTA, with concerns about technology and cost risks.
• March 2015 SDT report with design reference mission presents baseline plan for WFIRST/AFTA
• WFIRST Preparatory Science funds 17 ROSES proposals that are relevant to WFIRST’s goals and WFIRST-specific simulations and models.
• FY15 Appropriation and FY16 Budget Request support pre-formulation of WFIRST/AFTA
• Plans support Agency/Administration decision for formulation to begin NET FY 2017, should funding be available.
http://wfirst.gsfc.nasa.gov/
Widefield Infrared Survey TelescopeTop priority of 2010 Decadal Survey Science themes: Dark Energy, Exoplanets, Large Area Near Infrared SurveysMission: 2.4m widefield telescope at GEO, uses existing AFTA hardware to image 0.28 deg2 at 0.8-2.0 µmInstruments (design reference mission): Wide Field Instrument, Coronagraph Instrument
25
WFIRST / AFTAWidefield Infrared Survey Telescope with Astrophysics Focused Telescope Assets
Coronagraph Technology Milestones1 Shaped Pupil mask fabricated with
reflectivity of 10-4and 20 μm pixel size.7/21/14
2 Shaped Pupil Coronagraph demos 10-8
raw contrast with narrowband light.9/30/14
3 PIAACMC mask fabricated with 10-8 raw contrast with 10% broadband light.
12/15/14
4 Hybrid Lyot Coronagraph demos 10-8 raw contrast with narrowband light..
2/28/15
5 Occulting Mask Coronagraph demos 10-8
raw contrast with 10% broadband light.9/15/15
6 Low Order Wavefront Sensing provides jitter sensing better than 0.4 mas rms.
9/30/15
7 Spectrograph read-out demo to have low dark current and read noise.
8/25/16
8 PIAACMC coronagraph demos 10-8 raw contrast with 10% broadband light.
9/30/16
9 Occulting Mask Coronagraph demos 10-8
raw contrast with 10% broadband light.9/30/16
Widefield Detector Technology Milestones1 Produce, test, and analyze 2
candidate passivation techniques in banded arrays.
7/31/14
2 Produce, test, and analyze 1 additional candidate passivation techniques in banded arrays.
12/30/14
3 Produce, test, and analyze full arrays with operability > 95%.
9/15/15
4 Produce, test, and analyze final selected recipe in full arrays demonstrating a yield > 20% with operability > 95%.
9/15/16
5 Complete environmental testing of one sensor chip assembly, as per NASA test standards.
12/1/16
ü
ü
ü
üü
ü
26
Astrophysics Research Program FundingSnapshot: Most Recent Year
~ ~
Proposals Year-1 Proposals Success ProposalsRec'd $M selected Rate Rec’d 2015
APRA-13 179 10.0 43 24% 151SAT-13 18 5.4 10 56% 28ADAP-14 300 7.5 62 21%XRP-14 62 1.3 11 18%ATP-14 214 4.7 31 14%TOTAL 773 28.9 157 20%
APRA Only All R&A
Does not include RTF, TCAN, WPS, GO programs
27
Astrophysics ROSES selection rates
AAAC task force on R&A and demographics being led by Prisca Cushman (U. Minn)
28
SMD Science Education
• Education is funded in the FY15 NASA Appropriation Act at $42M SMD-wide as a separate budget line (so E/PO is no longer budgeted as 1% of every mission).
• SMD will compete and consolidate education activities for FY16.• SMD has released a Cooperative Agreement Notice (CAN) soliciting
team-based proposals for science education.
• The goal of the NASA SMD Science Education CAN is to meet the following objectives: Enabling STEM education; Improving U.S. science literacy; Advancing National education goals; and Leveraging science education through partnership.
• The schedule is as follows:CAN Release Date February 4, 2015Preproposal Conference February 27, 2015Notice of Intent to Propose Deadline March 9, 2015Electronic Proposal Submittal Deadline May 4, 2015Selections Announced (target) ≤ 120 days after receipt of
proposals, with initial awards distributed in FY 2015
29
Planning for the 2015-2016 Mid-Decade Review
• The NASA Authorization Act of 2005 requires assessments of NASA’s science programs that include mid-decade reviews.- The Astrophysics Mid-Decade Review will be during 2015-2016- Study will be co-sponsored by NASA, NSF, and DOE (the Agencies)
• Given the funding circumstances that are substantially below those assumed in the Decadal Survey, the committee's review will describe:- The most significant scientific discoveries, technical advances, and
relevant programmatic changes in astronomy and astrophysics since the Decadal Survey;
- How well the Agencies' programs address the strategies, goals, and priorities outlined in the Decadal Survey and other NRC reports;
- Progress toward realizing these strategies, goals and priorities; and- Any actions that could be taken to maximize the science return of the
Agencies’ programs.• The Agencies are in the process of charging the NRC, and formation of
the Study Committee will begin soon.
30
Planning for the 2015-2016 Mid-Decade Review
Directions in New Worlds, New Horizons relevant to NASA (paraphrased)• LISA: If LISA is not L1, or LISA Pathfinder is not successful, or equal partnership is not
possible, then conduct review to reconsider LISA’s prioritization. (p.9, p.213)- NASA working toward partnership on ESA L3, will invest in enabling technology and LPF;
anticipate review by 2020 Decadal Survey regarding priority of strategic partnership on ESA L3.• IXO: If IXO is L1, conduct review then (maybe) invest immediately in technology. By mid-
decade, invest aggressively in technology. (p. 9, p. 214, p. 215)- NASA planning on partnership on ESA Athena, investing in technology now, expect details of
partnership to be established soon; anticipate partnership well underway by time of 2020 Decadal Survey.
• New Worlds: If precursor science is favorable, conduct review then (maybe) downselect technology and invest to ready a mission for the 2020 decadal survey. (p.20, p.195, p.216)
- NASA maturing multiple technologies and studying multiple architectures in advance of 2020 Decadal Survey, not planning to downselect technology prematurely; anticipate review by 2020 Decadal Survey regarding priority – and possibly size and architecture – of strategic mission.
• Inflation Probe: If B-mode detected, conduct review then (maybe) invest in technology for an all-sky mission. (p.198, p.217)
- NASA maturing multiple detector technologies, considering potential partnerships on ESA and JAXA led missions; anticipate review by 2020 Decadal Survey regarding priority of probe-class mission.
• DSIAC: Conduct review to see whether any contingencies have occurred and recommend action. (p.102, p.237)
31
Planning for the 2015-2016 Mid-Decade Review
• What kind of input and reporting from NASA would be valuable to the Mid Decade Review Committee?- Programmatic update on addressing the recommendations in the
Decadal Survey.• Captured in 2014 Implementation Plan Update• Looking for a definitive list of Decadal Survey recommendations, or
at least subjects that the Committee would like addressed- Programmatic and budget update on NASA initiatives and activities
which are not recommendations of the Decadal Survey.- Spending actuals and budget plan against the major
recommendations, all of which came with proposed spending allocations.
- Spending actuals and budget plan for community support, including R&A, GO, and Fellowships.
- Plans for the rest of the decade, including expected decision points.- Plans for preparing for the 2020 Decadal Survey.
32
Progress Toward Decadal Survey PrioritiesThe NASA FY15 Appropriation, the President’s FY16 Budget Request, and the notional out year budget planning guidance in the President’s FY16 Budget Request, support:Large-scale 1. WFIRST Preformulation and focused technology development for
WFIRST/AFTA (a 2.4m version of WFIRST with a coronagraph) are underway to enable a new start NET FY2017. Budget line established for an Astrophysics Decadal Strategic Mission.
Large-scale 2. Augmentation to Explorer Program
Astrophysics Explorers planned budget increased to support decadal cadence of AOs including SMEX AO in Fall 2014 and MIDEX AO in late 2016/early 2017.
Large-scale 3. LISA Discussing partnership on ESA’s L3 gravitational wave observatory and participating in ESA-led assessments in 2014-2015. Strategic astrophysics technology (SAT) investments plus support of LISA Pathfinder.
Large-scale 4. IXO NASA is pursuing a partnership on ESA’s L2 Athena X-ray observatory; the Athena study phase, with U.S. participation, is underway. Strategic astrophysics technology (SAT) investments.
Medium-scale 1. New Worlds Technology Development Program
Focused technology development for a coronagraph on WFIRST, strategic astrophysics technology (SAT) investments, and exoplanet probe mission concept studies. Established partnership with NSF to develop extreme precision Doppler spectrometer as facility instrument. Exozodi survey using LBTI.
33
Progress Toward Decadal Survey PrioritiesThe NASA FY15 Appropriation, the President’s FY16 Budget Request, and the notional out year budget planning guidance in the President’s FY16 Budget Request, support:Medium-scale 2. Inflation Probe Technology Development Program
Balloon-borne investigations plus strategic astrophysics technology (SAT) investments.
Small-scale. Research Program Augmentations
Increased annual R&A budget by 10% from FY10 to FY12 and another 10% from FY14 to FY16. Within R&A: established Theoretical and Computational Astrophysics Networks (TCAN) program with NSF; funding available for astrophysics theory; funding available for lab astrophysics; funding available for suborbital payloads.
Small-scale. Intermediate Technology development Augmentation
Established competed Strategic Astrophysics Technology (SAT) program element; directed technology funding for WFIRST and other large-scale decadal priorities.
Small-scale. Future Ultraviolet-Visible Space Capability
Strategic Astrophysics Technology (SAT) investments.
Small-scale. SPICA (U.S. contribution to JAXA-led)
Not supported as a strategic contribution; candidate for Explorer Mission of Opportunity.
34
1990
LRD: 2020s
1999
2003
LRD: 2018
34
35
Preparing for the 2020 Decadal SurveyLarge Mission Concepts
• The 2020 Decadal Survey will prioritize large space missions to follow JWST and WFIRST.- To enable this prioritization, NASA needs to provide information on several
candidate large space mission concepts for consideration by the 2020 Decadal Survey Committee.
• What information needs to be provided to the Decadal Survey committee to enable prioritization of large missions- Science case- Strawman design reference mission with strawman payload- Technology development needs- Cost requirements assessment
• NASA needs to initiate technology development for candidate large missions so that technology will be ready when needed.- Technology needs to be sufficiently mature when it is time to start the
highest priority large mission in the 2020 Decadal Survey.- The next large mission after WFIRST could be started when funding
becomes available as WFIRST approaches launch in the early or mid-2020s.
36
Preparing for the 2020 Decadal SurveyLarge Mission Concepts
Part A – 2015 • Identify a small set of candidate large mission concepts to study
- NASA draws a small set of candidate mission concepts from existing roadmap and strategic documents
- Incorporate community input through the three Astrophysics Program Analysis Groups (PAGs)
Part B – 2016-2019• Initiate studies
- Includes community-based Science and Technology Definition Teams• Conduct studies
- Includes NASA Center-provided engineering teams• Identify technology requirements to motivate early technology
development- Enables funding through existing Astrophysics technology programs
• Deliver results to 2020 Decadal Survey committee
Planning for the 2020 Decadal Survey: An Astrophysics Division White Paperavailable at http://science.nasa.gov/astrophysics/documents
37
Preparing for the 2020 Decadal SurveyLarge Mission Concepts
The initial short list (in alphabetical order):• FAR IR Surveyor – The Astrophysics Visionary Roadmap identifies a
Far IR Surveyor as contributing through improvements in sensitivity, spectroscopy, and angular resolution.
• Habitable-Exoplanet Imaging Mission – The 2010 Decadal Survey recommends that a habitable-exoplanet imaging mission be studied in time for consideration by the 2020 decadal survey.
• UV/Optical/IR Surveyor –The Astrophysics Visionary Roadmap identifies a UV/Optical/IR Surveyor as contributing through improvements in sensitivity, spectroscopy, high contrast imaging, astrometry, angular resolution and/or wavelength coverage. The 2010 Decadal Survey recommends that NASA prepare for a UV mission to be considered by the 2020 Decadal Survey.
• X-ray Surveyor – The Astrophysics Visionary Roadmap identifies an X-ray Surveyor as contributing through improvements in sensitivity, spectroscopy, and angular resolution.
38
Preparing for the 2020 Decadal SurveyThinking about Probes
• What was done 10 years ago?- Origins Probes Mission Concepts (2004)
• ROSES call for quick (~9 month) paper concept studies• ~9 concepts selected in 2004; total funding ~$1M ($100K average)
- Astrophysics Mission Concepts Study (AMCS; 2007)• ROSES call for ~1 year paper concept studies• Nineteen (+1) ASMC concepts selected in 2007; total funding $13M
($700K average)- Was this effective? Efficient? Appropriately impactful?
• Possibilities this time- Real mission concept studies
• Just like we are doing for large mission concepts• How would we select them? Where does funding come from?
- Paper mission concept studies• Just like AMCS, but limited to Probes
- Self selected, self funded• Anybody can submit a white paper to the 2020 Decadal Survey
• Awaiting input from the PAG reports
39
Astrophysics Timeline
3939
top related